AGENDA FOR FEBRUARY 1987 LATIN AMERICA WARNING AND FORECAST MEETING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020019-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 15, 2013
• Sequence Number: 19
• Publication Date: February 19, 1987
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2013/07/16 : CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020019-5
SECRET Li STAT
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington,D.C.20505
National Intelligence Council
MEMORANDUM FOR: See Distribution
NIC 00617-87
19 February 1987
FROM: Robert D. Vickers, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer for Latin America
SUBJECT: Agenda for February 1987 Latin America
Warning and Forecast Meeting
1. The February Latin America Warning Meeting will be held on
Wednesday, 18 February 1987 at 1015 hours in Room 7E32, CIA
Headquarters. Invited agencies and components should please keep their
representatives to a necessary minimum because of space limitations.
2. We intend to discuss the following countries/topics:
Haiti, Honduras and Nicaragua.
Haiti
In recent weeks, General Namphy has let it be known that he intends
to stick to the calendar for elections and plans to react harshly to any
further demonstrations. Suspicions, however, are beginning to arise
among some leading political moderates that General Namphy, Col. Regala
and the National Council of Government (CNG) in general may try to
manipulate the election to insure that "the CNG choice" is the winner.
Names now being mentioned are Clovis Desinor and Alix Cineas, both of
whom are associated with the old regime in the minds of the electorate.
Is there any substance behind the suspicions? Why hasn't Namphy moved
toward setting up an independent electoral commission? What would be the
likely consequences if the CNG were perceived as trying to hand pick the
next government? (State/INR - 30 minutes)
Honduras
2. In view of Contra-announced plans to increase their level of
activity in Nicaragua in the next few weeks what are the chances that
leftist groups in Honduras will retaliate against Honduran or US targets
in Honduras in order to take the pressure off of Nicaragua and "increase
the cost" to the US and its allies? Efforts to unify the fractious
leftist groups in Honduras by Cuba and Nicaragua have increased in recent
months and threats of terrorist attacks appear to be taking on more
seriousness. What group or groups are most capable of carrying out such
attacks? What capabilities do Honduran security forces have to detect
and counter any such plans? What would be the more probable targets?
(CIA/ALA - 30 minutes)
SECRET
STAT
STAT
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020019-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020019-5
Li SECRET (,) STAT
Nicaragua
What is the status of the military conflict and what are the
near-term prospects for both sides? (DIA - 30 minutes)
3. Please have your clearances passed and call
with your attendance plans no later than Tuesday, 17 February.
Robert D. D. Vickers, Jr.
2
STAT
STAT
STAT
SECRET
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020019-5