(UNTITLED)

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP97-00770R000100250001-5
Release Decision: 
RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
January 12, 2017
Document Release Date: 
June 14, 2011
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 25, 1986
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP97-00770R000100250001-5.pdf392.55 KB
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Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Directorate of Intelligence Economic & Energy Indicators DI EEI 86-009 25 April 1986 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 This publication is prepared for the use of US Government officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to meet their specific requirements. US Government officials may obtain additional copies of this document directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. Requesters outside the US Government may obtain subscriptions to CIA publications similar to this one by addressing inquiries to: Document Expediting (DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gift Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Requesters outside the US Government not interested in subscription service may purchase specific publications either in paper copy or microform from: Photoduplication Service Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 (To expedite service call the NTIS Order Desk (703) 487-4650 Comments and queries on this paper may be directed to the DOCEX Project at the above address or by phone (202-287-9527), or the NTIS Office of Customer Services at the above address or by phone (703-487-4660). Publications are not available to the public from the Central Intelligence Agency. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Economic & Energy Indicators Industrial Production Gross National Product Consumer Prices Money Supply Unemployment Rate Foreign Trade Current Account Balance Export Prices in US $ Import Prices in US S Exchange Rate Trends Money Market Rates Agricultural Prices Industrial Materials Prices Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8 Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9 Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9 Crude Oil Prices 10 i Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate United States 2.6 -7.2 5.9 11.6 2.3 1.9 1.9 -8.2 -5.6 Japan 1.0 0.4 3.5 11.1 West Germany - _ 2.3 -3.2 _ 0.3 2.4 4.5 1.7 France -2.6 -1.5 1.1 2.5 0.4 0 -8.7 19.9 United Kingdom -3.9 - 2.1 3.9 1.3 4.6 0.7 8.1 21.9 Italy -1.6 -3.1 -3.2 3.3 1.2 -1.8 _ 36.7 23.1 Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate Year 2d Qtr 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Ist Qtr United States 2.5 -2.1 3.5 6.5 2.2 1.1 3.0 0.7 3.2 Japan - - 3.0 7.2 West Germany France 0.2 1.8 0.7 1.6 1.2 3.7 2.1 2.0 United Kingdom -1.4 1.9 3.3 2.6 3.3 6.4 -0.7 Italy Canada Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate United States 10.3 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.5 4.3 4.1 -4.6 apan 4 9 --------- ------- . 2.6 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.1 0.2 0 -6.6 West Germany 6.0 5.3 3.3 2.4 2.2 1.0 1.1 3.2 2.0 France 13.3 12.0 9.5 7.7 5.8 3.2 -0.6 -3.1 1 8 United Kingdom 11.9 8.6 4.6 5.0 6.1 . 3.2 5.9 3.4 1 4 Italy 19.3 16.4 14.9 10.6 8.6 . 6.8 3.6 5.3 5 4 12.5 10.8 5.8 4.3 4.0 . 4.3 5.4 2.6 3.0 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Money Supply, M-1 a Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate United States 7.1 6.6 11.2 7.0 9.1 11.1 1.2 7.5 15.0 Japan 3.7 7.1 3.0 2.9 4.6 0 7.5 -8.3 West Germany 1.1 3.6 10.2 3.3 4.4 15.5 -15.9 10.1 U nited Kingdom NA NA 13.0 14.7 16.7 25.1 -7.6 1.8 34.6 Italy Canada Based on amounts in national currency units. Including M1-A and MI-B. Unemployment Rate United States 7.5 9.6 9.4 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.6 7.2 _ 7.1 Japan 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.6 _ ._ _ West Germany 5.6 7.7 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.2 France 7.6 8.4 8.6 9.6 9.9 9.7 10.2 10.4 10.5 United Kingdom 10.0 11.6 12.4 12.6 12.9 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.1 Italy Canada 7.5 11.1 11.9 11.3 10.5 10.2 9.8 9.8 9.6 ,, Unemployment rates for France are estimated. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Foreign Trade 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Year 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan Feb United States b Exports 233.5 212.3 200.7 217.6 213.3 52.6 52 4 Imports 261.0 244.0 258.2 326.2 345.8 85.4 . 91.6 31 0 31 1 Balance -27.5 -31.6 -57.6 -108.5 -132.6 -32.8 -39.2 . . Japan Exports 149.6 138.2 145.5 168.1 174.0 43.6 47.3 16 3 16 0 Imports 129.5 119.6 114.1 124.1 118.0 29.2 30.5 . 10 4 . 10 5 Balance 20.1 18.6 31.4 44.0 56.0 14.4 16.9 . 5.9 . 5.4 West Germany Exports 175.4 176.4 169.5 171.9 184.3 48.6 51.3 18 9 19 1 Imports 163.4 155.3 152.9 153.1 159.0 41.7 43.9 . 15 4 . 15 6 Balance 11.9 21.1 16.6 18.8 25.3 6.9 7.4 . 3 5 . 3 5 France Exports 106.3 96.4 95.1 97.5 101.9 26.2 28.8 . 10 2 . 10 3 9 9 Imports 115.6 110.5 101.0 100.3 104.5 27.0 29.2 . 9 7 . 10 3 . 10 2 Balance -9.3 -14.0 -5.9 -2.8 -2.6 -0.8 -0.4 . 0.5 . 0 . 0 4 United Kingdom Exports 102.5 97.1 92.1 93.6 100.9 25.8 27 3 8 9 8 8 . Imports 94.6 93.1 93.7 99.3 103.5 26.4 . 27.6 . 8 7 . 9 3 Balance 7.9 4.0 -1.6 -5.7 -2.5 -0.6 -0.3 . 0.2 . -0 5 Italy Exports 75.4 73.9 72.8 73.5 78.8 20.4 22 5 7 2 . 8 6 Imports 91.2 86.7 80.6 84.3 90.7 21.3 . 26.0 . 8 9 . 9 4 Balance a -15.9 -12.8 -7.8 -10.9 -11.9 0.9 -3.5 . -1.6 . -0.8 Canad Exports 70.5 68.5 73.7 86.5 88.0 __ 21.8 22.5 7 7 7 2 Imports 64.4 54.1 59.3 70.6 75.7 19.6 19.6 . 7 0 . 7 0 Balance 6.1 14.4 14.4 15.9 12.3 2.2 2.9 . 0.7 . 0.1 Seasonally adjusted. Imports are customs values. Imports are c.i.f. Current Account Balance 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 United States -8.1 -46.0 -107.4 Year -117.7 3d Qtr -29.3 4th Qtr -36.6 Dec Jan Feb Japan 20.8 35 0 49.2 13.1 16.0 6.8 I.9 3 9 West Germany - 3.3 4.2 6.0 13.7 2.0 7.0 2.8 1.4 . 3 0 France -4 7 -12.1 -4.9 -0.8 0.6 0 0.8 . United Kingdom 15.3 8.5 4.5 1 3 4.0 1.5 1.3 0.7 I.6 0 4 Italy - .6 -5.7 0.6 -3.2 . Canada 2.1 1.4 1.9 -1.9 -1.1 -0.9 Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market rates of exchange. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 ..I I I Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Export Prices in US $ United States 9.2 1.5 1.0 1.4 Japan 5.5 -6.4 -2.4 0.2 West Germany -14.9 -2.8 -3.2 -7.1 France -12.0 -5.5 -4.8 -2.9 United Kingdom NA NA -6.2 -5.1 Italy -7.8 -3.0 -4.4 5.2 Canada 3.9 -2.0 -1.3 -8.3 Import Prices in US $ Percent change -front previous period at an annual rate Year 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan Feb -0.6 -2.7 -2.0 0.3 11.0 0.6 5.8 _-- _ 38.6 24.2 111.0 0 37.5 44.6 32.1 59.4 2.5 35.8 30.8 2.3 30_1 13 8 11.3 -I . 6 0.3 21.1 34.8 -8.1 11.0 -10.3 Percent change front previous period at an annual rate United States 5.3 -2.0 -3.7 1.7 --- Japan 3.6 -7.4 -5.0 -2.8 West Germany -8.6 --4.7 -5.2 -4.8 -------- France -7.8 -7.2 -7.0 3.8 United Kingdom NA NA -5.7 -4.5 Italy 1.0 -5.3 -6.6 -3.7 Canada 8.7 -1.1 -3.2 -4.9 Year 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan Feb -2.4 = 0.1 2.9 5.0 13.4 4.3 2.8 3.2 16.5 46.8 -1.5 19.6 27.2 6.5 4.6 0.3 18 9 0.5 17.3 8.3 -13.6 2.0 -1.0 7.4 24.2- -6.4 12.4 -9.6 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Exchange Rate Trends Percent change from previous period at an annual rate 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Year 4th Qtr Jan Feb Trade-Weighted United States 10.5 10.6 5.8 9.1 6.3 -15.4 -16.0 Japan 9.3 -5.7 10.4 6.2 6.8 69.1 -5.0 West Germany -2.1 7.0 5.8 1.0 1.7 11.6 6.5 France -5.1 -6.1 -4.7 -2.1 2.7 11.8 4.1 United Kingdom 2.5 -2.1 -5.0 -2.5 2.0 -6.5 -39.5 Italy _ -9.2 -5.1 -1.6 -3.1 _ -3.8 4.5 6.3 Canada 0.3 0.2 2.3 -2.3 -3.6 -12.1 -14.7 Dollar Cost of Foreign Currency Japan 2.7 -12.9 4.6 0 -0.3 42.9 14.1 West Germany -24.6 -7.2 -5.2 -11.5 -3.3 32.1 27.4 --France -28.7 -20.8 -15.9 -14.7 -2.7 31.6 26.3 41.0 United Kingdom -13.2 -13.4 -13.3 -11.9 - -3.0 17.8 -12.8 -0.3 Italy -32.8 -18.8 -12.3 -15.6 8.6 26.3 29.6 40.9 Money Market Rates 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Year 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan Feb United States 90-day certificates of deposit, secondary market -- Japan loans and discounts (2 months) West Germany interbank loans (3 months) 5.78 5.96 5.40 4.86 4.81 4.63 NA France interbank money market (3 months) 15.47 14.68 12.51 11.74 9.97 9.81 United Kingdom sterling interbank loans (3 months) 12.21 11.67 11.60 12.05 NA Italy Milan interbank loans (3 months) 20.13 20.15 18.16 15.91 14.95 14.37 14.52 14.79 NA Canada finance paper (3 months) Eurodollars 3-month deposits Mar 23.7 40.3 26.2 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Agricultural Prices Bananas Fresh imported. (rota) world, $ per metric ton) Beef Ic er pound) p Australia (Boneless beef, f.o.b. US Ports) United States (Wholesale steer beef, midwest markets) Cocoa (c per pound) Coffee ($ per pound) Corn (US tt3 yellow, f Rotterdam $ per metric ton) Cotton (World Cotton Prices, "A" index, c.i.f. Osaka, US c/lb.) Palm Oil (United Kingdom 5`9,, bulk, c.i.f., S per metric ton) Rice ($ per metric ton) US (No. 2, milled, 4`7 c.i.f. Rotterdam) Thai SWR (100`7, grade B c.i.f. Rotterdam) Soybeans (US ax2 yellow, c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton) Soybean Oil (Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill. $ per metric ton) Soybean Meal (US, c.i.f. Rotterdam $ per metric ton) Sugar (World raw cane, f.o.b. Caribbean Ports, spot prices 0 per pound) Tea Average Auction (London) (e per pound) Wheat (US 42. DNS c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton) Food Index ,~ (1980= 100) 214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 lstQtr NA Jan 109.4 Feb 109.3 Mar I'll 112.1 108.4 110.7 101.1 96.6 97.6 98.5 97.7 96.6 100.0 101.4 97.6 100.9 90.7 87.8 92.3 87.0 84.2 89.8 74.3 92.1 106.2 98.7 95.7 100.6 95.5 91.0 1.28 1.40 1.32 1.44 1.43 2.01 2.04 1.95 2.04 150 123 148 150 125 116 119 115 113 72.69 74.48 85.71 63.91 57.87 53.60 52.13 54.66 54.00 571 445 502 730 501 289 342 283 243 632 481 514 514 484 453 450 455 455 573 362 339 310 249 236 238 237 232 288 244 282 283 225 218 218 217 218 507 447 527 727 571 405 457 395 362 252 219 238 197 157 188 186 186 193 16.93 8.42 8.49 5.18 4.04 5.83 4.87 5.55 7.07 91.0 89.9 105.2 156.6 90.0 86.4 82.1 85.7 91.5 210 187 183 182 169 172 175 175 166 88 78 86 92 8) 95 95 93 97 The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3- year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Industrial Materials Prices 1st Qtr Jan Feb Mar Aluminum (? per pound) Major US producer 77.7 81.0 81.0 81.0 81.0 81.0 81 0 65.1 56.8 47.2 51.4 50.6 50.6 . 53 1 (South Africa chemical grade, $ -per metric ton) 50.0 50.0 43.9 40.0 40.0 40.0 . 40.0 Copper (bar, ? per pound) 79.0 67.1 72.0 64.2 64.5 64.5 64.2 63.8 65 6 Cold ($ per troy ounce) 460.0 424.4 360.0 317.2 342.6 343.1 338.9 . 345 7 Lead .' (? per pound) 32.9 . Manganese Ore (48'7( , Mn. $ per long ton) 82.1 79.9 73.3 69.8 68.4 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 Nickel ($ per pound) - - - - - 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3 2 3 2 LME Cash 2.7 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.8 . 1 8 . 1 9 Platinum ($ per troy ounce) . . 475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 475 0 475 0 Metals week, New York dealers' price 326.7 - 422.6 358.2 291.0 383.1 362.6 . 373.8 . 413.0 Rubber (? per pound) Synthetic b 47.5 45.7 44.0 44.4 44.1 NA 43.9 42.8 NA Natural cf a AC A - 56.2 49.6 42.0 41.7 40.7 42.5 42 0 Silver ($ per troy ounce) 10.5 7.9 6.0 5.9 . 5.7 Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton) 92.0-63.1 73.2 86.4 74.4 NA Tin a (? per pound) 641.4 581.6 590.9 556.6 543.2 357.4 NA 385.6 329 2 Tungsten Ore (contained metal, $ per metric ton) 18,097 13,426 10,177 10,243 10,656 8,673 8,588 8,745 . 8,687 $ per long ton) Zinc (? per pound) 38.4 33.7 34.7 41.5 35.4 28.5 29.4 27 6 28 4 Lumber Index (I 980=100) 95 84 114 105 103 NA NA . 104 . NA Industrial Materials Index r (1980=100) 85 71 82 76 69 68 66 68 Approximates world market price frequently used by major world producers and traders, although only small quantities of these metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin prices from the Penang market. S-type styrene, US export price. Quoted on New York market. d Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago. I This index is compiled by using the average of I I types of lumber whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction costs. The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for 18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 World Crude Oil Production Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 1982 1983 1984 1985' 1986, 1981 Year 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Dec Jan 837 55 092 53 52 633 53,691 53,356 52,373 55,015 55,051, 53,757---- world , , , 471 9 Non-Communist countries 41,602 38,810 38,228 39,257 38,692 37,588 , 40,707 40,760 3 083 15 tries d l 886 12 13,276 13,864 14,302 14,730 14,643 , 14,958 14,860_ coun ope Deve , 572 8 658 8 680 8 8,735 8,933 8,954 8,933 8,936 8,942 United States , , , 285 1 270 1 356 1 1,411 1,457 1,444 1,500 - 1,480 1,476 Canada , , , _ _ 811 1 094 2 299 2 2,535 2,533 2,399 2,607 2,481 2,734 Unitcd Kingdom , , , Norway 501 518 614 700 785 823 870 870 839 1 Other 717 736 915 921 1,022 1,023 1,072 1,073 _ ,_ _ Non-OPEC LDCs 6,036 6,633 6,823 7,515 7,845 7,922 7,888 7,915 _ 7,678 Mexico 2,321 2,746 2,666 2,746 2,733 2,738 2,721 2,733 860 2,510 860 598 665 689 827 874 890 856 -- kgypt -- 4 308 Other 3,117 3,222 3,468 3,942 4,238 4,294 4,31_1_--- 4,322- , OPEC 22,680 18,901 17,541 17,440 16,117 15,023 17,861 17,985 16,710 Algeria 803 701 699 638 645 616 660 650 650 Ecuador 211 211 236 253 280 282 287 290_ 300 Gabon 151 154 157 152 153 153 160 160 160 0 Indonesia 1,604 1,324 1,385 1,466 1,235 1,203 1,286 1100 1,20 I 381 1 2,282 2,492 2,187 2,258 2,335 2,301 2,400 1-,70 ran _ , 650 1 68 1 993 972 922 1,203 1,437 , 1,4821,666- --- , Iraq 947 663 881 912 862 800 899 900 ____'_1,000- Kuwait Libya 1,137 1,183 1,076 1,073 1,069 933 1,234 1,300 1,100 Neutral Zone 370 317 390 410 355 306 391 360 3 Nigeria 1,445 1,298 1,241 1,393 1,464 1,214 1,686 1,620_ 1,300 Qatar 405 328 295 399 302 312 312 335_ -400 Saudi Arabia 9,625 6,327 4,867 4,444 3.290 2,564 4,067 4,500 4,200 UAE 1,500 1,248 1,119 1,097 1,146 1,193 1,242 1,165 1,165 Venezuela 2,108 1,893 1,781 1,813 1,621 1,630 1,670 1,555 1,555 Communist countries 14,235 14,282 14,405 14,434 14,664 14,785 14,308 14,291 14,286 USSR 11,800 11,830 11,864 11,728 11,749 11,866 11,367 11,350 11,350 China 2,024 2,042 2,121 2,286 2.496 2,504 2,521 2,521 - 2,496- Other _ 411 410 420 420 419 415 420 420 440 Preliminary. 1, Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately. Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 1982 1983 1984 United States 16,058 15,296 Japan 4,444 4,204 West G 2 15,184 4,193 15,708 4,349 Year 2d Qtr 15,697 15,452 4,124 3,580 --------- 3d Qtr 15,557 3,839 4th Qtr 15,748 4,376 Jan 15,923 4,592 Feb 16,773 ermany ,120 2,024 France 1 744 1 632 2,009 1 2,012 2 077 2,034 2,258 2,018 , , United Kingdom 1,325 1,345 Italy n 1,705 1,618 Canada 1,617 1,454 ,594 1,290 1,594 -- --- --- 1,354 1,531 1,624 1,513 ------ 1,348 1,493 1,398 1,511 1,350 1,342 1,208 1,281 1,286 1.310 1,230 1,417 1,366 1,569 1,292 1,642 1,419 1,622 1,718 2,003 Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losse Principal products only prior to 1981. s Bi S g even: Crude Oil Imports Year 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Dec- Jan Feb United States 4,406 3,488 3,329 3 402 3 216 3 17 - - , , 1 3,662 3,640 3,329 2 993 Japan 3,919 3,657 3,567 3,664 3,377 3,003 3 619 , West Germany 1,591 1,451 1,307 1,335 1,28 4 1,248 1,210 1 15p- France 1,804 1,596 1,429 1,395 - 1,476 1,421 1,590 1,690 1,430 United Kingdom 736 565 456 482 444 Italy 1,816 1,710 1,532 1,507 1,166 Canada 521 334 247 244 31 1 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Year 4th Qtr Jan Feb Mar OPEC Average a 30.87 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 28.15 28.11 28.08 28.09 (Official Sales Price) World Average Price NA NA NA NA NA 27.16 27.36 24.81 20.32 17.05 F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume of production. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Average Crude Oil Sales Pricea US S per barrel 11.29 11.02 11.77 12.88 12.93 3.39 1973 74 75 76 77 78 I 'The 1973 price is derived from posted prices, 1974-84 prices are derived from OPEC official sales prices, and beginning in 1985, prices are a measure of average world sales prices. Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100250001-5