ANALYSIS OF THE 1951-1952 POTATO HARVEST AND DISTRIBUTION

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80S01540R001400060001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 6, 2012
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 25, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

_
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50X1-HUM
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
INFORMATION REPORT
This Document erataine inforernotion alleeting the ils-
timid Defame of the United States. within the 11141111..
lug of Thi. id, Seetions 7113 end IN. of tit* U.S. Cede. se
sounded. ho trinnuhnion or rereletion of its contenis
to or receipt by an unauthorised Person Is Pebbibited
by low. The reproduction of this fent is prohibited.
SECRET
SIICINNVY 1111011/AATION
COUNTRY East Germany REPORT
50X1-HUM
SUBJECT Analysis of the 1951-1952 Potato DANE
DISTR. 25 May
1953
Harvest and Distribution
NO. CW PAGES 1
DATE OF INFO.
REQUIREMENT NO. RD
50X1-HUM
PLACE ACQUIRED
PIFBENCES
THE SOURCE EVAISIATIONS IN THIS WOW ARE DERNITIVE.
INS AMAISAI Of CONTENT IS TENTATIVE.
50X1-HUM
Distribution: ORR
SECRET
STATE ASSY I I I AIR 1 FIll I I AEC
_I I
Wm. AMJAMid.111...ML a...NAN% PriWT.1 V^ &I_41 &?1
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UQ: The following is an analysis of the potato supply statement for 1952.
It was made Up by the State Secretariat? for the Collection and Pur-
chase of Agricultural Products. The analysis is boxed on the tables
listed as follows:
I 1951 Potato Supply Ltatement
II 1952 Potato Supply Statenent (for the entire year)
III 1952 Potato Supply Ltatenent (according to quarters)
IV Estimated Differences between the 1952 Potato Harvest and 1952
Requirement
V Enlargement on Table IV
VI Early Potato Yields According to Ten-day Periods
VII Storage of Potatoes
raray_itulal. AIL
50X1-HUM
1. The yield of early potatoes for 1951 was unbalanced. In comparison wit#
the requirements: too few potatoes were harvested in the first two ten-day
periods of July. Towards the end, of July early potatoes regularly flooded
the narlet, thereby causing losses,. In order to bring in the early potatoes
soorier and avoid later narket floodings, the farmers were encouraged to
conply by means of such measures as favorable weights and prices as well
as delivery contracts with earliest possible delivery dates.
2. A large number of the farmers refused to cone'ude these contracts. In-
stead of early agreenents for 260,000 metric tonss.only early date agree-
ments for 16,000 metric tons were concluded. An increase of. 15,000 metric
tons was shown over 1951 production up to 20 July 1952, however, despite a
poorer yield and a later harvest. Awarm spell caused winter and sunmer
grain to ripen immediately after one another with the result that collection
was about 20.000 metric tons behind by the end of July. This caused diffi-
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3eCeieT " """
?pities in the srpply situation, especially tn Saxony. There, 100 percent
cultivation and a yield of 130 cwts a hectare was reported, lemmas actually
cultivation anounted to 75 percent and the yield amounted to only e0 cwts a
hectare. The 1952 cultivation plan for early potatoes envisioned an area of
52,500 hectares, cf ehich 42,278 hectares was realized. In addition 35,000
hectares ewe under private cultivation, leich yield on the average 121 acts
a hector? or a gross total of &out 425,000 netric tons. Only about 210,000
notrjc tons, or 50 percent, were delivered, in contrast to the used 65 per-
cone.
3. This indicates that in 1952 a larger part of the yield was wit!-held by the
fareerr for fodder. :breover, the 1152 steels of seine are 2,1C00000 head
hieeer than in 1951. The monthly potato feeder revere_ out ar?ounts to 700,000
netric tens. Loss early potatoes are delivered to the nale.et because the cul-
tivated area is re widely distributed mime, meal far :s whore nem early
potatoes are used. In view of these chanes in the econrny and the storing
of the potatoes only up until 3(3 June 1952 (whereas in 1951 it was up until
31 July), the reduction of the area to :to crltiveted in 1153 fro- 52,500 to
42,500 hectares could not be approved. The decisive factor is the nueber of
the seeelings available, which are eecnonic and distributed according to plan.
. The following nroposals are !ado for 1053:
a. aCtigultUek
1) An increase feen the planned 42,500 hectares to at least 50,000 hec-
tares in the area devoted to early potatoes
2) Additional early seedlings for exeansion and consuner cultivation
3) Additional cultivation of early potatoes in collectives
4) l:easures for the increase of cultivation of progerninated seedlings
by
a) Propagation and graftini.
b) Procurer:tent of equip:lent for pregornination (Voreeimene)
Zette-Mli-SX32121.1
I) Precise ascertaining of requirel-ents by the trade agencies and the
other customers up to 30 April 1953, divided according to ton-day
periods.
c. C(111=12a..M.LEEXP.IIDA
1) nequiring cultivators of early potatoes to conclude delivery con-
tracts with 'Tile in the law on required deliveries and purchasing
. for 1953.
2) Conclusion of delivery contracts between nroducer an VEAD through
10 June 1953.
5. The apparent rovirenent of early potatoes and in part of nnettelfreehn
potatoes for 1953 is as follows:.
July 130,000 metrie tons
AerUst 1142.000 netric_Iono
Total 310,000 metric tons
SEL
SECRETA9errneff
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SECRET_C=1;(4140-1-1-ttOb7514Est
_ 3 _
SECRET
alutearmesk_suLtomt P t
1. The area cultivated for "mittelfrueh" potatoes in 1952 amounted to 47,800
heotares. Figuring an average yield of 129 metric tons a hectare, a
gross yield of 617,000 metric tons is expected.. The total potato require-
ment shq11 be net fron.this in the period troyi the middle of August to
the middle of September and is figured as follows:
Population, etc. 2400000'oetric tons
Fodder ? 7001000 metric tons
Seedlinga 60,000 metric tons
1,000,000 metric tens
'Therefore there will be a shortage
"nittelfrueh" potatces, which anorn
late potato hervest. In 1952 this
of about ,C00000 metric tons of
t would cover the period up till the
would be later than Usual.
2. The state secretariat? has ordered the district councillers and the VVEAB
to collect at least 10 percent of the goals by 10 September 152, 15 per-
cent by 20 reptenber 1952, and 20 percent by 30 September 1952. The
:anistry of Agrictlture and Forestry has passed cut similar orders.
3. The following is svggested fcr 1953:
a. Planned cultivation of "mittelfrueh" potatoes in an area of 70,000
hectares
b. Cultivatien of "nitteltrueh" potatoes in key points of the sugar beet
districts.
c. rcreing.of the "mittelspaet" potato Sabina, which up till ncw has
boon neglected.
III Z1t...t.9.121222
1, A cenperison of the 1952 statement with that of 1951 reveals the following
picture regarding edible potatoes.
2. The amount of 222,000 metric tons edible potatoes from the 1951 harvest
were Issued in addition to the amount planned for 1952. The reason for
this was as follows: the requirements estimate for storing by the amdstry
of Trade and Procurenent was accepted without cuts. Accordingly, the cus-
tomers estimated the current yield as low. This uncovered requirement
would male increasing demands on the current yield. The :Aniestry must
therefore tal:e measures to regulate the reports about the current yields.
3. According to .the statement 3,122,000 metric tons of edible potatoes in-
c3uding purchase wore on hand in 1951. In 1952 only 2,900,000 metric tons
of potatoes are planned for general consumntion. In 1951 the goals were
fulfilled by 93 eeroent. The 1952 state-ent bases its estimate of 2,900,000
metric tons edible potatoes on 100 percent fkatillnent of the delivery quota.
Tho chances cf purchasing of potatoes in early 1953 seen slight. In 1951
production and planned production of potatoes were about even; in 1952
there will be a deficit cf 30110,000 metric tons.
4. In 1951, 333,000 metric tons of potatoes were processed; in 1.952 it was
planned to process 695,000 metric tons. In addition there were in 1951
only 44,000 metric tons of fodder potatoes; in 1952 there were planned
135,000 metric tons. Together, 803,000 tons of potatoes for industrial
purposes and fodder potatoes were planned for 1952 in comparison with
377,000 tons for 1951.
sresko
SECIIETTeiteMptivpiaggigggs;gemic.-
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,J%-//? I -1 LJIVI
SWEET
..,"r"""T.A.. 41i."
SECRET
5. Tee folleuing subsidies vil/ be required fer the production cf fodder
fleleee and for the sterine of potetoes for industrial purposes.
fodder flakes
storage costs cf potato
for industry
7,550,000 east earLe
lablaga east narLs
10,920,000 east narke
6. In order to nale the population cappletely indeeendent of the purchase
of edi/ele potatoes on to outside and save constderable mounts of melee)
It is suggested that the arcunt of processed petatoes be rodeced. If
200,000 metric tons of potatees received less erccessing, the followi E
euns uould be saved.
Cost of storage, traesportation? interest ON-ODS09,
and losses for 150,000
netric tens of potatoes for induetrinl purposes
Gest of purchases at double prioe of 200,000 metric
tons cf edible potatoes
3,370,000 east rvari.s
24.009400Q east narls
17,3700000 east narks
7. A ferther saving of 5,0001000 east nerls could be nade, if the 150,000
netric tons planned for flales could be reduced to 75,000 netric tons.
8. ;coerdine to the latest reports sone flale factories, previously reported
evallable by the .-tete secretary of Food and Lueury Industries, are not
reedy tc produce, so that t! .e planned anount will not be able to be net
for lack of canacity.
9. In Eeptenber an anount cf abcut 26,000 notrio tons is planned for pro-
cessing into starch. :lainly Inittelfruehn potatoes nust be used for this.
Because nnittelfrueh" potatoes are sorely-needed for the population, be-
cause no potatoes for industry are te be expected fro "mitto.ifruehn
potatoes, and since it meld be irresponsible to deliver edible potatoes
to the yrite potato factory, it is suggested that potatoes be processed
for starch only iron 1 October 1P5:' on.
10. In sldition it is suegeotod that the surplus 27,000 netric tons allotted
for export in the third quarter be disposed of in a short ties in West
Berlin depending on the currert crop of edible potatoes, and if necessary
tc transfer the rest in the fourth quarter. l';orecver in view of the
deficit of 3,110,000 netric tons the stateeent should be emlined to see
u hether the plenned eeport can be :'et in the full anount of 100,000 eetric
tons.
11. In reeard to the fixing of the anounto to be stored at 125 tens and other
uncertain factors of the statevent, the steels of 347,000 netric tone of
edible potatoes are too low to cover the needs in the first and second
quarter of 1953. It is suggested to increase the stools by at least
600,000 netric tons by collecting and storirg the difforenoe of 253,000
etetric tons not in factcry potatoes but in edible potatoes. If part of
the edible potatoes were not required and were processed for starch, then
the subsidy required for then would be nuch less than if the edible po-
tatoes had to be bought at double erica for processing. The processing
of about 200,000 netrie tons of factory potatoes would require purchase
of an additional 170370,000 mast marks in the early part of 1953. The
processing of this anount cf edible potatoes would only require about
6,000,000 additional east marks.
SICRET -eglaite,-Txproviissemp,
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of uhich
-?
-""
Potato Supply Statenent 1951
(in thousands of metric tons)
Planned
Actual
SECIIT
Attachrent I 50X1-HUM
5,000
4,650 (93 percent fulfillment)
Stocks on
1 January 1952
1.
2.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Early ed;b:l.e potatoes till 31 August 1951
Lrlible potatoes for .on consumers except
experts from 1 So'te-ler 1951
to .s'oland and Buncary
Uncontrolled sales to Vest Berlin
Seedling rotatoes
Starch
Alcohol,/
233
2,957
150
500 ?
240
93
. 70
E%
Fattening for swine
218
9.
Fodder potrtoes
44
10.
Credit fcr early and seedling potstees
75
11.
Loss
4,650
12.
Pnrchasc frr the first half of 1952
130
13.
50 percent back delivery
30
14.
Import of early potatoes
Consur,ption in ?ne first har' of 1952
235
Consumption of edible potatoes, except early potatoes,
from the 1951 harvest
Position nu-1)er 2
2,957
For0 tion number 12
130
Position nulaer 13
30
Position rarlir 14
3,122
?
sEcnin
? 4 ".:
SVOS.1
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Potato l'epply Statel.:ent 1952
(for the entire year)
(in thousands of lietre tone)
Attachnent IT
50X1-HUM
Planned according tc the "W." Plan
Planned acnording to dispoeition
5,000
4,968
1. Early edible nctatoes till 31 11st 1952
277
2. Edible potatoes for till custo,lers
2,770
2a. Operative reserve
100
2b. Reserve steres
20
3. Exports cf edible potatoes
100
4. Seedling r(tatoes
500
5. Starch
490
6. Alcohol v/
55
7. Fodder Males
150
S. Fresh fcdoer potatoee
135
9. Credit for the purchase of swine, first half of 1952
41,000
second half of 1952
1402QQ,
165
10. Credit for early and seedling potatoes 75
/3. 1953 advance credit for 1952 21
12. Lon: because of trans17ortation and storage 100
13. Inventory as of 30 June 1953
4,968
Edible potatoes available fron the 1952 harvest
Position 2
2,770
Position 2a
100
Position 2b
20
Position 13
2,900
Consumed in 1951
Excess of 1951 over 1952
22.2
SECRET
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A DILS ONLY
Potato Supply Statement 1952
(according to quartors)
(in thousands cf metric tons)
SECL:
Attachment III
I Supply
II D1str7lbution
Third
:"Iuarter
Fourth
Quarter
...19.51_
3,968
First
Quarter
-1953
Second
Quarter.
1953
1,000
1. Early edible potatoes till 31 August 1952
277
???
2. Edible potatoes for all customers
239
2,214
109
208
2a. Operative reserve
100
2b. Reserve stores
20
3. Exports of edible potatoes
34
66
4. Seedling potatoes
50
450
5. Starch
26
276
188
6. Alcohol
20
35
7. Fodder nal es
65
65
20
S. Fres! fodder potatoes
30
43
39
23
9. Credit for the purchase of suine
First two quarters of 1952 ? 41
Third quarters of 1952
? 33 74
91
104 Credit for early and seedling potatoes
55
20
11. 1951 advance credit for 1952
21
12. Loss fro transportation and storage
6
22
72
????????? IMOIumill?????????????????????ffil.....,
Yaw
Temporary steel;
812
188
3,387
769
436
333
323
10
/LE22204
1,000
4,156
769
333
3,968
SECh
SECRET GoiRilteLlitrs4mCiALS_rmv
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50X1 -HUM
The estimated 1952 potato h:irvest? its
thousands of :::etric tons.
Item
3ECAZT
discositio, and the difference
3randenburg Lecklenburg
The amounts are
Berlin
fr? ? ? IR
betiieen harvest an6 requireuent.
3axony-Anha1t Thurincia
Attachment
expressed in
Total
IV
50X1 -HUM
,Jaxonv
/?',.-?/,',
1.
Estimated potato yield
3,407.9
3,482.7
2,950.3
1,616.2
2,201.8
32.8
15,,691.7
2.
Required deliveries "VI-Plan"
1,307.0
1,137.5
1,181.0
493,0
.849.5
32.0
5,000.0
3.
?ie uire:,ents of self-suppliers
(3 cwt. a person)
126.0
144.0
156.0
117.0
117.0
-
660.0
4.
3eed potato re.uire.,ents
(25 cwt Ihect&re )
/ --
549.6
487.0
506.0
256.4
327.4
5.8
2,132.2

5.
Fodder requiremonts for swine
1,652.0
1,755.0
2,552,6
1,385.8
1,440.9
28.2
d,16.5
CC.
LU
6.
Fodder requirerents for fowl
70.5
60.3
83.5
51.5
68.7
5.4
339.9
C,3
7,
6 percent loss
126.0
114007
81.0
-
21.2
Ce)
3,831.1
3,724.5
_js,.6221311.4_
4,585.2
2,371.1
2,384.5
71.4
17,467.8
8.
1,edu-lt:purchase sine
35.3
27.3
46.5
23.2
32.1
.6
165.0
9.
3eed potato f:kr..'s plz.ced at the
dislosal of alriculture
123.0
104.0
12 .0
60.0
82.0
2.0
500.0
3,672.8
3,593.2
4,409.7
2,287.9
2,770.4
68.8
16,8(..2.8
10.
Jeficit
264.9
110.5
1,459.4
671,7
568.6
36.0
3,111.1
sEcius .g.fy-rimi InQ (WPM, T
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SECRET CO6TROL/11.-.54,.0t.T.T....kb6-01ftY
The following tables are explanations of
or enlarge..ents
on the figures given in the precedinz table.
50X1-HUM
Attachment V
ro item number one
3randenburil
leckienburA
3axony-Anha1t
Thurineja
:.iaxony
derlin
DDR
50X1-HUM
C.)
LLI
C/4
isre L under cultivation for earl:, 1:utz.toes
Area under cultivation for "mittelfrueh" potatoes
Area under cultivation for late potatoes
fetal 1932 area under cultivation for potatoes
expressed in hectares
.:stiated yield, cwts. for each hectare, of:
Larl:! potatoes
"Attelfrueh" potatoes
Lete potatoes
?
field in metric tons of:
..arly potatoes
";:ittelfruoh" potatoes
Late potatoes
Total
To item number three
9,667
9,732
184,990
9,092
9,418
1651761
11,266
10,977
178,301
4,916
9,955
87,127
6,020
7,541
120,080
317
205
1.783
41,278
47,828
738,042
204,389
126
145
170
121,000
141,100
3,l45,000
3,407,900
420
126
184,271
140
165
193
127,300
155,400
3,200,000
3,462,700
480
144
200,544
123
125
190
138,600
137,200
2,674,500
101,998
110
90
169
54,100
89,600
1,472,500
133,641 2,305 827,148
95 98 121
121 145 129
. 171 150 170
57,200 3,100 502,10(
91,200 3,000 617,500
2,05.4.21412----AL21----.242121(22
Lt..1
C:
L1J
C/3
2,950,300
520
156
1,616,200
390
11.7
2,201,800 32,800 13,691,700
390 2,200
11 660
1:umber of self-suppliers (in thousands
!ieeuireents (5 cwts. for eech person a year,
totals in thousands of metric tons)
To iteln number four
219.9
549.6
Ilemmasegnotr,
194.8
487.0
202.4
506.0
102.6
256.4
130.9
327.4
2.3
5.8
852.9
2,132.2
1952 cultivation plan (in thousands of hectares)
Aefluirements of seed potato farms
25 cvms, for each acre (total in thousands of
metric tons)
3Ecitzr
ILY
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Li61
ce,
sk1C:th.T grAZAGIOFF--14-11-
- 2 -
50X1-HUM
50X1-HUM
,..ttachment V
ro iteA number 4ve
irandetiburt7,
aeckleribur
Saxony-Anhlt
fnurinJA
Berlin
DOH
Lumber of swine
.31ml)/
3reed sows (in thousands)
174.5
187.8
237.6
124.2
131.9
2.0
853.0
304ats (in thousands)
3.5
4.3
5.7
3.4
3.4
0.1
20.4
Other swine (in thousands)
1,239.9
1,31,.8
1,92843
1,048.6
1,089.3
21.5
6,643.4
TotA. swine (in thousands)
1,417.9
1,507.9
2,171.6
1,176.2
1,224.6
23.6
7,521.8
Fodder re-nlireents (in thousands of metric tons)
(re,luired for et,ch broodsow, 500 kilorams)
for boats
(re-mired for each boz.r, 73C kilograms)
87.3
2.5
93.9
3.1
118.8
4.1
62.1
2.5
65.9
275
1.0
0.1
423.0
14.8
Other swine
(1,00o kilograms re,uired for each one)
1,562.2
2,429.7
12,321.2
1L?25
27.1
d370,7
(126,.; turnover)
Total fodder reruirement
fo item number six
1,652.0
1,755.0
2,552.6
1,385.8
1,440.9
28.2
8,814.5
Fowl (in thousands)
3,527.2
3,017.0
4,173.0
2,572.8
3,434.8
270.0
16,994.8
Fo6der requirement (in of metric tons)
70.5
60.3
83,5
51.5
68.7
5.4
339.9
.thousands
(20 kilograms for each)
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SLC.PLT-e-eirriileb-it'74-,, r OITLY\ 50X1-HUM
SECRET
Early Potato Yields According to Ten-day Periods.
Attachnent VI
50X1-HUM
kaki
.Pirst ten days of July
Second ton days of J1117
Third ten days of July
First ten days of Ykucust
Second ten days of August
Third ten days of Aucust
121g-
Pius or
ilnus
Fulfillment
2,581
26,912
54,422
29,238
44,372
71,409
Plus or
Nanus
Compared ulth 1932
-7,454
-7,309
6,883
3,195
-28,127
-14,832
Quota
15,700
32,100
45,300
43,100
55,500
69,500
Pulfillnent
10,035
34,221
47,539
26,043
72,499
86,241
-5,665
2,121
2,239
-17,057
16,999
16,741
261,200
276,578
15,378
228,934
-47,644
SECRET
SECPET
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80501540R001400060001-5
Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2012/11/06 : CIA-RDP8050.1540R001400060001-5
SECILT?c, 07
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tachnent VIT
50X1-H1A/1
SECRET
Storage of Temporary (teas of Potatoes
in 1952 in Accordance with the Potato
Supply Statcwent (thousands of metric tons)
Total according to t:e qrarterly statement
iron Olich
Total edible potatoes
1) trough to trade organizations f(r the current i'elivery
in tho first quarter cf 1953
2) trough the VaID
a) for the current elivery in the second quarter of 1953 208
b) Rererve stores
769
349
109
Itonaining stock
20
Total ? 238
or which
aa) in VEAB storehouses and silos 138
bb) on ?E.u.L." contract at nationalized farms, 100
collectives, and self-employed famers
II Total factory potatoes
of which
for starch
188
for alcohol
35
for fodder flakes
85
The total factories are to be stored as follows:
a) Starch frctories, estimated SS
b) Distilleries, estimated
35
a) Melee factories, estimated
35
d) VEAB
150
The costs eriring from the storing of the potatoes will be erased by the monthly
increases in price.
The following costs arise for the VEAD from the storage of factory potatoes:
2. For storage and taking out of storage 10.00
2. ":troh abZueglich Altwert"
3.20
3. Custodial charges
1.8Q
15.00 east marLs each to
Accordingly the costs for 150,000 tons amount to 2,250,000 east marls. In addition .
there are costs covering transrortation from the VEAL silos to their loading places
which anourt to about 500,000 east marls. There are shrinlage losses cumounting to 500,000
east marks and interest losses amounting to 120,000 east marks. The aeditional costs
amount to.3,370;000 east narks,
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80501540R001400060001-5
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