(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP97-00770R000100720001-3
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: January 12, 2017
• Document Release Date: May 16, 2011
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 19, 1986
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EE186-026
19 December 1986
Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
This publication is prepared for the use of US Government
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Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
 Economic & Energy
Indicators
Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
-2.3
-3.2
0.3
3.3
3.9
-0.1
10.6
-5.3
-6.7
16.2
-2.6
-1.5
1.1
2.5
0.5
-5.8
6.2
9.2
0
-8.4
-3.9
2.1
3.9
1.3
4.8
3.5
-1.3
6.1
6.8
9.0
-1.6
-3.1
-3.2
3.3
1.2
11.7
6.1
-13.1
-42.2
73.1
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
 I. I . I
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b 7.1 6.6
11.2
7.0
9.1
Japan 3.7 7.1
3.7
2.8
5.0
West Germany 1.1 3.6
10.2
3.3
4.4
France 12.2 13.9
8.8
United Kingdom NA NA
13.0
14.7
16.7
Italy 11.2 11.6
15.1
12.3
13.7
Canada 3.8 0.7
10.1
3.4
4.2
Based on amounts in national currency units.
n Including MI-A and MI-B.
France 7.6 8.4
8.6
9.7
10.0
United Kingdom 10.0 11.6
10.7
11.1
11.3
Italy 8.4 9.1
9.9
10.4
10.5
Canada 7.5 11.1
11.9
11.3
10.5
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3dQtr
Sep
Oct
7.9
16.8
18.4
10.0
15.0___
7.6
9.4
9.6
2.3
7.7
9.8
11.3
7.4
6.0
9.4
19.5
0.5
7.7
-10.3
21.4
24.2
30.7
98.1
-14.1
8.4
2.7
-4.4
-2.1
15.6
19.4
13.5
9.8
10.1
10.2
10.2
10.2
11.5
11.6
11.6
11.5
11.5
11.3
9.7
9.6
9.7
9.4
9.4
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United States b
Exports 233.5
Imports 261.0
Balance -27.5
212.3
244.0
-31.6
200.6
258.4
-57.9
218.0
326.3
-108.3
213.2
346.2
-133.0
53.0
91.6
-38.6
53.2 55.3
88.1 93.3
-34.9 -38.0
18.2
29.3
-11.1
19.0
29.8
-10.8
Japan
Exports 149.6
Imports 129.5
Balance 20.1
138.2
119.6
18.6
145.4
114.0
31.4
168.0
124.1
43.9
173.9
117.9
55.9
47.8
29.9
17.9
51.4
29.1
22.3
53.9
28.2
25.7
18.4
9.6
8.8
18.2
9.8
8.4
West Germany
Exports 175.4
Imports c 163.4
Balance 11.9
176.4
155.3
21.1
169.5
152.9
16.6
171.9
153.1
18.8
184.2
158.9
25.3
55.2
45.0
10.2
60.8
47.7
13.2
63.4
48.4
15.0
22.2
17.5
4.7
21.9
17.9
4.1
France
Exports 106.3
Imports 115.6
Balance -9.3
96.4
110.5
-14.0
95.1
101.0
-5.9
97.5
100.3
-2.8
101.9
104.5
-2.6
30.4
30.3
0.1
29.8
30.9
-1.1
32.4
32.1
0.3
11.0
11.4
-0.4
11.0
11.0
0
United Kingdom
Exports 102.5
Imports 94.6
Balance 7.9
97.1
93.1
4.0
92.0
93.3
-1.3
93.7
99.4
-5.7
100.9
103.5
-2.6
26.2
28.3
-2.1
26.9
29.3
-2.4
26.1
30.6
-4.5
8.9
10.2
-1.3
8.8
10.0
-1.2
Italy
Exports 75.4
Imports 91.2
Balance -15.9
73.9
86.7
-12.8
72.8
80.7
-7.9
73.5
84.4
-10.9
78.8
90.8
-11.9
23.4
26.2
-2.8
24.4
24.3
0.2
25.1
24.4
0.7
8.5
9.1
-0.6
9.1
9.7
-0.6
Canada
Exports 70.5
Imports 64.4
Balance 6.1
68.5
54.1
14.4
73.6
59.3
14.3
86.6
70.6
16.0
88.1
75.3
12.8
22.0
20.2
1.7
21.2
19.3
1.9
21.6
20.3
1.4
7.4
6.5
1.0
7.4
6.8
0.6
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr 3d Qtr
Aug
Sep
Oct
United States 6.3
-8.1
-46.6
-106.5
-117.7
-34.0
-34.7
Japan 4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
49.2
12.7
23.1 24.2
7.1
9.1
8.3
West Germany -6.8
3.3
4.3
6.7
13.8
6.9
8.3 8.0
2.0
3.3
4.0
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.7
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
Italy
-7.8
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-0.3
Canada
3.9
-2.0
0.2
-0.4
-3.5
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Sep
Oct
-0.4
1.7
5.2
3.8
-4.0
26.1
24.9
12.0
-19.5
40.7
16.6
30.3
8.5
24.6
33.7
-0.6
-2.6
7.2
-6.4
-5.5
-15.8
26.3
6.2
19.9
1.7
-14.0
2.6
-10.8
41.9
8.9
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
-7.0
-10.2
-1.2 -4.1 36.3
Japan
3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
-4.3
-5.3
-49.2
-12.6 15.1
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
10.0
-11.6
5.9 2.1 14.4
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
-0.5
2.4
- 8.2 8.9 -11.3
Italy
1.0
-5.3
-6.6
-3.7
-1.0
10.1
-20.0
- 1.5 95.6
Canada
8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
-8.9
3.6
- 7.0 8.5 17.8
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 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9 -3.0
1.7 20.8
-5.9
-12.7
-31.2
-0.2
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6 -8.6
30.1 14.5
24.2
8.0
17.9
-12.3
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.1 -5.4
-6.9 5.7
-0.3
-3.9
-0.7
1.2
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
6.38
5.98
5.68
5.68
5.65
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
11.08
9.03
NA
8.57
NA
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.41
7.91
6.99
6.31
6.23
6.05
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 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Oct Nov
Bananas 214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 109.8 108.5 109.0 NA 108.5
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (0 per pound) 89.8 74.3 92.1 106.2 98.7 95.7 82.6 90.8 90.6 87.4
Coffee ($ per pound) 1.28 1.40 1.32 1.44 1.43 2.01 1.73 1.61 1.62 1.57
Corn 150 123 148 150 125 116 116 89 81 84
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 0/lb.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled, 632 481 514 514 484 453 352 294 295 303
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans 288 244 282 283 225 218 213 199 197 203
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound)
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(t per pound)
Wheat 210 187 183 182 169 172 158 126 131 137
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Food Index a (1980=100) 88 78 86 92 81 95 94 82 81 83
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
73.3
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
517.0
600.0
600.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
291.0
383.1
420.1
510.8
570.0
527.3
41.7
40.1
44.1
46.6
44.8
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
6.1
5.9
5.2
5.3
5.7
5.6
Steel Scrap a ($ per long ton)
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
74.4
74.0
71.8
73.8
73.2
_
74.2
Tin a (0 per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
357.4
250.5
244.9
250.7
271.2
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
41.5
35.4
28.5
33.8
37.5
40.2
36.9
Lumber Index a
(1980= 100)
95
84
114
105
103
100
121
113
110
114
Industrial Materials Index f
85
71
82
(1980=100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Penang market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
a Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
f The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
55,837
53,092
52,625
53,674
52,931
54,244
55,196
56,347
57,426
58,081
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
39,758
40,473
41,597
42,673
43,278
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
15,022
14,301
14,308
14,808
14,593
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
8,898
8,816
8,808
8,800
8,653
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
1,480
1,450
1,541
1,571
1,500
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,711
2,429
2,196
2,599
2,563
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
856
664
848
935
904
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,077
942
915
903
973
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,556
7,891
7,964
7,745
7,987
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,376
2,477
2,547
2,536
2,567
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
758
786
753
583
781
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,422
4,628
4,664
4,626
4,639
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
17,180
18,281
19,325
20,120
20,698
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
602
600
600
600
600
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
275
300
300
300
265
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,223
1,250
1,230
1,220
1,298
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
1,890
2,100
2,200
2,200
1,700
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,732
1,667
1,800
1,800
1,800
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
1,000
1,067
1,200
1,150
1,150
370
317
390
410
355
276
253
300
410
465
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,417
1,563
1,490
1,505
1,715
405
328
295
399
302
352
300
360
400
400
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
4,256
4,650
5,100
5,700
6,200
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,287
1,388
1,505
1,505
1,535
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,541
1,547
1,570
1,560
1,900
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,397
14,417
14,239
14,486
14,723
14,750
14,753
14,803
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,350
11,540
11,723
11,760
11,790
11,840
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,280
2,496
2,506
2,557
2,557
2,530
2,530
Other
411
410
412
409
393
440
443
433
433
433
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United Kingdom
1,325
1,345
1,290
1,624
1,402
1,290
1,483
1,447
1,426
1,331
1,323
1,309
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,507
1,710
1,842
1,520
1,495
1,345
1,329
1,481
1,363
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,342
1,336
1,348
1,168
1,235
1,297
1,357
1,370
1,358
Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,426
3,201
3,329
2,993
3,000
3,701
3,872
4,675
4,648
4,826
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,377
3,126
4,273
3,673
3,469
2,756
2,798
2,918
3,359
West Germany
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,284
1,321
1,258
1,429
1,285
1,340
1,256
1,413
1,484
France
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,395
1,476
1,430
1,420
1,383
1,608
1,235
1,454
1,268
1,491
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OPEC Average a 30.87 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 26.17 22.59 22.33 22.75 22.76
(Official Sales Price)
------------------------
World Average Price NA NA NA NA NA 27.16 20.55 13.65 12.80 13.97 14.23
A F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
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 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
Average Crude Oil Sales Price?
34.50 33.63
30.87 1779
N v
o a
N N
29.31 28.70 27.16
The 1973 price is derived from posted prices; 1974-84 prices are derived
from OPEC official sales prices; and, beginning in 1985, prices are a
measure of average world sales prices.
Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
 Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3
Approved For Release 2011/05/16: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100720001-3