SOVIET SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING MANPOWER AND EMPLOYMENT IN R&D

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CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5
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September 1, 1972
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REPORT
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Intelligence Report Soviet Scientific and Engineering Manpower and Employment in R &D ER IR 72-11 September 1972 Copy N2 114 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONTENTS Page Summary ............................................................ 1 The Stock of Scientific and Engineering Manpower .................... 5 Natural Scientists ................................................. 5 Engineers ....................................................... 6 US-USSR Comparisons ............................................ 8 The Allocation of Scientific and Engineering Manpower to the R&D Effort 10 The Soviet Official Series ......................................... 10 Trends in Employment in R&D in the USSR ........................ 12 Military Scientists ................................................ 13 Trends in the Allocation of R&D Manpower ........................ 14 Occupational Structure of R&D Employment ........................ 16 US-USSR Comparisons ........................................... 19 Comparison with Other Estimates .................................. 21 APPENDIXES Appendix A-Estimates of Employment in US and Soviet R&D Activity, 1950-70 ............................................... 23 Appendix B-Occupational Content of the "Scientific Workers" Category as Defined in the Soviet 1970 Census ...................... 31 Appendix C-Occupations and Duties Associated with Soviet R&D ....... 35 TABLES 1. United States and the USSR: Average Annual Rates of Growth of Science and Engineering Manpower ..................................... 2 2. USSR: Distribution of Natural Scientists, by Field ................... 6 3. USSR: Distribution of Engineers, by Place of Employment .......... 7 4. USSR: Employment in R&D ....................................... 12 5. USSR: Average Annual Rates of Growth of R&D Manpower .......... 12 6. USSR: Advanced Degree Holders as a Share of Natural Scientists, by Field .......................................................... 13 7. USSR: Jobs Performed by "Scientific Workers" in "Scientific Research Institutes" ...................................................... 13 8. USSR: R&D Performed by Industrial Ministries ..................... 15 9. USSR: "Scientific Workers" in Industry ............................ 15 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Page 10. Actual and Recommended Staff Positions in Laboratories of the Research Institutes of the Soviet Ministry of Instrument Making ............... 18 11. USSR: Staff Positions in Design Bureaus as a Share of Total Professional Employment .................................................... 19 12. USSR: Employment in R&D ....................................... 24 13. United States: Employment in R&D ................................ 25 14. USSR: Annual Graduations in Engineering, by Field ................. 27 15. United States: Distribution of Natural Scientists, by Field, and Number of Engineers ................................................... 29 CHARTS Figure 1. United States and USSR: Employment in R&D, by Type of Or- ganization ............................................... 2 Figure 2. USSR: Annual Graduations of Engineers, by Field ............ 8 Figure 3. United States and USSR: Comparison of Natural Scientists, 1966. 9 Figure 4. Coverage of the Two Published Soviet Series on Science Employ- ment ................................................... 11 Figure 5. United States: R&D Employment, by Occupational Category ... 17 Figure 6. Comparison of Estimates of Employment in Soviet R&D ....... 22 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence September 1972 SOVIET SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING MANPOWER AND EMPLOYMENT IN R&D SUMMARY 1. Stimulated by competition with the United States in the military field and in technology generally, the USSR has increased its stock of technically trained manpower enormously since 1950. In 1970 the number of natural scientists was four times the 1950 level and the number of engineers six times. At the same time, employment in research and development grew almost fivefold. Two-thirds of the natural scientists and about one-fourth of the engineers are employed in research and development (R&D)' together with a much larger contingent of supporting personnel. By 1970 the employment in R&D in the USSR was more than 2i times that in the United States (see Figure 1). 2. During the last two decades the United States matched the Soviet rate of increase in the number of natural scientists and, in 1970, had a two-for-one edge over the USSR in the stock of natural scientists. In contrast, the number of engineers in the USSR grew much faster than the number of engineers in the United States. Although there are difficulties in determining the number of engineering graduates actively working as engineers, the USSR clearly has a wide lead in this regard (see Table 1). 'As a working definition for this report, research and development is taken to include basic and applied research in science and engineering and the design and development of prototypes and processes. (Basic research is original investigation for the advancement of scientific knowl- edge; applied research is directed toward discovery of new scientific knowledge with specific product objectives; development is actively concerned with problems encountered in translating research findings or other general scientific knowledge into specific products.) The concept of R&D as used in this report also includes testing and evaluation, and thus is equivalent to the US concept of research, development, testing, and evaluation (RDT&E). NOTE: This report was prepared by the Office of Economic Research and coordinated within CIA. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Figure 1 United States and USSR: Employment in R & D, by Type of Organization * Thousand Persons USSR 3,116 **In the United States, government institutes include federal government and other nonprofit institutions. The latter group employed 6,500 people in 1950 and 40,500 in 1970. - Government Institutes* Universities Industry - 1950 1970 *See tables 12 and 13, in appendix A. United States and the USSR: Average Annual Rates of Growth of Science and Engineering Manpower 1951-55 ..... ........ ... 7.3 5.7 8.1 8.4 1956-63 ..... ......... ... 6.9 8.9 5.5 11.4 1964-70 ..... ........ ... 8.0 6.3 2.6 8.3 1969-70 ..... ........ ... NA 5.3 NA 7.1 1951-70 ..... ........ ... 7.4 7.2 5.1 9.6 3. Employment in the R&D sector in the USSR rose from 528,000 in 1950 to 3.1 million in 1970. During the 20 years 1950-70, the average annual growth was 9.3%, compared with a growth of 6.3% per year in employment in R&D in the United States. Growth was particularly rapid in 1956-62 when Soviet missile and space programs were going into high gear. Since 1962 the rate of annual additions to R&D manpower has been less than half the rate achieved earlier. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 4. Compared with other estimates of employment in Soviet R&D, the esti- mates prepared for this report show a substantially higher rate of increase. For example, this report estimates that, during 1958-66, employment in R&D in- creased almost 12% per year. The USSR reported an increase of 93/2% per year in employment in "science and scientific services"; an OECD report esti- mated the rate of increase to be nearly 10% per year in the same period; and an alternative estimate holds that R&D employment grew by 63 % per year. 5. Although Soviet R&D employment is more than 21/2 times as large as in the United States, a number of problems of comparability prevent a direct comparison. For example, the number of scientists and engineers conducting or managing R&D in the USSR is estimated at 494,000 in 1970, compared with 545,000 in the United States.2 Another significant difference in R&D employment in the two countries involves the support personnel in R&D. In the USSR there are approximately 51/3 support workers per scientist and en- gineer conducting or managing R&D, compared with a ratio of about 11 to 1 in the United States. Finally, three-fourths of the people employed in R&D in the United States are in private industry (see Figure 1). R&D employment in government and other nonprofit institutions in the United States amounts to only 16% of the total, in sharp contrast with the Soviet arrangements. 6. In the USSR, R&D is carried on primarily in institutes and facilities sub- ordinate to government ministries. About 50% of the R&D establishments and 88% of the R&D employment are in this category, and most of them are tied to industrial ministries. Most of the remaining establishments and employees are in the Academies of Sciences, which employ 85,000 scientists and carry out much of the basic research performed in the USSR. The bulk of the develop- mental work is carried out in institutes attached to ministries. Research depart- ments attached to enterprises play a relatively minor role, and university re- search is not nearly as important as it is in the United States. 7. As the scale of Soviet R&D increased, so did dissatisfaction with its per- formance. To some extent, manpower policies have been at fault. The propor- tion of the research talent allocated to universities and to Academies of Science is too large, and too little is allocated to the ministerial research institutes, which do the bulk of the applied research. Fundamentally, however, the fragmented organization and misdirected incentives of Soviet R&D have been at fault. The supply of trained manpower in general has been adequate. 'This is an estimate of the number of scientists and engineers employed in R&D in a capacity that requires use of their technical education, including scientists and engineers who manage research and development programs. CONFIDENTIAL 3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 INTRODUCTION 8. Western attempts to quantify the inputs of men, money, and materials channeled into Soviet R&D have been frustrated by the paucity of data. In par- ticular, the number of workers engaged in either civilian or military R&D is not reported. The USSR, however, does publish information that bears indirectly on the R&D effort, such as the number of workers with engineering degrees and the number of persons classified as "scientific workers." Some Westerners have accepted these data at face value as a measure of Soviet technical man- power and have used them to make US-Soviet comparisons. As a result, Soviet achievements and capabilities vis-a-vis the United States have been overstated. 9. Soviet statistics carefully used, however, do provide a basis for making estimates of the level and rate of growth of engineering and scientific man- power in R&D. Other Soviet data can be used to estimate total R&D employ- ment (scientists, engineers, and support personnel) and, to some extent, the occupational structure of the R&D labor force. These estimates are perhaps the best available representation of trends in Soviet R&D, and they permit guarded comparisons of Soviet and US employment in R&D. 10. This report presents estimates of the size and trends of total Soviet en- gineering and scientific manpower and the share employed in R&D activities. In addition, US-Soviet comparisons in these areas of activity are presented. Finally, the qualitative and organizational aspects of Soviet R&D manpower are examined. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 DISCUSSION THE STOCK OF SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING MANPOWER 11. Soviet leaders have long realized that natural scientists and engineers were critically important to the primary Soviet military and economic goals. High wages, preferential housing and other special privileges, and compulsory job assignments have been used to direct the best talent toward employment in R&D. Ensuring an adequate supply of this talent has been a basic goal of the regimes' educational policy. Students receive early and comprehensive train- ing in science and mathematics, and universities concentrate on turning out scientists and engineers. 12. The supply of scientific and engineering manpower has grown enormously since 1950. At the same time, substantial changes have occurred in the occupa- tional composition of this technical elite, reflecting shifts in demand since the mid-1950s, most notably for skills associated with R&D in the weapons and space sector. Although the forced pace of development of a technical elite has involved some diminution in training standards, the quality of Soviet training and the caliber of leading scientists in many fields is as good as in the West. Natural Scientists 13. Since R&D draws overwhelmingly from the natural sciences and from engineering fields, only these categories have been included in the discussion below. The Soviet Union does not publish data on the number of scientists as generally defined in the United States. The Soviet term "scientific workers" (nauchnyye rabotniki) is considerably broader in concept than the correspond- ing term used in the United States. Under the Soviet rubric, all employees with advanced degrees from universities, wherever employed, and all persons conducting research, regardless of educational background, are counted as scientific workers. More rigorously defined, scientific workers include: (a) academicians who are full or corresponding members of an Academy of Science; (b) all persons who have an academic degree of doctor or candidate of science, or an academic title of professor, docent, research associate, or assistant regardless of the place or character of work; and (c) other persons conducting research work in scientific institutions, industrial enterprises, and design organizations (moreover, the Soviet definition of "scientific workers" includes fields such as law and art which are not classified as "science" in the United States ).3 14. Between 1950 and 1970, while the total civilian labor force was expanding by only 31%, the number of natural scientists increased 3 times (see Table 2), reflecting the relatively high priority given to scientific manpower. The rate of growth in the number of natural scientists rose markedly during the late 1950s and early 1960s, followed by a decline by about two-fifths at the end of the decade (see Table 1). Within the natural sciences, the number of per- sons in the fields of physics and mathematics-essential in military/space Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Table 2 USSR: Distribution of Natural Scientists,a by Field b Thousand Persons Total Physicists Geologists Natural and and Scien- Mathema- Biological Mineral- Agricultural Medical Year tists ticians C Chemists Scientists ogists Scientists Scientists 1950 70.9 10.2 12.9 8.6 3.6 14.1 21.5 1955 93.5 20.1 16.2 11.0 5.7 15.2 25.3 1958 112.5 22.6 20.2 13.2 8.2 18.6 29.7 1959 121.3 24.8 22.7 13.6 9.0 20.2 31.0 1960 134.4 29.0 26.2 15.1 10.7 21.2 32.2 1961 153.6 35.1 32.3 16.2 12.0 23.8 34.2 1962 167.7 48.3 25.4 21.6 13.4 25.5 33.5 1963 185.3 54.9 28.8 23.9 15.1 28.0 34.6 1964 195.1 58.2 31.6 25.7 15.4 29.1 35.1 1965 208.2 63.9 33.5 27.1 16.4 30.6 36.7 1966 225.8 70.8 36.7 29.8 17.5 31.7 39.3 1967 239.7 77.1 39.0 31.8 18.4 31.9 41.5 1968 256.0 83.0 41.7 34.1 19.3 33.3 44.6 1969 271.5 89.0 44.0 36.4 19.6 34.8 47.7 1970 284.1 95.3 45.8 37.3 20.3 35.4 50.0 a Enumerated under "Scientific workers." Same sources as for line 5 of Table 12, in Appendix A. Including geophysicists. research-has grown by more than 8 times since 1950. In contrast, the number of agricultural scientists has increased 1% times during this period. As a con- sequence, physicists, mathematicians, and chemists as a share of all natural scientists rose from one-third in 1950 to one-half in 1970. Engineers 15. Soviet data on engineers (see Table 3) must be used cautiously, par- ticularly when making comparisons with the United States. Soviet figures report the employment of persons with engineering degrees but overstate substantially the number of persons actually working as engineers. First, according to the 1959 census, about half of the employed persons with engineering degrees ac- tually worked in managerial, administrative, or other non-engineering occupa- tions.4 For example, Leonid Brezhnev holds a degree in metallurgical engi- neering and therefore is counted as an engineer in government and admin- istrative institutions. Second, 10%-15% of the engineering categories in the USSR are not counted as such in the United States. Geodesy and cartography, for example, are considered engineering occupations in the USSR but not in the United States. Third, since the late 1950s the Soviet Union has greatly expanded part-time education. Perhaps one-third of all engineering graduates since 1960 have received abbreviated, below-standard instruction in this system. Such graduates would not be considered to be professionally trained engineers CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Table 3 USSR: Distribution of Engineers, by Place of Employment a Thousand Persons Industry and Science and Total Construction Science Service Other b 1950 ....................... 400.2 212.5 58.5 129.2 1955 ....................... 597.8 319.8 89.4 188.6 1957 ....................... 832.2 427.4 174.4 230.4 1960 ....................... 1,135.0 600.1 264.4 270.5 1961 ....................... 1,236.0 653.3 292.6 290.1 1962 ....................... 1,325.1 687.2 324.3 313.6 1963 ....................... 1,420.5 727.7 360.2 332.6 1964 ....................... 1,497.5 753.4 391.2 352.9 1965 ....................... 1,630.8 824.5 419.7 386.6 1966 ....................... 1,789.0 897.4 469.2 422.4 1967 ....................... 1,960.0 NA NA NA 1968 ....................... 2,168.0 NA NA NA 1969 ....................... 2,400.0 NA NA NA 1970 ....................... 2,486.5 1,282.9 617.8 585.8 a Sources 1950-66-Trud v SSSR, Moscow, 1968, p. 268-269. 1967 -Narodnoye khozyaystvo SSSR v 1968 godu, Moscow, 1969, p. 175 (hereafter referred to as N. kh.). 1968-69-N. kh. 1969, p. 134. 1970 -Narodnoye obrazovaniye, nauka i kul'lura v SSSR, Moscow, 1971, p. 238. b Including agriculture, transportation, communication, education, and government admin- istration. in the United States. Nevertheless, despite the incomparabilities, Soviet data are believed to show reasonably well the trends and areas of emphasis in allocating engineering manpower. 16. The pattern of growth of engineers resembles the growth of natural scientists: rapid growth since 1950 with the greatest increase in the 1955-63 period, followed by a marked slowdown in the late 1960s (see Table 1). Be- tween 1955 and 1970 the number of employed persons with engineering degrees quadrupled. Although the number of engineers increased greatly in all sectors of the economy except agriculture, science and scientific service organizations were particularly favored. During 1956-70 the number of engineers employed in science and scientific services increased by 6 times. Between 1955 and 1970 the proportion of engineers found in scientific institutions rose from about 15% to 25% of all engineers. 17. The relative priorities attached to the various engineering specialties can be inferred from the data on the annual graduations shown in Figure 2. Primarily because of defense requirements, growth of engineering employment was most rapid in the fields of machine building and instrument making, electrical and electronic equipment, and radio technology, areas of specialization which are engaged heavily in the support of military and space programs. In 1970, gradua- tions in these fields were 5 to 28 times greater than in 1950. At the other end of the scale, graduations in the fields of geology and survey of mineral resources, hydrology and meteorology, geodesy and cartography, and food technology were only 2 times greater. CONFIDENTIAL 7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 USSR: Annual Graduations of Engineers, by Field 1970 as a Percent of 1950 Hydrology and Meteorology L 275 Geodesy and Cartography Technology of Food Products Power Engineering Technology of Consumer Goods Exploitation of Mineral Resource Deposits Agriculture Forestry Engineering and Technology Transport Construction Chemical Technology Total Graduations Machine Building and Instrument Making Radio Technology and Communications Electrical Engineering and Electro-Instruments Figure 2 US-USSR Comparisons 18. Conceptual differences in statistical reporting hinder meaningful, direct comparisons of natural scientists in the United States and USSR and prevent altogether comparisons of engineering employment. Because the definition of scientist and engineer is narrower in the United States than it is in the USSR, Soviet engineering and scientific manpower is overstated relative to that in the United States.5 Bearing in mind the limitations imposed by the data, comparisons In the United States, engineers represent all persons actually engaged in chemical, civil, electrical, mechanical, metallurgical, and all other types of engineering work at a level which requires knowledge of engineering, physical, life, or mathematical sciences equivalent at least to that acquired through completion of a four-year college course with a major in one of these fields. (An engineer need not hold a college degree in the field.) Functionally, persons with the above qualifications are included if they are in research- development, production, management, technical service and sales, and other positions which require them to use the indicated level of knowledge in their work. Excluded are persons trained in engineering but currently employed in positions not requiring the use of such training. 8 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 of scientific and engineering manpower in the two countries nevertheless provide some insight as to Soviet strengths and relative priorities.6 The following points stand out when such comparisons are made: (a) Between 1950 and 1970 the rate of growth in the number of natural scientists in the two countries was about the same. (b) In 1966 the difference-in the number of natural scientists in the two countries was most pronounced in chemistry and least in geology (see Figure 3). (c) Fluctuations in the rate of increase of scientists and engineers have been less pronounced in the United States than in the USSR, and the missile-space buildup in the late 1950s and early 1960s is not nearly as apparent in the United States as in the USSR. Since the 1950s the United States has witnessed a decline in the rate of growth of engineering manpower (see Table 1). (d) Unlike the situation in the USSR, the rate of growth of natural scientists in the United States has exceeded the rate of growth of engineers. United States and USSR: Comparison of Natural Scientists, 1966* Figure 3 Physicists and Mathematicians Chemists Biological Scientists Geologists Agricultural Scientists Medical Scientists j 24 18 ? The number of persons in the United States employed in science and engineering positions is shown in Table 15, in Appendix A. CONFIDENTIAL 9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 (e) In 1950 there were more than twice as many natural scientists in the United States as in the USSR and by 1970 the gap between the two countries still had not narrowed appreciably. Nevertheless, the United States, which had about 31/2 times as many physicists, mathema- ticians, and chemists as the Soviet Union in 1950, had only twice as many by 1966 (the last date for which US data are available), as shown in Table 2, above, and Table 15, in Appendix A. (f) The rate of growth in the number of engineers in the United States between 1950 and 1970 has been only about one-half that recorded for the USSR during the same period. THE ALLOCATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING MANPOWER TO THE R&D EFFORT 19. Although the Soviet Union regularly reports the employment of persons with science or engineering degrees, some detective work is needed to determine how many of them are working in research and development. 20. Two published series on employment-"science and science services" and "scientific workers"-together include most persons engaged in R&D, but they also contain many people not involved in R&D. The coverage of these two series is depicted in Figure 4. In terms of organizations included, the definition of "scientific workers" is broader because it counts the administrative and pro- fessional staffs employed in all of the institutions conducting R&D-scientific research organizations that are subordinate to ministries or the Academies of Sciences,' enterprises performing their own research, and universities. The series "science and science services," on the other hand, covers only persons employed in scientific research organizations but includes all of the people employed in these organizations-administrative staffs, researchers, and lesser-skilled support workers. Thus the two series overlap in that both include the administrative and professional staffs at scientific research organizations, and each fails to cover completely all persons actually engaged in R&D." 21. Incomplete coverage, however, is not the whole problem. Both series also report many persons who are not involved in R&D as it is usually defined. The "science and science services" category includes, for example, meteorologists ' Including employment in the following main categories of organizations: (a) scientific research establishments (specifically, academies, institutes, observatories, archives, botanical gardens, museums, and libraries engaged in scientific work and, in addition, all computer centers); (b) surveying and geological exploration; (c) independent design organizations and selected experimental stations; (d) "establishments of the hydrometeorological service"; and (e) auxiliary establishments serving scientific organizations such as machine-testing stations (N. K. Sazanovich (ed), Metodicheskiye ukazaniya k sostavleniyu' gosudarstvennogo plana razvitiya narodnogo khozyaystva SSSR, Moscow, 1969, p. 757-759). s Professional staff is defined to include researchers and technicians performing jobs requiring the equivalent of a college education; the nonprofessional staff includes clerical and other service workers performing tasks not requiring a college education. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 assigned to weather forecasting, and holders of advanced degrees are counted as "scientific workers" whether they work in R&D or work full time in adminis- tration or university teaching. 22. Despite these limitations, the published employment series can be refined to provide reasonably accurate estimates of employment in Soviet R&D. These estimates describe a development of the Soviet R&D effort that is different from either of the official series and from other independent estimates. 23. The estimates of Soviet R&D manpower used here were derived through adjustments to the two published manpower series on science workers (as sug- gested in Figure 4) and by making estimates for those R&D workers not covered by either series. Briefly, R&D manpower was estimated as follows. First, persons who are included'in the two series but who are not engaged in R&D were elim- inated, workers in the geologic and hydrometeorological services were deleted from the "science and science services" series, and social scientists were deleted from the "scientific worker" series. Second, estimates were made of R&D support personnel not included in either series. Summing the results of these procedures- avoiding double counting where it occurs-yields estimates of total R&D em- ployment in the USSR.9 Figure 4 Coverage of the Two Published Soviet Series on Science Employment Scientific Research Institutes Geologic and Non R & D -Hydrometeorological Services Non R&D Covered by L "Science and Science Services" "Scientific Workers" O Both For details of methodology and for sources, see Table 12, in Appendix A. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Trends in Employment in R&D in the USSR 24. During the past two decades, total employment in R&D in the USSR grew from an estimated 528,000 in 1950 to over 3.1 million in 1970 (see Table 4). This fivefold increase includes the employment of all those associated with R&D- researchers, administrators, laboratory technicians, clerical staff, char force, and others. As a share of the country's total labor force, R&D employment rose from 0.5% to 2.5%. between 1950 and 1970. 25. The rate of growth in R&D manpower has fluctuated sharply since 1950 (see Table 5). The tremendous rate of growth in total R&D manpower between 1955 and 1962 supported the burgeoning aircraft, missile, and space programs. Since 1963 the rate of increase has returned to roughly the pre-1955 level. The more highly educated component of the R&D labor force did not grow at the same pace as all R&D manpower or even that part of it possessing the equivalent of a college education. Holders of advanced degrees increased very rapidy in 1951-55. Then in 1956-62, the graduate schools could not keep up with the general expansion in R&D employment. As the graduate school enrollments climbed, however, the rate of increase of advanced degree holders employed in R&D made a marked recovery in 1963-70. Thus, considering quality, the rate of expansion of R&D manpower was somewhat slower before 1963 than indicated by total employment and faster after 1963. 26. The end result of these fall-behind and catchup phases of graduate edu- cation was probably some decline in the share of physicists, mathematicians, geologists, and biologists and an increase in the proportion of medical scientists having advanced degrees in R&D employment. At least this was true of the entire stock of natural scientists (see Table 6). Table 4 USSR: Employment in R&D Thousand Persons 528 704 1,458 2,317 3,116 Average Annual Percentage Rate of Growth Table 5 USSR: Average Annual Rates of Growth of R&D Manpower Percent Period Total Non-Profes- sional Staff Total With Advanced Degrees 1951-55 ............ 5.9 6.0 5.5 10.4 1956-62 ............ 15.4 15.8 13.8 7.3 1963-70 ............ 6.2 5.9 7.5 9.6 1951-70 ............ 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Table 6 USSR: Advanced Degree Holders as a Share of Natural Scientists, by Field Net Change 1955 1962 1970 1955-70 Physicists and mathematicians ......... 30.8 20.7 26.3 -4.5 Chemists ........................... 32.0 32.2 31.9 -0.1 Biological scientists .................. 59.0 46.3 52.8 -6.2 Geologists and mineralogists .......... 48.5 35.8 43.4 -5.1 Agricultural scientists ................ 44.6 34.2 44.9 0.3 Medical scientists ................... 60.1 55.4 67.0 6.9 27. Data from the "scientific workers" series indicate that, in 1950-60, about four-fifths of the college graduates associated with state "scientific research insti- tutes" were actually conducting or managing research and development (see Table 7). Projecting this relationship forward and adding the scientific workers Table 7 USSR: Jobs Performed by "Scientific Workers" in "Scientific Research Institutes" a Total With Advanced Degrees Total With Advanced Degrees Total With Advanced Degrees All jobs b ............. 70.5 20.8 96.5 31.1 200.1 44.8 Administrators ...... 20.2 8.9 22.1 10.8 40.9 16.7 Researchers......... 37.1 11.3 53.4 19.2 104.0 27.1 Others ............. 13.2 0.6 21.0 1.1 55.2 1.0 a Vyssheye obrazovaniye v SSSR, Moscow, 1961, p. 208-209. Data are from the "scientific workers" series. b "Scientific research institutes" employ approximately one-half of all college graduates associated with R&D. College graduates are also employed in R&D activities at higher education institutions and at industrial enterprises. c Including technicians and laboratory assistants. performing R&D at universities and industrial enterprises indicates that, in 1970, approximately 494,000 of the 622,000 scientific workers employed in R&D were either performing research and development or managing R&D programs.'? Military Scientists 28. Of the scientists associated with R&D, military scientists deserve special mention. This group (classified as "other" scientists in Soviet statistics) includes scientists from various fields whose specialty is the application of their training 10 In 1970, there were 128,000 scientific workers performing or managing R&D projects in industrial enterprises and 57,000 in universities. In addition, 10,000 graduate students per- formed R&D. It is estimated that 30% of the 427,000 scientific workers in "scientific research organizations" worked as technicians and laboratory assistants, leaving 299,000 scientific workers conducting or managing R&D projects. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 to military requirements.11 In 1950, about 98% of this group of 3,600 were teaching in military academies. In a real sense, these academies are not only military establishments but also institutions for training the professionals in the armed forces who conduct military R&D and direct and supervise the design, development, and procurement of weapons and military equipment.12 By 1962 the number of military scientists had doubled from the 1950 level, reaching 7,176.13 In 1963 the number of military scientists was given as twice the 1962 level, without explanation 14 ; the category apparently was redefined that year to include military scientists heretofore not counted. Most likely, the additions included military scientists working in military research laboratories. Since 1963 the num- ber of military scientists has grown at an average annual rate of 10.3%, compared with an average rate of 6.2% per year for all R&D employment. Trends in the Allocation of R&D Manpower 29. Although bafflingly complex and shrouded in secrecy, Soviet R&D is carried on in roughly three areas: (a) specialized R&D institutes, design or- ganizations, and experimental testing facilities (these are subordinate either to the Academies of Sciences or to government ministries), (b) higher education institutions, and (c) industrial enterprises. 30. The institutes and facilities subordinate to government ministries are the bedrock of the Soviet R&D effort, accounting for about 50% of the nearly 5,000 science establishments in 1970,15 and 86% of all R&D employment. In 1950 this sector of R&D accounted for one-third of the science establishments and 81% of R&D employment. The remaining R&D employment was found at enterprises and universities. R&D conducted by ministries is heavily weighted toward in- dustry: About 40 of the nearly 60 Soviet ministries are industrial ministries which employed over 1.1 million R&D workers in 1968, or about one of every three persons engaged in R&D (see Table 8). If the R&D work force in industrial enterprises is lumped with the R&D employment in institutes subordinate to industrial ministries, total R&D employment associated with industry rises to about one-half of all R&D employment. 31. Between 1961 and 1968, R&D employment in industrial ministries rose at an average annual rate of 5.9%. Unlike other areas of R&D, the growth of employment in industrial R&D performed by institutes subordinate to ministries was particularly rapid in the late 1960s, rising at an average rate of more than 10% from 1965 to 1968. At these institutes, approximately one-half of the R&D personnel were engaged in testing and evaluation work, 30% were in research, and the remaining 20% were in development. 32. Few data are available on employment in R&D, by branch of industry. More specifically, no data ? are available on the magnitude of employment in defense-related R&D in industry. in 1968, in- 11 Byulleten', ministerstva vysshego i srednegospetsial'nogo obrazovaniya SSSR, no. 9, 1963, p. 8. "Nicholas DeWitt, Education and Professional Employment in the USSR, Washington, 1961, p. 221. " N. kh. 1962, p. 583. 14 N. kh. 1963, p. 590. "Narodnoye obrazovaniye, nauka i kul'tura v SSSR, Moscow, 1971, p. 243. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Table 8 USSR: R&D Performed by Industrial Ministries Laboratories (research) ........ Design organizations (develop- ment) ..................... Testing-experimental organiza- tions (testing and evaluation). Total industrial R&D (narrowly defined) c ................. Total industrial R&D (including enterprise R&D) d .......... Employment (Thousand Number of R&D Units Persons) 1961 1965 1968 1961 1965 1968 23,644 25,788 33,000 236.4 a 257.9 a 330.0 a 11,227 13,378 15,000 120.2 b 148.5 223.0 NA NA NA 397.4 b 434.0 573. 1 NA NA NA 754.0 840.4 1 ;126.1 NA NA NA 883.0 996.4 1 3712,.l a Estimate based on the number of employees and number of laboratories in several republics for several years. b Data for 1960. B.F. Zaytsev and B.A. Lapin, Organizatsiya planirovaniya nauchno-teknicheskogo progressa, Moscow, 1970, p. 15. c Excluding employment of persons in R&D activity if carried on in industrial enterprises on their own account. d Including enterprise R&D from line 17 of Table 12, in Appendix A. dustry employed nearly 426,000 "scientific workers" 16-the highly trained segment of the R&D'work force (see Table 9). Of this total, three out of four USSR: "Scientific Workers" in Industry a 1965 1968 Total scientific workers in industry b .................... 356,810 425,992 Of which: Machine building and metalworking ................. 247,625 302,170 General machinery, instrument making, electrical-techni- cal, and radio-electronics ......................... 73,293 NA Chemicals ....................................... 50,791 62,096 ? Based on N.B. Vornin (ed), Ekonomicheskiye problemy effektivnosti nauki, Mos- cow, 1971, p. 77, 79. ? Employed in the various categories of industrial R&D shown in Table 8. were employed in the machine building and metalworking branch (MBMW). Since MBMW employs one-third of the total industrial labor force and is re- sponsible for about 30% of industrial production, its share of the R&D effort is disproportionately high. Moreover, military hardware constituted a substantial share of total MBMW output in the 1960s; therefore, much of the R&D labor force in this branch was undoubtedly working on military R&D. Ministries not related to industry-such as the Ministries of Agriculture, Construction, Health, Education, Communications, Defense, and the like-also employ upwards of one-third of the total R&D work force in their research facilities. 'These workers are scattered among the various categories of industrial R&D employment shown in Table 8. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL 33. Next in importance is employment of over 85,000 scientists in 20 academies of science, the most prestigious science institutions in the country.17 These academies, the oldest of which was established in 1725, are engaged primarily in basic research and have no counterpart in the United States. In the USSR Academy of Sciences, in 1965, there were 4,978 scientists in the physical-tech- nical and mathematical sciences departments supported by 12,560 auxiliary workers. In the chemical and biological sciences departments there were 5,132 scientists and 11,361 auxiliary workers.18 The academies of science restrict their activities largely to basic research, leaving the development phase to institutes of the ministries and to enterprises. 34. R&D performed at universities is not nearly as important in the USSR as it is in the United States. In 1970, Soviet universities accounted for only 2% of the total R&D work force, compared with about 10% in the United States.. There are 51 research institutes located in Soviet universities, but these are either small scientific organizations or institutes operating on a volunteer basis.19 Uni- versity research has been characterized by one Soviet source as being "performed by the academic departments' instructors during the so-called `second half of the working day.' Research departments and sectors play a purely administra- tive and managerial role. It is not surprising that many years of attempts to con- duct integrated research using the forces of a group of departments have pro- duced virtually nothing." 20 Occupational Structure of R&D Employment 35. The Soviet policy of maintaining a high degree of central control is evident in the organizational structure of R&D, as the most important R&D is performed not at the production level (enterprises) but rather at the admin- istrative level (ministries). The highly formal structure of R&D is carried down to the occupational level with duties and responsibilities carefully spelled out (see Appendix C). 36. Both Soviet and Western experts have stressed the importance of having a proper mixture of administrators, researchers, technicians, and auxiliary workers in achieving a productive research program. Data on the structure of employ- ment in R&D in both the United States and USSR are sketchy. In 1970, there were approximately 494,000 scientists and engineers conducting or managing R&D programs in the Soviet Union, supported by about 21/2 million other workers. In contrast, the United States had approximately 545,000 researchers (scientists and engineers) supported by about 700,000 other workers in 1970 (see Figure 5). 37. The abundance of support personnel, however, masks a severe shortage of professionally trained technicians. A series of surveys of research institutes subordinate to the Ministry of Instrument Making, while perhaps atypical, pro- vides some insight into the structure of employment in R&D. Approximately 17 Narodnoye obrazovaniye, nauka i kul'tura v SSSR, Moscow, 1971, p. 245. D.I. Valenty and I.F. Sorokin (eds), Naseleniye trudooyye resursy SSSR, Moscow, 1971, p. 284. 19 Izvestiya, 22 January 1972, p. 5. ?? Ibid. 16 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Figure 5 United States: R & D Employment, by Occupational Category* Thousand Persons 1,244 Scientists and Engineers 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 `See table 13, in appendix A. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. 514234 8-72 one-half of the staffs of the institutes was composed of workers classified as engineering-technical personnel and divided by occupation as follows 21 : Researcher ............................................ 56.2 Designer ............................................. 25.6 Technologist. ......................................... 5.0 Supply and service personnel ............................ 13.2 Technologists are responsible for translating blueprints and technical documents into production models. Thus, in these institutes, the researchers constituted about one-fourth of the entire staff, and the ratio of researchers to support personnel was approxi- mately 1 to 3. 38. Soviet experts argue that shortages of technicians, the skilled manpower which performs routine but technical jobs that otherwise must be done by researchers, foster inefficiencies in R&D. From scattered data, it appears that the ratio of researchers to technicians is not more than 1 to 0.3, compared with the ratio of 1 to 1.5 or 1 to 2 that is deemed optimal by a Soviet expert.22 Moreover, one expert claims that the majority of Soviet research labs employ' only one-fifth as many technicians as analogous labs in the United States, Switzerland, and West 'P.N. Zavlin, A.I. Shcherbakov, and M.A. Yudelevich, Trud v sfere nauki, Novosibirsk, 1971, p. 319. "Ibid. p. 304. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Germany.23 Workers in prototype construction are also fewer than desired and average less than one for every five researchers, compared with the goal of one per four to five researchers. 39. Surprisingly enough, the Soviets also assert that they are short of unskilled and semi-skilled workers in R&D. The results of a study of 66 laboratories instrument making research institutes (see Table 10) indicated shortages workers ranging from one-half to three-quarters of recommended levels. Actual and Recommended Staff Positions in Laboratories of the Research Institutes of the Soviet Ministry of Instrument Making a Director of laboratory ............................... 1.0 1 Deputy director of laboratory ........................ ... 1 Head engineer ...................................... 2.5 2-3 Senior engineer ..................................... 4.5 4-5 Engineer ........................................... 7.5 8-10 Technician ......................................... 4.5 15-20 Auxiliary worker (lab assistants, secretaries, etc.) ........ 0.2 2-3 Total ........................................... 20.0 35-45 40. Some design work is performed within research institutes. Five to six percent of the workers in the surveyed research institutes were designers.24 The majority of design work, however, is carried out by separate design or- ganizations which are responsible only for design and development work. Design bureaus account for approximately one-fifth of total R&D employment by in- dustrial ministries (see Table 8). As in research labs, there are serious shortages of technicians in design bureaus, and the situation worsened during the early and mid-1960s (see Table 11). In 1966, there were 0.7 technicians per engi- neer in design organizations compared with a recommended ratio of 3.4 tech- nicians per engineer.25 41. One-half of the R&D employment in industrial ministries is in testing- evaluation organizations (see Table 8). The responsibilities of these organiza- tions and the composition of their staffs are not known. 42. Soviet progress in R&D has been retarded by numerous factors, including shortages of laboratories and equipment and enterprise managers who have tended to resist innovations because of the nature of the incentives set for them by the central authorities. Even if these faults were corrected, however, the organization and structure of Soviet R&D would remain a major defect. Ac- cording to Soviet reports, the artificial organizational separation of establish- ments performing research, design, and. testing, and particularly the limited amount of R&D performed by industrial enterprises, results in bottlenecks and failures of coordination. " Ibid. p. 303-304. =' Ibid. p. 323. Ibid. p. 326. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Table 11 USSR: Staff Positions in Design Bureaus as a Share of Total Professional Employment a Administrator .......................................... 1.3 1.9 Head designer ......................................... 7.3 9.8 Senior engineer ........................................ 12.9 18.8 Engineer .............................................. 23.3 28.1 Senior technician ....................................... 27.3 24.1 Technician ............................................ 19.6 14.3 Draftsman ............................................. 8.3 3.0 Total ............................................... 100.0 100.0 Ratio of engineers to technicians ...................... 1:1.2 1:0.7 43. One aspect of the organizational problem involves the misallocation of R&D manpower. Forty percent of all advanced degree holders are employed by universities, but they account for only 4% of science research.26 In large part, R&D in Soviet universities is starved for equipment and. materials. In 1965, expenditures per R&D worker in universities for these items was only one-fourth. the amount spent in research institutes.27 A 1966 decree ordered that the situation be corrected, but reportedly nothing yet has been accomplished.28 Ministerial research institutes, on the other hand, have relatively large amounts of equip- ment and materials but are short of people with advanced degrees or even with a university education: in 1966 only 43% of their professionals (administrators and researchers) had a higher education.29 44. Although universities and ministerial research institutes have their prob- lems, the enterprise research institute, which lacks both men and money, is in the worst shape of all Soviet R&D elements. Through at least the late 1950s and early 1960s, moreover, the situation at enterprise laboratories deteriorated as the higher paying scientific research institutes attracted qualified personnel employed in industry. (Between 1960 and 1966 the share of engineers with a higher education employed in industry laboratories declined from 15.8% to 14.6%.)30 Between 1955 and 1966 the average number of people employed in the design and research labs at enterprises declined from 24 to 17 and the number of university trained engineers, from 10 to 6.31 US-USSR Comparisons 45. As long ago as 1950 the number of persons working in Soviet R&D was half again as large as the number working in R&D in the United States (see Figure 1). During 1951-70 the USSR enlarged its R&D labor force at 40Izvestiya, 22 January 1972, p. 5. "Zavlin, Shcherbakov, and Yudelevich, op. cit. p. 58. " Ibid. ' Voprosy ekonomiki i planirovaniya nauchnykh issledovaniy, Moscow, 1968, p. 69. (tr by Air, FTD) ' Zavlin, Shcherbakov, and Yudelevich, op. cit., p. 59. " Ekonomika i organizatisya promyshlennogo proizvodstva, no. 4, 1971. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 a substantially greater rate than did the United States-9.3% per year com- pared with 6.3% per year. As a consequence, total R&D employment in the USSR grew to more than 2% times the US level by 1970. The Soviet commitment to R&D can also be traced in the rising share of the labor force engaged in R&D, which increased from 0.6% in 1950 to 2.6% in 1970. In the United States, R&D employment accounted for 0.6% of the labor force in 1950 and 1.4% in 1970. 46. There is, however, no Soviet advantage in the number of scientists and engineers conducting or managing R&D projects. According to the estimates in paragraph 36, the USSR had 494,000 of these people in 1970 while the United States had 545,000. 47. In addition, the organization and structure of Soviet R&D prevents the USSR from making the most of its manpower. The lack of attention paid to enterprise research in the USSR has hindered technological development. Only 12% of R&D workers are employed in industrial enterprises, a situation very different from that in the United States 32 (see Figure 1). On the one hand, plants facing day-to-day problems with production are best able to see problems and opportunities. With little or no R&D capabilities, however, these plants must rely on outside help. On the other hand, research institutes, unfamiliar with the capabilities and problems of the plants they serve, tend to develop solutions that cannot be implemented. For example, "up to 40% of the plant designers are occupied in unproductive work in correcting projects developed by research institutes that do not meet the plant's production capabilities." 33 As a result, the average time from research to production in Soviet industry is five to ten years, whereas more than 90% of the research projects in US industry are completed in less than five years 34 48. Although the people concerned with Soviet R&D have long recognized the importance of beefing up enterprise R&D, not much has been done in this area. A comparison of the growth of employment in major organizational com- ponents of R&D shows a sharply contrasting development in the United States and the USSR. In the USSR, employment in government institutes ("scientific research institutes") grew much faster during 1951-70 than employment in R&D at enterprises (see Figure 1). In the United States,. however, growth of R&D employment in government was only about two-fifths that in enterprises. 49. The USSR's R&D effort during the past two decades has resulted in technological progress matching the progress of the developed West in most areas. In making these gains, however, the USSR has had to employ substantially more R&D workers than the West. This relative inefficiency stems from the factors discussed above and other factors outside the sphere of R&D related to the organization and management of the economy. " In terms of quality, the share may be even smaller because a wage differential of 20%-40% draws the better researchers out of industry and into higher-paying institutes. (Pravda, 15 January 1972, p. 3.) ? Voprosy ekonomiki i planirovaniya nauchnykh issledovaniy, Moscow, 1968, p. 13. (tr by Air, FTD) " Zavlin, Shcherbakov, and Yudelevich, op. cit. p. 133-134. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Comparison with Other Estimates 50. Few estimates have been made by Westerners of the overall employment in Soviet R&D. In 1969 the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Devel- opment (OECD) published estimates for total R&D employment in 1957, 1962, and 1965-66.36 In 1970, DIA estimated R&D employment for 1955-66.38 Most frequently, the Soviet official series on employment in "science and science services" has been used as a surrogate for R&D employment. This series, as noted earlier, includes many persons not working in R&D who should be excluded from an R&D estimate, and some persons who are engaged in R&D are not included in the series. The net result is that the Soviet official series grossly over- states R&D employment in the 1950s and continues to the present time to over- state R&D employment but to a lesser degree (see Figure 6). 51. The OECD and DIA estimates of R&D employment and the estimate used in this report (New) are similar in that they are all based on the Soviet official series for "science and science services," attempting to net out non-R&D related employment and add in estimates for R&D employment not covered in the official series. The estimates differ primarily in assumptions made and sources used to make estimates of R&D workers not counted in the official series. The most sig- nificant differences between the OECD and DIA estimates and the New estimate follow. OECD and New Estimates (a) OECD does not exclude social scientists from the "scientific worker" category, whereas the estimate used in this report excludes social scientists. (b) After deducting geologic and hydrometeorological services from the "science and science services" category, OECD subtracts, alterna- tively, an additional 20% and 40% of the remaining workers as not being engaged in R&D activity. This is the basis for OECD's low and high estimate of R&D employment and tends to offset the failure to delete social scientists. (c) OECD does not adjust data for the Soviet redefinition in 1962 that added about 30,000 workers to the Soviet R&D rolls. The New estimate adjusts Soviet data of before 1962 to account for these un- registered R&D workers. DIA and New Estimates (a) DIA makes no estimate of R&D workers engaged in enterprise R&D activities. (b) DIA makes no adjustment for the Soviet redefinition in 1962. (c) Although DIA estimates that the number of researchers more than doubled between 1957 and 1962, the number of support personnel is estimated to have declined. "E. Zaleski, J.P. Kozlowski, H. Wienert, R.W. Davies, M.J. Berry, and R. Amann, Science Policy in the USSR, Paris, 1969, p. 501-534. "Thomas P. Kridler, Soviet Professional Scientific and Technical Manpower, DIA, ST-CS-01-48-70, February 1970, p. 77-84, UNCLASSIFIED. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Except for DIA's calculation, the estimates indicate a very sharp rise in R&D employment between 1957 and 1962, followed by slower growth to 1966. The relatively slow growth in the DIA estimates for 1957-62 seems clearly inconsistent with the known trends in Soviet R&D during this period. Comparison of Estimates of Employment in Soviet R & D Average Annual Rate of Growth (Percent) 1958-66 1958-62 1963-66 Official* 9.5 12.9 5.5 New** 11.7 16.4 6.1 OECD*** 9.9 12.8 6.4 DIA**** 6.3 5.1 7.9 * Official 2,741 Figure 6 V A' 2,465 OEC *** imate `Employment in Science and Science Services: N. Kh. 1963, p. 476; N. Kh. 1958, p. 659; N. Kh. 1968, p. 541. "See line 20 of table 12, in appendix A. "`OECD, Science Policy in the USSR, Paris, 1969, p. 502. """Thomas P. Kridler, Soviet Professional, Scientific, and Technical Manpower, DIA, ST-CS-01 -49-70, February 1970, p. 81 and Table XXXVI, p. 149. 22 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 APPENDIX A Estimates of Employment in US and Soviet R&D Activity, 1950-70 Neither the United States nor the USSR publish data on total employment in R&D activity. Other data, however, are published that allow the construction of such estimates. Although the series for the two countries were made as com- parable as possible, the wide differences in reporting in the two countries and ambiguities in Soviet reporting require caution in making direct comparisons. In particular, a number of persons are included on Soviet R&D rolls who are not counted in the United States. It is suspected, therefore, that the estimate for total employment in Soviet R&D may be significantly inflated when compared with the estimate for the United States. On the other hand, it is believed that the two series do reflect with considerable accuracy the trends in R&D activity in the United States and USSR between 1950 and 1970. The estimates of total Soviet R&D manpower shown in Table 12 were derived through adjustments to the two published manpower series on scientific workers (see Figure 4). Briefly, the estimates were derived as follows. First, employment in geologic-prospecting and hydrometeorological services was deducted from total "science and science services" employment. Second, social scientists were deducted from the "scientific worker" category. Third, the number of scientific workers at academic institutions is reported, but only part of their time is spent in R&D activity. all persons in research in higher education establishments should, for purposes of accounting, be counted as only one-third. This coefficient was used to derive the estimate for academic research. Finally, estimates were made for the number of persons engaged in R&D activities in industrial enterprises. In sum, the estimate includes (1) all persons employed at scientific research institutes (less geologic and hydrometeorological organizations and social scientists) and project and design organizations and (2) an estimate of full-time equivalent research being conducted at higher educational institutions and at enterprises. Data on the number of scientists and engineers engaged in R&D activity in the United States, by sector, are published for selected years between 1950 and 1970 (see Table 13). Estimates were made of the number of technicians and other support personnel in order to make the US data comparable with Soviet data. Tables 14 and 15 present detailed data that bear on the R&D effort in the two countries. All data in the two tables are from official government sources in the United States and USSR. As discussed in the text, differences in definitions and coverage make it impossible to compare data directly on engineers in the two countries. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Table 12 USSR: Employment in R&D a 1950 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1986 1967 1988 1969 1970 I. Total "science and science services" employment ...... 714 992 1,094 1,208 1,326 1,462 1,763 2,011 2,213 2,370 2,497 2,625 2,741 2,850 2,990 3,128 3,238 2. Geologic and hydrometeorological services.......... 277 398 421 427 445 440 436 427 434 453 465 465 467 470 475 479 484 3. Employment at scientific research institutes ......... 437 594 673 781 881 1,022 1,327 1,584 1,779 1,917 2,032 2,160 2,274 2,380 2,515 2,649 2,754 4. Total "scientific workers............................ 163 224 240 262 284 310 354 404 525 566 612 665 712 770 823 883 928 5. Social scientists. . . ............................... 46 62 66 68 72 75 83 93 110 119 130 138 153 166 178 192 203 (i. Natural scientists, military scientists, and engineers.. 117 162 174 194 212 235 271 311 415 447 482 527 559 604 645 691 725 7. With advanced degrees ......................... 37 62 66 71 75 79 82 86 90 97 104 113 129 144 159 175 192 8. Total "scientific workers" at research institutes ........ 71 97 106 122 141 165 200 239 299 327 357, 390 397 428 457 487 516 9. Social scientists. . . .............................. . II 18 20 21 23 25 28 33 40 44 49 54 61 68 75 83 89 10. Natural scientists, military scientists, and engineers.. 60 79 86 101 118 140 172 206 259 283 308 336 336 360 382 404 427 11 . Total "scientific workers" at universities ............. 87 119 125 132 136 138 147 158 180 197 208 222 264 284 284 284 284 12. Social scientists .................................. 35 44 46 47 49 .50 55 60 70 75 81 84 92 98 103 109 114 13. Natural scientists, military scientists, and engineers.. 52 75 79 85 87 88 92 98 110 122 127 138 172 186 181 175 170 14. Performing R&D ....................... :...... 17 25 26 28 29 29 31 33 37 41 42 46 57 62 60 58 57 15. 'T'otal "scientific workers" at enterprises .............. 27 33 35 36 38 39 41 43 46 42 49 52 52 58 82 113 128 16. Support workers assisting R&D in enterprises......... 54 66 70 72 76 78 82 86 92 84 98 104 104 116 164 226 256 17. Total R&D employment in industry ................. 81 99 105 108 114 117 123 129 138 126 147 156 156 174 246 339 384 I8, Full-time graduate students at R&D institutes........ 7 8 7 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 17 18 18 19 19 19 19 19. Graduate students performing R&D. . ... .. .. .. .. .. .. 4 4 4 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 20. Total R&D Employment.. ................. .... 528 704 788 899 1,005 1,147 1,458 1 ,719 1,921 2,048 2,179 2,317 2,435 2,558 2,756 2,973 3,116 21. "Scientific workers" .............................. 108 141 151 168 189 212 249 288 349 374 406 443 454 490 534 585 622 22. "Scientific workers" with advanced degrees......... 25 41 44 48 53 58 62 67 67 73 79 86 94 105 116 126 139 ? Sources and Methodology Line I 1950-58-:V. kh. 1958, p. 658-659. 1059 -N, kh. 1959, p. 589. 1960-66-Trud e SSSR, Moscow, 1968, p. 24-25. 1967-68-N. kh. 1963, p. 549. 1960-711-N. kh. 1970, P. 511. Line 2: 1950 58-N. kh. 1958, p. 658-659. 1959 -Interpolated. 1900-117-Trud v 5SSR, Moscow, 1968, p. 24-25. 1968-70-During 1963-67 the rate of increase was I"/,,. It is assumed that this rate was maintained during 1968-7(1. Line 3: 1050-70-Line I minus line 2. Line 4: 1050-58-h'. kh. 19.58, p. 843. 1959-62-N. kh. 1,960, p. 582. 1983-04-N. kh. 1964, p. 699. 1065-67-Trud v SSSR, Moscow, 1968, p. 247. 1968 -N. kh. 1969, p. 694. 1969-70-N. kh. 1970, p. 656. Line Social scientists include historians, philosophers, econo- mists, philologists, geographers, jurists, pedagogists, artists, architects, and psychologists. 1950 - l'yssheye ohrazovaniyc v SSSR, Moscow, 1961, p. 204. 1955-57-Interpolated. 1958 -N. kh. 1958, p. 845. 1959 -N. kh. 1959, p. 756. 1960 -N. kh. 1.960, p. 784. 1961 -N. kh. 1961, p. 703. 1962 -N. kh. 1960, p. 583. 1963 -N. kh. 1,968, p. 590. 1964 -N. kh. 1904, p. 700. 1965 -N. kh. 1965, p. 710. 1966 -Trud v SSSR, Moscow, 1968, p. 248. 1967 -N. kh. 1967, p. 810. 1968 -N. kh. 1968, p. 696. 1969 -N. kh. 1969, p. 695. 1970 -N. kh. 1970, p. 657. Lin, ti: Natural scientists include physicists, mathematicians, chemists, biologists, geologists, agronomists, veteri- narians, medical and pharmaceutical researchers, and research engineers. 1950-70-Line 4 minus line 5. Line 7: 1950 -Vestnik slatistiki, No. 4, 1962, p. 66 and N. kh. 1960, p. 784. 1955-70-Same sources as for line 5. Line 8: 1950, 1958, 1960, 1964-65-N. kh. 196.5, p. 709. 1955. 1959-N. kh. 1960, p. 782. 1956-57-N. kh. 1959, p. 754. 1961-N. kh. 1962, p. 582. 1962-63-N. kh. 1968, p. 589. 1966-Vornin, op. cit., p. 214. 1967-A.A. Zyagin and V.N. Mosier, Plani,ovaniye truda i zaraholnoy platry v N11 i KB, Moscow, 1969, p. 3, reports combined employment in Scientific Research Institutes (NIIy) and Instutions of Higher Education (VUZy). V.P. Yelyutin (ed) Vysshaya shkola SSSR za 50 let, Moscow, 1967, p. 144, reports 263,200 science workers at VUZy in 1967. 1968-69-Interpolated. 1970-Zyagin and Mosin, op. cit., minus 263,000 assumed to he at universities. Line 9: 1950, 1960-I'yssheye ohrazovaniyc v SSSR, Moscow, 1961, p. 204. 1055-59, 1961-70-The share of "scientific workers" in the social sciences employed in scientific research institutes increased from 23.9% in 1950 to 33.7% in 1960 (line 9 as a percentage of line 6). It is assumed that the increase occurred at I percentage point per year during the 1950s and continued at that rate in the 1960s. The shares are applied to the number of social scientists reported in line 5. Line 10- 1950-70-Line 8 minus line 9. Line 11: 1950-67-Same sources as for line 8. 1968-70-Assumed to remain at 1967 level. Line 12: 1950-70-Line 5 minus line 9. Line 13: 1950-70-Line I I minus line 12. Line 14: 1950-70-Reportedly, about one-third of the time of Soviet scientists employed by universities is spent performing research. N.A. Chinakal et al (eds), Pufi poepsheniyu effektienosti nauchnogo truda, Novosibirsk, 1966, p. 81. Line 14 is 33.3% of line 13. Line 15- 1950-61-Beginning in 1962 the definition of "scien- tific worker" was adjusted to include technicians without a graduate degree carrying out scientific work at industrial enterprises and in project-design organizations. To the datreported for 1950-61, which is derived as a residual (see lines 8 and 11), was added an estimate for the reported category. It is assumed that the rate of growth for this category during 1962-65 (4.4% per year) prevailed during 1950-61. 1962-70-Derived as a residual; total scientific workers minus those employed in research institutes and universities. Line 16- 1 950-70-Assumed to he twice line 15. Line 17: 1950-70-Sum of lines 15 and 16. Line 18: 1950, 1960, 1965, 1969-70-.N. kh. 1971, p. 661. 1955 -N. kh. 1958, p. 848, adjusted. 1956-59-N. 69. 1959, p. 760. 1961 -N. kh. 1961, p. 707. 1962-63-N. kh. 1963, p. 595. 1964 -N. kh. 1965, p. 715. 1966-68-N. kh. 1968, p. 700. Line. 19: 1050-70-Assumed to be one-half of line 18. Line 20: 1950-70-Line 3 plus lines 14, 17, and 19 less line 9. Line 21: 1050-70-The sum of lines 10, 14, 15, and 19. Line 22: 1950-70-It is assumed that the proportion of all natural scientists, military scientists, and engineers with advanced degree (line 7) working in scientific research institutes is the same as the proportion of naturalscientists, military scientists, and engineers- irrespective of degree held (line 10)-to the total number of natural scientists, military scientists, and engineers (line 6). It is assumed further that those natural scientists with advanced degrees not employed in scientific research institutes are employed at universities and spend one-third of their time engaged in R&D. Thus, line 22 is obtained by the following formula: line 10 Ir line 10 Line 22 =line 6 (line 7) + 0.33[line 7 - line 6 (line 7) Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Table 13 United States: Employment in R&D a 1. Federal Government ............... 86.7 102.4 106.0 96.1 147.7 160.5 2. Scientists and engineers........... 37.7 44.5 46.1 41.8 64.2 69.8 3. Technicians ..................... 11.3 13.4 13.8 12.5 19.3 20.9 4. Support personnel ................ 37.7 44.5 46.1 41.8 64.2 69.8 5. Industry b ........................ 239.8 427.8 640.2 671.0 846.6 919.6 6. Scientists and engineers........... 95.9 171.1 256.1 268.4 348.4 372.3 7. Technicians ..................... 48.0 85.6 128.0 134.2 149.8 175.0 8. Support personnel ................ 95.9 171.1 256.1 268.4 348.4 372.3 9. Universities and colleges b........... 33.2 50.8 69.3 93.8 99.9 123.3 10. Scientists and engineers c ......... 21.5 32.8 44.6 60.8 64.5 80.0 11. Technicians ..................... 0.9 1.6 2.4 2.6 3.2 3.3 12. Support personnel ................ 10.8 16.4 22.3 30.4 32.2 40.0 13. Other nonprofit institutions b........ 6.5 10.7 14.3 17.9 34.9 40.5 14. Scientists and engineers........... 3.6 5.9 7.9 9.9 19.4 22.5 15. Technicians ..................... 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.0 5.8 6.8 16. Support personnel ................ 1.8 3.0 4.0 5.0 9.7 11.2 17. Total employment in R&D......... 366.2 591.7 829.8 878.8 1,129.1 1 ,243.9 18. Scientists and engineers........... 158.7 254.3 354.7 380.9 496.5 544.6 19. Technicians ..................... 61.3 102.4 146.6 152.3 178.1 206.0 20. Support personnel ................ 146.2 235.0 328.5 345.6 454.5 493.3 a Sources and Methodology Line 1: Sum of lines 2, 3, and 4. Line 2: 1958, 1965, and 1970-National Science Foundation, NSF 72-300, National Patterns of R&D Resources, 1953-72, p. 34. 1960-Hugh Folk, The Shortage of Scientists and Engineers, Lexington, Mass., 1970, p. 69. 1950 and 1955-Derived as a residual, line 14 less lines 6 and 10. Line 3: Relationship derived from 1962 data in National Science Foundation, NSF 64-28, Scientific and Technical Manpower Resources, p. 65. Line 4: It is assumed that for each scientist or engineer performing R&D there is one clerical or other type of support worker. Line 5: Sum of lines 6, 7, and 8. Line 6: 1958, 1960, 1965, and 1970-Same methodology as for line 2. 1950 and 1955-The number of scientists and engineers primarily employed in R&D was adjusted to a full-time equivalent basis using the relationship derived from 1954 data in National Science Foundation, NSF 68-30, Employment of Scientists and Engineers in the United States, 1950-66, p. 22, and NSF 72-300, National Patterns of R&D Resources, 1953-72, p. 34. Line 7: 1950, 1955, 1958, and 1960-Based on the relationship derived for 1962 from National Science Foundation, NSF 64-28, Scientific and Technical Manpower Resources, p. 60. 1965-Based on the relationship derived for 1966 from Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bul- letin 1609, Scientific and Technical Personnel in Industry, 1961-66, p. 58. Line 8: Same methodology as for line 4. CONFIDENTIAL 25 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Table 13 United States: Employment in R&D (Continued) Line 9: Sum of lines 10, 11, and 12. Line 10: 1958, 1965, and 1970-Same as methodology as for line 2. 1960-Same methodology as for line 2 for scientists and engineers (including graduate students) employed in R&D at universities and colleges. 1950 and 1955-Same methodology as for line 6 for scientists and engineers (including graduate students) employed in R&D at universities and colleges. 1950, 1955, and 1960-Number of scientists and engineers employed at federally funded research and development centers (FFRDCs) computed using the average annual rate of growth for 1955 to 1958 derived from National Science Foundation data for 1950 and 1955 and the average annual rate of growth for 1959 to 1961 for 1960. The number of graduate students employed at FFRDCs in 1950 and 1955 is assumed to be the same as in 1954, and the number in 1960 is assumed to be the same as in 1961. Line 11: The number of technicians employed in universities and colleges is assumed to be negligible because of the use of graduate students as technicians. The number of technicians employed in FFRDCs is based on the relationship noted in line 3. Line 12: It is assumed that for every two scientists or engineers performing R&D there is one clerical or other type of support worker. Line 13: Sum of lines 14, 15, and 16. Line 14: 1958, 1965, and 1970-Same methodology as for line 2. 1950 and 1955-Computed using the average annual rate of growth for 1955 to 1958 derived from National Science Foundation data. 1960-Computed using the average annual rate of growth for 1959 to 1961 derived from National Science Foundation data. Line 15: Same methodology as for line 3. Line 16: Same methodology as for line 12. Line 17: Sum of lines 18, 19, and 20. Line 18: 1958, 1965, and 1970-Same methodology as for line 2. 1950 and 1955-Same methodology as for line 6. 1960-Sum of lines 2, 6, 10, and 14. Line 19: Sum of lines 3, 7, 11, and 15. Line 20: Sum of lines 4, 8, 12, and 16. b Including professional R&D personnel employed at federally funded research and development centers administered by organizations in the sector. C Including graduate students. The full-time equivalent of graduate students employed in R&D at universities and colleges and at federally funded research and development centers was 7,500 in 1958, 13,400 in 1965, and 18,700 in 1970. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Table 14 USSR: Annual Graduations in Engineering, by Field a Thousand Persons Percent of Total Graduates Thousand Persons Percent of Total Graduates Thousand Persons Percent of Total Graduates Thousand Persons Percent of Total Graduates 1970 as a percent of 1950 Total graduations ............................... 37.0 100.0 120.0 100.0 170.0 100.0 257.0 100.0 694.6 Geology and survey of mineral resource deposits.... 1.7 4.6 3.9 3.2 3.2 1.9 5.1 2.0 300.0 Exploitation of mineral resource deposits ........... 1.4 3.8 5.3 4.4 4.0 2.4 6.3 2.5 450.0 Power engineering ............................... 2.4 6.5 8.4 7.0 7.0 4.1 10.5 4.1 437.5 Metallurgy ...................................... 1.4 3.8 3.9 3.2 4.8 2.8 6.5 2.5 464.3 Machine building and instrument making .......... 9.1 24.6 30.6 25.5 46.0 27.1 69.0 26.8 758.2 Electrical engineering and electroinstrument making. 1.4 3.8 8.1 6.7 24.6 14.5 40.5 15.8 2,892.9 Radio technology and communications ............. 1.4 3.8 6.3 5.2 14.0 8.2 19.8 7.7 1 ,414.3 Chemical technology ............................. 2.6 7.0 5.7 4.7 10.1 5.9 16.1 6.3 619.2 Forestry engineering and technology of woods, cellulose, and paper ............................ 0.7 1.9 3.7 3.1 2.9 1.7 3.3 1.3 471.4 Technology of food products ...................... 2.3 6.2 3.5 2.9 4.8 2.8 7.9 3.1 343.5 Technology of consumer goods .................... 1.2 3.2 3.1 2.6 3.2 1.9 5.4 2.1 450.0 Construction .................................... 4.9 13.2 17.7 14.7 21.3 12.5 30.3 11.8 618.4 Geodesy and cartography ......................... 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.5 1.0 0.4 333.3 Hydrology and meteorology ...................... 0:4 1.0 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.6 1.1 0.4 275.0 Transport (operations) ........................... 3.1 8.4 6.6 5.5 9.6 5.6 14.9 5.8 480.6 Agriculture ..................................... 2.7 7.3 11.9 9.9 12.6 7.4 19.3 7.5 470.7 a Total graduations are from N. kh. 1970, p. 119. Other data are from N. kh. 1970, p. 646, and previous annual issues. Data for agriculture are derived as a residual. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06104: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 United States: Distribution of Natural Scientists, by Field, and Number of Engineers a Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Thou- sand Persons Per- cent Total natural scientists and engineers n.. 550.8 100.0 806.3 100.0 995.1 100.0 1,051.3 100.0 1,097.3 100.0 1,245.5 100.0 1,204.3 100.0 1,273.5 100.0 1,320.1 100.0 1,361.3 100.0 1,412.8 100.0 1,543.2 100.0 1,577.3 100.0 1,710.0 100.0 Natural scientists ................... Of which: 146.3 26.6 208.5 25.9 268.9 27.0 287.5 27.3 300.5 27.4 316.0 25.4 334.8 27.8 355.1 27.9 378.8 28.7 395.5 29.1 416.8 29.5 NA NA 494.8 31.4 610.0 35.7 Physicists and mathematicians.. . 27.2 4.9 40.2 5.0 53.7 5.4 59.0 5.6 62.7 5.7 66.1 5.3 71.7 6.0 77.3 6.1 83.5 6.3 87.9 6.5 92.8 6.6 NA NA NA NA NA NA Chemists ...................... 51.2 9.3 72.8 9.0 89.3 9.0 94.3 9.0 98.4 9.0 101.6 8.2 105.6 8.8 108.7 8.5 113.5 8.6 116.0 8.5 119.3 8.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA Biological scientists ............. 19.9 3.6 27.3 3.4 39.0 3.9 42.5 4.0 44.7 4.1 46.9 3.8 48.9 4.1 51.3 4.0 54.3 4.1 55.6 4.1 56.8 4.0 NA NA NA NA NA NA Geologists and geophysicists..... 11.2 2.0 15.3 1.9 18.4 1.8 19.1 1.8 18.5 1.7 18.7 1.5 19.2 1.6 20.4 1.6 21.5 1.6 23.6 1.7 24.4 1.7 NA NA NA NA NA NA Other physical scientists c....... 9.7 1.8 16.5 2.0 19.7 2.0 20.5 1.9 21.2 1.9 22.8 1.8 23.3 1.9 24.4 1.9 25.5 1.9 26.2 1.9 28.3 2.0 NA NA NA NA NA NA Agricultural scientists........... 17.2 3.1 22.6 2.8 27.7 2.8 29.9 2.8 30.9 2.8 32.8 2.6 35.8 3.0 39.0 3.1 42.1 3.2 44.7 3.3 47.6 3.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA Medical scientists .............. 9.2 1.7 12.9 1.6 19.6 2.0 21.1 2.0 22.7 2.1 25.5 2.0 28.8 2.4 32.7 2.6 37.2 2.8 40.9 3.0 46.2 3.3 NA NA NA NA NA NA Engineers d ........................ 404.6 73.5 597.8 74.1 726.1 73.0 763.8 72.7 796.7 72.6 929.5 74.6 869.4 72.2 918.3 72.1 941.3 71.3 965.8 70.9 996.0 70.5 NA NA 1,082.5 68.6 1,100.0 64.3 a Sources 1950-66-National Science Foundation, NSF 68-30, op. cit., p. 20, passim. 1968-70-Estimated at the National Science Foundation. b Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. c Including metallurgists and other specialties classified by the USSR as engineering. d Including all persons working in engineering positions, irrespective of degrees held. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06104: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 APPENDIX B Occupational Content of the "Scientific Workers" Category as Defined in the Soviet 1970 Census' Directors and all faculty members of Insti- tutions of Higher Education (VUZy), ex- cept teachers of physical culture Directors of scientific-research establishments Agroclimatologist-agronomist Agroclimatologist, other Agrometeorologist-agronomist Agrometeorologist, other Agronomist scientific worker Agrochemist scientific worker Academician (Akademik) Academician-department secretary Anthropologist-physician Anthropologist, other Archeographer scientific worker Archeographer, other Archeologist scientific worker Archeologist, other Archivist scientific worker Architect scientific worker Graduate student (aspirant) Assistent ' agronomist Assistent architect Assistent physician Assistent of clinic Assistent of laboratory science Assistent artist Assistent other than above, in scientific re- search establishments Astronomer scientific worker Aerologist engineer Aerologist, other Bacteriologist physician scientific worker Bacteriologist scientific worker Bacteriologist (in scientific research institu- tions ) Bibliographer scientific worker Bioclimatologist scientific worker Biologist-agronomist Biologist-physician Biologist-laboratory worker Biologist scientific worker Biologist, other Biophysicist Biochemist-physician Biochemist laboratory worker Biochemist scientific worker Biochemist, other Botanist laboratory worker Botanist scientific worker Botanist, other Virologist-bacteriologist Virologist-physician Virologist, other Vice President, Academy of Science Orientalist Physician scientific worker Geneticist Geobotanist Geographer scientific worker Geologist scientific worker Geometrician Geomorphologist Geophysicist scientific worker Geochemist scientific worker Hydraulics scientific worker Hydrobiologist Hydrogeologist scientific worker Hydrographer scientific worker Hydrodynamics scientific worker Hydrologist scientific worker Hydroreclamation scientific worker Hydrometeorologist Hydromechanics scientific worker Histologist Active member of the Academy of Sciences Doktor Nauk (persons with title Doctor of Science), except in VUZy Candidates for the degree Doktor Nauk Reclamation scientific worker Metallurgist scientific worker Meteorological engineer Meteorological laboratory worker Meteorologist scientific worker Meteorologist, other Mycologist scientific worker Holders of title "Honored Scientist" Zoogeographer Zoologist laboratory worker Zoologist, other Engineer scientific worker Art critic ' The categories listed in this Appendix are those given in Sistematicheskiy slovar' zanyatiy, Moscow, 1969, p. 59-62, and are given in the same order as they appeared in that publication. n Assistent is a scholarly title analogous to the title "Assistant Professor" in the United States. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Researcher scientific worker Researcher, other (at scientific research estab- lishments) Historian archivist Art historian Research historian Literature historian Historian scientific worker Historian, other Ichthyologist Kandidat Nauk (persons with Candidate of Science), except at VUZy Cinematographer Climatologist Consultant on scientific disciplines (except at VUZy) Linguist Literature specialist Lithologist Magnetization engineer Magnetization, other Mathematician scientific worker Paleontologist-geologist Paleontologist, other Pathophysiologist Petrographer scientific worker Microbacteriologist Microbacteriologist physician (at scientific re- search institutes) Microbacteriologist laboratory worker Microbacteriologist (at scientific research in- stitutes ) Mineralogist Museum operator Musicologist Scientific worker laboratorian Scientific worker, other Scientific worker reviewer (academies, scien- tific research establishments) Scientific worker-director Scientific worker-associate Oceanographer Orientalist scientific worker Ornithologist Seismologist Synoptical scientific worker Sociologist Theatrical specialist Technologist scientific worker Toxicologist scientific worker Scientific secretary Scientific curator of museum Scientific expert Pharmacologist physician Pharmacologist, other Physicist scientific worker Physiologist physician Plankton specialist Soil scientist scientific worker Professor-consultant Professor (except at VUZy) Chairman, Department of the Academy of Sciences Chairman, of the Presidium of a branch of the Academy of Sciences President of the Academy of Sciences Psychologist Psychophysiologist Radiophysicist engineer Radiophysicist, other Roentgenologist scientific worker Roentgeno-radiologist scientific worker Director, agrobiological station (scientific) Director, Academy (scientific research) Director, of independent archives (in re- publics, krays, oblasts, districts) Director of archival preservation Director of aspirants (except in VUZy) Director of biological science stations Director of botanical gardens Director of bureaus of science Director of computer centers (science) Director of hydrometeorological station (ex- cept stations associated with transportation) Physiologist laboratory worker Physiologist scientific worker Physiologist, all other Philologist Director of group, laboratory, or office (at scientific research and design establishments except those serving construction) Director of National Forest Director of zonal scientific research stations Director of zoos Director of scientific research institutes Director of institutes for scientific information Director of design institute (except those serv- ing construction) Director of the Cabinet (at scientific research institutes and design organizations except those serving construction) Director of design bureau (except those serv- ing construction) Director of scientific research laboratory (at enterprises and establishments) Director of problem laboratory Director of laboratory (at scientific research institutes and design bureaus except those serving construction) Director of meteorological station Director of scientific administration for the preservation of nature Director scientific research Administration Director of observatory Director of experimental station (independent) Director of experimental economic research administration Director of a department (holding a scientific, technical, or production specialty) at scien- tific research or design establishments, ex- cept those serving construction and VUZy Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08S01350R000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Director of a department (without a specialty) at scientific research or design establish- ments, except those serving construction Director of independent design bureau except those serving construction Director of radiometer station Director of radiometeorological station Director of academic branch at scientific re- search institute Director of branch institute at scientific re- search institute Director of land slippage station Philosopher Phytopathologist scientific worker Chemist biologist Chemist scientific worker Curator of funds scientific worker Corresponding member of the Academy of Sciences Economic geographer Economist scientific worker Electrophysicist scientific worker Embryologist Endocrinologist husbandry specialist Power engineering scientific worker Entomologist scientific worker Ethnographer Linguist Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 APPENDIX C Occupations and Duties Associated With Soviet R&D' Senior research worker: Doctor of Science .............. Independently formulates large basic and applied research ideas, goals, principles, and methods of solution; directs branch development; actively guides the preparation of cadres; is involved in creative literature activities; leads scientific-tech- nical participation in deciding most work goals in research and design; carries out especially complex calculations; consults with other institutions on scientific-technical questions. Candidate of Science Does the above but in a narrower scientific area; writes complex accounts and works competitively on complex technical goals. Junior scientific worker: Candidate of Science Participates in carrying out basic and applied research or design work under the direction of a senior scientific worker or laboratory head; independently solves narrow (single) theoretical questions; works out the methods to be used in experiments; writes up sections of accounts and of technical docu- mentations. Engineer ................... .... Conducts research and design work under the direc- tion of a junior scientific worker or senior engineer; independently carries out calculations of measuring methods; writes up sections of accounts and of technical documentations. Head designer, chief specialist ........ Independently works on design goals or large sec- tions, directs research, writes up the most complex sections of technical documentations; enters into agreement on scientific questions with other in- stitutions; works out technical goals for subdivision. Head engineer and engineer-designer- Independently or as the head of a group of workers Category I engages in a narrow part of applied research or design in connection with a stated goal; designs and calculates more complicated elements of meas- uring methods; chooses scientific-technical solu- tions within the limits of stated goals; parcels out the work for the group; compiles accounts for the completion of work and for technical documenta- tion. Senior engineer and engineer-designer- Independently or as the head of a group of from Category II three to six persons, conducts applied research or design within the limits of technical knowledge; writes sections of accounts; turns out simple tech- nical documentation and presents it for the ex- amination of head engineers or designers (category I); designs more complex documentation. ' Ye.I. Kissel', Organizatsiya truda v issledovatel'skikh i proyektnykh uchrezhdeniyakh, Mos- cow, 1969, p. 173-174. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Engineer and engineer-designer- Works out simple diagrams, designs, and processes Category III under the direction of a more qualified specialist; carries out simple calculations for the majority of experiments, tests, and measures. Senior technician .................... Under the direction of an engineer, executes simple diagrams and designs; regulates measuring and test equipment; participates in the preparation of prototypes; has excellent knowledge of measuring techniques and methods of measuring; registers the results of experiments. Technician ......................... Participates in the preparation of prototypes and testing and tuning simple equipment; has a knowl- edge of measuring devices, regulates their use, and registers the results of measures. Laboratory assistant (without specialized Helps more highly trained science workers, providing education) them with needed accessories (materials, com- ponents, technical documents, literature, measuring instruments, etc.); moves equipment and instru- ments, etc. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5 Confidential Confidential Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/04: CIA-RDP08SO135OR000602030002-5