VALIDITY STUDY OF NIE 74: PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN BURMA THROUGH 1953, PUBLISHED 20 FEBRUARY 1953

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00400R000300100119-2
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 15, 2012
• Sequence Number: 119
• Publication Date: April 10, 1956
• Content Type: STUDY

Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/15: CIA-RDP82-00400R000300100119-2
SECRET
.ftse
IAC-D-100/9
10 April 1956
Validity Study of NIE 74:
Probable Developments in Burma Through 1953,
published 20 February 1953
1. NIE 74 was primarily directed at the internal security
problem in Burma. This estimate accurately reflected the im-
provements in the security situation since the previous estimates
and it predicted correctly a slight improvement in prospects for
internal security and economic and political stability through the
rest of 1953.
2._ In stating that ". . . Burma will probably continue to
accept /through 1953/ the assistanre of the West in strengthening
its armed forces and its economy," the estimate failed to anticipate
the impact of the Chinese Nationalist troop issue on Burmese foreign
affairs. The TCA program was cancelled as of June 30, 1953, pri-
marily because U Nu did not want to be in the position of accepting
US aid at the same time that Burma was attacking the US in the UN
on the issue of Chinese Nationalist irregulars in Burma. However,
the TCA projects already started were allowed to be cornpleted and
the actual termination date of the TCA aid came well after the end
of 1953.
SECRET
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/15: CIA-RDP82-00400R000300100119-2