NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY FRIDAY 2 MAY 1980 - 1980/05/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05148785
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 20
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: May 2, 1980

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Director of "]ArgCeePt
Central
Intelligence
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f) USSR-Argentina: Closer Relations
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kUSSR-ARGENTINA: Closer Relations
There has been a noticeable covergence of interests in recent
months between Argentina and the Soviet Union, and this trend
seems certain to continue, regardless of US policies.
Moscow's interest in Argentina quickened following
the US grain embargo. In addition to securing access to
Argentine grain and developing trade ties, the USSR is
trying to exploit Argentine differences with the US.
Moscow is willing to overlook Argentina's right-
wing orientation; a better relationship with Buenos Aires
would give the Soviets a foothold in an im ortant country
in a traditional US sphere of influence.
The relationship with the Soviets allows Argentina
to demonstrate both its increasing independence of the
US and its growing international stature. It also pro-
vides Buenos Aires an opportunity to display its irrita-
tion over US human rights and nuclear proliferation
policies and the termination of Washington's military
assistance program.
Expanded relations probably will be limited largely
to trade. Soviet grain purchases in 1980 are likely to
total about 6 million tons--more than triple the 1979
amount. The two countries reportedly have negotiated a
long-term grain agreement for a minimum of 5 million tons
of grain annually for the 1981-85 period, thus further
tipping the trade balance--already $350 million in Ar-
gentina's favor.
To redress this imbalance, the Soviets will try to
sell more to Argentina. They are not likely to have
,1
,4%, much success, however, and probably would be willing to
endure an adverse trade balance in order to preserve
/ access to sizable supplies of grain and meat.
In the nuclear area, the Soviets reportedly have
indicated their willingness to supply enriched uranium
should present negotiations with the US on Argentine
nuclear needs prove unsuccessful. The Argentines also
"-are interested in Soviet heavy water for their natural
uranium reactors.
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