CLOSURE EXERCISE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP94-00798R000200130065-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 19, 2012
• Sequence Number: 65
• Publication Date: September 12, 1986
• Content Type: CABLE

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/19: CIA-RDP94-00798R000200130065-0
CONFWENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL 1205507 FP Fz 5,TAEE
CITE FRIS/GUI E 1P030 SUCTION
TO: ERIS.
RYBAT
SURJECT: CLOSURE EXERCISE
RFF: ERIS 21205
M
OF 03
/4K.i rd e;
1. ALTHOUGH SOMETHING ALONG THE LINES OF REF WAS NOT ENTIRELY
UNEXPECTED, DON AND I HAD RFEN THINKING MORE IN TERMS OF A 20-25
PERCENT REDUCTION IN THE NIIMEER OF MONITORS (3-5 POSITIONS), AND
I HOPE SUCH A REDUCTION WILL REMAIN UNDER CONSIDERATION AS AN
OPTION TO CLOSURE. A VARIETY OF COVERAGE OPTIONS EXIST IF REDUC-
TION IS CHOSEN. FOR EXAMPLE, ONE WOULD ENTAIL SHIFTING THE EARLY
MORNING TEHRAN PERSIAN COVERAGE TO LD, NC, OR TA, DROPPING OP
SHIFTING OUR ONE KAPI1L ENGLISH CAST, AND SHIFTING OR REDUCING OUR
COMMITMENT TO THE PERSIAN AND PAKISTANI PRESS, THUS ELIMINATING
GF'S PERSIAN DAYSHIFT (1-2 POSITIONS): DROPPING RUSSIAN AND
ARMENIAN COVERAGE (2. POSITIONS): AND ELIMINATING THE ARABIC
POSITION THAT WE PLAN TO MOVE FROM THE PERSIAN SECTION IN JULY
(PUT ONLY IF THE FULL 5 POSITIONS HAD TO PE ELIMINATED). THIS
ALSO ASSUMES THAT PPC WILL PICK UP TEHRAN TV WHEN IT GOES SATEL-
LITE, AS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR FUTURE. SOME REDUCTION OF OUR
LESS PRODUCTIVE PERSIAN REGIONAL AND CLAN-STINE RADIOS ANn AR.A.ojr.
NEWSPAPER COVERAGE wOlILD ALSO BE NECESSARY. ONE ARAPIC/RtIssIA.N
MONITOR WOULD B,E SHIFTED TO ARABIC ONLY, AND THE CENTRAL ASIAN
AND PERSIAN SECTIONS WOULD PE COMBINED UNDER A SIN7LE SUPERVISOR.
THE CHIEF MONITOR WOULD HAVE. TO DEVOTE MUCH MORE OF HIS TIME TO
REGULAR ARAPIC MONITORING DUTIES, WITH A CORRESPONDING COTPACK TN
TIME DEVOTED TO SUPERVISION, OLIALITY CONTROL, AND CRUISING. THE
ESTIMATED REDUCTION IN COST WOULD AMOUNT TO DEPEND-
ING ON THE 1 R TCN POSITIONS CUT. EACH TCN COSTS AN
AVERAGE OF IN PAY AND ALLOWANCES.
2. GRA SAVING DO NOT APPROACH THE SCALE OF THOSE
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loU111
PAGE 2 FRIS/GULE 1ru713P CO NEIDENT I AL
MENTIONED IN GRAF 2 OF REF, BUT I THINK WE sumo D ALSO KEEP THE
CONTINGENCY COVERAGE FACTOR IN MIND, AND MY PROPOSAL RETAINS A
RELATIVELY STRONG ARABIC TEAM FOR THAT REASON. MY EXPEPIENCE AT
JORDAN puREAU ALWAYS LEFT ME WITH THE UNCOMEORTAPLE FEELING THAT,
IN SUCH A VOLATILE AREA, WE MIGHT FACE A VERY SuDDEN PHRFAJI CLO-
SURF THAT WOULD PROVE LONG-TERM, AT LEAST, IF NOT PERMANENT. I
ALSO BELIEVE THAT FEW OF JN'S LOCALLY HIRED (\RAP MONITORS WOULD
CHOOSE To LEAVE IN A CRISIS?NOT WITHOUT A PIPLICAL-STYLE EXODUS
OF THEIR EXTENDED FAMILIES-- OR COULD GET OUT IF THE CHOSE TO
GO. ONCE GF IS CLOSED, A CONTINGENCY SITUATION AT JN WOULD LEAVE
EPIS LIMPING ALONG ON THE ARABIC TEAMS AT NO AND PC. TE THE
DECISION IS TO CLOSE GE, I :BELIEVE TRANSFERS OF COVERAGE AND
PERSONNEL TO iN SHOULD THEREFORE PE KEPT TO A MINIMUM, AND THE
BUILDUP SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED AT NC TO THE EXTENT RECEPTION
CONDITIONS PERMIT.
3. AN ISLAMABAD-TYPE RELAY OPERATION FROM pAHRAIN IS ALMOST
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE, PUT IT LOOKS TO ME LIKE A DUP IOUS PROPOSITION
FROM THE COST/BENEFIT POINT OF VIEW. FIRST, I DO NOT THINK FIS
CAN BASE ITS PLANNING FOR. A RELAY OPERATION ON THE ASSUMPTION
THAT IT WILL BE ACCOMMODATED?FREE OR AT MINIMUM COST IN AN EXIST-
ING USG FACILITY. WHILE WE MIGHT NEGOTIATE A ROOM OR7TWO IN THE
NEW EMBASSY ONCE IT IS !UILT, THERE SIMPLY ISN'T ANY SPACE IN THE
PRESENT BUILDING FOR THE PERIOD UNTIL THEN. I AM NOT OPTIMISTIC
ABOUT ACQUIRING SPACE IN AN EXISTING BUILDING ON THE ASU COMPOUND,
EITHER, ALTHOUGH OBVIOUSLY I HAVE NOT CONSULTED WITH ANYONE IN
THE NAVY AROUT THE MATTER. WE WOULD CERTAINLY WANT TO TOUCH THAT
BASE IF THE DECISION IS TO ESTABLISH A RELAY SITE. 1:17 MIGHT PE
GIVEN ENOUGH LAND TO PUT UP A VERY SMALL PUILDING OF OUR OWN,
WHICH WOULD HAVE SECURITY ADVANTAGES OVER OUR PRESENT LOCATION.
GS0 HAS NOT YET RESPONDED TO MY INOUIRY?P.EL. AT:7D TO MY EARLIER
RELOCATION PROPOSAL?ABOUT THE TYPICAL COST PEP SOUARE FOOT OF
OFFICE SPACE IN ONE OF THE DOWNTOWN HIGH-RISE PLOCKS. WE COULD
EASILY FIND A SMALL APARTMENT IN THE S16-20K/YEAR RANGE IF WE
CHOOSE THAT OPTION AGAIN. I HAVE NOT CHFCK7D ON DEDICATED CIRCUIT
COSTS, PUT CAN DO SO WHEN/IF YOU WISH.
A. WITHOUT ALL THE CRUISING RECORDS AT HAND, I CAN ONLY GIVE
SOME GENERAL THOUGHTS ON THE COVERAGE BENEFITS OF A PAHRATN PELAy
OPERATION. I AM SURE MOD IS DOING A DETAILED STUDY OE THE mATTE0
CONFIDENT1AC
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/19: CIA-RDP94-00798R000200130065-0
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UUlits iAL
PAGE EPTS/GULE 10013?, CO NEIDENT I AL
MOST OF GE'S M7IN COVERAGE SOUR.CES ARE AVAILAPLE AT OTHER L-PT
LOCATIONS. RIYADH RADIO AND SPA, TEHRAN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL SERVICES, WAKH/wAM/oNA/ONA, SANAA POMFSTIC ANP PLO PAPJOS,
AND SOME OF THE PERSIAN CLANDESTINES CAN ALL PE MONITopFn P y coN-
VENTIONAL MEANS AT OTHER IS SITS. SOME' OF GF' LIVE' COVFPAGF
OF THE CENTRAL ASIAN REPUPLICS MAY PE LOST, PUT SOME 0 THAT
MATERIAL ALREADY RELIES ON TAPES SENT FROm ISLAMAPAD AND SoNIE IS
DUPLICATED OVER THE SA/LD LINE. PPESUMAPLY TELEVISION VIDEO
WOULD NOT PE WITHIN THE SCOPE OF A SMALL RELAY OPERATION, AND
RIYADH AND MUSCAT TV ARE ALREADY AVAILAPLF ON SATELLITE, WHILE
TEHRAN TV SOON WILL PE, 1,1F EXPECT. AS FOR ADEN COVERAGE, IT
COULD REVERT TO EAU, POSSIPLY SPLIT WITH JN. THAT LEAVES ONLY
A COLLECTION OF LESSER SOuRcEs THAT, IN sum, COULD PROVIDE A
JI!STIFCATION FOR A RELAY OPERATION, PUT THE JUSTIFICATION DOE
NOT APPEAR TO PE A STRONG O. MANAMA, DOHA, Apij DHART, AND
MUSCAT RADIOS ARE OCCASIONALLY USEFUL SUPPLEMENTS TO WAKP/wAM/ONA/
ONA, PUT WOULD RE LITTLE MISSED. THE sAmE APPLIES TO JEDDAH,
WHICH SOMETIMES CARRIES ITEMS FIRST PUT RARELY EXCLUSIVE OE OTHER
SAUDI SOURCES. IRANIAN REGIONALS ARE NOT PRODUCTIVE C0?./FpAGE
UNDER WHAT PASSES FOR NORMAL CONDITIONS IN THAT COUNTRY. ALTHOUGH
OUTPREAK E A CIVIL WAR IS A POSSIPILITY AND COULD MAKE MONITORING
OF THE REGIONALS ROTH INTERESTING AND HIGHLY PRODUCTIVE, WE MIGHT
WAIT A LONG TIME FOR SOMETHING THAT NEVER HAPPENS. EVOLUTION
RATHER THAN ANOTHER REVOLUTION, AND/CR A SUCCESSFUL COUP D'ETAT
AT THE CENTER WITHOUT LOSING CONTRoL OF THE PROVINCES SEEM
EOUALLY LIKELY SCENARIOS FOR CHANGE IN IRAN. THE SA CRUISING
SURVEY SHOULD GIVE A Goon HANDLE oN WHICH IRANIAN REGIONALS CAN
PE PICKED UR FRO ISLAMARAD.
5. AN ISLAMAPAD-TYPF OPERATION HERE SHOULD NOT POSE A PRORLEm
FOR THE GOP INFORMATION MINISTER. IT "ILL ELIMINATE SPONSORSHIP
OF TCN'S AND REDUCE THE FPIS PROFILE IN THE COUNTRY ALMOST TO THE
VANISHING POINT. IT WILL, OF CoupsE, END THE DIRECT DISTRIRIITToN
OF FPIS COPY, PUT I DOtIPT THAT LOSS WILL PF: MUCH LAMENTED. WHAT-
EVER WE DECIDE TO DO WILL HAVE To RE COORDINATED WITH THE AMP AS-
SEDOF? E FOR F. "E PRESENT IT TO THE GOP THROUGH THE INFORMATION
MINISTER.
6. LIMITED EXPANSION OE EACILITIES AT THE ISLAmAPAD UNIT F:PEMs
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PAr" 4 FRTsis11F IrAPv"ii roNF IDENT I AL
TO ME A MORE COST EFFECTIVE ALTERNATIVE TO A SECOND RELAY OPERA-
TION IN PAHRAIN. TH.F RECENT SA CRUISING SURVEY MAY suGGEST
GE PROGRAMS THAT MIGHT OTHERWISE PE LOST WHICH. COULD PF FFD OVER
ANOTHER SA/LD LINE OR A SIMILAR LINE TO NC. FOR EXAMPLE, PPC
MAY WANT SOMETHING TO REPLACE THE OCCASIONAL GE FEEDS TO THEM OF
POORLY HEARD PORTIONS OF THE TEHRAN 1c-A3(. CAST. A SINGLE MONITOR/
ASSOCIATE EDITOR POSITION MIGHT ALSO PE CONSIDERED TO ALLOW DIRECT
MONITORING OF NON-RUSSIAN CENTRAL ASIAN PRO ADCASTS. ANOTHER
SA/LD LINE COULD PE USED PART TIME TO SEND TELETYPE COPY TO LI)
FOR REVIEW, FINAL SELECTION, AND EDITING, AS IS DONE WITH FA1!
COPY. I BELIEVE AYTACHOGLIJ HAS TyF .(7?iLiTy AND THE INITIATIVE TO
HANDLE SUCH AN UNCONVENTIONAL SITUATION WELL, IF H IS WILLING TO
GO TO ISLAMAPAD.
7. SINCE REF DID NOT SET FORTH ANY GROUND PIIL'S FOR PFR.SOCINEL
PLANNING, I AM ASSUMING FOR PURPOSES OF THIS EXERCISE THAT WE APE
NOT POUND !RY CIVIL SERVICE RULES ON SENIORITY, ETC., EOR REDUC-
TIONS IN FORCE. IF SO, ADJUSTMENTS WILL NOT pF. DIFFICULT TO MAKE.
SINCE I HAVE NO IDEA OF HOW MANY GE MONITORS FPIS MAY WISH TO
RETAIN, I HAVE LISTED THE NAMES (FY LANGUAGE/SECTION) IN THE ORDER
OF PRECEDENCE FOR RETENTION THAT I EFEL IS APPROPRIATE BASED ONLY
ON RERcrpMANCE.
9 . ARABIC:
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FPIS/G111 F 10P30 CO NF I DF: NT I AL
12. ASSUMING PORFAU CLOSORF WITt4IN THF FIRST MONTH OF FY-97
AND SFVFRANCF OF ONLY THF TCN'S LISTFD IN GRAF 11C. PLUS ALL
LOCAL HIRES, I 77TIMATF SEVERANCF_ PAY COSTS OF
OPVIOIrLY, THFPF WILL PF OTHFRS FROM GF S 114 40.1n 1 17 WHO WILL
OPT FOP SFVFRANCE RATHFR THAN TRANSFFR OR FOR WHOM NO PoITINI
WOULD EXIT, AND THEY WILL RAISF THAT MINIMUM FIGURE SOPTAN-
TIALLY. THF PURFAII FXPECTS TO SPFND APOUT
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