NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES AND PRIORITIES BOOKS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
15
Document Creation Date:
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date:
February 28, 2011
Sequence Number:
36
Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 10, 1986
Content Type:
MEMO
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8.pdf | 1.1 MB |
Body:
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SECRET- LiCA FILE lti() ?e
RECPT-
CRE
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON
SYSTEM II
90622
I ReF:stry
September 10, 19861
MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE
THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY
THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
THE ATTORNEY GENERAL
THE SECRETARY OF COMMERCE
THE SECRETARY OF TRANSPORTATION
THE SECRETARY OF ENERGY
am-HE DIRECTOR, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE TO
THE UNITED NATIONS
FROM: JOHN M. POINDEXTER f-A_
SUBJECT: National Security Issues and Priorities Books (U)
Attached for your use are copies of two NSC documents that you
may find helpful in the coming months. (U)
The National Security Issues Book provides a concise,
unclassified explanation of current key policy issues along with
suggested talking points to illuminate Administration policy
objectives. It is provided to senior level staff members at the
White House, State, Defense, CIA, and our Ambassadors. (U)
The National Security Priorities Book presents a classified
statement of the major national security priorities for the next
six months. It is provided to an extremely restricted number of
senior Administration officials. (S)
ii
This document is published on a biannual basis. Any comments or
suggestions for future issues would be appreciated. (U)
Attachments:
TAB I - National Security Priorities Book (July-December, 1986)
TAB II - National Security Issues Book (July, 1986)
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MAJOR ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF FIRST HALF 1986
Counter-Terrorism
Tokyo Summit
International Economia
Regional Security
Geneva Summit
Energy Prices
Dramatic U.S. self-defense strike against Qadhafi's state-sponsored terrorism underlined
U.S. resolve and motivated tougher allied action.
U.S. leadership on new GATT trade round, international debt, and agricultural surpluses
continued the economic progress of the western democracies. Statements on terrorism,
Chernobyl, and East/West relations demonstrated Allied unity.
Longest sustained period of U.S. economic growth since World War 11 (40 months) led
global recovery aided by lower U.S. dollar and a more robust U.S. economy.
Won House support for immediate and effective military aid to the Nicaraguan freedom
fighters; took lead in supporting peaceful transitions in the Philippines and Haiti;
reaffirmed support for democratic resistance forces in Angola and Afghanistan.
Soviet arms control offer of June 8 and the President's Glassboro speech set tone for
progress toward a 1986 Summit. Expert-level talks and exchanges increased following
the Geneva Summit in all areas of U.S./Soviet relations. Interim restraint decision declared
U.S. commitment to deep, balanced, verifiable reductions in nuclear weapons to enhance
strategic stability.
U.S. market based oil policy in early 80's along with the world oil glut neutralized OPEC
and brought lowest oil prices in many years.
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MAJOR INITIATIVES OF SECOND HALF 1986
TOP PRIORITIES
US - SOVIET RELATIONS
ARMS CONTROL
REGIONAL SECURITY
DEFENSE AND SECURITY
Achieve a productive Summit and give Gorbachev a personal introduction to American
life and culture. Expand actions in all areas of U.S./Soviet relations: arms control, regional
Issues, human rights, and bilateral relations..
Pursue potential in U.S. and Soviet arms control offers; pressure the Soviets to negotiate
deep reductions in strategic arms, an acceptable interim INF agreement and verification
regime, and a constructive approach to nuclear testing; maintain a unified Western
position on arms control.
Pressure South Africa to reform without additional U.S. economic sanctions; er_nploy
military aid to Nicarisuan freedom fighters to compel internal democratic reform and
end the Sandinistas' external aggression; maintain stability in Pakistan and expand
U.S./Indian relations; aid UNITA, Afghan and Cambodian (through ASEAN) freedom
fighters.
Reform the national security strategic planning process; institutionalize Packard
Commission recommendations; protect key defense programs during the congressional
budget process (especially strategic modernization and SDI).
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS Hold the line against protectionism at home and abroad; implement Summit measures to
stimulate trade, and monetary and debt reform.
SPACE Restore space launch program; implement Rogers' Commission recommendations; decide .
question of fourth orbiter; devise an effective plan for commercialization of ELVs.
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ADDITIONAL PRIORITIES
DEMOCRATIC TRENDS
COUNTER-INTELLIGENCE
COUNTER-TERRORISM
DRUGS
POTENTIAL FLARE-UPS
SOUTH AFRICA
INDIA?PAKISTAN
ISRAEL?SYRIA
MEXICO
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Give moral support to democratic movements; e.g. peaceful transitions in the Philippines
and Haiti, constitutional reform in South Korea, and restoration of democracy in Chile.
Implement Presidential decisions to limit unauthorized disclosures and counter hostile
intelligence activities.
Institutionalize VP task force on terrorism recommendations; maintain Allied
commitment to get tough on state-sponsored terrorism.
In cooperation with other nations, stem the production and flow of narcotics, reducing
the destabilizing effects of such activities on friendly democracies.
Develop broad strategy for action, recognizing British concerns, that presses Pretoria for
reform but avoids harmful economic sanctions.
Promote stability on the subcontinent; reduce mutual suspicion and border tensions to
mitigate nuclear competition.
Monitor regional tensions throughout the transition of power in Israel; support Hussein
moves toward cooperation with Tel Aviv and isolation of PLO; encourage
Israeli-Egyptian rapprochement through settlement of Taba issue.
Use de la Madrid visit to restore bilateral cordiality; concentrate on problems of debt
crisis, drug enforcement, and immigration, and assess their impact on internal political
stability.
?
IRAN-IRAQ WAR Ensure that Straits of Hormuz remains open; prevent hostilities from expanding to the
Gulf States; and maintain the balance of power in the region.
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ACHIEVE A PRODUCTIVE MEETING WITH GORBACHEV IN THE U.S.
Enhance bilateral relations with the Soviets while protecting vital global interests
SETTING
Opportunity exists to build on the improved tone set by the Glassboro Speech and the
June 8 Soviet arms control proposal. However, regional conflicts, human rights issues,
and arms control disagreements could be obstacles.
ARMS CONTROL Press the Soviets for commitments to deep, equitable, verifiable strategic arms
reductions; and for positive movement on INF, testing verification, and MBFR.
REGIONAL SECURITY ? Protect security assistance programs, develop a full range of active capabilities, and
encourage Allied support thus strengthening our ability to limit Soviet action and
influence in the Third World.
HUMAN RIGHTS Continue to remind the Soviets that serious progress in bilateral relations is contingent
upon improvements in Soviet human rights. Encourage benefits of private diplomacy in
important Ref usnik and dissident cases.
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY Emphasize Geneva commitments to discussion and progress on all aspects of the
relationship especially where there is common ground. Highlight Soviet intransigence,
disinformation, lack of forthrightness, and abuse, while showing U.S. desire to improve
relations.
RISK
MILESTONES
Soviets may continue to issue broad and general arms proposals that appeal to Europe
and the American public in an effort to saddle the Administration with the responsibility
for impasse in arms talks.
Cultural exchanges and contacts
Regional and functional discussions
Shultz-Shevardnadze meeting
Gorbachev visit to the U.S.
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NEGOTIATE MEANINGFUL AND VERIFIABLE AGREEMENTS
Negotiate for deep, equitable, verifiable cuts in nuclear weapons and military assets
?
SETTING Soviet propaganda on testing, interim restraint, and the elimination of nuclear weapons
could stimulate public pressure in Europe and the U.S. to maintain old and conclude new
agreements that are unfavorable.
NUCLEAR AND SPACE TALKS Keep onus on the Soviets to negotiate substantial strategic offensive arms reductions,
realistic interim INF agreement, and effective verification measures within the context of
the overall offense-defense relationship.
NUCLEAR TESTING Seek improvement of verification measures for existing limitations; conduct expert-level
talks with the Soviets; thoroughly explain our position both at home and abroad.
MIMI, COE, CD Work with Allies to maintain a unified position on conventional force reductions,
remaining force levels, and concrete confidence building measures. Maintain Allied
position on stringent verification of CW Ban.
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
RISK
MILESTONES
Re-emphasize U.S. commitment to deep, equitable, verifiable reductions that enhance
strategic stability and U.S. desire to enhance deterrence by establishing the possibility of
effective strategic defenses; highlight Soviet intransigence to date on real arms
reductions.
Displeasure over May interim'restraint decision in Europe offers Soviets fertile ground.
Congress may seek to limit Presidential flexibility by imposing constraints on strategic
modernization, SDI, nuclear testing, and ASATs.
New rounds in NST (9/18), MBFR (August), CDE (8/19)
Interim Restraint dates
Shultz-Shevardnadze meeting
Week-long visit of Gorbachev to the U.S.
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SEEK FREEDOM, REGIONAL SECURITY AND GLOBAL PEACE
Advance the cause of democracy and human rights by promoting prosperity and social progress
SETTING Trend toward democracy throughout the world is threatened by regional conflicts,
economic turbulence, and expansionism by the Soviet Union and its clients.
DIPLOMATIC INITIATIVES In concert with our friends and allies, seek favorable peaceful resolutions to regional
conflicts with special attention to southern Africa. Central America, and Afghanistan. Use
political efforts to limit violence, promote freedom and national self-determination, and
bring true regional security.
FOREIGN ASSISTANCE Target economic assistance to encourage free and fair trade and market-oriented reform
and help fledgling economies to earn their own way throughout the world; protect
necessary funds for a balanced and broad-based security assistance program throughout
the congressional budget process.
SUPPORT FOR FREEDOM FIGHTERS Pursue tailored policies that support forces trying to advance democratic principles
against Soviet-sponsored regimes in Nicaragua, Afghanistan. and Angola. Work with the
ASEAN nations to promote Cambodian self-determination.
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY Take the cause of freedom and democracy to the free press at home and abroad. Address
the multiple levels of the American regional security strategy.
RISKS
MILESTONES
Potential exists to lose support for the broader regional strategy because of congress-
ional concentration on the military aspect. Budget constraints on foreign assistance
accounts will hobble U.S. foreign policy efforts.
Meetings with de la Madrid, Sarney, Aquino, and Mobutu
UNGA and IBRD Speeches
Regional negotiations that forward U.S. interests
Congressional budget process
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PROMOTE STABILITY ON THE SOUTH ASIAN SUBCONTINENT
Improve US-Indian relations; reassure Pakistan of close ties;
urge momentum for Indo-Pak normalization; press for Afghan self-determination
SETTING There is some movement toward greater democracy in Pakistan; Gandhi is extending
control over the Indian bureaucracy and India's domestic problems but faces many
difficult issues.
NONPROUFERATION Reduce regignal suspicion to mitigate nuclear competition; hold to existing nuclear "zed
lines"; verify Pakistani compliance; launch congressional strategy to renew Symington
Waiver.
POLITICAL SUPPORT Assist stabilization in Pakistan; affirm support for Pakistan's independence, sovereignty,
and territorial integrity; further unification of Afghan resistance leaders; encourage
closer coordination between Pakistan and Afghan resistance on Geneva Talks.
ECONOMIC SUPPORT Carry through on the President's personal commitment to Gandhi for greater technology
sharing; follow through with economic assistance to Pakistan consistent with overall
foreign assistance funding.
INDO-PAKISTANI RELATIONS Assist preparations for a Zia-Gandhi meeting where possible; encourage broadened
agenda for bilateral cooperation through trade, anti-drug, and anti-terrorist measures.
AFGHANISTAN Continue to seek the cooperation of both Pakistan and India to achieve an acceptable
outcome to hostilities in Afghanistan; press Soviets for short and complete withdrawal
timetables.
PUBUC DIPLOMACY
RISKS
MILESTONES
Successful Junejo visit provides an opportunity to praise Pakistan on movement toward
democracy and highlight Soviet intransigence in Afghanistan.
Border tensions between Pakistan/Afghanistan and Pakistan/India; internal political and
economic problems in India; Pakistan's nuclear problem.
Zia-Gandhi meeting
Afghan Proximity talks
Symington Waiver renewal
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STRENGTHEN NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY/BUDGET PROCESS
Maintain prudent and responsible Defense; institute constructive organizational and budgetary reforms
SETTING Public and Congressional sentiment supports a strong defense but can not tolerate
reports of excessive spending and is not convinced of the full extent of the threat.
PLANNING PROCESS Design, implement, and operate a planning process for producing strategic and
budgetary guidance and for Identifying key Issues for first two-year budget cycle.
DEFENSE REFORM Institutionalize constructive reforms of Packard Commission to strengthen public
support, guide reform sentiment in Congress, and bolster force effectiveness.
STRATEGIC MODERNIZATION Maintain pace of the ATB, ACM, and D-5 programs; reach decisions on next steps in
production and development of the Second SO MX and SICBM; continue improvement in
strategic command, communications, and control.
CONVENTIONAL MODERNIZATION Maintain funding for priority programs, encourage termination of marginal programs;
implement reforms in the research, development, and production of weapon systems.
SDI Continue research; boost support by showing progress and highlighting major
technology demonstrations and near-term applications; broaden allied participation.
PUBUC DIPLOMACY Highlight Administration support for reforms in defense organization and acquisition;
develop campaign to support the FY 88-89 budget on the Hill, especially for key
programs.
RISKS Pressure on the Hill to cut spending will place the defense budget under intense scrutiny;
independent "reform" action on the Hill could prove harmful.
MILESTONES
NSDD on Strategy
Implementation of NSOD-219 on Defense Reform
Congressional budget process
FY'88-89 budget preparation
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PROMOTE FREE TRADE, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND CURRENCY STABILITY
Reduce trade deficit, promote pro-growth policies, and stabilize international exchange rates
SETTING
TRADE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
Coming off a successful economic summit with economic forecasts generally positive for
developed countries and non-oil LDCs; lowest oil prices in 10 years.
Secure agreement in Uruguay in September for a new round of GATT discussions; oppose
omnibus trade bill and all other protectionist legislation and measures; examine
agriculture as a trade agenda item.
Slash federal budget deficit; encourage nations to coordinate economic policies and
eliminate structural rigidities that inhibit growth; press for broad economic reform and
privatization in high-debt countries; coordinate international policy measures on debt
restructuring, particularly with Mexico.
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY
SYSTEM Seek greater stability in international exchange rates; avoid allowing exchange rates to
adjust trade imbalances; keep U.S. monetary growth in a non-inflationary pattern.
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
RISKS
MILESTONES
Build on success of Summit; highlight opening of markets, stabilizing of dollar, etc.;
attack egregious foreign trade practices; emphasize that U.S. protectionist legislation
destroys American jobs.
Failure by developed nations to stimulate their economies may slow world economic
growth. Congressional pressure for protectionist legislation may threaten override of any
Presidential veto.
Omnibus trade bill on Hill and other measures
GATT Ministerial meeting (Uruguay)
IMF and World Bank meetings
Meetings with de la Madrid and Sarney
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SETTING
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RESTORE SPACE LAUNCH PROGRAM
Recommendations of the Rogers' Commission, support in Congress, and American public
opinior favor the recovery of the space program from the setbacks of early 1986, but
funding problems may persist.
ROGERS' COMMISSION Implement Commission recommendations; establish management organizations and
structures at NASA; design and integrate cost-effective safety changes for shuttle.
SPACE SHUTTLE Implement a Presidential decision on a 4th Orbiter based upon the expected total cost
and use of the shuttle; consider commercial versus governmental funding; decide on the
nature and extent of future payloads.
COMMEROAUZATION OF ELVs Encourage more commercial use of space by reducing regulatory impediments and
developing a plan for transition to more commercial ventures in space without excessive
governmental contribution.
THE NEXT GENERATION Reach initial decisions on the next generation of the space program based upon existing
endeavors; conduct discussions with Allies on the space station missions, operations, and
development.
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY Develop public campaigns to support the space program, the shuttle, and a limited
commercialization of space.
RISK Budget limitations may prevent major initiative in space programs.
MILESTONES
4th orbiter decision
Commercialization transition plan
Space Transportation Architecture Study and Paine Commission Report
Congressional authorization and appropriation cycles
Atlas and Titan launches
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