ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
16
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 29, 2009
Sequence Number: 
34
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Publication Date: 
August 7, 1974
Content Type: 
REPORT
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Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Secret z z ~~ STATES OF ~~ Economic Intelligence Weekly Secret CIA No. 8137/74 7 August 1974 Copy N2 381 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY 7 August 1974 Britain's Labor Government last week announced plans to nationalize most of the shipbuilding, ship repairing, and marine engineering industries. This action reinforced thu Labor Party's commitment to increased state control of industry and further discouraged private investors. Italy has dropped its year-old price controls on industrial goods but will continue a price freeze on seven basic food categories, including bread and fresh meat. The current program probably will be unable to prevent an acceleration in inflation. Because of rising wages and raw material prices earlier this year, consumer prices are likely to increase at an annual rate of 25% during the remainder of 1974. The EC and the 20-Nation Arab League last week agreed to establish a permanent commission to deal with the problems of long-term economic cooperation. The com- mission, whose ex.rt structure remains to be worked out, is expected to hold its first meeting in November. Slowdown in West German Export Boom; Export volume fell 1% in the second quarter, the first quarterly decline since 1972. (See page 6.) Canada: Interest in Uranium Enrichment Plants; Two consortia are making feasibility studies for the construc- tion of gaseous diffusion plants. (See page 3.) Canada clamped new import quotas on live cattle and fresh and frozen beef from the United States and other meat producing countries at a heated Cabinet session last week. The quotas,. imposed without consulting the United States, will sharply reduce US beef exports. Scviet Grain Loss in the New Lands; Drought cuts crop by 8 million tons. (See page 4.) EC Beef Sale to the USSR Confirmed; Shipments from a 50,000-ton sale of French beef have already begun, and trade sources report a second 50,000-ton sale. (See page 6.) Yugoslavia's Food Directorate has announced that the wheat crop will top 5.4 million tons, compared with 4.7 million tons in 1973. As a result, wheat imports are expected to decline from 800,000 tons in FY 1974 to 150,000 tons in FY 1975. East Germany: Self-Sufficiency in Nitrogen Fertilizer; A large new complex under construction at Piesteritz, being built with US and other foreign technology, should make the GDR self-sufficient in nitrogen fertil- izer by 1976. (Sne page 6.) Impact of EC Beef Ban on Latin American Exporters; Argentina stands to lose as much as $300 million in export earnings this year. (See page 8.) USSR: Purchases of Ammonia Plants Mushroom; A $220 million order for four French ammonia plants is the latest move in the Soviet drive to expand fertilizer capacity in 1976-80. (See page 8.) Japan's Finan. a Ministry last week moved unsuccessfully to ease downward pressure on the yen. The dollar continued to appreciate relative to the yen, breaking through the 300 level for the first time since late January. Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9 Secret In Europe, the dollar closed mixed for the week in slow trading. Gold declined $4 an ounce in a volatile market. Copper, Lead, and Zinc Prices were down from their July highs at the end of last week because of profit- taking. Copper prices on the LME fell to 82.6 cents after having risen to 92.8 cents on 29 July on news of Anaconda's lower output and continuing wage negotia- tions involving ether US copper companies. Lead and zinc dropped 2 and 7 cents a pound, respectively, to 24.9 cents and 47.9 cents a pound. (See Metals Chart, page A-3 in Economic Indicators Section.) Saudi Arabia: Manpower Bottleneck; The domestic modernization program will raise the already high demand for foreign labor. (See page 1.) Venezuela: Iron Ore Nationalization Comes Closer; US firms probably will retain a role in production and marketing. (See page 1.) Jamaica: Further Bauxite Demands; The government now wants equity in the companies and the return of a sizable portion of the bauxite concessions. (See page 2.) ii Secret Burma's Deputy Prime Minister, U L win, intends to press US officials for $80 million or more of aid during his visit to Washington in early October. His shopping list will include food and other consumer goods needed to prevent a recurrence of the June rioting over shortages and high prices. Prospects for Multinational enterprise in Latin America (See page 8.) The Economic Situation in South Vietnam, July 1974 (See page 8.) Recent Data Concerning Internal Economic Activities (See page A-1.1 Recent Data Concerning External Economic Activities (See page A-?.) Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Articles VENEZUELA: IRON ORE NATIONALIZATION COMES CLOSER Caracas has announced plans to assume complete ownership of Venezuela's iron ore mines by December 1974. The present concessionaires, subsidiaries of US Steel and Bethlehem Steel, probably will retain production and marketing functions under government- administered service contracts. Negotiations on compensation and the companies' future role are already under way because both sides are anxious to maintain a steady flow of ore. Compensation based on depreciated book value probably will be accepted by the companies to assure their continued access to Venezuelan ore, which makes up about one-third of US iron ore imports and 11% of US consumption. To prepare for the changeover, the government has established commissions to study the future administration of the mines and legal aspects of the nationalization. Caracas wants to avoid disruption of production and expansion programs during the takeover and recognizes the need for foreign technical and managerial assistance at least for the next two to three years. In addition, the government needs long-terns help in carrying out its plan for the rapid expansion of steelmakin,; capacity. Caracas may encounter labor problems as a result of the nationalization move. Workers are concerneu that nationalization might bring cuts in their high wages and disrupt fringe benefits such as subsidized commissaries, schools, and hospitals. to the uninterrupted flow of iron ore to the United States. SAUDI ARABIA: MANPOWER BOTTLENECK Inadequate manpower sharply limits the ability of Saudi Arabia to spend its oil wealth on internal industrialization. Although he has not spoken out on the subject, King Faysal puts domestic modernization ahead of massive downstream investment in other countries. American experts returning from the July US-Saudi working group meetings confirm the immediate need for developing extensive manpower training programs. Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Manpower training will be a slow process. More than half of the 1.5 million labor force is nomadic or rural - hard to train and often hard to hold on the job. Moreover, the population at large is only beginning to accept the kinds of skills and jobs required for economic development. Less than 10% of the 250,000 -workers entering the labor force in the next five years will have high school diplomas, and many vocational graduates are likely to have the wrong skills. The Saudis may have trouble just getting a comprehensive training program off the ground. Saudi Arabia will have to depend even more on foreign manpower in the next few years while awaiting progress in training its own nationals. Already the backbone of the industrial labor force, foreigners now make up at least 20% of all available manpower. The largest contingents are low-skilled workers from the Yemens and Oman. Non-Saudis reportedly hold 80% of the professional positions in the private sector and about 15% of the civil service jobs. Foreign professionals and skilled workers come mainly from Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, and Palestine. Several thousand Americans and West Europeans work in the oil and other modern industries. This dependence on foreigners will increase in the near term as the domestic industrialization program takes hold. Foreigners will be needed for the. construction and operation of new industrial facilities and for the training of the Saudi work force. The manpower bottleneck will induce Saudi planners to emphasize capital intensive projects, money being no object. l JAMAICA: FURTHER BAUXITE DEMANDS On top of increasing taxes by 500% last spring, Jamaica is taking further measures to squeeze every dollar out of its sizable bauxite resources. The final phase of Kingston's renegotiation of bauxite contracts with a Canadian and five US aluminum companies -- expected to begin in September - will deal with two key government demands: ? reversion to Jamaica of reserves exceeding 25 years of company needs and Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9 ? acquisition of an equity in the Jamaican subsidiaries of the companies. Both demands will be strongly resisted by the companies. The excess reserves could amount to as much as one-third to one-half of total Jamaican reserves of about 1 billion tons. The government thus far has offered to pay only the value of the surface rights of the land, presumably a fraction of the full value of the properties. On the equity participation issue, Prime Minister Manley has at times talked of demanding majority ownership in the subsidiaries. The government has not yet specified what shares it wants. The companies expect that Jamaica will settle initially for 10% or so, with provision for future increases. Jamaica is already making plans for the exploitation of the assets to be acquired. Manley has agreed to supply half the alumina - 215,000 tons annually -- required for a proposed 200,000-ton aluminum smelter. This plant is to be established in Trinidad joinVy by the governments of Jamaica, Trinidad, and Guyana, which is to provide the remaining alumina needed. Last week, following a two-day vis't by President Echeverria of Mexico, Kingston also announced plans to join Mexico in forming a joint company to produce alumina, aluminum, and fabricated aluminum products. Although no details of the scheme were provided, Jamaican-produced alumina presumably would be used to supply facilities to be located in Mexico. Many obstacles stand in the path of the projects. Financing has yet to be found, and it will take several years for Jamaica to substantially expand alumina-production capacity. CANADA: INTEREST IN URANIUM ENRICHMENT PLANTS Canada may become a major source of enriched uranium, as two consortia are pressing ahead with feasibility studies for the construction of gaseous diffusion plants. SERU Nuclear of Canada, Ltd. -- an affiliate of the French Commissariat a l'Energie Atomique (CEA) -- signed an accord on 25 July with two Canadian development companies to study the feasibility of building an enrichment plant in Quebec, using French gaseous diffusion technology. CEA set a target date of December 1974 for completing the study, to be followed within three months by a firm proposal if the project is practicable. A competing proposal has been under study since 1971 by the British Newfoundland Corporation (BRINCO), in association with West German and Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9 Japanese firms. Ottawa asked the United States last May to provide BRINCO with sufficient economic and technical data to conduct a thorough feasibility study for a uranium enrichment plant. BRINCO has considered sites where cheap hydroelectric power is available - in Quebec, Alberta, Newfoundland, and British Columbia. It hopes for approval of the project by 1976 in order to put a plant into operation by 1982, when the capacity of present US plants will be insufficient to meet Free World requirements. A Canadian enrichment plant would be a private venture, subject to special government approval. Because Canadian nuclear powerplants use natural uranium as fuel, an enrichment plant initially would serve only the foreign market. The results of the two feasibility studies probably will be favorable. Canada has large uranium and hydroelectric resources. (Electric power represents 70% of the operating cost of gaseous diffusion plants.) SOVIET GRAIN LOSS IN THE NEW LANDS hot and dry weather has killed a large share of the grain crop in three New Lands oblasts that were expected to account for 6% of Soviet production in 1974. The affected area -- Tselinograd and Pavlodar oblasts and Altay Kray, along the southern border of the New Lands -- contains about 10 million hectares of grain, primarily spring wheat. Above-average June rainfall had promised a good crop of almost 12 million tons. In the first half of July, however, scant rain fell in these areas during the critical heading stage, and temperatures were well above normal. Heavy rainfall and cooler weather during the third week in July were too late to save much of the crop. As a result, we estimate that 8 million tons of grain have been lost. This is about 4% of the total Soviet grain crop. We intend to publish next week an updated estimate of this year's total grain output in the USSR, based on an analysis of weather and other data through July. 4 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Secret Major Area of Spring Wheai Loss in New Lands r Each dot represents 5,uoo hectares sown to spring wvheot Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Slowdown in West German Export Boom Seasonally adjusted export volume fell by 15% in June, contributing to a sharp drop in the monthly trade surplus. For the second quarter of 1974 as a whole, volume was down 1%, compared with the previous period, the first quarterly decline since 1972. The value of exports nonetheless continued to rise, as prices turned up again. Because of the v!oridwide economic slowdown, prospects are for little growth in the volume of West German exports or imports in the second half. Since the terms of trade arc unlikely to deteriorate further, West Germany has ,uod chance of matching the $12 billion trace surplus of the first half. EC Beef Sale to the USSR Confirmed A sale to the USSR of 50,000 tons of French beef from EC stocks has been confirmed; nearly 10,000 tons has already been shipped. At 42 cents per pound, the sale brought in $46 million and cost the EC Commission about the same amount in subsidies. East Germany: Self-Sufficiency in N-ttrogen Fertilizer A large new complex under construction at Piestt;ritz should make the GDR self-sufficient in nitrogen fertilizer by 1976. In July, trial rum if the first urea plant began. The complex, the largest current investment project of the East German chemical industry, will consist of two 1,360-ton-per-day ammonia plants and three 6 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Trends in West German Exports *In terms of US $. tSeasonally adjusted. 7 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Secret urea plants producing more than one million tons a year (about 480,000 tons of nitrogen). The ammonia plants will u6e US technology and Japanese equipment; the urea plants are being built by Czechoslovakia using Dutch technology. East Germany imported 238,000 tons of nitrogen in 1972 and increased imports, by perhaps 20`/x, in 1973. A $220 million order for 4 ammonia plants from France announced in early August brings Soviet purchases since the fall of 1973 to at least 12. Meanwhile, the USSR is negotiating for 4 more plants, this time from Japan. The Japanese plants would add about 1.8 million tons in capacity to the 5.5 million-ton capacity of the 12 plants already contracted for. This capacity, which would come into operation in 1976-80 in support of the Soviet fertilizer program, would by itself exceed the 4.2 million-ton increment in ammonia production planned for 1971-75. Further additions will come from domestically supplied plants and, possibly, plants purchased from Czechoslovakia. Impact of EC Beef Ban on Latin American Exporters The EC ban on beef imports is cutting deeply into Latin American exports to EC countries, which totaled about $600 million last year. Argentina stands to lose as much as $300 million in export earnings. Shipments for the first half of this year declined 50%%, compared with the same period in 1973. Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay also are being hit hard, setting off a frantic search for alternative markets. The four countries have formally protested the ban and have approached Australian, East European, and other producers to consider forming a producers' group to stabilize trade and prices. Prospects for Multinational Enterprise in Latin America (ER IM 74-11, August 1974, This memorandum delineates the substantial economic and political influence of multinational corporations in Latin American countries. Many governments in the area are now moving to neutralize this influence, largely by taking over MNC investments. To retain an important presence in Latin America, the companies will have to accommodate further to the desires of host governments and adopt more flexible ways of doing business. The Economic Situation in South Vietnam, July 1974 (ER IR 74-20, July 1974, The July monthly discusses (1) Saigon's latest set of economic reforms, (2) continued inflation, (3) rice production outlook and crop diversification efforts, and (4) scrap metal exports. 8 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 INTERNAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS CNP' Constant Markel Prices Avuraeu Annual Avntallo Annual Growth Bale Since lituwlh Help Suit,, I'ercunt Change Lulus) Irvin Previous I Year Ihevmus I'nivvur Chanel- haleSt Item Pnrvn)us I Year J Mnnlli. 0uarter Over let 19111 Earlier aaerler Month Merrill 19111 l iii ' Lath r United States 74 II -0.3 3.0 --1.1 -1,2 Uni ted State s Jun 74 2.1 8 8 21.9 e J5A Japan 74 I -5.0 5.8 -3.6 -18.0 Jap an Jun 74 1.3 . 11.2 30,3 11 2 West Germany 74 1 1.2 3.5 1.5 5.0 We st Germa ny May 74 1.2 7.1 14.4 . 10.0 France 73 IV 1.8 5.8 5.7 7.3 Fra nce Jun 74 -1.0 12.8 34.3 13.0 United Kingdom 74 1 -3.5 1.9 -4,4 -13.3 Uni ted Kingd om May 74 2.1 10.9 24.5 35.0 Italy 73 IV 1.9 3,7 5.3 7,7 Ital y May 74 0.7 14.5 43.0 36.6 Canada 741 1.7 5.4 3.0 7.0 Can ada Apr 74 2.0 11.1 23.0 34.0 Average Annual Growth Rate Since Percenl Change Average Annual Growth Rate Since Let'' train Previous I Year 3 Months I'eisnnt Change Latest train Previous 1 Year 3 Months Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier" Manlh Munlh 19111 Earlier Earlier United States Jun 74 I 0 I 4.6 -0.1 2.4 Unit ed State s Jun 74 1 1.0 1 0.1 11.1 11 7 Japan Jun 74 -2.5 6.6 -0,9 -7.1 Jap an May 74 11.3 23.1 . 15.7 West Germany May74 1.1 3.5 0 -0.7 We st Germa ny Jun 74 6.3 0.9 6.5 France May 74 2.4 6.1 2.4 -1.1 Fran ce Jun 74 8.0 13.8 10.9 United Kingdom May74 -1.1 2.2 0.2 22.4 Unit ed Kingd om May 74 10.5 1 G.L! 25.3 Italy Apr 74 2.2 5.7 13.7 6.6 Italy Jun 74 9.5 10.0 16.9 Canada May 74 -0.5 6.2 2.0 2.5 Can ada Jun 74 6.5 11.4 15.5 RETAIL SALES' I Year 3 Months 1 Month Representative Rates Latest Date Earlier Earlier Earlier United States Dealer-placed finance paper Jul 31 11.50 8.13 9.00 9.00 Japan Call money Jul 24 13.00 7.50 12.00 12.63 West Germany Interbank loans(3Monlhs) Jul 31 9.20 14.13 9.16 9.60 France Call money Jul 24 13.63 8.38 12.75 14.50 United Kingdom Sterling interbank loan (3 m(i) Jul 31 13.32 11.50 13.50 13.27 'Saesonslly adjusted. " Canada Fi Average for latest 3 months compared nance paper Jul 31 11.53 7.55 11.50 11.00 with average for previous 3 months Euro-Dollars Three-month deposits Jul 31 13.31 11.35 11.53 13.41 . Current Prices Average Annual Growth Rate Since Average /tnnual Growth Rate Since Percent Change Latest train Previous I Year 3 Months M h e Percent Change Latest Iron Previous I Year 3 Months ont Mon t 1970 Earlier Earlier" Montle Month 1910 Earlier Earl United States Jun 74 -0.7 9.2 7.6 10.7 Unit ed States Jun 74 0.1 0.8 5.8 ier 10 7 Japan Mar74 -4.8 11.1 6.6 -1.8 Japa n Apr 74 -0.6 17.4 10.5 . 16 7 West Germany Mar74 -1.3 8.2 5.6 14.6 Wes t German y Apr 74 0.3 9.1 0.4 . 9.5 France Apr 74 -3.1 6.1 15.0 5.5 Fran ce Feb 4 -0.3 11.9 9.0 14.9 United Kingdom Mar 74 1.3 12.0 9.4 6.5 M 74 0 2 9 1 2 5 4 7 Italy Doc 73 3.0 17.2 25.5 47.0 Unit Italy ed Kingdo m ay vac 73 . - 2.6 . 21.2 . 17.9 . 22 1 Canada Apr 74 0.3 11.3 10.1 19.3 Cana da May 74 1.3 13.9 13.3 . 20.3 7 August 1974 Office of Economic Research/CIA Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 EXTERNAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS FXPt)IfTS' Ioh United States Japa11 West Germany Franco United Kingdom Italy Canada MPORTS" Iall. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Million 115 S Jun 74 I 11,357 Jun 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 May 74 4,030 0,677 4,001 3,200 2,30(1 2,002 Cunwlnhvn Million [IS S 40,600 24,010 43,043 22,251 17,111 13,316 12,012 32,110 10,03(0 29,013 10,010 13,013 9,401 10,077 lleirent hhuu;pi 45.1 47,5 44.4 31.5 25.7 41.6 20.9 Cmnulalrvn Million US S I'err.unl Jun 74 8,022 Jun 74 4,058 Jun 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 May 74 TRADE BALANCE" f o.h./f.o h. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada 5,041 4,173 4,422 2,864 2,035 30,714 24,031 23,234 17,308 12.190 33.058 41.8 14,190 84.7 23,330 31.7 16,303 47.4 15,498 49.9 10,672 02.2 9,220 32.0 Lntusl Mmnh Cunmlative (Million US S) Million US S 1974 1973 chen9e Jun 74 -205 -203 -948 695 Jun 74 -21 -1,588 2,501 -4,089 Jun 74 1.536 12,329 6,483 5,b45 Jun 74 -82 -1,780 615 -2,395 Jun 74 -1,141 -0,123 -1,885 -4,238 Jun 74 -554 -3,993 -1,271 -2,722 May 74 107 616 850 -242 BASIC BALANCE" Current and Long?Term-Capital Transactions Lalust penod Cumulation (Million US S) United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Million US S 1973 1972 741 2,065 2,065 -1.006 Jun 74 -1,190 -8,401 -4,373 Apr 74 860 3,253 917 73 IV - 431 - 2,471 - 369 73 IV -1,394 -3,164 -1,954 7311 -336 039 971 741 -195 -195 -191 United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Change 3,071 -4,027 2,336 -2,102 -1,210 -332 -4 End of 0dlom US S Jun 1970 Earlier rarlier Jun 74 14.9 14.5 12.9 14.6 Jun 74 13.4 4.1 15.2 12.4 May 74 34.4 8.8 31.4 32.0 Jun 74 8.2 4.4 11.6 8.1 Jun 74 6.7 2.8 7.0 6.4 May74 5.5 4.7 6.2 5.4 Jun 74 6.1 1 4.3 6.0 6.1 'Seasonally adjusted. "Converted into US dollars at current market rates of exchange. 7 P?rgust 1974 EXI'OHT PRICES (IS S United Stales Japan West Germany Franca United Kingdom Italy Called[] 1'nrcuul Chengo Lnuisl Inuu Ihnvmus Month Nonni Jun 74 I 3.1 May 74 Apr 74 Mar 74 Mar 74 Jun 74 Mar 74 EXPORT PRICES Notional Currency United States Japan West Germany Franca United Kingdom Italy Canada IMPORT PRICES National Currency United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada 5.1 6.2 7.2 -1.2 7.2 Aveiallo Annual Gtewlll (lute Since I'un:enl Cluugle- Lolosl hum 14uvmus I Yent Mouth Month 19711 Iarlmr Jun 74 May 74 Apr 74 Mar 74 Mar 74 Jan74 Mar 74 111711 11.8 17.2 15.1 13.1 11.0 10.0 14.2 2.5 --0.6 5.9 6.4 10.8 11.9 9.7 42.8 4.4 13.0 8.8 20.2 11.8 20.4 10.9 31.3 11.9 37.8 Avmage Annual Growth aalu Smce. Mouth Mmilh Jun 74 I 0 May 74 Apr 74 Mar 74 Mar 74 Jan 74 Mar 74 EXCHANGE RATES Spot Rate PS of 2 August 74 Japan limb larkl West Germany Mrkl Francelrrmc) (Pound United Kingdom sterhelp Italy Anal Canada (6ollarl US S Per Unit 0.0033 0.3887 0.2136 2.3845 0.0016 1.0220 19711 18.5 17.4 5.9 14.2 20.9 19.0 11.1 Average Annual Itowlh note Sulcn I Yuul f.mhm 20.0 35.9 27.0 12.0 19.4 10.1 41.3 I Yeas Enrher 47.8 02.4 23.3 52.1 60.9 65.5 33.8 Del: 66 20.41 54.61 5.79 -14.55 -3.50 10.80 TRADE-WEIGHTED EXCHANGE As of 2 Augusl 74 United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Dec. G6 -15.31 10.35 30.38 -16.80 -34.30 -25.72 7.94 18 Der. 19 Mar 1971 1073 2.31 -12.65 25.27 9.77 8.48 -3.09 -8.49 -3.11 -10.17 -12.71 2.43 2.44 20 Jot 1974 -1.83 -0.41 -0.05 -0.33 -0.90 -0.24 18 Dec 1971 -6.03 -3.19 13.42 -3.45 -20.13 -24.40 1.35 :1 Months Lmlwr 14.7 30.2 1 U2.3 8.7 49.0 -9.0 80.1 19 Mat 1973 0.55 -14.99 8.40 -5.90 -5.76 -17.4d 2.99 20 Jul 1974 0.61 -1.73 0.05 0.45 0.03 -0.57 -0.07 3 Months lam lint 14.7 14.0 31.9 32.7 44.5 52.2 60.8 "'Weighting Is based on each listed country's trade with 16 other industrialized countries to reflect the competitive Impact of exchange-rate variations among the major currencies. Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 3 Mmnhs Earlier 34.8 18.4 19.4 177.0 107.4 125.4 103.0 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9 IVItIHL rlllL tb 1001----------_. _.. ! . . . . i 1972 73 74 New York Dealers'Price. 11 is 11 ,r hd AuU 1974 l 73 Composite price. for Chicago, Philadelphia, and Pittsburgh. 'Approximates world market price; frequently used by major world producers and traders, although only small quantities of these metals are actually traded. "Producers' price; covers most primary metal sold in the United States 553410 e.7.1 4011 LEAD 101 1972 soot TIN 550 500.. 450 400 ?.... 0 0 350',.-- 245 1, . III :If. :1 )tit Am; 1374 A3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150034-9