CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/04/26

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02733121
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: March 18, 2019
• Document Release Date: March 28, 2019
• Publication Date: April 26, 1951

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26 April 1951
Copy No.C-
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
1 I DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. 01-{ANMI'D TO. TS S 0
NEXT RE.VihyV DA t L:. .--
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AUTH: Hfi 70-2
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
USSR
FAR EAST
3. Chinese Communist - North Korean .air potential (page 4).
. NEAR EAST
5. Iranian Minister of Interior plans repressive action against
leftist students (page 5).
6. Israel transshipping industrial diamonds to Soviet Bloc (page 6).
,EASTERN EUROPE
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Comment: It is possible that the figure 1301 000
may represent the strength expected to be in forward areas in the near
future. At present five of the eight North Korean Army Corps are be.-
lieved subordinate to Advance Headquarters. Five North Korean Army
Corps at full strength would total about 150, 000 officers and men. None
of the corps in the forward areas is believed to be at full strength.
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3. Chinese Communist - North Korean air potential:
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In an estimate of Chinese Communist - North 3.3(h)(2)
Korean air potential, the Intelligence Staff of
the US Far East Command states that the
enemfs recent intensification of his defensive
air effort along the Sino-Soviet border may be
due to the increased pilot proficiency of Chinese and North Korean
trainees. The Far East Command estimates that from 150 to 200
Chinese can now be considered as qualified jet pilots. (No estimate on
North Korean jet pilots is given.) It notes that the future large scale
commitment of enemy air forces is suggested by the enemy's continued
patient effort to maintain operational airfields in North Korea. The
estimate concludes that the "enemy definitely retains the capability of
expanding his (defensive) effort over a considerably broader area, of
switching to the offensive and of conducting limited airborne operations.
Moreover, a sudden change in operational policy could be made without
warning and at any time he so choose/
Comment: The increased number of Soviet-
type jet fighter and light bomber aircraft operating within Manchuria,
and the con- 3.3(h)(2)
tinued efforts to maintain air facilities in North Korea indicate Commu-
nist intentions to utilize his air force in the near future.
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On 18 April the US Air Force, Washington,
estimated that there are approximately 700 enemy aircraft now operating
in the Manchuria-Korea area. Of these, approximately 115 are con-
ventional-engined fighter and ground attack planes operated by North
Korean pilots. Of the other 585 aircraft, about 220 are believed to be
jet fighters; some of these are operated by Chinese and others by Soviet
pilots (the number of each is not known).
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5. Iranian Minister of Interior plans repressive action against leftist
students:
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The son of Iranian Minister of the Interior
Zahedi has informed the US Embassy in Tehran
that In the immediate future his father plans (a)
to close all schools and universities in Tehran
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to force a re-registration of students and, by this maneuver, to elimi-
nate known Communist sympathizers, (b) arrest a considerable number
of Tudeh Party members who participated in a recent parade he had
prohibited and exile some of them to southern Iran, (c) install agents
in the schools and universities to counteract Communism. Zahedi's
son also stated that his father was angered by police inefficiency and
was planning a shake-up in the police organization and in the gen.. -
darmerie.
Comment: Although both the Shah and the
Prime Minister have shown a desire to clamp down on the pro-Soviet
Tudeh agitators, it is doubtful that the present government is able to
take effective action. Only recently the government prohibited street
demonstrations; yet they have been held. Moreover, the Tudeh Party
itself has long been officially banned, but its organization continues and
its activities have increased in recent months.
6. iIsrael transshipping industrial diamonds to Soviet Bloc:
In commenting on Israel's transshipment of
priority materials to the Soviet sphere, the
US Ambassador in Tel Aviv recognizes the
possibility that the re-export of such items
as diamonds and diamond' tools "may be reaching serious proportions \!.�
However, on the basis of conversations with Israeli Government
officials and economic officers attached to various foreign missions
in Tel Aviv, the Ambassador concludes that Western European coun-
tries, with the "partial exception" of the UK, have not taken effective
action to prevent the re-export of their products and do not appear to
be aware of the US concern over this matter.
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Comment: Israeli transshipment of certain
high-cost materials to the Communist world is well-known and has
been periodically scrutinized by US officials. Israel has for some time
conducted a flourishing re-export business with the Soviet Bloc in
pharmaceutical and antibiotic materials (penicillin, streptomycin,
etc.,), as well asi.industrial diamonds and diamond tools. In the absence
in
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of any legal limitation, Israel will probably continue this very profit-
able re-export of strategic materials to ,the Soviet Bloc, particularly
since certain Western European countries are also maintaining this
trade.
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