CURRENT SOVIET FORCE STRUCTURE IN AFGHANISTAN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86M00886R001300140001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 34
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 2, 2010
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 1, 1984
• Content Type: REPORT

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PEGREL
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DEFENSE
INTELLIGENCE
AGENCY
DDB-1100-417-84-S1
GAMMA CONTROLLED
PR
Current Soviet
Force Structure
in Afghanistan (U)
NOVEMBER 1984
COPY_NO.
16
OR CON
NOFORN
NOCONTRACT
S1-428612
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS
SPECIAL INTELLIGENCE MATERI
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Current Soviet Force Structure in Afghanistan (U)
DDB- oo-4 ir 7-84-SI
?
Clastified By: Multiple Sources
Declassify on: OADR
Information Cutoff Date: 20 October 1984
Dissemination and Extraction of Information Controlled by Originator
Not Releasable to Contractors/Consultants
This is a Department of Defense Intelligence Document
prepared by the Soviet/Warsaw Pact Division,
Directorate for Research,
Defense Intelligence Agency
Author:
rontal Forces Branch,
Force Structure/Combat Readiness Section
Not Releasable to Foreign Nationals
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PREFACE
(U) This report presents the current analysis of the ongoing
organizational changes to the Soviet forces in Afghanistan. It assists
military planners in assessing Soviet capabilities in the region and Soviet
ability to tailor forces for specific missions.
(U) The author wishes to thank the following individuals for their
assistance and support in the preparation of this document:
MAJ
Maj
Ms.
Mr.
Maj
Ms.
Mr.
Mr.
Mr.
CPT
MAJ
MAJ
Bruce Pirnie
Mike Boocock
Mary Russell
Ira Davis
L. Goski
Betsy Bree
David Dietrich
Henry Shields
Charles Perkins
Dale Girten
Ron Ruffin
Dirk Wyckoff
Peter F.W. Cramerus
DB-1B2
DB-1B2
DB-1D1
DB-1D1
DB-1B1C
DB-1D1
DB-1B1B
DB-1B2
DB-5E
DB-5E
DB-5D
JSI-2B
JSI-2B
Soviet Operations
Soviet Operations
Soviet Fixed Wing Units in Afghanistan
Soviet Air Unit Organizations
Soviet Airborne Organizations
Soviet Air Logistics
Soviet Ground Force Organizations
Soviet Helicopter Units in Afghanistan
Soviet C3
Soviet C3
Photographic Interpretation
Soviet Operations
Soviet Operations
The support of the National Security Agency and the Central Intelligence
Agency is acknowledged and greatly appreciated.
(U) This document contains both Sensitive Compartmented Information
(SCI) and collateral information. Individual portions are marked to
indicate specifically individual classifications and control markings
applicable to their contents, including WNINTEL when appropriate for
collateral-level portions.
(U) Questions and comments concerning this publication should be
referred in writing to the Defense Intelligence Agency (ATTN: DB-1B1C),
Washington, D.C. 20301-6111. Requests for additional copies should be
forwarded through command approval channels, as appropriate, to DIA (ATTN:
RTS-2A), using DD Form 1142, Interagency Document Request, in accordance
with DIA Manual 59-3, DIA Reference Library.
111
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CONTENTS
Page
SUMMARY vi
1. INTRODUCTION
2. GROUND MANEUVER FORMATIONS 1
a. New Units 1
b. Reorganization 11
3. AVIATION OF 40th ARMY 28
a. New Units 28
b. Reorganization 32
4. REAR SERVICE AND SUPPORT 32
a. Support for Aviation Units 32
b. Support for Maneuver Units 33
5. COMMAND AND SIGNAL 33
a. Aviation Signal Units of 40th Army 33
b. New Units 34
6. MILITARY ADVISORY GROUP (MAG) 35
7. OUTLOOK 35
APPENDIX
.Troop List 37
ILLUSTRATIONS
1. Chart Soviet Forces in Afghanistan 2
2. Map - Major Ground Formations of 40th Army (S) 3
3. Chart - Major Ground Formations of 40th Army (S) 4
4. Map - Aviation Units of 40th Army (S) 5
5. Chart - Aviation Units of 40th Army (S) 6
6. Map - Security Battalions in Afghanistan (S) 7
7. Photo - Security Battalion - Qonduz (S) 8
8. Photo - Independent Motorized Rifle Battalion (Special
Purpose Forces-Associated) - Kandahar (S) 9
9. Photo - (328th) Guards Parachute Regiment, 104th GAD -
Kabul (S) 10
10. Chart - Probable Organization of (328th) Guards Parachute
Regiment in Afghanistan (S) 11
11. Photo - BTR-70 APC with AGS-17 Automatic Grenade Launcher in
Afghanistan 12
12. Chart - BMP Battalion Organization 13
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CONTENTS (Continued)
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
Chart
Chart
Chart
Photo
Chart
BTR Battalion Organization
BMP Motorized Rifle Regiment Organization
BTR Motorized Rifle Regiment Organization
Mixed HMP/BTR Motorized Rifle Regiment, 108th MRD
Bagram (S)
- 108th Motorized Rifle Division Organization (S)
Page
13
14
14
15
16
18.
Photo
- Mixed BMP/BTR Motorized Rifle Regiment, 108th MRD -
Rokha (S)
17
19.
Chart
- 5th Guards Motorized Rifle Division Organization (S) .
18
20.
Chart
- 201st Motorized Rifle Division Organization (S)
19
21.
Photo
- Fire Base at Rokha (S)
20
22.
Photo
- M-1976 152-mm Towed Field Guns - Khairabad Transship-
ment Point (S)
21
23.
Photo
- M-240 240-mm Towed Mortars - Kabul Deployment Area
NW (S)
22
24.
Chart
- 103d Guards Airborne Division Organization (S)
23
25.
Photo
- BTR-70/BMD-equipped Airborne Regiment, 103d GAD -
Kabul (S)
24
26.
Photo
- BMP M-1981-equipped Airborne Regiment, 103d GAD -
Kabul (S)
25
250
26
28.
Chart
- 70th Independent Motorized Rifle Brigade Organization
(S)
26
29.
Chart
- 191st Independent Motorized Rifle Regiment
Organization (S)
27
30.
Chart
- 860th Independent Motorized Rifle Regiment
Oreanization (S)
27
25X1
28
32.
Chart
- 345th Independent Guards Parachute Regiment
Organization (S)
29
33.
Photo
- Fighter Regiment Equipped with MiG-23/FLOGGER G -
Bagram, Kandahar, Shindand Airfields (S)
29
34.
Photo
- Ground-Attack Squadron Equipped with Su-25/FROGFOOT -
Bagram Airfield (S)
30
35.
Photo
- Fighter-Bomber Squadrons Equipped with Su-17/FITTER -
Shindand and Kandahar Airfields (S)
31
36.
Photo
- Reconnaissance Squadron equipped with Su-17/FITTER
H/K - Kabul International Airport (S)
32
37.
Photo
- Elements of Front-level High Frequency Direction
Finding/ Intercept Regiment - Kabul (S)
34
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SUMMARY
(S/WN) The Soviets continue to augment and upgrade their forces in
Afghanistan. They introduced a third Special Purpose Forces-associated
independent motorized rifle battalion, two new independent security
battalions, major elements of an airborne regiment, major elements of a
high-frequency direction/finding/radio intercept regiment, three new Su-17
fighter-bomber squadrons, and a mixed helicopter squadron. They converted
one tank regiment to a motorized rifle regiment, reequipped the
reconnaissance squadron with Su-17, and replaced two squadrons of MiG-21
fighters with a MIC-23 equipped regiment. In addition, motorized rifle and
artillery elements have undergone a gradual reorganization increasing both
equipment and personnel.
(S/WN) In addition to forming a third SPF-associated IMRBn at Kandahar,
two others redeployed to Jalalabad and Ghazni. The Su-25/FROGFOOT squadron
rebased from Shindand to Bagram and one of the new independent security
battalions and the new airborne regiment deployed to Kabul. These
developments indicate the Soviets plan to concentrate their operations in
south-central and southeastern Afghanistan.
(S) The Soviets have selectively augmented and upgraded their forces
since 1979, rather than using massive reinforcements. This policy is
unlikely to change in the near future.
vii
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1. INTRODUCTION
(S/WN) Since January 1984, the Soviet forces in Afghanistan have been
built up incrementally, both by the introduction of new units and by the
reorganization of units already in-country. Some units have been withdrawn
and others apparently deactivated. In addition, support units of Aviation
of 40th Army can be specifically identified on the basis of recent
information. The net result is an assessed increase of more than 3,000
Soviet troops in Afghanistan.
(S/WN) In addition to the new or reorganized units, several units have
redeployed within the country, indicating that the Soviets are increasingly
concerned with combat and security operations in south-central and
southeastern Afghanistan.
2. GROUND MANEUVER FORMATIONS
a. New Units
detailed information, see Soviet Security Units in Afghanistan (U), DIA IAR
5-82 (SECRET), and The Implications of Soviet Security Forces in Afghanistan
(U) DIA DDE-2660-71-82-SI (TSCW).
(S/WN) Airborne Regiment. In April, major elements of one airborne
regiment (possibly the 328th Guards Parachute Regiment) of the 104th Guards
Airborne Division (GAD) garrisoned at Kirovabad in the Transcaucasus MD
arrived at Kabul International Airport (figure 9). The regiment
1
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brought its BMDs with it, however, none of the supporting equipment
(mortars, ZU 23-2, etc.) was identified (figure 10). The regiment was
apparently redeployed to Kirovabad by 10 June. DIA assesses that the
regiment was sent to Afghanistan to act as an operational reserve during the
Panjsher Valley offensive. This pattern of deployment may be repeated in
the future.
b. Reorganization
(S) All of the Soviet maneuver units in Afghanistan have undergone
significant structural changes since their introduction in 1979. Some of
these changes are consistent with the force-wide reorganization of maneuver
units, such as the introduction of additional vehicles to motorized rifle
battalions. Other changes reflect the operational realities of a
counterinsurgency war in extremely rugged terrain, such as the replacement of
BMD with other vehicles in airborne/air assault units.
(S/WN) Motorized Rifle Regiments. The BMP- and BTR-equipped
motorized rifle regiments (MRR) are now assessed to have 129 BMP or 141 BTR,
respectively. This equipment level also has been observed in the forward
area groups of forces, and has resulted in a slight increase in strength to
crew the additional vehicles. The additional vehicles are primarily weapons
platforms for the battalion-level AGS-17 platoon (figure 11) and air defense
platoon. BMP-equipped MRR have replaced their towed D-30 gun-howitzers with
self-propelled 2S1 gun-howitzers. For the organization of these units, see
figures 12-15.
SECRETIWNINTEL
104TH GUARDS
AIRBORNE
DIVISION
(328TH)
GUARDS
PARACHUTE
REGIMENT
AIRBORNE
BATTALION
TOTALS. 1,000 PERSONNEL
80 BMD
AIRBORNE
BATTALION
Figure 10. (S) Probable Organization of (328th) Guards
Parachute Regiment in Afghanistan
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UNCLASSIFIED
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Figure 11. (U) BTR-70 APC with AGS-17 Automatic Grenade Launcher in Afghanistan
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SECRETIWNINTEL
r
BMP
BATTALION
1 BMP
M1974
BMP
COMPANY
AGS-17
PLATOON
SA-7
PLATOON
MORTAR
BATTERY
SIGNAL
PLATOON
MEDICAL
POINT
SUPPLY
PLATOON
3 BMP BMP VASILEK
6 AGS-17 6 120MM
MORTARS
GAZ-66
3 BTR ACV
AMBULANCE
12 BMP/BMP
M-1981
SECRETIWNINTEL
Figure 12. (U) BMP Battalion Organization
BTR
BATTALION
BTR
AGS-17
SA-7
ATGM
MORTAR
SIGNAL
SUPPLY
COMPANY
PLATOON
PLATOON
PLATOON
BATTERY
PLATOON
PLATOON
3 BTR APC
3 BTR APC 5 BTR APC
3 VASILEK
3 BTR ACV
12 BTR APC
6 AGS-17 6 120NIM
MORTAR
MEDICAL
GAZ-66
POINT
?
Figure 13. (U) BTR Battalion Organization
13
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AMBULANCE
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SECRETIWNINTEL
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BMP
MOTORIZED
RIFLE
REGIMENT
BMP
BATTALION
TANK
BATTALION
ARTILLERY
BATTALION
ATGM
BATTERY
RECONNAISSANCE
COMPANY
AIR
DEFENSE
BATTERY
40 T-55/T-62
1 BMP M1974
82S1
1 BTR ACV
1 SMALL FRED
9 BRDM-2 3 BMP 4 ZSU 23-4
VV/AT-3 1 BMP M1976 4 SA-13
4 BRDM-2 1 BTR ACV
1 PSNR-1
42 BMP/BMP M1981
1 BMP M1974
3 BTR ACV
3 VASILEK MORTARS
6 120MM MORTARS
SECRETIWNINTEL
Figure 14. (U) BMP Motorized Rifle Regiment Organization
BTR
MOTORIZED
RIFLE
REGIMENT
BTR
BATTALION
TANK
BATTALION
ARTILLERY
BATTALION
ATGM
BATTERY
RECONNAISSANCE
COMPANY
AIR
DEFENSE
BATTERY
40 1-55/1-62 18 D-30 9 BRDM-2 3 BMP 4 ZSU 23-4
1 BMP M1974 1 BTR ACV W/AT-3 1 BMP M1976 4 SA-13
1 SMALL FRED 4 BRDM-2 1 BTR ACV
1 PSNR-1
47 BTR-60/70 APC
3 BTR ACV
3 VASILEK MORTARS
6 120MM MORTARS
Figure 15. (U) BTR Motorized Rifle Regiment Organization
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(S/WN) Divisional Artillery Regiments. Each of the three MRDs has
a unique artillery force structure and demonstrates various mixes of cannon
(figures 17, 19, and 20). In each division, the MRL battalion is subordinate
to the artillery regiment and the FROG battalion has been withdrawn to the
USSR. Recently, each MRD's artillery regiment has been equipped with one
battalion of 2S3 152-mm self-propelled (SP) howitzers. During the recent
Panjsher operation, the Soviets apparently deployed batteries of eight guns,
rather than the normal six-gun units (figure 21).
1
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5TH GUARDS
MOTORIZED
RIFLE
DIVISION
DIVISION
HEADQUARTERS
BTR
MOTORIZED
RIFLE
REGIMENT
141 BTR-60
18 D-30
2,600 PERSONINE
BMP
MOTORIZED
RIFLE
REGIMENT
TANK
REGIMENT
94 T-55
129 BMP 18 0-304
18 251 1258 PERSONNEL
2,500 PERSONNEL
2 PERSONNEL
1
RECONNAISSANCE
BATTALION
ARTILLERY
REGIMENT
6 T-55
372 PERSONNEL
COMBAT
SAM
REGIMENT
36 D-30 20 SA-8
18 2S3 ? ?
18 BM-21 450 PERSONNEL
1,276 PERSONNEL
COMBAT
SUPPORT
HELICOPTER
ANTI-TANK
SIGNAL
ENGINEER
SQUADRON
BATTALION
BATTALION
BATTALION
8 HIND
12 T-12
270 PERSONNEL 393 PERSONNEL
12 HIP
200 PERSONNEL
9 BRDM VV/ATGM
245 PERSONNEL
SERVICE
SUPPORT
FIELD
BAKERY
MAINTENANCE
BATTALION
MATERIAL
SUPPORT
BATTALION
MEDICAL
BATTALION
CHEMICAL
DEFENSE
COMPANY
42 PERSONNEL
229 PERSONNEL
350 TRUCKS
440 PERSONNEL
171 PERSONNEL
50 PERSONNEL
TOTAL. 10,887 PERSONNEL (OLD ESTIMATE -10,685)
Figure 19. (S) 5th Guards Motorized Rifle Division Organization
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SECRETIWNINTE:L
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201ST
MOTORIZED
RIFLE
DIVISION
DIVISION
HEADQUARTERS
382 PERSONNEL
BTR
BMP
MOTORIZED
MOTORIZED
RECONNAISSANCE
ARTILLERY
RIFLE
RIFLE
BATTALION
REGIMENT
REGIMENT
REGIMENT
141 BTR-60/70
18 D-44
2,600 PERSONNEL
129 BMP
18 2S1
2,500 PERSONNEL
6 T-62
372 PERSONNEL
18 2S3
36 D-30
188M-21
,276 PERSONNEL
AIR
DEFENSE
REGIMENT
24 S-60
419 PERSONNEL
COMBAT
SUPPORT
ARTILLERY
COMMAND
BATTERY
67 PERSONNEL
HELICOPTER
SQUADRON
8 HIND
12 HIP
200 PERSONNEL
ANTI-TANK
BATTALION
2 T-12
9 BROM VV/ATGM
245 PERSONNEL
SIGNAL
BATTALION
ENGINEER
BATTALION
270 PERSONNEL 393 PERSONNEL
MAINTENANCE
BATTALION
MATERIAL
SUPPORT
BATTALION
229 PERSONNEL 350 TRUCKS
440 PERSONNEL
TOTAL: 12,214 PERSONNEL (OLD ESTIMATE - 11,650)
MEDICAL
BATTALION
SERVICE
SUPPORT
CHEMICAL
DEFENSE
COMPANY
171 PERSONNEL 50 PERSONNEL
Figure 20. (S) 201st Motorized Rifle Division Organization
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2
5X1
(S/WN) On 26 June, 12 M-1976 nuclear-capable 152-mm field guns were
at the Khairabad Transshipment Point (figure 22). Also on that date, 4 M-
240 nuclear-capable 240-mm towed mortars were identified in the motor park
of the artillery regiment of the 108th MRD at Kabul Deployment Area NW
(figure 23).
21
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(S/WN) Divisional Airborne Battalions. The battalions of the 103d GAD
exhibit characteristics atypical for Soviet Airborne units (figure 24). BTR-
70 have replaced many BMD (figure 25). One airborne regiment in Kabul was
seen to have BMP M-1981 for the first time in June (figure 26). Each of the
three Guards Airborne Regiments has one battalion displaced from the regiment.
Each regiment has at least one battery of BMD M1981/2 self-propelled gun-
mortars. This battery is usually divided into two firing sections, one of
which is located with the displaced battalion. In addition, these displaced
battalions are often supported by a battery of MRLs, a tank company, and up to
a battery of D-30 gun-howitzers, thus providing substantial fire support for
these isolated units.
SECRETIWNINTEL
103 RD GUARDS
AIRBORNE
DIVISION
DIVISION
HEADQUARTERS
169 PERSONNEL COMBAT
AIRBORNE
REGIMENT
33 BTR
67 BMD
6 BMD M 1981 2
1 495 PERSONNEL
ARTILLERY
REGIMENT
18 D-30
18 BMD M1981 2
6 GAZ-66 MRL
6 BM,?21 MRL
760 PERSONNEL
AIR
DEFENSE
BATTALION
18 ZU 23-2
156 PERSONNEL
TANK/
ASU-85
BATTALION
15 T-62
10 ASU 85
150 PERSONNEL
RECONNAISSANCE
COMPANY
8 BROM
75 PERSONNEL
COMBAT
SUPPORT
SIGNAL
BATTALION
ENGINEER
BATTALION
81 PERSONNEL 220 PERSONNEL
SERVICE
SUPPORT
TRANSPORT
AND
MAINTENANCE
BATTALION
RIGGING
AND
RESUPPLY
BATTALION
168 PERSONNEL 220 PERSONNEL
TOTAL 6.745 PERSONNEL (OLD ESTIMATE 7400)
MEDICAL
BATTALION
CHEMICAL
DEFENSE
COMPANY
95 PERSONNEL 65 PERSONNEL
Figure 24. (S) 103d Guards Airborne Division Organization
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SECRET W,NINTEL
70TH INDEPENDENT
MOTORIZED RIFLE
BRIGADE
BRIGADE
HEADQUARTERS
BTR
BATTALION
AIR ASSAULT
BATTALION
TANK
BATTALION
ARTILLARY
BATTALION
MULTIPLE
ROCKET LAUNCHER
BATTERY
AIR
DEFENSE
BATTERY
32 BMP M1981
(OLD ESTIMATE
40 T-55 18 0-30 6 BM-21 7 ZSU 23-4
5 SA-13
3,200)
47 BTR-70
TOTAL 3 020 PERSONNEL
Figure 28. (S) 70th Independent Motorized Rifle Brigade Organization
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91ST INDEPENDENT,
MOTORIZED RIFLE
REGIMENT
REGIMENTAL
HEADQUARTERS
BTR
BATTALION
47 BTR-70
TANK
BATTALION
40 T-62
TOTAL 2,676 PERSONNEL (OL
SECRETIWNINTEL
ESTIMATE - 2,670)
ARTILLERY
BATTALION
MULTIPLE
ROCKET LAUNCHER
BATTERY
D 6 BM-21
Figure 29. (S) 191st Independent Motorized Rifle Regiment Organization
AIR
DEFENSE
BATTERY
8 ZSU 23-4
4 SA-13
860TH INDEPENDENT
MOTORIZED RIFLE
REGIMENT
REGIMENTAL
HEADQUARTERS
BMP
BATTALION
TANK
BATTALION
ARTILLERY
BATTALION
MULTIPLE
ROCKET LAUNCHER
BATTERY
AIR
DEFENSE
BATTERY
40 T-55
8 M-1966
6 BM-21
4 ZSU 23-4
4 SA-13
43 BMP
I TOTAL: 2,590 PERSONNEL (OLD ESTIMATE.,- 1950),
L._
Figure 30. (S) 860th Independent Motorized Rifle Regiment Organization
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(S/WN) The 345th Gds Para Regt was formerly subordinate to the 105th
GAD and is now operating as an independent airborne regiment subordinate to
the 40th Army. It is similar in structure to the regiments of the 103d GAD,
but with additional fire support assets (figure 32).
3. AVIATION UNITS OF THE 40TH ARMY
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. SECRETIWNINTEL
345TH INDEPENDENT
GUARDS AIRBORNE
REGIMENT
AIRBORNE
BATTALION
11 BTR-70
11 BMD M1970
11 BTR-D
REGIMENTAL
HEADQUARTERS
ARTILLERY
BATTERY
6 0-30
6 BMD M1981/2
MORTAR
BATTALION
18 120MM
MORTARS
TOTAL. 1,735 PERSONNEL (OLD ESTIMATE - 1,335 PERSONNEL)
Figure 32. (S) 345th Independent Guards Parachute Regiment Organization
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(S/WN) Between 19-28 September, a squadron of Su-25/FROGFOOT
arrived at Bagram, replacing the 200th Independent Ground Attack Squadron
(figure 34), which subsequently departed. The designation of the newly
arrived ground attack squadron is unknown.
(S/WN) Between 12-14 October, a squadron of Su-17/FITTER arrived at
Shindand and, between 10-16 October, another squadron of FITTER arrived at
Kandahar (figure 35). These are replacement squadrons for the two fighter-
bomber squadrons which have been in country for the past year. The
designation of these newly arrived fighter-bomber squadrons is unknown.
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b. Reorganization
(S/WN) The 263d Independent Reconnaissance Squadron was reequipped
with Su-17/FITTER in March 1984, replacing the MiG-21/FISHBED (figure 36).
FITTER aircraft have a greater capability to locate targets, remain on station
longer, and carry a more sophisticated electronics package. The squadron was
rebased at the same time from Kabul to Bagram, though the photo processing
center remains at Kabul.
4. REAR SERVICE AND SUPPORT
* (S) This is not necessarily the same FARM as the Regimental Aviation Repair
Facility (Polkavaya Aviatsionnaya Remontnaye Masterskaya) referred to in
Soviet Air Force Logistics Systems - Supply and Aircraft Maintenance (U), DDB-
1300-221-83 (SECRET), pp. 99-100.)
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b. New Units
(S/WN) In April 1984, major elements of a front-level high-frequency
radio intercept/direction finding regiment (probably from the Turkestan
Military District) arrived at Kabul Deployment Area NW (figure 37). One
outstation has been identified at Shindand. These assets are apparently
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excessive for the needs of the campaign against the Mujahideen, and may be
targeted at intercepting communications from Iran, Pakistan, or the Indian
Ocean.
7. OUTLOOK
(S) In an effort to find more effective ways to combat the Mujahideen, the
Soviets probably will continue to refine and adjust their force structure for
counterinsurgency warfare. Soviet forces will continue to operate in multi-
company and multibattalion, task-organized groups, rather than as regiments,
brigades, and divisions. The Soviets have found these larger units to be too
inflexible for operations in Afghanistan.
(S) Even after the known unit withdrawals are taken into account, a
limited troop augmentation of approximately 3,000 men has already taken place
in 1984, and the Soviets may deploy additional airborne units from the
Transcaucasus Military District. Since the invasion in 1979, the Soviets have
repeatedly increased their forces in small increments. This pattern is
unlikely to change unless a decision to provide massive reinforcements were to
be made at the highest level. Despite their evident frustration, the Soviets
are unlikely to make such a decision in the near term.
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THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS
SPECIAL INTELLIGENCE MATERIAL
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