CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/06/20

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02003074
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: March 18, 2019
• Document Release Date: March 28, 2019
• Publication Date: June 20, 1951

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'4110' VI' bhUtth
20 June 1951
Copy No. c_j-q
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
iI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS Vol
NEXT REVIEW DA FE.
AUTH: HR 7O-
DATE
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
USSR
FAR EAST
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
a. Chimise Nationalists continue to reject US-UK Sapanese nearP treaty
prOposals (page 4).
4. Large Viet Minh concentration reported south of French defenses in
Tonkin (page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
5� Polish Government planning industrialization on long-range basis
(Page 5).
3.3(h)(2)
t. Czech Foreign Office accuses US of distorting Oatis case
WESTERN EUROPE
Soviets relax Berlin trade restrictions (page 7).
LATIN AMERICA
9. New labor stoppage in Chilean copper industry (page 8).
(page 7).
3.5(c)
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USSR
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3.3(h)(2)
FAR EAST
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
Chinese Nationalist Foreign Minister Yeh
:.has informed the US Charge in Taipei
that "the. Chinese Government will only
accept simultaneous participation with
the other Allies in a multilateral treaty ora bilateral treaty to be signed
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severally by all Allies concerned. "� Yeh's statement was prompted by a
Washington rep rt crediting him with committing the Chinese Nationalists
to the US-UK decision regarding Chinese accession to the Japanese Peace
Treaty.
3.5(c)
Vomment: Nationalist sensibilitieS notwithstanding,
current indications suggest that the US and UK intend to proceed without
Chinese co-signature, and that any bilateral agreements will be left to the
discretion of a "sovereign and independent" japan itself,
3.3(h)(2)
4� Large Viet Minh concentration re_ported south of French defenses in Tonkin,�
5.
30, 000 to
40, 000 enemy troops, many if whom are
apparently new arrivals are concentrated west
of Phuly, on the southern perimeter of the
Tonkin Delta defenses. This force is so situated that it can move into 3.3(h)(2)
position to attack these defenses within 12 hours,
Comment;
3.3(h)(2)
French
regular forces in the entire Tonkin defense triangle number only about
67, 000. The fact that there are now no large Wet Minh forces remaining
along the northern defenses arouses a suspicion that the Chinese Communists
might fill this vaPtifirt
EASTERN EUROPE
. . t jt
. $HLHS, I!, 7��
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
The US Embassy in Warsaw sees no evidence
indicating that Poland is retarding or postponing
the construction of heavy industrial projects
in favor of greater concentration on items of
more immediate military utility. According to the Embassy, Poland has
achieved impressive industrial progress during the past sixteen months and
seems preoccupied at the moment with insuring the orderly achievement
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of production goals. The Embassy points out that this emphasis on in-
dustrialization should contribute appreciably to the Communist war potential
within the next few years.
Comment: All available information indicates
that Poland has stressed the expansion of its heavy industry under the Six
Year Plan and placed less emphasis upon construction of immediate military
usefulness. This orientation constitutes a sound psychological appeal to the
nationalistic Polish people, who see in this industrial expansion the growth
of their country. 3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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7� Czech Forei n Office accuses US of distortin
Oatis case:
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
Czech Foreign Minister Siroky has informed
the US Ambassador in Prague that the Foreign
Office has washed its hands of the case of arrested
US newsman Oatis because of US press and radio
distortions of his prior meeting with the Ambassador on this matter. Siroky
sated that Oatis would be tried within a few days and that a US Embassy
official 'ctuld attend the trial.. According to the Foreign Minister, Oatis
has made a "full coniession" of "serious crimes. against the Czech state.
The US Ambassador comments that Oatis will probably endorse a confession
at his trial and may even appear as a defector.
Comment: In a discussion of the Oatis case with
the US Ambassador on 16 May, Siroky charged that the US was sponsoring
Radio Free Europe, whose operations were creating an unfavorable atmosphere.
As a result of a subsequent news leak in Germany, the Western press
published reports that the Czechoslovak Government had demanded the
suspension of Radio Free Europe in return for the release of Oatis.
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Soviets relax Berlin trade restrictions:
3.3(h)(2)
The USSR has relaxed its current restrictions on
West Berlin's exports to the West, releasing
several hundred requests for trade permits'
that it had hitherto refused to approve. At the
same time, however, S. A. Dengin of the Soviet Control Commission has
replied to Allied Protests regarding the Soviet restrictions by claiming the
right of the Soviets to control shipments from West Berlin as a means of
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ensuring that no illegally obtained raw materials from East Germany
are included in those shipments. Allied and Soviet experts will attempt
to work out a method of control. Meanwhile, the Allies are making it
clear to-Dengin that the resumption of negotiations for a trade agreement
between East and West Germany is dependent upon the abandonment of
Soviet restrictions on West Berlin exports.
Comment: This Soviet relaxation of restrictions
appears to have resulted from the threat of firm Allied countermeasures,
including the simultaneous embargo of key items from West Germany and
West Berlin to the Soviet zones as well as from the expectation of a prompt
conclusion of an interzonal trade agreements for which negotiations were
halted by the West during the current dispute.
LATIN AMERICA
9. New labor stoppage in Chilean cooper industry;
3.3(h)(2)
An illegal strike of workers in two large US-
owned copper mines -- begun four days ago --
has now spread to a third. Furthermore, nitrate,
coal and railway labor leaders reportedly are
actively negotiating for authorization from their unions to stage a strike
supporting the copper workers' demands. Troops have been ordered to guard
�the three strike-bound mines, and a decree ordering the "renewal of work"
has been issued by the government. President Gonzales Videla reportedly
is planning to form a military cabinet if a solution is not found to "the�
present crisis,"
3.5(c)
Comment: In May, labor agitation reduced
� production at one mine by 50 percent, and the -current strikes will severely
affect total Chilean copper production for June, since approximately 95 percent
of this production is controlled by the three large US-owned companies. It
seems likely that the newly formed union of copper workers, whose strength
has previously, been untested, may be in a position to bargain successfully,
with the government as a result of the present strike movement -.- which has been
reportedly caused by the companies' rejection of the unionrs demands.
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