LETTER TO JIM COURTER FROM ROBERT M. GATES

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CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2
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February 10, 1987
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 THE FOLLOWING DOCUMENTS ARE ATTACHED: (Please do not remove) SUQJECT:` ~ ~ ~~~~ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Central Intelligerxe Agency The Honorable Jim Courter House of Representatives Washington, D.C. 20515 Thank you for sending the Agency your recent articles on SDI deployment, the contras, drug trafficking, terrorism, and the Iran arms deal. Bill Casey always foun~ your writings of great interest, and I hope you will continue to share them with me. If the Agency can be of any further assistance, please do not hesitate to call. Sincerely, Robert M. Gates Acting Director of Central Intelligence Distribution: Original - Addressee ~1 - OCA Record 1 - DD/SA/OCA 1 - OCA Chrono 1 - DD/LEG/OCA 1 - D/OCA 1 - DD/HA/OCA 1 - ExDir ~~. Chrono File HA/OCA,~ (9 February 1987) STAT Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 The Honorable Jim Courter House of Representatives Washington, D.C. 20545 Thank you for sending the Agency your recent ,articles on SDI deployment, the Contras, drug trafficking, Lerrorism, and the Iran arms deal. Bill Casey always found xour writings of grea interest, and I hope you will continue;~to share them If the Agency can be of any further assistance, please do not hesitate to Fall. Sincerely, Robert M. Gates Acting. Director of Central Intelligence Distribution: Original - Addressee 1 - OCA Record 1 - DD/SA/OCA 1 - OCA Chrono 1 - DD/LEG/OCA 1 - D/OCA 1 - DD/HA/OCA 1 - ExDir L1 - ER (9 February 1987) ~ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT RO(Ti1NG SLP TO: ACTION INFO DATE INITIAL 1 DCI 2 DDCI 3 EXDIR 4 D/ICS 5 DDI 6 DDA 7 DDO 8 DDSBT 9 Chm/NIC 10 GC 11 IG 12 Compt 13 D/OCA 14 D/PAO 15 D/PERS 16 D/Ex Staff 17 18 19 20 21 22 nm. Remarks ~,/~ /~ ~ ~-~- - 5 Feb ' 87 STAT ILLEGIB Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 ,i1M COURTEk COMMITTEES: NEW JERSEY - ~on~rt~~ of the ~nite~ ~t~te~ ~,~ou.oe of 'l~e~re~entatiu~s ~aohin~ton, ~~ zo~ts January 30, 1987 The Honorable William Casey Director Central Intelligence Agency Washington, D. C. 20505 ARMED SERVICES SELECT COMMITTEE ON AGING 87-0415x I The nation's 100th Congress is underway, and it promises to be a very important one for issues of great mutual interest, including SDI, aid to the Nicaraguan freedom fighters, and the perennial problem of international terrorism. It remains unclear whether congressional opponents of the contras will be able to use the Iran arms sales affair to break apart the bipartisan coalition which, less than six months ago, agreed to the largest aid package ever. More positive movement is evident on strategic defenses. Prospects for deploying initial phases of defensive technology during the Reagan Administration seemed remote a short time ago; now I believe we are on the verge of an important announcement from the White House. Some of my thoughts on these and other subjects are reflected in the enclosed articles. The Select Committee to Investigate Covert Arms Transactions with Iran is now beginning to choose its staff and consider the scope of its work. I am proud to be a part of the inquiry, and hope that whatever the course of its proceedings, the President will press forward vigorously with his foreign policy agenda. The continuing weakness of the Democrats' alternative foreign policy program (please see the American Politics article) is an indicator of how important it is to keep the Reagan Revolution alive abroad as well as at home. I hope these articles are of interest, and I solicit your comments JAC/ch Enclosures Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 GLOBAL ~hetor~c ~s. Reality "New" D~mocra4c Poreign Policy is More of tl~e Sine. ~.,~ ~~ ne thing most observers of the presi- dential election of 1984 agree about is that the outcome turned on some clear differences betwern Republican and Demo- a?atic principles articulated in their respec- tive parry platforms. Running on the most isolationist platform ever drafted by a major political patty. Wal- ter Mondalc, Geraldine Femro and other Democratic candidates were swamped in every start but one in the 1984 Reagan Rc- publicyn landslide. Perhaps never before has a platform been so rnmpletely repudiat- ed by the electorate. As we approach the next Presidential ele- ction, it is not surprising that Democratic faders are anxiously starching for some new approach to foreign policy in an effort to put the 1984 platform catastrophe be- hind them and revive the old image of their party's praMcGovernite internatioralism. Thus, my collagur Congressman Scc- phen Sotarz (D-N.Y.), one of the Democrats' most thoughtful and influential leaders,- re- cently chaired a Democratic Task Force on Fortign Policy and summarized the panel"s recommendations in Amerium Politics' November issue ('Towards A Democratic Fordgn Policy" J. The Task Force was dearly how to speak in the last decade. Yet in part two of the amide, whore these prindples are supposed to be specifically appfled, it is striking chat there is not a single example of a practical or concrete proposal to counter the Soviet threat so prominently addressed among the guidelines of part one. On the contrary, whereas the guidelines be- gin with two pronounccmrnts against Sovi- et adventurism, the specifics begin by de- manding continued adherence to the SALT U and ABM treaties, two highly Hawed agreements the Soviets have repeatedly vio- !erred. Rarely has the gap between a parry's prin- ciples and iu practice been so wide and so obvious. But there is more One need only reread the 1984 Mondalc platform to realize that every one of dte seven or eight specific poti? cY applications the Solarz artide mrntions rnmes from that very documrnt! Nuclear test bans, ASAT agreements, the and-Reag~tt Central America agenda, the "Contadon" process,, and so on, the whole agrnda de- 'scribing,' itt ~Solac2's'words, `where 'Qemo- rntic leadership, would take the racioa lion the resrof this decade and beyond," in fact, is lifted right out of the repudiated platform. posture at moral equivalence and declared that there is a deep moral gulf between dc- moctacies and Marxist-Leninist regimes. From this we concluded drat Amerip is ob- 4gated to assist freedom fighters in Central Amenity, Angola and Afghanistan; ac con- demned South Africa's apartheid system; and we supported funding for public diplo- mercy initiadves such as Voice of America, Radio Free Europe, Radio Liberty and USIA. Republicans recognized that third world poverty is a fertile ground for Communist ezpbitation-and we concluded that our economic assistance policy should discour- age statist and socialist economic systems and foster the creation of democratic capi- talism in developing sodcties everywhere. One of the most significant principles we Republicans acknowledged was the moral difference between the use of military force for liberation versus force for conquest and expar>sion. Therefore, we applauded the policy decision to challenge the Brezhnev doctrine and libcruc Grenada. Obeisance ~ to principles of "national ideals" and "rational interests" is necessary, but it must be more than rhetorical It must issue in practical politics that reflect those principles rather dtan ignoring or even con- tradicting them. The 1984 Republican plat- form statement clearly connected policy and prinaple, and I would argue that the Ragan Administration has compiled an en- viable record of basing the operations of iu tordgn policy squarely on those principles. When majorities in 49 states gave, their yo;e to Ronald Reagan` and the- Republicans in? ,1984, they placed their starttp of approval . 0o the Reagan match between policy and P~nP~- 'the repudiated Sae ?Fnricisbo platform:" ? '+ IiCan plitfor'ttt cAe3mittee; i,~ proud?that ' s~vvcris tlo they or' do dtCy t1t)t irpudi~te the ?? The Towards" in the tide of Rep. Solace' there is no contradiction between my par- platform the Democrats cart on in 1984? Or. artide implies that the Democrats arc not ry's principles and practices as outlined in to put it another way, cyst any set of grandil- yet agreed on one foreign policy. [n fact, our campaign statement. Rather, our plat- -oquent principles serve to justify the same Solarz emphasizes that there is still no con- form is notable for its dose, tight consi~en- isolationist foreign policy outlook which census in his parry on the direction foreign ry. has takrn the Democnu down to defeat in policy should take. But although "no Demo- We Republicans rerngnized that theglob- three out of the last four Presidential elec- cnt accepu every position adopted by the alist Soviet ideology in principle threatened lions? Far more than mere partisanship is at majority," he believes a large majority of freedom and peace everywhere-and we .issue here-the future of the United States Deatoc~ts support file 'principles net fords aonciuded ?thac nrgotiscions ~t+tth the 9ovl--' ' 'iod tlti~ Free World is in yirestion: As longs intended to come up with an alternative to in our report." etc cannot be separated from Soviet bchav Ice other words, it is admitted that the for around the world. report does not provide a crntral vision or We recognized that the Soviet Union has reflect a coherent overview of international rngaged in a "sustained pattern" of Crary affairs. On the contrary. is merely summa- violations, particularly as regards the SALT rues the different and contradictory views and ABM agreemrnts-and we deduced of the radical and moderate wings now war- that as a matter of policy the U.S. must not ring for control of the Democratic Parry. compromise iu defense deterrent just for Congressman Solarz's article consisted of the sake of getting arty arms control treaty two para. Part one is a list of tight guide- with our enemy. !Ines offered as a basis for foreign policy We emphasized that the first principle of decisions. I find it striking that the first two liberal democracy is human equality from points address the Soviet threat in language which our natural righu as human beings Democratic leaders have nearly forgotten are derived. We completely rejected the the Danocradc Parry, which now controls both houses of Congress, refuses to accept the reality of foreign policy engagement which characterized Democratic adminis- trationsfrom FDR and Truman through John F. Kennedy, their new pro-American rheto- ric will not conceal the tendency of their policies to weaken America-and they will never be trusted by the electorate with the Presidency of the United States. ? Jim Counter, a Republican Congressman from NetuJersey, is a member of the House Armed Services Committee. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 i Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Y t Y = V 1 `o '-~ Y c ` ouEawL? ~~~EEkeo ~_ ~~,o:i w~YUL ag ~~"~ ZYBZO y,~ ~~ CY ~ ~ C 1. ~ S Y~ Y O m i^1 ({~~ CV ~ Y meL~yE'clt$~~~a~ ~c .~ ~ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 The Case for Early SDI Deployment President Rcagan's heroism at Reykjavik ru- cued the SDl vision, but those of us who want to see the program become a reality must not be too sanguine abou[ iu prospects just yet. Not only has strategic defense-once considered inappropriate for arms control talks-now become as negotiable as offensive weapons, but the (act is, the SDI program still faces an increasingly uncer- tain future in the Congress. Under preunt circum- stances, it remains likely that by 19%, the United States will have no SDI program or, at best, a primitive system that contributes little to the defense of our people. Not so for the Soviet Union. If history is any guide, Soviet SDI capabilities in 1996 will be sig- nificantly greater than they are presently, in spite of any agreements that Gorbachev may sign. The existing Soviet system of ABM interceptors, strategic air defenses, and sophisticated radars will probably be upgraded and augmented by deploy- ment of initial directed and kinetic energy SDI systems. This SDI "shield" will be the barrier behind which remaining illegal Soviet ballistic missiles will continue to threaten the U.S. and her allies. Against this threat the President has insisted upon retaining the SDI program as an "insurance policy." It is only with such "insurance" against Soviet cheating and unfriendly emerging nuclear weapons states that the drastic reduction or elim- ination of U.S. ballistic missiles could tver be con- sidered. ' But such :'insurance" fnust truly afford protec- tion against tFic disastrous and the unexpetted: An SDI program limited to research, development and testing provides no protection whatsoever in the near term and is highly unliktly to guard the U.S. and her allies at the end of. 10 years. . Ncvenlteless, the' President atld his senior ~d- visers seem convinced that no worthwhile SD[ system could evrn enter initial deployment within IO years. Accordingly, they see little harm in wait- ing 10 years. They hold this view in spite of aedible evidence to the contrary which is in their posses- sion. They also maintain these views in the face of a recent pro-SDl letter to the President, drafted by Dr. Edward Teller, Rep. JacR Kemp a0d atyrelf, and signed by~Senators Wallop, Hollings, Quayle and Wilson; distinguished scientists Robert Jastrow, Lowell Wood and Greg Canavan; and former high-level policymakers, Alexander Haig, leave Kirkpatrick and Zbigniew Brzezinski. The message of the letter is direr and powerful: defenses against 3ovier ballisric missiles can and should be deployed os soon ?s possible. The detailed technical and scientific es idence the .Administration is holding confirms the points made in the letter: there are SDi systems available for initial deployment within three to five years, some of them compliant with the AB;\I treaty, all Rt?p. Cuunei rs o memAer u/ rhr House Armed Serrires l~urnrrnrree. By REP. JIM COURTER (R.?N.J.~ of them providing some level of protmion for population area. These systems would be signifiant -y themselves, and they would also constitute the iottndalioa ^poa which more sophistkated, effective systems could be built. They would, Guile simply, provide some proteNion against Soviet baUistie misstks where none currently exists. ' DR. EDWARD TELLER ? ABM treaty, would include 100 interceptor based 'at the dormant Grand Forks, N.D., ABM site. Unlike ,their crude, nudea;-armod ?prcdarssori, these non-nridear ERIS interceptors rwould be capable of streaking into space to destroy Soviet ballistic miui]e warheads in midcourse, as they start their unguided descent to their tugcu. The warheads may be programmed to attack missile silos or population centers, but the ERIS inter- ceptor would prevent them from reaching their targets. The 100 ERIS interceptors and the assoaated computers and radars ivuJd be ?fully deployed'at' the Grand Forks site .by 1993. The projected cost would be approximately S3 billion, or leu than the Congress authorized for the SDI program in 1987 alone. Another such early deployment proposal in- volves more exotic space-based SDI satellites deployed in polar orbits around the globe. Each satellite would be capable of firing a large number of guided interceptor rockets, or "kinetic kill vehicles," at Soviet ballistic missiles as they emerge from the atmosphere during the "boost phase" of their flight. Destroying ballistic missiles in the boos: phase, while a great technical challenge, represents one of the most important SDI capabilities. Ballistic missiles are relatively slow and fragile ltheir "skin" is but a fraction of an inch thick) and :hey present large, glowing targets for attack. Thev ue particularly attractive targets because they may ach carry as many as 10 or more warheads. Thus, each relatively inexpensive "kinetic kill veh,.-ie" might be capable of destroying several very qtly, destruttive Soviet missile wuheads with a sincle shot. Unlike the ERIS proposal, deployment of s; a:e- based kinetic energy weapons would viola:: :he AB~1 treaty. Plans for such systems arc n~: as mature as the blueprints for ERIS deployt-..:-;ts. Placement of "battle stations" in orbit mr. re- quire a great deal of space lift capability, p:-~.aps evtn precious Space Shuttle (lights. Even sc. the trhnology for such systems is so readily ava.~ble that the "stations" themselves could c-:er development and eventually deployment +::hin three years. There are many different proposals for rcar- term SDldeployment, but they all have one ir..;gr- tant deterrent factor in common. Pre~crly deployed and fully integrated into our evo:?.:ng nratcgic defense doctrine, such systems w::: in- voduceuncertainty into Soviet war plans. The geo- strategic leverage exerted by Soviet strategi;'ar.d- based missile forces will be considerably rem.::ed. This fatt has long ago dawned on the S;.ie:s. and on their General Staf( in particular. Mz-_~ail S. F. Akhromeyev, the chief of the Genera': Staff, has been one of the most vocal Soviet critics of the SDI program. The commander-in-chief o: the Svategic Ro4ket Forces, Y. ? P, 1`1aksimer, an ? Akhromcyev subordinate, must have weig`.ed in with dark predictions about the negative ef:ea of imperialistic strategic defense deployments o^ the "correlation of forces." The West should not expect that the Sovir. High Command will acquiesce in, let.alode welbe:nc,'a U.S. decision to deploy urategic defenses. But thrn that should not be a prerequisite for such deploy- mcnu. The prerequisite should be a determi:.ation that Western security demands protection against growing Soviet strategic offensive and defensive forces, utopian arms control agreements ne:with- standing. Studio making this point abound within the Administration, and more are reports':.: in prpuation. In sdditioi to stark natioeal security deter- minations, there are important intend politigl forces arguing for near-term SD[ deploymeat. Survey after survey has revealed that the Amerian people want to be defended against Soviet ballistic missiles. They do not demand a leakproof, "Astrodome" defense. They merely seek the best that Western tctfi- nolo~v can provide in the shortest perioC of time for the least amount of money. But Americans also believe President 3:a?2n when he tells them that no strategic defenses :an ~ c ~eployed for 10 years. What they then .:.ay net understand is why their representatives in C::-zre>. should continue to vote large sums of more..: ~r an SDl "science project" which will protect ne .n: in Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 i Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 ~~~~.~ e~ 3A .. a.a~_au hie {~ E aI ~ ~ ~ ,~~'~ ~ y9 .SR ~ ~ Chi ~ $ vi C6+ e 3 = `~ ~ ~ m W~~ ~ y ~I i lQ t V ?? ~ r G~ ~I ~ Y~ 1~ ~ ~I V dl C r i ~ {~ R i 3~i ~g~?~ ~~~ O ~y~~~a?~i pK, ~ ~ ~ y 333 .. ~ ~_ b M V V ~a1 ~ ~ = m~ r'O .R mom/ ~ ~ $ a E''o y~' ~ _ $' ~ tR u iv 3 ?~ '~ 'n ... ~ ~ ~~~ ~ c .? 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'ti v G1 m C 7 h VJ ~ .+ e0 orv~g~? e~~~'>>.ov~.~nS~?`-'`~ -~aeE ego e nav y ~ ~ .`~. y a ~ e w c.?: mac E'~ ? v ms c ~~ ~?v~ a A-`~-="~~a= ~"E ~~?~?= ~,_0.~773 v? m . ?? t V C C q aC ~ v V~ 3 L ~?.. V 'fl v l0 L~ C y -~. O=i ~f G F~~ ~ ~?~ Eat ~ ..y?_~ y R c'?? ~inW `? ~ ~'= ~5 ~~ ~ c ~'?= ~ R o ~ ? ~ r ~ > > A ~ e yia yC ass a.~,~ ~e C u:na ~ ~ ~Cn ~_~ ^'~~rf,~ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 ~unbap Star-~Lebger ~.? ...~,y 2 ,lerseyans i~ spofligh~ in Iran arms probe Icy J. SCOT? (yRH and RIIBF.RT 1'1111EV u?. w?. w?r>ua~?. a..??r N'ASHIXGTON -When Ihr House select commda?e convenes neat monl6 to begin its probe of tAc Iran-eonlra arms srandal, Iwo Nrw Jrrsry ron? gn'esmrn of runtnslm`` barkgrwnAf anA narly opposite Wcnlupo will Ilnd Ihemxlves in Ihr nmwnal sputllgAl. ftep Peter Rodinn II1101h Dial.), one of IAe New Jrrsry dclegation'a moss hArnl msvnlx?n. and Hrp. Jun 1'ourter IH-IZIh Dist ), one of lAe slate i must ninx?rvaln'e congressmen, were named last week by the leaders of their resperuce paniee Io the IS~member House ime+ugrirvr panel iAe Imrsugallun> Av Ihr Ilnwe l ummutrr and a similar Watrrgalr~ style Sen+Ir panel are set to Drpn shurlly alter 1'nngrrsf returns nett nwmh a.^.d are bring tooled as the lkl~ imuvr cungre+siotul Ir+gc al IAe worn rnsu ul the Ileagan per+idrney Ratmo 77, nearing the end of Au rungre++mn.d rarrer. and ('nurlcr, IS, a Hung star w rM? ftrpubhran Parry, are Ihr sntA anA seventh members of lAe '. 'We w11A hauls to look of fhe Pnrtldent's acdons and what ha knew, ~naFbhe didn't Itnow what -was yoinp on, where hour povemmpnt going?' _ pop_Peter W: Rodlno New Jersey Arlegalion lu join in rum gn?ssumal prutn?> TAca? Invrshgalinns to dale Aave lorused on IAe sale al arms to Ir+n anJ the xerrl Nvrrsnm of the prareds lu a1J tM~ runua rebels m their G hl to ovrrlArnw Ihr govcrn~ ment nl Nicaragw. Nalinu gamed national lame wArn hr pregdrd over IAe 1171 Ilnusr Judr clarv Cnmmlller Impearhmenl prm ceeQm``~ against Prrsdenl HirharJ Ninon k'hHr hr drdined to dl aw ducet paralleb Iirtwrrn the current srandal and Watergate. he smJ IM prt?srm sihi~ aUun, hke Ihr one a nrradr ago, Aas "allrclyd the prcridcnry " And IAe Nrw L~rsry Urmorral rmpha.Irrd IAaI Ihr Il.wsr srlnA crno~ nultor will Aave a respm+ibihq~ lu 6lkr a elasr h.?k ll Ill'agan's rule m Ihr rn Um uhat "N~r will An r 1n bruk al Ilr? th a+r dent's arunns +nd wA.11 Ar knew." Ito dine snA Arid d hr AiJn't know wAat was going un. x here Is ale gua?I nmrm going'' "The n:dum it sAaArn, a m:ds r up'ln nc~- Il, vlmo saki "II has r+i+lyl qqursuuns ..haul Ihr a6ihh of Iln? Prr+r dent lu {;? tern and yue.uuus of wha 'My atleplanl;o is to my oath end my constltuents. Not a party or this Pres- Iden1 or a ph/bsophy' Hep. JatTTSS Courtsr $lu 1. ~y+~ r:~plil[ was guvermng and mm~lms Ihr >e.m Cuurtrr, Iarmg An Ilnt mayor le.l brhue a n+uunal auJlrrr r n a stn?nI; ally nl Prrsldenl Reagan but Ilnnb~r fad Ar Is Mn going mIu Ihr avr>Uga Uun wllA a prn?unrnvrd plan lu lh'IrnJ the W'Nle House The Nrw Jerxy Hrpubhran >.Id ha will 1e "uh?cuvr' anJ "lh>p+awn ale" M prnuulg Ihr uutA Ile s.nd M? wants Io "uncover the tuts ad Ilnd out what Aapprrird " As-ed wlrtAet his ovally In IAe Prrsldenl +nJ Ihr Hrpubluan I?+rty migAt rotor hu views. Clwrlrr n?yhrJ. "My alkgurre u Io my w1A and my raullluenls, not lu a pally or Ihrs ph s idenl or a pArhiauphy ? "TAe Amrrlsvn pa~ylr dan't r.ur parUs+mhlp. hr adrhvl 1'ourler wd Ar I++w+le IAaI IA.? ranmdle! +sslgnnirnl rdl pm hint w the "rye of a Aurnrarw" anA Thal the enure panel and n. mdlvtdual nr wLl?rs wdl b? under s b.x? >, ruhny IlellecUng un the 1171 hr+nngs ullo Ihr Wderg.l u? xvnd+l. 1'uunrr Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 ,w!>?hLlitt~Ott ~UriCB - - - -~= -^:---~,-~.?.~ ~--~----?---a----:.- =--sue-~~~=.,t..= ---.:~....ti.~= ~ - Sending del ~~de a. sflg~al J~ C?~t~l~ mericans must have been ill-prepared for Bel- jrade's arrest of several L.S. citizens for anti- 1'ugoslay political activity, esp~- ~ially ~~?hen the politicking occurred in .-lrn.r>ric?a. 'I1~~o f;encratiu;:; of ~~'cstern uni- y~~rsity professors, politicians. and diplomats have intri~.:ued us so kith Yul;oslayia's break ~~?ith titalin and ~~?urker management of ~'ugoslay in- dustries that most Americans view that country as a model of humane Communism, gentle at home and non-aligned abroad. Billions of dol- lars ~~-orth of Western aid and credits have created an unspoken need to preserve the image. But sometimes iL-takes the umvar- ranted arrest of onc'uf us abroad - ~ne such as Pev~r I}?ezaj ~f ;~Iichigari - to make us see a goyertiment through the eyes,of its subjects. . As a rule, Belgrade uses the full- ness .of ?~its police pati4ers, artcluding ? punishment in ps}~chiatric hospitals, against dissidents. By official ad- mission, hundreds have been sen- tenced to jail in recent years for po- litical activities. Such persecution has never stopped at the Yugoslav borders, and tt;e arrest of an American for jnining a demonstration in Washington, D.C., six }?ears ago should be less surprising than it vas. The control the rulinh League of Communists holds over the coun- try's centrifugal ethnic and political forces constantly requires reas- sertion. Denunciation of political op- ponents as "fascists" and "irreden- tists" has become commonplace. Emigres who are politically active have become an obsession of the regime, and it appears that the SUS, or 1'ugoslay secret police, has bec,~ deeply involved in killings and itltimrdation ahroad. In the United States, there is evi- dence of extortion, provocation .~~ithin emigre circles, and even mur- der. There is still more evidence of violence in R'e~terr. Europe. Five anti-Communist acti~-ists ~r~?cre mur- dered in Rlunich durin(; the first half of 1969. A Cr'GatiF1I1 exrle, Professor Cizek, ~t?as abducted to 1'ugoslayia a fe~i? }?ears ago. Three exiled Serbians - kith ~l'orld 11'cu? II records as guerrilla partisan, but not Titoists - were killed in S~?dney, Chicago, and Vienna within a space of a fecc days this Februai?~: C)ne might in;agine that much of this ~~?as coincidental, or the product of the usual tensions that run like fracture lines through many of the world's emigre groups. But a Number of.European inteili- I;ence services have been bbjectinb for many years~to Belgrade about the foreign operations of the SDS. Second, anbcr toward Yugoslav exiles is often i?etited in"the ~oyern= ment press. Third, the Foreign Report of The Ecvnu+,rist pc,ints to a meeting early in the }?ear in Belgrade at which an interior ministry called for "action" against anti-government exiles al- legedl}~: "dealing. in_,tert?orism .and ?proparanda" ~iis~gcnerous estimate of their number at 30,000 is an in- dication of just how deep the obses- sion runs. In foreign policy, reality is much at odds with the myth of 1'ugosiavia as "Communism with a dil?fcrcncc." Belgrade may he a leader in the 111oyemcnt of the ti'on-:1ligncd, but it also holds ohservrr status in Comecon, the Soviets' international economic union, and par?ticipate:s in 23 of its 33 specialized ~?omrnissions. It ??as part of Comecon rneetings in I~avana and Cicnluc;:os this April. and used the ophut'tunity to strike a Sanitized Copy Approved for Release five-year plan to double bilatrrc:: trade with Cuba to 5300 million. And although Rclgradt is in- debted to the ?cst for some X20 bil- lion, it nonetheless found sc;:ne j~c million to give the Sandinist~~ in tl,r years after lyiy. An~,ih~r SI(.~6 mil- lion worth of food assistance ~ti~as du- liycred in i~u~~cmbcr c,f 19;~~}- Yugoslayia allotit~s port rali~ t~, L~.~ warships from time to t:r.:c. with the junior Members than in the ? 1970x, when that chemistry was lacking." That's not all that these up~artd~ters have in common. They're all intense, ei- ther obviously or in canre~a. They're bright: they're workaholics; they're good on substance; they're politically astute. They have safe seats at home. They spark Congress with their ideas and their enthu- siasm. They've gained colleagues' re- spect-sometimes grudgingly-and those in the know increasingly pay them attention. They've generally xrved for 4 10 years and have begun to carve a niche for themselves, usually by joining promi- nent committees, and workins on _high- profile issues. They've shown some stuff. They all display what Christopher J. Matthews, former top aide to retired Speaker Thomas P. O'Neill Jr., D-Mass., listed as the three keys for congressional success: "'the right style so that a Member can get attention when it matters, the right issues and the ability to get things done internally." What's perhaps more interesting is how they're different. This baker's dozen ranges in age from Rep. Charles E. Schumer, D-N.Y., who's just 36 acid looks a decade older, to bouncy S~year- old Sen. Warren Rudman, R-N.H. Some, such as Reps. Dennis E. Eckar, D-0hio, and Barbara B. Kennelly, D-Conn., have tied themselves to mentors; others have shown streaks of independence. In ideol- ogy, they run the gamut from Rep. Steve Bartlett. R Texas, who has driven Demo- oats nuts with his conservative floor amendmenu, to Rep. Pat Williams, D- Mont., aliberal in the old mold. Some are better legislators than po6ticiant. Some, like Schumer, can play the legislative games but don't hesitate to state their case to reporters, while others, like Rep. Ed Jenkins, I3-(;a., sit buck and wait for the right moment. Not all are bekrved by then colleagues. Rep. Mike Synar, D-Okla.-young and brash--ioatetimes annoys his colleagues but bas kept their respect and made a mark on a variety of matters. Others, more compliant, already have made it onto the k7wer rungs of leadership. Sixth- termer Rep. David E; Bonior, D-Mich., tied with Jenkins as senior in xrvice among the 13, was a surprise pick by Speaker Jim Wright of Texas last month to be chief deputy whip. Williaats and Eckart are among eight deputy whips. Rep. Vic Fazio, D-Calif., lost his bid for a leadership post but will keep gaining in- fluence because he knows how to deal with his colleagues. Just Lwo are Senators: Rudman, who will soon be known for more than follow- ing ahyphen. and Daschle, who wowed Congress watchers by immediately wran- gling aseat on two heavyweight commit- tees. The Senate's smaller size and brighter spotlight meam that most stars there have already risen. Among the House's 1l rising stars, only 3 are Republican, Probably because it's hard for the minority to make a mark in a body so dominated by Democrats. Two arc quite ~vative: Barlett and Jim Counter, R?N.J., who's gained influ- ence by marshaling expertise on the Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Armed Services Committee. Ia ooatrast. Rep. Thomas J. Tauke. R-Iowa-more moderate-is often the fim ooe Demo- oats approach in search of bipartisan a000QImOdata011. 4 Thee rising stars arc sprad across ooaunittoe. ]enkiras and Kennelly belong to lau year's star panel-Ways and Mears. Eckert. Synar and Tiuke serve ass Energy and Canmerce, which claims jurisdiction over anything that moves, burrs or is sold. Hanlon is becoming a power as the Rules Committee. Fazi0. .latidaa, Schumer and Williams arc on the Budget Committee, which Demo- cratic leaders consider a testing ground for upend-camas. Some categories of Members weren't included oa this list. Several relatively junior Members Gave already made it to legislative stardom, among them Sens. Bill Bradley, D-NJ., and Phil Gramm, R- Texas, and Reps. Tony Coelho. D- Celif.-the new Majority Whip-and Dick Chcnry, R-Wyo., who chairs the House Republican Policy Committee. Freshman House Members were coasid- ered too unknowable. Also excluded were young Members notable rtaastly far the not iraoonsiderable achievement of having won a seat an a powerful committee such as Ways and Means. This is no comprehensive listing of ris- ing stars. Many Members came close to being included. The sheer brilliance of Massachusetts Democrat Barney Frank's mind and tongue have made him a force to be reckoned with. Sen. Albert Gore Jr., D-Tenn., and Rep. Edward J. Markry, D- Mass., have overcome earlier rcpuntiom as dikttarate to becoate serious, matur- ing legislators. Rep. John M. Sprott Jr., DS.C.. a former Rhodes scholar. is ag- gressive and effective in legislating on textiles. Rep. Douglas K Bercuter. R Neb.. understands the connection be- tween agricultural policy and interna- tional trade. Rep. Joe L. Barton. R Texas, a boyish second-termer, showed energy and savvy during his first urm by getting every Texas and Oklahoma Member to pen a letur to counteract a California delegation's letter favoring an offshore oil drilling moratorium in the Pacific. Reps. Nanry L. Johnson, R-Conn, and Ron Wyden, D-0re., arc promising kgis- Courier: Conservative Voice Rep. Jim Counter. R-NJ., is enjoying himself so much in the House that he has all but ruled out a 1988 challenge against Democratic Sea Ftarak R Lautenbcrg. That may disappoint -marry Republican leaders who have been hoping that he will run It would also represent a major change in attitude for the fifth-ureter who came close to running fa the Senate in 1982. "It's an exciting job, and I enjoy it," Courter said. "People make a mistake whoa they say that House Members can- not grow and that they should be in the Senate. If they have new ideas and know how to market them, some House Mem- bers make a bigger impact than Sena- tors." Counter's focus is largely on national seauity polity, although he has also ban an enthusiast of the proposals for tax cuu, monetary reform and other eco- nomic policy changes advanced by his close friend and likely presidential candi- date, Rep. Jack F Kemp, R-N.Y., whose intensity he saws to share. Courter has ban a leader among conservatives urging early deployment of the Strategic De- fense Initiative (SDI), a sup raxntly endorsed by Defense Secretary Caspar W. Weinberger but not by President Rea- gaa As an increasingly senior member of the Armed Services Commtittee, he has supported greater military procurement coat controls but has worked to put the brakes on more active reformers. And, a: a member of the special House selecf committee appointed to investigau the Iran-contra arms affair, he has pledged to imist that the coaamitta "see the forest, not just the trees" by 8~B beyond the "who, what and why" and examining such broader is- sues as the rela- tionship between Congress and the President on covert assistancx and the proper congres- sional role in for- eign polity. "Jim has be- come an articulate spokesman for Northeast conser- vatives," said a for- mer official in the Reagan White House. A leading House Republican strategist . said Courter has "mas- ured the art of ho- ing conceptually radical while reas- suring the estab- lishment." One feature that makes Courter, 4S, letors who arc weA paaitioned to advance their areas. possibly with a bid for seta wide office. Rep.? Steny H. Hoya, D- Md.. is expected to move up the political ladder. A Republican lobbyist would rather go to Sen. Jeff Bingamen, D- N.M.. to solve a New Mexico problem than to the stau's noted senior Senator, Republian Peu V. Domaaici. Fear ce- pabk young Texas Democrats-Michael A. Andrews, Ronald D. Coleman. Martin Fret and Mickey Leland-.wu't be hurt by having a Texan as the new Speaker. Sea Dan Quayle, R?Ind., a lion as Wash- ingtaa's social circuit, has also impressed many observers with his skills in defense and labor policy. In a body where Mem- bers laid to become jaded, Sen. David Pryor. D-Ark.. has retained a canpassion for people that impresses even hard-bit- ten lobbyists. The list that follows-a bit of a civics lesson, a bit of a legislative Baedeker-is of the 13 who. durir-g their modest un- ures, have mast impressed thew pars, their employees and those who woo them on tended kna. In all cases, for good reason especially interesting is his eagerness to shape the public debate, largely on na- tional security policy. He is a frequent contributor to op-ed pages on such sub? jests as aid to the Nicaraguan contras, domestic problems in the Soviet Union and Democrats' foreign policy views. He reoentty authored a book, DtJendins Dr- moc~acy (American Studies Center), Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Rep. Jim Cuurter keeps his affiliation with the military reform caucus, but is often a strong supporter of Pentagon programs. He reflects a strong streak of independent thought that defies easy categorization. 8Y BRIAN GREEN AFA DIRECTOR OF LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH EP. Jim Courter !R-N. J.) be- ~lieves the n:ttiun's defense is un the wrung track. The reason: !n spite of the prominence of the Stra- tegic Defense Initiative ISDt) in cur- rent defense debates, the nation is "not moving in real terms toward a strategic defense." Representative Courser's views as an influential member of the Hoeae Armed Services Committee (HASC) reflect a strung streak of independent thought that often de- tiessimple categorization. While his support of SDI is based on a l~ng- term desire to eliminate the nuclear threat, he also firmly favors strate- gic offensi~~ modernization. He strongly supports the Peacekeeper (MX) program and a larger, more capable-and cheaper-Sm:tll ICBM. He also backs both the Ad- vanced Technology Bomber IATB) as part of the two-bomber program and a halt to the B- I B at I lN) planes. Representative Courter is one of the seminal military reformers in Congress, with clear ideas on how to improve, the way the Pentagon dues business. But he betrays sums suspicion of the motives of fellow military reformers, and he wank to re~clccc c? the oversight that m:+ny believe keeps the Pentagon in line. And even while he is one of the staunchest supporters of a strong defense, he refuses to accept the priorities of the services if he is con- vinceddifferent programs can fulfill military needs more cheaply. Thus he opposes the C-17 airlifter-a top priority of the Air Fume and the Army-because he believes a com- binati~n ofC-5s. C-141 s, and C-130s can provide the same: capabilities at lower e;ust. SDI Seen as the Key The key to Representative Cuurt- er's strategic view is the dcvelup- ment and deployment of viable strategic defenses. He strongly favun early deployment of w~rk- able defenses, nut only fur defense of the US strategic arsenal but for population defenu as welt. He points to the early successes of H1:U1 IHich Endoatmuspheric De- fense Interceptor) and (IRIS I Ex- oatmuspheric Reentry-Vehicle In- terc~pt Suhs~ stem) and the putcn- tially lart:c "footprints" (ur areas of the US that could be protce:ted by a single defense site) ul? the systems that miLht result from these tee:hnu- logic:d d~velopmcnts as evidence that the continental US could be de- fended against Soviet attack. Development and deployment of antitactical ballistic missile de- fenses also appeal ~to Representa- tive Courter as a way of dealing with the theater nuclear threat, convinc- ing US allies that their populations will be defended also, and getting US allies and trading partners to contribute their own substantial technical expertise to the task of de- ~~eloping defenses: Even though SDI was initiated by President Reagan, Representative Cuurter is critical of how the Admin- istration has handled the program thus far. One criticism is timing-he is concerned that the US may never deploy any defense while waiting fur a perfect one. He notes also that SDI opponents have shifted tactics with some success. The opponents, he says, "were losing the ideulugi- cal, doctrinal, and mural argu- ment-and the American people." [3y instead challenging funding lev- els and technical feasibility, they have fur the time being succeeded in ' slowing the growth rate of the pro- gr:-m. Ti+ sustain a lung-term consensus, Representative Cuurter believes a Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 'strung rallying call is required. Comparing President Reagan's treatment of SDI and an earlier' suc- cessfultechnology program, he sug- gests, "If Kennedy got on the tube after Sputnik and said, ' We're,going to do a basic research program that the next President will look at to see if it's achievable and affordable to go to the moon,' that's just milque- toast. No one would get behind that program." Representative Courier believes that the recent rumors of an arms- control compromise in Geneva in- volving restrictions on the SDI pro- gram have unwittingly blurred the vision behind the program, and he fears that SDI might become hos- tage tolengthy negotiations with the Soviets. Arms Control That is not to say that Representa- tive Courter opposes arms control with the Soviets. But arms control in the absence of strategic defenses is "the cart before the horse," ac- cording to the Congressman. Ren- dering offensive weapoiAs less po- tent by dint of effective defenses will make arms-control agreements easier to reach, he believes. "Certainly the prospect of reduc? ing nuclear weapons to ...mere handfuls on both sides is a pipe dream, unless you have defensive capabilities... , i can see where we could have enough confidence in verification, enough confidence in the reliability of deployed defenses that the United States could enter an agreement where no ICBMs and SLBMs ...would be permitted un either side. But we would never du su unless we had robust defenses as a hedge against cheating," he says. Without those capabilities, signif- icai arms reductions can only tie achieved if future agreements h;tve' built into them much higher-cunti- dence verification measures and provisions permitting corrective ac- tion should treaty violations be ver- ified. That, according to Represen- tative Courter, would involve on- site monitors, on-site inspection, and on-demand inspection of sus- picious events. National technical means, used to verify post agrec- mcnts, have tx:en inadcyuate, he believes. Further, "We should make it totally clrar in the duc;ument itself that if there is a violation, the other AIR FORCE Magazine /November 1986 side is exempt from all or any part of the agreement they want to be ex- empt from," he says. His hardheaded view is reflected in his opinions oil current arms-con- trol ;Igrecments. The US, Repre- sentative Courter believes, should pursue military measures that will rectify the military imbalances re- sulting from Soviet violations of SALT I1. He dues not share the con- cern of Rep. Les Aspin (0.Wis.), HASC Chairman, that the Soviets will build large numbers of new of- fensive nuclear weapons in re- sponse to US breaches of the un- ratified, expired treaty. In Repre- sentative Courier's view, such a Soviet expansion would be mili- tarily unimportant and very expen- sive. Further, while he would support ratification of the never-approved 1974 Threshold Test-Ban Treaty- which limits underground nuclear tests to 15p kilotons-if adequate verification could be assured, he is absolutely opposed to the House- approved ban on tests over one kilo- ton. The one-kiloton limit, he be- lieves, is inherently unverifiable, and overriding US military interests dictate that testing at higher yields continue. Strategic Modernization A High Priority In the absence of viable arms- cuntrol agreements and US strate- gic defenses-and given the intense effort the Soviets devote to deploy- ing their own strategic defenses- the Congressman sees strategic of- fensive modernization as the best means of assuring US security fur the time being. While he would like, in the lung term, to reduce reliance on retaliatory threats to deter nu- clearattack, he dues not see deploy- ment of defenses as a political cer- tainty, and "we don't want to give up strategic modernization in the hope of getting something we may not get." He favors the ATB, which he sees as a fundamentally new plant that will maximally cumpli- cate the task facing Soviet defenses, and secs nu hcnclit in buying more than IINI B-113x. He also strongly f:wurs the ItN) MX ICBMs recum- mended by the Scuwcroft Cummis- siun, though he secs little chance- given the current tx-litical climate in the H.~use-that the second tifty be- yond those already authorized by Congress will be approved, He disagrees with his House col- leagues in his support for the Small ICBM as well. While he believes that mobility, in addition to active defense, is an important means of assuring the survivability of strate- gic forces, he also believes that the additional weight of extra warheads. and penetration aids would not im- pairthe small missile's mobility. Ac- cording to information the Con- gressman has received from a se- nior defense official, it appears that a 52,000-pound, two-warhead mis- sile with penaids would be as mo- bile, and thus as survivable, as the congressionally mandated one-war- head, 37,000-pound missile. "It all comes down to a matter of dollars and cents." says Represen- tativeCourter, who believes a multi- warhead missile could deliver the same military capability for S10bil- lion to S30billion less than its single- warhead cousin. Defense Economy and Reform This emphasis on economy is not at all alien to Representative Courier. who has built a large part of his reputation on efforts to improve the efficiency of the Pentagon. He believes that DoD is run better now than it was several years ago, thanks to key reforms, a fact that may explain his surprisingly san- guine view of the deep cuts being inflicted on the Administration de- fense request this year. While he would prefer a higher defense total, he avers that "there is a lot of money [in the defense budget], and, prop- erlyspent, it can do a heck of a lot." The common theme that runs through Representative Courter's thoughts on military reform is a bal- ance between oversight and ac- countability. In the past, he says, "we have erred on the side of treat- ing everyone as children." What is needed, he believes, is more "free- dom of action, freedom to make mistakes." with rewards for success and penalties for failure. He thus takes a dim view of many efforts to inert-ase oversight of the Defense Department. He introduced legislation to ab~l- ish the Defense Contract Auditing Agency and supports efforts to re- duce congressional micrumanage- ment. He generally f~tvun a reduc- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 tiun of the role of defense agen- cies-he wants to abolish the De- fense Logistics Agency and looks askance at a House measure to create a National Special Oper:-- tions Agency-preferring to vest authority in the service Secretaries, "who are capable of being yelled at, screamed at, hired, and tired." creased a~mpetitiun in Defense pro- curement as une of the soon) prac- tices that have led to improved etliciency. He w;-s une of the early, strung proponents of competition, though he now couches his ad- vocacy in caution. He suggests that the bounds ufJesirable competition may have been exceeded in some 'Representative Courter rec~g- nizes the Jiti-iculty of steering the reform movement in the direction he wants, huwever. Congress, fur . exampFe, spends tuu little time-tack- . ling big issues of strategy and Jl)l'- trine and tar too much time un de- tailed specifics of pieces of equip- ment and budget line items, he belie4es..And wfiile he successfully sponsored an amendment to reduce the number of DuD reports require) by Congress and favors a two-year defense budget cycle, he believes it will be virtually impossible to re- duce the number of congressional committees that claim anJ exercise ovcnight res(wnsibility of the ?I'en- ~. tagon. "t just can't believe that John Din- gell (D-Mich., who is Chairman of the Oversight and Investigation Subcommittee of the House Energy and Commerce Cummitteel is g~- ing to agree to scup talking about stealth anJ getting all [hose secret reports," Represcntativy Cuurtyr says. The imbalance between ovyrsight and accountability has Iyd to a Ins of "the dynamism that is natural in a market yconumy," anJ he counts in- Representative Courier's views on de/ense are driv- en by distrust o! the Soviet Union and a desire for an etlicient and economically run defense estaDtish- ment. He is a strong supporter of the Strategic Delense Inltiatire. areas, that it could improve in oth- ers, and that imposing further re- yuirementsfur competition must he June carefully. No Rubber Stamp While he is ;i member of the Mili- ' tary Reform Caucus, which is a bi- partisan group of congressmen ded- icate) to "f7xing"the Defense De- partment, and the ranking minority member un the HASC Acquisition anJ Procurement Policy (xanel, Rep- resentative Courter is not cut from the same cloth as other reformers, many of whom are much less dis- pose) than he to support Pentagon pru~;rams. Whenquestiuned, he re- fuses tocriticize others directly. But his suspicion of their motives is made clear when he states that some are "well-intentioned individuals ~whu~ 1 think don't recognize some of the real-world repercussions of their actions, votes, and amenJ- ments.... 1 would imagine there arc sums people around here who love military reform because they can heat ur un the Pentagon... . "there were had hills that were pur- pusely dune very haJly, but very few. ' Representative Courter himself, huwever, is no rubber stamp for De- fense requests. His opposition to the C-17 is a case in point, illustrat- ing his dedication to saving money when he believes ii possible without compromising military capability. The Air Force anJ the Army want the C-17 nut only to boost inter- theater airlift but also fur its unique capabilities on austere runways and its ability to deliver outsize cargo directly to the forw,-rJ edge uF the battle area. The Congressman re- mainsconvinced that, in the present budget climate, the plane is unaf- fordable and that a combination ut C-5, C-141, and C-I?U airlifters can achieve identical capabilities for less money. He also remain unc~n- vinced that the Air Force wool) be willing to send an expensive C-17 into high-risk areas. Gen. Duane Cassidy, Commander in Chief of the Military Airlift Command, has ar- gued that he would prefer nut to risk the twenty or more C-1?U crewmen required to deliver the same quan- tity of materiel as the C-17 when the three crewmen of a C-17 could Ju the same job. The Russians and Congress At the cure of Representative Cuurter's view of the need fur miii- tary strength is his profuunJ dis- trust of the Soviet Union. T.he re- lentless S~iviet military buildup pr~- viJes credibility to their political threat. anJ at the same time. their hostile ideology makes the military buildup much mute threatt~ting.:'I don't think the Suvietsi are going to behave unless there's a revolution over there," he savs. But this is a view that Representa- tive Courter suspects is nut share) by many of his colleagues in the House, some of whom he believes pay !ip ~ervi~e ?tu. the Soviet threat :. while voting against needed military programs: "They seem to he saying that the real threat is a bad ecunumv ur intlation. Those things are De- bilitating, but nut life-threatening. The Soviet threat can he." But whip he may not walk in lockstep with his fellows in C~n- gress, he wicWs considerably influ- ence lhruuLh his indepenJence and articulate dcfcme of hi, ideas. His accomplishments alre;~dy assure chat his inllu~nce will continue to he felt fur nears to come. ^ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 that was 4rgely a collection of his retest speeches and articles. Oceasionally, he moves toward the poetical cenur with actions such as criticism of the South African government and oppoaitioe to proposed government eattrola on pornog- raphy. Courter acknowledged that his rector call for SDI deployment, which he issued with Kemp and Sen. Malcolm Wallop, R- Wyo.. following their four-day tour of domestic research facilities. would proba- bly precipitate Democratio~initiated leg- lalatlve bans On such activity. "we daa't have the votes to stop (the critics]," he said "But it wtll be a bt easier to debate this issue if the you is 'to deploy a not to deploy' imtead of the current debate on how much W spend fa research.... This absolutely will be a 1988 campaign issue." Some defense experts have attacked his proposal. saying it would be a clear violation of the 1972 Antiballistic Missile Treaty with the Soviet Union. "He and the others pushing for early depbyment want to break the treaty while they an," an observer said. Courter countered that the traty has not achieved its goal of an assured netaea- tory capability because its drafters did not foresee technological progress and the growth of offenuive weapons. "We reject the notion that there is more stability today," he said. '"There is less, because of increased vulnerability. What's danger- ous is the offensive weapons. We should krolc at ~[ycyu~tting back] the bullet. not the bullet-p.Wf vest." Counter's activities oa defeffie procure- ment policy, which stem from his co- chairmanship in 1983-84 of the congres- sional Military Reform Caucus, forced a showdown last year when he ofl'ered a floor amendment to limit further procure- ment reforms. (For a report on t!u cau- cus, see NJ, 6/28/86, p. IS96.J Although his alternative last, 164-245, he won on several issues in the Housc+Senau confer- ence and was praised by military oontrac- tors and other business groups for making the fight. "Not many Members are willing to make the case on behalf of the defense industry," said Ellen Brown, a lobbyist who wales on government contract issues for the Chamber of Commerce of the United States "He is probably the most sensible Member of Congress on these issues." As for his friend Kemp, Counter dis- missed the latest Washington wisdom that the candidary is floundering. "After the natural weeding out process. the con- servatives will gravitau back to Jack," he said "He has a compelling, future-ori- ented message, which needs the attention of the public. The way to do that is for him to do better than the expectations in the early primaries and them-unlike Gary Hart in 1984-have something to say when be has the window of opportu- nity " If that strategy succeeds, Courter will have a friend in the White House. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 I I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 looks ~>~~ legitimacy as a function of the will and power .. " (sa jODD, Naoanl~n 1984, ' Spoabng Out's. Here is the link between the Nietzschean anarchism of pre-1917 Russia, "'The First European Terrorists" as described in Alain Besancon's paper and the crude Ixninisa-, Maoism or Trotskyism of contemporary European bands of politi- calthugs: mill is the spark that can make the city burn and the revolution begin After discussing terrorism and the Islamic world the international terror net- work, the legal foundations of the waz against terrorism and domestic battles, the essayists repeatedly return to the moral problem. In exploring terrorism and the media, for example, eminent journalists such as Charles Krauthammer, Arnaud de Borchgrave and the London Times's John O'Sullivan criticize the press for near partnership in the crimes they cover so lavishly. For example, ICrauthammer main- tains that excessive attention exacerbated the hostage txisis in the US. Embassy in Iran "In physics," he writes, "the Heisen- berg principle implies that reality is changed when observed. In politics, the media's effect on terrorism is beyond Heisenberg: observation can actually create the event" Netanyahu advises reporters to use discretion in their coverage of terrorism. Report the facts coldly and factually, de- prived of their exdtement and glamour, says Britain's Lord Chalfont Being a jour- nalist, Chalfont argues, does not absolve a person from moral and civic respon- sibilities. There remains "the need to decide that this lot is good, or bad." CBS and CNN senior correspondent Daniel Schorr counters that "some of us still believe that journalists aze people committed to the idea that the world must know," but O'Sullivan is unyielding and unforgiving of that genre of argument: To begin with, we invariably know what [terrorists] think long before they appear on television to tell us. Is anyone unaware of the aims and beliefs of the PIA, or of the IRA, or of the Red Brigades? Secondly, what they say on television is not necessarily what they think (which ... is more accurately conveyed by what they do). It is sugared propaganda. Finally, even if we needed to know what the terrorist thought and could rely on his honesty, a straightforward repoR and analysis by the journalise himself would be a more eflicient and reliable method of conveying such inGonsation without the side effect of confe:r~ing respect- abr7ity upon murderers The estimable contributors to the present volume show more understand- ing of the psychology and tactics of terrorism than mast But having understood, they condemn "Depravity," "evil" and other words that make only rare appearances in contemporary political saence literature are used here without undue self~onsdousness. For historian Paul Johnson and his fellow panelists, there aze not any goad and bad terrorists any more than there were good and bad slave traders. Because that is true, the con- demnation of terrorism goes well beyond its anti-Israeli and ar-ti-American variants. Finally, the contributors condemn the apologists of terrorism, including "the doubters and accommodationists." They are right to condemn, for the only thing as damaging to dvilization as the deliberate murder of the innocent is the misuse of reason to justify or celebrate such murder. This book's particular recommen- dations for legislation and action aze use- ful,but the authors know that these require moral and political grounding in public opinion They thus strive to be instructive, daring and demoQatic The reader is asked to see terrorism in its naked essence-the abuse of the defenseless with the intent of paralyzing a atizenry with feaz and alter- ing its government's policies. Having recognized the evil, man must then oppose it If terrorists win and dvilization loses, writes Midge Dector, executive director of the Committee for the Free World, historians will say people were "too morally lazy to do whatever was necessary to keep their blessings alive for the rest of us." "Courage" is an oki-fashioned word that appears in many places in this book It is to that virtue that Benjamin Netanyahu repairs in concluding the last of his own contributions: "Courage, said the Romans, is not the only virtue, but it is the single virtue without which all the others are meaningless... . "Confusion and vacillation facilitated the rise of terrorism. Clarity and courage will ensure its defeat" -Rep. Jim Courier (R-N.J.) Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 or battle management, func- tion. The most technologically mature "family" of near-term SDI systems are the ground- based interceptors. The pres- ent~ay interxptors are descen- dants of the Sprint and Spartan nuclear tipped interceptors that were briefly deployed at Grand Forks, N.D., and the nuclear armed ABM interceptors that protect the Soviet capital. How- ever, there is one important ad- The ft~.p-electron laser program, directed by Dodge VWrrren, is integral to SDI? success. vance that has been made: The newest U.S. interceptor designs do not use explosives to kill the incoming Soviet warheads. The sheer force, or kinetic energy, of the rnllision at marry thousands of feet per second disintegrates the attacking weapon. The best-known and most promising ground-based interceptor system is ERIS, the Exoatmosplteric Rcentry-vehicle Intercept Subsystem. The ERIS system could be deployed in several con- figurations, but a representative scheme would include 100 ERIS interceptors deployed at the Grand Forks ABM site, along with the necessary radars to permit the rockets to~ track, acquire and destroy their targets. In a ballistic missile attack, ERIS interceptors would fly at 16.000 feet per second to an altitude of more than 100 miles. Once outside the atmosphere, each interceptor would attack one ballistic missile warhead before the warhead's target was known. Because each ERIS interxptor could destroy only one war- head, such an initial system would only be effective against partial attacks, accidental launches or launches by emerging nuclear weapons states with crude ballistic missile capabilities. However, even such a modest capability is not to be taken lightly. We presently have no ABM capability at all, and the ERIS system, like other near-term systems, could be expanded, upgraded and complemented by other, mote sophisticated systems. The total cost of an initial EltiS system would be in the realm of 510 billion to S12 billion, which includes the cost of the expensive radars and battle management computers. Once again assuming the necessary support for such a deploytent, the tech- nology would permit initial operational capability for ERIS within three or four years and full operational capability within five years. From the ground-based interxptors we move to the more exotic space-based kinetic-kill systems. Such systems involve orbiting "battle stations;' each containing up to 150 nonexplosive "kill vehicles:' The kill vehicles, vueighing apptvxirrrately 40 pounds each and resembling large tomato juice cans, would use their sophisticated heat sensors to home in on ballistic missiles or warheads as they flew through the cold vacuum of space. Traveling at sp.,eds of approximately l0 kilometers per second over 1,000- kilometer distances, the kill vehicles, like the ERIS interceptors, would destroy their targets through the sheer force of impact. The number of battle stations required for anear--term deploy- ment would depend upon many factors, most notably the con- fidence level being sought for the system. A representative near- term deployment ofspace-based kinetic-kill vehicles might include 40 battle stations along with the necessary boost and space surveil- lance systems to provide target detection and tracking capability. The total cost of such a system could approach S60 billion. The availability of the expendable launch vehicles is also a major factor in determining the time frame for an initial space- based kinetic-kill vehicle deployment. Assuming optimum avail- ability as well as the necessary funding and manpower support, the technology could come on line within five years and reach full operational capability within seven or eight years. This system could be deployed alone or, preferably, in conjunction with an ERIS midcourse interceptor. Like ERIS, the space-based kirKtic- kill vehicle rystem would accommodate additional baNe stations as well as technology upgrades. Even mono exotic than the space-based kinetic-kill vehicle, but still within the realm of possibility for deployment within t0 years, is the X-ray laser, also referred to as the Excalibur Sysum. The X-ray laser is powered by a nuclear derice. In the billionths of a second before the explosion destroys the laser, the powerful X-ray emissions from the nuclear weapop are channeled through up to 50 lasing rods aimed at inrnming ballistic missiles and wattxads. There are no known countermeasures to protect the missiles and wartxads against X rays traveling through spas at the speed of light, 186,000 miles per second. There one several options for deployment of X-ray laser drvitxs. For instance, as maw as 20 Excalibur laser devices could be deployed in the nose cone of an MX tend-based ballistic missile a a Trident sea-launched ballistic missile. The missiles could then "pop up" the laser devices into space in the event of a ballistic missile attack. The lasers could be deployed in similar fashion atop ABM intertxxpttors at the Grand Forks stte and launched into space at the appropriate moment. The relatively small size and weight of the Excalibur laser devices. as well as the technological maturity of the program, could permit a repctserttative deployment of t ,000 lasers on 50 ballistic mtssile boosters at a cost of approximately S50 billion. If each laser device has lasing rods sufficient to destroy 50 attacking missiles or warheads, then such a representative system could conceivably handle a Soviet attack as large as 50,000 wa:treads. Based on the current state of the Excalibur technology, initial operational capability foe deployment on land- or sea-based ballis- tic missiles could be achieved within 10 years. Given the roller coaster funding profile of ABM/SDI programs and the uncertain political climate, it is a small miracle the; fie technological prognosis for near-term deployment is as positiHe as it is. A great deal of work would be required to achieve the actual deployment of arty of the systems that we have discussed. Still, the work that has been done so far demonstrates that the notion of near-term deployment does not violate any of the immu- table laws of physics. We arc largely confronted with engineering problems that, while daunting, can be overrome with the proper financial and political support. The message, then, from the technical community to the ptrs- ident and the Congrtss is simply this: The ball is in your court. INSIGFfi' i DEC. 29. 198~JAN. S. 1987 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 ~, ~ ~?~.>..w_ ~ ~ o :'mac- o w = o ~ a`n o~ ~ ? ~ ~ ~'v n p` u ~~i ?,,, ~m..mEu i.=u~y ~u Ac .OmyG~~u V >' L `~ V to u ; ~ ~' u ~ u eoDO >` O ~, ~... ` (~ ~ ` N ,n G u h et cv~ oo a_ `~? h >,~ 3 ~ o y ~ A~ u7 0? 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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/21 :CIA-RDP90G00152R000901740016-2 in the sphere of the militarv- ecottomic complex:' Last }?car he journe}?cd to East German}? and also to Libya: talks with both govern- ments concerned the "promotion of relations and cooperation between the Armed Forces:' The Libya, Yugoslavia alliance is something no one in Washington ever talks about. But it lies just be- lowthe surface of much of the news. Not many nations sent their foreign ministers to 'I7?ipoli aftet? the U.S. air raid of April 14 to denounce the Americans' "unprovoked aggres- sion :' But Yugoslavia did. Subseyuentl}?, only two countries' officers were quietly asked in by Col. ~Iuammat? Qaddafi to dq the post- mortem on Lihya's military re- sponse to the raid: Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia. Libya has puchased Yugoslav arms, including atreraft and naval vessel,. According to a new issue of ller Spiegel, Libyan pilots are re- ceiving fighter training in :~IiG-Zls in Yugoslavia as part of an ar- rangement to pay off the lattcr's oil debts. That report recalls another of last Dec. 2?, when "PLO Radio in Baghdad" broadcast the obituary of a Palestine Liberation (h?t;anization :~iiG-21 pilot said to have been trained in Libya, Yugoslavia, and \'icaragua. Yugoslavia's support for P.1lcstin- ians and other international terror- istshad u ~ 0 V .~ - ti W ~+ ~ ~ u u E~,ioc~..r?ouo ~ ~ O O tyC .~ G 0 L C V v ~ >. v~F~.. ~ ~, d u ~ ea ?~~, is u 'v 7-~i~aEc~3m N y C fn ~.. `r = y u (.~ 'C c ~- ~" ~ ~ ed e O ~ o L ~ ~ ~ E v C u .. ~ u C u0. O `s u H ~ O m ?~ E u ti.?-..~ Os a~?- ? -- ?- E'? 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