LETTER TO SHERMAN KENT FROM ALLAN EVANS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A002500020002-2
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 24, 2012
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: September 16, 1952
• Content Type: LETTER

Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/12/24 :CIA-RDP79R01012A002500020002-2 ,
ADDRE85 OFFIC~iAL COMMUNICATIONS TO ~ ~ ~ ~ecuri yy j y~ yy mS~~On ~ ~ J ~
THE SECRETARY DE STATE ~ , '~' -- '1y4~~ _
WASHINGTON 25. o. ~: DE~'A1RTNiEivIT OF ~TAT~
September 16, 1952
As we agreed yesterdays I am sending you herewith the request
from FE for an N iE on Burma.
I should point out that we hope the, Estimate will include the
element of Chinese intentions, and will peer into the fut~e as
far as light is visible --- looking ahead a twelvemonth at leasta
~~ estimate of the degree of urgency coincides with your
category '"Prioa~ity~`p
We shall, of courses be glad to discuss the objectives of
this e~oercise with your staffs who may be referred directly to
DRF, I understand DRF is prepared to produce its contribution
i.n a matter of three weeks after the signals are clearo
Sincerely yours
Allan Evans
Director
office of Intelligence Research
Attachments Memo from Allison to Armstrong,
9/9/52, re Request for Revision
of NIE No, 36 on an Urgent Basis. (S)
Mrp Sherman Kent,
1.Li, South Bldg. ~
Central Intelligence Ageneyo
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`~ ~0~jce Me~o~~nduy~ ~ UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT`
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ro R - Mr. Armstrong ~ DnTE: September 9, 1 2.
FROM FE -- Mr ? All is O
suBJECT: Request for Re~ision of NIE No. 36 on an Urgen`~~ ~asij~''{ IU ~~
U{~F`i,r iir .i 111. Ji'-n~.+,/
'~.SS'^
On August 1, 1951, NIE No. 36 entitled "Prospects
for the Survival of aNon-Communist Regime in Burma~~
considered the Government of Burma to be seriously
threatened.
On,,N-ovember 28, 1951 this estimate was reviewed in
NIE 36/1 and it was concluded that the political and
military situation in Burma was deteriorating even more
rapidly than had been estimated in NIE No. 36.
Although conditions at the time of writing these
estimates may have justified such pessimism, during the
months since they were published, numerous .political
and military intelligence reports have- suggested to
this Bureau that a new and more favorable trend is emer-
ging in Burma. Some components of this trend appear to
be ;
1. A realistic representation in the cabinet
of the foci of political power, with a resultant
s trengthening of the governmen t ~ s internal pos it~.on.
2. A re s olve on the part of the Government to
reject Communist 'offers of reconciliation, and to
reduce the Communist insurgencies by force .
3.' Inability of the Communist insurgents to
hold important base areas, and the apparent frus-
tration of their attempts to build an effective
coalition with non-Communist insurgents.
4. Failure of the Chinese Communists to follow
through with significant aid to the Burmese Commu-
nists.
5. Intention of Government leaders to reorgan-
ize the Burmese Government for increased efficiency,
SECRET
SEC UItI'~"R'r'I1~"E'O~MA TI ON
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/12/24 :CIA-RDP79R01012A002500020002-2
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/12/24 :CIA-RDP79R01012A002500020002-2
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SECT
SECUR.TTY INFOi~1VIA'iZON
and to concentrate on promoting public welfare and
economic development.
Since the National Intelligence Estimate is used as
a bas=a.c document for determining policy particularly in
the military, economic and technical assistance fields,
it is requested that consideration be given to revising
NIE No. 36 on.an urgent basis.
~~
e
FE;FSA: ster;ves ~=I~Ir. Ogburn FE-Mr
a~ _-?~~ i n1 .
SECRET
SECURITY INFO~tMATTON
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/12/24 :CIA-RDP79R01012A002500020002-2