MATRIX ON US-SOVIET SUMMITS, 1943-79

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 10, 2010
Sequence Number: 
12
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 25, 1985
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4.pdf355.9 KB
Body: 
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 25 July 1985 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Intelligence FROM: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: Matrix on US-Soviet Summits, 1943-79 1. This is a good analysis, but not very useful because not many people will work their way through it. What is needed is a narrative on each occasion starting at Vienna which would be highlighted that in June 1961 there was a meeting in Vienna -- two months later the Berlin Wall, atmospheric testing, and then the Cuban missile crisis. In July 1967 there was Glassboro -- 11 months later there was Czechoslovakia, etc. 2. I think what is needed is a thumbnail sketch with about 10 sentences on each situation. William J. Casey Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 24 July 1985 Memorandum for: Deputy Director for Intelligence DDZ- of the Domestic Policy Division prepared the attached matrix in response to your request for a survey of the goals and results of previous US- Soviet summits. As you will note, we had to be selective in deciding what to include in column 4 (Subsequent Developments). We tried to include the most important post- summit developments and--at the same time--keep the presentation as brief as possible. Deputy Director, S OVA Office of Soviet Analysis Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda 1. TEHRAN Agreement on an occupation regime November 1943 for Germany Big Three Roosevelt & Stalin Agreement on the political future (with Churchill) of Eastern Europe, particularly US-SOVIET SUMMITS, 1943-79 Immediate Results Various proposals--no agreement Informal recognition of USSR's right to have "friendly" governments on its borders Agreement to recognize USSR's 1939 borders with Poland in the East and compensate Poland in the West 2. YALTA February 1945 for Germany Big Three Roosevelt & Stalin (with Churchill) Agreement on the political future of Eastern Europe Agreement to open second front in Spring 1944 No final agreement--zones of occupation set up as temporary measure Signing of Declaration on Liberated Europe providing for free elec- tions and governments represent- ative of all democratic elements Roosevelt wished to preserve allied cooperation to facilitate creation of postwar world organ- ization (eventually became the UN). Stalin wanted Allies to set a date for opening a second front in Europe. Agreement on an occupation regime Subsequent Developments The Red Army moved rapidly westward to take control of Eastern Europe, establishing a de facto occupation zone. Soviet authorities set up "friendly" governments according to their own definition--Communist-dominated and pro-Soviet. Soviets eventually agreed to join in forming the UN. Allies landed in Normandy in June 1944. Occupation regime became a point of cl5ntention among the allies. Zones became permanent divisions. Soviet occupation authorities in Eastern Europe unilaterally determined which parties met the criteria for participation in national governments. Sovietization of Eastern Europe followed. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results Poland was to have free elections with anti-Nazi and "democratic" parties participating. Poland's Western border was set at "Oder-Neisse" line. Stalin wanted substantial reparations Figure of $10 billion accepted from Germany and US assistance in as basis for negotiation on postwar Soviet reconstruction, reparations. US decided not to discuss assistance pending evidence of Soviet compliance with other agreements. Roosevelt wanted Soviet assistance in USSR was promised lower Sakhalin final conquest of Japan and an and Kurile Islands and concessions agreement on-UN voting procedures, at China's expense. USSR promised to declare war on Japan within 3 months of VE day. USSR was given three seats in UN and permanent right of veto. 3. POTSDAM Basic outline for a peace treaty July- August 1945 with Germany Big Three Truman & Stalin (with Churchill and then--after Churchill's election defeat--Atlee) Allied Control Council was set up to coordinate occupation policies. Zones of occupations were confirmed. Negotiation of peace treaty was delegated to Council of Foreign Ministers. Subsequent Developments Ambiguity of the agreement on Poland's border was the cause of problems. There are eastern and western branches of the Neisse River, and the Soviets insisted on setting the border at the western branch. US Congress prohibited use of lend- lease aid for reconstruction in March 1945. USSR declared war on Japan on schedule August 8, 1945. Breakdown of allied cooperation in administering Germany Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference 4. GENEVA July 1955 Big Four Eisenhower, Khrushchev & Bulganin (with Eden and Faure) Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results Subsequent Developments Truman wanted assurance of Soviet Stalin brushed aside allied Continued Sovietization of Eastern compliance with the Declaration on concerns. Europe Liberated Europe. Stalin wanted agreement on reparations Agreement on reparations: each Disputes over occupation policies from Germany, reversal of the US power to take reparations from led to cutoff of reparations to government's cutoff of lend lease, and its own zone; additional the USSR from Western zones. US assistance in Soviet postwar reparations were to be provided to reconstruction, the USSR from Western zones Discussion of German reunification and No agreement peace settlement (The conference took place two months after the signing of the Austrian State Treaty, which provided for the reunification and neutralization of Austria.) Discussion of disarmament: Soviet No agreement--issues of verifi- proposal--disband NATO and Warsaw Pact cation and intrusion are major alliances and withdraw foreign troops, obstacles. US counterproposal--open the skies over both countries to aerial surveillance Discussion of the situation in Eastern Soviets refused to discuss. Europe Discussions of the situation in China Americans refused to discuss. and Formosa Getting acquainted "Spirit of Geneva"--a' temporary improvement in the atmospherics of East-West relations Soviet ultimatum on Berlin, November 1958 (Khrushchev gave the West six months to come to an agreement with the USSR and East Germany on "normalizing" the status of West Berlin). Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results 5. CAMP DAVID Discussion of German reunification and Khrushchev withdrew his ultimatum September 1959 peace settlement on Berlin. Eisenhower & Khrushchev Discussion of tensions in Europe 6. PARIS May 1960 Eisenhower & Khrushchev (with Macmillan and de Gaulle) Khrushchev wanted to explore US views on relations with Red China. Getting acquainted: Khrushchev invited Eisenhower to visit Moscow after Big Four summit. Eisenhower tried to assure Khrushchev of Washington's peaceful intentions. Discussion of disarmament Discussion of German reunification and peace settlement. Khrushchev demanded American apology for U-2 overflights (U-2 shot down May 1, 1960). Agreement to hold Big Four summit ASAP Eisenhower refused to pursue Khrushchev's opening. Eisenhower accepted the invitation. "Spirit of Camp David"--a tempo- rary improvement in the atmo- spherics of US-Soviet relations Conference broke up in furor over the U-2 incident. Khrushchev withdrew the invitation for Eisenhower to visit Moscow. Subsequent Developments Eisenhower accepted responsibility Khrushchev suggested he would like to hold for the U-2 incident but did not another summit in 6-8 months--with the next apologize. president. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results Subsequent Developments 7. VIENNA Discussion of US and Soviet relations No agreement June 1961 with Cuba Kennedy & Khrushchev Discussion of German reunification Khrushchev renewed his ultimatum Ultimatum was later dropped, but construc- and peace settlement on Berlin. tion of Berlin wall began in August 1961. Agreement on nuclear test ban Soviets resumed atmospheric testing. Khrushchev reportedly wished to take Cuban Missile Crisis, October 1982 the measure of Kennedy and, if possible, intimidate him. Kennedy sought to overcome differences that had exacerbated US-Soviet relations by projecting an image of reasonableness. Discussion of political-military situation in Southeast Asia Agreement to work for neutral- ization of Laos Fragile neutralism established in Laos. 8. GLASSBORO July 1967 Johnson & Kosygin Discussion of the situation in the Middle East in the wake of the June 1967 Arab-Israeli War Discussion of measures to control strategic arms, particularly ABMs No agreement Friendly discussion, but no agreement August 19, 1968--Agreement to start SALT in October 1968. Johnson invited to Moscow for opening of talks. August 20, 1968--Soviets invade Czechoslovakia. SALT talks postponed. Johnson visit cancelled. Discussion of military and politicial No agreement. situation in Vietnam Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda NOTE: According to Soviet defector Arkadiy Shevchenko, Kosygin wanted to avoid the meeting if possible because he feared that a lack of progress would undermine his reputation as negotiator. Immediate Results Subsequent Developments 9. MOSCOW May 1972 Nixon & Brezhnev Discussion of measures to place numerical limits on strategic arms Discussion of controls on qualitative improvement of strategic arms Agreement on US-Soviet trade and joint cooperation in other areas Brezhnev sought to win US recognition of the Soviet Union's superpower status and to secure US economic cooperation in an effort to ease Soviet economic problems. Nixon sought to moderate Soviet behavior by enmeshing the USSR in a web of cooperative arrangements. He also hoped to persuade the Soviets to influence North Vietnam to agree to acceptable peace terms. Interim Agreement and ABM Treaty signed. Postponed for further negotiation US began MIRVing in 1973. Soviets began MIRVing and accuracy improvements in 1974. Joint trade commission established Trade agreement negotiations were to pursue negotiations completed in October 1972 Agreements signed in areas of Grain purchase agreement signed July 1972. health, environment, and space Signing of Basic Principles of US The October 1973 Middle East War frayed this Soviet Relations: both sides agreement. promise to act jointly to prevent situations capable of exacerbating bilateral relations and forswear pursuit of unilateral advantage at each other's expense No formal agreement Vietnamese peace agreement reached in January 1973. __ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results Subsequent Developments 10. WASHINGTON June 1973 Nixon & Brezhnev 11. MOSCOW June 1974 Nixon & Brezhnev Continuation of 1972 expectations Agreement on additional measures to limit strategic arms Discussion of the Middle East situation following the October 1973 Arab-Israeli War Discussion of measures to expand US-Soviet trade and granting Most-Favored-Nation status to the USSR Discussion of the Middle East situation Agreement to continue summits on a regular basis. Nixon invited to visit Moscow in 1974 Agreement on peaceful uses of atomic energy Agreement to begin urgent consultations in case of threat of nuclear war between the parties or between the parties and third countries Commitment to continue negotiations toward a permanent treaty to succeed interim agreement No progress No formal agreement US-Soviet trade increased. Watergate crisis worsened executive-congressional relations. Through the Jackson-Vanik amendment, Congress linked MFN to Jewish emigration from Soviet Union. The Soviets repudiated the Soviet-American Trade Agreement in January 1975. No agreement President Nixon resigned in August 1974 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88BOO443ROO1704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results Subsequent Developments Signed previously prepared agreements on limiting nuclear tests, reducing ABM sites, and economic, industrial and technical cooperation Agreement to pursue negotiations on quantitative and qualitative limita- tion of strategic arms toward a treaty lasting until 1985 US wanted to discuss North Vietnamese No agreement Fall of Saigon, April 1975 violations of Paris Peace Accords. 12. VLADIVOSTOK Strategic Arms Limitation-- November 1974 progress on a permanent treaty and Ford & Brezhnev launcher and MIRV limits Vladivostok Accords agreed on In March 1977, the Carter equal numerical ceilings on Administration proposed going beyond launchers and sub-ceilings on the Vladivostok Accords to seek deep MIRVed launchers. cuts in force ceilings. The Soviets rebuffed Carter's efforts. 13. HELSINKI Informal talks held in US and CSCE Accords were signed, but August 1975 Soviet embassies on the occasion there was no formal bilateral Ford & Brezhnev of the meeting of heads of state US-Soviet agreement to sign the Helsinki Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe. 14. VIENNA Finalization of negotiations on SALT II Treaty signed. June 1979 SALT II Treaty Carter & Brezhnev Increasing Soviet and Cuban involvement in Third World became a major source of tension in US-Soviet relations. Soviets proceeded to ignore the human rights provisions of the Helsinki Accords. US intelligence reports of the existence of a Soviet combat brigade in Cuba raised the issues of whether the Soviets had complied with the Cuban'Missile Crisis Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4 Conference Expectations and Agenda Immediate Results Subsequent Developments Accords and whether they could be trusted to adhere to any international agreement. The Soviets invaded Afghanistan in December 1979. In January 1980, President Carter withdrew the SALT II Treaty from Senate consideration and announced an embargo of grain sales and suspension of exchanges with the Soviet Union. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/03/11: CIA-RDP88B00443R001704330012-4