CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025200040001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 21, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 6, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A025200040001-7
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
Top Secret
C 204
6 September 1973
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A025200040001-7
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A025200040001-7
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A025200040001-7
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6 September 1973
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
CAMBODIA: Khmer Communist forces close on Kompong
Cham City. (Page 1)
VIETNAM: Communists trying to reduce scope of ICCS.
(Page 2)
NORWAY: Major political alliances in disarray as
elections near. (Page 3)
AUSTRALIA: Export controls on meat a probability.
(Page 4)
SUDAN: Government declares state of emergency.
(r3a. 5)
FOR THE RECORD: (Page 6)
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CAMBODIA: Khmer Communist forces continue to
close in on Kompong Cham City. The situation de-
teriorated further yesterday, when the insurgents
stepped up their pressure against government posi-
tions just northwest and southwest of the isolated
northern provincial capital. At last report, some
Communist elements had infiltrated sections of the
city itself, and government forces were pulling back
in some disarray. Government battalions have made
little progress in their effort to open a section
of Route 7 on the western outskirts of the city.
The Communist threat to government defenses
on the city's eastern edge has diminished temporarily
as a result of effective fire support from Cambodian
Navy vessels on the Mekong. This force has already
expended half of its ammunition, however, and sev-
eral vessels are returning to Phnom Penh today to
pick up fresh supplies.
In the Phnom Penh area, government units of the
1st Division have made no headway in reopening
Route 4 near Ang Snuol, 15 miles from the capital.
The operation has been hindered by bickering between
senior commanders. Other government forces moving
on Ang Snuol from the southwest, however, are making
some progress against light resistance. South of
Phnom Penh, scattered fighting is continuing along
several sections of Routes 2 and 201 as 3rd Division
elements seek to re-establish control over the two
25:0 roads.
6 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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VIETNAM: The Communists are trying to reduce
the scope of the ICCS by urging a cutback in its
personnel. Hanoi and the PRG have sent diplomatic
notes to the ICCS members proposing that they "con-
sider immediately" such a cutback. The language of
the notes suggests that Hanoi may be laying the
groundwork for a later demand that ICCS regional and
local teams be removed, leaving only the ICCS head-
quarters in Saigon.
The Communist side, using the argument that the
ICCS should ?be basically a mediating rather than an
investigative body, has been pushing for a reduction
in ICCS activities almost since the commission's es-
tablishment. This effort does not necessarily indi-
cate that Hanoi plans a major increase in its mili-
tary or political activity in the countryside, but
it does suggest that the Communists find the pres-
ence of ICCS teams throughout the country politically
and psychologically inhibiting.
In all likelihood, the Communists would prefer
to reshape the ICCS before the new Iranian team gets
established. They probably will use the commission's
recurrent financial difficulties to back up their
arguments that its activities should be curtailed.
Even if this Communist pressure fails, the ICCS
is not likely to be as vigorous as it was before
Canada's departure. The Iranians will probably play
a more passive role than the Canadians did, and in
any case it will take them some time to get the feel
of the situation. There is no indication that the
Communist members of the ICCS, Poland and Hungary,
intend to be any more cooperative than in the past,
although Poland has stopped suggesting that it might
withdraw.
6 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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NORWAY: Shattered political alliances continue
to mar prospects for a stable government after the
Norwegian elections on 9-10 September.
Nearly all of Norway's traditional parties still
suffer from divisions caused by the referendum last
year in which EC membership was rejected. Some of
the non-Socialist parties that normally could be
counted on to try to form a coalition may find co-
operation difficult. Internal party splits, also
caused by the EC issue, have resulted in the forma-
tion of several splinter parties. A rightist, anti-
tax movement and a plethora of small parties with
narrow, parochial interests add to the confusion.
The latest polls continue to show Labor with
about 41 percent and the five largest non-Socialist
parties with more than 46 percent of the vote. Some
of these polls concluded, however, that Labor, com-
bined with the small leftist parties, will win a
plurality. Prospects for a leftist coalition appear
better than a reconstitution of the center-right
coalition which is still recovering from the outcome
of the EC referendum. A Labor victory that would
permit the party to govern alone or with the support
of leftists on domestic issues and non-Socialists
on defense and foreign policy might provide the best
chance for stability.
Norwegians will be saddled for the next four
years with whatever parliamentary mix they choose.
The constitution does not provide for dissolving
parliament or for calling early elections. If the
voters and politicians exercise the same stubborn
independence they demonstrated in the EC referendum,
Oslo may face an important period in European his-
tory with unstable coalition governments similar to
the present weak mini-coalition.
6 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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AUSTRALIA: Canberra probably will impose export
controls on meat in the next few weeks in an effort
to reduce domestic meat prices. The US Embassy in
Canberra reports that controls will probably take
the form of selective quotas, which will prevent the
export of those types of meat in high demand on the
domestic market. Beef of first-grade export quality,
which is shipped primarily to Japan and the UK, will
be hardest hit by the proposed controls. Shipments
to the US, which account for nearly half of US beef
imports, also will be affected.
6 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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SUDAN: Reacting to the threat of a general
strike, the government yesterday declared a state
of emergency that empowers it to suspend civil
rights.
The threat was presented to the government by
six union leaders, including a representative of the
key Railway Workers Union, acting in sympathy with
dissident students. The union leaders were promptly
arrested. They warned the government that the strike
would begin today unless schools are reopened, ar-
rested demonstrators released, the army returned to
the barracks, and recent security measures rescinded.
In the view of the US Embassy, a strike by the rail-
way workers would create severe food and fuel short-
ages and would present President Numayri, who is at-
tending the nonaligned summit in Algiers, with a
serious challenge.
It is not clear whether the union officials
have broad support among rank-and-file workers or
were pursuing their own political interests. In
any case, the government's resort to emergency meas-
ures reflects its concern about possible further
disturbances.
6 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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FOR THE RECORD*
International Monetary Developments: The pound
sterling came under heavy pressures on European money
markets yesterday. In line with the pound's fall,
the dollar depreciated about 1 percent against the
joint float currencies. Dealers attribute the
pound's weakness to reduced UK interest rates, an-
ticipation of continued large trade deficits, and
fears of renewed labor problems.
Romania - China - North Korea: A high-level
Romanian party/government delegation headed by Pres-
ident Ceausescu's close adviser, Emil Bodnaras, left
for Peking and Pyongyang on 4 September. Following
talks with the Chinese that will undoubtedly touch
on Soviet pressure for an East European show of unity
against Maoism, the delegation will proceed to Pyong-
yang for North Korea's 25th anniversary celebrations
on 8 September.
China: Peking has signed a contract with
Kellogg Continental of Amsterdam for the construc-
tion of five urea plants worth $55 million, raising
China's whole plant purchases this year to about
$500 million.
Ecuador: A settlement of the month-long teach-
ers' strike appears imminent. Although student un-
rest remains a problem, an agreement with dissident
teachers should ease much of the pressure on the
military regime.
*These items were prepared by CIA without consulta-
tion with the Departments of State and Defense.
6 Sep 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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Top Secret
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