SSCI BRIEFING ON SOVIET DOMESTIC ISSUES

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 26, 2012
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 3, 1987
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2.pdf157.76 KB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 OCA AtE.._:..= Rf6Pt # 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 OCA 87-1243 3 April 1987 SUBJECT: SSCI Briefing on Soviet Domestic Issues 1. Senator Bradley's SSCI task force on the Soviet Union held its first briefing at 0915 on 3 April 1987 in SHOB-219. The briefing was chaired by Senator Bradley. Senators DeConcini, Murkowski, Cohen, Specter, and Nunn made appearances of varying lengths. Staffers in attendance included Sven Holmes, Dave Holliday, Jim Dysktra, John Despres, Jeanne McNaughton, Blythe Thomas, Regina Genton, George Tenet, John Nelson, Mike Mattingly, Natile Bocock, Ed Levine, Marvin Ott, and Charlie Battaglia. CIA briefers were Doug MacEachin, Direc a of Soviet Analysis (SOVA) SOYA, SOYA, and Bob Blackwell, National Intelligence Officer for the USSR. represented 2. Senator Bradley introduced the briefing by stating that over the next six months or so (his task force) would be taking OCA. A transcript was taken an in-depth look at the Soviet Union from an Intelligence Community and larger community perspective. The goals were to 3. Bob Blackwell began with an overview of the Soviet domestic scene focusing on Gorbachev's reforms, opposition to the reforms, and the decisionmaking process with emphasis of the relationships among Soviet leaders. Senator Bradley was interested in attitudes of the military, the KGB, the Party, and the bureaucracy. followed with comments on the economy with particular emphasis on economic strategy and current and future performance. Doug MacEachin spoke to a range of military subjects. (Mr. MacEachin later returned to the subject of military strategy in Europe during an exchange with Senator Nunn who arrived early for another hearing.) The opening statements were followed b a thorough discussion of issues on Senator Bradley's mind CO ENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 CONFIDENTIAL 4. Senator Bradley was highly complimentary of the opening statements and of the quality of the discussion. John Despres called later to reiterate Senator Bradley's favorable impression. The next session will be the Soviet economy and probably will be held in late April. Chief, Senate Branch Office of Congressional Affairs OCA/Senate (3 Apr 87) Distribution: Original - OCA Record 1 - D/OCA 1 - AO/OCA 1 - DD/OCA/SA 1 - DD/OCA/HA 1 - DD/OCA/LEG 1 - RTB Chrono Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 OCA#87-1217 31 March 1987 STAT STAT STAT NOTE FOR: Doug MacEachin FROM SUBJECT : SSCI Oversight of Soviet Analysis John Despres outlined for me his desired order of march for Friday's Committee briefing. --Start with a short summary of the Gorbachev agenda paper by the authors. --Blackwell to address question of what we know, and need to know but don't know about how the politburo works (i.e., decisionmaking). --discussion of particular areas of 'substantive policy" of greatest interest to Committee. This includes the following, but other areas may come up. --Economy: impact of economic developments on military and security policy. --Asia: risks and benefits of operations in Asia. --Alternative geopolitical strategies. We are not bound by who John wants to brief on each subject. He said he just wanted to give of our briefers a chance to brief. I think he asked that o the economy and that you, Doug, speak to geopolitical strategies. John said this first session was to establish a base line on what the CIA knows and believes in this area. He said that this will probably be the only time we appear alone. (I repeated our position on briefing along with policy agencies.) There will also be other sessions with briefers from think tanks, OCA/Senat Distribution: Orig - Addressee 1 Addressee 2 1 - D/OCA 1 - A0/OCA 1 - DD/OCA/SA 1 - DD/OCA/HA 1 - DD/OCA/LEG OCA Chrono RTB Chrono Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 OCA#87-1218 31 March 1987 STAT NOTE FOR: Doug MacEachin SUBJECT: SSCI Oversight of Soviet Analysis (II) John Despres called again to say that Friday's session is now going to be held at 0915 vice 1400. Senator Bradley has had a chance to review John's desired order of march and requests that the following issues also be addressed. --We will start with a review of last Fall's hearing. What has been done? What do we plan to do? --What are Gorbachev's chances of seeking and finding additional sources of legitimacy for his actions/agenda? --What are his chances of success? Who are his allies and opponents domestically, especially within the military, the KGB, and the Party? --What is his strategy for getting western economic help and for splitting Europe by dangling prospects of a unified Germany? --What is the likelihood that labor shortages and productivity decline will affect conventional force size? If the Soviets wanted to save resources in defense spending, where would they cut? STAT 3C4/Senatl (31 ,,ar C; Distribution: Ori o - Addressee 1 1 - OCA Record Addressee 2 OCA Chrono 1 - D/0CA >3 RTB Chrono 1 - .AO/OCA 1 - DD/0CA/SA 1 - DD/OCA/h.A 1 - DD/OCa/LEG Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2 STAT Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied STAT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/06/26: CIA-RDP90B00017R000200360002-2