ESTIMATE OF THE PROBABLE DIRECTION OF A CHINESE COMMUNIST MILITARY OFFENSIVE IN THE NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES OF MAINLAND SOUTHEAST ASIA.
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3
Release Decision:
RIFPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
3
Document Creation Date:
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date:
July 25, 2013
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
January 12, 1950
Content Type:
MEMO
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3.pdf | 112.11 KB |
Body:
C.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/25 : CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3
CS.
ER 0-8486
49079
puounpum
SUBJECT: E,,tS.*ate of the Probable Direction of a Chinese
Comaunist Military Offensive in the Neighboring
Countries of Mainland southeast Ada. (TWA
estimate does not discuss the probability of
border clashen, guerrilla operations, or the
provision of military assistance to local
dissident foroeS.)
In the highly'unlikely rant that the Chinese
Communist regime feels compelled to launCh a military
offensive in Southeast Asia In the near future, Indochina
would be the primary invasion target with Burma a secondary
target of almost equal priority.
FOR THE RECORD:
DifthIRJStrd
Hetyped:OADPREsfd
e Distributions --
..)
DCI tile (1)
,cr
DCI FOR DESPATCH (6)
z..
hi Central Records (1)
? AD/Olt
D My/
aub
Ly
c/ D/FD (1)
DOCUMENT MO
NOCHANGENCLASS. 0
DECLASSFIED
CU S.CHANCEDTO: IS
NEXTREVIEVDATE:
writ. H:70-2
I
DAT
Sc
EVIENER: 006514
All copies returned by DCI --
No distribution made.
DOOM:ant MO.
NO ons:Nr
D
Auth
Date:
7 1763
sy:
24,6
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/25 : CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3
J . VP i ?,c< .
????
i
F, e.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/25 : CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3
-.....? , ? ,w7...--- - . .w..
it. i'd ' ? .
CM:pi-L. zproi-:;1.7,-. i. ozz At; r; r ,
,
?
, ? . Pro ;lot i? t. - 33466 ". ? . ,
OFT.'Iel.if CF1-;'-',i t ;TS AU '1.5.iT.T!`...,TE.S
Pru_lett. Inks, .-43.t. 5.-..,71 nkyir?nii.ua
.? .? ? . 1.
? ' ? ,
, 1 ^ 9 lAt t: i' 22 ',j'atie
Irrt".D/PS* ? ? ,
?
;??
NEI itot.11a:t? Pivior., ?retier:L5 El.f..nuing
? f ?
p.
S'ibJectt.; ;Probe' bib direati? cmiatr .115=11114.0t. Matto* Oft01:11473.
.1.
Stc.tarr:ent of Proteal
'tel Coolly to A11/01
/
PrE CO:Y.:L. To ennead:I the probable ;direction 'teach a Chinese Communiet Mtitny
offensitro wattle toka itartheatit Mitts
1.
? ,1 ? ?
?
2PP.2.E. Tibet to exreauii'exceltittod frefn 0On4denniOth Ildnamilitary ofTnneAvoe
aro not to be considered; ftho .aota to that the Chinese Comunint daitary
-Topcoat= nu' continue, to nova South after &milting tbell, position in Chirac,
. ? Proper. Thin anti:rite So to indieste`-whable'tergato?tar'soch.an iotrapaive..., '
? fragjaggii p are? to be prenonted,; DO 'oupportipt data or erot
g
,*:
-lifAssatina sboul4 1;0 Macs.
? 4,
? ? 0. ' .t,
? 4 ).
? e: ; ,
Lorr.c.: IlliteraridttnIftiti ADARE t?O Dere ? ?
, . ? ?
,
7144:: 01.-.4.,,jua '154
,
6A-A4t;-'
t Evc-0 t-siz;
?
r
tP
Draft till.? D inttn. by 1500; 16 Jonijet). ?
? . a
f22iTauelg '
-
?
%?reit,
' .t ? : .
Internal Coordi,LItion:
1 .
. ... i . !
. 1)ec,artrrent:al reticiansitilitien:
Cie_ . ation td no'h tix?.N?
-- ? ? ? . . _ _
Maskaia,ti Xi eav
?
grODTT
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/25 : CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3
.Dizuernination dr:n(433.6n'
LIS?LS'LL 1
? ? To ADARE tot trio on 17 eanot50
,
liatal It le poseiblo theat
beztorondum ay be , expanded ,
at elate date to include diet;
cession.
DOCUMENT NO
NOCHANGEINCLASS. 0
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS.CHANGEDTO: IS
242
NEXTROMEINDATE:
Aunt 70
006514 -
EVIEWER.
p.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/25: CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3
UNCL IFIE0' LL "'RESTLERICTED 4101CONFIDENTIAL
tSENDER WI CIRC CLASS! ION TOP AND BOTTOM)
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP
SECRET
To
INITIALS
DATE
I
DiPub
2
3
4
5
FROM
INITIALS
DATE
I
AD/ORE
31 Jan.
2
3
SIGNATURE
RETURN
DI S TCH
FILE
111APPROYAL INFORMATION
l_______IACTI
ON DIRECT REPLY
I
'COMMENT I t REPLY
PREPARATION OF
IICONCURRENCE I RECOMMENDATION
REMARKS: FOR THE MORD:
Al]. copies returned by
distribution mad*.
ee t Ar/celei, b0 e--jeity
AOLO4z.t-,4e.A.&,
DCI ? No
-Aeoe't-e-4
UNCLASSIFIED
SECRET) CONFIDENTIAL RESTRICTED
FORM NO.
SEP 1947 .4
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/25: CIA-RDP78-01617A000800270001-3