CHINA'S INTERNAL SCENE ON THE EYE OF YOUR VISIT
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
Release Decision:
RIPLIM
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
4
Document Creation Date:
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date:
June 22, 2010
Sequence Number:
6
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 18, 1974
Content Type:
CABLE
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
![]() | 487.94 KB |
Body:
"Tr" 1c1044 4.-/ *7 **I
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
IMF
***AT olo $ECRE1*******
HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAW.
IMMEDIATE -
DU WTESS 00053
0 1611740
State Dept. review
completed
TO THE WHITE HOUSE
rs, Fel( He In ($1,1oH,
la a Or ri a
*10411tT
PEKING 91
TO, THE SECRET
FROMI
GEORGE BUS
SUEJECT1 CHINA'S INTERNAL SCENE ON THE EVE OF, YOUR VISIT
IN HOPES THAT IT MIGHT SE HELPFUL TO YOU, WE HAVE
PREPARED THE FOLLOWINS ASSESSMENT OF CHINA'S INTERNAL SCENE
ON THE EVE OF YOUR V/SIT, AS IT LOOKS TO US IN FEKINO,
Ey THE IDEOLOSICA4JCAMPAIGN WHICH WAS JUST SATHERING 4TEAH
Y THE TIME OF YOUR LAST VISIT NOW SEEMS TO St DRAWING TO A
L SE, ALM0ST toeNTICOL REPORTS FROM 'NOCE CITIES IN CHINA
DESCRIBE A RECENT CEN1*AL COMMITTEE DIRECTIVE WHICH QUOTE No
LESS THAN CHAIRMAN MAO AS SAYING THAT EIGHT YEARS OF THE
CULTURAL REVOLUTION IS ENOUGH, IT APPEARS THAT A NATIONAL
\,-pEOpt.Ei$ CONGRESS COULD BE CONVENED AT ANY TIME, A STEP
WHICH wouLo MARS FURTHER MOVEMENT TOWARD TNE CREATION OF A
LEADERSHIP STRUCTuRf TO TAKE CHINA INFO THE ANTICIPATED
SUCCESSION PERIOD, MAO*TSEOPUNG CONTINUES TO REMAIN OUTSIDE
PEKING, HOWEVER, AND HAS NON SEEN GONE AT LEAST FOUR MONTHS,
A FACT WHICH INJECTS SOME pNCERTAINTY INTO ANY PROJECTION OF
PRC POLITICAL,' DEVELOPMeNTS* MAO'S RETURN TO PEKING COULD,
AS HAS HAPPENED IN THE. PAST, sIGNAL'ENYIRELY New DIRECTIONS
IN CHINESE POLICY, ALTHOUGH THIS DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY,
S. WHAT WAS ACCOMPLISHED BY THE RECENT 004/11cAL CAMPAIGN?
IM OUR VIEW, A VARIETY Or ISSUES, ALL PARTS of, wmtem Is
PERHAPS mAOIS LAST EFFORT To SHAPE CHINA IN H!S IMAGE, WERE
AT STAKE', THEY INCLUDE THE ROLE OF CHINA'S MILITARy ANO ITS
RELATIONSH/P TO THE PARTY, THE DEGREE OF CENTRAL CONTROL OVER
csImArs mAssivr REGIONAL AND PROVINCIAL BUREAUCRACIES, THE
HIODLE KINGOOMIS RELATIONSHIP WITH THE SARBAR:AN STATES,
MOST. IMPORTANTLY THE U*1110 ANO THE SOVIET UNION, AND LAST
010 NOT .LEAST, A SENUINLEPFORT TO ERADICATE TRADITIONAL,
OUCtAN THOUGHT AND BEHAVIOR PATTERNS AMONG THE CHINESE
Le, WHILE IT IS ImPossio?E TO MEASURE WITH ANYTHING
14VELY
NO
$ ONLY
18 1974
OP SECR
t******4
ON-FILE NSC RELEASE INSTRUCTIONS APPLY
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22 : LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
."-Tr 10
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
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No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
I. lid 11/1 4- 1 '7 --1
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
7.0 P C C R E, T***
WHITE iiOuS SITUATION ROOm PAGE 00
$ CONT/NUED)A
AND THE MAN ON THE, STREET THAT LITTLE HAS cioriNoe0 /N THE
MIDsLs KINGDOme mATERIALISH RATHER THAN *EVOLUTIONARY
IDEOLOGY REMAINS THE HOST IMPORTANT IMPETUS IN CHINESE
SOCIETY, WHICH ALSO Oft/R:NS AN INMATE CONSERVATISM,
IN ISE PROCESS OP GITENPTING THESE CHANGES AND REACHING
A NEN CONSERRUC/ mORtRER, NEW TURMOIL AND UNCERTAINTY
HAVE SEEN GENERATED Pt CNINA, THE CALLS FOR STRUGGLE AND "GOING
AGAINST IHE Y1010 0100ENC0 oLo WOUNDS OP THE CULTURAL
REVOLUTION AND AROUSED T141 AMBITIONS OF THOSE WHO Rost To
posiyinN$ OF POWER DURING THAT MOVEMENT ONLY TO se RELEGATED
To osseuRrfy wHEN ORDER ?HAD To, BE RESTORED, NEW FACTIONAL
riesTINs AND POSTE* ATTACI4B REMINISCENT OF THE, CULTURAL
' sguOL,0110M ERUPTEDiDURING THE SPRING AND SUMMER, BUT WERE
QUICKLY CURTAILED By DIRECTIVES FROM Tots CENTER, APPARENTLY
IT WAS AGREE() THAT CHINA COULD NOT AFFORD ANOTHER CULTURAL
*EVOLUTION AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH FACTIONAL'olsPuTEs AND d
POSTER ATTACKS CONTINUE, If IS OUR ESTIMATE THAT THESE !
RSpRtscie A MINORITY 'COSTING A FORLORN CAMPAIGN IN AN EFFORT'
It REESTABLISH TSO $044 OF "MASS REPRESENTATIVES" CREATED
RC THE CUI,TURAL'REVOLVTION".
AT THE CENTER, IT APPEARS THAT A MINIMUM coNsemsus HAS
See* REACHED ON THE BASIC, ISSUES CONFRONTING CHINA. THE
OWEIRIDING SUCCESSION ICtur NA$ soTH INTENSIFIED THE
MANSUVEN/NS FOR PONMAND, REINFORCED THE IMPETUS POR UNITY,
104111, gslikowPING NOW $11114$ el,EN,LY TO HAVE MOVED INTO THE
RO!ISG PREMIER'S gala, THIS PLUS THE RECENT ANNOUNCEMENT OF
CXJ44 KUAN0AHUATS APP EMINENT AS FOREIGN MINISTER INDICATE
-T141.'1014E' BASIC ISSUE* HAVE BEEN RESOLVED PROBABLY INCLUDING
CHINA'S CONTINUING RELATIONSHIP WITH liNg 101,5, OUR ASSUMPTIONS
1N YNIs REGARD APE STRENGTHENED BY WHAT WE Frit 2$ AgEDLY
MOR RELAXED ATMOSPHEIf TN OUR, olum.INos OUR esistsg
At AUIU SINCE '0 1111S YEAR, 1.00*' VISIT WIlott
08E, PROVIDE A N4iCH CLEARERMBIGST INTO TNtSALAHOE
CES IN CHINA,
SUM UP. IT SEEMS TO us YHA,' THE DIRECTION Of CHINESE POLICY
REMAINS VERY MUCH IN ANDS OF THE SANCSTAKI$NfteNT WHICH FIRST
OICIpto TO PERMIT TM!! OHNINO OF, THE PRESENT Wise*PRt RELATIONSHIP,
VIN IF THE ACTIVE! CAST OP CHARACTERS wITKIN THIS ESTABLISHMENT HAA
Ott) $00INNAI. CHIN ACT IONS, BOTH INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL,
EMAIN ISSENTIALUN UNCNANGED EVEN /F THEY ARE, PORTRAYED FOR
$ or GAINING /ACWIDEST,00105/BLE SUPPORT IN MORE RADICAL OR
TIONARYI, TERMS' 0 MIGT/CALLY, ATTENTION Is
0, upow su/LD/w TRE NATIONAL ECONOMY WHILE MAINTAINING
TENT DEGREE *P POLftICAL UNITY TO TARE THE COUNTRY THROUGH
TIOm IN LEADE**$!Pj IN INTERNATIONA6,APFAIRS CHINA IS FOL.
1K ESSENTIALLY DEFENSIVE PHILOSOPHY (DESPITE THE ATTAcKS
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-
AA640` /11" ? 3
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
MH1 01tUATZON ROOM PAGE Po
0WER. MEGEMOSiSN RN* SU PURT
COMMIT tNt COVOY*, Ye ANY / ITIATIV
NA, OWN NATIONAUltkftREST,
TME WORLD) WHICH Dora
NOT iNN DAEL LTNPEO TO
40Z NOV /4
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22 : LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8