CANADA

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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75
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December 27, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 14, 2013
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1
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Publication Date: 
May 5, 1950
Content Type: 
REPORT
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 FOR THE DEPUTY DIRECTOR tlEICee-REIra4 OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE CANADA SR-49 Published 5 May 1950 opt_ CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY ! Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 _ STAT afx641440 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 WARNING This document contains information affecting the na- tional defense of the United States within the meaning of the Espionage Act, 50 U.S.C., 31 and 32, as amended. Its transmission or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14 : CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET ? ? ? SR-49 CANADA TABLE OF CONTENTS SUMMARY CHAPTER I?POLITICAL SITUATION 1. GENESIS OF THE PRESENT POLITICAL SYSTEM 2. PRESENT GOVERNMENTAL STRUCTURE a. Constitution b. The Executive c. Legislature . d. Judiciary . e. Provincial Government f. Government of the Territories g. Civil Service h. Civil Rights 3. POLITICAL PARTIES AND CURRENT ISSUES a. Liberal Party b. Progressive Conservative Party . c. Cooperative. Commonwealth Federation Party d. Social Credit Party . e. Labor Progressive Party . f. Union Nationale Party of Quebec Province 4. OTHER INFLUENTIAL GROUPS . a. Labor Organizations in Canada b. French-Canadians 5. STABILITY OF THE PRESENT ADMINISTRATION CHAPTER II?ECONOMIC SITUATION 1. GENERAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE ECONOMY 2. AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY, AND FISHERIES a. Agriculture . b. Forestry c. Fisheries 3. FUELS AND POWER a. Electric Power b. Coal . c. Petroleum and Natural Gas 4. MINING AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES a. Iron Ore b. Steel . c. Non-Ferrous Metals . d. Non-metallic Minerals?Asbestos ? ?vo. :SP--)?-?-----:---T-4 t P?c 1v7:la , in .0.ass- la capr,G. D.TiLl'AtSIFTED ? ? 610GED TO: .TS DDA 1cealo,*4 Apr rifi .?,..,E,G. r77 1 63 ? ikatli: 13 ? Date: a55- SECRET 3 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 11 13 14 15 15 16 16 17 18 19 21 21 23 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 29 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET 5. MANUFACTURING 29 a. Food Processing Industries . 29 b. Textiles - . 30 c. Chemicals and Allied Products . 30 d. Machinery and Related Products 31 e. Other Industries 32 6. FINANCE . 32 a. Currency . 32 b. Central Banking 33 c. Commercial Banking 33 d. Other Banks 33 e. Government Finance 33 7. FOREIGN TRADE AND FINANCE 34 a. Foreign Trade . 34 International Finance 36 8. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK . 37 CHAPTER III?FOREIGN AFFAIRS ? 1. GENESIS OF PRESENT FOREIGN POLICY 39 2. FOREIGN POLICY SINCE WORLD WAR II 40 3. CANADIAN-US RELATIONS 41 4. CANADIAN RELATIONS WITH THE USSR 42 5. CANADA AND THE FAR EAST . 42 6. CANADA AND THE PAN AMERICAN UNION 43 CHAPTER IV?MILITARY SITUATION 1. GENESIS OF PRESENT MILITARY POLICIES 45 2. WAR POTENTIAL 46 a. Manpower . 46 b. Natural Resources and Industry 46 c. Science 47 d. Finance 48 3. BASIC POLICIES AND PRACTICES 49 a. Mission of the Armed Forces 49 b. Favored Arms and Techniques 49 c. General Military Organization 49 d. Training . 50 e. Officers . 51 f. Mobilization Plans 52 4. STRENGTH AND DISPOSITION OF THE ARMED FORCES 52 a. Army Strength . 52 b. Navy Strength . 52 c. Air Force Strength . 52 d. Disposition and Structure of Forces 52 e. Quasi-Military Organizations 54 5. ESTIMATE OF MILITARY CAPABILITY 54 ? a. Adequacy of Present Forces 54 b. Maximum Military Capacity 54 SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET CHAPTER V?STRATEGIC FACTORS AFFECTING US SECURITY . 55 CHAPTER VI?PROBABLE FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS AFFECTING US SECURITY . 57 APPENDIXES APPENDIX A?Terrain and Climate . 59 APPENDIX B?The Population 65 APPENDIX C?Chronology 67 APPENDIX D?Transportation and Communications 69 APPENDIX E?Biographical Data 73 MAPS (in preparation) Canada Canada: Agriculture, Forests and Mines, Waterpower Canada: Climate SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? ? SECRET SUMMARY For obvious reasons of geography the se- curity of Canada is of vital concern to the United States, and the stability of Canadian political, economic, and social life is of the highest importance. Canada has long been a friend, and is now also an ally, closely asso- ciated with the US in trade, finance, defense, and general political outlook. Any substan- tial change for the worse in this relationship would pose most serious problems to the US Government and people. No indications of such change exist, however, and there is at present no reason to expect any lessening of Canadian stability, any weakening of demo- cratic convictions, or any substantial diminu- tion of Canadian regard for the US. The strategic importance of Canada to the US is due not only to its proximity and to the extreme dangers which would exist if it were hostile, but also to its location on US commu- nications to Alaska and to its advantages as a site for air and naval bases. In World War II the principal anti-submarine bases for the Western Atlantic were in Newfoundland, and that island is still an essential way-station on air routes to Europe. Transpolar aviation and further developments in arctic warfare will probably in the near future lend added significance to other Canadian bases and in- crease the importance of Canada to US se- curity. Canada is a constitutional monarchy; its King, George VI, is represented in Ottawa by a Governor-General. Like the United States, Canada is a federation, but the ten constitu- ent provinces have somewhat fewer independ- ent powers than do the states of the US. The federal government, located in Ottawa, is con- ducted mainly in accordance with British par- liamentary and administrative practices. At present it is in the hands of the Liberal Party, which won a very large majority of seats at the election held in June 1949. There are no current political controversies of serious con- sequence; both government and Opposition are moderate in their attitudes. Communist and other subversive influences are negligible. A prime requirement in Canadian domestic affairs is to maintain a balanced and har- monious relationship between the English- speaking part of the population and the French-speaking minority, which comprises 30 percent of the total and is largely concen- trated in the province of Quebec. French- Canadians as a whole are conservative, paci- fistic, isolationist, and tenacious of their na- tional characteristics and traditions. They refuse to accept conscription, and they are un- enthusiastic about a dynamic foreign policy. They are wary of the cultural impact of the United States, though not actively unfriendly; and while anti-imperialist, they have in the past favored limited constitutional ties with Great Britain because they have felt that Lon- don would prevent their English-speaking neighbors, both in Canada and across the bor- der, from undue interference with their reli- gion and customs. The French-Canadians could and would make serious trouble for any Canadian government which should disregard their peculiar interests, but the problem is well understood in Ottawa and it is extremely unlikely that any government would risk such trouble. The country's rich endowment in natural resources makes it one of the most important producers in the world of strategic and other raw materials. Canada's grain and other food products are of importance chiefly to Western Europe and itself; but a number of its forest products and non-ferrous metals have for years represented the principal US sources of supply for those commodities. More recent developments of strategic impor- Note: The intelligence organizations of the Departments of State, Army, Navy, and the Air Force have concurred in this report. It contains information available to CIA as of 1 October 1949 except where otherwise noted. SECRET 1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 2 SECRET tance to the US are the mining of uranium and the exploitation of high-grade iron ore reserves which will be coming into production there as the US's own high-grade reserves run out. Canada's industrial establishment has been growing rapidly, particularly since the outbreak of World War II, and hence par- ticularly along lines of strategic significance. Because of this fact and also because of the large and growing US investment in Canadian manufacturing, Canada's industrial establish- ment may strategically be considered as sup- plemental to that of the US, adding signifi- cantly to the American defense potential. Canada's foreign trade, per capita, is the largest in the world; the typical prewar pat- tern of this trade consisted in selling goods to Europe (especially to the UK) and purchasing from the US. Inconvertibility of European currencies since the war has rendered this pattern increasingly difficult to follow; only large Canadian and US loans to Britain, and offshore purchases under ECA, have made it possible at all. Hence Canada has tended to run short of US dollars, and has had to intro- duce import restrictions. The devaluation of European currencies has made it even more difficult for Europeans to afford purchases in Canada; Canada's own 10 percent devaluation does little to ease the situation. It is likely that a considerable readjustment of Canadian foreign trade will be required to meet the world conditions of coming decades; but a country so sparsely populated and so richly endowed cannot be expected to suffer eco- nomic difficulties comparable with those of older countries. In foreign affairs Canada bears a special relation to the UK by reason of its member- ship in the Commonwealth, and to the US be- cause of the manifold influences of proximity and of similarity of outlook. Membership in the Commonwealth does not mean any les- sening of Canada's freedom of action, nor has proximity to the US produced any significant Canadian desire to amalgamate with its American neighbor. Because of its special re- lationship with the two countries, Canada is to some degree a mediating and interpreting agent between the US and the UK. In inter- national controversies Canada is a dependable associate of the Western Powers. It was one of the principal initiators of the North Atlan- tic Treaty. The military policy of Canada is to main- tain small forces of high quality. French- Canadian attitudes, especially the strong op- position to conscription, would make impos- sible any extensive military establishment in time of peace. In war Canadian forces have always proved to be of very high quality. Though founded on British traditions and or- ganized primarily along British lines, the Ca- nadian forces work increasingly in close co- operation with those of the US. The indefi- nite continuation of this cooperation may be expected because of general recognition that the security of both countries depends on it. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? ? SECRET CHAPTER I POLITICAL SITUATION The Dominion of Canada is a stable and growing democracy with a cultural and polit- ical heritage paralleling that of the United States. For more than a century and a quar- ter no serious menace of war has threatened the Canadian-American border. As decades accumulated during the nineteenth century free from threats of invasion on either side, confidence and friendship, and finally mutual need in defense in the twentieth century, came to characterize the relations between Canada and the US. Yet the transition of each to independent nationhood followed a different pattern, the one being of a revolutionary char- acter and the other evolutionary. While for the US independence came after a sharp struggle of a few years' duration, for Canada sovereign independence and equality with Great Britain, the mother country, took a cen- tury and a half to accomplish, culminating in the Statute of Westminster in 1931. Canada is today not only a North American nation, but also a member of the British Com- monwealth, and thus linked spiritually and culturally with an association whose peaceful aims and heritage of democratic institutions coincide with those of the United States. 1. Genesis of the Present Political System. While approximately one-half of Canada's present population is of British stock and only about a third of French, the early history of Canada until the Treaty of Paris in 1763 was that of a French colony. This fact is of great importance since it has left modern Canada with an ethnological minority problem, sig- nificant in her political development. If union and harmony are to prevail within the Canadian Confederation, the potent force of French-Canadianism must always be recog- nized. The white man's first contact with Canada goes back nearly a thousand years to the time when Leif Ericsson, a Norseman, is reputed to have led an expedition to the northeastern shores of the North American continent. But the first effective contacts date from John Cabot's discovery and claim for England of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland in 1497-98, fol- lowed by Jacques Cartier's expedition for the French up the St. Lawrence River in the 1530's. Neither of these ventures left perma- nent results. It was not until the early sev- enteenth century that settlement and trade began as the result of the explorations of an- other Frenchman, Samuel de Champlain, who founded Quebec in 1608. From that time the French foothold in North America was estab- lished, and during the seventeenth and eight- eenth centuries the French King extended his dominion over the St. Lawrence region and down the Mississippi valley, pinning the English colonists in North America between the Appalachian mountains and the seacoast. The beginning of British acquisition of Can- ada was marked when, as a by-product of the Anglo-French European wars, the French ac- knowledged British claims to Hudson Bay, Newfoundland, and Nova Scotia under the terms of the Treaty of Utrecht in 1713. The radical difference in character and or- ganization that existed between the French and British settlements in North America still exists between the French-Canadian and English North American 'cultures today. The French settlers came out at the instigation of their absolute government, and their affairs to the last moment of their colonial history ? were regulated by officials of the King of France under a paternalistic form of govern- ment. British settlers, on the other hand, mi- grated to the American colonies largely be- cause of religious, economic, and political con- ditions at home, and, carrying with them his- toric ideas of liberty, developed a strong self- reliance and interest in self-government. For SECRET 3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 4 SECRET this reason when France finally capitulated to the British in 1763 at the end of the Seven Years War, the French colonists accepted rule from London calmly once they were assured by the Quebec Act of 1774 that their language, Catholic religion, and civil law would be re- spected. In essence, the French-Canadians themselves had not been defeated, but rather the army and fleet of royalist France. Al- though the English settlers made insistent de- mands for the establishment of English law in the newly acquired French territory, the British authorities in Canada and London held out strongly against these demands, the granting of which they saw would destroy any possible fostered loyalty of the French-Cana- dians to the British Crown. Because of the increasing numbers of English-speaking set- tlers * and the growth of their political strength, there developed among the French- Canadians a strong distrust of their fellow colonists, and a reliance for protection on the London authorities?attitudes which persisted in a reluctance, until the late 1940's, to see the power of amending the British North America Act transferred from Westminster to Ottawa. The second phase in the history of Canada was a period of evolution toward self-govern- ment culminating in Confederation under the British North America Act of 1867. This de- velopment was not easily accomplished; it was accompanied by strong English-French racial frictions, internal rebellions against privilege, and a struggle of English-Canadian reform- ers for complete responsible government with an adaptation of the English Cabinet system. From 1791 to 1840 the two great divisions of Canada (excluding the Maritime Provinces) , called Upper Canada (mostly English and to- day Ontario) and Lower Canada (French in * At the time of the French surrender in 1763 there were estimated to be 60,000 French of Catho- lic Norman stock in Canada. The real start of English immigration into British North America came with the American Revolution. In 1766 the English in what is now Ontario and Quebec num- bered only 600 and in 1774 they were estimated at about 2,000 or 3,000. During the Revolutionary War and following, refugees and Loyalists migrated to Canada from the US to the total number of about 35,000 by 1785. These included also Dutch, Scots, and Germans. population and now Quebec province) had separate representative legislatures under the British Parliament's Constitutional Act of 1791, which gave a measure of self-govern- ment though limited by the control of the Governor's Councils. This arrangement proved to be an inadequate half-way measure, and after rebellion in 1837 the necessity of a revised constitutional system for Canada was recognized. In 1838 Lord Durham, a bril- liant English statesman, was sent out as gov- ernor-in-chief of the Canadas, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward Island, and was directed to prepare a report on the situation. Among his recommendations were (a) the union of the two provinces of Upper and Lower Canada; (b) the ultimate union of all of British North America; and (c) the granting of responsible government. In 1840 the British Parliament, in pursuance of Lord Durham's findings, passed the Act of Union, forming the two provinces into a govern- mental unit called "Canada" with a single legislature in which each province had equal representation. While Canada thus won a redress of griev- ances and the right to run its own affairs in matters of colonial concern, with Britain re- taining control of public lands, the constitu- tion, foreign commerce and foreign relations, the union of the two provinces gave rise to endless trouble and political instability for the next quarter of a century. There were jealousies and political deadlocks. The French were suspicious of union; they used their power in the Assembly to protect their way of life, maintaining that their inheri- tance was endangered by the desire of the English-speaking commercial element for rapid exploitation of all resources. The Eng- lish element regarded the French-Canadians as obstructionist and unprogressive. By the end of the 1850's many forces besides those of politics and of race were impelling the provinces of Canada toward a new system of government which should meet the needs of the times. Responsible provincial govern- ment having been won, the next stage was the welding together of a nation. With the mid- century came a period of rapidly expanding industrialism, westward expansion, and the SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET 5 ? ? building of railroads. British North America felt the influence of European movements of nationalism; traders and investors, driven by economic considerations, sought wider mar- kets and a broader field for their activities with government protection and aid. Continental expansion was furthered by transportation and discoveries of gold in the West. In ad- dition, the British North American provinces were stimulated toward a wider unity by mixed admiration and jealousy of the United States. There was also some fear of absorp- tion by the United 'States, an expansionist southern neighbor with a formidable military potential. The US also offered an example of successful federation and of a thriving free trade area within its wide borders. Further- more, it was becoming plain that if the colo- nies hoped to retain their rights against the US in fisheries and other matters, and secure their development, they must cease to depend on Great Britain, which tended to give way to US pressures, and find their own economic and political strength. Public opinion stoutly opposed annexation to the US, and Confed- eration appeared to be the best possible solu- tion to the expanding needs of the country despite the racial cleavages and sharp ten- sions within Canada. Confederation therefore sprang from many circumstances besides English-French dead- locks within "Canada's" one legislature under Union. In 1864 the opportunity for change came when the isolated Maritime Provinces of Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and Prince Ed- ward Island were considering a federal union. ''Canada" suggested a wider plan to include itself, with the result that in the same year a conference was held at Quebec where a plan of Confederation was outlined. This subse- quently, with slight modifications, was passed by the Imperial Parliament in London as the British North America Act of 1867, and is the basic written constitution of Canada today. Initially the Confederation was made up of four provinces?Upper and Lower Canada, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia. The third maritime province, Prince Edward Island, did not join until 1873. The West had had no part in the original negotiations, but by 1869 terms had been made with the Hudson Bay Company to bring in its great territory stretching to the Rocky Mountains. Mani- toba entered the Confederation in 1870, while the provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan were not established until 1905. In 1871 the Pacific coast province of British Columbia joined the Confederation; and in 1878 the British Government formally transferred to Canada all of British North America save Newfoundland, which remained outside the Confederation until 1949. Canada now com- prises ten provinces, the Northwest Territo- ries, and the Yukon. The political evolution of Canadian democ- racy since Confederation in 1867 has followed the British pattern of parliamentary govern- ment based on a two-party system, although the depression of the 1930's led to the forma- tion of several lesser parties. Parallel with the internal political evolution has been grad- ual development from a position of depend- ence on Britain in foreign policy to one of in- dependence in all affairs and equal status within the Commonwealth of Nations, as enunciated in the Statute of Westminster of 1931. Thus by a process of evolution and not revolution Canada attained full nationhood, and today has a dual position as a member of the British Commonwealth of Nations and a separate personality in the world of states. 2. Present Governmental Structure. a. The Constitution. The federal structure of the Canadian Gov- ernment was designed to meet the problems imposed by the ethnic and geographic con- siderations of a country larger in area than the United States and Alaska combined, and composed of two distinct groups?the English and French, with widely differing cultural heritages. The Canadian constitution con- sists of two parts: one being the British North America Act of 1867 which lays down the di- vision of powers between the federal and pro- vincial governments, and the other including procedures of parliamentary government, much of English common law, Magna Carta, the Bill of Rights, conventions drawn up at Imperial Conferences, and the 1931 Statute of Westminster. The framers of the British North America Act copied the federal idea SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78:01617A001700050001-7 6 SECRET from the US, but combined this concept with the practice of responsible parliamentary gov- ernment inherited from Great Britain, which was established within the framework of fed- eralism. Under the British North America Act the Dominion Government exercises authority in matters which concern the nation as a whole, such as foreign policy, defense, regulation of trade and commerce, and currency. The provinces, on the other hand, have jurisdic- tion in matters of local concern; their powers are enumerated in the Act under sixteen classes. Residual power rests with the Domin- ion Government and not as in the US with the State governments, since it was the intention of the Fathers of Confederation, who had witnessed the states rights struggle in the US, to build up the authority of the Dominion Government. They did not want the prov- inces to have constitutional powers any greater than those necessary for purely local matters and for preserving the special institu- tions of Quebec. In accord with this theory the Dominion Government retains the right of veto over all new provincial legislation through the powers of the Lieutenant-Gover- nors of the provinces, who can refuse assent to provincial bills or reserve them for the de- cision of the Governor General. The Domin- ion Government also has the right to disallow or set aside any provincial law within a year of its passage. Since the end of the nine- teenth century, however, the use of this power has been rare. The British North America Act contained no special provisions for its amendment. Since 1871, therefore, when a constitutional alteration has been needed it has been the practice to proceed by an address from the Canadian Senate and House of Commons to the King, requesting passage through the British Parliament of an amending act. Ad- vocates of provincial autonomy in Canada, es- pecially French-Canadians in Quebec, have until recently opposed a change in this method, fearing an expansion of the federal power in Ottawa. Since World War II, how- ever, this opposition has decreased, and in the autumn of 1949 legislation was passed by the British Parliament giving Canada power to amend the British North America Act in purely federal matters without reference to the British Parliament. Canadians are pres- ently working out a formula for Canadian amendment of the Act in matters of provin- cial or joint Dominion-provincial concern; when this formula has been agreed, the Brit- ish Parliament will put it into force by an- other act. b. The Executive. Canada is an independent constitutional monarchy whose sovereign, George VI, is King of Canada as well as King of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. The Crown is re- garded as the source of governmental author- ity throughout Canada. The British North America Act provides that the executive au- thority shall be vested in the Sovereign, and carried on in his name by a Governor-General. The Governor-General's appointment has the approval of the Prime Minister of Canada, and his duties in relation to the Canadian Parlia- ment correspond to those of the King in re- lation to the British Parliament in Westmin- ster. His term of office is customarily five years, though it has been as long as seven years. While the Governor-General has up to the present been selected from Great Britain, a Canadian may equally well be chosen. The Governor-General is assisted in his functions, according to the provisions of the British North America Act, by a Privy Council. By custom the Cabinet or Ministry constitutes the active part of this Council, and the Gov- ernor-General acts entirely on the advice of his Ministry, which is responsible to Parlia- ment. As the acting executive he summons, prorogues, and dissolves Parliament, and gives the royal assent to bills. The executive machinery of the federal gov- ernment, located in Ottawa, is centered in the Prime Minister and his Cabinet of which there is no mention in the British North America Act. The Cabinet is composed of the Prime Minister and nineteen other members, each of whom is responsible for the administration of his department. The Cabinet positions are as follows: Prime Minister and President of the Privy Council SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? SECRET 7 Minister of External Affairs Minister of Finance Minister of National Defense Minister of Trade and Commerce Minister of Justice Minister of Agriculture Minister of Mines and Resources Minister of Labor Minister of Public Works Minister of Transport Minister of National Health and Welfare Minister of National Revenue Minister of Veterans Affairs Minister of Fisheries Minister of Reconstruction and Supply Minister without Portfolio Secretary of State Solicitor General Postmaster General To give recognition to the factors of federal- ism, regionalism, and the racialism of English and French Canadians, each province is gen- erally represented in the Cabinet, with the largest representation coming from the most populous provinces of Ontario and Quebec. A few portfolios have been commonly recog- nized as the special preserve of certain areas; the important Ministry of Agriculture nor- mally goes to someone from the Prairie prov- inces, and Fisheries to someone from the Maritimes or the West Coast province of Brit- ish Columbia. Following the usual Parlia- mentary conventions the Government in office is drawn from the party which commands a majority in the House of Commons, and may retain its power without a general election for a legal period of five years. The party in power may, however, call a new election be- fore the expiration of its term if it deems it politically expedient to do so, or a general election may be forced upon it by a vote of no confidence, which results in its inability to conduct affairs. The Prime Minister and his Cabinet are responsible for formulating gov- ernment policy and legislation. c. Legislature. (1) House of Commons. The Canadian Parliament is a bicameral legislature consisting of an elected House of Commons and an appointed Senate. The House of Commons is the chief legislative body of the federal government. It is elected by the people, with the franchise possessed by all Canadian citizens, men and women, of 21 years and over, who have resided in Canada for one year and are resident within the elec- toral district at the date of issue of the writs ordering the elections. By an amendment to the British North America Act in 1946 a re- distribution of seats was made, based on the 1941 census, which raised the membership of the House from 245 to 255, with 83 seats allot- ted to the province of Ontario, 73 to Quebec, and lesser numbers to other provinces, down to four for Prince Edward Island. Newfound- land's entry into confederation with seven seats brought the total membership up to 262. In structure, rules, procedures, and ceremonial the House of Commons follows British Parliamentary customs and usages unless specifically modified by the decision of the House itself. Under present statutory qualifications members of the House of Com- mons must be Canadian citizens, at least 21 years of age. There are no property qualifi- cations. Members do not necessarily reside in their constituencies, although such resi- dence is preferred; they even occasionally represent constituencies in other provinces. (2) The Senate. The Senate, unlike that of the US, is with- out effective legislative power; its members are appointed for life by the Governor-General on the nomination of his Ministers. With an original membership of 72, the Senate has now a total of 102 members; provincial repre- sentation is as follows: Ontario 24, Quebec 24, Nova Scotia 10, New Brunswick 10, Prince Edward Island 4, and the Western Provinces 24, with Manitoba 6, Saskatchewan 6, Alberta 6, British Columbia 6; Newfoundland, which entered the Confederation in 1949, has also six Senators. All Senators must be residents of the provinces they represent. Senators have historically been appointed according to the spoils system; they include former members of Parliament, retiring Min- isters, or those who have served the party well. Appointments to the Senate are also used to give representation to economic, racial, and religious groups in the provinces. Organized SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14 : CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 8 ? SECRET labor and other economic interests have been given special, although very uneven, repre- sentation. At the present time the political composition of the Senate is as follows: Lib- erals 79, Progressive Conservatives 15, vacan- cies 8. Senatorial representation and influence in the Cabinet has become less and less, because of the responsibility of the Cabinet to the House of Commons. Today it is customary to have only one Senator in the Cabinet, who is a Minister without Portfolio and at the same time the government leader in the Senate. While there is much competence in the Sen- ate, it possesses only a limited chance for effective work. The Senate is constitution- ally prohibited from originating money bills, and in practice Ministers have tended to in- troduce all other measures in the House of Commons. The Senate's actual role has therefore become one of revising and amend- ing bills received from the lower house. Al- though it may also vote down bills, in practice its use of this power is generally only a delay- ing tactic, and it ultimately yields to the Com- mons as representing the electorate. Con- sequently, as a result of the working out of the democratic principle, the part played by the Senate in Canada's legislation has been steadily decreasing, the chief responsibilities in legislation being assumed by the House of Commons. d. Judiciary. The British North America Act did not es- tablish for Canada a dual system of federal and provincial courts as might have been ex- pected; instead, under the Act, the adminis- tration of justice falls largely within the sphere of the provincial governments, with ap- peals lying to the higher federal courts of which there are two: the Supreme Court of Canada established in 1875, and the Court of Exchequer and Admiralty. The former is a court of appeal with civil and criminal juris- diction; it concerns itself among other things with appeals from provincial courts and from the Exchequer Court, with questions demand- ing constitutional interpretation and with the validity of Dominion and provincial statutes in dispute. The Court of Exchequer, which became a separate entity in 1886, has original jurisdiction concurrent with the provincial courts in cases involving the revenues of the Crown, and exclusive jurisdiction over suits brought against the Crown in federal affairs. It also hears cases concerning patents, copy- rights, and certain other matters. This Court also acts as a Court of Admiralty with original and appellate jurisdiction. Canada has but one system of criminal law, which comes within the cognizance of the Dominion Parliament, but it is significant in connection with the two national heritages that the French-Canadians of Quebec have retained French civil law. As noted above, this was guaranteed to them by the Quebec Act of 1774; it differs in many ways from the English Canadian civil law which obtains throughout the rest of Canada. Until very recently the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council in London was the final court of appeal for Canada in civil cases. In January 1947, however, the Privy Council ruled that the Canadian Parliament was legally entitled to declare the Supreme Court of Canada to be the final Canadian court of appeal. As a result of this decision the Canadian Parliament, in October 1949, passed an act abolishing appeals to London and es- tablishing the Supreme Court of Canada as the final court of appeal in all cases. This legislation, together with action being taken to transfer constitutional amending power to Canada, represents the severing of vestigial legal ties with Great Britain, which even though nominal were, in the eyes of the world, technical limitations on full Canadian sov- ereignty. Provincial justice is handled through the provincial Supreme Courts, county courts, and minor provincial courts such as Surrogate and Magistrates' Courts. Dominion judges and judges of higher pro- vincial courts are appointed by the Governor- General in Council; they hold office for life or during good behavior and can be removed only by the Governor-General in Council, following a joint address of both Houses of Parliament. The process of removal is, how- ever, hedged about with many formalities. Judges of minor provincial courts are ap- pointed by the Lieutenant Governor in Coun- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET cil and paid by the provincial governments. Judges have no vote and take no part in poli- tics. e. Provincial Government. Each of the ten provincial governments has a separate legislature and administration with a Lieutenant Governor, appointed by the Gov- ernor-General in Council, as the nominal head of the executive. Following the pattern of the Dominion Governm,ent, the Lieutenant Governor governs with the advice and assist- ance of his Ministry or Executive Council headed by a premier who is responsible to the Legislature and resigns when he ceases to en- joy the confidence of that body. The legis- latures of all the provinces except Quebec are unicameral, consisting of a Legislative As- sembly elected by the people. In Quebec, there are two Houses?a Legislative Council as well as a Legislative Assembly. The pro- vincial governments have full powers to regu- late local affairs as enumerated in Section 92 of the British North America Act, provided they do not interfere with the action and policy of the Dominion Government in Ottawa. Provincial governments may amend their constitutions by statute, except as regards the office of Lieutenant Governor. f. Government of the Territories. The Yukon, formerly a District of the Northwest Territories, was made a separate Territory in 1898. It is governed by a Com- missioner and an elective Legislative Council of three members with a three-year tenure of office. The Northwest Territories are gov- erned by a Commissioner, Deputy Commis- sioner, and five councillors appointed by the Governor-General in Council. Both Terri- tories are administered under instructions from the Governor-General in Council or the Minister of Mines and Resources. The Yu- kon-Mackenzie River district is entitled to one representative in the House of Commons. There is as yet no parliamentary representa- tion for the rest of the Northwest Territories. g. Civil Service. Canada has a permanent civil service with appointees normally recruited by open com- petition. Wartime expansion of government 9 services necessitated greatly increased num- bers, chiefly on a temporary employment basis. In March 1948 there were 118,370 civil service employees whereas in March 1938 the total was only 44,102. h. Civil Rights. Canada does not have a formal Bill of Rights in the Constitution, but the rights of the individual, assured to British people in a body of law and precedent that has grown through centuries of usage, have been con- sidered adequately secured. The few consti- tutional guarantees which do appear in the British North America Act were designed for a peculiarly Canadian problem, namely to protect the rights of the French and Roman Catholic minority in Canada, and of the Eng- lish Protestants in Quebec. The Act specifies that the English and French languages are to be used in the Canadian Parliament and in the Quebec legislature, and in Quebec and Canadian courts established under the Act. The statutes of Canada and of Quebec are to be printed in both English and French. Other citizens' rights are not touched upon by the British North America Act, but receive protection under various statutes and the common law. However, there is a growing conviction in Canada that certain civil liber- ties should be incorporated in a Declaration or Bill of Rights. Minority agitation for a constitutional amendment has not advanced far, although a Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry was set up in 1947 to consider the question of a written Bill of Rights embody- ing Canada's heritage in precise terms. By the enactment of such an amendment the present supremacy of the provincial legisla- tures in the field of civil rights would be cur- tailed, thereby inaugurating a distinct de- parture from traditional Canadian practice. Serious constitutional difficulties and anti- pathetical public attitudes would also be en- countered. 3. Political Parties and Current Issues. The national political life of Canada has been dominated from the time of Confedera- tion in 1867 by two great parties, the Liberals and Conservatives (now called the Progres- sive Conservatives), thereby paralleling the SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 10 SECRET two-party systems characteristic of the UK and US. However, during the depression years of the 1930's two new parties came into existence?the socialist Cooperative Common- wealth Federation (CCF), and the Social Credit party. The old-line parties thus find themselves currently faced with rivals. The party position in the 262-member Dominion House of Commons after the general election of 27 June 1949 was as follows: Liberals 193 Progressive Conservatives 41 Cooperative Commonwealth Federation 13 Social Credit 10 Independent Liberals 1 Independents 4 A characteristic of Liberal and Conservative leadership in Canadian political life has been the longevity of tenure of outstanding states- men?Sir Wilfred Laurier and Mackenzie King for the Liberals, Sir John A. Macdonald, Sir Robert Borden, and Richard Bennett for the Conservatives. In the latter part of 1948 the leadership of both major parties passed into new hands, Prime Minister Louis St. Laurent of the Liberals and George Drew of the Progressive Conservatives. While the Liberals or Conservatives have maintained their dominant position in federal politics, they have not done the same on the provincial level. The following list shows the state of party control in the provinces in September 1949, and reveals that three prov- inces are no longer governed by either of the two major parties. Parties in Power in the Provinces New Brunswick?Liberals Nova Scotia?Liberals Prince Edward Island?Liberals Newfoundland?Liberals Ontario?Progressive Conservatives Saskatchewan?Cooperative Com- monwealth Federation Alberta?Social Credit Quebec?Union Nationale British Columbia?Coalition: Liber- als and Progressive Conservatives (Liberals leading) Manitoba?Coalition: Liberals and Progressive Conservatives (Liber- als leading) a. Liberal Party. The Liberal Party is the dominant national party in Canada today and has, under the leadership of former Prime Minister William Lyon Mackenzie King and his successor Louis St. Laurent, been almost continuously in power since 1921. :Fn the general election of 1949 the Liberals were returned to office by 49.5 percent of the popular vote, and an over- whelming majority of Parliamentary seats. This endorsement forecasts a period of effec- tive and stable government, and the continua- tion of a middle-of-the-road course between the conservatism of the Progressive Conserv- atives and the socialism of the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation Party. Although the size of the victory may lead to the de- velopment of schisms within the Liberal ranks, the combination of an immensely popular Prime Minister, who as a French-Canadian has the special support of that powerful mi- nority, and a strong Cabinet, should enable the Government to secure passage of any rea- sonable legislative program. The Liberal Party goes well back into the nineteenth century for its roots. At the time of Confederation in 1867 it consisted of diverse political units taking their origin in earlier decades, and its national strength did not emerge for some years. In 1896 the Liberals, under the eminent French-Canadian states- man Sir Wilfred Laurier, began their long periods of power. At this time they won the allegiance of the French-Canadian province of Quebec, which has generally remained loyal for fifty years. This fact is of significance since substantial support from Quebec is nec- essary to any party in power at Ottawa. The Liberal Party has been in office from 1896 to the present time, save for the periods 1911- 1921, three months of 1926, and 1930-1935. The Liberal Party is the only one com- manding general support throughout all the provinces of Canada. In the Dominion elec- tions of June 1949 the , Liberals routed the Progressive Conservatives and Cooperative Commonwealth Federation in their strong- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14 : CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? ? SECRET 11 holds of Ontario and Saskatchewan, increased against threatening odds their representation in Quebec (winning 68 of 73 seats) , and made gains in all other provinces except the small- est one, Prince Edward Island, where the rep- resentation remained the same (Liberals 4, Progressive Conservatives 1) . In the provin- cial legislatures the Liberals are well repre- sented though they are in strong control only of the three Maritime provinces and New- foundland. In Manitoba and British Colum- bia they form the major segment of coalition governments with the Progressive Conserva- tives (PC's). In the Ontario legislature they hold 13 seats as against the Progressive Con- servatives' 53 and Cooperative Commonwealth Federation's 21. In the Cooperative Com- monwealth Federation home province of Sas- katchewan the Liberals are the official opposi- tion and regained substantial strength at the 1948 provincial elections; in Social Credit-Con- trolled Alberta they are weak. Although the Liberals enjoy the strong support of Quebec province in Dominion elections, provincially they are a small opposition to the young Union Nationale party of Premier Maurice Duplessis. Although the Liberals appeared before the 1949 general and provincial elections to be threatened not only by a revivified Progres- sive Conservative Party but also by the grow- ing socialist Cooperative Commonwealth Fed- eration, which hoped to strengthen its posi- tion at the expense of both the old-line parties, the election results showed a reversal of this trend. As the result of the eclipse of the Co- operative Commonwealth Federation at the federal polls, Canadian politics have for the present returned to a predominantly two- party system. The Liberal Party's power arises from the weakness of the three opposi- tion parties; from its control in federal politics of the crucial province of Quebec, and from its adaptability to changing conditions. It made a good record during the depression years and in successfully carrying the country through the dangerous and complex World War II period into a postwar era of great prosperity and high employment. The Liberals have always placed national unity and cooperation between English and French-speaking Canadians at the forefront of their national policy. In domestic affairs the party, historically standing for minimum government interference but faced with de- pression in the 1930's and war in the 1940's, has been moving somewhat in the direction of increased federal power and social reform. It has sought to fashion a middle-of-the-road policy between the out-and-out free enterprise system advocated by the Progressive Conserv- atives and the socialism of the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation. Nevertheless, as again pledged in its last convention, the party publicly stands for maximum individual free- dom, respect for the constitutional rights of the provinces, and a minimum of federal in- tervention. On foreign trade the Liberals are histori- cally a low-tariff party. They continue to advocate tariff reductions and non-discrimina- tory, multilateral trade practices, despite the fact that shortage of US dollars has forced the government temporarily to follow an op- posite policy of import restrictions. The Lib- eral Party stands for the further develop- ments of social security programs involving collaboration between the federal and provin- cial governments. In foreign policy the Liberal Party is a strong supporter of the United Nations, a major promoter of the North Atlantic Pact, and friendly to the US. b. Progressive Conservative Party. The Conservative Party, today known as the Progressive Conservatives (PC's), is the second major party in Canada, and constitutes the official opposition in the House of Commons. The party originally assumed leadership in the Dominion Government upon the establish- ment of Confederation in 1867; under the dis- tinguished Prime Ministership of Sir John A. Macdonald it was in power for nearly a quar- ter of a century. During this important pe- riod in the life of the new nation the federal government machinery was established and the Dominion economy expanded. Subse- quently, the Conservatives held office from 1891 to 1896, from 1911 to 1921 (the years 1917-21 under a Unionist administration pre- dominantly Conservative), and again from 1930 to 1935. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 12 SECRET Beginning in 1896 when Quebec trans- ferred its primary allegiance to the Liberals, and especially since 1921 with the advent of Mackenzie King, the Conservative party has been declining in influence and today holds only 41 seats as against 193 for the Liberals. The Progressive Conservatives received a startling set-back in the 1949 general election, polling only 30 percent of the popular vote, losing 28 seats, and failing to win more than two seats in the crucial province of Quebec, where it had hoped to upset Liberal domi- nance, through an unnatural alliance with the isolationist and anti-imperialist Union Nationale party. Even in the party's chief province of Ontario the Progressive Conserv- atives' representation in the House of Com- mons was cut from 48 to 25. This election verdict appeared all the more remarkable in view of the fact that under the vigorous new leadership of George Drew, ex-Premier of Ontario, the party had reason to consider itself a significant challenge to the Liberals. Provincially, the Progressive Conservatives control only Ontario, the industrial heart of Canada and the most populous province, but even here they lost seats in the 1948 provin- cial elections to the socialist Cooperative Com- monwealth Federation. In the British Co- lumbia and Manitoba legislatures the Pro- gressive Conservatives are the lesser partners with the Liberals in coalition governments; in the politically important province of French-Canadian Quebec the party has vir- tually no strength. In all other provinces it is weak. The decline of the Progressive Conservative Party prior to Mr. Drew's taking over the reins in October 1948 was largely owing to the poor leadership of earlier party chiefs; it has also resulted from the party's failure to make clear any distinctive principles for which it stood or to offer any positive alternative to the things already provided or promised by the Liberals. The fundamental difference between the two major parties appears, there- fore, to be one of emphasis and degree rather than of substance. Both believe in provin- cial rights (though the Progressive Conser- vatives harp more ardently on this theme) , in individual freedom, free enterprise, maximum production, and social security programs. The Progressive Conservatives, however, con- sider their party to be the true defender of free enterprise against the Liberals' remnants of wartime controls, against the threats of the Communists and the socialist Cooperative Commonwealth Federation Party, and against what they consider to be too much Liberal centralization and direction from Ottawa. Despite the Progressive Conservative Party's present weakened position, it still remains the major opponent to the Liberal power and is the only other party which can command sig- nificant votes in every province of the Do- minion. Under Mr. Drew's leadership in the House of Commons the party will prove to be an active, if impotent, critic of the govern- ment's policies. The party's future will de- pend in large measure on a rejuvenation and clarification of its party principles to dis- tinguish them from those of the Liberals. The Progressive Conservatives are histori- cally a party of high tariffs and "big busi- ness," and represent the governing economic class of Canada. They have also traditionally been the most pro-Empire party in Canada. Fear of American economic domination, ris- ing at times almost to the point of anti- Americanism, high US tariffs and hereditary pro-British sympathies as well as long-stand- ing economic ties with Britain provided the basis for this stand. In the present postwar period, however, confronted with the threat of socialism and Communism, certain members of the party have evinced increasing realiza- tion that Canada must look to the US as the last citadel of old-fashioned free enterprise and the best protection against the USSR. Along with the Liberals it therefore calls for closer economic ties with the US to compensate for loss of markets in the UK and other countries, and desires close defense relations with the US as well as the continuation of "loyal partner- ship" with the British Commonwealth of Na- tions and of good markets in the United King- dom. In the field of international trade the party policy also now parallels that of the Lib- erals, since the Progressive Conservatives have reversed their traditional advocacy of high protection to one of trade agreements and a reciprocal lowering of tariffs. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET 13 ? ? c. Cooperative Commonwealth Federation Party. The Cooperative Commonwealth Federa- tion (CCF) is the socialist party of Canada. It ranks after the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives as the third party in national politics and appears to be both permanent and effective. Before the general election of 1949 the party, excellently organized and ably led by M. J. Coldwell, a moderate social- ist, reached its peak with 32 members in the Dominion House of Commons. It had hopes of obtaining enough votes to prevent either of the two major parties from obtaining a clear majority in the House. Instead of these results, the Cooperative Commonwealth Fed- eration received a crushing setback at the polls, with only 13 members returned and a strong previous representation from its home province of Saskatchewan drastically reduced in favor of the Liberals. It polled 13.7 per- cent of the national vote. On the provincial level the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation has representa- tion in six legislatures, but has shown waning influence in Saskatchewan and British Co- lumbia. Only in industrial Ontario did the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation ob- tain a marked gain of 13 seats in the 1948 elec- tions, and on this and several successful fed- eral by-elections it based its hopes for the 1949 general election. In the key province of Quebec it has thus far failed to win either French-Canadian labor or small farmers, owing to the French-Catholic aversion to socialism and to the strength of French-Cana- dian nationalism which rallies to the provin- cial Union Nationale Party. The party had its origin in the progressive movement of the 1920's, although it was not until 1932 that it took shape. During the depression years it brought together progres- sive farmers' groups of the Prairie Provinces with a small labor group, and also drew sup- port from Fabian intellectuals of the middle class, who still furnish the party's leadership. Unlike most small parties arising out of hard times, the Cooperative Commonwealth Feder- ation did not disappear or lose its identity when conditions improved; it attracted the urban industrial vote in addition to its origi- nal rural support, and today about half of its strength lies in urban areas. The Cooperative Commonwealth Federation has now become a recognized arm of the Canadian Congress of Labor, which was in need of a political vehicle to promote its cause. Many leaders of the other major labor organization, the Trades and Labor Congress, are also sympathetic to the party. The focus of the Cooperative Common- wealth Federation's attention originally was and, in large measure, still is, in domestic af- fairs. The party's program follows the usual socialist pattern calling for the establishment of a planned and orderly socialized economy attained through peaceful, democratic, par- liamentary procedures. It includes the so- cialization of the banking, credit, and financial systems, national minimum wages, federal financing of low cost housing, an extended system of social security and the planned di- rection of foreign trade. On international policies the position of the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation Party has gone through a transition. Its outlook towards Great Britain and the Common- wealth altered from suspicion to warm ap- proval when the British Labor Party came to power; the party leaders now support close ties with Britain, particularly economic. With respect to the US, the attitude of the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation has in the past been anti-American, based on dis- trust of the US as a nation dominated by "monopoly capitalism" and the evils thereof. Confronted by the Soviet and Communist threat, however, the party's suspicion of the capitalistic motives of the US seems to have shown some decline. It now supports many foreign policies of the US and of the western democracies about which it formerly had serious reservations, although it continues strong aversion to the existence of large US investments in Canada, favors the encourage- ment of trade with the UK at expense of that with the US, and on nationalistic grounds continues to oppose any "foreign" control over Canadian resources. The right-wing party leadership favors the European Recov- ery Program so long as it does not become an instrument of American capitalistic domina- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 14 SECRET tion, and this it watches carefully. It recog- nizes the necessity of a united front against the Communist imperialism of the Soviet Union, and consequently supports Canadian military and economic cooperation with the US, so long as any military arrangement does not impinge on Canadian sovereignty. It supports the UN, and endorses Canadian mem- bership in the North Atlantic Pact despite the opposition of the party's left wing. While the Cooperative Commonwealth Fed- eration has made significant gains in its gen- eral position in recent years, despite the 1949 election debacle, it cannot hope to offer any really formidable challenge to the two old- line parties until it increases materially its present feeble voting strength in the provinces lying east of Ontario, which return about two- fifths of the House of Common's membership. If the present internal farmer-labor conflict which is alienating some of its rural voters is not checked, the dual basis of the party's sup- port may be destroyed. Furthermore, if its present trend toward becoming solely a labor party continues at the expense of the western farm group, there seems little likelihood that the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation will be able to gain control of the Dominion Government in the near future. Of utmost significance as an additional weakening factor is the open conflict between the moderate right wing in control of the party and the small and noisy left-wing group which is well- organized, particularly in British Columbia and Manitoba, and which denounces the North Atlantic Pact and ERP. The Coopera- tive Commonwealth Federation setback in the general elections can be attributed in part to this split in its ranks over the North Atlantic Pact and to the defection of its rural support- ers on account of the growing influence of the labor unions. It cannot hope for progress as a diluted combination of non-socialist farm- ers, socialist labor, and Communist fellow- travellers. Over and above the necessity of ironing out its internal difficulties, the Coop- erative Commonwealth Federation's future appears to depend to a considerable extent on the economic position of Canada. A prosper- ous Canada repudiated the party in 1949, but if a severe economic recession should occur, the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation might gain rapidly in industrial areas. d. Social Credit Party. The Social Credit party, the fourth of the national political parties in Canada, finds vir- tually no support outside of the predominant- ly agricultural province of Alberta. Here it holds 51 out of 57 seats in the provincial legis- lature, with the Liberals and Cooperatiye Commonwealth Federation holding only 2 seats each and the Independents the remain- ing 2. In the 1949 general election the Social Credit Party was the only one of the three op- position parties to win a majority of the seats of a province in the Dominion Parliament; out of 17 MP's from Alberta, 10 are Social Credit- ers. Any marked extension of the party in national importance appears unlikely despite its attempts to win new fields. The Social Credit Party came into being in Alberta during the depression years as an ex- pression of rural revolt, under the leadership of William Aberhart, a high school teacher filled with religious zeal, who promised Uto- pia to the hard-pressed farmers. In 1935 the Social Crediters won the provincial elections from the United Farmers Party, and have re- mained in office ever since. While the party originally advocated social credit money the- ories as a solution of economic ills, the at- tempted application of radical monetary re- forms has generally been allowed to lapse with the prosperity of the 1940's and following the declaration of unconstitutionality of some of the legislation enacted. In theory the party stands for easy money, direct monetary pay- ments to individuals in amounts commensu- rate with the rise and fall of commodity prices, and old age and other social security benefits. In practice the present administration in Al- berta under its popular Premier is conserva- tive and an advocate of free enterprise. It has established a reputation for efficient gov- ernment and in general has followed finan- cially orthodox policies to attract business men. On foreign policy the party warmly sup- ports the principle of collective security through the United Nations, advocates a re- alistic defense policy, close cooperation with SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET 15 ? ? the US, the British Commonwealth, and West- ern European countries, and is strongly anti- Communist. Only on the question of inter- national finance does it depart on a tangent by denouncing the US for its so-called fal- lacious monetary principles, naming Wall Street as a tyrannical force, and warning that Canada should beware of absorption by the US. e. Labor Progressive Party. The Labor Progressive Party (LPP) is the Communist Party of Canada. Although po- litically aggressive, it is not an important fac- tor in Canadian politics today and does not present a threat to the stability of the coun- try. The party has had no members in the House of Commons since the conviction of Fred Rose in the Espionage Trials of 1946, and it has in the ten provincial legislatures a total of only three members, two in Ontario and one in Manitoba. Furthermore, it has suf- fered severe setbacks in municipal elections during the past several years. In the 1949 general election the Labor Progressive Party, which ran 16 candidates, failed to win a single seat in the House of Commons. Out of a to- tal of 5,856,307 votes cast, the Labor Progres- sive Party secured only 32,633, a sharp reduc- tion from its 1945 total of 111,892. The activities of the Communist Party in Canada go back to 1921 when it was organ- ized as part of the Communist International. Between 1931 and 1943 it was during several periods declared illegal, and its activities were continued through front organizations. In 1943, however, a new party, called the Labor Progressive Party, was formed by the Com- munist leaders in Canada under the leader- ship of Tim Buck, a former member of the Executive Committee of the Communist In- ternational, and since that time the party has been serving as a cloak for the Communist movement. Its headquarters are located in Toronto, Ontario. It is currently estimated that there are about 23,000 Communists in Canada. Additional strength is given the Labor Progressive Party through infiltration into labor unions and various foreign lan- guage organizations of Ukrainians, South Slays, Poles, Hungarians, Russian Canadians and other foreign language minority groups in Canada. The party also advances its pro- gram through six English language and twelve foreign language publications with a total circulation of about 70,000. As a unionized industrial province with large foreign groups, Ontario is a main target for Communist penetration, with British Co- lumbia a second major center. Communist support in the Maritime provinces is small, the heart of their political and economic ac- tivity being in the important seaport of Hali- fax and the mining center of Sydney, Nova Scotia. In the French-speaking province of Quebec, Communists have achieved little suc- cess because of the fundamental opposition of the Catholic Church,. but have made some headway in the labor unions of Montreal, where are found virtually all the non-Catholic unions in the province. In the Prairie prov- inces they have had little success either polit- ically or in labor unions. The Labor Progressive Party concentrates attention on immediate issues and aggressive reform action. On political and international policy it consistently follows the Communist Party line on all major issues. It tries to undermine Canadian-American friendship by attacking the Canadian Government's so- called complete "capitulation to Wall Street," asks for the removal of American troops from Canada, and denounces Marshall Plan aid as an attempt at world domination by the US. Strong anti-Communist feeling exists in Canada. Battles are being waged against Communist infiltration into a few powerful labor unions. All other political parties are watchful and give the government the fullest support in combatting Communism in its va- rious guises. At the present time a measure is being studied, which if adopted would pro- vide penalties for persons engaging in Com- munist, Fascist or other anti-democratic ac- tivities. f. Union Nationale Party of Quebec Prov- ince. The Union Nationale Party is purely a pro- vincial party of French Catholic Quebec, which has succeeded under the clever and powerful leadership of Maurice Duplessis in SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 16 SECRET ? replacing the Liberals' political dominance in the province. The party first came into power in 1936, and, except for a Liberal Party return to office during 1939-44, has been in control since that time. As the result ,of the 1948 provincial elections, the Union Nationale controls 82 of 92 seats in the Quebec legisla- ture. The party is strongly nationalistic in defense of French-Canadian culture, institu- tions, and religion. It stands for provincial autonomy as against the abandonment of any of Quebec's prerogatives to Ottawa, and is con- servative and anti-Communist. In the 1949 general election the Union Na- tionale came into the national political arena by lending its party machine and support to the Progressive Conservatives. This strategy proved a dismal failure and redounded to the further discredit of Duplessis, who has also recently by his labor policies aroused the an- tagonism of labor and a section of the power- ful Catholic hierarchy. With these reverses of the Union Nationale in mind, the Liberals take heart for recapturing the Quebec govern- ment at the next provincial elections. 4. Other Influential Groups. a. Labor Organizations in Canada. The Canadian labor movement has marked- ly increased its political articulateness during the past decade, and trade union membership has grown nearly three-fold, thereby greatly augmenting the power and influence of labor in Canada both industrially and politically. In 1939 membership figures were 359,000; by the end of 1948 they had jumped to 978,000. Roughly one-quarter of all Canadian workers are members of trade unions, with the great- est concentration of about 54 percent located in Ontario and Quebec provinces. Almost one-fifth of union membership is concen- trated in the metals industry; the next larg- est groups are in steam railway transporta- tion with approximately 15 percent, and in services with 12 percent. The largest nu- merical gain during 1948 was in the construc- tion industry where almost 20,000 new mem- bers were added. Canadian labor does not speak with one voice as does the British labor movement. There are: (1) three major federations of unions; (2) four independent international railroad brotherhoods; (3) the Canadian Fed- eration of Labor, formed as the result of a break in the ranks of the Trades and Labor Congress to bring together all the purely na- tional labor organizations; and (4) a number of independent unions. The majority of Ca- nadian unions are affiliated with the three principal national federations in the first above-mentioned category. Of these the Trades and Labor Congress (TLC) is the old- est labor organization in Canada. It is made up primarily of long-established craft unions, and three-fourths of TLC membership are in AFL international unions. The TLC has 439,- 000 members in 2,779 locals, or about 45 per- cent of total union membership in Canada. The Canadian Congress of Labor (CCL) is the second most important labor organization and has 338,000 members in 1,187 locals or about 33 percent of total union membership. It consists of industrial unions of which roughly two-thirds are in international unions which are Canadian branches of the Congress of In- dustrial Organizations. Together these two organizations account for more than three- quarters of organized labor. About two-thirds of Canadian trade unions belong to interna- tional unions with headquarters in the US. The third labor federation is the Canadian and Catholic Confederation of Labor (CCCL) , a purely Canadian organization confined prin- cipally to the province of Quebec. With 93,- 000 members in 428 branches it accounts for less than 10 percent of total union member- ship and includes both craft and industrial unions. These French-Canadian "syndicates" are not of significance nationally; the TLC and CCL also have a large French-Canadian membership. The four Railway Brother- hoods claim 41,126 members in 376 locals. In economic policies and in structure the labor movement of Canada has developed along lines similar in many respects to those obtaining in the US. It has also been influ- enced by British labor, from which it has in- herited traditions imported by British immi- grants. Although there is no labor party as such in Canada, there is increasing independ- ent political action by labor, but it has not yet reached the point of voting as a bloc. On SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET the whole, Canadian labor until recently has confined its political action ito lobbying, sup- porting its friends in established parties, and carrying on public campaigns for improved labor legislation. At present the only labor organization which has formally espoused the cause of a party is the CCL, which has within the past five years officially endorsed as its political arm the socialist CCF party, dedi- cated to the cause of labor. The 1948 CCF provincial election victories in Ontario owed much to CCL trade unionists. The TLC has thus far retained its official non-partisan at- titude and its opposition to any direct political action, although in the 1945, general election it publicly supported the Liberal Party, while in the Ontario 1948 provincial elections the TLC unionists gave their votes to the CCF trade union candidates. The leadership of Canadian unions recog- nizes the danger to labor of Communist in- filtration and has taken action to combat it. While Communism does not easily win a foot- hold in Canada, it is present in labor unions to some degree even though the rank-and-file of workers are anti-Communist. In 1947, 14 unions were listed as Communist-dominated out of a total of 101 international and na- tional unions. These 14 included the Cana- dian Seamen's Union (TLC) , the United Elec- trical Workers Union (CCL) , the Interna- tional Woodworkers of America (CCL) , and the International Union of Mine, Mill and Smelter Workers (CCL) . After an aggressive campaign the anti-Communist majority of the CCL, at the 1948 convention, succeeded in ad- ministering a sharp defeat to Communist leadership of pro-Communist member unions. Voting at the convention indicated that Com- munist strength had been reduced by about 30 percent and CCL convention resolutions were consistently anti-Communist. The TLC leadership has been more easy-going in its at- titude, holding to the theory that political be- liefs of union members are of no concern to the organization. But following a revolt in 1948 against this attitude by high officers of 23 international unions representing 175,000 members out of the TLC total membership of 439,000, the anti-Communist group intensified its fight against the Communists, and the Ex- 17 ecutive Committee has now been won over from its apathetic stand as the result of the Communist-dominated Canadian Seamen's Union strike and AFL pressure. In its Sep- tember 1949 annual convention the TLC passed strong resolutions aimed at checking any Communist leadership in unions. In the event of an emergency, Communists in Canada would probably be able to foment strikes and labor disorders in the few Commu- nist-controlled unions, and to engage in some sporadic sabotage. However, in view of the strong anti-Communist policy of the govern- ment, the nature of popular sentiment in Canada, and the anti-Communist action be- ing taken by labor leadership, intensive and doubtless successful efforts would be made all along the line to eliminate any subversive ac- tivity and to bring sporadic sabotage under control. Generally speaking, industrial relations in Canada are amicable and the number of strikes much reduced from 1946. In 1947 there occurred 236 strikes involving 104,000 workers, while in 1948 this number had dropped to 148 strikes (41,230 workers) , and during the first six months of 1949 prelimi- nary figures show a total of only 63 strikes and lockouts involving 18,700 men. b. French-Canadians. The French-Canadians are a powerful mi- nority group in Canada which exerts a sig- nificant influence on many major political de- cisions. With 77 percent of the French-Ca- nadian population concentrated in the prov- ince of Quebec and the rest in Ontario, New Brunswick, and Manitoba, this minority group makes up nearly one-third of the total popu- lation of Canada. These three and one-half million French-Canadians, who are a proud and sensitive race, descendants of the original Norman settlers, have refused to be assimi- lated. They have preserved unimpaired not only their racial qualities but also a habit and philosophy of life which are completely for- eign to those of the English-speaking citizens beside whom they exist. Their chief aim is cultural and racial survival; and with a birth rate considerably higher than that of English- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 18 SECRET Canadians they count on continuously strengthening their position. This preservation of cultural identity stems from the Quebec Act of 1774, whereby the British Government guaranteed the French- Canadian people security in their religion, lan- guage, and civil laws. The French language is official equally with English in Quebec prov- ince, and in all proceedings in the Federal Parliament and Federal courts throughout Canada. The French-Canadians also main- tain their own Roman Catholic school sys- tem. The ascendancy in French-Canada of the Roman Catholic clergy, who have always been the intellectual leaders of the people, has accounted for the preservation of French- Canadian cultural traditions and for an out- look almost unchanged during more than two centuries. Untouched by the French Revo- lution, the French-Canadian culture differs greatly from that of twentieth century France, which is predominantly secular. French- Canada has never developed a secular intel- lectual group to provide a counter-balance to its clerical leaders. The political consequences of this difference in culture and of a consciousness of their mi- nority position have led French-Canadians to function as a unit in national politics and to give support to whichever national party seems likely to pay more attention to their particular claims and most respect to their objective of ethnic survival. At first, French- Canadians supported the Conservatives, but since their switch over to Laurier in 1896 as the new Liberal leader, they have given their allegiance chiefly to the Liberal Party. Cleav- ages came among them in 1911 over the naval and military preparedness measures which caused the downfall of the Liberals, and in 1917 the conscription bill alienated them. But since 1921 they have kept the Liberals in federal power except for an interval of five years. Currently they take great pride in the Prime Ministership of their own Louis St. Laurent. The French-Canadians are always watchful of any English-Canadian interference. Op- posed to becoming involved in Britain's "im- perialist wars," they condemn any form of conscription. In addition they are isolation- ist, conservative, and strongly anti-Commu- nist. With a lower standard of living than the English-Canadians, and only gradually shifting their higher education from the hu- manities to engineering and scientific fields which will enable them better to compete in the higher management of the Quebec econ- omy, they tend to be jealous of the dominat- ing position of English-Canadians in industry within the province. They also view with disfavor any federal centralization policies which run counter to or endanger their pro- vincial rights and their religious and cultural identity. Their nationalism is at present finding expression through Premier Duplessis of Quebec and his provincial party, Union Na- tionale, and it is vocal also through a series of small extremist parties which wax and wane within the province. 5. Stability of the Present Administration. The government of Canada presents no in- dications of instability. As in the US, cur- rent issues may cause strong popular debate but will not lead to political changes except by due democratic procedures. There is no question of such interference by foreign gov- ernments which could lead to instability, and at the present time Communist influence within Canada is negligible. From the point of view of racial harmony, eighty-two years of satisfactory cooperation within the Confed- eration between English and French-Cana- dians have proved that the two dominant ra- cial groups can live together despite minor frictions; only one major issue, that of con- scription, offers some threat to the unity of the land. As long as the dominant group of English-Canadians continue their established practices of tolerance and respect for French- Canadian autonomy, social and religious in- stitutions, and attitudes toward conscription, inter-racial stability is assured. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14 : CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? ? SECRET CHAPTER II ECONOMIC SITUATION 1. General Characteristics of the Economy. No foreign nation has a more direct eco- nomic importance for the US than Canada. Indeed, in many respects the Canadian econ- omy is simply an extension of the American. Each country is the other's best customer; the transportation systems of the two countries are interlocked; normal sources of supply for factories in one country are frequently found in the other; many Canadian business enter- prises are subsidiaries of US firms; there has been, and is, considerable movement of man- power in both directions across the border; economic institutions in both countries are closely parallel. Geography has to a marked degree made the two countries a single eco- nomic area. The relationship has been under- lined recently by the growing importance to the US of certain strategic raw materials in Canada?uranium for one and, for another, the iron ore of the Lake Superior region and of Labrador-Quebec which is coming under development as the US's own high-grade re- serves run out. Canada has, of course, long been the principal US source for such other strategic minerals as nickel, asbestos, and platinum. Canada's economy, nevertheless, has a life of its own which in some ways is strikingly different from that of the US. For one thing, Canada is still primarily a producer of raw materials. Despite the growing significance of manufacturing, the country's economie im- portance derives principally from its rank as a great world producer of grains, meat, and fish, of timber and wood products, of nickel, copper, zinc, and a variety of other minerals. Many of Canada's manufacturing establishments, moreover, are, like its pulp mills, devoted to the preliminary processing of raw materials. More than of most coun- tries on its general level of prosperity, the story of Canada's economy is the story of its natural resources. For another thing, Canada is highly de- pendent on international trade. With only some 13.5 million people, Canada ranks third among the nations of the world in value of foreign trade. On a per capita basis Canada actually tops the list. Its minerals and wood products largely seek markets in the US; its wheat and some of its other foods go to Brit- ish buyers and only secondarily to consumers in Ontario or Quebec. For much of its coal and oil, its machinery and its iron and steel products, on the other hand, Canada must look abroad?mainly to the US. Thus the prosperous functioning of the Canadian econ- omy always has a slightly precarious aspect, based as it is on the willingness and ability of foreign countries to continue buying Cana- dian products. In the year 1948 about 30 per- cent of Canada's production was exported. The Canadian economy is somewhat less prosperous than that of the US, though a highly prosperous one in comparison to most other countries in the world. Rough esti- mates of 1948 per capita income show Canada somewhat closer to the UK than to the US level, the figures reading: US $1,531; Canada $990; UK $774. The Canadian national in- come for 1948 was $12.8 billion and with some qualifications, Canada may be said to be cur- rently enjoying boom times. The index of in- dustrial production (1935-39=100) averaged 181.5 in 1948, compared to 175.5 during 1947 and a wartime peak (1944) of 198.8. In par- ticular, 1948 saw marked production gains for all the main commodities, an unprecedented peacetime capital expansion, a record labor income in manufacturing, and practically full employment. In June 1949, though indus- trial expansion was being more cautiously undertaken, general business conditions were still buoyant. SECRET 19 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 20 SECRET Geography has imposed handicaps on the Canadian economy, however, along with its endowment of natural resources; and special effort, particularly in the field of transpor- tation, has been necessary to surmount these obstacles of temperature and topography. The productive areas of the Maritime prov- inces, with their coal and iron mining, their fishing, orchards, and general farming, are separated by many miles of sparsely settled woodland from the industrialized and well- populated parts of Quebec and Ontario. The latter area is itself devoid of coal and has had to turn to extensive hydroelectric develop- ment (along with US coal) for the power to run its pulp and paper mills, textile plants, and other factories. Between these indus- trial centers and the wheat and cattle-raising Prairie provinces there intervenes another great strip of empty country, scarcely even crossed by roads. In much of the Prairie provinces themselves wheat growing has been possible only through the development of spe- cial strains adapted to the short growing sea- son. Finally, the barrier of the Rockies tends to cut off from the rest of Canada the rich province of British Columbia with its varied minerals and forest products, its fishing, fruit- raising and general farming. The enterprising management, the skill and good morale on the part of labor, which have been responsible for the overcoming of Can- ada's geographical handicaps, have been par- ticularly evident in the recent and rapid growth of manufacturing in Canada. Very largely a phenomenon of the twentieth cen- tury, manufacturing had expanded so greatly by 1947 as to surpass agriculture in the em- ployment statistics for that year. Of 4.8 mil- lion Canadians gainfully employed, about 27 percent were listed in the category of "manu- facturing and utilities" as opposed to some 23 percent under agriculture. Manufacturing is, however, still closely concerned with the pro- cessing of agricultural products or those of the important extractive industries, as is seen in the following table of the estimated net value of Canadian production in various in- dustrial groups for the year 1947: Industrial Groups Wood products and paper Iron and steel products Vegetable products Textiles and textile products Non-ferrous metal products Animal products Chemicals and allied products Non-metallic mineral products Miscellaneous industries Net Value (Millions of dollars) 988 909 648 473 406 324 235 195 66 Total 4,244 Economic organization has in general fol- lowed the same lines of private ownership and modified free enterprise found in the US, de- viations being due in the main to special con- ditions not duplicated south of the border. Thus the fields of transportation, communica- tion, and electric power, which for reasons of geography are deemed to have unusual im- portance for the national interest, are the sphere of operations for such large govern- ment corporations as the Canadian National Railways, Trans-Canada Air Lines, the Cana- dian Broadcasting Corporation, and various provincial telephone and electric power com- panies. Largely induced by wartime pres- sures and postwar international trade dislo- cations, there has been a tendency toward somewhat greater economic controls than in the US. During and immediately following World War II economic controls were highly effective, but by the end of 1948 most of them had been removed. Import controls, travel restrictions, and foreign exchange controls were again imposed in November 1947, pri- marily to solve trade problems and remedy a shortage of US dollars. The Canadian economy also reflects in marked degree Canada's intermediate position between the US and the UK. Historically, British economic influence was paramount there and for many years prior to World War II the standard pattern of trade relations was a triangular one by which Canada sold raw materials (principally food) to the UK and took payment very largely in manufactured products from the US. The inconvertibility SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET 21 of sterling has seriously disrupted this pat- tern now but not entirely destroyed it. In 1948 Canada sent 23 percent of its exports (by value) to the UK and obtained 11 percent of its imports there, while the US took 50 per- cent of Canadian exports and supplied 69 per- cent of Canadian imports. US capital in- vested in Canada has steadily grown while British capital has proportionately declined. By the end of 1947 total non-resident invest- ment in Canada was divided as follows: US $5,187 million; UK $1,642 million; other coun- tries $346 million. By another count made at the end of 1946 there were 2,015 branches of American and 475 branches of British firms operating in Canada. Citizens of other for- eign countries opened some 75 factories in Canada between the end of World War II and the end of 1948, but effective influence from these sources may be considered almost neg- ligible. As of the latter date, however, 37 per- cent of the total investment in manufacturing companies in Canada was in US-controlled companies. 2. Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries. a. Agriculture. Farming, the occupation of nearly a quar- ter of all gainfully employed Canadians, ex- hibits a pattern of grain and livestock produc- tion in the three Prairie provinces, and dairy- ing, horticulture, and mixed farming in the Eastern provinces and British Columbia. The principal agricultural zone is a belt generally less than 400 miles wide along the southern edge of the country, within which the mean temperature during July ranges from 60 to 70 degrees Fahrenheit, and rainfall is for the most part adequate. The three Prairie prov- inces are the main crop lands, though vari- able rainfall from year to year causes fluctu- ations in production. In British Columbia and the eastern Maritime provinces agricul- tural production is limited by mountainous terrain; moreover the poor soils of the Cana- dian Shield, covering 70 percent of the total land area of Canada, are relatively unproduc- tive. Nevertheless, owing to the concentra- tion of population in the east, part of the Shield is farmed despite the poor quality of its soils. The census of 1941 reported a total ag- ricultural area of 175,000,000 acres, of which about 60,000,000 were crop land, 20,000,000 planted in rotational summer fallow, and 95,- 000,000 in pasture, farm wood lots, and waste- land. Although farm labor, transportation, farm machinery, and fertilizer have been scarce since the war, great progress has been made towards filling these needs; moreover some of these shortages have been overcome in part by the development of new agricultural tech- niques and by modernization. The trend to- wards diversification is also significant, par- ticularly since mixed farming is a more stable pursuit than grain production, which is sub- ject to the unreliability of the prairie climate. An increase in irrigation farming could be carried much further, particularly in Alberta, and also could be expanded somewhat in Brit- ish Columbia. The growth of mechanization is shown by the census figures: between 1921 and 1941 there was a 234 percent increase in tractors (to 159,000) and a 150 percent in- crease in cars and trucks on farms (to 392,- 000). These trends have greatly increased the number of acres the average farm hand is able to manage. Co-operative buying, mar- keting, and distribution, plus results from scientific experimentation, have also aided in improving the efficiency of Canadian farm- ing. During World War II Canada achieved a high level of production of agricultural com- modities and was a major source of Allied food requirements. This contribution was made possible largely by the Canadian Government, which provided economic security for the farmer by its system of price controls, mar- keting agreements and subsidies, and guid- ance by yearly production programs based on food contracts and on needs indicated by vari- ous international boards and committees. In the early war years, mainly because of ship- ping deficiencies, bread grain production was reduced and feed grain production increased, thus making possible a greater output of live- stock and dairy products. Since the war the agricultural pattern has been readjusted, the principal consideration SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 22 SECRET being Canada's future market for farm prod- ucts. Each year's production of various com- modities is based on decisions of the Domin- ion-Provincial Agricultural Conferences which meet in December. Without government co- operation and support given to the farmer, the transition to postwar agriculture would not have been so easily effected. Although part of the British market has now been lost, Canada continues to place re- liance on British needs as a basis for planning agricultural production. During the war Canada and the UK negotiated a series of food contracts; the principal? products involved were wheat, bacon and pork products, beef, evaporated milk, eggs, poultry, and processed fruits and vegetables. The principal contract now in effect with the UK is the four-year wheat agreement for 1946-50. It specifies a price of $2 per bushel for 140 million bushels to be exported to the UK in 1949-50. Other major UK contracts are for bacon, cheese, and eggs, but the quantities involved are generally smaller than in previous years. The few food contracts presently in effect are in marked contrast to the number of approximately twenty existing in 1945. Canada's role as a major source of offshore purchases under the ECA program has tem- porarily eased the postwar marketing prob- lem, which has also been alleviated by in- creased exports of cattle and beef, dairy prod- ucts, poultry and eggs to the US. In some cases where new markets for agricultural products could not be found, it was only by increased domestic consumption or decreased production that the situation was relieved. Canadian wheat and flour are sold principally to the UK, and when ECA funds were tem- porarily unavailable for their purchase, a major problem arose. Although the British intend to honor the wheat contract in its last year, aided by US release of ECA funds at the Washington Conference, Canadian marketing prospects in the UK for 1950-51 under the In- ternational Wheat Agreement are not certain. The following table summarizes the produc- tion and export of major agricultural com- modities in Canada during prewar and post- war years. CANADA: Estimated Production and Trade of Major Food Commodities in 1947 and 1948 Compared with the 1935-39 Averages. Production Exports 1935-39 average 1947 1948 1935-39 average 1947 (thousand metric tons) Wheat 8,501 9,163 10,703 4,925 5,306 Oats 5,214 4,298 5,534 216 139 Barley 1,935 3,078 3,375 305 22 Rye 233 336 644 66 267 Potatoes 1,752 2,046 2,303 14 45 Meat * 643 966 917 88 186 Creamery butter 116 132 128 3 1.4 Cheddar cheese 54 54 39.2 36 25.2 Canned milk 45 113 133 10.9 27.1 Powdered milk 12.2 31.7 37.1 2.5 9.2 Eggs (million) 2,640 4,484 4,214 87 1,074 * Excluding edible offal, lard, and poultry meat. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET Livestock Numbers in Thousands as of 1 December of Various Periods (except as noted) 23 1935-39 average /947 1948 Cattle 8,246 8,944 8,251 Hogs 4,078 5,381 4,604 Sheep 2,650 1,587 1,322 Poultry 40,077* 47,310 40,000 * Average 1934-1938. The 1949 crop output is expected to be some- what below the 1948 harvest principally owing to a summer drought and abnormally high August temperature which caused premature ripening of grain over large sections of the Prairie provinces. Total 1949 production of the four principal grains was estimated as of September 1949 at approximately 17,749 thousand metric tons compared to the 1948 harvest of 20,256 thousand metric tons, or a reduction of approximately 12 percent. In addition to the decrease in feed grain produc- tion, August estimates of the 1949 hay crop indicated a total 1949 output approximately one-third below that of 1948. These reduced grain and forage supplies are expected to cause a decrease in the exportable surplus of these commodities as well as declines in pro- duction and exports of livestock products. Canada, with large exportable surpluses of grain, meat, and dairy products, has a high domestic nutritional standard. Civilian con- sumption has increased over the prewar levels, owing partly to greater production as well as to the higher incomes of the Canadian people. Food imports are principally of commodities not well adapted to production in Canada: fresh fruits 'and vegetables, sugar and sugar products, coffee, tea, and some fats and oils. The kind and quantity of food imports are of such nature, however, that Canada can be considered self-sufficient in time of an emer- gency. In the event of war a higher output of food could be effected, as in World War II. b. Forestry. Canada's forests are at present one of its most productive assets. Wood, wood prod- ucts, and paper rank first both in net value of production and in net value of exports, in 1948 contributing 31 percent of the latter. The largest single export is newsprint, in the production of which Canada leads all coun- tries; it is estimated that three-fifths of all newspaper pages appearing in the world are on Canadian newsprint. In 1948 Canada ex- ported 80 percent of its 4.6 million ton produc- tion of newsprint to the United States, while shipments to other countries, 72 in all, were decreasing because of the world shortage of dollars. Canada is also the world's second largest producer and exporter of pulp; in 1948, 1.7 million tons were exported out of a total production of 7.4 million tons. Productive forests cover 813,000 square miles, of which 435,000 square miles are economically accessible at present. The largest amounts of accessible merchantable timber are in Quebec, Ontario, and British Columbia, in that order. Approximately 95 percent of the Canadian timber cut consists of softwoods?principally spruce, Douglas fir, pine, hemlock, and cedar. Nearly every division of the wood, pulp, and paper industries has been increasing produc- tion in the past few years, mainly by modern- ization and expansion of existing plants rather than by building new ones; few new paper mills are being erected because of high building costs, the idle capacity existing in other nations, and the uncertainty of sus- tained demand. Decreased prices and fall- ing export markets are expected to affect the industry's future. In the less important field of lumber pro- duction 1947 was the peak year; 1948 unoffi- cial estimates show a slight production de- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14 : CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 24 SECRET crease. Normally about 50 percent of Cana- dian lumber production is exported, but in 1948 reduced UK purchases and a decreased demand for lower-grade lumber increased the available domestic supply. Although lum- bering prosperity is expected to continue in Canada, a diminishing supply of high-grade lumber, the UK's dollar shortage, and the tendency to convert wood to pulp and paper are having an effect on the industry. The 1949 cut is expected to be less than in recent years. c. Fisheries. Commercial fishing in Canada antedates the period of European settlement. Though its relative importance in the Canadian econ- omy has inevitably declined, fishing has con- tinued a major industry, and Canada today ranks about fifth in world fish production. On the Atlantic Coast the principal catches are cod and lobster, and on the Pacific Coast salmon, herring, and halibut. The fresh- water fish industry, centered in Manitoba, normally produces about one-tenth of the total. Both employment in the industry and the marketed value of catches have increased since before World War II. Immediately after the war there were fewer vessels engaged in fish- ing than in the prewar period, but they were in general much larger and better equipped. The number of sailing vessels and small boats had decreased. Canada has thus been placed in a better competitive position as other major fish exporting nations continue to increase their production. The principal export market for Canadian fishery products is the US. The UK has in the past received a large proportion of canned fish exports, but exchange difficulties have necessitated a restriction in these purchases since 1947. Salt fish markets are found largely in Latin America and the US. 3. Fuels and Power. a. Electric Power. Electric power is of central importance to Canadian industry. With Canada's own coal deposits located at the extremities of the country, the industrial region of Ontario and Quebec is mainly dependent for its power on coal imported from the US and on electricity generated from Canadian water resources. These resources are vast in extent and have been greatly developed in recent years; but, as of the end of 1948, some four-fifths of the estimated minimum potential resources still remain to be exploited. Installed hydro- electric capacity at this date was approxi- mately 8,109,000 kilowatts; and the annual per capita production of all electric power was over 3,300 kilowatt hours compared to about 2,300 in the US and about 900 in the UK. Thermally generated power is an insignificant factor in Canada, accounting for only 2.9 per- cent of the total as contrasted with 74.2 per- cent in the US. Electric power development has taken place much more under public auspices than it has in the US. Hydroelectric development in Canada has been rapid over the past decade but still has not kept up with industry's growing demands. Average monthly production in 1948, for ex- ample, was 57 percent greater than in 1939. About 1,492,000 kilowatts were added to the developed water power capacity during World War II and, after a lull in 1945 and 1946, con- struction of new power plants began to in- crease again in 1947. Undertakings pres- ently planned for the next five years will prob- ably increase over-all capacity about 20 per- cent above that installed at the end of 1948. Ontario and Quebec, which last year con- sumed 81 percent of all Canadian electric power, still suffer from deficiencies in the so- called "acute fuel zone" of their southern in- dustrial region. To alleviate this situation these provinces have planned the largest ex- pansion programs in the Dominion and con- struction is under way on some of the projects, thus promising material improvement in the situation in the near future. Despite this increasing capacity, a severe shortage necessitating restrictions on the use of power existed in Ontario in 1948 owing to lack of planning for increased industrial use and to low rainfall in 1947 and 1948. It is estimated that Ontario, which produces about 43 percent of Canadian industrial products, was losing about $50 million annually because of power shortages. On 30 November 1948 SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? ? SECRET 25 an increase in power quotas for southern On- tario went into effect and has temporarily given relief, but the harnessing of the St. Lawrence River may be the only long-range solution. Canadians are awaiting the de- cision of the US Congress on such joint de- velopments as the St. Lawrence project. b. Coal. Canada currently produces only about a third of its requirements in coal. Annual pro- duction, which reached 18.4 million tons in 1948 (a 16 percent increase over 1947 output), has in the past decade failed to keep pace with rising industrial needs, as is seen by a com- parison with the prewar period when only about half of requirements were imported. Canada's coal deposits are, however, exten- sive: it is estimated that, at an average an- nual production of 18 million tons, reserves * would last 2,700 years. The present low pro- duction is due to the location of the coal de- posits in the western and eastern provinces, principally in Alberta, British Columbia, and Nova Scotia, at such distances from the indus- trial centers of Ontario and Quebec that these provinces, lacking any coal themselves, find it cheaper to import the bulk of their require- ments from the US. By improvement of domestic marketing and production methods, greater shipments to central Canada, and per- haps exports to western states in the US, Ca- nadian coal production could be boosted with a tremendous saving in US dollars, even though imports of certain types of coal from the US would continue. While government subsidies and special freight rates have helped to further these objectives, the present sub- sidies would have to be greatly increased and freight rates further lowered before Canadian coal could compete seriously with imported US coal in central Canada. c. Petroleum and Natural Gas. Despite a rapidly rising domestic produc- tion, Canada is still heavily dependent on im- ports for its oil supplies. Though the 1948 production of 12.3 million barrels was 60 per- cent greater than that of 1947, it still met only some 14 percent of Canada's rising con- * Estimated at 49 billion net tons recoverable and 99 billion net tons available. sumption requirements. It is hoped, how- ever, that 1949 production may approach 20 percent of requirements. The bulk of the imports are in the form of crude, the refining being done in Canada. In 1948 Venezuela was the principal supplier of Canada's crude oil imports, with the US the second most important source. The volun- tary decrease in imports from the US has in- tensified a trend toward increased imports from Latin America and other sources. The rich Alberta oil fields, moreover, are becoming an increasingly important factor. These fields have been producing at the rate of more than a million barrels a month since June 1948 and could produce much more if economical transportation facilities were available to move the oil to the main areas of consumption in central Canada, or if there were greater refining and storage capacities in the Prairie provinces. Even at the Janu- ary 1949 production rate, these new fields are estimated to be responsible for savings of for- eign exchange amounting to $40 million per year. Alberta produced 88 percent of Cana- dian production in 1948 and Saskatchewan and the Northwest Territories most of the re- mainder; exploration and development work goes forward, some $50 million being spent for this purpose in 1948. A huge supply of petroleum is located in the bituminous sands along the Athabaska River near Fort McMurray in Alberta. Esti- mates of these deposits range up to 250 billion barrels. Although not all of this oil would be recoverable, the above-cited estimate is over three times the rest of the world's presently proved reserves. Current research is expected to develop eventually techniques making the economical exploitation of these reserves pos- sible. Natural gas, still relatively unimportant as a fuel, is gaining more significance. Produc- tion in 1948 was estimated at 58.9 billion cubic feet, approximately 84 percent of it in Alberta, with Ontario, New Brunswick, and Saskatche- wan producing small amounts. Large known reserves of natural gas exist in Alberta, and several companies are trying to arrange ex- ports to the US. The province of Alberta, SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 26 SECRET however, wishes first to assure that adequate supplies are available for its own use. 4. Mining and Mineral Industries. a. Iron Ore. US-Canadian interdependence is particu- larly evident in iron and steel production. Aside from the extensive low-grade produc- tion of the Wabana mines in Newfoundland and the steel mill at Sydney, Nova Scotia, which depends on them, the Canadian indus- try forms a sort of small-scale complement to the American on the other side of the Great Lakes, shipping most of its own ore to US mills and relying largely on American ore to supply the Canadian mills. This situation is due mainly to the fact that the most economi- cal furnace mixture consists of high-grade Ca- nadian and lower-grade US ore. In concrete terms, the Helen and Steep Rock mines in the Lake Superior region now send to the US about four-fifths of their annual production (1,206,829 tons,* according to preliminary figures for 1948) ; while Canadian mills, mainly in southern Ontario, imported in 1948 3,025,720 tons from American mines, this being about three-quarters of total imports. Though Canada's self-sufficiency on net bal- ance is increasing as iron ore production steadily rises, this mutually beneficial traffic across the Great Lakes will continue to be a heavy one. The upward trend in Canadian iron ore pro- duction is very marked. The rich Steep Rock mine has not yet reached full production; with the $8 million of new capital it has re- cently obtained, it plans to triple its annual output to three million tons within a few * Tons are long tons in this entire section. years. The Wabana mines in Newfoundland, with their low mining and transportation costs, are also capable of producing much more than the 1948 record of 1,486,056 tons; but this development is of little significance to the US, since the ore's comparatively high silica and phosphorous content restricts its use in most US and Canadian mills. Of much greater importance is the development just getting under way in a 30,000-square-mile area of Quebec-Labrador which contains large de- posits of high-grade iron ore. By the end of 1948, 300 million tons of ore were proved, the minimum considered necessary to warrant an investment of about $250 million to put the existing concessions into production. Con- cessions are held by six companies, including the M. A. Hanna Company of Cleveland, Ohio, associated with the Hollinger interests of Canada. A charter has been granted by the Dominion Government for a 360-mile railway to carry the ore to the St. Lawrence. Full development of the deposits, however, will pre- sumably depend on construction of the St. Lawrence waterway, and the assurance of markets for approximately nine million tons of ore annually. Canadian reserves of iron ore are known to be extensive and further prospecting still goes on. In addition to the fuller exploration of the Quebec-Labrador area, there are gov- ernment and private drilling operations going on in Ontario, and in 1948 an aerial magnetic survey of a large area in eastern Ontario was made by the Department of Mines and Re- sources. A recent estimate of reserves runs as follows, the figures being in millions of long tons: Actual Total Newfoundland 1200 2500 Quebec-Labrador 300 300 -I- New Brunswick (Bathurst) 0.6 0.6 Ontario 32.0 547.6 British Columbia (Texada) 1.5 SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET 27 ? b. Steel. Out of some 50 firms in the industry, three steel corporations, centered in different parts of the country and engaged in all stages of production from ore to finished steel, are the principal basic steel producers. The Steel Company of Canada's mills in the Hamilton area on Lake Ontario depend primarily on their own ore mines in the US; Algoma Steel Corporation runs its plant at Sault Ste. Marie at the head of Lake Huron largely on ore from the Ontario mines operated by a subsidiary of the company; and the Dominion Steel and Coal Corporation at Sydney, Nova Scotia, gets its iron ore from the company-owned and operated Wabana mines in Newfoundland, supplemented by high-grade ore imported from overseas. Considerable expansion took place during World War II, both in the pri- mary steel industry and in such secondary steel industries as shipbuilding, aircraft, and motor vehicles, in order to meet Canada's de- fense needs. Although the 1948 basic steel output of 3,150,758 tons reached an all-time peak and production in the first six months of 1949 was at an even higher rate, the Canadian in- dustry has nevertheless fallen behind the gen- eral industrial development of the country. Net imports totalling about one-fourth of domestic production were in 1948 necessary to meet Canada's requirements. Canadian steel production, indeed, is on a rough per capita basis only one-third that of the US. Some expansion is being effected, but the in- dustry is disturbed by rising costs and the fear of overproduction, and no vast enlarge- ment is planned. Even the offer of govern- Mineral or metal ment loans in January 1949 failed to induce any company to develop new primary units of production. c. Non-Ferrous Metals. With few exceptions production of the major non-ferrous metals has followed a fairly consistent pattern, having reached a wartime peak, decreased through 1946, and from 1947 to the present shown an upward trend. Since Canada is such an important source of many of these non-ferrous minerals, its production will continue to reflect world demand. During the war years 1942-1945, Canada accounted for seven percent of the total vol- ume of US supply of strategic and critical minerals, excluding iron ore and petroleum. Significant percentages of US supply of spe- cific minerals which were met by imports from Canada are shown in the table below. Canadian metals are of great importance to the US, which has been purchasing nickel, copper, lead, zinc, and cadmium for stockpil- ing purposes. Throughout World War II Canada was able to help supply the Allied countries with these and many other metals, and the strategic value to the US of rich Ca- nadian minerals is great. The well-equipped Canadian base metal mines and metallurgical plants are capable of a production increase as in World War II should a future emergency arise. (1) Nickel. Canada has been the world leader in mine production of nickel for many years, output (in terms of metal content) averaging about three-quarters of the world total. The In- ternational Nickel Company of Canada, Ltd. Percentage of US World War II Supply Accounted for by Imports from Canada Aluminum 15 Asbestos 89 Cobalt 8 Mercury 8 Nickel 85 Platinum Group Metals 49 Selenium 18 Zinc 9 SECRET , Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 28 SECRET and the Falconbridge Nickel Mines, Ltd. are the two most important producers, the nickel- copper mines of the Sudbury district of On- tario providing nearly all the Canadian out- put. Production is largely governed by world demand; average consumption of refined nickel by Canadian foundries amounts to only about 1,800 tons annually. Increases in ex- ports to the US have resulted from US stock- piling and increased consumption in the steel industry. (2) Copper. Canada's position in world copper mine pro- duction varies from third to fourth, depend- ing in part on the current level of nickel pro- duction, since approximately 50 percent of Canadian copper is obtained from the Sud- bury deposits mentioned above. From 1941 through 1946 mine production steadily de- creased, but since then it has climbed to about three-quarters of the 1940 peak production. Most of Canada's primary copper production is refined domestically. Greater domestic consumption of refined copper in recent years has made the export surplus smaller than in the prewar period. The UK is the principal customer for Canadian copper, although the US took a slightly increased proportion during the war. In 1946 and 1947 virtually all Ca- nadian exports went to the UK. In 1948, however, British imports being smaller, the US has been able to purchase copper in line with its stockpiling objectives. (3) Zinc. Canada ranks second in world zinc produc- tion (mine output), and 1948's 12 percent in- crease in mine production over 1947 was a re- versal of the otherwise steady production de- creases since 1943. The demand for Cana- dian high-grade zinc is increasing in both Canada and the US. Before World War II the UK was the largest importer of Canadian zinc but in the later war years the US took the largest share. In 1948 Canada was the primary source of US imports. (4) Lead. Canada is the fourth largest mine producer of lead. In 1948 mine output was 4 percent above 1947 but considerably below the war- time level. Domestic consumption has nearly tripled compared to 1938. The US and the UK together in 1948 imported about 96 per- cent of Canadian exports of refined lead. (5) Aluminum. Although Canada must import bauxite and other raw materials in order to produce alumi- num, the Canadian aluminum industry is the world's second largest, a situation made pos- sible by the abundant low-cost hydroelectric power in Quebec. In fact, aluminum is one of the few metals the world price of which tends to be set by Canada as the world's lowest-cost producer. Canadian production in 1948 was less than that during the wartime peak, but Canada has over 20 percent of esti- mated world capacity, which is capable of more rapid expansion than that of the world's principal producer, the US. The Canadian aluminum industry is largely devoted to ex- ports, domestic consumption utilizing only a small part of Canadian output. The UK has for many years been the largest purchaser of Canadian aluminum, current imports being ECA financed. During the war the US took a larger share of Canadian exports than ever before, and recently, because of increased US needs, imports from Canada have risen. The US takes nearly all of Canadian aluminum scrap exports and substantial supplies of aluminum bars and ingots. (6) Platinum and Platinum Group Metals. Accurate statistics for the USSR are not available, but Canada is apparently the prin- cipal world producer of refined platinum and platinum group metals, a position held since 1934. The US is the largest consumer of platinum metals; in 1948 Canada supplied nearly one-half of US imports. (7) Gold. Canada ranks about third in world mine output and since 1930 gold has been the prin- cipal contributor in value to Canadian min- eral output. Yet this industry faces the prob- lems of rising production costs and increased labor payrolls, while the fixed selling price of gold remains at $35 an ounce. The return of the Canadian dollar to parity with the US dollar in July 1946 added to the industry's difficulties at the same time that expansion was being aided by lifting the restrictions on SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 SECRET 29 ? ? ? development work. Marginal mines have been aided in meeting inflated costs by govern- ment financial assistance and the labor situ- ation has been helped by the importation of displaced persons, yet the industry is still operating below capacity. Production in 1948, although showing a 14 percent increase over 1947, was 35 percent below the record 1941 output; production in each of the years 1936 to 1943 inclusive exceeded that in 1948. (8) Silver. Canada is among the world's leading silver producers. Production of silver (bullion and ores in concentrates) increased 25 percent in 1948 compared to the previous year after having decreased each year since 1940, yet exports declined 15 percent from the 1947 level. The principal customer for Canadian silver is the US. (9) Uranium and Other Non-Ferrous Metals. One of the world's principal uranium mines is located in Canada. During the past year active exploration has taken place and Canada is presumably one of the two leading pro- ducers of uranium ores. In addition to the metals described above, bismuth, cadmium, chromite, cobalt, mag- nesium, molybdenum, pitchblende products, titanium, and tungsten are among the im- portant non-ferrous metals found in signifi- cant quantities in Canada. d. Non-metallic Minerals?Asbestos. Canada is, and has been for many years, the world's principal producer of asbestos, and its proximity to the world's largest market, the US, has obvious advantages for both coun- tries, particularly since the US is greatly de- ficient in this strategic material. Production in 1948 set a record and was about' two-thirds of the world total, but a five-month strike ended in July 1949 will un- doubtedly affect 1949 output. The industry is centered in Quebec, the asbestos mined being principally of the chrysotile variety. With the present world shortage of raw and manufactured asbestos despite increasing world production, the outlook for Canadian asbestos producers is excellent. Well over 90 percent of the Canadian output is exported, and although the US is the principal market, it goes to all parts of the world. Canadian deposits of asbestos are the larg- est known in the world. Prospecting, expan- sion, and improvement of present plants and new plant construction now being undertaken are adding to Canadian productive capacity and decreasing dependence on imports of cer- tain manufactured asbestos articles. Al- though most exports are at present in the un- manufactured state, in the future Canada will be an important source of manufactured as- bestos products as well. 5. Manufacturing. The chief development of Canadian manu- facturing has taken place in the twentieth century. Even before 1939, Canada was the second largest manufacturing country in the British Commonwealth. As far back as World War I the gross value of manufactured prod- ucts had begun to exceed the gross value of primary commodities. World Wars I and II, the latter in particular, created a situation in which Canada became an important source of food and armaments and in which the basis for peacetime industrial development was laid. World War II led to a tremendous expan- sion and diversification of Canadian manu- facturing, industrial production reaching its height in 1944. The change from war to peacetime economy adversely affected manu- facturing production and employment in 1945 and 1946, and major labor disturbances in the latter year added to the difficulties. Canada has now entered a new manufactur- ing era; industrial expansion has been rapid in the past two years and industrial produc- tion as a whole now exceeds that of any former peacetime period. Manufacturing employed the largest group of workers in 1947, 27 per- cent of the total, having now passed agricul- tural employment for the first time in Can- ada's peacetime history. The US stake in Canadian manufacturing is important; US direct investment accounts for over 20 percent of the total capital in Canadian manufactur- ing plants. a. Food Processing Industries. Food processing industries have expanded considerably during World War II and the SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14 CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 30 SECRET postwar years, and at present contribute about one-quarter of the total output of manu- factured products. Exports of agricultural raw products in 1947 were two and one-half times the 1939 level; whereas exports of agri- cultural manufactured products have in- creased fivefold. The leading industry in this group is slaughtering and meat packing. The 1948 estimated animal slaughterings were above the prewar averages, yet have decreased from wartime peaks and in 1949 a decrease from 1948 levels is expected. With the lifting of the embargo on exports of beef cattle to the US, 1948 marketings were heavy but the 1949 total of live and slaugh- tered cattle exports to the US is expected to decline. Canned meat exports in 1948 were considerably above prewar, but less than one- half of the 1947 figure. Other important industries are flour mill- ing and the processing of dairy products. Most types of packaged foods are also pro- duced in Canada, and tobacco, fats, oils and oilseeds are processed from domestic stocks and imports. b. Textiles. Although this industry is important, Can- ada is not self-sufficient in textile production. Industries in this group do, however, repre- sent nearly all stages of manufacture. Mod- ernization and expansion in the industry and the comparatively low prices of Canadian tex- tile products have put them on a much better competitive footing with foreign nations than in prewar days. Many mills now have the most modern machinery available. The year 1948 was one of achievement in the textile industry, yet left the industry still uncertain of its position because of foreign competition. Although production is below wartime levels and backlogs of postwar orders have been largely filled, the industry is still operating above prewar levels. Since April 1949, output has decreased because of heavy imports, particularly from the UK. Yet the UK, whose textile and textile products exports to Canada earn nearly one-half of the dollars earned by British sales in Canada, has not in the past been able to fulfill its export target in textiles in Canada, partly because of high prices. Under present conditions Canadians have been meeting outside competition by in- creased quality and efficiency, but expansion of facilities has been cautious lately because of the uncertainty as to the extent of future foreign competition. c. Chemicals and Allied Products. The extensive and growing chemical indus- try of Canada is mainly concerned with the processing of primary materials and will be dependent on large imports until such time as other domestic industries expand greatly. In a few chemical industries, location, raw ma- terial availability, or cheap fuel give Canada an advantage but these are the exception. One of the striking features of the Cana- dian chemical industry is its physical and financial dependence on the US. Nine-tenths of Canadian imports of chemicals currently come from the US as well as most imports of chemical industrial machinery; the US is also Canada's best customer for chemical exports, taking two-fifths of the total. The industry is largely US owned; over two-thirds of the total investment is estimated to be controlled in the US. Much of the remainder is con- trolled in the UK. Through this foreign con- trol, however, Canada gains ready access to extensive chemical patents. Nearly all phases of the industry are at present expanding, aided in the past few years by reconversion of government wartime chem- ical projects. The monthly index of indus- trial production of chemical products in 1948 (1935-39 equals 100) averaged 182.2 com- pared to 410.2 in 1943 and 112.7 in 1939. The gross value of production of chemicals and allied products in 1948 was $554,000,000. The manufacture of fertilizer is important to Canada's agricultural production. In the case of nitrogen fertilizers, at present in short world supply, Canada is the world's third largest exporter. Phosphate rock, used in the production of superphosphates, and potash must be imported from the US although pot- ash discoveries in Saskatchewan will probably change the picture in regard to that mineral. The heavy chemicals industry in Canada is strong and diversified, supplying about 70 per- cent of Canadian needs and also many im- portant exports. Peacetime operations in SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET 31 this industry have already absorbed much of the wartime expansion. Sulphuric acid pro- duction has expanded greatly but is mainly dependent upon imports of sulphur for its raw material, although Canada .is an exporter of pyrites. Salt production is continuing to in- crease, but substantial imports are still needed. In the organic chemicals field, much expan- sion and new development has taken place, particularly in the production of acetylene products, coal tar derivatives, synthetic rub- ber, resins, and plastics. This expansion is decreasing Canada's hitherto great reliance on imports of these products. The wartime-constructed plant of the Poly- mer Corporation in southern Ontario pro- duces two of the most important types of synthetic rubber, as well as the principal com- ponents for them. Production of synthetic rubber reached a peak of 50,981 long tons in 1946 and has decreased to an estimated 40,455 long tons in 1948. Although present rubber consumption in Canada is two and one-half that of 1938, consumption of synthetic rubber has decreased from three-fourths of total con- sumption in 1946 to one-third of the total in 1948. The US was the largest foreign cus- tomer in 1948. Canada is a major world producer in the field of plastics and the industry of plastic materials and plastics manufacturing is one of the fastest growing in the country. Sales in the Canadian plastics industry totaled $62,300,000 in 1948, which is nearly nine times the 1939 value. Approximately 90 percent of the Canadian plastics industry is controlled by subsidiaries or branch plants of US firms. Although important in dollar value of pro- duction, medicinals and pharmaceuticals, paints and varnishes, and soaps and deter- gents are produced principally for domestic use and in some cases the supply produced does not meet demand. Furthermore, al- though these industries are expanding, they are not of as great importance to the US and other countries as the ones considered in greater detail. ? d. Machinery and Related Products. Although machinery is still one of Canada's major imports, the domestic development in this strategic field is going ahead rapidly and the capability exists for still further expansion in wartime. The latest available statistics on the machinery industry in Canada are for 1947, but output for 1948 was above that of 1947. The value of 1947 production of indus- trial machinery was $200.8 million, 28 percent above that of 1946.* 1948 was a record year for the railway roll- ing stock industry and at least during 1949 this capacity business is expected to continue, bolstered by both large foreign and domestic orders. Had more Canadian steel been avail- able and more hard currency obtainable by Canada's customers, 1948 would have been an even more successful year. The farm implements and machinery in- dustry, operating at peak capacity, was not able to meet demand during 1948. This in- dustry, continually expanding with large ex- ports, nevertheless is dependent on the US for many parts and also for supplying a large portion of Canada's domestic requirements. Production of farm implements and machin- ery (not including large tractors) in 1947 was valued at approximately $80 million, 35 per- cent above the value of 1946 production. In 1948 Canadian sales of agricultural machin- ery to the US totalled $67 million and imports from the US $128 million. A most significant increase has taken place in the past two years in the tractor industry; in 1948 the US was by far the largest customer for Canadian trac- tors. The electrical apparatus and supplies in- dustry is one of the principal manufacturing industries in Canada. Electronic and nu- clear research at present being conducted in Canada, and the fact that Canada is one of the world's largest uranium producers, may be expected to place Canada among the lead- ers when new developments in this field are utilized industrially. Canada is a leading producer of crude arti- ficial abrasives such as aluminum oxide and silicon carbide. The production value of crude artificial abrasives in 1947 was $21.6 million, two-thirds of which was exported, principally to the US. * Excluding agricultural and electrical machinery. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 32 SECRET e. Other Industries. Production in the shipbuilding industry in Canada has declined greatly since the war years, the major consideration at present be- ing a contracted world market for merchant vessel tonnage. Deliveries of new merchant vessels in 1948 totaled 161,664 gross tons, nearly 50 percent above 1947 deliveries. Nev- ertheless tonnage under construction in the last quarter of 1948 had dropped 53 percent from the first quarter. It is estimated that a total of only 85,000 gross tons will be de- livered in 1949, partially attributable to ac- celerated, subsidized construction programs in other countries and sharply increased Cana- dian construction costs coupled with a short- age of dollars experienced by many Canadian customers. In May 1948, the government an- nounced a long-range plan of granting con- cessions to encourage shipping companies to sell out-of-date vessels to foreign governments and have replacements built in Canadian yards as a solution to the problems of sus- taining Canadian shipbuilding activity and modernizing Canada's merchant marine. Present high shipbuilding costs will preclude many shipowners from, taking advantage of the program. The automobile industry produced 267,760 passenger and commercial vehicles in 1948, only a slight increase in production over 1947 because of: (1) the steel shortage; (2) a pro- tracted strike in a leading auto parts plant; and (3) restrictions on imports of parts from the US. Total Canadian imports of vehicles declined steeply, particularly from the US. Canadian exports of vehicles also declined be- cause of exchange restrictions imposed by Canada's principal customers. Construction awards totalling $954 million in 1948 were 33 percent above 1947 awards, constituting an all-time record. Material and skilled labor shortages have been largely overcome and in 1949 the industry is expected to operate a peak capacity. Other important Canadian industries include a wide range of consumers' goods produced mainly for domes- tic consumption. 6. Finance. a. Currency. The Canadian dollar, the monetary unit of Canada, was devalued on 20 September 1949 to $US 0.90. The unofficial value at New York had long been at a discount with US cur- rency. At the beginning of World War II the official selling rate of the Canadian dollar fell to a discount at New York; the Canadian Government pegged this rate in September 1939 and it remained unchanged until 15 October 1945 when it again fell. On 5 July 1946 the Canadian Government ap- preciated, the Canadian dollar by bringing its official rate to a parity with the US dollar, and a corresponding adjustment was made in relation to sterling. As to the issuance of currency, Canada has had three types of note issues, but Bank of Canada notes will soon become the only type of paper currency in circulation in Canada since by government action they are the only notes issued since 1 January 1945. The Roy- al Canadian Mint produces the coins used in everyday business transactions. Canadian paper currency and subsidiary coins gener- ally resemble in size and weight US currency of similar denominations. During 1948 the usual inflationary forces of an expanding postwar economy were oper- ating. It is estimated that this inflation cost Canadian consumers approximately one billion dollars during 1948. One of the prin- cipal causes has been the increased price of imported raw materials used in Canadian manufacturing. Other factors causing price increases were increased labor and produc- tion costs, the pressure of expanding pur- chasing power in relation to the availability of goods and services, and the removal or re- duction of subsidies. Indicative of inflation, the amount of money in circulation in April 1949 was 5 percent more than one year pre- viously and over four times the 1939 average. Money supply was also 5 percent above the comparative figure for one year previously and over three times the 1939 average. Nev- ertheless Canada's inflation has not been so severe as in many other countries partially because of the success of wartime price con- SECRET , Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET trol and gradual and orderly postwar decon- trol. The Dominion Government budget policy in the past two years has somewhat countered inflation (see below) , as has the arrival of a buyers' market for a few Canadian prod- ucts. Nevertheless the first decrease for 23 months in the cost-of-living index (1935-39 equals 100) took place in December 1948 when it dropped slightly to 158.9. At present it is again rising slightly and reached a record level of 162.8 in August 1949. b. Central Banking. The Bank of Canada, the government- owned central bank since 1935, functions as banking agent and financial adviser to the Dominion Government. This bank does not compete with chartered banks in the field of commercial banking and does not accept de- posits from individuals. It may buy and sell securities in the open market, discount securi- ties and commercial bills, buy and sell bullion, and deal in foreign exchange. The Bank of Canada may vary the amount of reserves re- quired of the banking system to be held against deposits, thus controlling the total volume of bank credit. The controls exer- cised and advice given by the Bank of Canada greatly influence the lending operations of the commercial banks, the latter having few regulations to govern them. The head office is at Ottawa and it maintains an agency in each Canadian province. A subsidiary of the Bank of Canada, the Industrial Development Bank, supplements the activities of other leading agencies by making loans only to in- dustrial enterprises under certain conditions and is prohibited from engaging in deposit banking. c. Commercial Banking. Unlike the US, where thousands of sep- arately owned banks exist, there are only ten chartered banks in Canada at present, with 3,385 branches and sub-agencies in the Dominion in 1948 and extensive representa- tion abroad. These banks have in general the same facilities and services as do US banks. A great expansion of assets and of bank activities has taken place since the beginning 33 of World War II. The monthly average of total assets of chartered banks in 1948 was $8,140 million compared to $3,592 million in 1939. The principal origin of this increase in assets was the acquisition of government securities during the war, the vast wartime economic expansion being achieved with a minimum of additional bank credit in the form of loans and discounts. In the postwar period the upward trend in bank holdings of the government debt has ended. The rate of increase in bank loans to business and in- dividuals, evident since 1945, is now leveling off. The branch banking system has an im- portant effect on the soundness of banking activity. In Canada there has been no bank failure since 1923, although there have been five major tests of the strength and adapta- bility of the Canadian banking system since then. d. Other Banks. In Canada the great bulk of the current savings of the people is deposited in the Cana- dian chartered banks described above and in trust and loan companies. Special savings banks include the Post Office Savings Bank, Provincial Government savings institutions, and two savings banks in the Province of Quebec. In 1945 there were also 2,219 credit unions in Canada. These various savings institutions are controlled by either the Do- minion Government or the Provincial Gov- ernments under whose jurisdiction they operate. e. Government Finance. During the war years, Canada's expendi- tures were greater than its revenues, and this deficit spending was financed largely through the sale of bonds, of which 84 percent were sold to the public and 16 percent to banks. High taxes and heavy surpluses were maintained as a government policy for the 1947-48 and 1948-49 budgets in order to re- duce the debt and counter inflation. This is in line with the announced government policy of high taxation and budget surpluses in times of prosperity and lower taxes and, if necessary, budget deficit in less prosperous times. The 1949-50 budget proposals aban- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 34 SECRET don this cyclical budget practice in favor of a tax decrease. The principal sources of Canadian Govern- ment revenue are income and excess profits taxes, customs duties and excise taxes, and the sales tax. Principal items of expenditure are interest charges on the debt, departmental costs and payments, veterans' payments, fam- ily allowances, and military expenditures. For the fiscal year 1948-49 total revenue was estimated at $2,771 million and total ex- penditures at $2,175 million, leaving an esti- mated surplus of $595 million. This was $81 million less than the surplus of the previous year. The budget for 1949-50 proposes exten- sive tax reductions, and the decreased rev- enues and increased expenditures would leave a surplus of about $90 million. The estimated debt on 31 March 1949 was $11.7 billion. This is approximately 3.7 times the 1939 debt, but a reduction over the net debt of the past three fiscal years, the internal war-incurred debt having been reduced by utilization of budget surpluses for that pur- pose. Canada has made large postwar loans to foreign governments (see Foreign Trade and Finance) and is thus a creditor nation in external indebtedness. 7. Foreign Trade and Finance. a. Foreign Trade. The value of Canada's foreign trade per capita is the highest in the world; the total value ranks third among nations, and was in 1948 equivalent to approximately 45 percent of the national income, which may be com- pared with the figures of 39 percent and 9 percent in the UK and US, respectively. Canada is predominantly a surplus pro- ducer of primary materials?grain and other agricultural products, forest products, metals and minerals. Supplementary manufactured items, heavy machinery, some basic commod- ities, and certain products not indigenous to Canada must be purchased primarily by ex- ports of this surplus. During recent years a great industrial expansion has occurred, which was at first aided by a highly protective tariff, but the trend in recent years has been toward the lowering of trade barriers and an emphasis on development of industries able to compete in a world market. Principal Canadian exports are newsprint and other forest products, wheat and wheat flour, minerals, fish and fish products, and grains other than wheat. Canadian food products are marketed principally in the UK, as are small quantities of minerals, forest products, and fish. The sale of pulp and paper products (principally newsprint) ac- counts for approximately 40 percent of the total value of Canadian exports to the US; other important Canadian exports to the US are minerals, cattle, and small quantities of other agricultural products. Principal Canadian imports are machinery and vehicles, petroleum and petroleum prod- ucts, iron and steel and their products, coal, and cotton, wool, and textiles. The US is the principal supplier of most of these imports, the UK providing mainly wool fabrics, manu- factured cotton and textiles, autos, and cer- tain luxury items. At present Canada faces difficult trade problems the understanding of which necessi- tates a review of Canadian trade history. Be- fore World War II Canada engaged in tri- angular trade, financing the import surplus in its merchandise trade with the US by an export surplus to the 1.4K and other countries. During World War II two factors helped more nearly to balance Canadian-US trade by in- creasing Canadian exports to the US. There were first the Hyde Park Agreement, in pur- suit of which the US placed large orders for Canadian war goods, and second the in- creased filling by Canada of US import re- quirements for goods such as wood pulp and minerals, as traditional European sources of supply were cut off. This was particularly important since Canada required military and capital equipment from the US. After the war, however, the old trade pat- tern of a great excess of imports from the US developed, intensified by a backlog of Cana- dian consumer demand and a great capital expansion program. This resulted in a de- crease of the reserve of gold and US dollar holdings from $1,500 million at the end of 1945 to about $500 million by November 1947. This fact, plus the inconvertibility of sterling SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/02/14: CIA-RDP78-01617A001700050001-7 ? ? SECRET and the necessity of financing Canadian ex- ports to Europe largely on credit, compelled Canada to take emergency action to build up the dwindling reserves of US dollars. There- fore in November 1947 the Canadian Govern- ment announced a dollar conservation pro- gram with the twofold purpose of restricting expenditures in US dollars by means of import restrictions and exchange controls, and of in- creasing earnings of US dollars by expanding exports to the US. The success of this pro- gram has been marked. In 1948, the value of Canadian exports to the US increased 45 per- cent and the value of imports from the US was reduced 9 percent. Canada's exchange position was further aided by the expenditure of ECA dollars in Canada to the amount of nearly $600 million in 1948. Canadian hold- ings of gold and US dollars increased by De- cember 1948 to $998 million (including a $150 million US loan) , more than double such hold- ings a year previous. The Canadian-UK trade pattern has also been readjusted since the war. In spite of ECA aid and a Canadian loan, Britain's dollar difficulties have precluded as high a level of buying in Canada as formerly, especially since alternative supplies have become available to the UK in the sterling area. British bulk pur- chase contracts for agricultural commodities have been cut in variety as well as in quantity of products purchased. The effects of this curtailment in British buying have been felt by segments of the Canadian economy, and the Canadian Government is attempting to bring UK-Canadian trade nearer to a balance by encouraging increased importation of UK products. Failure in some cases of the UK to deliver (e.g., in the case of textile orders), plus consumer resistance to high 'UK prices in many lines as a buyer's market . approaches, have made this readjustment somewhat diffi- cult, but progress is being made. (See Table below.) In 1946 Canada made a loan of $1,250 million to the UK to stimulate purchases. By April 1948, Canada found it necessary to freeze the balance of $235 million of this loan remaining to be drawn; in January 1949, this unused portion was unfrozen with the provi- sion that $10 million could be drawn monthly. 35 Since Canada is dependent on imports from the US, Canada has no choice under present ? payments difficulties but to increase its de- pendence on the US market. It is recognized that this increases Canada's vulnerability to economic conditions in the US but the neces- sity of balancing trade on a bilateral basis outweighs this consideration. Furthermore, the government feels that Canada cannot af- ford additional aid to European nations by granting more export credits than at present, and Canadian exports are largely of goods not easily marketed in Latin America. The following table demonstrates the effec- tiveness by the end of 1948 of the govern- ment's trade policy: CANADIAN TRADE Trade with the US, UK, and other countries as a percentage of total Canadian for- eign trade (based on dollar value) US UK Other countries Total Etports ( % )* C7:3? 00 0.3 07.) V.4 V.4 V.4 37 39 50 37 28 23 26 33 27 Imports (70) 00 .4:ti