CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/11/25

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02739317
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: November 25, 1951

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SECURITY INFORMATION
25 November 1951
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: 1.
r,IEXTREVIEW DATE-
AUT I' 7
47 3.5(c)
DA
s
REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
SECURITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Japanese treaty negotiations with Nationalist China opposed by UK
(page 3).
FAR EAST
NEAR EAST
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3.3(h)(2)
4. Arab officials fear return of foreign spheres of influence (page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Yugoslav official interested in US aid for Cominform refugees (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. General agreement reached at first Western meeting with Adenauer
(page 6).
7. Failure of anti-Adenauer demonstration reveals French Communist
weakness (page 7).
8. French Christian Workers favor closer ties with international
Communist groups (page 7).
9. Austrian Foreign Minister comments on Vishinsky conversation
(page 8).
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ItIR-SECRET-
GENERAL
1. Japanese treaty negotiations with Nationalist China opposed by UK:
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3.3(h)(2)
British Foreign Secretary Eden has rejected
a US proposal to inform the Japanese Govern-
ment that neither Ole United States nor Britain
�Cvould object to Tapan's proceeding immedi-
ately on preliminary negotiations for a peace treaty with Nationalist China.
gden indicated that he did not object to dis-
cussions on trade, property plairns, representation and other practical
problems, but that he could not approve any move looking toward Japan's
recognition of the Nationalists as the Government of China. Eden feels
that such approval would jeopardize the bipartisan acceptance which the
Japanese peace settlement has so far received in the British Parliament.
Comment: My Move at this time suggesting
British approval of .rengthng Chinese Nationalist position would
encounter vigorous parliamentary criticism directed in large measure at
the United States.
The Japanese Goverpm.ent likewise has in-
dicated it would prefer to postpone its negotiations with the Nationalists
until after the multilateral peace treaty comes into effect, fearing that
prior negotiations might jeopardize the treaty's ratification.
3.3(h)(2)
FAR EAST
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410. Arab officials fear return of foreign spheres of influence:
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3.3(h)(2)
The Syrian Army Chief of Staff has informed
the Lebanese Prime Minister that he be-
lieves the Middle East Command will result
in the re-establishment of foreign spheres of
1 uence n e ear as and that under this defense plan France would
again dominate Lebanon and Syria.
According to the US Minister in Beirut, the
Lebanese Prime Minister is disturbed over the possibility of his country's
virtual return to mandate relations with France. His concern has been
aggravated, by the fact that French supporters in Lebanon have been saying
for some weeks that the Western defense plan woutd revive French su-
premacy in the Levant.
Comment: Arab misunderstanding of the con-
cept of the Middle East ComTnand, as well as Soviet-sponsored propaganda,
has encouraged the rise of rumors that the Western defense plan is actu-
ally a cover for the re-establishment of foreign spheres of influence in
the Near East. Anxiety over their national independence is probably one
of the important reasons why Arab officials have failed to give public sup-
port to Western defense proposals.
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Yugoslav official interested in US aid for Cominform refugees:
In a discussion with Ambassador Allen, Mini-
ster of Interior Rankovic expressed interest
in a suggestion that the United States might
help the Yugoslav Government in caring for
mi or re ugees arriving in Yugoslavia. Allen mentioned the efforts
of voluntary private American organizations to assist Cominform refu-
gees and suggested that these organizations might be willing as a first
step to send food and clothing to these refugees in Yugoslavia.
3.3(h)(2)
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Rankovic agreed that the treatment of Comin-
form refugees was highly important politically and promised to consider
a proposal that a member of his staff keep in touch with the Embassy on
this matter.
Comment; This is the first time that a
Yugoslav official has shown In interest in obtaining US assistance in
caring for Cominform refugees/
Shortly after the influx of Bulgarian refugees
into Yugoslavia last spring, the Yugoslav Government permitted Western
correspondents to interview a number of them, but Western officials have
never been given access to this potential repervoir of intelligence on the
Satellite countries. Because Yugoslav treatment of refugees has im-
proved, the number of those escaping across the border has increased
in the past year.
WESTERN EUROPE
6� General agreement reached at first Western meeting with Adenauer:
At the first meeting of the three Western
Foreign Ministers and Chancellor Adenauer
on 22 November, approval was given to the
terms of the General Agreement for West
Germany, which will go into effect when certain additional conventions
and the European defense treaty are completed, French Foreign Mini-
ster Schuman, however, mentioned the limitation and prohibition of
certain armaments production in the Federal Republic as a "difficult
problem" which might have to be dealt with in a separate convention.
Adenauer stated his conviction that the de-
cisions to be taken within the next few weeks would convince the USSR
that it had failed to win over the Federal Republic by its cold war tactics.
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Comment: Before complete agreement is
achieved on a new political statuS'for Germany, understanding must
still be reached not only on the security safeguards mentioned by
Schuman, but on the Western "programs" such as decartelization and
restitution, West Germany's share in defense costs, and the rights of
Allied troops in Germany. At least another month is expected to be
consumed in these negotiations.
7. Failure of anti-Adenauer demqnstration reveals French Communist
weakness:
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3.3(h)(2)
The fiasco of the Communist-sponsored
demonstration during Chancellor Adenauer's
visit to Paris proved the party's increasing
is9lation and inability to elicit militant sup-
por o carry out oviet fpreign policy objectives, even on such impor-
tant political issues as German rearmament,
Comment; During the past year French
Communists have consistently failed to make an effective political dem-
onstration against the government, Although the party planned this
manifestation in compliance with Moscow's directive, the leaders evi-
dently were unwilling to risk arrest by challenging the government's
ban on demonstrations. Party leaders may also be losing their enthusi-
asm for such activities, particularly since recent successes of their
labor policy show that popular support can be more readily obtained
for economic than for purely political objectives.
B. French Christian Workers favor closer ties with international
Communist groups:
The executive committee of the French
Christian Workers Labor Confederation
plans to send a delegation to the proposed
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jgoasyw economic conference in April and has resolved to recommendL
the Christian Labor International that it accept an Invitation of the C
munist-dominated World Federation of Trade Unions for joint discus ons.
The leader of the Christian Workers left
wing believes that the International will react coolly toward both of these -
p1ts cordin to this spo sman, his confect, ation was about to
announce a br king o of negotia'Rons with 'lie Com unist-led Genera
Labor Confederation bec se of the tter's.G,usa paign to unify
organized labor un Com nist lea rship.
Comment: The Christian Worke -sigonfeder-
ation is the most aggressive non-Communist labor group an 'as hereto-
fore usually been willing to join in unity of action with the Communist- lA
confederation,. *Its v estures toward closerird ri14.1101,coopera...i.on for''' -
labor's bpiefit,a,, ,V.Intendektifset its ne licy of Lehi:law the '
dominant- Com unist-led confederation in
, ranee..
A
2._
9. Austrian Foreign Minister comments on Vishinsky conversation:
3.3(h)(2)
Austrian Foreign Minister Gruber states
that Vishinsky, in a conversation on 19
November, indicated that an Austrian settle-
ment would be achieved only as part of a
genera se ement o East-West issues. Gruber is convinced that this
settlement can not be long deferred, that the Russians may make an
effort to arrive at an understanding next year, and that, if they believe
they have failed, a "period of maximum danger" will arrive in 1952.
Comment: The Austrian Foreign Minister has
frequently indicated his pessimism with regard to the prospects of an
Austrian treaty at this time. He has, however, strongly supported West-
ern efforts to reopen negotiations and has approved a US proposal for
increasing pressure on the Soviet Union by introducing a new ,ciraft
treaty into the discussions.
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