NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES AND PRIORITIES BOOKS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 28, 2011
Sequence Number: 
36
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 10, 1986
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8.pdf1.1 MB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET- LiCA FILE lti() ?e RECPT- CRE THE WHITE HOUSE WASH I NGTON SYSTEM II 90622 I ReF:stry September 10, 19861 MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE THE ATTORNEY GENERAL THE SECRETARY OF COMMERCE THE SECRETARY OF TRANSPORTATION THE SECRETARY OF ENERGY am-HE DIRECTOR, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY THE UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE TO THE UNITED NATIONS FROM: JOHN M. POINDEXTER f-A_ SUBJECT: National Security Issues and Priorities Books (U) Attached for your use are copies of two NSC documents that you may find helpful in the coming months. (U) The National Security Issues Book provides a concise, unclassified explanation of current key policy issues along with suggested talking points to illuminate Administration policy objectives. It is provided to senior level staff members at the White House, State, Defense, CIA, and our Ambassadors. (U) The National Security Priorities Book presents a classified statement of the major national security priorities for the next six months. It is provided to an extremely restricted number of senior Administration officials. (S) ii This document is published on a biannual basis. Any comments or suggestions for future issues would be appreciated. (U) Attachments: TAB I - National Security Priorities Book (July-December, 1986) TAB II - National Security Issues Book (July, 1986) SECRET Declassify on: OADR Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R00030133131336-8 111 R. 111. W MIL Mr INE ma, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90601390R000300370036-8 Declassified inPart - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 . . ???.r. SECRET MAJOR ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF FIRST HALF 1986 Counter-Terrorism Tokyo Summit International Economia Regional Security Geneva Summit Energy Prices Dramatic U.S. self-defense strike against Qadhafi's state-sponsored terrorism underlined U.S. resolve and motivated tougher allied action. U.S. leadership on new GATT trade round, international debt, and agricultural surpluses continued the economic progress of the western democracies. Statements on terrorism, Chernobyl, and East/West relations demonstrated Allied unity. Longest sustained period of U.S. economic growth since World War 11 (40 months) led global recovery aided by lower U.S. dollar and a more robust U.S. economy. Won House support for immediate and effective military aid to the Nicaraguan freedom fighters; took lead in supporting peaceful transitions in the Philippines and Haiti; reaffirmed support for democratic resistance forces in Angola and Afghanistan. Soviet arms control offer of June 8 and the President's Glassboro speech set tone for progress toward a 1986 Summit. Expert-level talks and exchanges increased following the Geneva Summit in all areas of U.S./Soviet relations. Interim restraint decision declared U.S. commitment to deep, balanced, verifiable reductions in nuclear weapons to enhance strategic stability. U.S. market based oil policy in early 80's along with the world oil glut neutralized OPEC and brought lowest oil prices in many years. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 mi. sr Mil 1.0 ilia la Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET MAJOR INITIATIVES OF SECOND HALF 1986 TOP PRIORITIES US - SOVIET RELATIONS ARMS CONTROL REGIONAL SECURITY DEFENSE AND SECURITY Achieve a productive Summit and give Gorbachev a personal introduction to American life and culture. Expand actions in all areas of U.S./Soviet relations: arms control, regional Issues, human rights, and bilateral relations.. Pursue potential in U.S. and Soviet arms control offers; pressure the Soviets to negotiate deep reductions in strategic arms, an acceptable interim INF agreement and verification regime, and a constructive approach to nuclear testing; maintain a unified Western position on arms control. Pressure South Africa to reform without additional U.S. economic sanctions; er_nploy military aid to Nicarisuan freedom fighters to compel internal democratic reform and end the Sandinistas' external aggression; maintain stability in Pakistan and expand U.S./Indian relations; aid UNITA, Afghan and Cambodian (through ASEAN) freedom fighters. Reform the national security strategic planning process; institutionalize Packard Commission recommendations; protect key defense programs during the congressional budget process (especially strategic modernization and SDI). INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS Hold the line against protectionism at home and abroad; implement Summit measures to stimulate trade, and monetary and debt reform. SPACE Restore space launch program; implement Rogers' Commission recommendations; decide . question of fourth orbiter; devise an effective plan for commercialization of ELVs. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 MIMI NMI MUM JIM NMI MS ME UM ME NM Will Mil ME NIB xxiew mama Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 ADDITIONAL PRIORITIES DEMOCRATIC TRENDS COUNTER-INTELLIGENCE COUNTER-TERRORISM DRUGS POTENTIAL FLARE-UPS SOUTH AFRICA INDIA?PAKISTAN ISRAEL?SYRIA MEXICO SECRET Give moral support to democratic movements; e.g. peaceful transitions in the Philippines and Haiti, constitutional reform in South Korea, and restoration of democracy in Chile. Implement Presidential decisions to limit unauthorized disclosures and counter hostile intelligence activities. Institutionalize VP task force on terrorism recommendations; maintain Allied commitment to get tough on state-sponsored terrorism. In cooperation with other nations, stem the production and flow of narcotics, reducing the destabilizing effects of such activities on friendly democracies. Develop broad strategy for action, recognizing British concerns, that presses Pretoria for reform but avoids harmful economic sanctions. Promote stability on the subcontinent; reduce mutual suspicion and border tensions to mitigate nuclear competition. Monitor regional tensions throughout the transition of power in Israel; support Hussein moves toward cooperation with Tel Aviv and isolation of PLO; encourage Israeli-Egyptian rapprochement through settlement of Taba issue. Use de la Madrid visit to restore bilateral cordiality; concentrate on problems of debt crisis, drug enforcement, and immigration, and assess their impact on internal political stability. ? IRAN-IRAQ WAR Ensure that Straits of Hormuz remains open; prevent hostilities from expanding to the Gulf States; and maintain the balance of power in the region. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 mom mos MIN WM IMO MS INN MON 1111111 Mil 111111 11011 Mill him mom owe Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET ACHIEVE A PRODUCTIVE MEETING WITH GORBACHEV IN THE U.S. Enhance bilateral relations with the Soviets while protecting vital global interests SETTING Opportunity exists to build on the improved tone set by the Glassboro Speech and the June 8 Soviet arms control proposal. However, regional conflicts, human rights issues, and arms control disagreements could be obstacles. ARMS CONTROL Press the Soviets for commitments to deep, equitable, verifiable strategic arms reductions; and for positive movement on INF, testing verification, and MBFR. REGIONAL SECURITY ? Protect security assistance programs, develop a full range of active capabilities, and encourage Allied support thus strengthening our ability to limit Soviet action and influence in the Third World. HUMAN RIGHTS Continue to remind the Soviets that serious progress in bilateral relations is contingent upon improvements in Soviet human rights. Encourage benefits of private diplomacy in important Ref usnik and dissident cases. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY Emphasize Geneva commitments to discussion and progress on all aspects of the relationship especially where there is common ground. Highlight Soviet intransigence, disinformation, lack of forthrightness, and abuse, while showing U.S. desire to improve relations. RISK MILESTONES Soviets may continue to issue broad and general arms proposals that appeal to Europe and the American public in an effort to saddle the Administration with the responsibility for impasse in arms talks. Cultural exchanges and contacts Regional and functional discussions Shultz-Shevardnadze meeting Gorbachev visit to the U.S. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 gm gm mg Imo MIN NM Min Mill MI MI MOM Mill MIMI NO Mail NM MN Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET NEGOTIATE MEANINGFUL AND VERIFIABLE AGREEMENTS Negotiate for deep, equitable, verifiable cuts in nuclear weapons and military assets ? SETTING Soviet propaganda on testing, interim restraint, and the elimination of nuclear weapons could stimulate public pressure in Europe and the U.S. to maintain old and conclude new agreements that are unfavorable. NUCLEAR AND SPACE TALKS Keep onus on the Soviets to negotiate substantial strategic offensive arms reductions, realistic interim INF agreement, and effective verification measures within the context of the overall offense-defense relationship. NUCLEAR TESTING Seek improvement of verification measures for existing limitations; conduct expert-level talks with the Soviets; thoroughly explain our position both at home and abroad. MIMI, COE, CD Work with Allies to maintain a unified position on conventional force reductions, remaining force levels, and concrete confidence building measures. Maintain Allied position on stringent verification of CW Ban. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY RISK MILESTONES Re-emphasize U.S. commitment to deep, equitable, verifiable reductions that enhance strategic stability and U.S. desire to enhance deterrence by establishing the possibility of effective strategic defenses; highlight Soviet intransigence to date on real arms reductions. Displeasure over May interim'restraint decision in Europe offers Soviets fertile ground. Congress may seek to limit Presidential flexibility by imposing constraints on strategic modernization, SDI, nuclear testing, and ASATs. New rounds in NST (9/18), MBFR (August), CDE (8/19) Interim Restraint dates Shultz-Shevardnadze meeting Week-long visit of Gorbachev to the U.S. SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 . ? Declassified in Part 7 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 ? INV MN 11111 MO MN Mit NM NS Me 11111E MIN MI MN lift NM IOW alio Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET SEEK FREEDOM, REGIONAL SECURITY AND GLOBAL PEACE Advance the cause of democracy and human rights by promoting prosperity and social progress SETTING Trend toward democracy throughout the world is threatened by regional conflicts, economic turbulence, and expansionism by the Soviet Union and its clients. DIPLOMATIC INITIATIVES In concert with our friends and allies, seek favorable peaceful resolutions to regional conflicts with special attention to southern Africa. Central America, and Afghanistan. Use political efforts to limit violence, promote freedom and national self-determination, and bring true regional security. FOREIGN ASSISTANCE Target economic assistance to encourage free and fair trade and market-oriented reform and help fledgling economies to earn their own way throughout the world; protect necessary funds for a balanced and broad-based security assistance program throughout the congressional budget process. SUPPORT FOR FREEDOM FIGHTERS Pursue tailored policies that support forces trying to advance democratic principles against Soviet-sponsored regimes in Nicaragua, Afghanistan. and Angola. Work with the ASEAN nations to promote Cambodian self-determination. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY Take the cause of freedom and democracy to the free press at home and abroad. Address the multiple levels of the American regional security strategy. RISKS MILESTONES Potential exists to lose support for the broader regional strategy because of congress- ional concentration on the military aspect. Budget constraints on foreign assistance accounts will hobble U.S. foreign policy efforts. Meetings with de la Madrid, Sarney, Aquino, and Mobutu UNGA and IBRD Speeches Regional negotiations that forward U.S. interests Congressional budget process SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17 : CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 , Arabian Sea Lalvoder, la, Tt,...ndruM411 COlo Mad, as Bay of Bengal Arll ? A1111,1,1.111 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 Imo tom_! lir ONO MO UM 1111 11111111 1111 11111 WE nil VW Mil MN Mimi NOW Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET PROMOTE STABILITY ON THE SOUTH ASIAN SUBCONTINENT Improve US-Indian relations; reassure Pakistan of close ties; urge momentum for Indo-Pak normalization; press for Afghan self-determination SETTING There is some movement toward greater democracy in Pakistan; Gandhi is extending control over the Indian bureaucracy and India's domestic problems but faces many difficult issues. NONPROUFERATION Reduce regignal suspicion to mitigate nuclear competition; hold to existing nuclear "zed lines"; verify Pakistani compliance; launch congressional strategy to renew Symington Waiver. POLITICAL SUPPORT Assist stabilization in Pakistan; affirm support for Pakistan's independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity; further unification of Afghan resistance leaders; encourage closer coordination between Pakistan and Afghan resistance on Geneva Talks. ECONOMIC SUPPORT Carry through on the President's personal commitment to Gandhi for greater technology sharing; follow through with economic assistance to Pakistan consistent with overall foreign assistance funding. INDO-PAKISTANI RELATIONS Assist preparations for a Zia-Gandhi meeting where possible; encourage broadened agenda for bilateral cooperation through trade, anti-drug, and anti-terrorist measures. AFGHANISTAN Continue to seek the cooperation of both Pakistan and India to achieve an acceptable outcome to hostilities in Afghanistan; press Soviets for short and complete withdrawal timetables. PUBUC DIPLOMACY RISKS MILESTONES Successful Junejo visit provides an opportunity to praise Pakistan on movement toward democracy and highlight Soviet intransigence in Afghanistan. Border tensions between Pakistan/Afghanistan and Pakistan/India; internal political and economic problems in India; Pakistan's nuclear problem. Zia-Gandhi meeting Afghan Proximity talks Symington Waiver renewal SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 mit vox MON 1111111 EMI 'MI ? '11111 II= EMI ME an ME UN Sill 11114. ONO OW lib* $1111# Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET STRENGTHEN NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY/BUDGET PROCESS Maintain prudent and responsible Defense; institute constructive organizational and budgetary reforms SETTING Public and Congressional sentiment supports a strong defense but can not tolerate reports of excessive spending and is not convinced of the full extent of the threat. PLANNING PROCESS Design, implement, and operate a planning process for producing strategic and budgetary guidance and for Identifying key Issues for first two-year budget cycle. DEFENSE REFORM Institutionalize constructive reforms of Packard Commission to strengthen public support, guide reform sentiment in Congress, and bolster force effectiveness. STRATEGIC MODERNIZATION Maintain pace of the ATB, ACM, and D-5 programs; reach decisions on next steps in production and development of the Second SO MX and SICBM; continue improvement in strategic command, communications, and control. CONVENTIONAL MODERNIZATION Maintain funding for priority programs, encourage termination of marginal programs; implement reforms in the research, development, and production of weapon systems. SDI Continue research; boost support by showing progress and highlighting major technology demonstrations and near-term applications; broaden allied participation. PUBUC DIPLOMACY Highlight Administration support for reforms in defense organization and acquisition; develop campaign to support the FY 88-89 budget on the Hill, especially for key programs. RISKS Pressure on the Hill to cut spending will place the defense budget under intense scrutiny; independent "reform" action on the Hill could prove harmful. MILESTONES NSDD on Strategy Implementation of NSOD-219 on Defense Reform Congressional budget process FY'88-89 budget preparation SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 mum mon VIM MOM eft witita Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SECRET PROMOTE FREE TRADE, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND CURRENCY STABILITY Reduce trade deficit, promote pro-growth policies, and stabilize international exchange rates SETTING TRADE ECONOMIC GROWTH Coming off a successful economic summit with economic forecasts generally positive for developed countries and non-oil LDCs; lowest oil prices in 10 years. Secure agreement in Uruguay in September for a new round of GATT discussions; oppose omnibus trade bill and all other protectionist legislation and measures; examine agriculture as a trade agenda item. Slash federal budget deficit; encourage nations to coordinate economic policies and eliminate structural rigidities that inhibit growth; press for broad economic reform and privatization in high-debt countries; coordinate international policy measures on debt restructuring, particularly with Mexico. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM Seek greater stability in international exchange rates; avoid allowing exchange rates to adjust trade imbalances; keep U.S. monetary growth in a non-inflationary pattern. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY RISKS MILESTONES Build on success of Summit; highlight opening of markets, stabilizing of dollar, etc.; attack egregious foreign trade practices; emphasize that U.S. protectionist legislation destroys American jobs. Failure by developed nations to stimulate their economies may slow world economic growth. Congressional pressure for protectionist legislation may threaten override of any Presidential veto. Omnibus trade bill on Hill and other measures GATT Ministerial meeting (Uruguay) IMF and World Bank meetings Meetings with de la Madrid and Sarney SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 el. OM NM MN IOW BIM 111111r-111111r"Iliiirw' 1111.441166111414"61611 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17 : CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8 SETTING SECRET RESTORE SPACE LAUNCH PROGRAM Recommendations of the Rogers' Commission, support in Congress, and American public opinior favor the recovery of the space program from the setbacks of early 1986, but funding problems may persist. ROGERS' COMMISSION Implement Commission recommendations; establish management organizations and structures at NASA; design and integrate cost-effective safety changes for shuttle. SPACE SHUTTLE Implement a Presidential decision on a 4th Orbiter based upon the expected total cost and use of the shuttle; consider commercial versus governmental funding; decide on the nature and extent of future payloads. COMMEROAUZATION OF ELVs Encourage more commercial use of space by reducing regulatory impediments and developing a plan for transition to more commercial ventures in space without excessive governmental contribution. THE NEXT GENERATION Reach initial decisions on the next generation of the space program based upon existing endeavors; conduct discussions with Allies on the space station missions, operations, and development. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY Develop public campaigns to support the space program, the shuttle, and a limited commercialization of space. RISK Budget limitations may prevent major initiative in space programs. MILESTONES 4th orbiter decision Commercialization transition plan Space Transportation Architecture Study and Paine Commission Report Congressional authorization and appropriation cycles Atlas and Titan launches SECRET nprdaccified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/04/17: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300370036-8