CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/06/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02003066
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: March 18, 2019
• Document Release Date: March 28, 2019
• Publication Date: June 3, 1951

Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003066
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BUL
3 june 1951
Copy No. C.) -"1
, DOCUMENT No.
NO CHANGE IN CLAS
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: 'TS _S___1441.
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH:
w
REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL..
1. EmbasGy Mescow'6 views on Soviet reaction to pr(Tosed formal
guarantees to Graele.e, and Turkey (page 3).
FAR .EAST
2, Ch0.10;!9-.) N:aLi ager to sign Japanese peac.e treaty (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA.
4, � Ne-
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WEt.3TERN EUROPE
resourc,.. Aillsmaur from coalition partner announced (page 4).
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GENERAL
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1. Embay_Moscow's iewson polijet itactiarathi.... � -an
tees to Greece ald:71cr,lity:
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' The US Embassy in Moscow believes that,
despite Soviet sensitivity to military deirekope
meats in the Black Sea area, formal guaran-
tees to Greece and Turkey by the West are -
sufficientiy important to outweigh any foreseeable risk. The Embassy
considers that, particularly in the. light of recent developments in Iran,
it is necessary to check a possible trend toward neutrality on the part
of Turkey. Furthermore, the USSR is unlikely to be unduly disturbed
by such action, since it is already evident fr4m present British and French
undertakings to Greece and Turkey as well as American military assist,
slice to them. that defense of these two countries would be fully supported
by these major powers. On the other hand, inclusion of Greece and
Turkey in NATO would reinforce the Soviet claim that thispact is aggres-
sive, thereby strengthening the USSR's bid for mass popular support
throughout the world. Furthermore, the .Soviet Union might derive -
an advantage from the feeling of isolation that would develop in other
Near Eastern countries. Nevertheless, the Embassy c4ricludes that
failure to admit Greece and Turkey into formal. collective security ar-
rangements with the three major Western powers would encourage Soviet
hopes to disrupt free world unity and determination to reSist aggression.
FAR EAST
2. _Iiinese ..iltionalifts Ozer:4s siaLtazs2....._r_iese. 3.3(h)(2)
The Chinese Nationalist Foreign Minister
has requested that the State Department be
advised of the extreme importance attached
by his government to its inclusion among the -
signatories of the SapaneSe peace tre ty. The Foreign Minister stressed
the prestig,re involved in being one of the signatories and the practical
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advantage to his government of resuming diplomatic relations with Japan
at the same time as other allies. Exclusion from the treaty would place
the Nationalists dip' matic representation in Japan at a disadvantage
in comparison with other allies.
SOUTH ASIA
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WESTER EUROPE
Zi=essure on Adenau r from coalition partner announced:
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Leaders of the -Free Democratic Party (FDT.3(h)(2)
chief partners of Adenauer's Christian Demo-
crats (CDU) in the West German G4vernment
coalition, have announced a.new series if
demands aimed at increasing the influence of their party in the government.
While the FDP has included in its demands certain conditions in connee,
tion with t.ts approval of the Schuman Plan� its most drastic demands call.
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for considerable enlargement of federal powers, particularly in the finance
and police fields. Any such move toward centralization will run into
opposition from.other sections of the coalition, notably the Bavarian wing
of the CD1.1... US officials in .Bonn, while commenting that this action '
results from the favorable FOP .showing in recent local elections, still
feel that the FOP will not carry its demands to the point of causing
- a break.-up of the present coalition-
Comment The FDP, particularly since a
recent shakeup in its party leadership, has been trying to gain a more
influential position in the coaliton, The party, which represents con-
ervative industrial interests, undoubtedly seeks to influence the economic
policy of the goverftent, especially since its failure to kill the recent
legislation on labor participation in management. Because of the serious-
ness of the Sozialist opposition to its policies, the FOP is not likely to
break with Adenaver.
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