NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE) 3 APRIL 1982

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84T00301R000200010121-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 12, 2010
• Sequence Number: 121
• Publication Date: April 3, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

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Director of Top Secret
Intelligence
National Intelligence Daily
(Cable)
Top Secret
Copy
400
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Ton SarrPt
USSR: Disclaimers on Cuba . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Israel: Druze Unrest in the Golan Heights . . . . . . . . . 2
USSR-Yugoslavia: Gromyko's Visit . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
International: G-77 Proposal on Global Negotiations . . 3
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President Brezhnev, in his speech on 16 March to the
Trade Union Congress, stated that the USSR would put the
US in an "analogous position" if the US puts new missiles
in Western Europe capable of striking Soviet territory.
This remark has been widely interpreted as a threat to
deploy nuclear weapons in Cuba. An earlier statement by
a member of the Central Committee hinted at such a threat.
USSR has threatened to deploy nuclear weapons in Cuba.
Top Secret
Several Soviet spokesmen have denied Western charges that the
diplomatic channels to determine this.
meant by "analogous position" and urged,the US to usP
On 21 March, however, the head of the USSR's Insti-
tute of the USA and Canada told a British interviewer
that there is no basis for Western speculation that the
Soviets intend to violate the Kennedy-,Khrushchev under-
standing on Cuba. He declined to specify what Brezhnev
Moscow that Chervov`s statement is authoritative.
specialist subsequently told US Embassy officials in
General Chervov of the Soviet General Staff stated
on 27 March in a TV interview in Moscow that the USSR
can retaliate against US INF deployments without involv-
ing "other territories." A leading Soviet foreign policy
proceeds with its INF plans.
Comment: In raising the specter of a new Cuban
missile crisis, Moscow may have intended that many in the
West would come to view the planned deployment of US
missiles in Western Europe as being as threatening to
peace as Khrushchev's gamble in Cuba. The Soviets still
want to make the Cuban analogy and continue to speak of
the USSR's right and intention to retaliate if the US
from their campaign against US missile deployment plans.
Moscow, however, is aware of the danger of overplay-
ing the Cuban card. By denying that they have threatened
to put nuclear weapons in Cuba, the Soviets are trying
to avoid clamor over Cuba that would distract attention
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ISRAEL: Druze Unrest on the Golan Heights
major Druze villages.
Defense Minister Sharon met yesterday with leaders
of the Druze community on the Golan Heights after sev-
eral Druze were injured in a clash with Israeli soldiers.
The Druze were protesting attempts to force them to ex-
change Israeli military government identity cards for
ones issued by the Interior Ministry. Most of the nearly
14,000-member Druze community have refused the new cards
because they believe that they imply acceptance of the
law passed by the Knesset late last year annexing the
Golan. A general strike to protest the annexation began
in February, and Israel responded by sealing off the
implement the law.
Comment: The Begin government is out to force most
Druze to accept the cards as part of its efforts to im-
plement the annexation. Recent unrest among West Bank,
Gaza, and Israeli Arabs probably has only reinforced
the government's determination to move ahead quickly to
USSR-YUGOSLAVIA: Gromyko's Visit
tomorrow.
Foreign Minister Gromyko begins a visit to Yugoslavia
may air their differences more openly.
blanket endorsement of the Soviet position. He also is
likely to discuss the level of Soviet attendance at the
Yugoslav party congress in June, where the two countries
Comment: Both sides seek to preserve the appearance
of symmetry in Yugoslavia's relations with the US and the
USSR, and Gromyko's trip is a sequel to Secretary of State
Haig's visit last September. Although the Yugoslavs and
Soviets disagree on Poland, Afghanistan and other inter-
national issues, they have avoided open polemics in recent
months. Gromyko probably will push for language in the
communique that will appear to align Belgrade with Moscow
on disarmament issues, but the Yugoslavs will resist any
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INTERNATIONAL: G-77 Proposal on Global Negotiations
The Group of 77, the Third World caucus at the UN,
has endorsed a draft resolution for launching Global
Negotiations on international economic cooperation. The
draft leaves for future consideration the pivotal question
of whether Global Negotiations will permit the General
Assembly to direct the work of such UN specialized agen-
cies as the IMF and the World Bank.
Comment: West European countries and Japan probably
will support the resolution. OPEC members of the G-77
fear isolation on energy issues in Global Negotiations
and hope that the US will reject the proposal by main-
taining the demand for continued autonomy for the inter-
national monetary institutions.
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Top Secret
Top Secret
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