BULLETIN OF THE POLISH MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80T00246A031700060001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 76
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 8, 2013
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 19, 1964
• Content Type: REPORT

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ANFORMATION REPORT INFORMATION REPORT
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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This material contains information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the L.cwwongiu ne sepwnages, Title
18, U.S.C. Secs. 793 and 794, the transmission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law.
COUNTRY Poland
SUBJECT
S-E-C-R-E-T
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Bulletin of the Polish Ministry
of Foreign Affairs
REPORT
DATE DISTR.
NO. PAGES
REFERENCES
inMAY
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2
DATE OF
INFO.
PLACE &
DATE ACQ.
THIS IS UNEVALUATED
INFORMATION.
SOURCE GRADINGS ARE DEFINITIVE.
APPRAISAL OF CONTENT IS TENTATIVE.
1. Polish- 50X1-HUM
language bulletin, with translation, entitled Internal
Information (Informacja Wewnetrzna). The bulletin, dated
November 1963 and put out by the Press and Information
Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MSZ), bears
the Polish classification SECRET (Tajne).
2. An English translation of the table of contents follows:
BULLETIN NO. 7 (November 1963)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
5
4
3
2
1
1. Uarsaw Conference of Rectors ,o4 Higher Schools--
pages 1-3
Ninth General Conkress of Historians in WrsawjJ
pages 4-8
Some Economic
aktiv conference)
pages 9
Problems f om the journalists'
0J ? cp161.0? , 5
g_mre..?(LtJ 'MLI
4. Travel (of Poles) Abroad in October 196-3
pages 23-27
23-27
Pocrt. FuLA9
S-E-C-R-E-T
4;44-111 5
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3
2
1
GROUP
Excluded from automaticl
dovengroding and
declassification 1
STATE I DIA I ARMY I NAVY I AIR I NSA
I sKIX X I OCR
(Note: Field distribution indicated by "*".)
INFORMATION REPORT
INFORMATION REPORTI
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S-E-C-R-E-T
-2-
5. Trai/el of Foreigners (to Poland) in October 1963
. , .
pages 27-2,8
Distribution of Attachments
STATE
OCI
ORR
Retention of
Retention of
Retention of
(4 copies of a 43-page trans-
lation and 1 copy of a 28-page
Polish document)
1 copy
1 copy
1 copy
of translation-
of translation
of translation
-
?
:
?
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S-E-C-R-E-T
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,
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MINISTRY OF FOREIGN ?AFFAIRS
PRESS AND iNFORMATICN DEPARTMENT
INTERNAL INFCRMATION
Warsaw, November 1963
SECRET
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BULLETIN NO 7 (November 1963)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
11 Warsaw Conference of Rectors of Higher Schools
( par_!es 1-3)
2. Ninth General Congress of Historians in Warsaw
( pages 4-8)
3. Some Economic Problems (from the journaliste aktiv conference)
( pages 9-23)
4. Travel (of Poles) Abroad in October 1963
( pages. 23-27)
S. Travel of Foreigners (to Poland) in October 1963
( pages 27-28)
nr rtnrT
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Warsaw Conference of Rectors of Higher
Schools
Purpose of the Conference, which is held annually toWard the end
of September, was to outline the main trends of activity for higher
schools in the new academic year and to define the tasks requiring the,
attention and efforts of the teaching staffs and school administrations.
Participating in the conference were rectors and secretaries of the
PZER (Polish United Workers Party) Education Committees of all schools
in Poland with the exception of art schools.
The report , of Henryk Golanski, Minister of Higher Education,
constituted the basis of discussion. Taking the resolutions of the 11th
and 13th plenums as a starting point, he placed particular emphasis on
the need for saturating the activities of higher schools with an edu-
cational content and the need for uniting the latter with the molding
process into an integral whole, asserting that "formulation of awareness
in a spirit of soc&alism in the younger generation is one of the major
tasks of the entire system of national education, and within its structure,
of higher education." In broader terns he discussed the role of the
basic social sciences, particularly Marxist philosophy and political
economy, in the higher school educational system, indicating the need
for greater concern over a high political-ideological content in the
exercises and for a better selection of teachers as well as a broader
treatment of the problems of Marxist philosophy, economy, and methodology
in the specialized disciplines. He also stressed the political indoctri-
nation tasks and the role of youth organizations in shaping a socialist
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attitude among the students. Golanski listed the following major problems
requiring the attention of the higher schools in;the 1963-1964 school
year: reform of the programs of instruction, increase in the efficiency
of the educational process, realization of the plan for developing a
young teaching staff within the next 10 years conduct of a research
in the schools, and presentation of the tasks for a prospective plan to
the higher schools.
The discussion indicated that the higher school administrations fully
comprehend the Party instructions, particularly those contained in the
resolutions of the llth and 13th plenums, and the higher schools are
concerned over the implementation of theiv social functions regarding the
indoctrination of youth in a socialist spirit. The main course of the
discussion pertained to the finding of ways for the most effective reali-
zation of/tasks in the above area. In a critical appraisal of the
deficiencies and shortcomings in the activity of higher schools concerning
educational influence on the youth, the discussion participants indicated
several factors that would lead to an iMprovement of the above situation.
The following factors were particularly stressed:
- Educational influence through the content of instruction; the
dynamic elements of development of Poland are for use in every discipline,
however, one must know how to point out the content of instruction and
to perceive that Which is new, that which stems from new social and economic
relations and from a strengthening of the development of new ideas,
theories, views and attitudes.
? Influence of teaching Marxist philosophy and political economy;
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Party officials as well as rectors and deans should feel responsible
for the level of instruction in this field.
- Role of the individual ideological attitude of the professor and.
of his contact with the students in shaping the vital attitudes of youth
as well as their attitude to education and pending teaks; the influence
Of a professor on the students and the young instructors creates a
moral and educational atmosphere at the school in an unusually essential
manner.
- Consolidation of the cooperation of school administrations and
teaching staffs and the youth and professional organizations In educational
activity with the youth.
The discussion members also indicated the need for changes in the
work of student mentors. The lack of criteria for appraising the didactic-
educational work of the iinstructors was also indicated.
Among the achievements of the conference was the introduction of the
problem of responsibility of faculty heads not only for realizing the
didactic process, but primarily the political indoctrination process.
The participants also pointed out certain objective difficulties that
produce a restraining effect on the indoctrination work. Unfavorable
living conditions in student dormitories were among the difficulties
cited.
Special attention was also devoted to a reform of the programs of
instruction and, related to this reform, the problem of shortening the
duration of studies. The participants described some difficulties, and
they formulated the terns which must be mat in realizing this task.
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It was generalXy accepted that it is possible to shorten the duration
of studies; however, this cannot be done in a uniform manner for all
departments because this time reduction must be subject to the establish-
ment of a concept of education and the adaptation of teaching materials
to the latter.
The reports of the POP (Basic Party Organization) secretary at the
WSI (Engineering Evening School) in Bialystok and of Comrade Zarnecki,
a journalist at the WSI in Warsaw, provided additional information on
the problems of the engineering evening courses. A number of specific
postulates in this field were advanced for the consideration of the
Ministry of Higher Education. These postulates pertained, inter alia)
to the establishment of a WSI statute 1 or - more broadly speaking -
fr-c,anizatioril
a Higher Professional School; the preparation of the structure/of the
above-mentioned schoolithe preparation of the scope of activities for the
school organs; ,the anticipation of research work; taking action on
the problem of the methodology of i-ns truction lat WSI; and overcoming
the shortage of methodology manuals and guide-books.
Other problems were also taken up during the discussion. The follo-
wing problems were discussed: further search for forms and means Of
increasing the effectiveness of the courses, organization of
scientific research projects, organization of post-graduate training,
school administration work, and improvement of the conditions for stnobr
(mainly by expanding the construction of student dormitories).
The opinions of the discussion participants on the above matters
confirmedm-4-11-4-2?-"--v?of---Eitzber?DIvieluoation
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concerning the basic tasks of higher schools in the 1963-1964 academic
year. An exception to the foregoing were remarks of the secretary of
the Education Committee at the Slask Polytechnic. He discussed the
dangers and difficulties that result from removing assistants from
teaching who -according to the requirements of the law- do not show
progress in teaching in the specified time and do not obtain degrees
in teaching (the so-called teacher assistant rotation system).
The course and the results of the conference attest to the increased
interest of rectors in higher school affairs and to their positive
attitude toward the resolutions and directives of the llth and 13th Party
plenums.
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II. Ninth General Congress of Historians in Warsaw
? In the Congress, 789 persons from all parts of Poland participated,
including 326 scientific personnel, 360 teachers in secondary schools,
and over 100 archivists, amateur historians, and cultural workers. Dis-
? cussions were conducted at plenary meetings and at meetings of the following
three sections: (1) history of medieval culture, (2) history of the
January Revolution, (3) history of People's Poland, as well as at 14
special meetings. During the five-day meeting of the Congress, 313
persons participated in the discussions. At the conclusion of the mee-
tings, the participants of the Congress unanimously passed a resolution
referring to the proposals of the Thirteenth Plenum of the Central
Committee of PUR, and establishing further guiding principles for
Polish historians.
In a basic way, the ideological atmosphere of the Congress differed
from the atmosphere prevailing in 1958 in Krakow. The opening address
of W. Jarosinski, the Secretary of the Central Committee of the PZER)
at the Congress, the warm reception and understanding ittl which the postu-
lates of the Party encountered among the general participants of the
Congress defined its basic scientific and political current.
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I.
?
. The congress disclosed that the Marxist methodological
proposals tare accepted and used by the great majority, of Polish
historians both the young cadre as well as the representatives of
the older generation. This was especially true in the plenary and
sectional reports as well as in the discussion. Isolated reports,
which manifested a tendency to minimize the innovational and creative
character of Marxist methodology (Professors Manteufel, Grzybowska)
or which advocated essentially apolitical causality (Docent Karsten)
- met with vigorous replies on the part of party and non-party his
who set the tone of the discussion and the scientific polemic.
This congress differed from previous ones in its scientific
character.
Instead of touching upoWthe wide variety of subjects which was
the case at previous congresses - emphasis was placed on a program
of topics which had been previously selected. The Congress Program
expressed a desire to more completely conceive of the problems of
the historical sciences. In the Sections dealing with the history
of People's Poland and Polish medieval culture; economic, demographic,
the history of art, Philosophy, cultural and literary works, and
iach. r'S
archaeology"were taken into consideration and were presented by experts
on the sUbjects (among others, E. Rosset, S. Ftibes, W. Hensel, and
others). One of the shortcomings of the program was the failure to
include sociologists experienced in the field of research on the
social structure of People's Poland.
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Greater attention was devoted to the problem of modern times
as compared to other congresses of historians.. Proof of this is
the attention given to the problems of contemporary history. Of
a total of 23 reports, 11 were devoted to the history of People's
Poland The turn toward modern times is also evident in the break
with the traditional form of considering past historical events.
and proposing more realistic problems both from the point of view
of cultural heritage, progressive tradition and the struggle with
nationalist remnantsLwhichlatill prevail among the people.
On a broader scale, greater interest was shown in Methodological
.problems. Howe'Ver, this interest was not expressed directly in the
plenary reports. An effort was made to overcame this shortcoming
, by concentrating several specialized sections on it which facilitated
the elicitation of several problems, which in the light of the
resolutions of the 13th Plenum called for broader explanations. The
significance and understanding of the importance of methodology is
proved by the fact that 150 historians took part in the Meeting on
methodology (the organizer of the meeting and the report was delivered
by C. Bobinska), there was frequent discussion during the sectional
deliberations of general matters connected with Marxist theory, there
c.. informal gatherings
A
was discussion at theAaraidevoted to the theoretical works of
W. Kula (the organizer was S. Boszowski) finally there was the
arrangement of subject matter and meetings from the field of material
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culture (the meeting was organized and the report was delivered by
(.50ictlist 7-3
J. Pazdur), the history of theSystem (the meeting was organized
and the report deliVered by J. Bardach), and military history
(this meeting was organized by and the report delivered by
S. Okecki).
For the first time, problems of important political significance
were more broadly considered at the Congress of the Polish Historians.
In addition to the history of People's Poland, consideration was
given to the history of the working class (organized and report given
by Z. Kormanow), the history of the people's movement and the struc-
ture Of the worker-peasant alliance (report given by J. Kowalski and
M. Szaflik, and organized by W. Stankiewicz), the history of the
colonial countries in Africa and in Latin America (organized and
report delivered by M. Mhlowist).
The reports, special meetings, and discussions disclosed both
the achievements in recent years as well as shortcomings in research
-foe
making it possible to formulate guide-lines eir the more complicated
research to be conducted in the immediate future.
The deliberations of Section I (based on the plenary report
41.
of A. Geyszter and the sectionfireports) had as their goal the
elicitation of the lasting value of Polish cultural heritage as
an important factor causing the creation of national unity with special
emphasis on its secular elements. In the discussion, concern was
expressed over maintaining and raising the methodological level of
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developing research on the history of culture; emphasis was
Placed on the necessity of assuring cooperation of the various
disciplines in researdh; it was suggested that the problems of
cultural history conceived in such a manner should be expanded to
cover the entire Polish historical process up .until the times of
the establishment of People's Poland..
The deliberations of Section II
(based on the plenary report
of S. Kieniewicz and the sectional reports) centered on the social
problems of the Kingdom of Poland during the period of the January
uprising, the lihks between the Polish national-liberation movement
and the Russian revolutionary movement, the position of the European
nations and governments on the uprising. The international signi-
ficance of the 1863 uprising was pointed out as well as its influence
on the Soviet historians especially J. S. Miller and Diakov as well
as the English Historian R. Leslie thereby enriching the problems
of the deliberations and pointing out the significance of international
cooperation on the history of national-liberation movements. Un-
fortunately, there was a lack at the Congress - although, such reports
e)
were initially anticipated -special reports on Polish-Russian
revolutionary ties during the 1860's - 4,'ahd on the First Interna-
tional)although these matters were sighificantly reflected in other
reports and discussions.
For the first time, a section on the history of People's Poland
vas in operation at the National Congress of Historians (based on
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the plenary report of N. Nhdajczyk H. Zielinski and the sectional
reports); was well attended. This section deliberated on the
problems of perfecting the research workshop of the history of
contemporary events; political history, especially dealing with
the history of the PPR (Polish Workers Party); military orientation;
the Western lands, demography and economic history. 'Previous
historical research in general did not go beyond 1947-1948 and ,it
emphasized the necessity of going beyond this time period; strong
emphasis was placed on the necessity of party research centers
playing an inspirational role. Proposals were made to conduct
research on the international situation of Poland, the history of
agricultural reform, the nationalization of industry, the history
of the PPR, the people's movement, the history of the PPS (Polish
Socialist Party), the theory of the people 's-democratic revolution.
, . ?
Attempts were made at fi/g%rinitieffe view of the history of the Western
lands. The Congress disclosed that there is already a significant
part of party historians dealing with the history of the Polish
People's Republic and generally theating their tasks with a feeling
of responsibility.
The disCussion emphasized the need for expanding research on.
the theoryl and practice of the people's-democratic revolution and
the construction of socialism in Poland, modernizing the technical
facilities of the Archives, the development of auxiliary sciences
and
and their application to contemporary history," providing information
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to foreign countries on the history of People's Poland.
During the course of the work on the plenary report of this
section and also the work connected with its publication in
Polityka, there Were signs of the failure to take into consideration
the value of the documentation of the Central Committee of the
PPR during the years 1944-1946 and the press of the People's Poland
during the years. 1944-1956 as historical sources.
It should be pointed..oUt that the struggle postulated by the
13th Plenum of the Central Committee against certain incorrect
tendencies such as: against white washing the reform program,
against objectivist tendencies, against attempts to oppose the
'PPR to its revolutionary precursor5was not satisfactorily considered_
phases_ the
(with the exception of the various ftalt$Nts offUeliberations, for
'Anformalmeetings
example, at the m. devoted tothe history of the worker-
peasant alliance) during the course of the Congress.
The specialized deliberations posed to the Polish historians
important research tasks and made it possible for specialists to
exchange views with one another. At the meetings devoted to the
history of the working class, the history of the people's movement
and the worker-peasant alliance, an appraisal was made of the
achievements of science after 1945, mention was made of the con-
s
siderations on work/Which were already in the process of being pre-
pared, and methodologically basic matters were brought ups as for
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example, the establishments of the sphere of the social concept
of "working class", the concept and significance of the worker-
? peasant alliance, the problem of agrarianism, the role of the.
PPR concept Of the struggle for freedom and :the people's authority
as a platforth of the worker-peasant alliance, etc. In addition,
the discussions centered on new research Methods and new works
(the history of branch splinters of the Working class)as for
you ps
example)building based on the Trade Unions; research on the working
formulating
class during the occupation) and finally the attempts aVpartial
syntheses.
During the congress discussions, emphasis was placed on the
need for popularizing historical knowledge as a factor shaping
socialist awareness in society.\ The postulates in this field just
as the research proposals were expressed in the Congress resolution,
and were turned over for realization to the newly selected Main
Administration of the Polish Historical Society.
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III. Certain Economic Problems Presented at A Journalist -Aktiv
Conference
? In November 1963, a Gonference of Journalist Aktivs was held
in Warsaw, which coverediamong otheraiactual problems of the economy.
In view of the character of the discussed problems, the internal
Bulletin submits certain of the more substantive questions and answers,
calling attention to the fact that many of these matters will #####
( definitely ibe further explained in the materials
.for the coming Plenum of the Central Committee of the Polish United
Workers Party.
I. What is the evaluation Of the current realizationof the
five-year plan in the matter of production and consumption, and, what
iconclusions must be made 11964-19651 and the coming five year plan.
Alarmed
Concerning the realization of asks in the years 1961-1963 Om-
.,
itioranno and
ltagmaneemesesemeem taking industrial production
growth
as a whole, the established/rate of industrial production was basically
maintained. The established growth of total production was to be
26.4 percent for these three years; according to the latest estimates,
the growth was 25.6 percent and therefore approaches the established
growth rate. The growth rate of production for 1961 and 1962 was
much more rapid than expected in the plan, and the growth rate of
production for 1963 was slower than expected in the five year plan.
However, in approaching the general rate of growth of production,
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definite shifts in the production structurehave occurred between,
the production of.capital.goods and the production of consumer goods.
For ? the production of Capital goods (group A) the established
,
rate of growth for 1961-190Twa20.4 percent but, in actuality the
rate of growth will be 31.2 percent. On the other band the planned
growth rate of consumer goods (Group B) production, which was
23,4 percent, will not be realized, EU1 the actual rate of growth will
be 17.4 percept. This is primarily the result of the disproportion
which occurred in 1963 because of the direct and indirect consequences
of poor Agricultural results in 1962. The foodstuffs industry pro-
duction is on a lower level in 19631than it was in 1962,because of a
lack of raw agricultural materials. Light industry production was
curtailed in 1963, and has 'a relatively small rate of growth as
compared to 1962. According to the plan, light industry was not
supposed to have any growth rateisince agriculture.,.had in turn affected
foreign trade, and in order to maintain a balance of foreign trade,
one of the methods was to limit the imports of raw materials for
light industry. 1 Since /the growth rate of the machine industry was
not WM, stopped) the machine industry had its largest growth of
production, about 13 pereent,Aand therefore, 'a disproportion arose
between capital goods and consumer goods which should be considered
a temporary disproportion. Concerning the agricultural situation,
it must be said, that the final results of agricultural production
for 1963 are still not complete. The estimates oscillate from extreme
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pessimism, as in the beginning of September after the August
droughts to
some sort of euphoria and exaggerated
Optimism. In reality the situation presents itself infquite a
complicated manner:, usually the results of.a poor crop in one year
are distributed over a period of two years, 'during the first year
the poor crop does not basically affect thelevel of animal produc-
tion, but does affect anir.6,1 production during the second year.
Therefore such a situation arose
that the poor agricultural crop
in 1962 did not affect, animal production, ori-the other hand. itdid r
affect animal production in 1963. According to information from
the June 1963 agricultural ceosusl the number of swine dropped by?
14 percent o;Sewo million head in comparison to 1962.. This was a
serious blow to animal breeding in 1963. As a result, pork purchases
will be 18 percent lower in 19631than in 1962. Simultaneously there
was a definite growth in the number of cattle and the productiorr7Of
supports established
beef. The Outimitailamommam004 during the past years for the production
are playing
and procurement of yearlings pow an important role. Even in the
difficult fodder years farmers have concentrated their efforts in
maintaining their horned animal herds!. This is very important
since obviously the number of horned animals cannot be reproduced as
quickly as can the number of swine, and as a result the procurement
of beef is several percent higher than in 1962.
Converting beef and pork to the general heading of meat, the
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? procurement in 1963 will be 12 percent less than in 1962. The
decrease however is not reflected in a sharp drop of market supplies.
The 1963 market supplies are about two percent less than in 1962.
Foreign trade absorbed the drop in meatl:production. The 1963 level
of meat; procurement was maintained on approximately the 1962 level
and at the cost of worsening the foreign trade situation. The exports
of processed and unprocessed meat had to be curtailediand 30,000
tons of meat had to be imported from the Soviet Union and 15,000 tons
from Argentina,. The same situation existed with regard to other
animal products such as milk products. Dee to a decrease in the
procurement of milk in order to meet the growing internal consumption,
the exports of butter had to be significantly reduced, as well as
internal market supplies of cheeses, cream, etc. The same also applied
to eggs, the procurement of which,was lower in 1963 than in 1962 .
because of the severe winter, the late spring and the shortage of
feed in 1962-1963. As a result the export of eggs were also reduced.
In one word, animal product production is lower in 1963 than in
1962. The total 1963 agricultural production is more or less equivalent
to 1962 production. These results are still subject to change,pro-
viding more exact information is given. On the other hand the final
production (production which includes farm produce, plus what the
farmer keeps in reserve, plus what is used in personal farmer food
consumption) will be several percent higher in 1963 than in 1962.
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Animal product production is lower than_ in 196, and crop production
is higher, both for the, production of grain and potatoes, and some-
what higher for the production of sugar beets. The .potato crop
is estimated at 140 quintals for hectare. The initial 1963 estimate
was 120 quintals for hectare. Last year the potato crop gave a yield
of 130 quintals per hectare. Therefore the 1963 crop is 10 quintals
per hectare better than in 1962. Vegetable production has increased.
There is not enough data to estimate fruit production, and the
Government Statistical Office estimates of frost damage, judging from
fruit procurement were excessively pessimistic and do not reflect
reality. In summation the final 1963 agricultural production will
possibly be insignificantly greater than production in 1960, which
;this
means that the economy has not advanced, andAt is reflected in the
national income and in the capability of accomplishing the other
indices of the five year plan.
As a result, the growth of personal consumption eould,not reach
the planned indices. It is expected, that according to the present
th0 Dersorla
estimate, the growth of/6onsumption4n 1963 will be 11 percent as
compared to 1960, ' 4
capita
and that per pmermatatMeonsumption will increase by 7 percent in
1963 as compared to 1960. It is possible to see today that it will
be difficult to attain the five year plan indices, not only in
agriculture but also in industrial production, since obviously
agriculture) directlyand indirectly through .f'oreign trade, affects
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the possibilities of attaining a growth of industrial production.
It is expected that the growth of total industrial production will
amount to 47 percent in 1965 as compared to 1960, rather than a
,growth of 52 percent as established in the five year plant 122=22.
Illgythe production of capital goods should increase by 55 percent
rather thlan the planned 57 percent and the production of consumer
goods should increase by 35 percent rather than the planned 44 percent.
This is dependent upon the agricultural situation and the levels
attained in 1963, since the years 1964 and 1965 can now be planned
- ,important
based on the levels attained in 1963. One of the/deviations from the
five year plan was the excessive growth of employment. During the
first three years of the five year plan, employment increased by
about 11 percent and amounted to 770,000 persons, which exceeds the
planned growth of employment for the entire five year plan. This
was caused by a failure to fulfill the labor productivity growth
indices. For example, during 1961-1963, the industrial labor
productivity growth index of 20 percent was only fulfilled by 15 per
cent, and thecoonstruction labor productivity growth index of about
20 percent was only fulfilled by 15 percent. This leads to the
question concerning the possibilities of increasing nominal and
real wages. In 1961, nominal wages increased, by 4.4 percent, in
1962 by 3.6 percent and in 1963 by 4.5 percent which gives an
,total
average /nominal wage increase for the three years of 13.1 percent.
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if
On the other hand, real wages per person increased by 2.7 percent
in 1961, about 0.3 percent in 1962, and by 2 percent in 1963,
or a total increase of 5 percent for the three years. Therefore
-considering the high increase of employment, higher than expected
income_
in the five year plan, the increase of real wows per person employed
outside of agriculture must bei admitted./ This increase is more
i
, ,total
rapid than the increase in real wages because the/number of employed
has increased and that-the increase of/ employed persons is more
rapid than the increase of that part of the population which earns
,per-capita
its wages in work other than in agriculture. The' real income of
persons emp1oyed outside of .sgriculture
increased
-
increased by about 13 percent during 1961-1963. These figures indi-
cate that it will not be possible to fulfill the expected growth
of real wages within the planned time period?, and it will only be
,entire
possible to attain a 10 percent growth of wages during the/five year
plan. Income for persons employed outside of agriculture has-a
chance to increase by about 18 percent during the course of the
five year plan. These computations and figures are provisional .
Generally speaking, since the national income and the agricultural
and industrial production will be lower, it is necessary to reduce
the burden and level of investments. In connection with this action,
investments will be significantly reduced during 1964-1965. In-
vestments will increase by 1.7 percent in l96/$1 as comparedto 1963,
and by 5 percent in 1965.
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2. The national economic plan calls for a 5 percent increase
in production. Actually, according to current calculations, a 4.9
percent increase in production will be achieved. This means that
plan fulfillment will be 100 percent. The production plans will be
alpegerrilc
exceeded in mining heavy industry, andAuppose y dl, th
, e
plan will be somewhat exceeded in the chemical industry, in the
light industry, and in the timber industry) on the other hand, the
plan will not be exceeded in the consumer industry and the milk in-
dustry as the result of the situation in agriculture.
In October, it is expected that the increase in industrial pro-
duction will amount to 4.5 percent as compared to last October and
for
the same thing will apply 0- the 10 month period. But, it is expected
that November and December will see an improvement in the situation
and that the figure of 4.9 percent will be achieved.
3. The differende between Group A and Group B will be somewhat
evened out, obviously Group A will increase somewhat more than Group Bp
but the disparity between the two will not be too great. It is pre-
sumed in the draft plan that light industry production will increase
by 6.5 percent, but at the same rate as the production of industry
as a whole, while the consmer industry production will increase
may be
3.4 percent for the time being, and it putift possible that in practice
may be
this figure Imp exceeded if there is improvement in the agricultural
situation. As far as agriculture is concerned, it is expected that
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global production will increase 4.9 percent as compared to the current
? year. Obviously, this figure may be subject td, certain fluctuations ,
dependin on the final figures for agricultural production during the
current year. Primary emphasis will be placedbn increasing the
number of livestock, incraasing the number Of swine, and maintaining:
or even eventually increasing the number of,cattle.
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Investment outlays will increase over the planned investments in
1963 by only 1.7 percent; hence investment outlays in all production
and non-production sections in residential construction;, in school
construction, in production sections of all newly started investments
had to be curtailed. The reduction in investments pertain primarily to
new production investments. Some investments will be continued, but
not at an accelerated rate; for example, the construction of two new
Coal mines. According to these proposals, employment will increase by
100,000 persons; this is much lower than in the year in which it increased
by 250,000 persons; this will create