ACTION PLAN ON BOLAND-ZABLOCKI

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
73
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 6, 2011
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1.pdf3.67 MB
Body: 
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1._ 21 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL October 17, 1983 NOTE FOR DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INT FROM: CONSTPIT E MENGES Attached is the State Department's Action Plan on Boland-Zablocki. The first two pages are a good summary. My apologies for the fact that the attachments do not have tabs, but my copy does not have them either. Enclosed is one copy for you and and one for Clair George. I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 111111/11lc- 1)??icsiiItlf-111 INFORMATION MEMORANDUM S/S UNCLASSIFIED (SECRET Attachments) TO: The Deputy Secretary Wa.shington. 20510 FROM: H - Alvin Paul Drischler, Actin ARA - James Michel, Acting SUBJECT: Action Plan on Boland-Zablocki STAT During the past two weeks we have: - Personally called on most of the 44 House Members identified as key swing votes in our analysis of the July 28 voting to brief them in depth on our Central American policy STAT - Met twice with Ken Robinson and Repubican staffers of the House Intelligence to concert our tactics and strategy; - Conducted in-depth substantive briefings on the Hill for the 42 members of the Coleman Republican Task Force on Foreign Policy and for Republican Members of the Foreign Affairs and Intelligence Committees, as well as a number of the Republicans on our target list; - Met with Representative Dan Mica to plan a similar effort on the Democratic side, to begin with a briefing for all the target Democrats on Monday, October 17; and - Drafted various alternative amendments Robinson can offer, obtained inter-agency, White House and NSC clearance, and passed the amendments to Robinson. Thus far, Department officials sharing in this effort have personally spoken with 27 of the 44 Members on our key target list. The initial results show a slight shift in our favor since the July vote, and a large number of undecided. Of seven Republicans contacted who voted against us in July, three report they are still leaning against (Boehlert, NY; Jeffords, VT; and McKernan, ME); three are now leaning for us (Coughlin, PA; Horton, NY; and Zschau, CA); and one is undecided (Schneider, RI). Of eight Democrats contacted, who were "soft E) DC' C 3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 UNCLASSIFIED (SECRET Attachments) -2- opponents"-in July (showing a mixed voting pattern but against us on the final vote), four now claim they are undecided, and four are leaning against. We have asked all officers making these calls to complete them by Tuesday, October 18. In addition, these initial calls indicate that higher level follow-ups would be useful or necessary in a number of cases. We are planning to hold an IG Working Group meeting on Monday afternoon to decide in detail which follow ups are needed and at what level. We expect to have specific recommendations for participation by the White House, the Secretary, and you on Tuesday morning, October 18. In addition, we have scheduled meetings early next week with several of our key Democratic supporters (Representatives Fascell and Mica). Mica is inviting all 25 Democrats on our target list to a full briefing by representatives of ARA and the NSC. Jim Michel held a dry run of this briefing with Mica on Thursday. An impressive Nicaraguan defector will meet with the Members of the House Intelligence next week. We have also asked the Secretary or you to meet with the Members of the House Republican Task Force on Foreign Policy for a final high-level meeting with our supporters a day or two before the votP_is expected to take place. Attachments: Tab 1 - A copy of the Three Possible Amendments to Section 108 of H.R. 2968, fully cleared, provided to Mr. Robinson. Tab 2 - Information on our Central America Policy provided to all key Target Members and Supporters. Tab 3 - The Text of Draft Letter from the Secretary to all Members of the House. Tab 4 - The Package of Instructions and Briefing Materials provide to all Department Officials making the Calls on the Target Members,. including the Target List and Assigned Contacts. Drafted:H:GdeSantilla :jvm 10/14/83:x2 28 ARA t70 UNCLASSIFIED (SEL-ET Attacnments) Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 STAT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25 CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 - consideration of H.R. 2968, the intelligence authorization act for FY 19E4. At Tab 1 are three possible amendments to section 108 of H.R. 2968 to be introduced by Mr. Robinson. They are: --an amendment to strike section 108; --two versions of an amendment incorporating "strict reciprocity", i.e., the funds will not be cut off until the Nicaraguans stop supporting anti-government forces elsewhere in Central America as determined by a Presidential certification; --an amendment, patterned after one introduced by Mr. Mica, providing that section 108 shall take effect only when (1) Nicaragua has stopped its support for anti-government forces, (2) it has entered into a reciprocal and verifiable agreement with other governments of the region on the basis of the Contadora."21 points", and (3) the cessation of Nicaragua's support for anti-government forces and the entry into force of the agreement has been verified by the 011 OAS 64 the President. This last amendment should attract support from members who previously voted for the Boland-Zablocki proposal (H.R. 2760) because, since passage of H.R. 2760, the nations of the region adopted a Document of Objectives (the 21 points") calling for a verifiable agreement on cessation of support for anti-government forces. ???? ter- PSC reire.,3 Tab 3 provides suggested language for a motion to recommit. . Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 I ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00-M60244R000500120002-1 AI.. Amendment to H.R. 2968 Offered by Mr. Robinson i On page 5, strike out line 20 and all that follcws through line 3 on page 6. I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Amendment to H.R. 2968 Offered by Mr. Robinson On page 5, line 22, immediately after "Sec. 108., insert -"(a)." On page 6, between lines 3 and 41 insert the following: (Version 1) (b) The prohibition contained in subsection (a) shall not take effect if the President certifies and reports to the Chairman of the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence in the House and the Select Committee on Intelligence in the Senate that the Government of National Reconstruction of Nicaragua is continuing to provide support, including the furnishing of arms, personnel, training, command and control facilities and logistical support, to military and or paramilitary operations by anti-government forces in any country in Central America or the Caribbean. (Version 2) (b) The prohibition contained in subsection (a) shall not take effect until the President certifies and reports to the Chairman of the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence in the House and the Select Committee on Intelligence in the Senate that the Government of National Reconstruction of Nicaragua has ceased providing support, including the furnishing of arms, personnel, training, command and control facilities and logistical support, to military and or paramilitary operations by anti-government forces in any country in Central America or the Caribbean. (Differences between versions 1 and 2 are underlined] Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25 : CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 An.endment to H.R. 2968 Offered by Mr. Robinson On page 5, line 22, immediately after "sec. 108., insert On page 6, between lines 3 and 4, insert the following: (b) the prohibition contained in subsection (a) shall take effect when (1) the Government of National Reconstruction of Nicaragua has ceased its activities (including the furnishing of arms, personnel, training, command and control facilities and logistical support) in support of military or paramilitary operations by anti-government forces in any country in Central America or the Caribbean; (2) a reciprocal and verifiable agreement has entered into force among Government of National Reconstruction of Nicaragua and the other governments of the region on the basis of thekDocument of Objectives adopted on September 10, 1983, by the governments of Columbia, Mexico, Panama, Venezuela, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua; and (3) the cessation of such activities, and the entry into force of the agreement, has been verified by the General Assembly of the Organization of American States, or by the President of the United States in a report to the Congress. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 BRIEFING PACKAGE ON NICARAGUA-RELATED LEGISLATION Attached is material on Nicaragua designed for use with (and, as appropriate, by) congressmen and staffers. Items include: ?Mm .11M. Overview and talking points on importance of Nicaraguan resistance movement to goal of peaceful settlement in Central America. 7- History of US efforts to negotiate with Sandinistas. m?r4=11. Importance of Nicaraguan resistance to US policy goals. International law. Policy implications of curbs on covert action. Fears of expanded US role. Refutation of charges US supports Somocistas. Other pressures Sandinistas face. Socialist International letter urging Sandinistas to fulfill their promises. Accomplishments of anti-Sandinista guerrillas. Newspaper articles. Attachments: As stated. Doc #5638N Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Tne Nicaraguan nesisanue novement and the Search for Peace in Central America The achievement of a negotiated settlement to the current Central American conflicts is a key US policy objective in the region. There are now signs of movement toward this goal. A critical element in this improved climate has been signs of a changed attitude by the Sandinista regime in Nicaragua. This development has been fostered by the armed resistance movement now active in Nicaragua--a movement that poses a threat to vital Sandinista interests and impairs their capacity to spread revolution. At this critical juncture, however, the President is threatened with a loss of authorization to help the Nicaraguan resistance forces. If this happens, the movement toward a negotiated settlement stands to suffer a severe setback as the Sandinistas revert to their former intransigence. The removal of this incentive for negotiation of a peaceful settlement would invite continued, and even increased Nicaraguan support for insurgency and terrorism in neigHporing countries. It would also make it easier for the Sandinistas. with Cuban and Soviet assistance, to pursue the destabilization of governments friendly to the U.S. by providing a continued sanctuary within Nicaragua for subversives from other Central American countries. Reducing the prospects for successful negotiations and diminishing the impediments to Nicaraguan support for neighboring insurgencies would undermine U.S. foreign policy objectives and important security interests in Central America. The attached point paper spells out in greater detail the relationship between US security interests and hope for a negotiated settlement on the one hand, and the pressure being brought to bear by the Nicaraguan resistance movement on the other. I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Nicaraguan support for subversion and terrorism in neighboring countries is a fact. This support is carried out under the active direction of Cuba and the Soviet Union. ???? MO ONO, ONO MP 'MID OM. MEW The abundant and well-documented evidence for this is overwhelming. There can be few objective observers, in this country or abroad, who are unconvinced of Sandinista support for external subversion. The Democratic controlled House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence has consistently confirmed Nicaraguan and Cuban support for Central American guerrilla groups (see for example the Committee staff report of September 22, 1982 and the Committee report of May 13, 1983). Defectors from Nicaragua (Miguel Bolanos) and from the Salvadoran guerrillas (Alejandro Montenegro), as well as from Honduran terrorist groups, have confirmed the Sandinista role. (See Bolanos' interview in the June 19, 1983 Washington Post.) US human and technical intelligence means have provided additional detail and confirmation. I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 ino ' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25 : CIA-RDPOOM00244R000500120002-1 _ the continuing turmoil and instability in Central America, undermining basic U.S. security interests and foreign policy objectives. Central America's stability and development can best be realized through democracy, reform, human freedom and equitably distributed economic growth. As opposed to these goals, the leftist guerrillas now operating in the region represent forces of political repression, a one-party state, militarization, and close ties to the Soviet Bloc. 41= History shows it is difficult to defeat a guerrilla movement with a geographically proximate sanctuary, command and control center and source of resupply. Nicaragua serves these purposes for the Salvadoran guerrillas. As long as this situation continues, the U.S. faces an open-ended cycle of violence and turmoil throughout Central America, the potential for a flood of refugees, and a direct threat to U.S. national security resulting from increased Soviet/Cuban military and political presence in the region. . Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 tel Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 neighboring countries, it must realize that it support for .terrorism and subversion gives rise to countervailing pressures that threaten the Sandinistas' own national interests. ? Since early in their rule, the Sandinistas have demonstrated that they share with the USSR and Cuba a deep ideological commitment to spread Marxist revolution. 41?11? ?M11. Financial, military, and political support from the Soviet Bloc, radical Arabs, and others have given the Sandinistas immunity from conventional diplomatic/economic pressures as they subvert their neighbors. The history of US bilateral aid is illustrative: we gave the Sandinistas $118 million in direct assistance before cutting off aid due to Sandinista support for Salvadoran insurgency. This had no deterrent effect. Similarly, we offered to restore aid if the Sandinistas stopped exporting subversion. This, too, failed to sway them. Over the past several months, however, the Sandinistas have had to face, for the first time, a threat to their internal control in the form of an armed resistance movement opposed to Sandinista external and internal policies. The pressure generated by this ? movement offers the best hope yet of shaking the Sandinistas from their single-minded support for region-wide revolution and bringing them to the negotiating table. I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 ?I? OMB Wm, The pressure that has been generated has begun to produce signs of a possible agreement between Nicaragua and its neighbors. Removal of pressure would undercut the negotiating process and thereby diminish prospects for democratic reforms and stability in the region. On July 19, Sandinista Junta Coordinator Ortega announced a six-point peace plan which, though flawed, included for the first time Nicaragua's acceptance of multilateral negotiations as well as an end to arms trafficking and training in support of subversive movements; an end to arms supplies to both sides in El Salvador (admission that guerrillas receive outside arms); withdrawal of foreign military bases and end to joint military exercises. A few days later, Cuban Premier Castro admitted the presence of Cuban security advisers in Nicaragua; implied that under certain circumstances he would be willing to withdraw advisers and end arms shipments to Nicaragua; recognized the multilateral nature of Central American problems and the need for concessions from all sides; and said Cuba would support elections with guarantees in El Salvador. Most significantly, the Contadora process -- which the US strongly backs -- has resulted in a September agreement among participating parties (the Contadora Four: Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Venezuela; plus Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua) on a 21-point Document of Objectives to serve as a framework for regional peace. According to Colombian President Betancur, the document has been ratified by all Central American governments. Ambassador Stone has held two meetings with the Salvadoran left, and representatives of the Salvadoran left have met twice with the Government of El Salvador's Peace Commission. These initial moves toward a possible peaceful settlement, following a long period of intransigence by the Sandinistas and their Cuban mentors, must be attributed to the pressures being felt from the determined resistance of neighboring countries to Nicaraguan-sponsored subversion, the demonstrated capacity of the United States to assist these threatened nations and, most significant, to the pressures being brought on the Sandinistas by the Nicaraguan resistance movement. It is only the resistance movement that poses a direct threat to Sandinista domination of Nicaragua. This movement is therefore the strong incentive for the negotiation of a political settlement in Central America. Denying the President authority to assist this movement risks undercutting this hopeful trend toward Nicaraguan willingness to negotiate. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 HISTORY OF U.S. POLICY ON TALKING TO THE NICARAGUANS The United States has been the target of repeated charges, levelled by the Sandinista regime that it is uninterested in dialogue. In fact, the United Stated has been willing to discuss issues of mutual concern with the Sandinistas since before they came to power in July 1979. We have manifested this willingness to talk with concrete action. The record of our unrequited overtures demonstrates beyond any doubt the falsity of Sandinista charges that the U.S. lacks interest in discussions. It proves, in fact, that it is the Sandinistas who have stymied all attempts at meaningful consultation. The United States, the Central American democracies, and other members of the hemispheric community have made repeated attempts to engage Nicaragua in a dialogue that would address the concerns of every country in the region, including Nicaragua's stated major concerns, guaranteed security for its borders and the creation of conditions which would permit the Sandinistas to abide by the commitment to democratic pluralism they made to their people and the international community at their accession to power. The following are bilateral and multilateral approaches to Nicaragua in which the United States has participated: 41M. MED WM. ??=1. ???? 0?111k in 1978, the United States participated in a three-nation mission of 'friendship and reconciliation under OAS auspices in an effort to find a peaceful solution to the conflict in Nicaragua. after the fall of Somoza in 1979, the United States for nearly two years used economic assistance and diplomatic support to encourage the Sandinistas to respect their commitments to political pluralism, free elections, a mixed economy, and a non-aligned foreign policy; in August 1981, after Nicaragua had secretly but massively supported guerrilla warfare in El Salvador, the United States presented a five point peace proposal to the Sandinistas; in April 1982, the United States presented the Sandinistas an eight point proposal to solve regional problems; in October 1982, the United States, along with seven other regional democracies, signed the San Jose Declaration; Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 - 2 - today, the United States is encouraging the multilateral efforts of the Contadora group as it has since they started in January 1983. Equally clear and consistent has been the response of the Government of Nicaragua. The Sandinistas have: ONO MED increased their armed forces from 14,000 to 70,000; received 2,000 Cuban military advisers, as well as smaller numbers of Soviet and Eastern European bloc security personnel; .reneged on their promises of early elections, repressed moderate opposition groups, and initiated the establishment of a state aligned with and modeling itself after the Soviet Union; in conjunction with Cuba, provided active military support to guerrilla groups in El Salvador; All of these actions were taken or begun during the regime's first 18 months, despite the U.S. policy to achieve an accommodation with the new government. The only -ones who pushed Nicaragua into the arms of Cuba and the USSR were the Sandinista leaders themselves. In addition, the Sandinistas: =11?4?=1 ??=0 41=. ?Mm. MMio rejected our August 1981 proposal; failed to give a substantive reply to our April 1982 proposal; refused to consider the October 1982 San Jose Declaration as a basis for further discussions; refused for many months to give serious attention to their neighbors' proposals in the Contadora process. This is a history of Nicaraguan intransigence -- an illustration of the clear intent of the Sandinistas to push aside efforts at negotiated peace while pursuing single-mindedly their goal of region-wide revolution. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Importance of Nicaraguan Resistance to U.S. Policy Goals U.S. objectives in Central America are peace and stability, avoidance of communist or other hostile regimes, and internal systems characterized by healthy economies, democratic institutions, and observance of human rights and freedoms. These objectives are shared by the overwhelming majority of nations in the region. The Administration's policy toward Central America consists of four elements directed specifically at those goals. These elements are: support for democracy, reform, and human freedom; support for economic development; support for dialogue and negotiation; and provision of the security shield necessary for the other three elements to prosper. The Sandinista regime in Nicaragua, on the other hand, represents virtually the diametrical opposite of the goals shared by the US and friendly nations of the region. The Sandinistas have: Purposefully undermined peace and stability by providing material and logistical support to insurgent and terrorist groups in neighboring states while building up the most powerful conventional military machine Central America has ever seen. Rejected, until very recently, repeated attempts by the US and their neighbors to engage them in meaningful negotiations. Even now, the Sandinistas' grudging acceptance of some of the generally recognized principles of negotiated settlement is far from clear proof they have changed their ways. Instituted a repressive internal system featuring one-party rule, tight media controls and other curbs on political and civil rights, while aligning themselves closely to the USSR and Cuba. Proved willing to sacrifice their own citizens' economic well-being in favor of a huge military build-up, while at the same time abetting the destruction of the Salvadoran economy through their support for the Salvadoran guerrillas. I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 - 2 - In their four years of rule in Nicaragua, marked by the policies outlined above, the Sandinistas have proved beyond dispute that they are a force for destabilization abroad and repression at home. Until they stop subverting their neighbors, there can be no peace in Central America and, hence, no realization of US policy goals. Moreover, the Sandinistas have proven impervious to all attempts to get them to modify their behavior through persuasion, diplomatic pressure or economic assistance. Only since they have come under direct attack from the armed Nicaraguan resistance movement has there been any evidence of a willingness to consider change. This evidence, however, is too tenuous to give grounds for optimism. The pressure of the resistance forces must continue if there is to be meaningful change in Sandinista policies. Doc #5569N I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 INTERNATIONAL LAW Every State has the right under internaional law to defend itself against attempts by another State to assist insurgent groups in its territory, and furthermore has the right to seek and receive support from friendly countries in doing so. The right of individual and collective self-defense is specifically recognized by the U.N. Charter and the Rio Treaty. Each American state has a duty under the Rio Treaty and the OAS Charter to assist other American States in defending themselves against aggression. - - This principle of international law clearly applies to what is happening in Central America. The governments of Cuba and Nicaragua have been engaging in a serious and sustained effort to overthrow the government of El Salvador through the direction, support and infiltration of arms to insurgents in that country. Much of this infiltration has violated the territory and sovereignty of Honduras as well. All of this clearly amounts to an armed attack under international law. El Salvador and Honduras have a clear right to defend themselves against this armed attack, and the United States has a clear right to assist them in collective self-defense. Doc #5637N Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 STAT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Pears of Expanded U.S. Role There are concerns that armed opposition activities in Nicaragua will lead that country to strike at neighbors blamed for harboring these elements thus touching off a general war leading to US involvement. While the risk of a wider conflict in this volatile region cannot be dismissed, the above scenario is not the only -- or even likeliest -- means by which this could occur. It must be remembered that Nicaragua, long before it encountered armed resistance, was bent on a course of aggression and destabilization against its neighbors, including long-time democracy Costa Rica. This activity on the part of the Sandinistas is the proximate cause of turning Central America into the sphere of tension and conflict that it is today. Thus, if left unchecked, Sandinista policies could sooner or later create a situation in which the US faced the choice of either allowing the Sandinistas and their Soviet/Cuban mentors a free hand, or intervening to stop them by force. Repeated conventional efforts to get the Sandinistas to stop interfering with their neighbors have been ineffective. Four years of Sandinista rule have demonstrated clearly that their pursuit of region-wide revolution will not be curbed by diplomatic or economic leverage. Proposals for physically interrupting Sandinista support for insurgency carry serious risks. The House of Representatives Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, in its May 13, 1983 report on H.R. 2760, recommended U.S. assistance to friendly Central American countries for the purpose of enabling them to prevent infiltration of arms from Nicaragua or Cuba. The same report pointed out, however, that much of this effort could involve use of US military personnel. The Nicaraguan opposition movement offers a middle ground -- a realistic prospect for modifying Sandinista behavior short of direct US intervention. (The effects the opposition is having are spelled out elsewhere in this package.) If the opposition -- through lack of external support or otherwise -- ceased to be a factor, it can be taken for granted that the Sandinistas would be encouraged in their aggressive designs. Once again Central America would be on a course leading to a US choice of direct intervention or unacceptable strategic losses. Doc #5575N Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 IS THE U.S. SUPPORTING A RETURN OF SOMOCISMO? There are three Nicaraguan opposition groups: the Nicaraguan Democratic Force (FDN), the Democratic Revolutionary Alliance (ARDE), and the MISURA Revolutionary Front (Miskito, Sumo, and Rama indians). All three of these groups have grown in response to Sandinista abuses. They are not creatures of - Somocismo or of the U.S. Critics have charged that the FDN is a 'Somocista* group, and that the U.S. seeks to replace the GRN with a Somoza-style government. Although the FDN includes some officers and enlisted men from the Somoza-era National Guard, its National Directorate includes only one Guard officer - Enrique Bermudez - whom even,the GRN admits was not implicated in any illegal activity. The other Directorate members are people who had opposed Somoza and who had worked for his removal from power. Several had worked with the Sandinistas before the latter began to betray their original promises to Nicaragua. While all FDN officers are former Guard officers, some of the non-commissioned officers and the vast majority of the FDN enlisted men have no National Guard background. It is noteworthy that at least seventy former Guardsmen are in the Sandinista army; the first Sandinista Minister of Defense also was a former Guard officer. Furthermore, the FDN has called for the establishment of democratic institutions in Nicaragua. In January 1983, it proposed the revocation of the state of emergency, the . separation of the public administration from partisan political activities, and the convocation of internationally-supervised elections in Nicaragua by September 1983. The claim that, first, the FDN is Somocista, and second, that it has no real support in Nicaragua, is heard more outside Nicaragua than inside. For example, in March 1983, two U.S. reporters travelled with FDN guerrillas in Nicaragua. Their reports attested to the level of their support in the countryside, in the same areas that once supported Sandino. The U.S. does not seek a Somocista-style government in Nicaragua. The U.S. gave ample support to the mediation efforts in 1978 and 1979 to remove Somoza from power. The U.S. gave economic and diplomatic support to the new government that took power, which promised to respect democracy and to follow a non-aligned foreign policy. We hope that our use of pressure will result in a government more willing to respect the rights of its neighbors and its citizens. doc.5178N . Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 OTHER PRESSURES THE SANDINISTAS FACE -- The U.S. is not alone in applying pressure - be it military, economic, or diplomatic - to bear on the Sandinistas. Other countries are concerned about Sandinista support for subversion and attacks on pluralism. These countries have taken steps that complement our policy. -- The Contadora countries - Mexico, Panama, Colombia, and Venezuela - pressured Nicaragua for months to accept the principle of multilateral negotiations. They then worked on Nicaragua to accept a statement of objectives (the twenty-one points). They will now pressure Nicaragua to accept a final agreement, including meaningful verification measures. -- In July, four Socialist International (SI) leaders sent a letter to the Sandinistas criticizing their record on elections and democracy. The letter underscored SI and Western European concern about the Marxist orientation of the Sandinistas. Because the Sandinistas had considered the SI to be a firm supporter, the letter caused great concern in the _Nicaraguan government. -- In a similar vein, donations and other foreign assistance from Western Europe and third world countries has fallen short of Sandinista expectations. West Germany has announced that it will not fund new assistance programs for Nicaragua. Other donors are also concerned about the tacit support such assistance implies for Sandinistas' policies. -- Even Mexico, which has been the Contadora country most friendly toward Nicaragua, recently imposed stricter repayment terms on Nicaraguan oil imports. Under the previous terms, Mexican oil subsidies had reached about t120 million in 1982. This move by Mexico, along with our recent reduction in the U.S. sugar quota for Nicaragua, will add to the government's economic difficulties. doc.5571N 10/6/83 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Informal Translation of Socialist International Leadership Letter to Nicaraguan Leaders Esteemed friends: July 19 will be the fourth anniversary of the fall of the Somoza dictatorship and the triumph of the Nicaraguan Revolution. That day was greeted by all social democratic men and women as the end of a nightmare of suffering, human rights violations and wars endured by that small, great country that is Nicaragua. It is a page of history which will be recorded always as a positive event in itself and charged with profound transcencrence for Latin America. Likewise, from a hope and a historic ambition that belonged legitimately to the Nicaraguan people it was considered (also) as .the patrimony of all Latin Americans who love liberty, peace and the independence of their people in the face of whatever form of dictatorship, of oppression and of internal or external dependence. That was what was called and continues to be called the original goals of the revolution, based fundamentally in democratic pluralism, the existence of a mixed economy and an international policy of non-alignment. We ally ourselves fully with this original goal of the revolution, we launch campaigns in all directions and we will continue to have firm confidence that this is the best for Nicaragua, for Latin America and for the world. Four years later we reaffirm our support for the Revolution in Nicaragua and in order not to fall into any of the temptations that we denounce of intervention in the internal affairs of your country, which to us seems illegitimate regardless of where it comes from, this letter only contains our concern over the worsening of the situation in the Central American region and in Nicaragua, and our profound conviction that the fulfillment of the original goal will contribute decisively to peace -- which is once again absent in Nicaragua and more threatened than ever in the region -- and to the happiness of your people. We consider ourselves friends of the Nicaraguan revolution. Friends sometimes less appreciated for not being dependent upon any external purpose of our own conscience for men who believe in Democratic Socialism, in the self-determination of peoples, in freedom and in Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 peace. Considering ourselves such, and not wanting to play anyone else's game, we privately write you and believe our duty--in this difficult moment--to risk asking yoy_ that, in fulfillment of the original project you decide upon, on the fourth anniversary of the Revolution, the proclamation of the Political Parties Law, the Electoral Law, the ruling that guarantees freedom of speech, and the summons for free elections next year, 1984. Facing the already unsustainable crises of growing confusion and tension, a bold initiative like the one we are fraternally asking you for, would rescue international public opinion, strengthen the actions of the liberal sector of the United States, particularly the decisions of the Congress of that country to stop all kind of military actions, direct or indirect against Nicaragua. Moreover, it is necessary for the Nicaraguan Revolution to receive again international cooperation and solidarity. As we have aleady pointed out, it would do no more than develop the project that the triumphant Nicaraguan peoples' Revolution offered to your people and to the world. Within this climate, the efforts of the Contadora Group could achieve the full channeling toward the solutions that Latin America hopes for. ? Whatever happens, we will always condemn and will oppose the use of force, and consequently, we will defend the the right of the Nicaraguans, and the right of all people, to live in peace. Willy Brandt , Felipe Gonzalez Carlos Andres Perez Daniel Oduber I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF THE ANTI-SANDINISTA GUERRILLAS -- 'Popular Support: The tnree major anti-Sandinista tiroups have about 11,000 armed members, while the Sandinistas have about 70,000 in the Nicaraguan army, reserves, and militia. Despite their inferior numbers, the guerrillas have been able to grow and to penetrate deep in government-controlled territory, relying upon popular support in some areas, and upon tacit acceptance in others. -- Arms Flow to El Salvador: In September, the guerrillas attacked an arms transshipment point in Estero de Padre Ramos. Nicaragua (reported in the September 21 issue of the Washington Post). Salvadoran guerrillas continue to receive arms as well as other assistance from Nicaragua, but some Salvadoran guerrillas have asserted that FDN actions have delayed or cancelled some arms shipments. -- Attacks on Economic Targets: In September, FDN commandos successfully disabled the Puerto Sandino offshore tanker-pipeline hookup. Later that month, ARDE forces successfully attacked and destroyed power transmission towers. -- Nicaragua's New Diplomatic Stance: In July, the Sandinistas announced for the first time that they would accept multilateral discussions with their nieghbors in the Contadora Group. In September, they accepted the Contadora twenty-one points. These positive developments were the product of a series of military, diplomatic, and economic pressures applied on the Sandinistas. The anti-Sandinista guerrilla movements are an essential part of this process. 'Nicaraguan Opposition: Similarly, the Sandinistas have reacted to these pressures by relaxing some restrictions on the legal opposition groups. An opposition political party and a trade union were allowed to hold public conventions, and the government has largely refrained from attacking the private sector. We believe this to be a tactical shift for the Sandinistas, but it reflects the concern that the anti-Sandinistas have generated within the government. doc.5568N 10/6/83 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/25: CIA-RDP00M00244R000500120002-1 fgZaPP- i 1.W. ti 2 5 E 21?2 VeS5V t X eUtiE "tr;v,t5E ez.'