FINDING THE BAD ACTORS IN A WORLD OF CHEMICALS

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March 1, 1984
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 NewsReport National Academy of Sciences Institute of Medicine National Academy of Engineering National Research Council STAT Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 2 News Report NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Frank Press, President James D. Ebert, Vice President Bryce Crawford Jr., Home Secretary Walter A. Rosenblith, Foreign Secretary Elkan R. Blout, Treasurer NATIONAL ACADEMY OF ENGINEERING Robert M. White, President Stephen D. Bechtel, Jr., Chairman Ralph Landau, Vice President Harold Liebowitz, Home Secretary N. Bruce Hannay, Foreign Secretary Frederic A. L. Holloway, Treasurer INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE Frederick C. Robbins, President NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL Frank Press, Chairman Robert M. White, Vice Chairman A directory of principal officers and staff of the National Research Council is available on written request to the Committee Membership Records Office, JH 304. News Report is a magazine featuring activities of Editor of News Report: Barbara Jorgenson the National Academy of Sciences, National Assistant Editor: Pepper Leeper Academy of Engineering, Institute of Staff Writers: David Jarmul, Gail Porter, Medicine, and National Research Council. Judith Rensberger News Report (ISSN 0027-8432) is published Production Associate: Patricia Worns monthly except for combined May June and July-August issues by the National Academy of Sciences, 2101 Constitution Avenue N.W., Washington, D.C. 20418. Second-class postage is paid at Washington, D.C. Back issues and back volumes can be ordered from University Postmaster: Send address changes to Microfilms International, 300 North Zeeb News Report, National Academy of Sciences, Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48106. Washington, D.C. 20418. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Volume XXXIV Number 3 Finding the Bad Actors in a World of Chemicals Page 4 Artist: Antonia Walker News Report 4 Finding the Bad Actors in a World of Chemicals Large gaps in toxicity data 11 Groundwater Contamination Prevention beats costly cleanups 15 Ozone and the Atmosphere Better models tell a less drastic story 19 Looking for Potential Assassins Clues from the behavioral sciences 22 Engineering Research Centers University-industry cooperation 24 Touch as a Substitute for Hearing Tactile devices complement lipreading ACTIVITIES 25 U. S. Technology Keeping it in friendly hands 27 Science and Creationism Neu, booklet will go to educators 28 Teaching Doctors About Nutrition Learning to prevent as well as cure 28 Math and Science Education Research to aid learning 29 Transportation Professionals Is a shortage imminent? DEPARTMENTS 30 Brief Takes . . . Transportation and the environment 31 Items ... New publications, meetings ILLUSTRATIONS 7 National Research Council 12 USDA-Soil Conservation Service 24 Gallaudet College and City University of N.Y Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 4 News Report "... of tens of thousands of commercially important chemicals, only a few have been subjected to extensive toxicity testing and most have scarcely been tested at all. " Finding the Bad Actors in a World of Chemicals by Pepper Leeper CHEMICALS SURROUND the average American. A typical day is likely to start with a cup of decaffeinated coffee and a slightly charred slice of toast spread with hydrogenated vegetable oil and end on a mattress filled with synthetic fiber. In between, Mr. or Ms. Doe may drive a car fueled with refined petroleum, handle paper and ink processed with chemicals, eat food grown with the aid of fertilizers and pesticides, swallow vitamins or prescription drugs, apply aftershave or cosmetics, or drink an artificially sweetened bever- age. More than 5 million chemicals have been described in the chemical literature. A few are known to be hazardous to humans; an overwhelming majority of them probably are not. But identifying which is which and deter- mining the severity of the risk so that exposure to the most toxic substances can be controlled is a gigantic task that will occupy toxicologists for many decades. In fact, new chemicals are being developed so rapidly that there will Toxicity Testing: Strategies to Determine Needs and Priorities, Steering Committee on Identification of Toxic and Potentially Toxic Chemicals for Consideration by the National Toxicology Program, Board on Toxicology and Environmental Health Hazards (1984, 400 pp.; ISBN 0-309-03433-7; available from National Academy Press, $22.50). Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 probably never be a time when information is available on the toxicity of every chemical in use. The awesome responsibility of selecting and testing potentially toxic chemicals has been assigned to the National Toxicology Program (NTP), a federal agency established in 1978 within the Department of Health and Human Services. Federal agencies such as the Environmental Protection Agency or the Food and Drug Administration, state governments, univer- sities, industries, and individuals propose some 500 candidate chemicals a year. NTP reviews the data and decides which chemicals should be tested further and what tests would increase understanding of the hazards. To assist it in developing a process for handling so many chemicals, the NTP turned to the Research Council. A study committee began work in 1980 and recently completed its third and final report. The committee organized into a steering committee and three subcommittees to handle different parts of the study. Many Gaps in Knowledge After collecting and reviewing the toxicity-data available for a sample representing most of the chemicals in common use, the committee concluded that "of tens of thousands of commercially important chemicals, only a few have been subjected to extensive toxicity testing and most have scarcely been tested at all." For many years, certainly since adoption of the Toxic Substances Control Act in 1976, common wisdom has held that very little is known about most widely used chemicals. The committee's search for data has documented this assumption. Chairman of the Research Council steering committee James L. Whit- tenberger, a specialist in environmental medicine with the Southern Occupa- tional Health Center, University of California, Irvine and Los Angeles, was not surprised by the findings. "The study quantified what we strongly sus- pected. Scientists in the field usually could not find the information they needed." Other members of the steering committee agreed. "For the first time we have numbers and scientific estimates of the need instead of global, fuzzy estimates," John Doull, a toxicologist with the University of Kansas Medical Center and a subcommittee chairman, said. "Now we know where we're at." Physician and pathologist Arthur Upton of the Institute ofEnvironmen- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 6 News Report tal Medicine, New York University Medical Center, and another subcommit- tee chairman, observed that "the report brings out forcefully the paucity of information about the toxicity of most chemicals -and there are enormous numbers in environmental use. We know almost nothing about the majority of them." John C. Bailar, a physician and biostatistician with the Harvard School of Public Health, also saw "substantial significance" in the report's highlight- ing the magnitude of the problem. "There is an enormous task facing us despite the best efforts of toxicologists and others to keep ahead," he said. The volume of work remaining does not negate what has already been done, he explained. That work has been "well-targeted" and some of it has been "su- perbly done," he commented. Data on human exposure are even harder to find than data on health hazards. "You can't do a proper risk "There is an enormous task assessment without both types of in- facing us . . . " formation -biological effects on the human body and the amount of human exposure," Whittenberger pointed out. "We were able to get very little information on human exposure." The report describes the need this way: "On the great majority of the substances, data considered to be essential for conducting a health-hazard assessment are lacking. " The committee concluded that "substantial testing or retesting remains to be performed for all categories of substances." Pesticides, Drugs Most Tested Specifically, the committee found that pesticides and drugs have under- gone the most testing. Complete health hazard assessments are possible for about 10 percent of pesticides and 18 percent of drugs and the inert ingredients mixed with them (see figure p. 7). However, even in these much-tested groups, the unknowns outweigh the knowns, leaving 38 percent of pesticides and 25 percent of drug ingre- dients without any available data. Least is known about the large numbers of chemicals in commerce - substances listed in the Toxic Substances Control Act inventory that do not fall in any other categories. Minimal toxicity information exists for only about 20 percent, while practically nothing is known about the hazards of exposure to the remaining 80 percent. The committee also found no relationship between the amount of chemical production and testing. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Pesticides and Inert Ingredients of Pesticide Formulations Drugs and Excipients 1,815 Used in Drug Formulations Chemicals in Commerce: At Least 1 Million Pounds/Year Chemicals in Commerce: Less than 1 Million Pounds/Year Chemicals in Commerce: Production Unknown or Inaccessible Complete Health Hazard Assessment Possible Partial Health Hazard Assessment Possible Minimal Toxicity Information Available Some Toxicity Information Available (But below Minimal) Ability to conduct health-hazard assessment of substances in seven categories of select universe. No Toxicity Information Available Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 8 News Report "Chemicals in commerce produced in quantities of 1 million pounds or more . . . have not been tested more often or more adequately than those produced in smaller quantities," the committee pointed out. Another phase of the committee's work involved evaluating the quality of the data available. The committee found that the simpler, more straight- forward tests for acute effects-eye and skin irritation and oral administration in rodents, for example -were more often of higher quality than were the more complex chronic tests. Frequently, the committee reported, important but difficult tests of central nervous system, reproductive, or genetic damage were not performed at all. Furthermore, of 664 toxicity tests evaluated, the committee judged only 27 percent acceptable. "The committee adopted very stringent standards," Doull pointed out. "We were very critical." The committee's search for and evaluation of data ended in the realiza- tion that not very much is known. But Emil A. Pfitzer, a toxicologist with Hoffmann-LaRoche Inc., Nutley, N.J., and Doull's vice chairman, thinks the exercise produced a useful tool for NTP. By identifying testing needs, the committee has developed a valuable data base that can be modified and revised as additional data become available or as judgment about test procedures change. "This is important," said Pfitzer, "because all data were not available to the study and because scientists may differ in their judgment about testing procedures." This listing, he added, is "a significant strength" of the report. Priority-Setting System Tackling the roster of chemical unknowns is like trying to load a ton of grain with a teaspoon. The prospect is overwhelming. Noted the committee: "The number of commercially used chemicals far exceeds that which can be evaluated at any one time for potential toxicity with available methods and resources. " To extract the greatest return from its limited resources, NTP must be sure that the worst chemical actors are tested first and that the tests are the right ones to elicit the data needed. Duplicate or unnecessary tests waste money. These decisions are particularly important because testing is expen- sive, the committee said, noting that a lifetime bioassay of one chemical could cost up to $1 million. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Marrh 1984 9 The main objective, Whittenberger explained, is "to avoid surprises- to learn in advance about potential hazardous effects and not have another chemical come along like PCB, which we learned about long after the fact." Traditionally at NTP, decisions have been based on expert judgment and this must continue, the committee said. "Simply put, not enough is known about chemical hazards to specify a purely mechanical system." But the committee advised that human judgment be reserved for the end of the process and that an automated procedure be employed for initial screening of data banks related to the universe of chemicals. "An ideal system would be capable not only of dealing with a relatively small number of chemicals nominated to NTP by agencies -as in current practice-but also of dealing with a much larger number of chemicals in the total select universe of concern," the committee declared. It proposed a four- stage process as "a plausible extension of [NTP's] current practice" and sug- gested a pilot demonstration to kick off the changes. Upton thought this approach would prove to be helpful to NTP. "Our recommendation was that in theory NTP can scan the universe systemati- cally," he said. "In the current method of selection there is no systematic effort to look at the whole universe of chemicals. " "The committee's classification of chemicals by their intended use will aid NTP by making it possible to channel priorities for further testing into areas of greatest need," Pfitzer pointed out. Getting a Handle on the Study With 5 million possible chemicals to choose from, the committee's first hurdle was to select a manageable list of representative chemicals. Drawing on registers prepared by several regulatory agencies, the Bailar subcommittee compiled a list of 65,725 chemicals in seven categories: pesticides, cosmetics, drugs, food additives, and chemicals in commerce. The latter category was divided according to annual production figures, i.e. 1 million pounds or more, less than 1 million pounds, or production unknown. From this "select universe," the committee drew a sample of 675 chemicals and eventually a random subsample of 100 chemicals for which at least a minimum amount of toxicity data were available. A manageable subsample in hand, the Doull subcommittee went to work to determine how much information already is known about the toxicity and exposure levels of the chemicals and how much more testing needs to be Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 10 News Report done. To accomplish this, they searched the literature and collected data on each substance. Working in tandem with the Bailar group, they estimated the number of chemicals for which no data exists. This group also evaluated the quality of toxicity tests used to generate the data. Finally, the Upton subcommittee developed the four-stage process that NTP might adopt for screening chemicals and setting priorities for testing. "The committee examined many priority-setting systems," Whitten- berger said, "but decided it could not recommend a single system." Public Significance But what does all of this mean to Mr. and Ms. Doe, who continue to ingest, inhale, and absorb thousands of chemicals in their everyday activities? Initially, it will make little difference. However, over time, the commit- tee's recommendations may facilitate NTP's task so that more suspect chemi- cals are tested for toxicity. As more is learned about environmental hazards, decisions can be made from a base of knowledge either to limit use of a dangerous substance or to tolerate a minimal risk because of overriding bene- fits. Society is faced with just such a quandary in the use of nitrite-cured meats; the nitrite may promote cancer, yet it also protects against botulism. The report has revealed "a very real concern," Whittenberger said. He expressed the hope that the study would improve NTP's testing of chemicals suspected of endangering the public's health. Eventually, the environment should become safer for everyone. "I hope the people take these findings to heart and that we begin to fill in some of the huge gaps," Bailar said. "We need an overall substantial expansion of support, and now we can tell the public how big the task really is." Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Manrh 1984 11 Groundwater Contamination: Prevention Beats Costly Cleanups by Judith Rensberger LIKE TIMES BEACH AND LOVE CANAL, the case of Colorado's Rocky Mountain Arsenal is an environmental horror story. Thirty years of dumping chemical wastes into leaking evaporation ponds have poisoned the groundwa- ter for miles around, ruined crops, sickened livestock, and threatened public health. What makes Rocky Mountain Arsenal a bit different, however, is that it is also the site of a massive, state-of-the-art cleanup. The ambitious pilot program in "restoration" was said at one point to be proceeding "successfully," with the amount of contamination "significantly diminished." But recent estimates indicate that containment of toxic wastes at the arsenal-that is, merely holding the line and keeping the contamination from getting any worse - will cost at least $100 million, and the cost of total decontamination could easily exceed $1 billion. "The question of cost benefit trade-offs to society in these cases needs to be examined carefully," a Research Council report on groundwater contamina- tion points out; "some sites may prove to be so expensive to restore that they may have to be designated as permanently contaminated." The Research Council committee's report grew out of a December 1981 symposium on groundwater contamination. The Rocky Mountain Arsenal and six other well-documented examples of groundwater contamination were selected for detailed study because they illuminate particular scientific prob- lems in contaminant flow, waste disposal, and aquifer reclamation. Each case Groundwater Contamination. Geophysics Study Committee, Geophysics Research Forum (1984, 192 pp.; ISBN 0-309-03441-8; available from National Academy Press, $17.95). Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 12 News Report study is presented in an individually authored chapter in the report. The committee's own conclusions and recommendations are presented in a separate overview chapter. Wastes Threaten Groundwater The Rocky Mountain Arsenal is only one of 50,000 sites that have been used at some time for disposal of hazardous wastes. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has determined that 1,200 to 2,000 of them may pose a threat to the environment, and that more than 400 definitely do. The disposal of liquid and solid waste is not the only cause of groundwa- ter contamination, the Research Council report points out. A growing con- cern is the cumulative impact of smaller but more numerous "nonpoint" and "small point" sources such as domestic septic tanks, accidental industrial spills, and the intensive use of fertilizers, herbicides, and pesticides. The report cites estimates that between 0.5 and 2.0 percent of the groundwater in the United States may already be contaminated. Though the proportion is small, much of it is in the regions of heaviest reliance on groundwater. These facts underscore the urgency and importance of what the Research Council report identified as the number one challenge -to prevent ground- water contamination in the first place. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 March 1984 13 It can be done. Although waste disposal poses the greatest threat to groundwater, the report states, contamination is not inevitable. "The subsur- face can be used for waste repositories," the report states flatly. "If done with care, toxic wastes can be isolated from the biosphere for periods so long that they can be measured in terms of geologic time." The report suggests search- ing for disposal sites more diligently, investigating them more carefully, and segregating one type of waste from another. Toxic Liquids Enter Aquifer Rocky Mountain Arsenal's history of environmental degradation began in 1942 at a U.S. Army facility just outside Denver. Protecting groundwater was not the priority of the moment; the war effort was, and at the arsenal that meant manufacturing poison gases for use in chemical warfare. Later, a private chemical company leased the facility to make insecticides. The wastes from these operations-a toxic soup of complex organic and inorganic chemicals- went into an unlined evaporation pond. Four new ponds were dug to handle the overflow. In 1951, however, there came reports of crop damage from farmers north of the arsenal who had irrigated their fields with pumped groundwater. By 1954, a drought year, the damage was severe, and by 1956 it was apparent that an area of several square miles had been affected. The liquid wastes, it became clear, had seeped out of the evaporation disposal ponds into the underlying aquifer and then flowed downslope toward the South Platte River. Too Little Too Late In response, the Army dug a new 100-acre reservoir and lined it with asphalt. It was a case of too little too late, the case study suggests, "because large amounts of contaminants were already present, in and slowly migrating through the aquifer." The lining eventually failed anyway. The early seventies brought fresh claims of crop and livestock damage, and in 1975 the Colorado Health Department found a nerve gas byproduct- diisopropylmethylphosphonate (DIMP)-in a well eight miles away from the leaking disposal ponds and just one mile from the municipal water supply for the town of Brighton. In response to the health department's "cease and desist" orders, the Army began cleaning up the mess. Using geohydrologic data plus engineer- ing know-how, the Army developed an ambitious containment plan that Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 14 News Report finally became fully operational last year. It included a 6,800-foot barrier of trenches 25 to 50 feet deep, 54 wells to pump contaminated water out of the aquifer, a 36,000-gallons-per-hour treatment plant, and 38 reinjection wells to put the cleaned water back into the aquifer outside the arsenal boundaries. Safe Disposal Possible To prevent future cases like Rocky Mountain Arsenal, the Research Council's report makes four recommendations: 1. Because the scientific understanding of the chemistry and transport of contaminants in groundwater is inadequate to predict their movement reliably, more research is needed. For example, it is important to learn how groundwater flows through fractured rock; how microorganisms such as bac- teria might control chemical reactions; and how these, in turn, might affect the movement of contaminants. 2. Although information is incomplete, enough is already known to make a more thorough search for sites where the subterranean geologic properties are adequate for safe disposal of toxic wastes. These include huge basins that drain internally and therefore do not feed into streams or rivers that empty into the sea. Such basins are known to exist in parts of Nevada, Utah, and the surrounding areas, and it is believed that wastes placed there would remain isolated for many thousands of years. 3. The volume of toxic wastes now being generated would eventually overwhelm the ability to find new sites. To meet that likelihood, a strategy should be developed that would first segregate the wastes and then treat and dispose of each type separately. Separation is important because mixing wastes vastly complicates the problem of disposing of them safely. 4. And, finally, to deal with the "not-in-my-backyard" opposition to toxic waste disposal sites, state and national governments should work with industrial organizations to agree on disposal strategies for various classes of wastes. "The public must understand," the report says, "that use of the products of technology carries with it the responsibility for safe disposal of that technol- ogy's wastes." Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Matrh 1984 15 Better Models Tell A Less Drastic Story Ozone and the Atmosphere A NEW CHAPTER in the continuing saga of estimates of the effects of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) on atmospheric ozone has just been completed. As part of an ongoing program mandated by Congress, a Research Council com- mittee has again reviewed current scientific understanding of whether in- creases in CFCs will cause decreases in the upper atmosphere ozone that pro- tects the Earth from harmful ultraviolet radiation. Use of CFCs as propellants in aerosols has been banned in the United States, but the compounds are being used here in increasing quantities as foam-blowing agents and continue to be used in refrigeration systems. And while their use has not been restricted abroad, teams of legal and technical experts working under the auspices of the United Nations Environment Pro- gramme are reportedly near agreement on a "global framework convention" covering information exchange, research, and monitoring of any substance that might modify atmospheric ozone. In a protocol to the convention, the United States recently proposed a mandatory worldwide ban on nonessential uses of CFCs that parallels current U.S. regulations. The new Research Council study, funded by the Environmental Protec- tion Agency, examined the most recent laboratory, field, and mathematical modeling studies describing the atmospheric chemistry of ozone, as well as additional literature on the possible impact of increasing ultraviolet light on human health, plants, and marine life. The results: Two different kinds of models - one that considered only CFCs and another that took into account changes in a variety of trace gases- Causes and Effects of Changes in Stratospheric Ozone: Update 1983. (1984, 272 pp.; ISBN 0-309-03443-4; available from National Academy Press, $15.50). Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 16 News Report suggest less change in total stratospheric ozone than had previously been estimated. Specifically, atmospheric models that consider CFC concentrations alone predict a 2 to 4 percent reduction in stratospheric ozone by late in the next century. Equivalent estimates made by previous Research Council committees in 1982 and 1977 had predicted a 5 to 9 percent reduction and a 15 to 18 percent reduction, respectively. These latest measurements reveal Other models, which incorpo- rate the effects of both CFCs and such less ozone at higher altitudes in trace gases as nitrous oxide, methane, the stratosphere and more ozone and carbon dioxide, now predict that at lower altitudes. simultaneous changes in atmospheric concentrations of these gases could possibly cause an increase of about 1 percent in total stratospheric ozone over the next century. The committee noted, however, that the uncertainties in these models suggest that the result could range between an increase of a few percent to a decrease of as much as 10 percent. Better Models = Better Results Several factors account for these revised estimates. Most notably, the new calculations result from improved models that provide for simultaneous changes in several gases that affect ozone in the stratosphere. Also improved are the measurements fed into the models. For example, the committee noted that improved measurements now show that the distribution of ozone in the stratosphere is different than earlier studies had indicated. These latest measurements reveal less ozone at higher altitudes in the stratosphere and more ozone at lower altitudes. Better, too, are the field measurements of the concentrations of ozone and other gases, such as nitrogen oxides, methane, nitrous oxide, and carbon dioxide, at different atmospheric levels. These latter measurements, said the committee, indicate that the concentrations of both CFCs and these trace gases are increasing, a situation which may have substantial effects on atmos- pheric ozone in the future. In particular, the committee noted that the so-called greenhouse effect, a warming of the Earth's surface caused by increases in atmospheric CO2 and other gases, may produce a corresponding cooling of the stratosphere, where 95 percent of atmospheric ozone exists. Such a cooling would slow the rate of Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 We are updating our mailing list. If you wish to continue receiving News Report, please remove the mailing label from the back cover of your News Report and place it on the at- tached postage-paid card. Please include any change of address. RETURN BY APRIL 1, 1984 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Yes, I want to continue receiving News Report. (Place label here) NEW ADDRESS: RETURN BY APRIL 1, 1984 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 No Postage Necessary If Mailed In The United States BUSINESS REPLY MAIL Postage Will Be Paid By Addressee Office of Public Affairs National Academy of Sciences 2101 Constitution Avenue N.W. Washington, DC 20418 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 March 1984 17 chemical reactions that destroy ozone. "Thus the question of perturbations to ozone should not be considered separately from the issue of climatic alterations due to other trace gases such as carbon dioxide." According to the committee, detailed analyses of ozone concentrations from 1970 to 1980 have produced "no discernible trend" in the total amount of ozone in the atmosphere. Because an apparent decrease in ozone has been measured at an altitude of about 40 kilometers in the stratosphere, the com- mittee reasoned that this decrease must have been offset by increases in ozone at lower altitudes. In short, while the original premise that increases in CFCs alone would cause decreases in stratospheric ozone remains valid, the predicted effect of such increases has been greatly affected by more thorough understanding of the complexities of atmospheric processes. Health and Other Effects The second part of the committee's study examined the likely effects on humans, marine life, and plants of increases in ultraviolet radiation produced by a reduction in total ozone levels. To date, the committee noted, research has focused only on the effects of increasing ultraviolet radiation since earlier studies had concluded that ozone would, if anything, decrease, an assumption less certain in the face of the committee's latest findings. Ozone concentrations in the atmosphere are particularly important in determining the amount of ultraviolet light with wavelengths between 290 and 320 nanometers (UV-B) that reach the Earth's surface. Wavelengths in this range are necessary for the production of vitamin D for human bone metabolism. Yet these same wavelengths may also cause permanent damage to DNA or other proteins. Because the 1982 ozone report provided a comprehensive summary of the biological effects of UV-B exposure, the current report concentrated on new research in two rapidly advancing areas - malignant melanoma, an often-fatal skin cancer, and photoimmunology, the study of how light affects the immune system. "The incidence and mortality rates of malignant melanoma have risen consistently in the United States during the past five decades," said the com- mittee. "The rate of increase in mortality is now higher than that of any malignancy except cancer of the lung." The 1982 study found that even though incidence of the disease is greater in lower latitudes, the effects of Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 18 News Report sunlight in producing the disease were not clear. Research cited by the current committee supports the connection between sunlight and malignant melanoma. However, whether UV-B or some other wavelengths of sunlight are responsible for melanoma remains unknown. In 1982, laboratory research had recently demonstrated that exposure to UV-B radiation caused suppression of specific immune responses in animals. For example, UV-B-induced tumors that would normally have been rejected by healthy animals were shown to grow uninhibited following UV-B expo- sure. New data described in the current report has shown that UV-B radiation not only inhibits immune responses at the site of exposure, but also at "dis- tant, unexposed sites." The committee concluded that this "systemic" effect of UV-B radiation demonstrates that changes in immune responses are a primary reason that UV-B exposure produces skin cancer in animals. At least some of the immune-response changes noted in animals have also been observed in humans, said the committee. However, because the strength of immunologic changes due to UV-B exposure have not yet been measured, "implications for human health are not clear." Effects on plants, crops, and other vegetation from increased exposure to UV-B are even less well understood. In plants, UV-B exposure has been shown to stunt growth, reduce total leaf area, reduce production of dry matter, and inhibit photosynthesis, but major uncertainties remain about why some plants are more susceptible than others. One possible explanation is that some plants in the tropics have evolved a resistance to UV-B exposure by producing compounds in their leaves that absorb UV before it reaches the chlorophyll. All types of marine life from one-celled organisms to fish suffer effects of UV-B exposure, such as stunted growth and changes in reproduction, survi- val, and behavior. Once again, however, the committee pointed out that individual species differ "markedly" in their sensitivity to UV-B and "[t]he reasons for these differences remain unclear. " -GAIL PORTER and BARBARA JORGENSON Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Looking for Potential Assassins A NEW presidential campaign is under way, and with all the crowds, speeches, and hoopla comes the renewed threat of political assassination. The United States has endured a rash of shootings of presi- dents and would-be presidents during the past quarter century: the deaths of John and Robert Kennedy, the crippling of George Wallace, two attacks on Presi- dent Gerald Ford, and the shooting of President Ronald Reagan. During the coming months the U.S. Secret Service will be called upon to pro- tect the President, the Vice President, their families, former presidents, Demo- cratic presidential candidates, foreign heads of state visiting the Olympic Games in Los Angeles, and other desig- nated persons. An important part of the service's mis- sion is to identify and take precautions against potential killers before they strike. It is an extraordinarily difficult task. Agents must investigate each of 4,000 potentially dangerous individuals who are referred to the service each year, evaluate behavior that is sometimes bizarre, and decide in a limited time Reseanb and 7nunrn,~ fcr the Bernet Serrlce: Behar- toral Science and Alcntal Health Perspectites. Insti- tute of Medicine (1981, 77 pp.; available from the Institute; supply limited). whether a subject warrants further watching. A wrong judgment, such as the preliminary Secret Service evaluation in 1975 that Sara Jane Moore probably would not attack President Ford, can have dire consequences. The service's 1,600 agents typically have little formal training in mental health disciplines. However, it new re- port by an Institute of Medicine (IOM) committee suggests that the service can employ perspectives from the fields of behavioral science and mental health to improve agent effectiveness in a number of practical ways. The report follows it 1981 IOM confer- ence for the Secret Service in which ex- perts in psychology, criminology, medicine, and other fields discussed the potential usefulness to the service of their disciplines. The conference led the Secret Service, which is an agency within the Treasury Department, to establish an in-house research unit. The service also requested the IOM to form a study committee to make recommendations about how the service could improve re- search, training, and interaction with the mental health community. The committee, chaired by W Walter Menninger, director of the division of law and psychiatry at the Henninger Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 20 News Report Foundation in Topeka, Kansas, dealt only with the specific question of evaluat- ing and managing individuals who threaten the President or other protected persons. It did not address such other concerns as counteracting conspiratorial terrorism or changing the behavior of the President to limit risks. Mental Illness a Concern Of the 12 individuals in American his- tory who have attacked a president, all but the two Puerto Rican terrorists who tried to kill President Harry Truman in 1950 later were deemed to be mentally disturbed. The most recent known pres- idential assailant, John Hinckley, was found by a jury to be not guilty by reason of insanity. In fact, of the approximately 350 people that the Secret Service deems dangerous at any given time, 95 percent have histories of contact with the mental health sector. Predicting the likelihood that such persons will attack the President is an imperfect science at best. Psychiatrists and psychologists have tried to develop behavioral models of assassins, but the rarity of the event makes it impossible to validate these models directly. Secret Service agents therefore must base as- sessments of dangerousness on subjective judgments and experience. The report calls for research to help the Secret Service blend its extensive practi- cal experience with a more systematic understanding of human behavior, and for training to assist agents in making clinical assessments of possible danger- ousness. "The extremely grave consequences of assassination of governmental leaders re- quire that the Secret Service identify as precisely as it can the characteristics of those individuals who are most likely to attempt assassination," the report notes. It is difficult-if not impossible-to create an objective profile of likely assas- sins because the number of past assassins provides such a small research base from which to extrapolate a behavioral model. However, the report suggests ways in which the Secret Service research unit might be able to expand the research population, for example, by including persons apprehended before actually at- tacking a president or assassins of other public officials and celebrities. Studies could provide better under- standing of the degree to which such fac- tors as interest in harming a protected person, possession of weapons, ability to plan an attack, drug and alcohol abuse, mobility, or sudden loss of a family member or job indicate dangerousness. Identifying "assassin attributes" is just half of the problem. The other is to un- derstand better how agents presently as- sess suspects, and to train them to inte- grate empirical facts about dangerous- ness with their own experience and feelings. Like master medical diagnosti- cians, experienced agents also must learn to verbalize their decision-making pro- cess for study and analysis by others. Practical Training At the same time research is being conducted, the report recommends, agents need to receive more training about mental health concepts and skills relating to potentially violent people. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 They should be exposed to experienced clinicians, learn about clinical interview techniques, and become aware of the legal and ethical constraints on mental health professionals. They also need to learn about the episodic aspects of certain mental disorders and how these are af- fected by different medications, alcohol abuse, life stresses, and other factors. As far as possible during training, agents should interview and assess dangerous persons under the guidance of experienced colleagues and mental health clinicians. At the same time, however, the report warns trainers not to try to turn special agents into mental health practitioners. "Therapeutic and criminal justice goals and roles should be recognized as distinct from each other and no attempt should be made to divert special agents from their prime duty in law enforce- ment and guarding the safety of pro- tected persons," the report states. "Secret Service agents themselves are the most experienced persons in judging the dangerousness of potential assassins to their protected persons and they can look to mental health and behavioral scientists only to supplement, not supplant, their own judgments, skills, and resulting de- cisions." Improved contact with mental health professionals and behavioral science ex- perts should not be limited to training, the report recommends. It notes that while the overwhelming majority of-per- sons deemed dangerous by the Secret Service have had contact with mental health professionals, the Secret Service it- self lacks a continuing relationship with the mental health community. While contacts between agents and mental health experts will be constrained neces- sarily by ethics, confidentiality, and other factors, the report suggests that Secret Service field offices might establish pro- ductive working relationships with local mental health resources. -DAV11) JARnttf1. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 News Report Engineering Academy Aids NSF With Proposed Research Centers IN ITS FY 1985 BUDGET unveiled in Washington last month, the National Science Foundation (NSF) proposed the establishment of a group of cross- disciplinary research centers on univer- sity campuses around the country to strengthen both engineering research and education and to improve academic ties with America's industrial commu- nity. At a briefing on the proposed budget, Presidential Science Advisor George A. Keyworth singled out these so-called Engineering Research Centers as one of five priority areas, noting that they were to be established "with the aid of the Na- tional Academy of Engineering." The Academy's aid came in the form of a study, requested by the NSF in late De- cember and completed in mid-February. The NSF wanted advice on how to struc- ture the centers, how to select them, how much to fund them, how many to have and for how long, and how the new cen- ters should interact with industry. Guidelines Jr oEngineering Reseanh Centers. Na- tional Academy of Engineering (1984, 25 pp.; available from the Academy). The panel's report recommended that 25 centers be the goal, with perhaps 5 to 10 centers being established in the first year. Twenty-five, the panel explained, was "our best judgment as to the number of schools which can provide the disci- plinary breadth and can absorb the level of funding we envisage without distort- ing their over-all research programs." But an engineering school unable to sponsor its own center could still partici- pate as an "academic affiliate." By sharing faculty, cooperating in research, and working with the center in a number of ways, affiliates can make it possible for a center to exert a substantial regional im- pact, the report pointed out. Further, as panel chairman W. Dale Compton of Ford Motor Co. wrote in the report's preface, ". . . it is better to have fewer centers with sufficient funding rather than many with inadequate fund- ing." Core NSF funding, the panel esti- mated, would run from $2.5 to $5 mil- lion annually per center or about $100 million per year, not including stipends and tuition, at the end of a five-year de- velopment period. This amount, it ex- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 plained, was calculated to allow each of 25 centers to affect directly at least 10 percent of the master and doctoral en- gineering students in the center's home institution. A minimum faculty com- mitment of three full-time equivalent positions per center is also needed, said the panel. No single model was recommended. The panel envisioned a range of models, each sharing a primary emphasis on en- gineering research and mirroring unique combinations of local interests and capabilities." Both team research and research participation by affiliates should be encouraged. Flexibility in project selection is essen- tial, stressed the panel. Each center should be allowed to choose its own pro- grams, with more independence than is typical of individual grants programs." Furthermore, the panel said, "those administering the program must allow the centers considerable latitude in how they plan to attain their goals. . . . Any [center] should be sufficiently protean to respond to new ideas, techniques, and re- lationships, inside and outside the uni- versity " Industry Involvement Industry's involvement in both the overall program and the individual cen- ters must be "substantial and continu- ous," the panel declared. Each center should be associated with one or more industrial or other organization involved in engineering practice, and the NSF oversight panels should include indus- trial representatives. Robert M. White, president of the National Academy of Engineering, tes- tified in support of the centers program at the NSF authorization hearing of the Senate Subcommittee on Science, Tech- nology, and Space. The panel's report is slated to be discussed at an April meeting planned by NSE Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Touch as a Substitute for Hearing News Report FOR THE PROFOUNDLY DEAF, a conventional hearing aid is not much use. The sense of touch has long been viewed as a possible substitute for hearing, but although several devices have been designed, none has been suitable. A vibrator attached to the wrist or other part of the body can present sound waves transformed into impulses that can be felt on the skin. Such a tactile aid can complement but cannot replace lipreading. A Research Council committee recently evaluated tactile devices for the deaf at the request of the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke. It recommended "early and widespread deployment" of tactile aids to assess their effectiveness in everyday use. Young children in particular may benefit, sug- gested the committee, noting that "it would be expected that early and continual use of such a device would provide the best chance for later acquisition of skilled acoustic-tactile processing." The system illustrated above is one of several under de- velopment; this one is designed for classroom use by five- and six-year-olds. Basic and Applied Research on Tactile Aids for Deaf People: Progress and Prospects (Working Group 90, Com- mittee on Hearing, Bioacoustics, and Biomechanics; report will appear in a forthcoming issue of the Journal of the Acoustical Society of America). Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Seminar Reviews Ways to Keep U. S. Technology in Friendly Hands IT IS NO SECRET that agents for the Soviet Union will buy, borrow, or steal to obtain American technology. Much of the technology that passes into Soviet hands and ultimately into its weapons systems is obtained on the open market through diversionary tactics involving third and fourth countries. American- made computers, believed headed to the U.S.S.R., recently were confiscated in Sweden. The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) estimates that some 100,000 peo- ple are involved in the U.S.S.R's scour- ing of the West for information and tech- nical know-how and that this incessant search is directed from the highest levels of Soviet government. Most Americans do not quarrel with the conclusion that American technology gives the U.S.S.R. the means to upgrade its arsenal in a shorter time than if it had to rely on its own research and develop- ment. Nor do they quarrel with the thesis that the Soviet Union's extensive use of American technology is forcing the U.S. and Western Europe to spend bil- lions of dollars to keep pace. However, considerable controversy revolves around ways to control the export of goods and know-how that the Russians can put to military use. This was the essence of a recent seminar on export controls or- ganized by the Academies of Sciences and Engineering for participants in the Academy Industry Program. The program was particularly timely because the Export Administration Act, which grants the president authority to stop shipments of sensitive technology, expired the end of February, and reauthorization proposals were being considered by Congress. The debate cen- tered on how to monitor high- technology exports to Western Europe and what role the Department of Defense should play in the licensing process. Sensitive goods pass along complex trade channels from West to East. John N. McMahon, deputy director of the CIA, described a typical route from the U. S. to South Africa to West Germany to Sweden and eventually to the U.S.S.R. There are at least five networks of some 300 firms operating in Europe and in- volving about 30 countries, he told Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 26 News Report seminar attendees. "The U.S. alone can- not respond adequately to the threat, but it must take the lead," he said. William Schneider, Jr., undersecre- tary for security assistance, science, and technology for the Department of State, seconded this contention. "Unilateral controls generally are not effective," he declared. "It is essential that we have a multilateral approach." The vehicle for obtaining allied cooperation in dealing with high tech trade is the Coordinating Committee for multinational export con- trols (COCOM), a body consisting of most NATO members and Japan. Schneider contended that following Europe's displeasure with U.S. policy re- garding the Soviet pipeline, there has been "a fundamental change in their at- titudes." Export control activities must be equitable and consistent to gain sup- port, he pointed out. Speaking from the exporters' perspec- tive, Roland W. Schmitt, senior vice president for corporate research and de- velopment at General Electric Co., said he feared that an "obsession with defen- sive strategy will cripple offensive strate- gies for developing new technologies." Some government proposals, he noted, could hamper the administration's objec- tives to assure that U.S. technology for defense is superior. Schmitt urged the administration to keep some guidelines in mind when de- veloping control policies: dual use - many technologies may be used com- mercially as well as militarily, and con- trols should be applied "downstream" at the application level, not "upstream," where they "could affect our ability to de- velop more [technology]"; military crit- icality - avoid confusing technology that is critical to military needs with that which is merely useful; foreign availability - consider whether the U.S.S.R. can obtain equivalent technol- ogy from other sources; technology trans- fer - control of manufacturing know- how may be more important than cur- tailing export of products. Other speakers from federal agencies, industry, and academe explored details of policy and procedure in formal presen- tations and in discussions with attendees. Frequent proposals echoed the findings of a panel of the Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy (COSEPUP) in the 1982 report, Scientific Communication and National Security. That panel cautioned that overly restric- tive controls on exchange of scientific in- formation can weaken, rather than strengthen, U.S. defenses by discourag- ing technological innovation. It recom- mended criteria for judging whether re- strictions are warranted. Mitchel B. Wallerstein and Lawrence C. McCray, who served on the staff for that report, recently reviewed govern- ment export control actions since its pub- lication and concluded that little has been done that reflects the panel's pro- posals. The Academy Industry Program con- sists of 57 companies which have made unrestricted contributions to support projects initiated by the academies. Sev- eral times a year representatives of those companies are invited to Washington to attend seminars on timely topics. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Academy Distributes Booklet on Science and Creationism DIFFERENCES between science and creationism are the subject of a new booklet by a special committee of the National Academy of Sciences. Commissioned by the Academy's gov- erning Council to state the view of scien- tists on claims that creationism should be taught in high school science classes, the brochure was authored by a committee of scientists assisted by legal scholars. James D. Ebert, president of the Car- negie Institution and vice president of the Academy, chaired the authoring committee. The 28-page booklet defines science and the scientific method and concludes that, when tested by that method, creationists' beliefs have been found wanting. Therefore, the booklet argues, it is not appropriate to teach creationism alongside established scientific theories in a science classroom. Wrote Academy President Frank Press in his preface to the booklet: "Both views have a place in our lives - but one be- longs in the world as we have come to know it and one belongs in history. . . . "Teaching creationism is like asking our children to believe on faith, without recourse to time-tested evidence, that the dimensions of the world are the same as those depicted in maps drawn in the days before Columbus set sail with his three small ships, when we knew from factual observations that they are really quite dif- ferent." In an initial mailing, some 44,000 copies of the booklet are being distrib- uted free by the Academy. Additional copies are available for purchase. Among those to receive complimentary copies are all school district superintendents, heads of all secondary school science de- partments, members of the National Sci- ence Teachers Association and other pro- fessional organizations, members of Congress. Sdenee and Creationism: A Vies frr,ru the National Aardenr} of .S' den i. Committee on Science and Creationism (1981, 28 pp.; available from Na- tional Academy Press. $ E.(U). Preparation of the brochure was sup- ported by the Academy, the Mary Reynolds Babcock Foundation, and others. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 28 News Report Teaching Doctors About Nutrition THE PROLIFERATION in recent years of salad bars and diet foods shows that many Americans are concerned about the health effects of the foods they eat. Unfortunately, some doctors are not as prepared as they might be to answer pa- tient questions about diet. Fewer than one-third of American medical schools require their students to take training in nutrition. For this reason, the Research Council's Food and Nutrition Board has formed a committee to examine how the study of nutrition in medical education can be strengthened. The committee will examine nutri- tion education at different medical schools and make recommendations about curricula, teaching methods, and related issues. Its work will be coordi- nated with a more general effort by the Institute of Medicine to examine fields of growing importance in medical educa- tion, particularly preventive medicine. Myron Winick, director of the Insti- tute of Human Nutrition at Columbia University, chairs the new committee. Support for the 18-month study is being provided by the Ruth Mott Fund, the William H. Donner Foundation, and the Research Council through a consortium of foundations, the Academy Industry Program, and the National Academy of Sciences endowment. Research for Quality in Mathematics and Science Education A GOOD DEAL of rhetoric has been ex- pended recently on the poor state of mathematics and science education in American public schools. Numerous suggestions for improving curricula and instruction have been offered, but few have been evaluated scientifically. A Research Council committee, chaired by James G. March of the Graduate School of Business at Stanford University, will advise the National In- stitute of Education on research to il- luminate particular problems in educa- tion and to aid in effecting improve- ments. The committee is likely to focus on such areas as the recommendations from the National Commission on Excellence in Education, the National Science Board Commission on Mathematics, Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Manh 1984 29 Science and Technology Education, and others for improving school perform- ance; new insights into the learning process that might be borrowed from the fields of cognitive science and artificial intelligence for use in the classroom; rapidly developing computer and com- munications technologies that may be adapted to education needs; and factors that influence the recruitment and reten- tion of high quality teachers. Non-cognitive factors such as motiva- tion, emotional development, family and school environments, and peer pres- sures also contribute to learning. A workshop, funded by the William T. Grant Foundation and organized under the auspices of the same committee, will explore the role of these influences on learning. The initial phase of the study is sched- uled for completion at the end of the year. Is There a Shortage of Transportation Professionals? DURING the years the Interstate Highway System was being constructed, federal and state governments expanded staffs of transportation professionals. As the roads were completed and highway construction received less emphasis, hir- ing slackened or stopped in some states, and the number of professionals re- mained static. Now large numbers of the profession- als hired to oversee Interstate highway construction are nearing retirement age. Similar conditions prevail in many tran- sit agencies, hard hit by declining budgets. Concerned that mass retire- ments may leave several states without sufficient expertise to staff highway and transit agencies, the Congress directed the Secretary of Transportation to con- tract with the Research Council's Trans- portation Research Board for a 15-month study. The committee, headed by Lester A. Hoel, chairman of the civil engineering department at the University of Virginia, will project future supply and demand for transportation professionals; assess how shifts in program emphasis, techno- logical advances, and institutional changes will alter future needs; and eval- uate policies for recruiting, training, and retaining staff. This study is one of four mandated by the Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1982 (PL. 97-424). The other studies are: costs and benefits of the 55- mile speed limit, design standards for repair of non-Interstate highways, and the effects on highways and safety of twin-trailer trucks. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 30 Neus Report Brief Takes ... From an address by Secretary of Transporta- tion Elizabeth Hanford Dole at the 63 rd an- nual meeting of the Transportation Research Board in Washington onJanuary 18. . . . [O]ver the last 12 months I have fo- cused on other priorities demanding our attention. Perhaps most important are the ways we address or fail to address how transportation affects our environment. Some things already have been achieved. Certain environment safe- guards are in place. No federally assisted transportation project, for example-be it a new highway or a new bike trail - can proceed without a detailed environ- mental assessment. By the end of this year, the oldest and noisiest jets will have been weeded out of the U.S. airline fleet, and aircraft engine manufacturers are now required, as of the first of this month, to reduce exhaust emissions by 60 to 70 percent. We have developed strict oil pollution and hazardous cargo guidelines as a further effort to protect the environment and protect the quality of American life. All of that is well and good. But I am not satisfied that we have probed the lim- its of our responsibility - or plumbed the depths of possibility. We should not tolerate excessive noise; we must find rea- sonable ways to reduce it. We should not excuse pollution; we must develop ways to prevent it. And we must not sacrifice history for progress; there is almost al- ways a way to preserve our historic land- marks. We have explored but the coastal plain of a vast continent of environmental con- cern. To speed up the process, I have formed a steering group within the de- partment, headed by a counselor on en- vironmental concerns, to examine the prospects for further environmental ac- tions, including the areas of reducing airport noise and oil pollution, improv- ing the highway environment, handling the transport of hazardous materials, and safeguarding historic sites. . . . According to the Census Bureau, resi- dents ranked noise second only to crime as a reason for moving from urban neigh- borhoods. Emissions from cars and trucks and buses still account for a sub- stantial share of city pollution. We need innovative planning and design to reduce transportation intrusions on urban communities. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 March 1984 31 Items . . . New Publications Board on 8ticncc and lichnologv fir Inicmational Development (198.), 99 pp; single ropits,isail.thlc to institutions from the hoard; supple limit( d For aoannentr thou n to atailable front the National .it.tdtno Prat (NAP) or/rum a rpeci/u' uuit of the National Atadent) of Scieucet. National Aatdem) of Eugm, tI-ttg. I nutitute aJ ,'tic zlirrvtc. National Rcfean h Cocoa//. t 0tnnuittec i or botndr. write to the Itrtal mttra at 21)1 Conte tution Armor N' . ii . Waoh ngton, I). C. 20418. Other clot fl///t lit are available frcntt other /ottrctr to rmttd. For amrrtt ,N TIS f/rittr and ,N'IIN dot itnu. a rite to the National Technical In- forntation Serttoo . S/nntn,c/uId. Ur. 22161. Priartntd availttbilitl ofall documentrart iubject to change. Firewood Crops: Shrub and Tree Species for Energy Production, Volume 2 Advisory Committee on 'lithnology Innovation, Meetings Special Announcements Multiple Hazard Mitigation: Report of a Workshop on Mitigation Strategies for Communities Prone to Multiple Natural Hazards Advisory Board on the Built I its irunnicnt (198i, -1 pp.; acs?.ulahlc boon N'IIS. PB 81-IS /889) New Frontiers in Mammalian Reproduction and Development: Proceedings of the Symposium, March 7-11, 1983 Committec on Animal IdodcIs.tntd (meric Stocks. Institute of Luhor,uor1 Antiml Rcsoures (in Nov 1983 issue of )"tonal ?/ E~prr'imitnl,d %1?1l?0. Vol. 778, No. 2, pp. 165-j95; single topics ac,JILthlc from the Institute; supple limited). Concrete Pavement Design i nl Rehahilit,ttion, Civil Engineering Building, Purdue Uimcl-sito, West Lafayette, IN 47907. For additional information. F. Hanther, 327/99i-2159. This Ichedule lutr /ttrblic meetingi and iucludel other special annotnt(ementr of uttit1 of the National Atadem) cf Scienatt. National Acadenry oJEngineer- ing. lustiurtt of Aftehcirne. and National Reteanh Council. 'l he Ic hedtdr Lr hrehared early. attd detailr are subject to thtutr;e tm l should be thecked direct)) with project offitter to noted below. An) written irrbmiariozr rhoultl be seta direal) to the lured unit at 2101 Con- rtiu/titot AZenne. N.F. ll'it.rhingtott. O.C. 20418. "Third International Conference on Concrete Pavement Design and Rehabilitation, Apr. 23-25, 1985. West L faverte, IN, Purdue University Coslxm- sored by the Transportation Rescarth Board. Synopses are due by Mac I I, 1989, and should be sent to: Cochairmen E, Handier and C. Schuler, Conference on Associateship Programs. Office of Si ii ill i lit and en- gineering Personnel, National Restart ii Council (NR(), is accepting applic,tuons for the June 1981 re- view for NR(. Research Assoc iancships Ili the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Air Fond SI's- teins Command, Environmental Proration Agency. Naval Air Development Center, Wilrcr Reed Amts In- stitute of Research, Army Missile (onnnand_ and Army Armament, Munitions, and Chemical Com- mand. Opportunities htr hash rt_seartIi in the natural sciences and engineering arc a%ailahlc to rcecnt re- cipients of doctorates, to senior Hitesrigators. and in most instantes to nun-I' S citizens. For applications and program (k tails, sstire to: Associatcsltip Prt;grams. JH 608-1), at the above address. Applications must he postmarked by April 15, 1981. Forforthcr information: A. Crump, 2021 i 3 1-260. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6 ~'~IZZZZ x c cc ~ a Z C Z Z rrrirr o ~O o>>~ n a s m> D N a 9 n O C7 ~ ~C7mm 7 Z C C m m m Z Z r z~ ~+U Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/16: CIA-RDP90-00845R000200760007-6