THE CONSTRUCITON INDUSTRY IN COMMUNIST CHINA DURING THE FIRST FIVE YEAR PLAN (1953-57) AND THE OUTLOOK FOR THE SECOND FIVE YEAR PLAN (1958-62)

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CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5
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March 1, 1959
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REPORT
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 SECRET ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE REPORT N? 69 THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN COMMUNIST CHINA DURING THE FIRST FIVE YEAR PLAN (1953-57) AND THE OUTLOOK FOR THE SECOND FIVE YEAR PLAN (1958-62) CIA/RR 59-6 March 1959 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 WARNING This material contains information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 5-E -C -R -E -T ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE REPORT THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN DURING THE FIRST FIVE YEAR AND THE OUTLOOK FCR THE SECOND FIVE CIA/RR 59-6 COMMUNIST CHINA PLAN (1953-57) YEAR PLAN (1958-62) CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports S -E -C -R -E -T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Summary S-E-C-R-E-T CONTENTS I. Introduction II. Organization of the Construction Effort III. Performance During the First Five Year Plan (1953-57) Page 3. 3 7 A. Share of Construction in Capital Investment . 8 B. Annual Volume of Capital Investment 9 C. Fulfillment of Annual Plans for Capital Construction 9 D. Starts and Completions of Above-Norm Projects . . 9 E. Soviet Bloc Assistance 10 F. Performance in 1953-56 12 G. Retrenchment in 1957 14 IV. Problems in Construction During the First Five Year Plan (1953-57) 14 A. Geological Survey 15 B. Geographic Distribution of Construction Activity 15 C. Reduction of Costs of Capital Construction 17 D. Reduction of Construction Time 18 E. Improvement of Design and Technology 19 F. Mechanization and Construction Equipment 21 G. Labor Force 22 H. Seasonal Variation of Construction 24 I. Local Construction and the Size of Projects 25 V. Construction in Major Economic Sectors During the First Five Year Plan (1953-57) A. Industrial 26 26 1. Metallurgical 27 2. Electric Power 29 3. Coal Industry 33 4. Machine Building 36 5. Construction Materials 39 a. General b. Cement Industry S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 39 40 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T 6. Petroleum 7. Chemical 8. Light Industry a. Textiles b. Food, Paper, and. Other B. Nonindustrial Page 41 43 44 45 46 46 1. General 46 2. Agriculture 47 3. Water Conservancy 47 a. Huai River 48 b. Yellow River 48 C. Transportation 49 1. New Railroads 49 2. Highways 51 3. Waterways and Other 54 D. Post and Telecommunications 54 E. Nonproductive Construction 56 1. General 56 2. New Housing 57 VI. Outlook for the Second Five Year Plan (1958-62) ? . ? ? 58 A. Developments in 1958 58 1. Reorganization of Economic Ministries 59 2. Reduction of Costs of Capital Construction 59 3. Increased Local Construction 60 4. Progress 61 B. Selected Economic Sectors 62 1. Metallurgical 62 2. Electric Power 64 3. Coal 65 4. Machine Building 65 5. Construction Materials 66 - iv - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Page 6. Petroleum 68 7. Chemical 68 8. Light Industry 70 9. Agriculture and Water Conservancy 70 10. Transportation 71 a. New Railroads b. Other Appendixes Appendix A. Statistical Tables Appendix B. Methodology 71 72 75 83 Tables 1. Above-Norm and Below-Norm Starts and Completions in Communist China, 1953-57 2. Estimated Investment in Construction-Installation, Machinery and Equipment, and Survey and Design in Communist China, 1953-57 10 76 3. Planned, Actual, and Estimated Capital Investment, Capacity, and Equipment of Facilities Controlled by the Ministry of the Electric Power Industry in Communist China, 1953-57 77 4. Construction Of Hydroelectric Power Stations in Com- munist China, 1953-57 78 5. Sizes of Coal Mines Constructed in Communist China, 1950-56 79 - v - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 B-E-C-R-E-T 6. Starts in Coal Mine Construction During the First Five Year Plan in Communist China, 1953-57 Page 80 7. Cement Plants Under Construction in Com- munist China, 1953-57 81 Illustrations Figure 1. Communist China: Organization of the Ministry of Construction and Engineer- ing, October 1958 (Chart) Figure 2. Communist China: Estimated Allocation of Capital Investment to Various Parts of Capital Construction and Breakdown of Estimated Construction- Installation Costs, 1953-57 (Chart) Figure 3. Communist China: Planned and Actual Capital Investment and Estimated Construction-Installation Portion of Capital Investment, 1953-57 (Chart) Following Page 2 8 10 Figure U. Communist China: Principal Soviet Aid Inside Projects, 1949-57 (Map) Back Cover Figure 5. Communist China: Above-Norm Projects in Industrial Construction, 1953-57 (Chart) 26 Figure 6. Communist China: Construction of Hydro- electric Power Stations, 1953-57 (Map) 32 Figure 7. Communist China: Cement Production, 1952-57 (Chart) 4o - vi - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Figure 8. Figure S-E-C-R-E-T Communist China. Construction of Major Reservoirs, 1953-57 (Map) . . . 9. Communist China: Major New Railroad Construction, 1953-57 (Map) Figure 10. Figure 11. Figure 12. Communist China: Major New Highway Construction, 1953-57 (Map) Communist China: Proposed Expansion of the Iron and Steel Industry, September 1958 (Map) Communist China: Proposed Expansion of the Chemical Fertilizer Industry, September 1958 (Map) S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Following Page 48 50 52 62 70 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN COMMUNIST CHINA DURING THE FIRST FIVE YEAR PLAN (1953-57) AND THE OUTLOOK FOR THE SECOND FIVE YEAR PLAN (1958-62)* Summary During the First Five Year Plan'(1953-57) try of Communist China showed a rapid rate of of output and in variety of projects handled, mitted blunders and suffered from inefficient and antiquated working methods. Progress was of the fact that China had to rely greatly on assistance in the construction of large-scale the construction indus- growth both in volume althougb it often corn- organizational policies considerable in spite the Soviet Bloc for and complex projects. Since 1953 the organization of the industry has been directed along increasingly efficient lines (see the chart, Figure 1**). The Ministry of Construction and Engineering was established in 1952. Although it was organized nominally on a regional basis, its bureaus reflected industrial sectors and, like the construction units of various ministries, moved from project to project irrespective of geographic location. This practice led to excessive costs and im- peded a regional orientation. During the First Five Year Plan, local construction organs also grew in numbers and capability. The bulk of construction by 1955 was performed by state-operated construction enterprises which worked under contract. By the end of 1957, coordination between design and construction elements had im- proved considerably, and this improvement was reflected in better quantitative and qualitative performance. As more complex projects were undertaken, specialized construction enterprises evolved. To speed construction, units of the Peoples Liberation Army assisted in the national effort, most conspicuously in the construction of new railroads. Most of the construction targets of the First Five Year Plan were surpassed. The First Five Year Plan scheduled 1,600 above-norm con- struction starts*** and 1,271 above-norm construction completions by the end of 1957. About 1,731 above-norm projects were started, and 1,265 were completed during the period. About 825 of the starts and * The estimates and conclusions in this report represent the best judgment of this Office as of 1 December 1958. ** Following p. 2. *** See the second footnote, p. 9, below. S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T 449 of the completions were industrial (see Table 1*). Of these in- dustrial projects, 131 starts and 67 completions were made on pro- jects designed and equipped with Soviet assistance. The Chinese Communists were forced to cope with many new problems in the field of construction during the First Five Year Plan. Vast improvement in both output and techniques was made during the period. The more significant developments in these respects were as follows: 1. A start was made on a more general distribution of in- dustrial facilities throughout the 'country. 2. Construction costs and construction periods for specific jobs were reduced. 3. Geological survey and construction design were improved. 4. More use was made of mechanical equipment in the con- struction industry. 5. There was an increase in construction employment and labor productivity. 6. There was a substantial reduction in seasonality of construction. 7. Local construction effort increased, and by 1957 the local labor force was being more fully utilized on the construction of small facilities to augment the larger (above-norm) projects. 8. Production of major construction materials (cement, steel, and lumber) increased rapidly, and these materials were in tight but adequate supply except in 1956. Construction was not uniform in all sectors of the Chinese Com- munist economy during the First Five Year Plan. Construction for heavy industry had the highest priority, although construction for light industry and for most nonindustrial fields met or overfulfilled the original plans. The construction of highway and waterway facili- ties was generally neglected in favor of the construction of new rail- road lines, about 4,900 kilometers of which were built during the 5- year period. Nonproductive construction** (housing, cultural-educa- tional facilities, and public utilities) consumed nearly 30 percent of total capital investment during the First Five Year Plan. The * P. 10, below. ** See the first footnote, p. 56, below. S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07: CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 SECRET COMMUNIST CHINA ORGANIZATION OF THE MINISTRY OF CONSTRUCTION AND ENGINEERING* OCTOBER 1958 STATE COUNCIL COMMISSION FOR NATIONAL PUNNING NATIONAL TECHNOLOGICAL COMMISSION NATIONAL ECONOMIC COMMISSION TN RD STAFF OFFICE INISTRY OF CONSTRUCTION AND ENGINEERING PEOPLE'S CONSTRUCTION BANK'. URBAN CONSTRUCTION BUREAU Central Design Office General Planning Office Stan ardizat Office Finance Office Technical Office Administrative Office P ad ti Off Supervision Office Political Office Personnel Office Mechanization Office Co struction Materials Office MUNICIPAL CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING BUREAUS 27271 12-58 CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS INDUSTRY CONTROL BUREAU LDesign Office Planning OffIce fl Offic General Research Institute ICEMENT, BRICK. AND GLASS FACTORIES 'Ibis as tentative aid Sffitpilfted dart of (he probable numstenal ??Under the Miantry Cl Fiume SECRET MAIN BUREAU OF CONSTRUCTION AND ENGINEERING Central Design Office Figure I General Planning Office Technical Office Finance Office Production Office Administrative Office Political Office Supervision Offi e Mechanization Office Pe !Circe Scientific Research Office Standardization Office Construction Materials Office Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07: CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Industrial Construction Designing Office REGIONAL CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING BUREAUS Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Chinese reduced this expenditure during the plan period but insisted at its conclusion that nonproductive investment was excessive, point- ing out that the USSR allocated only 15 percent of total capital in- vestment to nonproductive investment during its First Five Year Plan. Preliminary announcements on the Second Five Year Plan (1958-62) Indicate that investment in capital construction will double the 42.74 billion yuan* planned in the First Five Year Plan. The "leap forward" movement, which was based on mass small-scale construction, Implemented at the local level and combined with increased above- norm construction at the central level, puts this figure within easy reach. Although the movement is still too young to evaluate fully, the utilization of large labor and material resources at the local level (resources which were utilized but slightly during the First Five Year Plan) promises economic gains of some magnitude by 1962. I. Introduction. On 1 July 1955, midway in the First Five Year Plan, Po 1-pa, head of the National Economic Commission of Communist China, stated, "Capital construction** is the most important factor in the realiza- tion of socialist industrialization of our state and in the solution of our economic problems for a long period of time." 1/*** The emergence of China as an industrial power in the Far East has de- pended to a great extent on its construction industry. Inasmuch as the Chinese Communists seldom announce construction- installation figures, capital investment data are often used in this report to describe construction activity. Also, because the Chinese allocate capital construction funds and announce the volume of capi- tal construction work in terms of current prices, investment data are given in terms of current prices. The use of constant or fixed prices more accurately reflects the scale and rate of increase of capital investment than does the use of current prices. In spite of the fact that the use of current prices understates the physical * See the second footnote, p. 7, below. ** The term capital construction, which refers to all construction that increases fixed assets and expands production, is used synony- mously with capital investment in this report. - 3 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T volume of capital construction (because of price changes), it is believed that prices have not fluctuated so much as to invalidate the investment data announced by the Chinese Communists and used in this report. II. Organization of the Construction Effort.* The national, regional, and local organization of construction activity in Communist China has improved considerably since 1953. Before that year the construction industry consisted of small pri- vate contracting firms and brigades of masons, carpenters, and other skilled artisans which went from job to job as one unit. These construction firms had little experience in large-scale modern building techniques, the use of mechanical equipment, planning, and organization. In late 1952, along with the creation of the Minis- try of Construction and Engineering, the central government estab- lished state-operated construction enterprises. Within this frame- work, new specialized enterprises of various kinds were developed to cope with the more complex construction work encountered during the plan. The percentage of the total amount of work completed by the specialized enterprises increased from 21 percent in 1953 to 36 percent in 1955. The growth of these enterprises, distributed throughout the economy on both the national and the local levels, was as follows Specialized Total State-Operated Year Construction Enterprises Construction Enterprises 1953 92 402 1954 109 421 1955 169 530 1956 224 602 Although these enterprises, which work by contract, showed rapid growth and by 1955 surpassed the self-operated enterprises in the percent of total labor force in construction and in the percent of work completed, they did not supplant the self-operated enterprises, which continued to exert a substantial influence on construction performance throughout the plan period. The construction goals of the First Five Year Plan called forth more efficient organizational practices at all levels. Initially, organizational effort led to a rapid extension of national control. * See the chart, Figure 1, following p. 2. - 4 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T In 1954 a Peoples Construction Bank and a Commission for National Construction were established. In 1956, two new ministries, the Ministry of City Construction and the Ministry of the Building Materials Industry, were set up to meet the increased requirements of the growing economy. 3/ The Commission for National Construc- tion and the Ministries of City Construction and of the Building Materials Industry were abolished early in 1958, however, in a general move designed to eliminate overlapping functions and to increase the area of local responsibility. II/ The Peoples Construction Bank was established in September 1954 to supervise the allocation of funds for capital construction. Most of the accounts of various construction units and enterprises origi- nally held by the Bank of Communications have been transferred to this Bank under the Ministry of Finance. The change created closer high-level control over investment funds. The Bank has branches in all the leading cities. The Third Staff Office, 1 of 8 staff offices in the State Council, was established in September 1954. It supervises, coordinates, and reviews the work of ministries in the construction field as well as those in the heavy industrial and machine building fields. Along with the Commission for National Planning and the National Economic Commission, it exercises a broad coordinating function over the national construction effort. The Commission for National Construction was established in September 1954, probably as a result of the rapid development of construction sectors in various ministries, and was abolished in the consolidation of organizations of February 1958. Although its exact functions were never defined, apparently it coordinated con- struction plans of the various industrial ministries and their sub- ordinate organs; of the numerous local and provincial construction enterprises; and of the Ministries of Construction and Engineering, City Construction, and the Building Materials Industry. It also assisted the Commission for National Planning in detailed planning of the capital construction program and in establishing national construction norms. Since the reorganization of February 1958, part of the Commission's planning functions have been transferred to the two planning commissions, the National Economic Commission and the Commission for National Planning. Some planning responsibility and all of the Commission's coordination activities have passed to the Ministry of Construction and Engineering. The Ministry of Construction and Engineering was originally established to construct public buildings such as schools, offices, hospitals, and some housing. In 1955 its 29 enterprises, which often - 5 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T worked under contract to other ministries, moved into the industrial construction sphere. 2/ More than 4o percent of the Ministry's work plan for 1956 was devoted to factory construction, and the Ministry is reported to be responsible for the construction of more than one- half of the initial 156 Soviet aid projects. ?./ The administrative reorganization of February 1958 subordinated the functions of the defunct Ministries of City Construction and of the Building Materials Industry to the Ministry of Construction and Engineering and permitted better control of construction activities from the production of materials to the installation of equipment. Currently, the Ministry has several regional construction engineering bureaus that oversee numerous construction and installation enter- prises as well as central design and administrative offices, the counterparts of which are found under the functional regional engineer- ing bureaus. The Ministry also controls the major plants that produce prefabricated construction parts.* Although the Ministry of Con- struction and Engineering is organized nominally on a regional basis, its general construction units in many cases are actually aligned to sectors of industry, making for a mobile labor force, excessive moving costs, and a general instability of regional construction activity. Other ministries have little or no regional orientation in their con- struction organizations, which move from project to project irrespec- tive of geographic location. The organization of the construction industry in 1958, although still unwieldy and in need of streamlining as a result of the over- rapid growth of the sector, is much better than that which existed In 1953. The current and future goals for construction will be met more adequately as waste, confusion, and duplication of functions are reduced and the organization is more precisely geared to the con- struction effort. The reorganization of February 1958 indicates that steps are being taken toward this end. Nearly every state ministry has construction components respon- sible for construction in their respective sectors. Some are highly developed -- for example, those under the Ministry of the Metallurgi- cal Industry and the Ministry of Railroads Others are small and merely subcontract work to elements of the Ministry of Construction and Engineering or to others. Under the various ministries, there are also 140 special design institutes which are charged with the survey, planning, and design of structures and facilities in their sectors. I/ * See IV, E, p. 19, below. - 6 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Construction organs of the Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) have played an important role in the construction effort, particularly In construction on railroads and other construction in frontier areas such as the Northwest and Southeast.* Since 1949, PLA units have furnished labor worth 400 million yuan** in state construction, have laid more than 2,000 kilometers (km) of railroad track, have constructed or repaired 4,300 km of highways, have built more than 40 mechanized farms and 100 factories, and have been active in water conservancy construction. fi During the plan, some military units were converted to civilian construction uses en masse. During the First Five Year Plan the nutber of construction enter- prises under local, municipal, and provincial governments increased greatly. At the beginning of 1955, there we 183 local construction enterprises, 8 installation enterprises, 50 planning and drafting units, and 178 other local organs in the construction industry. 2/ There was increased local investment for capital construction and a willingness on the part of central organs to permit construction standards) norms, and costs to be modified and controlled by local organs, and the number of local construction enterprises probably doubled by the end of 1957 over the number that existed in 1955. At Wu-han in June 1956, there were at work construction units of the central government, of Hupeh Province, and of Wu-ban municipality. Nearly every ministry of the central government was represented. Such asprofusion of construction units serving under three jurisdic- tions in one area points up the need for efficient organization and coordination. Also under provincial and local organizational control are the millions of workers engaged in part-time construction activi- ties connected with water conservancy and road maintenance. III. Performance During the First Five Year Plan (1953-57). Construction activity was vital to all sectors of the Chinese Communist economy during the First Five Year Plan: The plan called for a total of 150 million square meters (sq m) of floorspace to be constructed. An official announcement stated that by the end of June 1957 more than 200 million sq m had been constructed.*** 10/ Another * The names of geographic areas in this report are those of the Chinese Communist administrative divisions defined on Map 25333 (3-56), Communist China: Administrative Divisions, March 1956. ** Current yuan values in this report may be converted to US dollars at the rate of 2.46 yuan to US $1. This exchange rate, however, does not necessarily reflect the true dollar value. *** It is believed that this figure represents an estimate of con- struction expected to be achieved during the First Five Year Plan period ending 31 DeceMber 1957 rather than an announcement of actual construction achieved in the 4-1/2 years ending 30 June 1957. - 7 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T indicator of achievement, the amount of earth, masonry, and concrete work completed, reached 8.3 billion cubic meters (Cu m) by the end of 1957, although at the end of 1955 the amount of this work com- pleted was only a little above 3 billion cu m. The much greater ac- complishment on this front in 1956 and 1957 coupled with the general success of water conservancy constructibn during the First Five Year Plan* suggests that the accomplishment of 8.3 billion cu m is a sub- stantial overflafiLlment of the unannounced original goal. A. Share of Construction in Capital Investment. The Chinese Communists, lacking previous experience in large- scale construction, have relied greatly on the USSR for assistance at all levels. The Chinese have noted that i- the USSR investment in construction-installation work constitutes about 6o percent of total investment in capital construction and investment in machinery and equipment constitutes from 30 to 32 percent. In China, however, there has been some divergence from the Soviet model. The First Five Year Plan set 38 percent of total investment in capital con- struction to go to purchases of machinery and equipment. 11/ If this plan were achieved, construction-installation work, which is the other major component of capital construction, would be allocated about 52 percent of total capital investment. The remaining 10 percent would go to survey, design, and miscellaneous expenditure. The Chinese have released few data on actual components of investment in capital construction. The statements made, for the most part as planning figures, do permit the construction of Table 2** and Figure 2,*** both of which must be considered tentative at this time. Expenditures for construction materials in Communist China (eXclusive of transportation costs) generally make up 4o percent of the costs of construction-installation work, transportation makes up 23 percent of such costs, and wages and overhead costs represent the remaining 37 percent. 12/ The allocation of investment to various portions of construction-installation work during the First Five Year Plan is shown in Figure 2.*** About 48.78 billion yuan were invested in capital construc- tion in Communist China during the First Five Year Plan, roughly 14 percent above the original plan. 11/ It is estimated that 26.4 billion plan (54 percent) of this amount went to construction-installa- tion and the remainder to purchases of machinery and equipment and to other expenditures (see Table 2** and the chart, Figure 2***). * * *** See V, B, 3, p. 47, below. P. 76, below. Following p. 8. - 8 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 CONFIDENTIAL Figure 2 COMMUNIST CHINA ESTIMATED ALLOCATION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT TO VARIOUS PARTS OF CAPITAL CONSTRUCTION AND BREAKDOWN OF ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION-INSTALLATION COSTS, 1953-57 (Billion Yuan) Construction-Installation 26.4 54% , Design, and Miscellaneous Machinery and Equipment 18.5 38% ALLOCATION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT CONSTRUCTION-INSTALLATION COSTS 27270 12-58 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T B. Annual Volume of Capital Investment. The annual volume of capital investment in the First Five Year Plan in Communist China is shown on the accompanying chart (Figure 3*). During 1954-55, most of the above-norm industrial projects** were in the initial low-value phases of capital construction,*** survey-design and excavation. In 19560 when the level of capital investment rose 62 percent above that of 1955, the majority of above-norm industrial projects were in the high-value phases of erection and instplla- tion. Capital investment in 1957 dropped 13 percent below the level of 1956, Chiefly because of the retrenchment program but also be- cause of the fact that many projects had entered the low-value phase of capital investment in which the project is put into operation. C. Fulfillment of Annual Plans for Capital Construction. As capital construction progressed during the First Five Year Plan in Communist China, the gap between actual performance and the annual plans was narrowed until 1956, when virtual fulfillment of the plan was achieved. In 1957 the annual capital construction plan was overfulfilled by 9.5 percent 2.1i (see Figure 3*). D. Starts and Completions of Above-Norm Projects. During the First Five Year Plan the Chinese Communists origi- nally planned to start construction of 1,600 above-norm and 6,000 below-norm projects throughout the economy. About 1,271 above-norm projects and all the below-norm projects were slated for completion by the end of 1957. Table 1**** illustrates the achievement in pro- ject construction.t * Following p. 10. ** A limit or norm in construction costs has been established in Communist China for both new construction projects and reconstruction projects. The norm for heavy industry generally lies between 5 million and 10 million yuan and that for light industry between 3 million and 5 million yuan. *** There are five phases of the capital construction of an indus- trial project, as follows: survey and design, grading and excava- tion, erection, installation of machinery and equipment, and putting the project into operation. The value of capital construction is much lower per unit of time in the survey-design and excavation phases than in the erection and installation phases and is lower again in the final phase of putting the project into operation. The curve reaches Its peak in the erection and installation phases, when skilled labor and processed construction materials are utilized at high rates. Also, the installation phase has a high value of capital investment. **** Table 1 follows on p. 10. t For a further treatment of project construction) see VI A, p. 26) below. -9- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 1 Above-Norm and Below-Norm Starts and Completions in Communist China h/ 1953-57 Above-Norm Projects Below-Norm Projects Type of Project Starts Completions Starts Completions Industrial 825 449 3,000 Nonindustrial and other h/ 906 816 3,700 Total 1,731 1,265 6,700 2,300 3,700 6,000 b. This category includes nonindustrial items such aa agriculture, forestry, water conservancy, urban public utilities, and education as well as transportation and communications. E. Soviet Bloc Assistance. Soviet Bloc assistance to the economy of Communist China since 1949 has been both extensive and intensive. The Bloc has given sub- stantial assistance in the construction of railroads and water con- servancy installations as well as in methods of geological prospect- ing, survey and design, statistical reporting, and basic construction practices. The most important contribution made by the Bloc has been its intensive assistance on individual industrial construction pro- jects. Soviet assistance has taken the form of two economic credits totaling 1,720 million rubles* against which the Chinese Communists * Foreign trade rubles may be converted to dollars at the official exchange rate of 4 to 1, which is believed to be a good approxima- tion of the dollar value. -10- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 CONFIDENTIAL COMMUNIST CHINA PLANNED AND ACTUAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT AND ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION- INSTALLATION PORTION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT, 1953-57 Billion Yuan 20 15 10 Planned Capital Investment Actual Capital Investment Estimated Construction-Installation Portion of Capital Investment 0 1953 27272 12-58 1954 1955 1956 1957 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Figure 3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T have drawn to help pay for imports from the USSR. These imports in- clude equipment for the construction of 211 major projects.* The equipment which the USSR has promised to deliver to China during 1949-62 is valued at 8.1 billion rubles and includes all technical assistance relating to the 211 projects. 12/ These projects are chiefly in the field of heavy industry and include construction of metallurgical, power, machine building, Chemical, defense, automobile, and tractor-manufacturing plants; petroleum installations; and the like. Assistance by the USSR in- cludes geological surveying, selection of construction sites, de- sign, supervision of construction-installation work, and, on com- pletion of construction, assistance in the production process of the new plant. Besides furnishing complete sets of equipment for these projects, the USSR by mid-1957 had supplied Communist China with 4.9 million metric tons** of ferrous metals, 300,000 tons of nonferrous metals, 6.6 million tons of petroleum products, and more than 2,500 sets of metal-cutting machine tools. 22/ The Chinese originally planned to start construction of 145 projects in the First Five Year Plan, but by the end of 1957 no more than 131 were begun. By the end of 1957, 57 projects had been fully completed and 10 others partially completed. With the full completion of these 67 projects, .144 of the 211 projects remained to be completed. Although the bulk of intra-Bloc assistance has come from the USSR, the aid given by the European Satellites to Communist China also has been significant. It is estimated that one-third of the total exports of the European Satellites to China have been in the form of equipment and services for complete industrial installations, amounting in 1956 to as much as 300 million rubles.*** 22/ The lar- gest single project was a radio parts combine supplied by East Germany, the equipment for which was valued at almost 400 million rubles. Nearly every European Satellite furthered the industrializa- tion of China by specialized assistance. Althougb the majority of the projects were electric power stations, cement plants, and sugar re- fineries, the remaining projects covered a wide range of industrial * Only 205 of the 211 Soviet aid projects are considered by the Chinese Communists to be industrial construction projects. The re- maining six projects involve the construction of research institutes and the renovation or expansion of previously constructed projects. Announcements indicate that agreements have been signed by which the USSR will assist China on 205 industrial projects and 21 "individual workshops." (See the map, Figure 4, inside back cover.) ** Tonnages are given in metric tons throughout this report. *** In contrast) Soviet exports of such equipment to Communist China amounted to 868 million rubles in 1956. 21/ -13.- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T installations. Generally, East Germany and Czechoslovakia assisted on electric power and cement enterprises, Poland on sugar and mining enterprises, Rumania on petroleum-prospecting enterprises, and Hungary on metallurgical and other industrial installations. During the First Five Year Plan the Chinese Communists were able to produce only about 60 percent of their requirements for equip- ment. They plan to produce 70 to 80 percent of such requirements by the end of 1962. In 1957 the Fu-la-erh-chi Heavy Machine Building Plant revised its annual investment plan, canceling orders from the Soviet Bloc for equipment valued at 32 million yuan in favor of domestically produced lathes and cranes. 23/ Other factories did the same when it was learned that certain kinds of equipment could be supplied from domestic sources. Although the Chinese publicly extol the part played by the Bloc in the economic development of China since 1949, they are dispensing with Bloc assistance as quickly as they achieve the technical skills and production capability with which to replace it. F. Performance in 1953-56. The first 2 years (1953-54) of the First Five Year Plan in Communist China were years in which reconstruction activities were gradually displaced by new construction. During 1949-52, capital investment had been channeled to the reconstruction and improvement of existing facilities, with proportionally less investment being allocated to new construction. Since the start of the First Five Year Plan in 1953, however, the emphasis has shifted gradually to new construction. A comparison of the percentage of capital investment allocated to reconstruction-improvement projects and to new con- struction in 1952 and 1955 is as follows ELV: Percent 1952 1955 Reconstruction and improvement 65.7 36.3 New construction 32.7 57.4 The Chinese state that the actual amount of capital investment during 1953-55 was 3.4 times that during the 1949-52 reconstruction period. As the First Five Year Plan progressed, there was also a shift from simple civil construction to the construction of more complex - 12 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Industrial installations. This shift is demonstrated organizationally by the growth in the number of specialized construction-installation enterprises* and functionally by the growth in the number of actual projects completed. A Chinese Communist announcement provides the following index of the construction of more complex steel and rein- forced concrete factory structures compared with less complex non- productive structures Eiji: 1953 = 100 1954 1955 Steel and reinforced concrete structures 126.9 186.2 General nonproductive structures 108.5 115.8 Because excessive spending on elaborate structures and non- productive construction impinged on productive construction in 1953 and 1954, a campaign to economize on capital investment was started in the spring of 1955. This campaign, designed to save 680 million yuan in 1955 and a total of about 2.5 billion yuan in the last 3 years of the First Five Year Plan, consisted of two parts, as follows: (1) the reduction of the cost of construction inputs and (2) the cancellation of "unnecessary" subprojects. The reduction of costs was applied to both productive and nonproductive projects, whereas cancellation was applied almost wholly to nonproductive investments. The overzealousness of the drive resulted in widespread disruption. Total floorspace constructed is estimated to have fallen below the 1954 figure to the level of 1953.** Cement plant capacity was under- utilized, and other construction materials were tied up by the cut- back in nonproductive construction. The extravagant practice of overordering construction materials -- often considerably in advance of use -- and the frequent revisions in design required by the cam- paign were the chief disruptive elements. The management of construction improved considerably as a re- sult of the lessons learned in 1955. The economies achieved in capital construction in 1955 alone enabled Communist China to add 60 above-norm industrial construction projects to the original list of 694.xxx 27 The construction program picked up momentum in 1956, * See II, p. 4, above. ** The state constructed a total of 30 million sq m of floorspace In 1953 and 47 million in 1954 and planned only 30 million in 1955. gy *** Subsequently, another 71 projects were added, making a total of 825 above-norm industrial construction projects. See Table 1, p. 10, above. - 13 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T and total investment in capital construction was 62 percent greater than in 1955. Seasonal work was better balanced than in preceding years, and the plan for capital construction was 99.9-percent ful- filled -- the best performance during the period 1953-56. Industrial sectors of the economy benefited most from this construction upsurge. The construction of railroads and water conservancy projects, how- ever, exceeded that of any preceding year, and local construction began to pick up as well. The tempo of construction in 1956 was so great that budgeted investment funds were exceeded, and 1.5 billion to 2 billion yuan had to be withdrawn from other sources, including even state reserves. Overspending in 1956 has been given as one of the prime causes of the retrenchment in 1957. The accumulation of capital in the form of machinery, equipment, and materials not put in place was also ex- cessive. G. Retrenchment in 1957. The overextension of construction activity in Communist China during 1956 brought an immediate and strong reaction. Total capital investment for 1957 was scheduled to be reduced by more than 20 per- cent, and industrial investment was planned to be on a par with 1956, but nonindustrial and nonproductive investment were to be cut sharply. 22/ Capital investment was to be concentrated on the fuel, metallurgical, and construction materials industries as well as on those industries (such as the chemical fertilizer industry) likely to benefit agricultural production. Construction schedules for machine building, light industry, new rail lines, and large water conservancy projects were reduced. Within this framework, construction activity in 1957 proved eminently successful. Productive capacities in most industries were increased, local construction continued to gain momentum, and starts on many small-scale and medium-scale installations were made. A total capital investment of 12.155 billion yuan was achieved, 9.5 percent above the 11.1 billion yuan planned. Thus capital invest- ment in 1957 fell under the 1956 total by only 13 percent rather than by the 20 percent planned. This achievement plus the amount invested during 1953-56 permitted the capital investment target of the First Five Year Plan of 42.74 billion yuan to be increased to 48.78 billion yuan, an overfulfillment of 14 percent. IV. Problems in Construction During the First Five Year Plan (1953-57). During the First Five Year Plan the Chinese Communists faced several major construction problems. The ability of the industry to achieve S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T and overfulfill goals in spite of these problems indicates a rela- tively high level of competence. A. Geological Survey. Before 1955, all expenditures for geological prospecting work in Communist China were budgeted under capital construction. In that year, however, the State Planning Commission decided that, except for geological survey directly related to specific project construction and to drilling work for petroleum and natural gas, funds for geological prospecting would be expended from the state budget as a form of operating expense. 19/ During 1953-55, survey data often were not completed until after actual construction had begun, this problem was largely elimi- nated in 1956-57. In 1957, there were 240,000 workers in the survey field. About 26,000 of the total were classified as engineers and tech- nicians, and 8,000 were college-trained geologists. More than 100 Soviet experts assisted the Chinese Communists in this effort. The labor force was equipped with more than 4,000 units of drill- ing and allied equipment. In contrast, there were only 19,393 geological prospecting workers (including few engineers or tech- nicians) and little equipment in 1952. During 1952-56 the state invested 2.45 billion yuan in geological prospecting. The target of 9.2 million meters (n) of test drilling in the First Five Year Plan was overfulfilled, and about 10 million m actually were achieved. Geological survey plans for locating and confirming new reserves for most minerals were exceeded. The achievement with respect to coal and iron ore reserves was as follows Million Metric Tons Reserves First Five Year Plan Goal Actual Achievement Coal 20,270 32,500 .Iron ore 2,470 4,554 B. Geographic Distribution of Construction Activity. In 1949, 77 percent of the total industrial output in Com- munist China originated in the coastal provinces, whereas the vast - 15 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T hinterland (containing nearly 70 percent of the total land area of the country and including the frontier regions of the Southwest, the Northwest, and Tibet and the Inner Mongolian and Sinkiang Uighur Autonomous Regions) accounted for only about 8 percent of the national industrial production in the same year. 12/ The government planned to reduce this concentration of industry within three 5- year plans. The First Five Year Plan enunciated the following general principles: industrial capacity must be distributed appro- priately to all regions of the country, industries must be placed near areas producing raw materials and fuels as well as consumer areas, distribution of industry must be aligned to the requirements of national defense, economic standards of backward areas must be gradually raised, and reconstruction and expansion of existing facilities in established areas must precede construction of new industrial bases. During the First Five Year Plan, Communist China concentrated on rebuilding and expanding existing industrial bases in the North- east and along the coast in order to secure quick increases in pro- duction, to supply current needs, and to provide capital equipment for future construction. Four-fifths of the total investment in China's iron and steel industry during the plan, half of the 156 key projects receiving Soviet assistance,* and one-third of the total above-norm industrial completions were allocated to the Northeast. 11/ More than 70 percent of total industrial investment during the period 1953-55 was channeled into the Northeast and the North, which regions together accounted for 85 and 66 percent, respectively, of coal and electric power production in Communist China. Approxi- mately 45 percent of all capital investment during the same period was allocated to the existing industrial bases in the coastal pro- vinces, and a considerably higher proportion of industrial invest- ment was given to these areas than to the inland areas. Concurrently, however, a'substantial start was made in carry- ing construction into the hinterland. More than 500 of the 825 above- norm industrial projects started during the First Five Year Plan were inland, and by the end of 1957 the value of fixed assets in these regions had doubled 34/ (presumably since 1952). Most of these pro- jects, however, started construction relatively late in the plan period and will not be completed until the Second Five Year Plan. One harbinger of the future shift to inland construction has been the program for construction of new rail lines in the First Five Year * For the concentration of the locations of the key Soviet aid proj- ects, see the map, Figure )4. inside back cover. - 1.6 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Plan,* which has been concentrated in the underdeveloped regions of western China. The completion of metallurgical combines at Pao-t'ou and Wu-han and of hydroelectric facilities at San-men Gorge and on the I-11 River in Yunnan are examples of construction outside estab- lished industrial areas in locations which will be nuclei for future economic expansion. C. Reduction of Costs of Capital Construction.** Abundant data on the construction of specific plants and projects in Communist China have come to hand indicating reduced costs, but reliable data permitting an aggregative assessment are lacking. A reduction of nearly 1 billion yuan in construction costs was made in 8 major industrial ministries during 1953-55, and another reduction of 1.8 billion yuan was planned in 1956-57, making a total reduction in construction costs of 2.8 billion yuan during the First Five Year Plan. 5.2/ Even if this goal had been met, the figures' would not indicate true reductions in construction costs, because a good proportion of the total so-called cost reduction con- sisted of canceled projects.*** The organizational efficiency of the construction industry plus the successful reductions reported on specific projects and in ministerial statements**** do indicate that construction costs have been lowered, althouqh the extent of this reduction cannot be measured at present. * See V, C, 1, p. 49, below. ** Hereafter referred to as construction costs. The Chinese Com- munists do not define what they mean by reduced construction costs (that is, whether costs are reduced below original estimated costs for a given project or whether actual costs are reduced from year to year for given projects), but it is believed that they generally refer to costs reduced below estimated figures for a given project. Moreover, the context of their statements makes it clear that in speaking of reduced construction costs the Chinese are not speaking of the costs of construction-installation work but rather of capital construction as a whole. *** See III, F, p. 12, above. **** Recently Chao Erh-lu, Minister of the First Ministry of Machine Building, stated, "By the end of 1957 ? the machine building Indus- tr27 ... it was possible to cut building costs by 30 to 50 percent and to shorten the construction time by half." ly Also, the Chinese Communists state that the average cost of construction per kilometer of new railroads was lowered from a planned figure of 578,000 yuan to an actual figure of 566,000 yuan during the First Five Year Plan. ? -17- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T D. Reduction of Construction Time. An intensive effort has been made by the Chinese Communists to shorten the time period of construction for various projects. The building process can be accelerated with rational planning, de- sign, and coordination as well as with more efficient use of labor, materials, and equipment. During the First Five Year Plan an iron and steel combine having an annual capacity of 1.5 million tons re- quired 8 to 10 years for construction, nearly half of this time being spent on survey and design. .31/ A construction period of 4 years was required for the construction of the small-scale Shou-wang-kung copper mine, 3 years for a small ore-dressing plant at Kan-chou, and 3 years for a "small" cement plant. "E_i/ In 1956 the renovation of a blast furnace with a capacity of 900 cu m required 10 to 13 months in Communist China, whereas the building of a new blast furnace with a capacity of from 1,000 to 1,300 cu m required only 4 to 6 months in the USSR. In the same year the construction of a new thermal electric power station of 50,000-kw capacity required 20 to 22 months in China but only 18 months in the USSR, and the building of a new fertilizer plant of 50,000 tons' annual capacity required 30 months in China but only 14 months in Bulgaria. Considerable progress on this front was made in the First Five Year Plan. The construction time necessary to dig a pair of vertical coal shafts was reduced by 6 to 12 months, and the construc- tion time of a chemical fertilizer plant, a nonferrous metals pro- cessing plant, and a high-grade steel plant was reduced, in some in- stances by 12 months. Although the Chinese Communists have made progress in re- ducing construction periods, some of this achievement must be as- cribed to the method used rather than to speed. The so-called "one- plan multiphase" method of construction is being used increasingly throughout China. ._2/ This method envisages expeditious construc- tion on key projects and, after partial production has started, the expansion of these projects up to and often beyond the capacity called for in the original plan. The Kirin Nitrogenous Fertilizer Plant is a good example of this method. Originally scheduled for full com- pletion in 1958, it was announced to be partially completed in May 1957 and fully completed in October 1957. Before the end of 1957, however, preparations were under way to expand the plant. Although this method of construction may cost more in the long run, the Chinese are increasing its use so as to achieve speedy production of key items -- in this case chemical fertilizers, which are currently in very short supply. -18- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T E. Improvement of Design and Technology. By the end of 1957, there were more than 116,000. design workers employed by the more than 140 special design institutes attached to the various ministries in Communist China.122/ About half of the total were employed in industry, but only about half of these were trained technicians. More than 400 above-norm in- dustrial projects as well as many transportation-communications and water conservancy projects were designed by these units, which leaned heavily on Soviet assistance throughout the First Five Year Plan. 341/ The increased standardization of designs and the reuse of blueprints have been major factors in the improvement of over-all design work. As early as 1951 the Chinese Communists began drawing up standard designs for civil and industrial construction. During 1954-56, approximately 4o percent of the blueprints designed were used on more than 1 project.* The reuse of blueprints (the Ch'eng-tu Cutting Tools and Measuring Instruments Plant was constructed on the basis of Soviet-designed blueprints previously used at its Harbin counterpart) and of existing structures and machinery, plus pro- gressively better designing, has contributed to increased efficiency. There remains room for improvement, however -- at least 10 percent of all the blueprints used during 1954-56 were completed behind schedule, and many were returned to the designers for correction of Imperfections. LT/ The Chinese Communists stated in 1957 that their design or- ganizations had the capability to design all blueprints for the follow- ing projects L3./: Type of Installation Aluminum plant Copper refinery Lead refinery Tin refinery Zinc refinery Coal mines Coal-washing plant Metallurgical plant Petroleum refinery Hydroelectric power station Steam power station Annual Capacity 50,000 to 100,000 metric tons 50,000 metric tons 100,000 metric tons 30,000 metric tons 100,000 metric tons 2 million metric tons 1.5 million metric tons 1.5 million metric tons 1 million metric tons 1 million kilowatts 400,000 kilowatts * The Chinese Communists announced that in 1956 standard designs and reused blueprints were used for about 60 percent of civil construction and 31 percent of industrial construction. -19- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T There has been considerable technological progress along with Improvement in design in the construction industry in Communist China. In the First Five Year Plan the technical measures introduced were in- tended to effect economies in the use of steel, cement, and lumber. The trend toward general adoption in industrial construction of re- inforced-concrete structures and components of the assembly type is evident in the fact that early in 1957 there were 20 permanent and 60 relatively large temporary prefabrication plants as well as pre- fabrication yards at nearly every large-scale project site in China. These plants produce concrete and reinforced concrete components for speedy assembly at the site, and their total capacity early in 1957 was 1.1 million cu m.* The Chinese estimate that by the end of 1957, 20 percent of the structures being erected would be of prefabricated elements. Even prestressed reinforced concrete structural elements were produced in the First Five Year Plan.** Although the volume of pre- stressed reinforced concrete was less than 2 percent of the total volume of reinforced concrete in 1957, the fact that actual produc- tion using the process was begun in the First Five Year Plan speaks for the increased capability of the construction industry. Pre- stressed reinforced concrete elements produced included roof trusses and girders, floor slabs, mine props, and railroad ties and bridges. Other new techniques were introduced during the First Five Year Plan in Communist China. Bamboo was used extensively instead of steel rods in reinforced concrete in 1956 and was reported to have reduced reinforcement costs 45 percent. Bamboo also gained acceptance as a substitute for wood in roof supports. In erecting * Actual and planned production figures of enterprises subordinate to the Ministry of Construction and Engineering show that the in- creased output of prefabricated structural elements during 1954-56 was as follows Cubic Meters 1954 1955 1956 (Actual) (Actual) (Planned) Steel reinforced-concrete prefabricated elements 47,000 111,000 376,000 Foam concrete prefabricated elements N.A. 56,000 174,000 ** Prestressed reinforced concrete is concrete in which the rein- forcing steel is tensioned or stretched before being encased in the concrete. Prestressing imparts added strength to the rein- forced concrete, saves steel, and reduces costs. - 20- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T electric transmission lines, reinforced concrete towers were sub- stituted successfully for steel towers. This substitution was planned to effect a saving of 7,000 tons of steel in 1956. Rein- forced concrete railroad ties and pit props in coal mines were in- troduced, but large-scale usage was delayed until the Second Five Year Plan.*)2y Lastly, newly designed steel frames replaced conven- tional frames for certain types of buildings, with a consequent saving of steel, and foundations of some civil buildings were con- structed of natural cement rather than concrete. The rise in the technological level of the construction In- dustry has been retarded, however, by low-quality workmanship at many sites. Too few competent supervisors, poor coordination be- tween contractors, and sporadic deliveries of equipment and ma- terials combined to cause shoddy workmanship and thousands of "qual- ity accidents" during the First Five Year Plan. F. Mechanization and Construction Equipment. More and better construction equipment permitted a reduction of building costs and the completion of a large volume of construc- tion in Communist China during the First Five Year Plan. The fixed assets of construction-installation enterprises under the State Council grew rapidly in the First Five Year Plan. The value of fixed assets held by these units during 1953-55 follows Li: Machinery and Equipment Total Fixed Assets Year Million Yuan Percent of Total (Million Yuan) 1953 220 46 48o 1954 400 50 8o6 1955 528 49 1,078 The increase in the number of important types of construction equipment available to the state-operated contract construction en- terprises in 1953-55 was as follows .11?/: * In 1957, at least 3 permanent factories were being constructed that were scheduled to produce from 2.2 million to 2.5 million pre- stressed reinforced concrete railroad ties annuAlly by the end of 1959. One of these factories, located near T'ien-shui, was ex- perimenting with the production of prestressed steel reinforced concrete bridge spans late in 1957. ill/ - 21 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Equipment 1953 1954 1955 Cranes, derricks, and the like 513 955 1,379 Power shovels 45 112 159 Concrete mixers 1,676 2,249 2,443 Dump trucks 3,237 5,238 5,871 In 1957 it was announced that this inventory had been increased to about 20,000 units. 1[2/ The relatively rapid rate of mechanization In certain aspects of construction activity solved some problems but created others. The rate of mechanization outstripped the rate of increase in the level of organizational control and in the tech- nical level of workers. The result of this was that construction equipment was utilized at a low rate, which further aggravated the problem of inadequate stocks. Mechanization during the First Five Year Plan was restricted to heavy industrial construction. Most construction equipment was concentrated in those ministries having the responsibility for the key Soviet aid projects. In 1956, 76 percent of the cranes, 87 per- cent of the power shovels, 62 percent of the concrete mixers, and 79 percent of the trucks in the nation were held by the Ministries of Construction and Engineering, Heavy Industry, the Coal Industry, the Electric Power Industry, and Railroads. 22/ &Most of the nonin- dustrial and nonproductive construction was performed through hand labor. As the heavier construction loads of the Second Five Year Plan are assumed, the rate of mechanization will increase, but the concentration will remain on key projects, and the bulk of construc- tion will be carried on through intensive use of manpower. G. Labor Force. More than half of the annual increase in the volume of capital construction during the First Five Year Plan in Communist China was caused by the increase in the size of the labor force, although more than 4o percent of the increase in output during 1952-56 has been ascribed by the Chinese to increased labor productivity. 21/ Although there is a good deal of contradiction in reports on the level of employment, the following tabulation gives an approxi- mation of recent Changes.* 2i/ * Data on construction-installation workers are announced - 22 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 50X1 bUAl Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Million Workers Year Construction-Installation Total Workers Workers in Construction* 1953 1.54 1.80 1955 1.60 2.08 1956 1.80 2.31 1957 2.00 2.67 With the increased volume of work and the improvement in mechaniza- tion and technology, the proportion of workers in subsidiary produc- tion activities (such as those working in prefabrication plants under the Ministry of Construction and Engineering) has increased, while that of construction-installation workers has declined. Those workers engaged in geological survey and prospecting** and in pro- ducing basic construction materials (cement, brick, and glass) as well as the millions of workers engaged on water conservancy and military projects are not included in the totals. Within the construction-installation segment of capital con- struction, the proportion of engineers and technicians rose steadily In the First Five Year Plan, but more recently there has been a de- cline in the proportion of administrative personnel. The structure of construction-installation workers and employees was as follows 22/: Percent Construction-Installation Workers and Employees 1953 1954 1955 1956 Workers 81.8 80.3 78.6 81.9 Engineers and technicians 3.0 4.2 5.5 5.5 Administrative personnel 15.2 15.5 15.9 12.6 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 The construction labor force of Communist China is predomi- nantly young, male, and mobile. Its mobility is illustrated by the * Besides those workers employed directly in construction-installa- tion work, this category includes those in subsidiary production (prefabrication yards, carpentering shops, and the like); transporta- tion; and service agencies on site. Survey-design workers, who num- bered 39,000 in 1952, 85,000 in 1955, 110,000 in 1956, and 116,000 in 1957, Probably are included in the totals. 2L/ ** See IV, A, p. 15, above. - 23 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T fact that during the First Five Year Plan nearly 300,000 civilian workers left Shanghai for construction sites throughout China. 2.6./ Organizational instability has caused a large proportion of the total labor force in construction to be made up of temporary workers. Because of the nature of construction work and the extensive under- employed population of China, a large part of the construction labor force will continue to be temporary. There has been an urgent need, however, to recruit or train skilled workers from the temporary force and to make them permanent construction workers. Additions to the semiskilled and skilled segment of the con- struction labor force were made at an increasing rate during the First Five Year Plan. On-the-job training courses under the direc- tion of Soviet Bloc advisers at An-shan, Pao-t'ou, Wu-han, and other major sites helped to shape an increased worker capability in con- struction. Also, construction was probably represented by a sizable group among the 7,100 leading cadres sent to Soviet Bloc nations for study during the First Five Year Plan. 21/ Wage increases have been slow and have not been proportional with the announced increase in labor productivity. Wages are neither stable nor uniform, being differentiated by location, industry, and the seasonal aspect of construction. 2l3/ This instability has been a cause of absenteeism, which in turn has adversely affected labor productivity. Other factors, such as poor labor utilization at the site and work stoppages, impeded labor productivity. Excessive hir- ing of workers to meet short-run goals (as in 1956) diluted the achievements in labor productivity even further. All of these aspects must be corrected if the higher construction targets for the Second Five Year Plan are to be met. H. Seasonal Variation of Construction. A major problem in the management of construction work in Communist China has been the extreme seasonal variation in the physical volume of work completed. The proportion of the annual amount of work completed during each quarter for the years 1953-56 was as follows 22/: Percent 1953 1954 1955 1956 First quarter 5.7 8.1 12.5 13.4 Second quarter 20.9 23.3 24.8 22.8 Third quarter 36.7 33.1 27.7 27.5 Fourth quarter 36.7 35.5 35.0 36.3 Entire year 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T More than 67 percent of the annual amount of work was per- formed in the last 6 months of each year during the First Five Year Plan. ?2/ Also, the amount of work completed in the first quarter of each year was about 28 percent of that completed in the fourth quarter. In the USSR during 1952-54 the amount of work completed in the first quarter of each year was roughly three-fourths as great as that accomplished during the fourth quarter, ?1/ in spite of greater variations in mean temperature and rainfall than in Communist China. I. Local Construction and the Size of Projects. The First Five Year Plan in Communist China called for ad- ministration at the local, provincial, and municipal levels* of 82 of the above-norm projects and 1,400 of the below-norm projects. About 64 of the above-norm projects and about 879 of the below-norm projects were for local state-operated industries, and the remainder In both categories were for local public-private jointly operated industries or for nonindustrial local groups. The local share of total capital investment amounted to roughly 20 percent during the First Five Year Plan. a2/ In early 1957 a movement began which foreshadowed astonish- ingly heavy construction activity at the local level. The metal- lurgical and coal industries announced in April 1957 that the con- struction of small-scale and medium-scale plants and mines would be emphasized during the Second and Third Five Year Plans (1958-67) in order to stretch construction funds, obtain quick financial and physical returns, and improve the geographical balance of the over- concentrated industries.** Such facilities save investment, reduce the need for importing equipment and technical assistance from the Soviet Bloc, and are able to tap local productive potential and sur- plus manpower. Although no great effect was wrought by these pro- nouncements in 1957, the results were far reaching during the first half of 1958. An indication of the shift to increased local con- struction was apparent in 1957, however, when the state urged local construction organs to construct light industrial plants and con- currently indicated that, starting in 1958, these organs would be granted more power in construction matters. * Hereafter referred to as the local level. All above-norm projects undertaken at the local level must be approved by the Commission for National Planning. Below.-norm projects are reported for record to the National Economic Commission and the relevant ministry. When projects financed by local investments are included in state plans, all construction materials and equipment are supplied by the state through unified distribution. ** See also V, A, 1 and 3, pp. 27 and 33, respectively, below. -25- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T The Chinese Communists believe that there has been too much emphasis on constructing large-scale industrial projects, large schools, and administrative buildings. Li Fu-chun, in evaluating the problem in June 1957, stressed the need to construct plants with a low ratio of investment to production and stated that capital con- struction could best be served by constructing predominantly small- scale and medium-scale projects that could be integrated where pos- sible with large-scale projects. China in its present stage, he asserted, should build fewer modern automatic installations. Pushing rudimentary construction to an operating condition would permit plants to be expanded and modernized later with profits accrued from production. Lastly, he said that nonproductive construction should emphasize the building of schools, hospitals, administrative facili- ties, and the like in large numbers but on a smaller individual scale than had been done previously. 61/ V. Construction in Major Economic Sectors During the First Five Year Plan (1953-57). A. Industrial. Investment in capital construction in industry during the First Five Year Plan in Communist China was 27.38 billion yuan, representing 56 percent of total capital investment. LI/ This in- vestment (2.53 billion yuan above the original planned amount) was concentrated on the 825 above-norm industrial construction projects,* with emphasis on the Soviet aid projects.** Although there were considerably more above-norm industrial starts than the 694 originally planned, only 449 of an originally planned total of 455 (subsequently raised to 500) were completed. Even with the shortfall in comple- tions, achievement in industrial construction was considerable. On the average, an above-norm industrial project was begun every other day and one completed every 4 days during the 5-year period. Total above-norm industrial starts and continuations and completions in the First Five Year Plan were as follows: Inclunflanoiectli yegu- Total. Stowt? wirleontthuestima Tot. Completione.. 1953 / 114 36 1951W 64 1955 M 8. 1956j 625 89 1957W 642 178 Total 42i2 See III, D, p. 9, above. ** See III, E, p. 10, above. *** Completions include both full and partial completions. Because of ambiguous data announced by the Chinese Communists, the above figures are not cumulative, and only the total completions column is additive. See Figure 5, following P. 26, for above-norm projects in industrial construction during 1953-57, by major industries. 726- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 CONFIDENTIAL PETROLEUM CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS CHEMICAL METALLURGY MACHINE BUILDING LIGHT INDUSTRY ELECTRIC POWER COAL TOTAL INDUSTRIAL COMMUNIST CHINA ABOVE -NORM -PROJECTS IN INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION, 1953-57 )10 12 2 (Est.) 26 (Est.) 43 40 50 3 1104 100 (Est.) 147 152 115 ? 200 177:1 Completions 1 Starts -1449 Figure 5 1825 27269 12-58 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 - - Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T 1. Metallurgical. The metallurgical industry accounted for about 15 percent of capital investment in industry during the First Five Year Plan in Communist China. By the end of 1957 the Ministry of the Metallurgical Industry had 44 construction-installation enterprises, 9 design in- stitutes, and 77 geological survey units, with a total labor force of 200,000. More than 400 million yuan (approximately 10 percent of total capital investment in the metallurgical industry) were spent on the construction base of the industry. 12/ About 10 million sq m of industrial and nonindustrial buildings were constructed and more than 500,000 tons of equipment installed during the First Five Year Plan.* Of the more than 50 above-norm construction projects** started during the period, at least 40 were completed. The emphasis in construction in the metallurgical industry has been on ferrous metallurgical installations. The Chinese Com- munists themselves estimate that 62 percent of total capital invest- ment in the metallurgical industry during the plan went into construc- tion of the An-shan, Pao-t'ou, and Wu-han iron and steel combines. 12/ The increased production capacity resulting from construction for ferrous metallurgy in the First Five Year Plan was 3.27 million tons of pig iron and 2.35 million tons of crude steel. During the plan, An-shan was made a national economic model. By September 1957, 32 of the 48 major projects scheduled for construction at An-shan in the period 1953-60 were completed, and 5 more were slated for completion by the end of the year. Two-thirds of the projects at An-than were of Soviet design and were modern, largely automatic facilities. In late 1956 and in 1957 the Chinese, however, were able to undertake some of the more advanced projects on their own. By the end of the plan a blast furnace, a firebrick plant, and an ore-sintering plant were constructed at Wu-han, and formal construction was begun at Pao-tIou. Facilities at Pen-ch'i, Ma-an-shan, Urumchi, Chungking, Tai-yuan, and Ta-yeh were expanded considerably, and construction continued on most of them in 1958. 11/ In addition to the great amount of Soviet aid and the focus of construction on An-shan, two other factors developed in the construction for the metallurgical sector in the First Five Year Plan. Both came to a head in 1957. The first factor was the * By the end of 1956, more than 300,000 tons of equipment were fur- nished the metallurgical industry by the USSR, and by October 1957 more than 100,000 tons of equipment from the USSR were installed at An-shan. 11/ ** The term above-norm project in the ferrous metallurgical indus- try refers to a project requiring an investment of 10 million yuan or more and in the nonferrous metallurgical industry to a project requiring 6 million yuan or more. - 27 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T beginning of construction of small-scale projects concurrent with construction of large-scale and medium-scale plants. In August 1957 the Chinese Communists announced that 18 new small-scale iron and steel plants under construction or slated to begin construction in 1957-58 would be completed by 1962 and on completion would have a combined capacity of 2.4 million tons of pig iron, 1.6 million tons of steel, and 1.1 million tons of steel products.* IL/ These widely dispersed plants, located near adequate but small resources of iron ore, would be furnished partially with equipment from a number of small plants that have fallen into disuse since 1950. Because of their lower technological level, they can be supplied with domes- tically produced equipment, require a much shorter construction period, and can utilize local labor and materials, and (the Chinese claim) each small plant will cost less per ton of annual capacity than a large integrated plant. The start of small-scale construc- tion was predicated on the desire of the Chinese to obtain fast in- creases in production with a minimum outlay of capital. One result of the movement is that it will improve the geographical balance of the heavily concentrated metallurgical industry. This trend in construction was gaining momentum in 1958 and had pervaded non- ferrous metallurgy and every other industry.** The second factor was concerned with iron-smelting capac- ity versus mining capacity. Iron smelting developed at a faster rate than iron ore mining and beneficiation during 1953-56. To correct this situation, the Ministry of the Metallurgical Industry in 1957 planned to start or continue construction of 30 mines (15 of which were iron mines and the remainder manganese and other nonferrous metal mines) and 12 plants for selecting and sintering ores. 15/ Six of the mines were planned to be completed in 1957-58 and would then increase capacity for the production of iron ore 2 million tons. Extensive geological surveys*** were carried out during the First Five Year Plan, and by the end of 1957 several large reserves had been found. The most notable find was at P'an-chih-hua in southwest Szechwan, where the deposits are reputed to be sufficient for an iron and steel combine with a total production of 2 million tons annually. 2?_/ More than 32 abovernorm nonferrous metal projects started construction during the First Five Year Plan. Aluminum, tin, and copper installations received the greater share of capital investment. Newly added production capacity under the First Five * Subsequently, the capacity figure was increased and the con- struction period shortened. See VI, B, 1, p. 62, below. ** See VI, p. 58 ff., below. *** See IV, A, p. 15, above. - 28 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T Year Plan accounted for 36 percent of the copper, 90 percent of the lead, 28 percent of the tungsten, and 48 percent of the molybdenum production in 1957. 21/ Among the notable completions during the plan were a tin combine at Ko-chiu (Yunnan), an aluminum reduction plant and alumina plant at Fu-shun, an alumina plant at Nan-ting (Shantung), and an aluminum-fabricating plant at Harbin. 2. Electric Power. Construction in the electric power industry of Communist China, as in most other industries, began from a low base. The restoration period, 1949-52, was characterized by renovation of existing electric power facilities in order to bring them closer to design capacity. The capacity of generating equipment was increased 150,000 kilowatts (kw) in this period, and at the end of 1952 total electric-power-generating capacity was only 1.96 million kw. 78/ The First Five Year Plan set 3.3 billion yuan for capital investment in the electric power sector and called for 122 above-norm construction projects* to be started during 1953-57. About 107 of these starts were to be power stations, and the remaining 15 were to be transmission and transformer projects. Of the 107 stations (total planned capacity, 3.76 million kw), 24 were scheduled for Soviet assistance. The plan stated further that by the end of 1957, 54 power stations, including 22 Soviet aid projects, could be completed. These 54 completions plus below-norm completions were. scheduled to raise the generating capacity of the electric power industry by 2.05 mil- lion kw. 12/ It is estimated that 100,000 workers (of which 30,000 worked exclusively on hydroelectric projects), organized in special- ized construction enterprises supported by 9 design institutes, com- prised the construction labor force undertaking this work for the electric power industry. L80/ At least 152 above-norm projects were started during the First Five Year Plan and more than 111 completed.** LI About 3,000 km of high-tension transmission lines (110 to 220 kilo- volts -- kv) were constructed and 15 networks established. Invest- ment by the Ministry of the Electric Power Industry was about 3 bil- lion yuan, and total capacity added by its components is estimated to have been 2,164,000 kw. Numerous other ministerial, provincial, and local projects were constructed, and these increased capacity * The term above-norm project for electric power stations refers to a plant requiring an investment of 5 million yuan or more. ** See Appendix A, Table 3, p. 77, below, for data on capital in- vestment, increased capacity, and equipment of facilities in the electric power industry in Communist China during 1953-57. - 29 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T by 170,000 kw before December 1957.* 12/ Roughly 57 percent of the total capacity added during the plan came from restored and expanded plants and 43 percent from new plants. f,l/ Although the distribution of construction in the sector was geared toward providing facilities for servicing existing indus- trial centers, it trended toward underdeveloped regions as the plan progressed. In 1947, more than 90 percent of total generating capac- ity was located in 8 large cities, only one of which, Chungking, was inland; the others being in the Northeast and along the east coast.** 1L./ More than 4o percent of the estimated 2.34-million-kw capacity added during the First Five Year Plan was installed in the Northeast. Of 24 Soviet aid projects begun by late 1957, 14 were located in the North, Northwest, and Central China. Electric power generated in the Sinkiang Uighur Autonomous Region and the Northwest was 19 times that generated in 1952, and production in Chungking in 1957 had doubled since 1952. Thermal electric powerplants newly constructed and ex- panded by the central government added a capacity of about 1.6 mil- lion kw (of a total of 2.2 million kw) to the electric power indus- try during the First Five Year Plan. The plan called for 76 above- norm thermal electric projects to be started. These facilities were built chiefly in industrial centers, and design and technology for them was furnished by the Soviet Bloc, primarily the USSR. At least 44 thermal electric projects, of which 20 were constructed with Soviet aid, were completed by the end of 1957. 2'2/ Many of the thermal electric plants were high-temperature, high-pressure facilities with automatic controls of the latest Soviet manufacture. The most impor- tant thermal electric power construction has occurred at Cheng-chou, Fou-hsin, Fu-la-erh-chi, Kirin, Lan-thou, Lo-yang, Peking, Shih-chia- chuang, and Sian. In December 1957 the most significant thermal electric project in the plan, a 600,000-kw plant, officially started construction in Liaoning Province. The Chinese Communists copied well from their Soviet Bloc teachers and now claim to have the capacity to build 50,000-kw and larger thermal electric plants. * This figure, when added to the estimated 2,164,000-kw additional capacity installed by ministerial components, totals 2,334,000 kw, which corresponds to the figure of 2,335,000 kw given in the Peking Review of March 1958. ** The original First Five Year Plan recognized the concentration of generating capacity in coastal provinces and planned that by the end of 1957 these provinces would have only about 50 percent rather than more than 65 percent of the total capacity. - 30 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T The First Filie Year Plan called for 11 hydroelectric con- struction starts and 8 completions and for 469,000 kw of capacity to be added to the 170,000-kw hydroelectric capacity existing in 1952.* Although immediate industrial needs prescribed that thermal electric construction (characterized by being located near industrial centers and by shorter construction periods) be given higher priority in the plan, the hydroelectric construction program was overfulfilled in every important aspect. Capital investment in the sector was 592 million yuan, 28 percent above the planned level; 20 above-norm projects were started and 9 completed; and a capacity estimated to be 609,000 kw was installed in hydroelectric power construction during the First Five Year Plan. LSY Extensive surveys raised the estimate of the national hydroelectric potential from 150 million kw to 540 million kw. As a result of these findings, considerable increases in capital in- vestment, geological survey, and construction were achieved during the plan. These are shown in the following index: 1953 = loo 1954 1955 1956 1957 Total investment in hydro- electric power construction 150 214 286 334 Earth and stone work 542 1,200 1,720 4,000 Pouring of concrete 327 1,155 1,650 1,560 Drilling 118 286 880 670 Geological survey 235 185 477 1,405 The most important hydroelectric power construction pro- jects** of the First Five Year Plan were the expansion of the Feng- man station in the Northeast (capacity on full completion, 568,000 kw) and the start of construction at San-men Gorge (capacity, 1.1 mil- lion kw). Several factors point to a greatly increased capability of construction in this sector, as follows: a. The Chinese Communists claim that, except for San-men Gorge and Feng-man, all hydroelectric power stations under- taken to date were designed by themselves and were equipped with machinery manufactured in China. * See the map, Figure 6, following p. 32, which shows the hydro- electric power construction program during the First Five Year Plan. ** See Appendix A, Table 4, p. 78, below, in which specific projects are listed. - 31 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA:RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 S-E-C-R-E-T b. Generators of 15,000 kw are now in production in Communist China, and larger ones of 72,500 kw and 100,000 kw are being designed and tested. c. Because geological conditions and the availability of construction materials vary with the location, the construction performed was highly diverse and difficult. Even with this impediment, construction schedules were overfulfilled and costs lowered. d. Many of the stations are multipurpose and were constructed in conjunction with water conservation units where, be- sides generating power, they will help to alleviate floods and to increase irrigation and navigation. Multipurpose use of power fa- cilities bespeaks long-term planning, for wh:1-h the Chinese acknowl- edge a debt to the USSR. The priorities established by the First Five Year Plan in Communist China favored the construction of thermal electric power- plants over hydroelectric powerplants for at least two reasons, shorter construction periods and lower construction costs. By the end of 1957, however, the Chinese had been so successful in hydroelectric power construction that both points of difference were nearly erased. To achieve speed, construction was maintained at a pace of 3 shifts per day and 7 days per week; Soviet winter work methods were adopted; and local labor rather than machinery was used for most of the earthwork, loading, and transportation. Abundant water and labor resources* plus geological conditions permit hydroelectric construction costs to be nearly as low as thermal electric construction costs. A comparison of 8 major hydroelectric and 5 thermal electric stations completed during the plan shows that the derived average cost was 1,305 yuan per kilowatt for the hydroelectric stations and 1,210 yuan for the thermal electric stations.** Generally, in the more advanced coun- tries of the world, the average construction cost per kilowatt for hydroelectric stations is at least twice that of thermal electric stations. Speedy construction at a minimal cost per kilowatt is a prime factor in the huge hydroelectric construction program now under way. * Roughly two-thirds of hydroelectric construction costs are repre- sented by earthwork, the bulk of which is done by low-cost hand labor. ** The hydroelectric stations embraced in this comparison are Kuan- t'ing, Mo-shih-k'ou, Ku-t'ien, Shang-yu, Shih-tzu-t'an, Shang-t'ung, Sh1h-lung-chu, and Wu-la-po; and the thermal electric stations are Cheng-chou, Lo-yang, Pao-t'ou, Sian, and Tsingtao. -32- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07 : CIA-RDP79R01141A001300090002-5 Declassified Ficiure 6 . n m Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/05/07: COM:AUNib-1 UL?LINA Construction of Hydroelectric Power Stations 1953-1957 .._, CIA-RDP79R01141A00130009-0002-5 ( s ./ . , 4 ??? ? ir . R- u. .\ S. ' , S. ?coo...-. ,---.. - '? -1.. , _. ,,,.? N \ , ?4e..._ l, I S 4\ ' At? ..-'- ? . t iftel.111645 1010" ) 41 r -.....-- - -1,---...... , 7'7-- \ f...c : - \ .,..