NEWS SUMMARY

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9
Release Decision: 
RIPLIM
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
August 9, 2010
Sequence Number: 
18
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 5, 1972
Content Type: 
CABLE
File: 
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PDF icon LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9.pdf576.98 KB
Body: 
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 a w r O 05053OZ DEC 72 ZYH ZFF"1 ZFF-4 FM THE WHITE HOUSE PARIS ZEN UNCLAS W1? 98?2 TOHAK 32 NEWS SUMMARY DECEMBER 5, 1972 (MONDAY NETS, WIRES, MASS) THE MAJOR STORIES` OF THE DAY: TWO HAITHO SESSIONS LED ALL NETS, WHICH HAD FILM OF WAVES AS SMILES FROM BOTH SIDES, ALONG W/" ALMOST" BLACK CAT THAT ALMOST STOLE THE SHOW AS IT MADE ITSELF AT HOME CIO HAK S CAR DURING SESSIONS. NBC NOTED SPECULATION THAT 15665 PROGRESS IS BEING MADE OR FULL NEGOTIATING TEAMS WOULDN'T HAVE BEEN PRESENT AT 2ND SESSION.... OTHER NETS ALSO NOTED WIDESPREAD EXPECTATIONS AND OPTIMISM THAT THIS WILL BE THE FINAL WEEK OF TALKS.... ABC' S SILL TOLD OF THE "PERSONAL AND VERY CLOSE CONTROL" THAT RN HAS TAKEN OVER THE TALKS. ? NBC FILM AS SVN" S LAM INSISTED SVN WILL ACCEPT NOTHING LESS THAN WRITTEN AGREEMENT OF A TOTAL NVA WITHDRAWAL, FROM SVN, THO DETAILS COULD BE WORKED OUT LATER. IN WHAT REPORTER SAID WAS 1ST PUBLIC DISCLOSURE OF THIS ASPECT OF SECRET TALKS, LAM SAID HAK HiAD OFFERED NVN SEVERAL FORMULAS FOR WITHDRAWAL BUT ALL HAD EEEM REJECTED BY HANOI. LAWS REMARKS DIDN'T SOUND LIKE SVN. S SOVTFUI NB ON DEMANDS. SAID REPORTER. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 25X1 1 - ALL. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 ILATION THAT MOVE WAS TO HELP MIN FOR POTENTIAL RACE FOR ADLAI III' S SEAT IN '74. ALL NETS NOTED LAIRD SAID DOD' S FY ' 74 BUDGET WILL TOP S80 g, $4 B OVER 73,. W/MOST INCREASES DUE TO PERSONNEL. LAIRD, ON NBC, SAID HE WILL EXPLAIN TO NATO THAT NOW IS NOT THE TIME FOR U1IILATERAL CUTS IN LIGHT OF MBFR TALKS. NOW IS THE' TIME TO BE STRONG AND SHOW COMMITMENT TO NATO, SAID LAIRD. ALLENDE ON CBS/ABC FILM ISSUING SHARP BLAST FROM UN AT MULTINATIONALS, ESPECIALLY ITT FOR IMPERIALISM AND AGGRESSION AGAINST CHILE. ABC REPORT ON THE "UNUSUAL TURNABOUT" AS IRA IN IRELAND ARE FLEEING NORTH AS THE "'TERROR HAS FINALLY COME HOME TO THE SON;lC H." REPORT EMPHASIZED LACK OF POPULAR SUPPORT FOR. IRA IN IRISH REPUB- LIC AND THE IRONIC FACT THAT IRA-FOUNDER DE VALERA SIGNED THE CRACKDOWN MEASURE. ABC SAID IRISH REPUBLIC MAY LOOK BACK W/FOND NOSTALGIA ON IRA BUT IT WANTS PEACE AND QUIET NOW, NOT HHE VIOLENCE IROUGHT BY .IRA. ON FILM CONOR CRUISE O'BRIEN SAID IRA CAN SURVIVE ONLY DUE TO FOREIGN SUPPORT. - KK SMITH COMMENTED ON..THE INCREASED TREND TO A "COMITY" AMONG NATIONS. ? NBC/CBS FILM OF GOP GOVERNORS CONFERENCE. CLOSED DOOR SESSION WVP AGNEW WAS CALLED "FRIENDLY AND NON-POLITICAL" BY WVERNORS, IN COMPARISON TO POST-'70 ELECTION' SESSION WHEN THE VEEP WAS CRITICIZED BY SOME GOVERNORS. NBC FOCUSED ON GOP DISCONTENT W/WH-1701 WHILE CBS FOUND PARTY LEADERS CONSIDERABLY HAPPIER THAN OTHE REPORTS HAVE INDICATED. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 1 ...say. c..w.?aaww 1s.Nf i.f.. AB' No Objection to Declassification in Part.2010/08/09.:wLOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 NESSON NOTING JDE AND OTHER WH AIDES REFUSED TO TESTIFY ON WOUNDS OF EXEC. PRIVILEGE, SO WHOLE STORY OF HANDLING MAY NEVER BE PUBLIC KNOWLEDGE. LOESCH, ON NBC, DENIED DECISION NOT T O USE FORCE WAS WH ONE, SAYING IT WAS ADMIN. DECISION ABOUT WHICH MORTON WAS ADVISED AND CONCURRED WITH. MORTON EMPHASIZED THAT`THO THERE WAS DISORDER, THERE WASN'T ANY B;OGDSHED. ABC SAID DECISION TO SACRIFICE BUILDING AND AVOID MASSACRE WAS APPROVED. BY RN. SCHORR, AT WATERGATE PRE-TRIAL, SAID DEFENSE SEEMED TRYING TO MINIMIZE PUBLICITY, BUT JUDGE SIRICA DENIED MANY MOTIONS. WILL SUBPEONA UNPUBLISHED PORTIONS OF LA TIMES INTERVIEW V' BALDWIN BUT PAPER SAYS IT' LL NOT PROVIDE THEN. "BIG SURPRISE' IS THAT PROSECUTION WILL ATTEMPT TO TRACE $114,008 IN RN CAMPAIGN FUNDS THAT ENDED UP IN BARKER' S ACCOUNT -- A MOVE THAT EXPANDS SCOPE OF CASE FROM JUST WATERGATE TO QUESTIONS REt PAYMASTERS AND/ FR INVOLVENEN1 OF "HIGHER-UPS." NBC/CBS FILM BACKGROUNDERS ON APOLLO 17 W/ALL GOING WELL FOR "SPECTACULAR" FOR WED. NIGHT LAUNCH- I NDOCHINA TOP STORY OF THE DAY, LED CHANCELLOR IS "WHAT COULD BE LAST ROUND OF TALKS BEFORE A CEASE-FIRE." NOTING COMPARISON OF STAFF COMPLEMENTS AT MORNING AND AFTERNOON SESSIONS AND STRICTLY HELD NEWS BLACKOUT, CHANCELLOR SAID FOR WHAT IT'S WORTH, ALL WERE SMILING AT THE END, AND SPECULATION IN US AND SVN IS THAT AGREEMENT WILL BE REACHED BEFORE XMAS. IN 1 NNNN No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 Ask a No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 0 9595302 DEC 72 ZYH ZFF-1 ZFF-4 FM. THE. WHITE HOUSE PAR IS ZEM UN LAS W} 8f2 SECTION TWO OF EIGHT TOHAK 30 NBC` S DOBYNS, NOTING THERE WAS 00 ANNOUNCEMENT OF AM. SESSION Bur THAT PRESS WAS WAITING FOR HAK, SAID HAK WAS -STILL IN A GOOD MOOD" AS HE ARRIVED. HAK, ON FILM, LIGHTLY SAID 1E THOUGHT THIS WAS TO BE A PRIVATE. SESSION. MEETINGS WERE PRIVATE, SAID DOBYNS, W/ A. M. SESSION APPARENTLY TO EXCHANGE INFO FROM RECESS. WHATEVER WAS DISCUSSED WAS KEPT TO iIIGOTIATORS, SAID DOBYNS, BUT ALL WERE SMILING AND WAVING THO NO ONE. WOULD. SAY ANYTHING AND THUY WAVED OFF QUESTIONS. NOTING FILL STAFF COMPLEMENT, AT AFTERNOON SESSION, DOBYNS NOTED THIS RAISED SPECULATION PROGRESS WAS BEING MADE, AND DOSYNS HILIGHTED HER UNCONFIRMED SPECULATIONS: 1) THAT RN WANTS SOME PEWS NOME BY XMAS AND THO HAS AGREED, AND 2) THAT AGREEMENT WILL BE INITIALED BY MID-DEC. AND SIGNED ABOUT 5 DAYS LATER. NOTING TOTAL HOURS HAK-THO HAVE TALKED SINCE NOV. 29, DOBYNS SAID NO- KNOWS IF ANYTHING HAS BEEN SETTLED BUT US MOOD OVER LAST WEEK HAS BEEN' DETERNINEDLY OPTIMISTIC. "..*CHANCELLOR NOTED LIKELIHOOD OF INFORMAL CEASE- FIRE BETWEEN INITIALING AND SIGNING. 1 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 FOLLENWTM 1411flM I_FAf THAT H.AK' S PARIS TRAIL WAS O "DOGGFT No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 BY HORDE OF REPORTERS AW CROSSED BY A BLACK CAT," KALISCHER, OVER FILM, NOTED DAY BEGAN AT 2 A. M. W/HAK WALK W/HAIG AND SULLIVAN.. TALKS HOPEFULLY WILL BRING AGREEMENT BEFORE XMAS, SAID KALISCHER, NOTING THE CAT WAS I ST INCIDENT SINCE THE MEDIA" S DISCOVERY OF SECRET TALK LOCATION TO CAUSE HAK TO REGISTER SURPRISE. KALISCHER SAW -W-AYES AND SMILES AS OTHER VIS- IBLE INDICATORS THINGS WERE GOING GOOD, BUT SAID HE WASN'T SURE IF IT WAS THE CAT OR PRESS THE "JINXED" THE A. M. SITE, AS TALKS MOVED TO NEW -- PLUSHEST SITE YET -- IN AFTERNOON. KALISCHER, IN CONTRAST TO NBC, SAID HAK AND TH0 WEREN'T SMILING AT END OF 2ND SESSION. WIDESPREAD- SPECULATION THAT TALKS COULD BE SUCCESSFUL, SAID ABC' S R.CLFSON BUT NO REAL INDICATION RY EITHER SIDE EXCEPT FOR DISPLAYS OF GOOD HUMOR.. CLIP OF HAK AS HE JOKED W/PRESS OVER. FINDING THE "SECRET" SITE. BIG SMILES ALSO FROM NVN SAID ROLFSON, BUT THOSE ARE UNRELIABLE INDICATOR AS THE. NEGOTIATORS HAVE SMILED EVEN WHEN THINGS HAVE GONE BADLY. NOTE OF 100 MPH DRIVE BACK TO HOTEL FOLLOWING PM SESSION IN THE "PASTORAL SCENE." ABC' S SILL SAID RN IS, IN EFFECT, IN "REMOTE CONTROL" OF TALKS. NOTE OF CABLES BACK AND FORTH AFTER 1ST MON. SESSION. RN WILL CONTINUE' TO DECIDE EVEN THE NUANCES, SAID GILL WHO NOTED THAT A CENTRAL AIM OF THIS NEW AND CLOSER RN" HAK CONTACT WAS TO DISPEL REPORTS OF ANY DIVISION BETWEEN THE 2 CVLR TERMS. TALKS WILL CONTINUE TO BE INTERRUPTED AS MUCH AS NECESSARY, SAID GILL TO ALLOW RN-HAK CONTACTS. BUT RN WILL NOT ALLOW ANY RIFT TO INTERRUPT HIS EFFORTS TO HAVE A FINAL ACCORD BY DEC. .15. CLIP OF RN CHOPPER LEAVING KB W/GILL NOTING CONTACT W/HAK REMAINS POSSIBLE WHILE IN AIR.... UPI SAYS INDICATION OF THE SENSITIVE STAGE OF THE DISCUSSIONS WAS REPORT THAT RN WAS IN CLOSE TOUCH W/HAK.... Ali AP SAYS THO THERE HAS PEEN TALK HAK MAY HAVE OVERPLAYED HIS HAND AS RN' S NO. I NEGOT IAT QR, THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGN FROM WH THAT HAK HAS LOST ANY DEGREE OF FAVOR W/RN. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 1 ASKED NCAD ri VT A o Objection ~to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-24DC*cu 7-9-18-9 BRIEFED BY THE US, "BUT CAN'T (30 INTO DETAILS IN THIS FINAL STAGE, USING ? FINAL" FOR THE FIRST .T IME, NOTED UPI.... NOTING LAM' S COMMENTS ON BRIEFING, CBS SAID LAN SAID HE WAS TOLD NEGOTIATIONS WERE IN FINAL STAGE. LAN THOUGHT A TREATY MIGHT. BE SIGNED SOON, BUT ADDED -WE CANNOT SAY IF IT WILL BE THIS WEEK OR LATER."... IN ADDITION TO REPORTING LAN S STATEMENTS RE: SVN' S DEMANDS FOR WRITTEN AGREEMENT ON NVA WITHDRAWAL, NBC'S KAPLAN SAID LAM STATED GV`N IS EQUALLY CONCERNED OVER COUNCIL, WHICH LAN SAID NVN IS TRYING TO TURN INTO REAL GOV' T OF SVN. LAM SAID THIS IS COMPLETELY (UT OF THE QUESTION. NOTINO REPORTS SUGGESTED SVN WAS SOFTENING, KAPLAN SAID NOTHING LAM SAID INDICATED THAT, NOR DID LAN SOUND LIKE A MAN REPRESENTING A GOVT. THAT WAS PREPARED TO HOW TO AN AGREEMENT IT DOESN'T APPROVE OF.... CHANCELLOR NOTED THAT DESPITE SVN" S PUBLIC STATEMENTS, US OFFICIALS VIEW THE TALKS AS STILL ON THE TRACK AND SEE AGREEMENT NEAR. THO SOME DISPUTE SPECULATIVE TIMETABLES, IT'S HARD TO FIND A KNOWLEDGEABLE US OFFICIAL WHO DOESN' T THINK AT LAST WE'RE CLOSE TO A CEASE+-FIRE, SAID CHANCELLOR. BT #2092 NUNN No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 i No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 0.05053OZ DEC 72 ZYH ZFFI ZFF4 FM THE WHITE HOUSE PARIS ZEN UNCLAS SECTION 3/8 TOHAK59 WHZ9802 TIN SONG AND 5 OTHER SAIGON DAILIES PRINTED NEARLY IDENTICAL Sr OR?IES QUOTING. " HI-RANKING GVN SOURCES" AS SAYING IT IS IMPOSSIBLE FOR A CEASE-FIRE SIGNING ON OR ABOUT DEC. 15. THEY SAID FOREIGN 'PRESS REPORTS TO THAT EFFECT ARE "COMPLETELY FALSE" AND "RIDICULOUS AND FABRICATED TO FOOL PUBLIC OPINION." THE PAPERS ACCUSED THE TIMES AND LE MONDE OF INITIATING A CAMPAIGN " AIMED AT CREATING AN ATMOSPHERE OF FALSE OPTIMISM," AND QUOTED LAN AS SAYING "THE US WILL NEVEF" SIGN ANY SEPARATE AGREEMENT OVER SAIGON'S OBJECTIONS. "I, DON'T BELIEVE RNN. WOULD WANT OR REQUIRE SUCH A THING," SAID LAM. PERCY TOLD LAN IF GYM REFUSES TO SIGN A TREATY THAT US AID COULD HE PLACED IN JEOPARDY, THE CHIC. NEWS SAYS. PERCY SAID HE WASN? T ACTING ON RN' S BEHALF. DELLLNGER SAID NVN TOLD HIM POWS MAY RECEIVE XMAS PRESENTS AND CARDS AGAIN, "LEADING TO VERY SAD CONFIRMATION THAT THE POWS WILL STILL BE IN HANOI" AT XMAS. DELLINGER HAS SERIOUS DOUBTS THE ADMIN. IS CARRYING OUT ITS PLEDGE TO END WAR AND HE ANNOUNCED NATL. "SIGN THE AGREEMENT NOW" CAMPAIGN. IF THE ACCORD ISN'T SIGNED BY XMAS, "THERE WILL BE VIGILS AND PROTESTS ALL OVER US ON XMAS WEEK," AND IF ACCORD ISN'T SIGNED BY JAN. 20, THERE WILL BE PROTESTS AT THE INAUGURATION. DELLINGER SAID THAT SINCE MAK' S "PEACE IS AT HAND" REMARK, THE ADNI N HAS BEEN "SITTING ON A VOLCANO." No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09 : LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 1 TIME .tnIPsc Al t TUC DC'Dt%DTC TWAT TAI ttt: UAf1 T1Ti'At!L[G'4ft Z]rAfl ND, No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 WORIGINAL AGREEMENTS, IN EFFECT, BEING TORN UP AND THIEU ABOUT TO BLOW UP ANY AGREEMENT, HE DIDN'T LIKE--"SO WENT THE OMINOUS REPORTS AS ANOTHER LULL IN THE BATTLE FOR PEACE INSPIRED NERVOUS SPECULATION. IN FACT, THE SITUATION WAS NOT AT ALL THAT SOUR." AND THERE WERE SOUND REASONS FOR CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM, ADDS TIME, NOTING SOME S. VIETS DESCRIBE HAY, AS "THE KING WHO TRAVELS AT NIGHT" IN TRIBUTE TO HIS TIRELESS COMINGS AND GOINGS. TIME SAYS THE WH EXPECTS THIEU TO ACCEPT AGREEMENT, ADDING RN REFUSED TO MEET W/THIEU BECAUSE THAT WOULD MAKE THIEU LOOK LIKE A US PUPPET OR' THAT HE WAS PUSHING RN INTO A TOUGHER STANCE. THUS THE ONLY RBA-THIEU MEETING CONTEMPLATED WOULD BE AS A FINAL GESTURE OF COOPERATION AFTER THE AGREEMENT OUTLINE IS FIRMED UP. TIME SAYS HAK WILL BE PRESSING TO MAKE UNWRITTEN UNDERSTANDING RE: N.VA W/DRAWAL MORE EXPLICIT. ANOTHER PROBLEM IS WHETHER THIEU WILL RELEASE ALL POLITICAL PRISONERS. THIEU APPARENTLY WILL HAVE TO SIGN OR LET US SIGN W/OUT HIM,, SAYS TIME, BECAUSE HE'S BEEN WARNED THE DER HILL ISN'T LIKELY TO VOTE ANY MORE FUNDS FOR GVN IF HE HOLDS OUT. MAO ALSO REPORTS ALREADY THERE IS SURPRISINGLY STRONG FEELING AMONG MANY POLITICOS AND INTELLECTUALS IN SAIGON THAT CEASE-FIRE IS IMMINENT AND THAT THIEU' S POSITION IS HOPELESS. YET, SVN PEASANTS AREN'T SO SURE THE YEARS OF FIGHTING WILL EVER END.. ONE SAYS: "PEACE? A CEASE- FIRE? LOOK AT OUR HOUSE. (BOMBED BY ARVN) THIS IS PEACE?" WHILE ANOTHER BELIEVES, "BOTH SIDES WILL JUST KEEP FIGHTING WHILE THE PEOPLE STAY IN THE MIDDLE. THEY TELL US TO PUT UP FLAGS. WE PUT UP FLAGS. THEY TELL US TO MOVE, WE MOVE." No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 1 1 " THE No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 NCWSWEEK STORY WHICH SAYS HAK REALIZED PEACE WAS NOT AS CLOSE AS HE HAD THOUGHT BEFORE HE FOUND THAT THIEU WOULDN'T BUDGE. YET, SAYS MAG, THERE ARE SIGNS THIEU HAS CHANGED COURSE AND IS RELUCTANTLY (LIP INS ABOARD. 'EMB'ARRASSED" BY HAK` S PREMATURE STATEMENT, THE WK WAS DOING EVERYTHING IT COULD TO ENCOURAGE (PT IMISM, BUT HOPEFUL HINTS WEREN'T COMING FROM THE US SIDE ALONG, SAYS NEWSWEEK NOTING THAT ALTHO THEY DENOUNCED US FOR DELAY, COMMUNISTS DIDN'T SEEN TO HAVE THEIR HEART IN IT. GVN, THINKING THERE WAS A SPLIT BETWEEN RN AND MAX, SEND DUC TO MEET 'W/RN PRIVATELY, BUT THE PLOY FAILED W/HAK SITTING INL THEIR MARATHON TALKS SUGGESTED STUDY OF AGREEMENT POINT BY POINT -+ AND THAT SVN HAD FINALLY ACCEPTED 'REALITIES,"' SAYS NEWSWEE16 STILL, IT WON SOME POINTS BY FORCING ADMIN TO TAKE A 2ND LOOK THE US GOT SOME "CLARIFICATIONS' FAVORABLE TO GYM AS HAK APPARENTLY FIRMED UP LANGUAGE ON NVA W/DRAWALS; GOT HANOI TO RESPECT THE DMZ, AND CLARIFIED DUTIES OF SUPERVISORY FORCES, #2 ISO 1 NNNM No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 0 05O55OZ DEC 72 ZYH ZFFI ZFF4 FM THE WHITE HOUSE PAR IS ZEM UNCLAS SECTION 4/8 TOHAK 30 WH29802 ALL THIS BROUGHT PEACE CLOSER THAN EVER BEFORE, SAYS NEWSWEEK, BUT EVEN IF HAK, AND THO COME TO AGREEMENT NOW, THE TALKS SEEM LIKELY TO END ON A MUTED NOTE -- W/NO FORMAL ANNOUNCEMENT, CEREMONY OR PUBLISHED TEXT. AND SOME WH AIDES BELIEVE' RN MAY YET HAVE TO MEET W/THIEU TO GET HIM TO SIGN. EVEN AT THAT, THE DANGER THIEU MIGHT DECIDE TO MAKE A LAST-DITCH STAND CAN'T BE IGNORED, BUT AN ADMIN. AIDE SAYS THIEU COULD TRY TO LOUSE THINGS lip, ".BUT WE THINK HE KNOWS THAT WOULD BE SUICIDAL." HAWKS " HAVE BEEN PLEASANTLY SURPRISED AT RN' S DECISION TO ALTER THE DISASTROUS" HAK?THO ACCORD, SAYS HUMAN EVENTS. SVN STILL ISN'T SATISFIED BUT THE ACCORD HAS BEEN " VASTLY IMPROVED." THE BEECHER STORY ON NVN CONCESSIONS IS USED TO BUTTRESS HE'S ARGUMENT.... THE WEEKLY ALSO GOES AFTER HAK AGAIN "THE BLOOM IS OFF THE HAK ROSE" --As IT QUOTES AT "LENGTH FROM NOYES TO INDICATE CRITICISM OF HAK FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS. NEWSWEEK SAYS FOR I ST TIME IN YEARS, MANY S. VIETS BELIEVE FIGHTING IS ABOUT OVER. "A KIND OF PEACE FEVER"' HAS SWEPT SVN AND NEITHER INTERRUPTIONS IN THE TALKS NOR THE HAGGLING SEEN LIKELY TO DESTROY BELIEF THAT PEACE IS AT HAND. NVA" VC MESSAGE HAS BEEN THE SAME --DESPITE GVN INTRANSIGENCE, PEACE IS INEVITABLE-- AND THERE IS AMPLE EVIDENCE THAT COMMUNISTS ARE MAKING THEIR POINT. MANY PEASANTS ARE PREPARING TO RETURN TO ANCESTRAL HOMELANDS. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 NEWSWFT V CAVC TWf MUWiAMPATrw WAG TARI1TRWWfl TNT _ TMA[3F, No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 ALTHO MUCH OF THE BITTERNESS SEEMS LIKELY TO FADE AWAY. WHAT PROBABLY WON'T FADE IS THE STRENGTHENED RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VILLAGERS AND COMMUNISTS. GVN EFFORTS TO ENLIST PUBLIC FOR A POLITICAL BATTLE FAIL TO PENETRATE EARS WHICH LISTEN ONLY FOR SOUNDS OF PEACE. "THE UPSHOT. IS THAT THE COMMUNISTS HAVE GAINED AN IMPORTANT POLITICAL EDGE ?.. AN EDGE THEY MAY BE ABLE TO TRANSLATE INTO QUICK AND SIGNIFICANT INROADS IN THE COUNTRYSIDE WHEN THE GUNS FALL SILENT," NEWSWEEK SAYS.... ABC NOTED COMMUNISTS CALLED ON S VIETS TO STEP UP PRESSURE FOR SIGNING AND THEY TOLD OWN CADRES TO PREPARE TO FIGHT, ON IF TALKS BREAKDOWN, THAI LEADER THANOM SAID US WILL KEEP GIS AND PLANES THERE AFTER CEASE-FIRE IN CASE NVN VIOLATES IT. "A VIOLATION.... ALSOP IN NEWSWEEK SAYS THE DEAL IS GOAD, SO LONG AS COMMUNISTS DON'T CHEAT. BUT ONCE IT'" S MADE, THEY" LL HAVE PLENTY OF REASONS, (R EXCUSES. THE CEASE- FIRE IS SURE TO BE BROKEN. THE. ELECT ION WILL EITHER NOT TAKE PLACE OR BE DENOUNCED AS A FARCE. SVN ISN'T LIKELY TO GREE VC POWS AND NVN CAN USE THIS FAILURE AS REASON FOR WELSHING ON THE KEY SETTLEMENT PROVISION THAT "ALL FOREIGN TROOPS" MUST BE W/DRAWN FROM LAOS AND CAMBODIA. ALSOP SAYS THAT PROVISION MAKES THE DEAL A GOOD DEAL. IF NVA DOES W DRAW, IT" LL MEAN IT HAS ABANDONED, FOR TIME BEING, THE ATTEMPT TO IMPOSE A COMMUNIST REGIME BY FORCE. FACT NVN AGREED, EVEN ON PAPER, TO SO W/DRAW IS PART OF EVIDENCE THAT A BASIC NVN CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE. ANOTHER IS THEIR INTENSE INTEREST IN US ECONOMIC AID. IF NVN CHEATS, ON THE SETTLEMENT SAYS ALSOP, THE AID CAN BE CUT OFF, AND IF THEY CHEAT TOO FLAGRANTLY, BOMBING CAN BE RESUMED. THESE ARE REASONS ALSOP HOPES SETTLEMENT WILL RESULT IN PEACE No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 BUT T No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9 w CAMBODIA. EVEN IF THEY ARE, PEACE IS SURE TO BE MESSY AND INTER- MITTENTLY BLOWY, BUT IT WILL BE PEACE OF A SORT ALL THE SAME. BUT A NAGGING DOUBT REMAINS, SAYS ALSOP, NOTING THE '34 AND ' 62 SETTLEMENTS CAME APART AT THE SEAMS, AND IT' S HARD TO BELIEVE THE SAME SORT WON'T HAPPEN AGAIN AS SOON AS US IS GONE. AND HE IS PESSIMISTICr-HARD TO BELIEVE NVN WILL W/DRAW FROM LAOS AND CAMBODIA. "IT IS CALSOP' 9 INSTINCT THEY WILL NOT WIDRAW MORE THAN TOKEN FORCES... THEY WILL NOT ABANDON, EVEN TEMPORARILY, THEIR CHERISHED GOAL OF RENAMING SAIGON HO CHI MINH CITY, AND THAT THEY WILL CONTINUE TO TRY TO ACHIEVE THAT GOAL BY ALL MEANS SHORT OF OVERT, MAIN-FORCE INVASION." sr #101 No Objection to Declassification in Part2010/08/09: LOC-HAK-247-9-18-9