MEETING WITH DUARTE: APRIL 18

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
3
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 3, 2011
Sequence Number: 
16
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 19, 1986
Content Type: 
CABLE
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PDF icon CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9.pdf137.4 KB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/12/29: CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9 ALA/MC/N INCOMING SFCREI IMMFC,I,1,TE 86 061563? SSO PAGE 001 NC 0615639 TOR. 1923577 APR 86 SAN SA 05363 -------------------------------- ---------------------------------------- 00 RUEAIIE ZN'` SSSSS ZOC STATE 77e STU3662 00 RUEHC RUEHLL DE RUEHSN 95363/01 1091630 7N'? SSSSS 77H 0 1916287 APR 86 FM AMEMBASS'i SAN SALVADOR TO RUEHC,SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2222 INFO RUEHLL,CONTADORA COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE ET SALVADOR 05363 E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: PREL, ES, XK, NU SUBJECT: MEETING WITH DUARTE: APRIL 18 2. SUMMAR?: DUARTE BELIEVES THAT NICARAGUA WILL NOT SIGN A CONTADORA AGREEMENT AND HE INTENDS TO PURSUE THE POLITICAL ADVANTAGE B' CONTINUING TO PRESS DEMOCRATI- ZATION IN COOPERATION WITH THE OTHER DEMOCRACIES. HE SEES COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, AND PANAMA AS MORE HELPFUL CURRENTL' TO THE DEMOCRACIES THAN THE SUPPORT GROUP COUNTRIES. THE LATTER ARE MORE INTENT ON THE "ORIGINAL CONTADORA CONCEPT -- LIMITING U.S. INFLUENCE IN CENTRAL AMERICA." HE BELIEVES ARGENTINA, URUGUAY, AND EVEN PERU ARE SALVAGEABLE, HOWEVER, IF APPROACHED SO AS NOT TO AROUSE THEIR "ANTI-IMPERIALIST" BENT -- WHICH IS EMOTIONAL WITH THE ARGENTINES AND URUGUAYANS, IDEOLOGI- CAL WITH THE PERUVIANS. I CAUTIONED THAT THE SANDI- NISTAS MAY BE FEIGNING OPPOSITION TO A CONTADORA AGREE- MENT AND URGED DUARTE NOT TO NEGLECT SUBSTANCE. I STRESSED THAT A GOOD AGREEMENT MUST BE COMPREHENSIVE, VERIFIABLE, AND SIMULTANEOUS. DUARTE AGREED. DUARTE WAS UNAWARE THAT THE GUATEMALANS MAY HAVE BACKED OFF THEIR PROPOSAL TO DELAY ELECTIONS FOR A CENTRAL AMERICAN PARLIAMENT UNTIL A SECOND STAGE. HE NOTES THAT GUATEMALA WANTS A FOREIGN POLICY SUCCESS AT ESOUIPULAS AND THAT NICARAGUA HAS OBTAINED LEVERAGE BY THREATENING TO PULL OUT. HOWEVER, THE GUATEMALANS HAD JOINED THE OTHER DEMOCRACIES IN A JOINT STATEMENT OF VICE PRESIDENTS EARLIER IN THE DAY IN COSTA RICA, A GOOD SIGN. END SUMMARY. 3. AMBASSADOR CORR AND I HAD A LONG, SUBSTANTIVE TALK ON CONTADORA AND RELATED ISSUES OVER DINNER WITH PRESIDENT DUARTE APRIL 18. DUARTE'S CONTADORA TEAM WAS OUT OF THE COUNTRY; HE BROUGHT HIS CLOSEST POLITI- CAL ADVISERS INSTEAD: MINISTER OF CULTURE REY PRENDES: Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/12/29: CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/12/29: CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9 SECRET 36 G615639 SSO PAGE 002 NC 0615639 TOR: 192357Z APR 86 SAN SA 05363 HIS SON ALEJANDRO; SAN SALVADOR MAYOR MORALES ERHLICH; AND GUEVARA-LACAYO, PRESIDENT OF THE LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY. EMBASSY STAFF AND MY PARTY WERE ALSO PRESENT. 4. DUARTE RESPONDED AT LENGTH TO MY REQUEST THAT HE EXPLAIN HOW HE SEES CONTADORA AND WHERE IT IS GOING. HE SEES THE CARABALLEDA MESSAGE OF LAST JANUARY AS HAVING NEARLY RETURNED THE PROCESS TO CONTADORA'S "ORIGINAL PURPOSE OF LIMITING U.S. INFLUENCE IN CENTRAL AMERICA." FOR THIS HE BLAMES THE SUPPORT GROUP COUN- TRIES -- WHERE "ANTI-IMPERIALISM" RUNS STRONG. IT WAS COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, AND EVEN PANAMA THAT HAD GOTTEN CONTADORA BACK ON TRACK AT THE LAST CONTADORA MEETING. HE SEES THE SUPPORT GROUP COUNTRIES AS HAVING ALMOST TAKEN CONTADORA OVER AND IS VISITING URUGUAY, ARGENTINA, AND PERU NEXT MONTH TO COUNTER NICARAGUAN EFFORTS. HE PLANS TO SELL SALVADORAN DEMOCRACY, NOT TO BASH NICARAGUA. CRITICIZING NICARAGUA WOULD RISK RUNNING AFOUL OF SOUTH AMERICAN ANTI-IMPERIALISM, AN EMOTIONAL BENT IN THE ARGENTINES AND URUGUAYANS, AN IDEOLOGICAL TENET WITH THE PERUVIANS. DESPITE THE RISKS, HE SEES THE TRIP AS WORTH MAKING BECAUSE ALL THREE PRESIDENTS ARE GENUINELY DEMOCRATIC -- "EVEN GARCIA.,, 5. DUARTE SEES NICARAGUA'S REFUSAL TO SIGN A CONTADORA AGREEMENT AS A COMBINATION OF SOVIET AND CUBAN INFLUENCE AND SANDINISTA COMMUNIST IDEOLOGY. HE IS CONVINCED THAT IF THE CENTRAL AMERICANS KEEP UP THE PRESSURE ON DEMOCRATIZATION THE NICARAGUANS WILL NEVER SIGN. EL SALVADOR IS READY TO SIGN AN AGREEMENT, AND MAY GO AHEAD AND SIGN ONE JUNE 6 WHATEVER NICARAGUA DOES. I COUN- SELED CAUTION. NICARAGUA COULD WELL CHANGE ITS POSI- TION WHEN IT HAS GOTTEN WHAT IT WANTS IN THE AGREEMENT - AN OLD COMMUNIST TACTIC. THE SUBSTANCE OF WHAT IT WOULD TAKE TO OBTAIN A GOOD AGREEMENT SHOULD NOT BE NEGLECTED, I SAID. WHAT WE MEAN BY A GOOD AGREEMENT IS THAT IT MUST BE COMPREHENSIVE. VERIFIABLE, AND SIMULTANEOUS. DUARTE AGREED. HE SAID THAT IF THE NICARAGUANS SUDDENLY SHOWED INTEREST IN CONCLUDING AN AGREEMENT, EL SALVADOR WOULD SAY "FINE. NOW LET'S DISCUSS WHAT IT WILL TAKE TO MAKE AN AGREEMENT WORK." EL SALVADOR WILL NOT LET NICARAGUA WEAKEN SECURITY AND OTHER PROVISIONS, HE ADDED. THERE WOULD ALSO NEED TO BE VERY CAREFULLY WORKED OUT "MECHANISMS" AND VERIFICATION PROCEDURES. 6. DUARTE AT SEVERAL POINTS EXPRESSED DOUBT ABOUT GUATEMALA'S SOLIDARITY WITH THE OTHER DEMOCRACIES. HE S E C R E T SECTION 02 OF 02 SAN SALVADOR 05363 E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: PREL. ES, XK, NU SUBJECT: MEETING WITH DUARTE: APRIL 18 SAID THE FOUR CENTRAL AMERICAN VICE PRESIDENTS HAD MET JUST THAT DAY IN SAN JOSE (ON THE MONGE INITIATIVE) AND SIGNED A JOINT STATEMENT THAT CONTINUED THE RECENT EMPHASIS ON DEMOCRATIZATION AS KEY TO PEACE. THE GUATEMALAN HAD BEEN NERVOUS ABOUT SIGNING, BECAUSE NICARAGUA HAS THREATENED TO PULL OUT OF THE ESQUIPULAS SUMMIT IF THE OTHERS GANG UP ON IT. DUARTE WAS UNAWARE THAT THE GUATEMALANS (ACCORDING TO WHAT CEREZO TOLD US) MAY HAVE BACKED OFF THEIR PROPOSAL TO APPOINT RATHER THAN ELECT MEMBERS OF A CENTRAL AMERICAN PARLIAMENT. HE NOTED, HOWEVER, THAT THE GUIDELINES THAT GUATEMALA RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC ALONG THOSE LINES REPRESENTED GUATEMALA'S POSITION. IT WAS NOT A CONSENSUS DOCU- SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/12/29: CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/12/29: CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9 SECRET 86 ('61563C 550 PAGE 00-' NC 061563? TOP: 1223577 APR 86 SAN SA ('5363 ----------------------------------------------------------- ------------- MENT. EL SALVADOR AND THE OTHERS WOULD CONTINUE TO PRESS FOR INITIAL. DIRECT ELECTIONS. A PARLIAMENT WITHOUT NICARAGUA IS A POSSIPILIT,, GUEVARO-LAMA-O SAIP. ON THE ES(--)UIPULAS SUMMIT. DUARTE TOLD US THAT THE GUATEMALAN BISHOP IS INVITING HIS FOUR CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLEAGUES (06ANDO Y BRAVO IN THE CASE OF NICARAGUAI TO ESi)UIPULAS. HE SAID THE CONTRA ISSUE WILL BE KEPT OFF THE AGENDA. HE HAS DEFENDED ITS EXCLUSION ON THE GROUNDS THAT IF THE CENTRAL AMERICANS CAN FIND TPEIP OWN SOLUTION TO THEIR INTERNAL POLITICAL CRISIS. THEN THE PROBLEM OF FOREIGN INTERFERENCE WILL BE EAS' TO TAKE CARE OF. HE SAYS THIS LINE APPEALS TO CEREZ_O AND WILL BE ADOPTED Br THE FOUR. 8. COMMENT: I TOLD DUARTE THAT HE HAS OBVIOUSLY THOUGHT THROUGH THE ISSUES AND IS FOLLOWING A SOPHISTICATED STRATEGY. IT COMPLEMENTS U.S. POLICY NICELY. I ADDED. HOWEVER. THAT IT IS A STRATEGY HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON CENTRAL AMERICAN UNITY AND CAUTIONED SEVERAL TIMES AGAINST COMPLACENCY ON SECURITY ISSUES AND NICARAGUAN INTENTIONS. I MENTIONED THAT IT MIGHT BE USEFUL FOR OUR CONTADORA STAFFS TO COMPARE NOTES AGAIN. AS THEN HAVE IN THE PAST, ON PROBLEMS WITH THE CURRENT DRAFT ALTA. HE READILY AGREED. CORR END OF MESSAGE SECRET SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/12/29: CIA-RDP88B00443R000401950016-9