TORS FOR NSDD-57, US POLICY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP97M00248R000401000001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 18, 2010
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 16, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

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STAT
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TRANSMITTAL SLIP
TO:
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arch
FROM: J?E 41 C1A Nqs.
FORM NO. nHHICH MAY BE USED.
FEB 56 24 1 WHICH M.
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EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT
ROUTING SLIP
9 m/NIC X
10 GC
11 IG
12 Compt
13 D/Oll
14 D/PAO
15 VC/NIC
16 I0/AF
17
18 C/AF/DO X
19 ES
20
21
22
SUSPENSE i ~,- -
Date
ave 111O/AF take lead in
providing coordinated comments direct (with cc: ES)
to NSC Staff as requested.
Remarks To 9: Please h
T~a.~ To: 'rh o
STAT
_Mav 86
Dote
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1. *VW l
SECRET
TO:
room: Ar
Chaat?r A. Crocker
UBJaCT: i IG Review of MBDD-57
. US Policy in the Horn of Africa
As agried at :ta,at 1N?Ic?a ?eeti
terms of reference for a fresh inter-agencre ~finq draft
We believe we are ?11 in agr??m~ent that dramattvie e changes hapNSDD-S7.
Sudan, Mengistu'e and Stad'? a 9.s in
and the growing threat of ?7[ Warent gneue to negotiate,.
Influence require us to r'?i~nded Libyan n activities and
to ?xaain? possible 0S inio?atiatiU?s o toetu?her ivurhet-lregion
and
these changed circ:uaatan The study should address the
v?a in
following issues: I. ? ? lne ID M1tiws
in the Nor
A? us military aao
identifies this all the /r?iuir*o*nts. NSDD-57
what extent have we brat ?rsUS ob)sctly? in the re
arranQets?nts deaired~ or tbO" requiretments; Are, tiew on. TO
Propositioning of ?;Uipa~?rit for CltWTCOM7 ?riuuld be done about
%W-
i
'P
AID/AP1R/tA
6/P
AP/R.A
A?/CPS
I NR/AA
NRA/EGY
'Pit/ I SP
pM/6AS
. PP
DS
AID/AA/APR
N6C - v barrio ,~
"-!I Aingdahl
DOD/081)/IgA HE.
Mr. Jim Woods
DOD/OJCB"JS - Col. Thoaas O'Connell
USCENTenm - .._
AID/APR/PD ? Morse
- Mr !i
R'amA.npu916. /) 4 .'Il.; Yl
May 1:, 1986
Mr. Dean Curran
Aab. C. William
Mr. Stave K1emp
Mr. Peter Lande
- Mr. Anthony Dais
- Mr. John Norcis
- Don Braun
Mr. Jim Pierce
Kont urs
Mr. Dufour Mool t l
Mr. Scott McGuire
Mr. hark Edelman
St
Mr
eve Mints
AID/APR/DC6
?
Mr ! d
Math&ni - ....
Treasury - ^r.l
IMP/OSEr rt Anderson
.
DCI/Ar/NH - ^r
DSAj
DCI/WIC
SIA/R11Z.k - Mr. prankuWardger
S - $r? Lmonard luza
- wa
Mr
25X1
25X1
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S? Deter and counter attacks and soma al? 1 , tat ton
efforts against friendly states. Ethiopia temai118 a major
force for destabilization In the region. I.lt:ya's 4irowing
influer.ee in Sudan is a major concern. What are they
possible/appropriate 0? responses? What are the tc,lr.
EgYPt ? Kenya and other f tieandly states in t tie r e.)l c,n T s of
C.
c0untfL 'mProseinhehecoo lc and poi i t t ra l st atti 1 ity of
assistance ro caaas we have large economic
P 9 to Several or the cou?ities of the region.
Nov should we use out aid resource@ in Sudan dutiny what will
Inevitably be a slow process of restoring etcony economic
manageaen , recovery of t
minimum d bt service? sports and ability to meet even
to economic reform as 41 ij:swiehed nt[
Political u.?its usettAlA be linked
goals? advance
D. OS response to local conflicts.
overtures Ito Somalia otter the possib- M Hr u e
settiemen to a conflict of long standing. To what extent Are
uni influence acefultrSsoloti n of othereconflict5 es es ally
that withi the $udea. low do We address the ethiopi~aniinsurgent s in the curcont contests
t. To reduce a,td ultiaaately remove Soviet and
Soviet-pr y inll'u"altoe IN the region. principal Soviet "" of i*flueoceIn the region. How Hiws gohm
galvanise our Allies to restrict u assistanee~ to ithi growing amounts or long-ter
m
changes in. ethiopi'saeconomiicc,taforeignhanciaintet na r on o Nov might Ve exploit Ilen9istu's fears about Soviet a intentions?
licies?
Nov should we use any residual OS relief aid be
maintain positive image* of the US within Ethioj iatland86 to
strengthen non-goveraaar ftal Organisations such as the Ethiopian
Orthodox Church? P
violations as part Of a~[at w use athiopia's human rights
home and In his rogional e9y to pressure Mengtetu both at
policies?
II. _ Current it
rn: Trends for the Put
ure
A. Political Review of the Horn. needs to be updat sod to take account of new P II tic a 1 NSDD-57
developments in th region. What does the t?li tel
instability in Su;l;a.n mean for the reg ion? impact of continued
Promote stabs lity;t What are the ant ici at edWhat V611 we do to
the Soviets, Libyilr.s and Others p r"ltterestluence of
can we best confront these challengesTtl to u~ ir,tetaT Now
"' RET
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Security. Now do we deal with the threat of
Now can we adopt our program to maintain our
while reduclpg atstf?
et, rconc,, lc review. growth tot key friends, What are 4-r vuier~'t tl 101 economic use Sudan, Aoaalle, Rr.ne:
our aid progtc,ss in these difficult circumr,terkices1hohat
we
are thw views of other donors and outlook for What
the near tera7' a e$,ranee flows
flow man w achieve
and coordination In the key cow ntriesrrti+hat arenar consensus
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levels and forma of DI assistance ppropriate
Ethiopia?: pacticulariy in Sudan and
C.
terrorism?
Objectives
M.
IlevOMaend
ciea in the Region
Military/securlcy assistance.
le. Economic assistance.
C. Instruments of leverage and Us intlur.nce: with
out allie , with friendly Countries in the region, with our
?nemies;
D. Dowsstic and Congressional Basis for support.
This review should lf-olude Us regional approaches,
bilateral actions, as well as possible
allies an other friendly ata'es with intereststinntheiregion.
We would appr?b(:I&te Your aosments and au
may 16. Ypu can tutward then to David Fischer,~tlDir-ector, tfor
East Africa, mom 5260 (647-9742).
Draitedl,LT/E,DJT bersaj
5/12/66:ii x.1242 Cleared by :AF, x op
60427
w[T
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EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT
ROUTING SLIP
DDS&T
Chm/NIC
Comp
D/OLL
D%PAO
VC/NIC'
NIO/AF
D/ALA DI
C/AF DO
ES
Remarks TQ 9:. P1 ease. i oye :NIQ./AF to ke 1 ea'd in
rQvld.ing coordinated comments direct (with.c
9 N$C "Staff s r quested
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