CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/11/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02739303
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: November 4, 1951

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SEC INFORMATION
4 November 1951
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DAT t_intEV IEW ER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
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2. Japanese-Korean negotiations promise to be difficult (page 4).
NAR EAST
4. Turkish-Iranian relations deteriorate (page 5).
6. NATO membership for Egypt to be proposed by Italy (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. A 'rightist solution" is not imminent in France (page 7).
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USSR
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1. Redisposition of Soviet Air Force fighter units in Occupied Europe im3 3(h)(2)
be under way:
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/one Soviet Air Force jet
fighter division (three regiments totaling
a ad departed eastward out of Germany by rail. The
departure of another fighter division from Germany by rail has been re-
ported, but not definitely confirmed, and the aircraft of a third division
cannot be located.
one regiment of a 3.3(h)(2)
fourth fighter division has changed its base within Germany during the
past week. No new air units have arrived in Germany.
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the aircraft of three Soviet Air Force divisions (about 300 MIG-15's, con-
stituting half the jet fighters in East Germany) have been missing from
their bases since early October. Communications intelligence confirms
an absence of flying activity by these units and supports the probable
departure from Germany of at least one division.
These recent moves may be part of a Soviet
redisposition program within Eastern Europe to improve tactical air capa-
bilities in that area, or may represent the departure of some units to
reinforce another area. Less likely explanations are: occupation of
new airfields; a re-equipment or modification program; or maneuvers.
The evidence to date does not support the
conclusion that a major reduction in Soviet military strength in Occupied
Europe is under way. The full extent of the air redisposition is not yet
known, there is no evidence of a reduction of ground forces, and the
preparation of permanent military installations in Germany continues.
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FAR EAST
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2. Japanese-Korean negotiations promise to be difficult:
The Japanese-South Korean negotiations 3.3(h)(2)
over the problem of Korean residents in
Japan promise to be difficult and have little
chance of success unless American pressure
is exerted on both parties, according to
Comment: The Korean minority, estimated
to number between 600, 000 and 1,000, 000, of whom two-thirds are con-
sidered pro-North Korean, have been the instigators of many postwar
civil disturbances in Japan. The Japanese Government would like either
to deport unruly elements or to insure good behavior by the threat of
deportation. The South Korean Government, however, while in no posi-
tion to accept such a mass transfer, wishes to have its jurisdiction over
this minority recognized and has virtually demanded extraterritorial
privileges for Koreans in Japan.
The Koreans desire _US pressure to bring
about Japanese acquiescence, while the Japanese wish to stall until
after the peace treaty goes into effect and they become relatively immune
to Korean pressure.
NEAR EAST
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TOP SECRET
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4. Turkish-Iranian relations deteriorate:
Turkish-Iranian relations have deteriorated
as a result of Turkish support of Britain in
the Anglo-Iranian oil dispute. Turkey is
eing denounced as "a stooge of the British
r to the Moslem world," Communists and
fellow-travelers are exploiting the situation in order to hinder the plans
for an expanded Middle East.Command.
Comment: Although Iran tends to follow the
lead of Turkey in international affairs, traditional suspicion and jealousy
of a strong neighbor have made Turkish-Iranian relations difficult.
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It)P SECRET
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6. NATO rnefnbership for Egypt to be proposed by Italy:
Italy,
is ready to propose a solution of the Anglo-
Egyptian dispute by suggesting that Egypt
be admitted to NATO. This action is to be
taken with the understanding that Egypt will
then make available military bases, including the Suez defenses, under
the same conditions as facilities furnished by other NATO members.
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The proposal would permit British forces
in the strength provided for in the 1936 treaty to remain in the Canal
Zone until NATO arrangements have been finalized.
Comment: There is no confirmation that
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Italy is about to make such proposals. On 2 November the US Ambas-
sador in Cairo reported that the Egyptian Prime Minister and the
Minister of Interior were coming to realize that possibly the only way
out of Egypt's difficulties would be the Middle East Command proposals.
A proposal of membership for Egypt would
be unacceptable to most NATO members. If it were seriously con-
sidered, the now pending ratifications of the protocol for admitting
Greece and Turkey would be imperiled, especially in those NATO coun-
tries which already fear over-extending NATO.
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WESTERN EUROPE
7. A "rightist solution" is not imminent in France:
The US Embassy in Paris concludes on the
eve of the new Assembly session that the
disunity among the components of the middle-
of-the-road coalition "has at least not
worsene an may in ac e less now than when the Assembly recessed in
September." While Premier Pleven has neither made nor received
commitments envisaging more solid Socialist support of the government,
the likelihood of an early deal between the other supporting parties and
the Gaullists appears to have lessened.
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'The new Secretary-General of the Gaullist
party has indicated that, although the General "realizes he must share
the government with others on a coalition basis, he insists on having
firm leadership of such a coalition himself.
Comment: This is a further indication that
the middle-of-the-road coalition should not be expected to crumble in
the near future despite the growing weight of the problems facing the
Pleven government.
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