AFGHANISTAN SITUATION REPORT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 28, 2013
Sequence Number: 
6
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 5, 1985
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3.pdf375.15 KB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 MriSeCtet--- Directorate of Intelligence 25X1 01) Afghanistan Situation Report 5 March 1985 4-seeret, NESA M 85-10046CX SUVA M 85-10045CX 5 March 196'5 25X1 Copy 062 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 TOP SECRET ? AFGHANISTAN SITUATION REPORT CONTENTS AFGHAN OFFICIAL EXPELLED BY PAKISTAN Islamabad expelled the Afghan Consul General in Peshawar after linking him with ecent terrorist incidents in Pakistan. SELLING AFGHAN REFUGEE FAMILIES Sales of Afghan refugee families in Pakistan are reportedly increasing so that buyers can gain food rations and support allowances. IN BRIEF 2 3 3 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045CX 1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 TOP SECRET PERSPECTIVE THE WAR IN KONARHA PROVINCE, 1978-1984 4 Major Soviet offensives in early 1980 wrested control of the Konar Valley from the insurgents, but increasing insurgent effectiveness and a declining Soviet effort have left the Afghan Government with only a slightly better situation than at the time of the invasion. This document is prepared weekly by the Office of Near Eastern and South Asian Analysis and the Office of Soviet Analysis. 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045.CX 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 TOP SECRET ttirgench I - it ? ,r , 0, ??,' ? , '...\ ..-. ._.1/? . Osh- 4 ' ,.? ,-,,' ,,,--7,??"^ La n44310 . 4 \ , .".... 4 chardzi.,..?..z - 9V I E,3 r 1_,, - ,,, i -, .1 -77.407.1 ?4tr. Kar si 7 hiV 7.0.fr.,-;!: .(:fr:.1.:::11.4.,,, ..:? fr ,-- i ? r 1 / ,,,,,....- Khoa. ,/,?? ? 7"' Bukhara,. ro ? inhez Nizhai,6 Pykdz .FAinh; 1 (. 'Taiyabbt,, 32 '4', '?."1-- ?t'''.% -,1 ..... , Karathinir Pim , iSilfiC 111:57744. . - ;7. 7D,\71. k;...... 4.::?? ItiliNlir' \ ???? ,-,:- i-t4 .."---*Hh,?Lalpind -I' ' ' .?-? ? .Bmieu '''?*"C %-. J ' -42:-ami.str1-- - - , - , Sargodha.. :1 ? amau ? ' ' ? 4e? tietta ' PAKISTAN ???? Fel Bandsman. . 1 ? ? ...... , . ...? .?..,.. :71. ''???,......? ....F.14_k KUrldi _ ._?._..... 4 -,....?11;'-r. ; ' ,,, . .,,,.... f 1 :?? > 1'.'L'nttto?1: Boundar t I not neceilallifriothoritilive, 800084 1-84 I, , r 111 Afghanistan 0 0 DO 100 01 50 International boundary Province boundary National capital Province capital Railroad Road 150 200 Kilometers 100 150 200 Miles 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045CX Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 TOP SECRET AFGHAN OFFICIAL EXPELLED BY PAKISTAN The Government of Pakistan recently declared the Afghan Consul General in Peshawar persona non grata, reports the US Embassy in Islamabad. A Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs official told US diplomats that Islamabad had evidence linking the Afghan to a failed attempt to bomb the Peshawar headquarters of resistance leader Gulbuddin Hekmatyar and to several other recent terrorist incidents. Afghanistan retaliated for the Consul General's expulsion by expelling the Pakistani third secretary in Kabul. Comment: Islamabad has long suspected the Afghan Consulates in Peshawar and Quetta of aiding KHAD activities in Baluchistan and the North West Frontier Provinces. Islamabad believes KHAD spent about $140,000 in 1984 in the North West Frontier Province, albeit with little success in disrupting the mujahidin or fomenting Pakistani resistance to the Zia government. Pakistan continues to tolerate an Afghan diplomatic presence, however, in order to maintain its consulates in Afghanistan to monitor Soviet and Afghan regime activities there. 2 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045CX 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 SELLING AFGHAN REFUGEE FAMILIES an 25X1 25X1 increase in the "sale" of Afghan refugee families living in camps in Baluchistan. The buyer becomes the new tribal head of the family that is sold and gain control of its aid rations and support allowances. 25X1 in two recent sales, the going 25X1 price for a family was about 1.000 Pakistani rupees--a little over $60. 25X1 Comment: Refugee administrators in Pakistan use Afghan tribal leaders to help distribute assistance to Afghan refugees. Although this system follows tribal traditions, it also provides opportunities for graft and inequities. If the selling of families becomes more widespread, refugee and insurgent morale is likely to decline because buyers tend to show less interest in the welfare of their charges than did the original leaders. IN BRIEF Afghan party factionalism was responsible for a fight between a KI-IAD unit and a provincial police force near Kabul that resulted in 28 dead and eight wounded. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045CX 25X1 im Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 TOP SECRET 4 25X1 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045CX 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 lUr JtLIMI PERSPECTIVE THE WAR IN KONARHA PROVINCE: 1978-1984 2 Insurgents controlled all but a few isolated posts in Konarha Province at the time of the Soviet invasion. Major Soviet operations in the spring of 1980 restored tenuous government control in the Konar Valley. Since then, increasing insurgent effectiveness and a declining Soviet effort have left the government with only a few more posts than it held at the time of the invasion. The Province Difficult terrain has evidently discouraged Soviet or government military operations. Only a few narrow valleys cut through the rugged mountains of Konarha Province where travel is possible only by animal or on foot. Almost all military operations have been along the province's only motorable roads in the valleys of the Konar River and its two main tributaries the Basgul (or Landay Sin) and the Pech Dara. The Konar flows through the southern part of the province roughly paralleling the Afghan- Pakistani border after entering Afghanistan near Barikowt. Before the war, about half the population--predominately Pushtun--lived in the Konar Valley. Much of Konarha's population has since fled to Pakistan. Asadabad, the provincial capital, and Asmar, the main military base about 30 kilometers to the north, are located .on the Konar's banks. The. Basgul (or Landay Sin) roughly parallels the border in the northern part of the province, joining the Konar nearBarikowt. Kamdesh is the most important town in the. valley. About 10 percent of the population--predominately Nuristanis--lived in this region before the war. The Pech Dara flows east through southern Konarha to Asadabad, located about halfway between Barikowt and the province's southern 5 X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX 25X1 SOVA M 85-10045CX Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 I UP SLURE. I 25X1 border. The valley contained about a quarter of the province's population before the war. 25X1 Konarha's main importance to the insurgents is probably symbolic--the resistance began in Konarha and had some of its greatest victories there early in the war. Islamic fundamentalist resistance broke out in the Pech Dara Valley in December 1977, After the Communist coup in Kabul the following April, tribesmen in the Basgul Valley also rose against the government. By autumn, fighting was heavy in the Pech Dara, insurgents had seized most of the Basgul, and some insurgents were active in the Konar Valley. 6 5 March 1985 NESA M 85-10046CX SOVA M 85-10045CX 7)(1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3 R Next 4 Page(s) In Document Denied 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/12/31 : CIA-RDP96R01136R001202240006-3