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CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0
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May 1, 1985
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Directorate of Intelligence Inter-Korean Proposals and Dialogue: An Analytical Chronology EA 85-10094 May 1985 Copy 2 7 6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Directorate of Secret Intelligence Inter-Korean Proposals and Dialogue: An Analytical Chronology This paper was prepared byl Office of East Asian Analysis. Comments the Chief, Northeast Asia Division, OEA, and queries are welcome and may be directed to Secret EA 85-10094 May 1985 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Overview hdormation available as of 22 April 1985 was used in this report. Inter-Korean Proposals and Dialogue: An Analytical Chronology North and South Korea will be no closer to their respective goals for a re- unified nation as they mark the 40th anniversary of their division this year. The gap between the two societies and political systems continues to widen, making most outside observers view "peaceful reunification" as unrealistic. Emotional and political. attachment to the idea; however, remains strong on both sides of the Demilitarized Zone. The two Koreas held unsuccessful talks during 1972-73 and 1980; last year, they embarked on their third round of direct public discussions. It is a halting dialogue so far and progress is elusive Motivations in Pyongyang Kim 11-song's determination to reunite the peninsula under his leadership has been the prime objective of North Korean foreign and domestic policy. The record attests to P'yongyang's considerable efforts, ranging from the outright attack on the South in 1950 and attempts on the life of two South Korean presidents to a fitful dialogue with the South during the 1970sF_ A number of considerations appear to be behind P'yongyang's current 25X1 interest in negotiations. North Korea has been trying over the past year to engage the United States in direct contacts through a tripartite formula involving South Korea. The North Koreans want to negotiate an end to the US troop presence in South Korea-long viewed as the key deterrent to a North Korean attack on the South. The North takes the view that on military matters the United States exercises ultimate authority in the South, hence the need for direct discussions with Washington: nonmilitary issues. ? North Korea reads into Washington's position the prospect for tripartite discussions in the future if the inter-Korean dialogue gets under way on In our view, other considerations play a role in P'yongyang's thinking as well, including developments that appear to be working against the North's interests: ? Seoul's economic success and close ties to the United States give it most of the economic and political cards, and P'yongyang may feel compelled to renew discussions in an effort to.regain some initiative. Secret EA 85-10094 May 1985 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 ? P'yongyang may also feel it is losing ground in the region, particularly as China improves its ties with Japan and the West. Greater flexibility in the Sino-Soviet relationship is another new element in North Korea's operating environment. As Kim 11-song, 73, moves ahead with his 12-year campaign to groom his son, Kim Chong-il, to replace him, internal developments appear to be playing a role as well. the elder Kim may feel obliged to implement potentially controversial foreign policy changes before pass- ing the baton. On the economic side, North Korea ended its 1978-84 Seven-Year Plan considerably short of its goals. This can'only aggravate P'yongyang's concern over the growing economic gap with the South. ... And in Seoul South Korea has been far more willing to meet North Korean initiatives head-on since President Chun took office in 1980. Once North Korea indicated its interest in discussions during the delivery of flood relief in September last year, Seoul almost immediately produced three proposals of its own. President Chun appears to have a good grasp of the emotional at- tachment to the idea of a reunified Korea and of the political advantages that accrue to him when he leans forward on the issue: Seoul's positive approach toward opening up a dialogue with the North helps strengthen Seoul's standing among allies and friends, especially in Washington and Tokyo. ? South Korea undoubtedly has its eye on other considerations, including international gatherings such as the 1986 Asian Games and 1988 Summer Olympics, which it wishes to stage with broad participation. To the extent that Seoul appears forthcoming toward P'yongyang, it dimin- ishes potential Communist obstacles to attending those events in Seoul. Even so, Seoul fears that the risks in fostering dialogue may be greater than the potential gains: ? It is particularly concerned that a North Korea that is seen as less threatening will parlay talks with the South into direct contacts with the United States. Secret iv Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret ? Seoul both fears a lessening of the US security commitment and opposes any warming of US-North Korean relations without something in return from P'yongyang's Communist allies in Moscow and Beijing. ? Recently he has proposed a more modest beginning in which Japan and China initiate overt and reciprocal trade links with the two Koreas. Cross =Recognition Proposals South Korean concern that efforts to reduce tensions not benefit North Korea disproportionately, in our view, underlies Chun's interest in cross- recognition-a plan calling, for Chinese and Soviet recognition of Seoul in exchange for US and Japanese recognition of P'yongyang. Chun seems to realize that full diplomatic recognition of the two Koreas by the major powers is an unrealistic objective at this stage and is advocating a two- tiered process beginning with Japan and China, bringing in the United States and the Soviet Union later: In focusing first on China and Japan, Chun is seeking to capitalize on China's unofficial contacts with South Korea and at the same time to slow Japanese moves toward North Korea: ? China's growing contacts with South Korea are especially evident in nonpolitical areas. In 1984, trade between Seoul and Beijing-most of it still indirect-rose to an estimated $675 million. The two sides have dealt on an official level to handle hijacking incidents over the past two years, and South Korean athletes and officials now regularly attend internation- al gatherings in China. ? Opposition parties and business interests in Japan have increased unoffi- cial contacts with North Korea over the past six months, and there are signs of behind-the-scenes efforts that could lead to an exchange of private trade offices between the two countries. Outlook Both sides held preliminary discussions in November 1984 on potential economic and humanitarian exchanges. The defection of a Soviet diplomat- ic trainee to the South at Panmunjom in late November prompted the North to postpone the next set of discussions scheduled for December. In January, P'yongyang again postponed contacts using the pretext of the Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 annual US-South Korean military exercise Team Spirit. With the winding down of Team Spirit in early April, P'yongyang indicated its willingness to resume the dialogue: ? Official economic talks,.which could lead to some low-level trade, are set for 17 May in Panmunjom. ? Semiofficial Red Cross talks, due to convene on 28 May in Seoul, and thereafter to alternate between the two capitals, will focus on issues regarding divided families. The months since the current round of talks began have brought changes in South Korean domestic politics that could affect the way Seoul and P'yongyang negotiate. With the emergence of a confrontational opposition in South Korea, domestic politics have entered a new period of tension and uncertainty. The leadership in Seoul probably will develop a more defen- sive mentality and heighten its suspicion about P'yongyang's intentions. For its, part, the North will be carefully reading developments in the South for any openings it might exploit: ? North Korea's proposal early this month for interparliamentary contacts, which would embrace South Korean opposition politicians, is an early indicator of this approach. ? Seoul may yet respond favorably, if only to be seen as flexible, but it will view such talks as having no utility and chiefly increasing the likelihood of polarizing domestic debate over its approach to the inter-Korean dialogue. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Chronology 1945-66: Emergence National division, abortive efforts to reunify the peninsula under UN and Consolidation of formulas, and finally Kim I1-song's bid to reunify Korea by force during Separate Governments '1950-53 give way to a period during which the two Korean states consolidate themselves politically and economically. South Korea, empha- sizing "economic construction first, reunification later," lacks as fully articulated a reunification policy as North Korea. P'yongyang floats proposals for a confederation of the two Koreas and pursues a strategy of strengthening North Korea's political, economic, and military might while attempting to build an underground Marxist-Leninist political organiza- tion in the South. Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 15 August 1945 Korea liberated from Japanese rule; Soviet forces occupy area north of 38th Parallel, US forces occupy area south 1945-47 Five-power trusteeship plan and US-Soviet Joint Commission on Korea founder in face of opposi- tion by non-Communist elements.F__1 14 November 1947 UN Resolution to hold elections throughout Ko- rea in May 1948; UN Temporary Commission on Korea is set up to supervise the elections, but Soviets deny access to North Korea 10 May 1948 Elections held in South Korea to select a Constit- uent Assembly, which convenes on 31 May, elects Syngman Rhee speaker, and drafts a constitution that it promulgates in JulyF 25X1 24 July 1948 Syngman Rhee inaugurated South Korean Presi- dent Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 15 August 1948 Republic of Korea proclaimed.F__1 25X1 9 September 1948 North Korean Communists establish the Demo- cratic People's Republic of Korea in Pyongyang. 11 December 1948 UN General Assembly declares the Republic of Korea the sole legitimate government on the Korean Peninsula.) 30 May 1950 General elections held in the South for the 2nd National Assembly.F__-] 7-19 June 1950' North Korea floats series of peaceful proposals regarding joint meetings and assemblies with South Korea; in retrospect, a "peace offensive" prior to the military offensive the subsequent week. ~~ . 25 June 1950 North Korea launches an invasion of the South. UN Security Council calls for immediate end to hostilities and withdrawal of North Korean forces. 7 July 1950 UN Security Council establishes unified UN command under a US commander in chief; 16 UN members contribute forces to the command. 2 November 1950 China intervenes on the North Korean side] 27 July 1953 Armistice ends Korean war. Seoul fails to sign. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 27 October 1953 US-South Korean mutual defense treaty signed in Washington.0 25X1 April-June 1954 Geneva Conference on Korean Question ends without progress (see appendix A for proposals). 19 April 1960 South Korean student protests spark ouster of 1954-57 P'yongyang issues series of proposals on steps toward reunification that are packaged together in August 1960 President Rhee 14 August 1960 Kim 11-song proposes North-South Confedera- tion (see appendix A). Elements parallel North Ko- rean proposals made during 1954-57. 14 August 1960 South Korean students call for united front to pave way for "nationwide" general elections; they urge new Prime Minister Chang Myon to pursue a positive unification policy. 24 August 1960 Prime Minister Chang calls for UN-sponsored elections to unify Korea. (see appendix A) F_ 5 May 1961 South Korean National Student League for Uni- fication of the People calls for march to Panmun- jom on 20 May for North-South student confer- ence. 16 May 1961 South Korean Maj. Gen. Park Chung Hee seizes power in military coup. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 23 October 1962 Kim 11-song repeats 1960 confederation proposal. January-July 1963 North and South Korean sports delegates discuss joint team for the 1964 Olympics without suc- cess. 15 October 1963 Park Chung Hee elected President in South Korea. 10 December 1963 P'yongyang proposes nonagression pact, standing committee for cultural exchanges, conference of North-South representatives 3 June 1964 South Korean normalization talks with Japan spark student protests; Park declares period of martial law 3 November 1964 Park Chung Hee states opposition to any unifica- tion formula except UN-sponsored elections. E 22 June 1965 South Korea-Japan Basic Treaty signed 8 September 1966 P'yongyang calls for North-South conference of political parties and social organizations to dis- cuss unification without outside interference; de- mands nullification of UN resolutions] 25X1 2 November 1966 President Johnson visits South KoreaF__1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret 1967-69: North Korea shifts to more militant tactics, pursuing"a military buildup in Confrontation earnest while seeking to generate political instability and guerrilla warfare in the South. DMZ incidents rise from 50 in 1966 to 629 in 1968. The North launches its unsuccessful raid on the Blue House and seizes the USS Pueblo.F----] 25X1 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 3 May 1967 Park reelected in South Korea. 25X1 21 January 1968 North Korean commandos attempt to attack the presidential mansion in effort to assassinate Park 23 January 1968 North Koreans seize USS Pueblo. F__1 25X1 1 March 1968 Seoul establishes the National Unification Board to handle North-South relations. 4 November 1968 North Korean commandos infiltrate east coast and terrorize a village.) 15 April 1969 North Korean fighters down US EC- 121 recon- naissance plane. F__] 25 July 1969 President Nixon states intention to reduce US military presence in Asia. 21-22 August 1969 Nixon-Park summit in San Francisco. F 25X1 20 September 1969. UN General Assembly passes pro-South Korean resolution on Korean unification.F__1 21 November 1969 President Nixon, Japanese-Prime Minister Sato note common "vital interest" in South-Korean security in joint communique Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment math of Cultural Revolution. 5-7 April 1970 Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai visits North Korea, repairs Sino-North Korean relations in after- 12 June 1970 The New York Times reports plans to reduce US troops in Korea; plan is officially announced 4 July; US-South Korean discussions open 11 July. 1970-73: Era of As detente unfolds, both Koreas exhibit concern that improving relations Dialogue among the major powers might lead to some form of political arrangement imposed from the outside. The two sides float initiatives leading to humanitarian contacts through the Red Cross societies, while secret political talks in both capitals culminate in the joint communique of 4 July 1972. Deep distrust and differing goals cause the dialogue to peter out after several more sessions in the fall of 1972. Lower-level contacts, however, continue within the Red Cross channel until 1978 and the South- North Coordinating Committee channel until 1975. Beyond merely seeking to head off an outside settlement, both sides see the dialogue as a means to pursue their own ends: ? For P'yongyang, the talks allow it to showcase its reunification policy, both to the South Korean people and the world at large. The contacts also hold out the prospect that reduced tensions might induce the United States to withdraw its troops from the South. Meanwhile, P'yongyang keeps its options open by engaging in a secret military buildup and digging infiltration tunnels. ? Seoul, by contrast, approaches the dialogue seeking to limit damage to its position-externally by not ceding the reunification field to North Korea and internally by preventing domestic opponents from exploiting the issue. Park Chung Hee ultimately uses the dialogue to consolidate and then extend his power at home under the Yushin Constitution. Inter-Korean Developments 15 August 1970 Park Chung Hee calls for peaceful North-South competition; asks P'yongyang to renounce use of force as prelude to North-South contacts (see Operating Environment appendix A). Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments 11 January 1971 Park's New Year's address warns South Koreans of dangers of public discussion of reunification. 12 April 1971 P'yongyang issues eight-point proposal for "peaceful reunification" that calls for a North- South political consultative meeting involving, representatives from political parties and public organizations (see appendix A) 8 July 1971 Seoul announces willingness to have direct con- tacts with Pyongyang and diplomatic relations with nonhostile Communist states, including China and the USSR Operating Environment 24 December 1970 South Korean National Assembly legalizes trade with nonhostile Communist countries.F___-] 25X1 countries to enter United Nations 18 January 1971 UN Secretary General U Thant calls on divided 3 February 1971 South Korean opposition leader Kim Dae Jung visits Washington; proposes four-power agree- ment to guarantee security of peninsulaF-1 25X1 troop reduction. 6 February 1971 South Korea and the United States agree to US fraud. 27 April 1971 Park elected to third term; narrowly defeats Kim Dae Jung amid allegations of widespread voting 1972. 16 July 1971 President Nixon announces plans to visit China in Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments. 6 August 1971 Kim-11-song announces : willingness to :meet with Park and hold North-South. meetin of political parties ans, social organization 12 August 1971 South Korean Red Cross proposes talks to dis- cuss separated families. North Korean Red Cross accepts proposal in principle 20 September 1971 North and South hold first session of preparatory Red Cross talks, which lead to 37 more contacts through June 1972 27 October .19.71 North Korean Red Cross delegation proposes agenda for full-dress talks, including mutual visits, letter exchanges, and notification and re= unification, of divided family. members. South responds with own six-point agenda proposal on 3 December Operating Environment North-South dialogue. 6 December 1971 Park declares state of national emergency in South owing to "changing international and do- mestic situation," particularly developments in. 10 January 1972 Kim 11-song tells Japanese press that a peace treaty between North and South should be con- cluded to replace armistice agreement and that armed forces on both sides should be cut if US troops are withdrawn. Kim also calls for political negotiations to resolve the unification question. 25X1 17 February 1972 Red Cross delegations agree to hold working- level meetings to finalize agenda and procedures for full-dress talks. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments May 1972 North and South Korean presidential envoys ex-, change secret visits in P'yongyang (2-5 May) and Seoul (29 May-1 June) 5 June 1972 Red Cross working-level talks produce agreed agenda for full-scale meeting 4 July 1972 Joint communique between the two Koreas re- veals secret visits, agreement to pursue unifica- tion independently and peacefully, to avoid slan- dering each other or launching armed provocations, to undertake various exchanges, to install a Seoul-Pyongyang hotline, and to estab- lish a South-North Coordination Committee (SNCC). 19 August 1972 North Korean political parties and public organi- zations call for conference of political parties and people of North and South to broaden discus- sions on reunification) August-September 1972 Seoul-P'yongyang linked by phone on 18 August; ceremonial full-scale Red Cross meetings held in P'yongyang on 30 August and Seoul on 13 Sep- tember. October-November 1972 Full-scale Red Cross meetings continue in P'yongyang (24 October) and Seoul (22 Novem- ber). North and South hold SNCC contacts in Panmunjom (12 October) and P'yongyang (2-4 November); these lead to first full-fledged meet ing in Seoul on 30 November and agreement to set up a permanent SNCC secretariat Operating Environment unveils restrictive Yushin Constitution 17 October 1972 Park declares nationwide martial law in South; Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 31 October 1972 Kim 11-song makes secret visit to China.F_~ 25X1 21 November 1972 South Korean referendum held on draft Yushin Constitution. 13 December 1972 Park lifts martial law in South Korea 27 December 1972 Yushin Constitution promulgated in South. North also announces new constitution, establishing post of president as head of state and designating P'yongyang the national capital, vice Seoul. F_ 5-7 March 1973 Seoul announces the first infiltration of North Korean agents since the 4 July communique and unprovoked North Korean shooting of two South Korean soldiers in the DMZ. 15-16 March 1973 Chilly atmosphere pervades 2nd SNCC meeting in P'yongyang; South Korean proposal for step- by-step approach toward reunification and North Korean alternatives for a peace treaty and mutu- al force reductions reveal widening gulf. F___] March-May 1973 5th full-scale Red Cross session held in P'yongyang (21-22 March), 6th session held in Seoul (9-10 May). 6 April 1973 North Korean assembly adopts letter to US Congress and other governments calling for end to US obstruction of dialogue, withdrawal of US troops, and end to military aid to South Korea. 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 18 May 1973 North welcomes proposal by South Korean oppo- sition party to reorganize SNCC into all-nation consultative organization. P'yongyang reiterates call for political consultative conference. 12 June 1973 3rd SNCC meeting held in Seoul 1973-79: Competing As the dialogue stalemates, each side floats proposals intended to engage Proposals the other's allies. Park declares an open-door policy of pursuing contacts with Communist nations and proposes dual entry into the United Nations. North Korea rejects Park's proposals, instead bidding for US attention by proposing a peace treaty with Washington. A US proposal for cross- recognition of the two Koreas by the major powers makes no headway. The Carter administration puts troop withdrawals in the picture, Park on the defensive, and North Korea hopeful of a breakthrough. Chinese-US normalization is the backdrop to a new but ultimately fruitless exchange of competing proposals from North and South. The United States and South Korea float a proposal for tripartite talks, only to be rejected by the North a few months before Park's assassination. Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 23 June 1973 Park Chung Hee declares special foreign policy for peace and unification; endorses dual member- ship in international organizations and an open- door policy toward nonhostile Communist coun- tries) 23 June 1973 P'yongyang charges that Park's statement over- rules North-South joint statement of 4 July 1972. North rejects dual UN entry; announces Kim 11- song's five principles for reunification: ? Withdrawal of US troops, end to arms race. ? Conclusion of North Korea-US peace treaty. ? North-South cooperation and conference of political and social organizations. ? Establishment of unified Koryo Federal Republic. ? Entry into United Nations as single entity. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments 11 July 1973 Red Cross talks stagnate after North Korea rejects proposal for reciprocal visits to grave sites. 28 August 1973 P'yongyang withdraws from SNCC meetings, cit- ing Park's 23 June statement and Kim Dae Jung's kidnaping. Intermittent working-level contacts in SNCC channel continue until 1975-and in Red Cross channel until 1978-but no substantive progress results. 16 November 1973 P'yongyang demands suspension of special for- eign policy and release of imprisoned Communist sympathizers as precondition for resumption of SNCC talks.F___1 18 January 1974 Park proposes North-South nonagression pact; rejected by North on 26 January. 29 May 1974 Red Cross representatives agree to resume working-level sessions on 10 July. Operating Environment naped in Tokyo. 8 August 1973 South Korean dissident Kim Dae Jung is kid- disrupting the economy (14 January). January 1974 Park declares emergency measures Nos. 1 and 2, prohibiting opposition to constitution (8 January), and emergency measure No. 3 against actions 23 March 1974 P'yongyang proposes peace treaty between the at controlling student unrest. 4 April 1974 Park proclaims emergency measure.No. 4 aimed 25X1 r 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments 21 June 1974 International Red Cross on behalf of South Korea proposes that senior Red Cross delegates resume meetings in Geneva. North rejects out- side interference 22 June 1974 Park states four-point proposal for reunification: ? Normalization of SNCC and Red Cross talks. ? Conclusion of North-South nonagression pact. ? Mutual admission to the United Nations. ? Seoul to pursue open-door policy without regard to ideology 10 July 1974 First working-level Red Cross meeting at Pan- munjom. North calls for reaffirmation of five principles in North-South joint statement, and rejects outside interference. 15 August 1974 Park narrowly escapes assassination attempt by North Korean agent at Liberation Day ceremo- ny; Mrs. Park is killed. 15 August 1974 Park's Liberation Day speech includes three- point proposal for reunification: ? Conclusion of North-South nonagression pact. ? Dialogue and exchanges to build mutual trust. ? Korea-wide democratic elections to achieve reunification. 15 November 1974 Seoul announces discovery of North Korean infiltration tunnel) 29 May 1975 P'yongyang says it will not participate in 11th SNCC vice cochairmen's meeting scheduled for 30 May. Operating Environment Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment June-November 1975 North takes harsher tone in Red Cross working- level meetings. On 14 November North Korean Red Cross publishes statement accusing South of actions aimed at "completely wreaking" the talks. Rallies in South Korea call for mutual visits to ancestral graves (14-24 November). 3 July 1975 North demands, on anniversary of 4 July joint statement, that Seoul reject US interference, demand US troop withdrawal, and eliminate political control measures. P'yongyang also states that sincere dialogue will be possible only when a "patriotic democratic figure" takes office in South, but in subsequent statement on 14 July North claims that door is not closed to negotia- tions with Seoul authorities. 27 December 1975 Park revokes emergency measure No. 3 on eco- nomic stability. 31 March 1976 Seoul proposes meeting of chief delegates to discuss deadlocked Red Cross talks. P'yongyang rejects proposal on 7 April 22-23 July 1976 US Secretary of State Kissinger proposes four- way talks to discuss Korean question. Seoul urges P'yongyang and Beijing to accept. 18 August 1976 North Korean soldiers attack UN Command tree- cutting squad at Panmunjom, killing two US officers. 30 August 1976 P'yongyang severs North-South hotline. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 30 September 1976 Secretary Kissinger in UN speech proposes North-South meeting in preparation for four- way talks. 12 January 1977 Park offers food aid to North, states nonopposi- tion to US troop withdrawal if nonagression pact is concluded 1 February 1977 North rejects proposal by South's SNCC co- chairman to discuss nonagression agreement. 11 February 1977 P'yongyang rejects Seoul's offer to hold eighth full-dress Red Cross meeting in Panmunjom if P'yongyang cannot agree to meeting in Seoul. 19 March 1978 P'yongyang postpones working-level Red Cross talks indefinitely.F---] 23 June 1978 Park proposes civilian consultative body on North-South economic cooperation.F - - - ] 23 October 1978 Japan-China Peace Treaty signed 1 January 1979 US-Chinese relations normalizedF-l 25X1 19 January 1979 Park calls for resumption of North-South talks without preconditions. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments 23 January 1979 North Korea proposes four-point program for opening a National Congress. February-March 1979 P'yongyang's fielding of Democratic Front for the Unification of the Fatherland representatives to hold discussions with Seoul's SNCC delegates shows North Korea's lack of interest in negotia- tions; discussions fail. 21 December 1979 South Korean Interim President Choi Kyu Ha calls for resumption of North-South dialogue.[ 11 January 1980 South Korean Amateur Sports Association pro- poses sports exchanges with North and joint teams for international competitions Operating Environment resume Red Cross talks. 1-10 July 1979 During summit meeting in South Korea, the United States persuades a reluctant South Korea jointly to propose tripartite discussions with North Korea; Park also calls on the North to tor Kim Jae Kyu. 26 October 1979 Park Chung Hee is assassinated by KCIA Direc- 12 December 1979 . , South Korean Maj. Gen. Chun Doo Hwan leads successful coup against Army command.F--] Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret 1980: A Short-Lived North Korea sees Park's departure as a new opportunity and tests the Thaw waters.by proposing prime-ministerial talks as well as a conference on reunification. This marks the first time either Korea uses the official name for the other side. As Chun Doo Hwan emerges as the South's new strongman, P'yongyang clearly loses interest in dialogue and working-level meetings grind to a halt in September Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 12 January 1980 North Korean Premier Yi Chong-ok proposes meeting with South Korean Prime Minister Shin Hyon Hwack; first use of official title for Repub- lic of Korea; North Korean Vice President Kim Il sends letters to South Korean leaders proposing conference on reunification. 24 January 1980 South Korean Prime Minister Shin proposes working-level meetings to arrange prime minis- ters' conference; first working-level session held at Panmunjom on 6 February_~ 12 September 1980 South Korean Red Cross chairman urges North Korean counterpart to resume plenary meetings. 24 September 1980 North Korea unilaterally suspends working-level contacts for prime ministers' meeting. quells riots in Kwangju. 17-27 May 1980 Nationwide martial law is declared in South Korea following demonstrations against military government; Kim Dae Jung is arrested; the Army 27 August 1980 Chun Doo Hwan retires from South Korean Army, is elected President by National Assembly. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 1980-83: The Battle Kim I1-song launches a new campaign for a confederal republic at the for the Initiative on Sixth Korean Workers' Party conference in October 1980, and an assertive Reunification Chun moves quickly to eclipse the North Korean initiative by proposing a summit meeting the following January. Chun elaborates on this proposal and a year later offers 20 confidence-building measures. For both sides, these proposals remain the keystone of their unification policies. From P'yongyang's perspective a number of developments erode its position during this period: the return of South Korean political stability and economic performance; stronger US-South Korean relations; and Seoul's diplomatic successes-extending even to growing informal contacts with China and the Eastern Bloc. Chun's visit to Burma in October 1983 presents the North with an opportunity to remove the South Korean leadership, but the assassination attempt in Rangoon fails and North Korean culpability becomes evident Inter-Korean Developments 10 October 1980 Kim 11-song presents proposal at Sixth Party Congress to form a Democratic Confederal Re- public of Koryo (see appendix B) but refuses to discuss idea with Chun government. 12 January 1981 Chun's New Year's policy statement proposes North-South summit without preconditions, P'yongyang rejects proposal. 6 February 1981 P'yongyang rejects UN Secretary General Wald- heim's support for Seoul's proposed North-South summit proposal. 5 June 1981 Chun repeats summit offer; suggests sports, aca- demic, and cultural exchanges as "trustbuilding measures." Operating Environment Washington. 2 February 1981 Presidents Reagan and Chun hold summit in Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 19 June 1981 South Korean Olympic committee proposes forming joint team for 1984 games. 6 August 1981 North Korean political parties and social organi- zations propose conference with counterparts to accelerate unification. South Korean Govern- ment leaders are not invited. 30 September 1981 International Olympic Committee selects Seoul to host 1988 Summer Olympics. 25X1 25 November 1981 Asian Games Federation selects Seoul as site for 1986 games; Pyongyang withdraws candidacy shortly before voting. 22 January 1982 Chun's New Year's policy statement unveils for- mula for North-South reconciliation (see appen- dix B); invites P'yongyang to participate in con- sultative conference for national reunification to draft a unification constitution. 1 February 1982 Seoul proposes 20 pilot projects to build trust between South and North. Pyongyang rejects idea on 10 February 12 August 1982 South Korean Red Cross urges North to resume Red Cross meetings on problem of separated familiesF___1 15 August 1982 Chun announces that Koreans living in any Communist country can freely travel to and from South Korea. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 13 October 1982 Soviet press, cultural officials visit South Korea for first time to attend international conference. 1 January 1983 Kim 11-song tells Japanese reporter it is incon- ceivable that China or the Soviet Union could recognize the "illegitimate" .authorities in Seoul. and defects to Taiwan. 19 October 1982 Chinese pilot flies his MIG-19 into South Korea 18 January 1983 P'yongyang proposes "working-level" meeting between North's political parties and social orga- nizations and counterparts in the South, includ- ing the ruling Democratic Justice Party 1 February 1983 Seoul proposes North-South conference of repre- sentatives of government, political parties, and social organizations to discuss summit meeting and "other issues." Nakasone. 11 January 1983 Chun and Japanese Prime Minister Nakasone hold summit in Seoul; announce agreement on Japanese economic assistance package to South Korea; Chun raises cross-recognition issue with reducing measure. 6 February 1983 South Korean Foreign Minister Lee and Secre- tary of State Shultz discuss cross-recognition. Secretary Shultz on 8 February moots four- power cross-recognition as possible tension- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 26 February 1983 Asian press carries reports that the United States is to relax diplomatic guidance on contacts with North Koreans. 11 March 1983 South Korean Unification Minister states South and North must compete in development race "to win the right" to decide unification issue. F 26 April 1983 Seoul announces preparation of draft constitu- tion for a unified Korea. 27 April 1983 Seoul says P'yongyang's teams welcome to play at 1986 Asian Games and 1988 Olympics. nese reporter 5 April 1983 Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Qian Qichen rejects cross-recognition idea in remarks to Japa= sone. 9 April 1983 Kim 11-song asks Egyptian President Mubarak to convey P'yongyang's desire for direct dialogue with the United States to Prime Minister Naka- 25X1 12 April 1983 Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Kapitsa publicly rejects cross-recognition idea.F____-] , - 25X1 ing in Seoul in October 1 May 1983 Interparliamentary Union confirms annual meet- jacking of Chinese airliner. 9 May 1983 South Korean and Chinese officials conclude unprecedented direct negotiations to resolve hi- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment July 1983 South Korea broadcasts monthlong program to reunite South Korean families separated since 6 July 1983 South Korean Red Cross proposes resumption of North-South talks on divided families 24 July 1983 P'yongyang agrees to reconvene Red Cross meet- ings if South Korean Red Cross demands US troop withdrawal and Chun's resignation. F__1 7 August 1983 Chinese pilot flies his MIG-21 into South Korea and defects to Taiwan 1 September 1983 Soviets shoot down Korean Airlines jet over Sakhalin Island.) 28 September 1983 Deng Xiaoping meets with Secretary Weinber- ger in Beijing; discussions touch on Korea 9 October 1983 Chun narrowly escapes North Korean assassina- tion attempt in Rangoon; 17 South Korean offi- cials killed. 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret 1984-Present: A North Korean bid for tripartite talks with Washington and Seoul Tripartite emerges through the Chinese virtually at the same time as the Rangoon in- Talks and a cident. Over the next year, North Korea presents an image of flexibility on Fitful Dialogue the question as it presses for a favorable response and seeks to repair damage to its international image. The goal, to engage the United States directly and remove US troops from the South, remains constant. North-South dialogue resumes when P'yongyang proposes discussions to field a joint team to the Los Angeles Olympics. The short leadtime and South Korean distrust of North Korean motivations work against progress during the three meetings held. North Korea announces it will join the Soviet-led boycott of the 1984 Summer Olympics as Kim 11-song is on a trip to the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, presaging greater attention by P'yongyang to its relations with Moscow. A few months later, a North Korean offer of flood relief and Seoul's acceptance of that offer set the stage for a new round of economic and Red Cross contacts. P'yongyang carefully paces the two sets of talks with an eye on the larger goal of tripar- tite talks. Seoul's attention, meanwhile, is increasingly distracted by domestic political problems and tensions in its relations with Washington that could make it less willing to take political risks in its dealings with the North. Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment ditions 11 October 1983 China forwards to the United States a North Korean proposal for talks with Washington on Korea; proposal is billed as being without precon- 6 November 1983 China reports both Burma's announcement blaming the North Koreans for the Rangoon bombing and P'yongyang's official denial of the charges. Moscow reports only the North's denial. Korean officials. 7 November 1983 Washington retracts more relaxed guidance is- sued 30 September on US contacts with North Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret . . Inter-Korean 'Developments, 6 December' 1983 Chinese pass to US off'icials' a North Korean proposal 'for tripartite talks.~ 10 January 1984 P'yongyang publicizes its 'talks' proposal after it is leaked in the South Korean press 11 January 1984 Seoul and Washington indicate two Korean sides must resolve'inter'-Korean questions directly. Seoul does not reject tripartite publicly but pre- fers broader multiparty format that would in- clude China 24 January 1984 ' North Korean Premier Yi Chong-ok sends letter' to "Seoul'authorities" urging participation in three-way talks 14 February 1984 South Korean Prime Minister Chin lee-Chong calls on P'yongyang to apologize for Rangoon bombing and urges summit, meeting. 7 March 1984' P'yongyang passes letter at Panmunjom; claims it is not wedded to particular talks format, but language casts Seoul as a junior partner. F 10 March 1984_ ?,.? South Korean' Prime.Minister Chin restates Seoul's support for North-South talks or an expanded multiparty formula Operating Environment our participation." 9 February 1984 Chinese Premier Zhao Ziyang at press confer- ence says, "China has not thought about partici- pation in talks and the DPRK has not suggested 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments 19 March 1984 South Korean news agency Yonhap cites a For- eign Ministry source that Seoul will not take part in three-way talks even if North Korea apolo- gizes for Rangoon and promises to treat the, South as an equal 30 March 1984 P'yongyang proposes joint team for Los Angeles Olympics in letter passed at Panmunjom. Seoul agrees, but raises Rangoon incident 9 April 1984 North and South Korean Olympic committee representatives meet for two hours, break up after South raises Rangoon, 1978 kidnaping cases. 10-28 April 1984 Both sides accuse other of scuttling sports talks. P'yongyang demands that Seoul not raise politi- cal issues. Sides finally agree to resume discus- sions on 30 April. Operating Environment . China;. Chinese previously had permitted a small number of Chinese to visit relatives in Korea. Hu Yaobang urges development of Japanese-North Korean ties, with China as possible go-between; Nakasone offers only "humanitarian contacts." 23-26 March 1984 Japanese Prime Minister Nakasone visits China. Premier Zhao Ziyang tells Nakasone that South Koreans will be allowed to visit relatives in he will visit North Korea in early May. 27 March 1984 Hu Yaobang tells North. Korean press delegation visit the Soviet Union in late May. 29 April 1984 P'yongyang, Moscow announce Kim II-song will Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments 30 April 1984 North and South Korean representatives trade charges at second round of sports talks. 25 May 1984 North and South Korean sides again trade accu- sations at third meeting to discuss joint sports team.F__1 2 June 1984 On final day for applications to Los Angeles Olympics, P'yongyang announces it will not par- ticipate; cites concern over safety of athletes and stalled North-South sports talks; does not refer directly to Soviet boycott. F_~ Operating Environment 4 May 1984 Hu Yaobang arrives in P'yongyang. 8 May 1984 Moscow announces it will boycott Los Angeles Olympics. and seriousness about tripartite talks 22 June 1984 Japanese press reports Kim 11-song's message to Nakasone via Sihanouk on 31 May. Kim states intention to reduce tensions, not invade South, attack. 25 June 1984 Zang Xianshan, Vice President of China-Japan Friendship Association, tells Japanese Socialist Party delegation that China would be in no position to support North if it launches attack on South, but would intervene if South launched the absence. 1 July 1984 Kim 11-song returns from six-week trip to Soviet Union, Eastern Europe; heir-apparent Kim Chong-il achieves new visibility during father's Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 5-10 August 1984 North Korean Premier Kang Song-san visits China on his first venture abroad as Premier; focus is on economic relations and media treat- ment suggests some differences existr_~ 6 August 1984 Seoul circulates aide-memoire that all but rejects any talks' format other than two way. 13 August 1984 President Chun releases to Taiwan the hijackers of a Chinese civil aircraft that landed in South Korea in May 1983. 17 August 1984 Seoul proposes sports talks be resumed. 20 August 1984 Chun, in annual press conference, proposes inter- Korean trade talks get under way.F__1 24 August 1984 South Korean Unification Minister presses Chun's proposal for trade; says a North Korean apology for Rangoon not a prerequisite for inter- Korean talks; emphasizes South Korean desire for two-way discussions. 25 August 1984 North Korea rejects Chun's call for trade talks. 27 August 1984 P'yongyang rejects Seoul's proposal to renew sports talks; insists on South Korean apology for failure of discussions during the spring.F-1 6-8 September 1984 Chun visits Japan; says Tokyo would be an acceptable venue for his 1981 proposal to meet Kim 11-song. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments 8 September 1984 In wake of torrential rain in South Korea, North Korean Red Cross offers relief to flood victims in the SouthJ 14 September 1984 South Korea accepts North's offer of flood relief; details are ironed out during contacts on 18-20 September. 25 September 1984 South Korean media, days before the flood relief transfer, leak news of North Korean Army rede- ployments closer to DMZ 29 September-4 October 1984 Transfer of flood relief goods from North to South takes place without incident; both sides agree to reactivate hotline (active 1972-76; 1980). Operating Environment year. 12 September 1984 South Korean dissident Kim Dae Jung announces he will return to South Korea by the end of the South Korea. 18-22 September 1984 Japanese Socialist Party leader Ishibashi visits P'yongyang; Kim 11-song transmits messages of flexibility on tripartite talks, suggests flood relief contacts could lead to other exchanges with since 1977 19 September-9 October 1984 North Korean Foreign Minister Kim Yong-nam travels to the United Nations; first such trip . status. 24 September 1984 . P'yongyang reports meeting between Kim Chong-il and Soviet Ambassador; first sign that Moscow acknowledges the younger Kim's special 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments 4 October 1984 South Korean Red Cross proposes both sides resume humanitarian contacts suspended since 1973; Seoul also proposes sports talks be re- sumed. 6 October 1984 Hotline between the two Koreas resumes opera- tion. 9 October 1984 South Korea unveils monument to victims on first anniversary of Rangoon bombing; Chun's statement calls for North Korean apology. 12 October 1984 South Korean Deputy Prime Minister sends letter to North Korean counterpart proposing trade, joint ventures. 16 October 1984 P'yongyang agrees to Seoul's trade proposal; sets 15 November as date for first session of economic talks. FI 30 October 1984 North Korean Red Cross accepts proposal to resume humanitarian contacts; proposes 20 November as meeting date to iron out arrange- ments for full plenary session in P'yongyang.F- Operating Environment P'yongyang. 15 October 1984 North Korea and Japan sign fisheries pact in Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 12-27 November 1984 Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Kapitsa visits North Korea to conclude border treaty; Soviet, North Korean media acknowledge his meetings with Kim 11-song on 20th and with Kim Chong-il on 23r 15 November 1984 First session of economic talks allows both sides to showcase their approaches: P'yongyang wants joint ventures and trade to proceed simultaneous- ly; Seoul prefers trade contacts broadening into cooperative efforts. 20 November 1984 Preliminary Red Cross contact occurs at Pan- munjom; both sides working toward next plenary in Seoul. 23 November 1984 Soviet diplomatic trainee visiting North Korea succeeds in defecting to South Korea but sparks a DMZ firefight. North Korea, South Korea trade recriminations in ensuing days. 27-29 November 1984 P'yongyang radio announces postponement of economic talks, set for 5 December, inevitable because of tense atmosphere, but holds out some hope that discussions could resume in January. 30 November 1984 P'yongyang, Beijing announce Kim II-song made an unofficial visit to China during 26-28 Novem- ber; issue of resuming the inter-Korean dialogue high on the agenda; some differences emerge in media treatment. 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment by suggesting Beijing as a venue. 11 December 1984 China relays a letter from North Korean Foreign Minister Kim to Secretary Shultz; letter at- tempts to inject new life into tripartite proposal 14 December 1984 P'yongyang radio broadcasts North Korean pro- posals that economic discussions resume on 17 January and Red Cross plenary meeting be held in Seoul on 22-25 January. 1 January 1985 Kim II-song's New Year's statement emphasizes progress in North-South talks; pledges patience in awaiting favorable response to tripartite pro- posal. nese to observe. 4 January 1985 Seoul, through UN Command, notifies North Korean side of dates for annual US-South Kore- an Team Spirit military exercise; reiterates long- standing invitation for North Koreans and Chi- guese Communist leaders. 7 January 1985 P'yongyang media campaign condemning Team Spirit reaches authoritative level when Kim 11- song characterizes the exercises as an affront to peace in a banquet he hosts for visiting Portu- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments Operating Environment 7 January 1985 Coordinated US-South Korean response to I 1 December proposal passed to Chinese in Wash- ington; Chinese Ambassador eventually accepts the response, which takes form of letter from South Korean Foreign Minister to Chinese coun- terpart. In essence, the response emphasizes in- ter-Korean contacts progressing further before multiparty talks ensue. 9 January 1985 P'yongyang uses Team Spirit to postpone Red Cross plenary; hints it will suspend next economic contact set for 17 January unless both sides hold vice ministerial meeting to overcome the Team Spirit "obstacle." 9 January 1985 Chun's New Year's address calls for progress toward high-level political discussions between two sides; establishment of liaison offices in respective capitals 16 January 1985 North Korean Vice Premier postpones economic meeting set for the next day; blames United States, South Korea 3 February 1985 Diversion of US-manufactured helicopters to North Korea is revealed, creating new tensions in US-South Korean relations. 8 February 1985 Dissident Kim Dae Jung returns to South Korea. Airport fracas involving Americans leads to re- sentment against US interference.? 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Inter-Korean Developments 25 March 1985 Seoul urges resumption of economic talks on 18 April, convocation of Red Cross session in Seoul on 15 April. Operating Environment treme unpopularity. 12 February 1985 South Korean parliamentary elections give oppo- sition leadership to New Korea Democratic Party (NKDP) backed by Kim Dae Jung and Kim Young Sam; campaign underscores Chun's ex- early resignation. 6 March 1985 Seoul lifts remaining political bans, including that on Kim Dae Jung, and releases Kim from house arrest. NKDP president calls for Chun's ship, solidarity. 12 March 1985 Kim 11-song's message to new Soviet leader Gorbachev praises North Korean-Soviet friend- fect. 22-28 March 1985 South Korea negotiates with Chinese over return of Chinese naval vessel taken over by two muti- neers in South Korean territorial waters. Seoul returns vessel and crew in exchange for official, properly addressed apology; South Koreans fi- nesse whether mutineers were attempting to de- since KAL shootdown. 27 March 1985 Soviet skaters tour South Korea. First Soviet visit 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Inter-Korean Developments 4 April 1985 North Korea proposes to hold Red Cross talks in Seoul on 28 May and resume economic talks on 17 May. Seoul accepts. 9 April 1985 North Korea proposes interparliamentary talks with South Korea to work out a nonaggression pact outside tripartite forum; sends letters to speaker of the National Assembly and all party presidents. 19 April 1985 Seoul calls for resumption of North-South sports talks. Operating Environment efforts to strengthen ties with Moscow. 16-23 April 1985 North Korean Foreign Minister Kim Yong-nam visits Soviet Union. P'yongyang takes lead in publicizing joint communique; break with long- standing practice of not issuing joint communi- ques provides further evidence of North Korea's dent. 18 April 1985 North Korean press delegation visits Japan at invitation of JSP; first visit since Rangoon inci- to attend international conference 22 April 1985 South Korean diplomats visit China for first time Washington. 25-27 April 1985 Chun Doo Hwan makes official working visit to Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Appendix A Historical Proposals - April 1954 Post-Armistice Geneva Conference (ended without progress). North Korea ? Establish All Korea Commission (AKC); equal representation for P'yong- yang and Seoul. ? Elections for All Korea National Assembly supervised by AKC. ? All foreign troops to withdraw within six months. South Korea ? Establish elected national legislature; representation proportional to population. ? Supervision of elections in North by United Nations; in South under existing South Korean Constitution. ? Chinese forces to withdraw before elections. ? UN forces to remain until political stability is restored. ? UN guarantee for integrity and independence of unified Korea. August 1960 North Korea (14 August-eve of 15th anniversary of liberation) ? Loose confederation based on all-Korea elections; alternately, with full autonomy for both sides. ? Establishment of Supreme National Committee to coordinate cultural and economic development; alternately, lower-level Joint Economic Committee. ? Withdrawal of US forces; mutual force reduction to 100,000 men each. South Korea (24 August) ? Unification through free and democratic elections under UN supervision. ? Creation of unified committee after elections. ? Economic and cultural exchanges after elections. ? Unified Korea must preserve democracy and civil rights. North Korea (12 April 1971) ? Conference of all political parties, North and South, to discuss confederation. ? Confederation as transitional step, leaving separate social systems intact prior to complete reunification. ? Offer to begin North-South talks at any time at Panmunjom or in third country. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 ? Resignation /ouster of Seoul government headed by Park Chung Hee as precondition to negotiations (dropped after President Nixon visited China). ? Withdrawal of US troops. South Korea (15 August 1970-25th anniversary of liberation) ? Gradual removal of North-South barriers. ? Peaceful competition in various fields. ? Nonopposition to North's presence at UN debate on Korea issue if P'yongyang accepts UN authority. ? Dialogue conditional on end to North Korean provocations and P'yong- yang's renunciation of efforts to overthrow Seoul government. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Appendix B Current Proposals North Korea Formation of a Democratic Confederal Republic of Koryo (DCRK), announced by Kim 11-song at the Sixth Party Congress of the North Korean Workers' Party, October 1980. Initial Steps ? Democratization of South Korean politics. ? Repeal of South Korea's anti-Communist laws. ? Conclusion of a US-North Korea peace treaty and withdrawal of US troops from the South. ? A North-South conference of representatives of political parties and social organizations to discuss formation of the DCRK. Organization of the DCRK ? Creation of a Supreme National Federal Assembly with equal represen- tation for North and South. ? Creation of a Standing Committee under the assembly to serve as a united government of the confederal state. ? Recognition and acceptance of the ideologies and systems of North and South. ? Separate regional governments in. North and South with local autonomy within the limits of the interest and demands of the entire nation. Administrative Guidelines for the DCRK ? Adherence to independent national policies. ? Pursuit of democracy and great national unity. ? Economic cooperation toward an independent national economy. ? Cultural and educational cooperation. ? Traffic and communications between North and South. ? Pursuit of economic well-being for the entire people. ? Creation of a combined national army. ? Coordination of foreign activities. ? Peaceful, nonaligned foreign policy; friendly relations with all countries. South Korea Peaceful Reunification Through National Reconciliation and a Democrat- ic Process (Chun Doo Hwan's New Year's policy statement, January 1982). Initial Steps ? A North-South summit meeting to discuss reunification issues without preconditions. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Provisional Agreement on Basic Relations ? North-South relations to be based on equality and reciprocity, pending unification. ? North and South to renounce violence and resolve problems through dialogue and negotiation. ? North and South not to interfere in each other's political order and social institutions. ? North and South to maintain existing armistice arrangements pending measures to end military confrontation. ? North and South to open their societies to each other progressively- including free travel and cooperation in technical, cultural, and economic fields. ? North and South to respect each other's treaties until unification is achieved. ? North and South to appoint plenipotentiary envoys to deal with liaison issues. Unification Formula ? Formation of a Consultative Conference for National Reunification (CCNR) to draft a unified constitution. ? Democratic referendum throughout North and South to ratify the constitution. ? Democratic general elections under the constitution to form a unified government. ? Establishment of a unified democratic republic pursuing the ideals of nationalism, democracy, liberty, and well-being. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0 Secret Secret Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/07: CIA-RDP04T00447R000200750001-0