NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE) THURSDAY 29 DECEMBER 1983 - 1983/12/29

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05144055
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: December 29, 1983

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Director of
Central
Intelligence
cret
National Intelligence Daily
(Cable)
Thursday
29 December 1983
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To. -cret
CPAS NIDC 83-383C
29 December 1983
Copy
425
3.5(c)
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3.5(c)
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Contents
13-a
Argentina: Measures To Control the Military 4
3.5(c)
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3.5(c)
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3.3(b)(1)
3.5(c)
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U�l!rS�M
ARGENTINA: Measures To Control the Military
President Alfonsin's moves to curb the military continue to gain
momentum, and the armed forces remain too weak to challenge him
for now. 3.5(c)
Alfonsin's promotion of officers to head the three military services
will force nearly 40 general officers�more than half of the general
officer corps in the Army alone�into retirement over the next several
weeks. The president also has made changes in the high command
that subordinate the new commanders to the civilian Defense
Minister. 3.5(c)
Earlier this week Congress repealed the previous military
government's amnesty law designed to protect officers involved in
antisubversive activities. This enables Alfonsin to proceed with his
plans to prosecute former junta members for human rights abuses.
Press reports state that the congressional action also has encouraged
the judiciary to launch more extensive investigations. 3.5(c)
senior
officers have accepted the appointments and retirements. Although
lower ranking officers have remained calm, they are concerned that
further judicial inquiries into human rights cases eventually will cause
unrest. 3.5(c)
Comment: The military largely anticipated the retirements and
structural changes. Last year some officers pushed for a more
thorough purge of the high command in the wake of the defeat in the
Falklands, and they probably welcome these initiatives. 3.5(c)
Alfonsin, however, may have to contend with a reinvigorated
judiciary determined to find out who is responsible for the
disappearance of 6,000 to 15,000 persons under military rule. Even if
he wanted to, the President might not be able to moderate civil
actions or inquiries that could lead to more extensive investigations of
the military. 3.5(c)
Nevertheless, even disgruntled officers appear to have no figure
around whom to rally. They probably will have little choice but to await
the outcome of trials and see if more serious opposition develops.
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3.5(c)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
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