LENGTH OF NIE 11-6-54

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A003700020019-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 3, 2013
• Sequence Number: 19
• Publication Date: September 14, 1954
• Content Type: MISC

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/03: CIA-RDP79R01012AO03700020019-1
nail Bull
Length of NIL, 11-6-54
3,4
At the agency meetings the ll undoubtedly be a good deal of
aentimen for cutting down the size of HIE 11.-6r- s tclu ing perhaps
junking the appenaices. I belie" that the paper can be out consf rib'ly
but that there are valid arguments for still keeping it a "bi "r paper
even if cut:
a. It is the first real esti to fn the "ui field. As such
it will be a basic document on which future, briefer estimates can be
built. Having said all this once,, we can then writ shorter estimates
hereafter.
be View of the paucity of firm evidence, it is deairabl
that we spell, out in sons detail just how ve reached the fairly firm con.
elusions that we did. Otherwise the paper will lack su:t1loi ty.,
c. The paper is not designed p r' it y for the high level N$C
typo aiidie eo, but rather fa people who are really interested in a
fairly detailed estate, our two requesters were Asst. Sec, of Defense
Quarles and iitDA both of h cou best be served by a fairly detailed papers
2.. The following Specific suggestions for cutting ~roj be advanced
and 1 would suggest the following approach to them:
as AF or same Other service y propose_ omitting all n e s..
1 believe that this is unsound both for the general reasons given above
and the s cific reasons given in c.d below.
b. the could propose that Aru cxA be dropped, thus saving 16
Pages right off. It .arg07 duplica' Uon II and is sum arized in
the chart on page 12. 1 believe everyone will agree to drop it,
c;. lumen g (RESTRICTED DATA) should be kept in this term because
of security co ations but it could - be cut greatly in size I or 2 pis*
d. Annex B (Economic) sho l d, I believe? be retained not =rely
because a%RR mod Job but because ,Amex C reflects a new and
promising approach to the economic capabilities question, and as such
contributes a good deal. It is the best analysis of production capabil ties
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/03: CIA-RDP79R01012AO03700020019-1
ptezber 19
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/03: CIA-RDP79R01012AO03700020019-1
and eaono c pact that we hzm ever had in a Soviet estimate. As
it charts a priming road for the future. It now runs o:7
2 pas, and could be out dovn by, an*t r 4-6 page
0I r advance the propo: that the basin estims
shawl: be but dorm, by, taking out Section II and putt .g it in as
an Anne j. and letting the es i a itself be mainly Section 17 (on
tmticr ),. I do not favor this because.i e strn s the logic of
the paper (,i., a.., capabilities shoiAd be discussed before intentions),
but it is a feasible course of action.
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/03: CIA-RDP79R01012AO03700020019-1