JPRS ID: 8377 TRANSLATIONS ON WESTERN EUROPE

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CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2
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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000'1000400'13-2 CFOUO 28179) S APRIL i979 , i OF i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ ; : ti ~ ~ ~ ti~ / ti / . / / ~o , ~ ~ o ~,~�~;a~ . ~a . ~ . ~ ~ ~Cs , ~ v~''~ ` 44 e~ b . d ` / ` ~ . , ~ \ ~ \ ~ b `s ~o / ~ ~~i ,~r . ~ ~ , ~ ~6 IMAGE EVAI.UATI ON TES'~ '~ARGET (M?-3) !.0 ~ 1~ - ~ ~ z.z ~ ~s ~ I1~ V YYo ~ ~~I~~I'25 ~i~~~ ~ 6" 9. ~ _ ~ " ~1' i . . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - ~ . s~ . . ~ z `~i '`'~q~ , w;.~, ~ ~ ~ ~ ` ~ ` ~ ~ , ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ , ~ A % I ~ / o F ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~ ~ p ~ , Qr ~O~~i"dp~11C titi , . 49 YVEST MAIN SIREET ~ / / ~ � / WEdSTER N.Y. 1~SP0 / , ( 716 ) !7l~4S03 ~ ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR dFFICIAL U~E ONLY JPRS L/3377 5 Apri1 1979 T RANS LAT I ONS C?~I WESTERN EU ROPE (FOUO 20/79) ~ ~ ~ U. S. JOINT PUBLICATIONS RESE~RCH SERVICE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 NOT~ JPRS publicaCiong conC~in informaeion primarily from foreign newspap~rs, periodicals gnd books, buC ~lso from newe agency Cr~nsmissions and bro~dc~sta. M~Cerials from foreign-language sourcea ~re trgnslgted; Chage from ~nglish-l~nguage sources ar~ ergngcribed or reprineed, with the original phrasing and - other ch~racCeristica retained. H~adlines, editorigl reports, and material encloaed in brackera ar~ supplied by JpRS, Proceasing indic~rorg such as ~TexCJ or [~xcerpt] in the firsC line of e~ch item, or following the ~ last line of A brief, indicaCe how the original informaeion was processed. Where no procesaing indicaCor is given, the infor- mation was summarized or exCracted. UnfAmiliar names rendered phoneCically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied asappropriaCe in conCext. Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with Che source. Times within items.are as - given by source. The contents of this publicaCion in no way represent the poli- - cies, views or aCtitudes of the U.S. Government. ~ COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GO~VERNING OWNERS?~iIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF TFIIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 F~R OFFYCZAL USE ONLY - JPRS L/8377 5 Apr~.~. ~.9 79 TRANSLATIONS ON WESTERN EUROPE , (FO110 20/79) CONTENTS ~ PAGE ~ COUNTRY SECTION FRANC~ ' Nuclear Con~truction Workere Get Poet-Job Attention (Gille� Gaetner; VALEIJRS ACTUE~,LES, 12 Mar 79) 1 Chirac IntervieMed on Plan~ for Economy _ (Jacque~ Chirac Intervie~; PARIS MAT~H, 16 Mar 79) 4 PCF Congre~� Propoeale Reflect Change� in Ccmmuniet Ideology (Irene Allier~ L~ NOUVEL OBSERVATEUR, 19 Feb 79) 12 . ~ PCF Opponent� Seen Beginning To Organiae (Editoriel, Bemard Guetta; LE NOUVEL OBSERVATEUR, 26 Feb 19) 16 Barra Replie� to Journeli~te~ Questione ~ (L~EXPRESS, 24 Feb 79) 18 ` Detail~ of PCF Internal Di~pute Prokided (Alain Tete, M ichel $arek Interview; L~EXPRESS, 24 Feb 79) 21 Brief� PCF Deputy Secretary-General 25 ITALY ~ . A nned Force� Praaotionel LeM� Examined (IL MONDO, 23 Feb 19) 26 ~ a - (iSI - WE - i50 FOUOJ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR nFFICIAL USE ONLY COUIYl'RY SECTION NUCLEAR CONSTRUCTION WORKERS GET POST-JOB ATTENTION Paris VALEURS ACiUELLL~S in French 12 Mar 79 pp 66-67 - [Article by Gillea Gaetner: "Worker Redeployment in Chinon"] . [Text] "Here in Chinon everything is fine or at least nothing is wrong." Such atatementa~ unuaual to eay the ]eaet, at Che nuc:lear power planta' con- struction eiCes~ may eeem provocative. In 2 yeara, however~ the Chinon B(second eaction of the power plant begun in 1977) work aite has had only 5 daye of atrikes. A record! In contraet, conflicts laeting several weeks are common place at most of the other plants. The social har.mony reigning in Chinon is no doubt related to the decision taken in liaison with the EDF [French Electric Company]~ the Tours chamber of commerce and the ANPE [National Employment Pact Asaociation] to set up EMIN [New Induatriea Training School]. Its misaion is to prepare for the re- treining of the power plant's worker8 (there are 1,400 of them at the present time) so as to integrate them more success�ully with the region's enterprises. There we have a ma~or innovation for aince the start of the nuclear program no one has been concerned over that problem. Was the bulk of the work finiahed? The workers ~?acked their bags and left. Profeasional training? An economic 3mpact on local trade and induatry? Hardly any attention was paid to that. In the final analyais the only ones benefiting from those establiahmenta were the communea which were more than pleased to locate a aubstantial source of income thanka to the bu,sineae tax. Thie lack of irtegration with the ec~nomic apherp produces a great many dis- advantagee. The riaks of social cenflicts have increaspd among an upr~oted population in which the ratio of workers from outside the area sub~ected to harah living conditiona is usually high. Strikes are frequent~ sometimea de- generating into violent a:t~on. 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 - ~ FOR OFFICIAL U5E ONLY The Chinon arPa itaelf hAd eame d~fficult momenxs in 1966 and 1977. Thr, locnl populetion. in ~nrtlcular the tradc+aman~ ganerally gnine,from the preeencQ of theee humxn concenCrationa. I~ will be s~l the more ~receptive Co - nuclear disaidence if its profits ~are doomed to disappesr as soon as the con- struction work has~�be~n completed. - On the other hand, the recently isauQd announcement of the pas:~ible con- struction of a third section tn Chinon has not appeared to urset a population - accustomed to living peaceably in Frattce's "nucleai garden." (In Che depart- . ment of Indre-et-Loir~ Qtone there will be five power plants in 10 years.) In that connection~ a cflmment by the aecretary general of the Tours chamber of co~nerce, Didier Ma~au is aignificant. _ "For ecologieta~" he said, "it ie the Ang~~a-T~~~rs superhighway that is the main problem in the area." ~ When the construction of Chinon B was decided upon in 1975, they wiahed to - avoid repeating the errors made 17 yeara ago. The reaorting by the principal employer, the Grand Travaux of Mareeille to local manpower was more systematic. 'I'he lattEr now makes up 85 percent of the civil eagineering employees at the ` construction eite. The time limit aet for construction was better adhered to because of that fac+t, A sizable advantage in that a single day's delay re- ~ presents a loae for EDF of 3 million francs in earnings. In September 1978 a"post-~ob commisaion" was set up with the cooperation of _ the,EDF, the Indre-et-Loire prefecture and some elected individuals. It was given the task of studying thp problems of the reservoir of workers. This commission madE it poasible a few months later to facilitate initiating a more broader operation. Ite name: "Racines" ["Roots"--Initiatives to Regionalize a Nuclear Plant's Construction Activities far Employment and Sub- contracting]. The main artisan for the operation ia the chief of the power plant's planning~ Michel Guillot, 42 years of age, an EDF engineer. A expert (he has had ex- ' perience at several work aitea).. De$pite the prospect of regul~r transfers in public service, he has been extremely intereated in the economic future of an area which he ia neverthelees deatined to leave in the near future. The Racines undertaking bringa together the various parties concerned over Che fall out with respect to employment. The construction site employers: Grouped within ADESIC [Asaociation of ~'ie Chinon Site Employers], their ob~ective is to encourage local employment. Aseured of ANPE's aupport, they are committed to hiring only trainees from the trade school that has ~ust been established. 2 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOtt OFFICIAL U5E ONLY Local enCerpri~~s: Once they are organized into eubcontracting groupa~ EDF - (the prime conCractor for ehe work aiCe) wi11 entrust to them the aecondary addiCional work (sanitary installaCions~ hangare). Potentially, this involves _ 80~000 to 100~000 work hours. ~ The school (EMIN) will thua serve as a prop to the RACINES undertaking. Built in record time~ it ia operational (the first trainees are expected at the end ` of March). Ite financing is provided by the apprenticeship tax, 1.1 percent of ongoing training and the fund of the employment pact. - The school's promotera hope to extend their activity beyond the atrict frume- ~ work of Chinon.. The achool could become a national training center that would take in trainees from other nuclear plants. . The pro~ect ia an ambitioue one. BuC it includes the riak of promoting dis- idence over what may one day become one of the key places for adapting to the nuclear era. Guillot is aware of that. But he nonetheleae believea Chat one - muat accept the odde. ! COPYRIGHT: 1979 "Valeurs actuelles" ' 8094 CSO: 3100 F ~ ~ 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ _ COUNTRY SECTI01~ F'1tANCE CHIRAC INTERVIEWED ON PLANS FOa ECONOMY Paris PARIS MATCH in French 16 Mar 79 pp 44-47, 66 [Interview with Jacques Chirac~ former prime ministe] (Textj The president was on his way to Mexico. The deputies of the RPR ~ (Rally for the Re~ublic] parliamentary group were at a working session in , Guadeloupe along with two Gaulliat ministere. Alain Peyrefitte and Joel Le ~ � Theule, when Jacquea Chirac had a cormnunique having the impact of a polit- ical bomb ieaued by his aecretariat. Basing his argumenta o~n the gravity of the economic aituation and the lack of inforoiation, he auggested that "movements and partiea ~oin in demanding the co:lvocation of an extraordi~nary - sesaion of the National Asaembly." The purpclse of Chat seesion: The creation _ of two committeee on employment and public iaformation. The opposition has- tened to agree to it but at the same tiaae announced its intenticn to file censure motiona by the PSF [French Socialist Party] and the PCF (French ~ Communi~t Party] uF to now separate and with different c:ontents. Jacques Chirac's initiative came at a time when opinion polls were exposing a rather clear-cut drop in the popularity of the president of the Republic and of his prime minister, and when concern over the maintaining of public order in the - face of stri.ke violence was spreading to the unions themselves. But to the president of thQ.Republic it seemed, in his own worda~ to be an episode of : "a politico's politica." Before his decision to endeav~r to bring about an extraordinary seseion of parliament~ Jacques Chirac in the newapaper LE MONDE, dated Thureday~ 1 March, stated that he "disagreed in no uncertain terms" ~ with the government not only on Europe~ but also on economic and social policy. - On thie Iatter point, which worriee the French so much, Jacquea Chirac agreed to go further for PARIS MATCH in explaining his plan fc: economic recovery. Our interview with Jacques Chirac is published on the following pagea. Jacquea Chirac Explaina His Economic Recovery Plan to PARIS MATCH [QuestionJ Some people think, and the prime minister said so Monday evening on television.,that France w~as facing a"question of survival." ~ ~F FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ FOFi OFFICIAL U5E O~YLY ~Answer] 1 am a Gaullist and as such I have nev~er envfeaged my country's future in tern~ of survival, but rather in terms of will; "Indeed~ we ahould find out~ ae General de Gau13.e used to say, whether ecame gxeat national dream isn't e~eent3al to a people so ae to aupport 3ts actions and preserve its cohesivenesa." [Question] On several occasions you have emphasized that one oF the most - serioua i11s ~.s the lack of lnfarmation. Now, tY~e min3sters are talking all the time. za it their techniqt?e that is bad? What should they gay? ` [Anewer] 'I'here ia in fact a public information problem. Public opinion's confusion eteme to a large extent from th~ eudden diacovery of a aerious r economic and soc~al situation whereae official atakements were expreasing nothing but serene and ateady optimiem. Thia optimiam apecifically allowed hardly any room in the media for divergent assesamentP. I do not have the habit of complaining but atill here ie aa example: Because the situation has become worse, the critic~.awa which tne RPR and I myself have been mak~tng for 2 yeara have auddenly been diacovered. In recent weeks I have neither emphasized nor softened thoae criticiems; they have merely been illuatrated by reaults which could have been foreaeen only too well. But most of the French people were only vexy vaguely informed of them. (Queation] Do you think, a8 some deputies of the Left do (Crepeau~ for ex- ample),~~that hewing to the present pol~.cy is pushing France towa~td a"revo- lution? Savings Have Been Diverted " [AnawerJ I thought that those deputies "of the Left" as you call them had opted for revolutionary Marxiam. along with the ~oint program. They ahoula re~oice over the opportunities offered for revolution. For my part. I will confine myaelf to noting that thE failure of the government's policy is giving ri$e to a dangerous aituation from every standpoint. I would not , prophecy a revolution, but this situation doea worry me. [Question) If, as you reiterate, the policy must be changed, people have to be changed. Is that exactly what we are to understand? [Answerj There has to be a policy change, yes. People changed, perhaps~ to the extent that this ia necessary in order to alter policy. In aay case, I do not think it is merely a matter for the leaders. A true economic policy, such as I conceive of it, in a democracy requires the underatanding, adherence ~ and cooperation of the country as a whole. [Question] You suggest giving a new impetue to investm~ents. T1wo questions: If in the public sector, in what immediately productive activity and with whar funds? If in the private aector, with what means of inducement. J FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR 0~'FTCIAL US~ ONLY (Anewerj Even without resorting to some budgetary deficit, it is poaeible firar to reduce administrakive wastefulnesa~ wh3ch is quite considerable, then improducti~e expenditurea so as to develop productive 3nvestmenta that are facCore in reducing unemployment. For example~ one hears that there are too many beds in numeroua hoepitals~ that medical actions gre multiplied with- out any good reason and even to the point of harming patients, that the French are risking their health by taking too many remedies, that Social Secur3ty at everyone's expense ie finencing an ab~eneeeism cosCing the economy the - _ equivalent of a sizable pgrt of its petroleum bil1. On Che oCher hand and in particular~ private inveatmenC representa a vast ~ - potential that has up to now been discouraged. The French l~ke to save. Now, r everything goes on 8s though one caanLed to divert theae savings from productive investmenta, and especially from industrial venCures. They have sought refuge in real estate whoee costs they have caused to rise exceasively~ fn the owner- ship of gold~ ~ewels, works of art, etc... They have also sought refuge in ' Switzerland or elsewhere. In a senae they we:rE not mistaken since any in- veatment of this kind has proven as a general rule to be �ar more profitable _ than purchasing shares in French enterprisea. If this disastrous courae were reversed, we would have an enormous amount of capital for renewing our production apparatus. - [Questionj But according Co Barre any impetus ta th~ economy is necessarily inflationary. - Paralyzing Petty Annoyancea (Answer] The economy's growth rate ia not related to the inflation rate. ~ Some countriea~ auch as Great Britain~ have experienced slight growth but a heavy raCe of inflation. That ia France's aituation today. Other countries have experi~nced a greater growth rate with reduced inflation. At the pre- sent time, the problem is that of exporting enough and to have adequate pro- duction in order to do so. It is not possible to improve the productivity of French enterpriaea without a parallel promotion of investments and real _ growth. So everytt~ing must be done in order, that France may have increased growth. So inveatmente and the creation of enterpriaea must be encouraged. [Questionj You said specifica~.ly--on the subject of the economyr--that a atand contrary to that of the government must be taken. What does that mean? [An,swer] I said that it would be "almost" enough to take a course thxt was the opposite of the present orientation in order to get onto the right path. I will try to explsin this more clearl~. Everyone is agreed in recognizing. that the French economy must be trans~ormed~ be readapted~ so as to remain competitive and to survive. On the baeis of that general established fact, it ie evident that: 1. The governa~ent fias only very slightly looaened the yoke of the regulations hampering enterprises. 6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 . FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 2. Tt counts on the virtuee of comp~titiven8as to condemn il'1-adaptNd activ- 3ties. it tH counting on t1~At eam~ compotitivonu~e to inepire enterpriae� epon- ~ taneously with a general etraCegy for our future. ~ ~ One can in fact begin with ehose three points to establiah the neceseiCy of freedom and planning. - - Firat, the need for freedom. Queati~n any head of an enterpriae, whether small, medium or large, and ask him if he feels he is rid of the obatacles~ formalities and paper work that are not ~uat uselesa but also poaitively - damaging to economic efficiency. The conatruction industry recently,pointed out--one example among 1,000--that these regulationa, formalitiea.and delays~ which are totally uselesa, add up to 10 to 1S percent of housing coata. Ask - the artisans of our towne and of our countryside, as I have often done~ why they do not hire an extra worker or two since work is available. They wi11 tell you that they want to avoid additional aocia.l inaurance and ffscal costs, the petty annoyances of labor inepection and varioue othex kinds of diffi- cultiea. . If one adds that the framework :or credit atill continuea to exiet, I think _ that on this point the cause has been determined. Official liberalism, to - star.t with, has not even reatored any real freedom to enterprises.tu re- ad~ ua t . Second point. These atill paralyzed enterpriaea are told: Well, if you are incapable of adapting yourselves--even to brutal competition from which the Common Market does not protect you--you fall into the category we wittily call the "lame ducks." You can just perish. Tt!e reault will be a more ~ heslthy economy. Nonetheless, enterprises naturally endeavor not to periah. Their peraonnel hang on desperately~ occupy work sites ir necessary, aecure the aupport of public opinion, and the government itself often ends up being moved and grante aome aupport which more or less amounts to emergency temporary as- sistance. So improvemente are not achieved or else poorly or very slowly. Finally, third point~ the positive strategy of transformation~ in~ovation and development is not formulated either or in any event is only being done very - slowly, �+ery incotapletely~ without the country's adherence or participation, ` hQnce w~thout any mobilizing effect and without any enthuaiasm. , That is the way it is because no industrial group is sufficiently large to - devise it on its own to the fullest extent and becauae in any event too many factors depend on the state (orientation of public inveatments and on those - of the national sector, taxation~ aid grants, credit, e~c.). Hente we are going into the battle withost a battle plan. A great deal of luck would be needed to win under thoae circ~stances. _ 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ F'OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY jQuept3onj You wRnt to go back to planning~ Co a volunt'arist policy. To a more energeCic nu~nnqem~nt of thc economy by the admin iAtration'e Cechnicians. It is the oppoeite of the economista' prQSent tendencies. To which school exactly do you belong? [Anawer] But I do noC want "a more energetic management of the economy by the adminstration'8 technicians." Not aC all. The plan I want is a political de- ciaion which in a democracy ahould derive from the nation itself and from its representativea. A deciaion which muat be established through concerted planning by the economic and social officials who will also be involved in ~ its implementation. = The paralyzing bureaucracy, which I have ~ust condemned, in recent years had specifi~:ally fed on the abandoning of all democratic plannin~, on any plan guiding our economy. So we have come to the point of having neither economic freedom nor planning,whereas I am a partisan of both. I am not concerned over ~ knowing whether this thinking is in style among ec~nomists. Intellectual styles disappear juat as othera dq. Profesaors who would go only by Keynes repudiate him probably before rediscovering him. I leave their disputea to the schools and do not claim kinahip with any of them. But we have tested our theses in discussions with profeseors of political economy who are very knowledgeable and they did not emerge from them weakened. On the contrary, we have had the benefit of tehcnical assiatance whose value I would be un- grateful not to mention. [Que3tion] Some think that your program was quite largely 3napired by Debre's - theses. Is that right? [Answer] Let us understand each other. Sometimes I say "my criticiam," "my ideas," for conv~nience in talking. They are mine hut also to a very lar~e extent it amounts to a~ollective doctrine. Innumerable people have participated in working it out. In particular Michel Debre who with his own eloquence and seneitivity has also often been the interpreter of what we were _ all more or less thinking and he has often been among the first to denounce the ills we are noting today. _ [Question] Barre has ~ust denounced what he termed "false ideas" (by impli- cation, those of the RPR). According to the prime minist�er (it was on the occaeion of the 150th anniversary of the REWE AES DEU}C MONDES), the idea according to which "the economy muet not be sacrificed for the currency" is ~ a mistaken idea. According ta him, of the countriea which have overcome their economic difficulties, the best are the nations with a"good currency", Federal Gerriany for example. [Anawerj Geratany's situation is the opposite of what Barre claims. In reality, Germany has a good currency because it has a good economy. The proof of that ia that every time Germany has re~evaluated the mark it has been obliged and forced to do so because of the "excessively good" results of its economic policy. The prime minister is miataken when he considers that 8 ~ FOR OFF=CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - by muintaining the franc at an artificially high level, the French economy wi11' w ill be more healthy. It ie the reverse that is true. T� within the frame- work of thH European moneCary eyatem France pe.gged the franc to the evolution _ nf the mark, it would megn deflation~ unemployment and a~oreign trade deficit. It is the German ecunomy which makea it poasible for the mark to be sCrong. _ IC is not by aligning the franc on the mark that the French econonry will be strong. If the French economy becomes modernized so as to be competitive, and if consequently it invests acfficiently, it will in the end have a healthy currency. In other words, a stringent monetary policy will not be sufficient to resolve France's economic problems. Th~re must be a good economic policy making a strong growth rate and full employment poasible; a good currency . will emerge into the bargaia. [Queation] According to the prime minister, another false idea is to say that protectioniem guarantees employment. . A Vitiated Game [Anewer] To protect its employment France muat stop playing the vitiated 8ame of savage competitivenees. - France is in a atate of legitimate economic defense in at least two situations: 1. In the industrial manpower sectors outvied by countries oitly slightly ~ developed where wages and social inaurance contributions are abnormally low. - In this case, protective measures must be applied at the European level and , these countriea would not have any reprisals to take against us for they en- joy an exceptiAnal situation: Only the Europear. countries, among them France, are playing rhe game of totally free trade. 2. Some developed countries are not playing the competitive game. These are the United Statea and Japan. When the United States retains the mechanisms for protecting its chemical industry, such as the "Am~rican Selling Price," it is the one committing agression against free international trade. If France and ita European partners were to set up similar practices, i~` would be a completely normal counterpart to the Ameriean protective mechar.i::m. [Questionj You say "the atruggle agr~inet unemployment... would undergo cer- tain bold tax reducticns. Can you be more explicit? [Answer] Let ue talk of the current aituation. What ahould not be done is seen clearly and~ in contraet, what muat be done. Let us talk of the most usual, unproductive investment without any risks: You become the owner of your home. The collectivity helps you with it by deducting the interest on the loan, ~:ut let us skip over that advantage. What is more significant is that your capital supplies you with what amounts 9 FG~ OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 _ - h'Ult (llrl~"1(,IAI, tttil; c1Nt,Y ea revenue in the form of the rent you da n~t hgve en p~y. And thge thig _ rev~nu~~ r~pre~ented by the r~ntal value of yaur hou~in~~ ig not ~ubjact~d tc~ Ch~ indiv3,dug1 incame t~x. 'If ingtddd df buying gn apnrtment you baught ~hare~, your inCnme would be t~xed ~n the ba~i~ of the tgx on bu~ineeg profite; Ch~n~ b~ck 3n your hgnd~, tn in~re~ging tgx~g in accord~nce with tihe w~11 known ~tep~. In ehort, in _ the fir~t ca~p (otan~r of your hom~) the rev~nu~ from your cgpiCel ig noti taxed. In the ~econd case (as a tenant bue a eharc?,oldpr)~ three-quarter~ of the ~ correspdnding revenue from the eame capit.~l ie chopped off. The pr~cCical conclugion: You have no interest in~being e ghareholder. ' M~ny correcitve m~~gureg could be envisaged and ~ince t~x lgwg ~r~ rapidly becoming very complicgted, t will not gn into detail. i h~v~ nev~rth~l~gg propo~ed a very ~ifirie mea~ur~ which would be exCremely eff~ctive and which would not ~ven greotly reduce the etgt~'s regource~: Putttng the proprietor a~d the tcngnt of the above example on the same footing, reducing the taxeg on both un~til they are equivalent to a moderate rQnt, and beyond that, tax - them both eimilarly. In other words~ up to 1 and one-half million or 2 mil- ~ lion centimes a year, th~ revenue represented either by the rental value of your hom~ if you own it, or by the dividends from your Aharea if you opt to invesC your savings in induatry~ that revenue will be tax free in both caseg. In addiCion to the economic advantage, it is obviously fair. (QuestionJ You say in your LE MONDE interview that the ~overnment is a vic- tim of its infaruation (from the Latin "faCuus," meaning foolish), you allude to a qua~i monarchical state of the government~ the eour reply you get talks of a"politico's policy." Don't these exchanges of dramatic retorts distress the French who would prefer to see everyone united so as to get away from the atorm? [Answer~ You are correct in referrir,~g to a storm. Even eo we have only talked here of the economic and aocial situation. of our internal difficul- ties. But the increaeing dangers ehould also be apparent in the international sphere. ~ As Co what you denounce as an "exchange of dramatic retorts" between poli- ticians~ I call your attention to the responsibility incumbent upon you too, upon you journalists and commentators. It is natural that you should aeek co spiee up your accounts, hence to give a personal touch to the discussions and perhaps make the Aialogue more dramatic than i[ actually is. Nonetheless, you muat help the French to develop for themselves sertous views on problems that are serious--and the qualifier "serious" is doubtless no longer strong enough. Whatever the etymology of the word infatuation may be~ it is nevertheless an error to isolate oneself in self-satiafaction for it engenders blind optimism. 10 - FOR OFFICIAL USE (1NLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR O~~ICIAL US~ ONLY I did not ~eek a polemical effect 3n tireleesly d8nouncing Chie error pub- ` licly with othere for 2 yeare becguse all of the ~rench ~ar8 3ntereeted in ie. but also 3n numerous pr3vate communicatione eeeking a dramat3c.~ffect a11 the 1p~~ eince they have rema3ned known ~olely to those they w~r~ addree~ed to.~ Who ig dramaeizing by epe~king of eudden crit3ciem or again by etigmatizing ag aggr~geion the request Co convoke parl3amenC? As though a m~eting of pgrliemenC within rhe f ramework of ite constititutiong], ateributee and with a vipw Co becoming more thoroughly informed congiete nf aggreeeion again~t anyone at all. Ae though the begt contribution parl3ament could make to the govprnmEnt coneisted in remaining on vacation. Contradictorily~ I am aleo reproached for not backing a motion of censure which would'cauee a political crieie whose ouCcome no one knowe. We have to - be more serious. , Let everyone ~oin together in facing the storm~ you eay. It would of courae be deeirable, but what would auch a unlon be worth in an atmoephere of inertia or of e falee maneuver. Peoples do not hgve as their firet duty leaving everything up to their leadera and allowing themselves to be led. In a democracy at leaet the principal deciaione are up to them. r The French muet ref~ect. put aside illuaione and ideologies~ ~udge for them- selves and then apply their will. Otherwise salvation will not come to them from the politicane, I regret to say eo~ nor fro~a any individuale united or dieunited. The firet taek of politiciene la to tell the truth, always, aven if it evokes unpleasant re- actions and even too eoon: Eapecially in the face of the dengere vhich will not wait forever for a national will to be created~ oae capable of etanding up to them. COPYRI(3~: 1979 par Cogedip~esse 3,A. , 8094 CSO: 3100 ].1. FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 s. FOR OF~ICIAL US~ ONLY COUNI'RY 9ECTION FItAANC~ PC~ CONGRESS PROPOSALS REFLECT CHANGES IN COMMUNIST IDEOLUGY � Paris LE Ni~WEL OBSERVATEUR in French 19 Feb 79 p 33 (Article by Irene Allier: "The PCF: A Report on Deficiencie~"j ~ ' [Text~ Up to now Marx and Engels~ Lenin and Jaures had aufficed it. The PC~ (~rench Co~uniet Party~ did not claim to descend from ~ large family even if it boaeted of a euperior lineage. Now the 23rd congreea ie going to change all that. All of a audden~ the PCF ie multiplying its grafta dn its genealogical tree and !a putting ita roota down into a past to which hitherto it took exception. Not only ie it claiming to be the heir of all "popular etrugglea," "lay and democratic ideale" from the 1789 revolution to the Paris Commune~ "the firat proletarian state in ehe world," but~ get ready for e ahock, it is aleo "integrating~" if only "in a c:itical way," - "the Utopian and libertarian" themes, even anarchic trade unioniam and "the aspirations of Ct~riatiana for ~uetice and solidarity." In ot4er worde, are Robespierre and Cebet*~ Proudhon and Bakunin (Marx's eneadea), Varlin,** and Pelloutier,*** Marc Sangnier and Georgeg Marchais, part of the etruggle? Well, yee, if one ia to go by the preamble to the plan for reforming the statutes which~ together With the other preparatory documents for this _ congresg (of next 9 to 13 May)~ the PCF ia aubmitting for its 700,000 mem- bera to diacuge. The ehift does not atop there: Not only ie the dictator- ~ ship of the proletariat totally dieappearing ae wae anticipated~ replaced by a"peaceful, democratic~ ma~ority and plur~list" path to socialism~ but the traditional reference to Marxiam-Leniniem is in turn b~ing Who.lly en- gulfed. The idea of "scientific socialiem" ie being substituted for it, *Etienne Cabet (1788-1336), aur.hor of "Voyage en Icarie," which strongly endoraea a pacifist and utopian cou~uniam. **Eugene Varin, a bookbinder, aecretary of the Firet InCernational. a hero of the Paria Commiune~ ahot by those of Versailles. ***Fcrnand Pelloutier (1867-1901)~ s trade unioniat Who came around to li- beratarian ideae. He contributed to a rapprochement betWeen the anarchical and trade union movements. 1.2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR O~F2CIAL USE ONLY doubeleds reg~rd~d 8g more "open~" in th~t tihough Mgrx ~nd ~ngele wer~e itie fnundar~~ th~ PCfi poinr~ out that 3C w~e devaloped not only by I.enin~ which goe~ withoue sgying~ bue ~iso "by other l~ader~ end theoretician~ of ehe l~bor movement." No det~3ls. _ A Laughable SgtiefacCion Other doctrinal rev3giong in th~ forefronts Adherence to materi~li~m ie nn longer e required condition for admigeion to th~ PC~' (eo one may be good 3n pr~ctice without conforming ideologically,which takes the wind out of Marx- ism's seile) and finally "the expreseion of the divergences" w3th the social- igt counCriee is officiatly includ~d in the PC~'s etaCute~s henceforth it is gn integrel part of the supporr it provid~e the international communiet movementl if one sdde to thet thaC ~elf-m~nagement ig making a~p~ctacular - eppearance among thp etatutory ob~ectives, one will concede that eomething eeemg to be going on in the PCF. Unfnrtunetely, what ie going on in it atteste far more to a ai11 to take up the Left'e whole political epace and the ongoing identity crisie of a party that wante at one and the same time to be "avant-garde" end "of the maeee~~" "revolutionary" end "governnmetal~" than favoring a real renewal~ a clear- cut choice of atrategy and true democratizaCion. After the breakup of tha Left, the eleceoral ~iefeat~ the PCF crisis ahich last epring Wae bringing back into questic~n the tactic followed aad democratic centraliem~ one ex- pected of the 23rd congreao concrete anewere and the epellieg out of po~it- ical proepecte. They cames It was a refueai and politically an official report on def!cieacies. Concerning democratic centralism, the disaidents aill have only meager eat- - iafaction. What about the ongoing public debate? Outeide times congreeaea are held it will only be opened in the party'e tribunee at the diecretion of the central c~mmittee. Are individual candidacies for the party~A leader- ehip bodies authorized from no~? on? No doubt. But in the final analyeie~ it ia epecifically a leaderehip body--or the coagrees--ahich aill determine their validity. A laughable satiefaction for those Who claimad to k~ more about the way in ahich their leedera are electedt From naw on they will be told by how many votee! Md it ie not becauee the party'e eecretariat-- whieh often paeeed for the PCF's real leadership--eeee ita role reduced to "current mattere" (doubtera to the advantage of the political bureau) that _ the PCF'e decieion-making procesa will become ar~re democratic or toora easy to underetand. - A~tually, harever. that Wae not the goal being eought. Md the proposed political eolution that the PCF leadership will aubmit to the congresa re- veals all too clearly ahy: Obviously there was no agreement at the aummit either ae to the neture of the party vho~e development was deeired nor ae to ite etrategy, nor ae to tha outlook for its futur4. For lack of a Byntheeis, or evea of a compromise. everything ie going on ae though everyone's ~ FOR OPFICIAL OSE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~0[t b~FICIAL USL ONLY � ~rgument~ hgd been 9trung together aC the riek of thereby revealing tihae th~ _ PCF, which no long~r knowe ~u~t whati iC ie doee not know ~ither what it wante nnr where iC i~ going. The range of ite doctringl Col~rgnce i~ a poor cov~r - for the ghrinking of ~lrs pro~pect~~ the cati~ful broadening of i.C~ vocabulgry dnee noC conceal the vaguene~g of itg ob~ectiveg. Shot Bolte Two px~mplpe: Union of the Left and Che attitud~ wiCh reepect to the gocial- = iet rountries. In the firet inatance, tt~c~y decl~re fir~t that they are loyal to union of rh~ Left, gn "irrevocable choic~," b~cauge thexe ie no alternate atr~tegy containing the hope of power and becau~e they haven't aaid they wet~e renouncing power. But Chen they deny themnelvee th~ meane fnr union: They ere rediecnvering--for the firat time in 10 ypare--that the very "nature of the Socieliat Pgrty, and not ~aat the present atate of affairs, coneign~d it to collaborating with the Right. Among the socieliet counCries, the same ~uxtaposition of contzadictory ingrediant~: They are not firing one ehot "at the crimes of horror" of Stalinism. But eince the evolution of the ratio of inCernational forces "is a m~eter card for France'e democratic road to ~ocialiem~" there is no queetion of breaking with the USSR. let alone making a few thruete. The aocialiat countries' balance eheet, whatever "the di- vergencea" may be~ will thua be positive from the over-all standpoint. The ' discuaeion previously envieeged by the PCF leaderehip itself~ on the occasion of tha publication of the book "We and the USSR~i' as to the nature of the ~aecern European regimes. ie therefore cloaed. In other words~ uneble to provide a alternate etrategy other than that of - union of the Left (Which tihey do not want as long as the Left has not re- _ covered ita balance to their ~dvantage)~ the communieta are shooting the bolt~ as a precaution. Obviously~ and until the day they are able to make reasonable calculatione as to themselvea~ they will have no other concern than taking care of the patrimony and ettempting to have their capital in militants and voters bear fruit by struggling. For that matter~ in the finel enalyais, the political situetion is not ru~hing them. Without auf- fering from it~may more than from the union ahich was gradually eroding their ~ubatance they can take up rheir old table-thumping f~~nction and de- vote themeelvea to the workere' intereete ee an oppoeition Without proapecte ~ but relexed. The diasidente? They Will have the recourae of epeaking for a different party and for another policy. But where? In the open trituaes of the party's preae? That remaine to be seen. They aill try. SomeWhere elee.� in any event. Plans for meetingB~ colloquies are in the air. This aeek~ a book including 12 eddreesea made at the Vitry seminar aet up on 9 and 10 Decmeber 1978 by the PCP leaderehip~ ahich at that time Wae eeeking to 14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR O~pYCtAL U5~ ONLY ~ br3ng iCe intellectuels back inCo line, ie to ba publiehed by Mgepero. They did ~or obey. But they have no 111ue1ons ae to their influence avar a parey t~hich could not lieten ro them without ~uddenly rQSlizing that they are % nperet3ng in a void. _ COPYRIGHT: 1979 "le Nouve,l Obeervateur" 8094 CSO: 3100 [ 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY l APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 r~uk Ur'!~'1~tAL U~~ ONLY , COUIP~tY 3ECTION Fe~ANCE pCF OPpONENTS SEEN BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE Peris LE NOWEL OBSERVA'TEUR in French 26 Feb 79 p 33 (Editorial by Rernard Guetta: "PCp': The DiasidenCs.are Organizing") [Text] Georgee Marchaie is apparently unworried. Haen't he ~ust carried off a great euccees by winning over to PC ranks for ~khe European electiori the recognized defender of the Languedociafl communista, E~anuel Maf�re- Bau~~~~ the praeident of the Regional Department of Agriculture for Langue- - doc-Rouaeil~on and a sworn opponent of Common Market expaneion? Let us _ be exact. The succeea ~ill reatore eome votes to the communist party as long as the former preaident of the Federation of Table Wine Producera _ does not pereonally take part in di~cuseions of the party's poliCical options. However, with the 23rd congresa tWO months away, dievention ie riei~g again in the PCF ranka. In fact~ the intellectuale vfio revolved last aprtng are organizing and planning regular meetingg. The best known among thea?, historiaa Jean Elleiaetein, ia preparing to drop a bombshell aith a cauetic film abouC Troteky'e leat atrugglea against riaing Staliu- ie~r. It will be ehown on "Doseiars de 1'ecran" (Televiaion Documentgriesj on 6 March (unless aftRr the etrilce). Until now the dieeidenta Were aatisfied to either make their complainta kn�wn in the bourgeole preee or to draa up futile petitione addresaed to their pgrty. Thie Saturday, 24 February, they will take a further etep. 'They are inviting their friends~ thoae who have already epoken, and thoee who are etill ailent~ to compare in a room reserved for 100 people, their refl~ctions and criticisma of their party's positions on foreign policy. Thia ie the agenda: the "poaitive overall balance aheet" that PC attributes to the regimea in the East; and disaidence in the USSR, Czechoslovakia~ and GDR~ with taro eample cases as illustration. The firet ie that of Rudoph Bahrs~ E~at German Cammunist, out and out Merxiat~ in pr~ieon for having advocated in his book "The Alternative" the "true" communiem as opposed to "actual" comuunism. The aecond case ~6 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ` FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ is ehat o~ Jaroelav Sabatg~ former director of the Cxech PC~ ei$ner of "Charter 77," and arree~ed for hav3ng partic3pated 3n a meet3ng with Po11eh KOR (Workere Defen~e Committeej diseidenta~ Nie eon, remember~ , ~ came laet Nov~nber to eollcit the aupport of a11 the~parri~e in favor of his father. PCF refused to receive him. But rhere ar~ many other eub- ~ecte on the menu of the chgllenging intellect~als: Vietnam, Caa~bodia, and the Chinese affair. This meane rhat within Che "fremework of work _ and reflecCion" which they are trying to create, ther8 wi11 be a great deal to do. There ehould aleo be regular meetings and at rhe close of their first aes~nbly~ the intellectuals ehoula launch an appeal for those who ehare their poaitiona to ~oin them. H1sCoric Reality - Diviaive ~fforCe? Tending away from the constitution? Doubtleea, PC wf11 accuse them of it. But for the challengere, this time, the hour of devo- tion to party diacipline geems to have come. To be convinced, it suf- - fices to read the laet eeries of articles published by Jean.Elleinstein ` in LE MONDE. - Rarely even by a noncommuniet~ hae Gaorges Marchaie' pclicy been so harahly attacked. The propoeed resolutions for the 23rd congrese? "1~wo eteps backward" compared to the 22nd congreea. The "positive over- all balance eheet" of the communiat countriee? "A completely falee pic- ture of eoviet reality." The defeat of the Left? "The truth ie that PCF leaderehip believed the 'common program' aae going to allo~w it to de~�elop its influence; but~ contrary to ite predictione, it was the socialiat party that profited from unioniet currente." The economic crieis? "We muat have the caurage to tell the Workera the truth and to take the necea- eary eteps to economic recovery." The relationa between PCF and USSR? "PCF ie not dieentangled from the bonde of privilege With USSR." The . auppreeeion of the Leniniet reference? "There ehould be an explanation of what ie changing, why it ie being changed, and ~hat ie going to replace it. Pinally~ the internal democracy? "Most of todey'e party rules are inherited from the Stalin era." Who can say it better? Elleinetein again, with the film he made with Yves Ciampi for "Dieeiera de 1'ecran" based on his lsteat book "Stalin and Trotaky." The work is fiction, but hietorical fact is ecrupulously followed and the televiaion viewera, communiet or not~ are going to dis- cover, thanke to PCF member and one of the most popular television pro- grame~ that there aas a time when the claeh of id~ae was the r~le in the bolshevik party, that the riee of monolithiam finallq rang the knell for _ the hopee that had reated on the Russian revolution, and that from 1925 the original bolahevika eaw with horror the groWth of the poieoned fruits of theii~ heroiem and idealiem. This debate on "Dosaiprs de 1'ecran" Will - poseibly make more noiae than the debatea of the 23rd congreae. COPYRIGHT: 1979 "le Nouvel Obeervateur" 9374 17 - CSO: 3100 FOR OPFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR OF~ICIAL U3L bNLY ~ = COUIVTAY SEGTION FRANCE BARRE RE~L~~$ TO JOUttNALISTS' QU~STIONS Par~.e L'EXPItE3S in Fr~nch 24 Feb 79~ pp 94-95 ' ,~Text/ On Tuesday 20 February~ Raymond Barre was the guest a~' honor at a breakfaet given by L'F,RPRESS at the ~ InCe=~continental Hotel in Parie. Addresaing 320 company managere~ ~ournaliete, union leaders, writers, politiciane~ and palitical ecientista, the head of government for 2 hours anewered queetione from the audience. We would like ko present here the moet ealient pointa in his remarke. Following this summary of the eseential topice of hie economic policy by the premier, L'EXPRESS decided to open a debate in ite columne on this policy. It ie often attacked but thoee who attack it generally do not anewer thc: follow- , ing two questione: 1. Ie there~ under current national and international circumstances~ a poe~ibility f~r a policq tha~ would be baeically different from the one puraued by Raymond Barre--and, if yes, what ie it? 2. If not, what mea~s do we have, within the framework of the present policq, to re- duce unemployment in ehort-range terms and in a laeting manner? Raymond Aron will open the debate next week by anewering the firet of theee tw~o queatione. ~ . Economic Policy "I have no intention of either hardening or eoftening the economic policq which ie now being carried out. The main outlines have been determined: defend France's foreign trade balance and its currency; through the eupport of all~ achieve moderation in wage increases; aupport economic activity; finally~ take all measuree neces~ary in order to adapt the French economy - to new worldwide conditione and do so with the aupport of everyone;.moreover, do thia through a social po2icy and a regional policy aimed at reducing the cost of changea and permitting a more haz~monioua distribution of activitiea throughout national territory. Joba "This ie not an independent variable. 1'his is an economic and social ! variable which.depends a lot on other factors. In other words, it depends - on the atrength of the enterprieee which in turn dependa on the capacity of ~ the enterprises to pay wages, to produce, to aell. and to make profita so as to be able to inveat. If not, what are we going to do? iJe create artificial ~obe. In order~ in the future~ to have a satiefr,ctory ~ob situation, to have sound ~obs and laeting jobs, we muet first cf a11 reatore the economq; we muet then make eure that our industrq will be adapted to the modern conditi~ne of the world and that it Will be competitive. 18 POR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 . NOR OF~'YCIAL U5E ONLY Monetary and Agricultural Europe . , "The bae~.e of eCability ie a convergene effore by varioua countriea in- volved in order to maeter the divergencee of evolution gnd especially to make evolutione lese dieparatia in tex~m~ of price. But we need one reetric- t~.on here and moneCary conetraint is such a reetriction wb.ich we cannot do withoUt. We muet not fall into tha trap of deification of money~ but w~- mueC admit that it ie nacaesary nut to consider money g~ a~sre means, as a pure 3hstrumeat ahich oae can manipulate. "When we accepted the Induetrial Comoan Market, we opened our markete to ~ German it~duetry which wae more powerful than ours. Our French induetrq benefited from compeeition but ae paid the bill from that viewpoint. Since we have an agriculture which is in the midst of tranaformat~on, common agricultwral policq wa~ ona form of eharing the burden. `rith3n the Commuaity, betwa~n Germanq and Franca. ~od~q we come back to moneCarq ~tability and we~. for our part~ support.a little bit of the burden reetiug on the mark eiace ~the upward praeauree, baing eaarted upon the mark~ will be spread out over a larger number of currenciea~ including the French currencq. We accept it because it ie in our intareet and in that of the Ceamunity; but we ask ~ Germany to take into acco~mt~the fact that the e:ietance of compensatory amo�mte ie an axcaeeive advantaga--~not to eay aa improper advantage--which German farmar~ are benefiting from. Aid for Investmeate in Crisie Regione "Regarding the establiahment of these enterprioes~ are taill ~ee to it that theee will be enterprieee that parmit us to hope for laating employmeat. We do not want artificial operationa. Wn do not aant a eprinkling of loans, making it poaeible to create Activities~ for 3 or 4 yeare ~hich then euddenly fail. We Waat the industrial fabric of North, of Lorraine~ of the areas along the Loire or the region of Marseille-La Ciotat to be able to have busineasee vieh a future. InvesCmeats in Praace "We muet aek oureelvee Whether the conditions for realietic investment~ for effective inveetment have reallq beea ~t. It wae hardlq conceivable, over the paet 2 yeare~ that inveatmenta in France could be particularly livelq. We had to begin by reatoring a general econonic eituation and a particular economic eituatioa involving the enterprieee so that invettmenta could develop on a solid fouadatioa. W'hat good art all the inceativea ~te provide for inveetmente if thoee inveetmente are artificial? That may look good but the end result often is ehe importing of capital goods~ and inability of our _ domestic indw~rq to respond to the incentivas givan and, fiaally, a very modest improvement in the eituation compared to the considerable reaources committed. I am convinced that the enterprise8 that `rere $ble to do eo did inveet in France aad abroad. I believe that their investoents ~e~ere, to a great extent~ rationalization and productivity inveatmemts. And they ~rere 19 . FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ ' perfectly correct--because ir is their future whici~ tihey ~are safeguard~ng. A~zd~ along with their future~ they are algo protecting ths future of ~obe in the branchee ~.n question. We may hope that~ once the finencial eituation of the enterprieea hae been restored, once the rational3zation of the activ- ~.ty o� the~e enteYprises hae been aseured, the time will be ripe for a resumption of ma~or investmente and~ consequently, a reaumption of the up- ewing. Enterpriee Competitiveneee ~ "t do not believe that everything Cha~ has been said about the low level oF comp~+.titiveness of French industry is true. There are branchee which are in bad ehape on that ecore bur there is a ma~or portion of French induatry, at least EOX.in my opinion, which ia capable of coping with intgrnational , competition. How can it handle that? Firet of all, by gaining control of production coete. We find that~ in countries euch as Switzerland or Germany, production coet control can be achieved all the more easily if one hae a - etrong currency with which to pay for indiepeneable imports of energy and raw materiale. The governmenC, for ita part, hae launched a policy which wt~l be further stepped up and which involvee the development of innovatio~t and technology. Pinally, the entsrprieea must make a ma~or effort in order to find and improve their placee on the big export markets and they muet - pureue an effecCive coffiaercial and induatrial inveetment policy abroad. International Competition "We muat safeguard competition within an overall concept: the ordarly growth of trade. Right now, there is competition between developed ~ countries but there is aleo competition coming from a certain number of developing countries. Md the category of developing countries muat be differentiated. I believe that it would be ecandaloue to close the market to countriea which are beginning to become industrialized and I similarly believe that there are countries which have already achieved their economic takeoff, which are already induetrialized, and which benefit from advantagea which Chey no longer need. Besides, we cannot--even in dealing with developing cowntries that deserve our aid--accept ~ust any kind of product influx. "It is true that the government's policy has been pictured as a polizy of abandoning the country to the multinational, Eurocratic forcee which threaten the country's activity. If we begin by putting our o~n affairs in order and by properly managing the enterprisee, many of these negative aspe:te would disappear." COPYRIGHT: 1979, S.A. Groupe Express 5058 CS0:3100 20 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY COUNrRY BECTION PRANCE DETAILS f~F PCF INTERNAY. bISPUTE PROVIDED Parie L'EXPR~SS ie French 24 ~'eb 79~ pp 92-93 llnterview with Alain T@te end Michel Barak by Jacquea Roure and Jean- Louia Eyaeartel: "Challenge resumed in Connauniet Party: 'Gap Between Leaderehip'e Worde and Deede . . LTexe/ Just 2-1/2 monthe away from the 23rd Congress~ the challenge within the Communiet Party ia resuming its gpring-time vigor. On Tuesday, 20 F'ebruary, one week after ti~~ publication of Che preparatory texts in L'HUMANITE, Jean - E1leinetein, in LE MONDE, launched a egvere criticiam of the policy conducted for the paeC 10 yeare by the party's leader- ~ ehip. Never before had a member of the PC %Communiat PartY/ gone as far~ especially in hurling a pereonal challenge at Georgee Marchaie. Why all thie haste aince~ officially, a diecuseion forum ie to be etarted on 1 March in L'HUMANITE? Becauee the dieputants are convinced that thn PC leadership wae quiCe determined to prevent the moet virulent onea among them to exprees themeelves. And that applies eepecially to Jean Elleinetein, the beet-knawn among them. "It would even be better~" he eays~ "abruptly to bring about a faceoff rather than to allow the debate to wind down into banalitiea." Thie deeire to bear witneee i8 ahared by a ma~ority of the challengere. They know that the epace reserved to them in - _ the L'HUMANITE forum will be meaeured in half-linea. "This is going to be a ronp, a lark." commented a Communiat jour- naliet who was peraonally affected by the partq's press be- ing brought to heel. The challengere thus decided to go public in prder to make their contribution to the Congresa-- with Seuil ~ublishere/~ under the management of Antoine 5pire, a aupporter of Elleinetein~ the former managing editor of the - PC'e Editione eocialee ~ubliehere/; With Maspero, where Gerard Molina and Yves Vargae, dieciples of Althuaeer, have ~ust recently put out a collection with a first group of militant witneee etatemente: "Watch out, one party can hide another." The new weekly publication MAINTENANT, likewiae inspired by Elleinstein and representatives of other left-wing tendencies, will be a vehicle for challenge as of 12 March. Michel Barak~ a militant in the Jacques-Duclos cell in Aix-en-Provence, ' wae one of the pioneera of diesidence. He was the eparkplug behind the "Appeal of the 300~" which later on became the appeal of the 1,500 and, on 29 May, in L'El~RESS, he re- plied to charges of "fractioniem" made against him by the party in mid-January, he analqzea the documenta of the 23rd Congress for L'E7~RESS. 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ . FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - Queation: What ie your ~udgment of the preparatory texts for the 23rd CommuniaC Perty Congrees? Michel Barak: I find them misleading. Here ia the first decep~ion: I find no self-criticiam there, no aerious analysia as to the underlying reasona for the failure of the Union of the Left in March 191A. The only one blamed b~ the PC leaderehip is the PS %Socialiet Party7. It is true ehat our partner has reeponeibilities but these are not exclueive. The prospecta for union which the party recommended--without apparently putting much stock 3n them-- firet of all are not credible anyway. How can on~ then put together an alliance with "Social Democz~.ts" who are likened to "reactionary forces?" - , After getting too much unity at the.top, wiChout worrying about the grass- r~~ta, the party's leaderahip ewung around the o~her way; it now wanCe unity . at the base without having anything to do with the top., I do not believe - that this is the beet way to give the country a political perspective. Eapecially eo since we did not properly reapond Co the following iesue: becauee the PC wae not strong enough to mainta3,a unity, we could not get anywhere with the rest of the effort either. Now, the party leaderahip re- _ - fuaes to go into this debate. The second dieappointment involves the generally poaitive ~udgment about the socialist countries. Thie bringe us to the very limit of the acceptable. ~ Talking about the e~uperiority of the soviet "new aysteaq" when everybody knows only toa well whst goea on in the USSR or in Cssechlosovakia-- well, that ie ~ot serious talk. Regarding the kind of socialism c~e want, that socialism over there ia absolutely repulaive. It is shocking to realize that the Central Committee adopted thia position unanimously. Alain T~tet I would go even further than Michel. I believe tha~ this text reveals a hardening on the part of the leaderehip. It abandons the freedom af tonz which it had diaplayed to-~aard the USSR. How could one propoae, for France, a aocialism that defende libertiea and, at the same time, how could one aeaert that the Soviet ayatem is "generally poaitive?" The attacke on liberties in the USSR are mentioned as simple accidenta. This bad faith is entirely ineupportable. M. Barak: Eapecial~y so eince our party's Staliniat practices experienced a stupefying reeurgence laet apring during the canpaign unleashed againat the diseidente--and our pgrty ce.rtainly was not affected to the 8ame degree as the communiet partiea that are in power. Question: Were you satisfied with the text regarding democra~y within the party? _ M. Barak: We will aee how thie worka out in practice. But the amendments seemed very limited to me. Here are two examples: the texts say that, henceforth, we can have more candidatee than poaitions for which people can run in the elections to the party's leaderahip bodies. And, after a secret vote, the reault would be released to the delegates. These are measures . 22 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 I _ FOR OFF'LCIAL USE ONLY of elemen~ary democracy which will make all democrata emile. Nevertheless, - this is eome progre~s; Last autumA,.GasCon Pliseonnier, without emiling, explained that the high point of democracy reaided precisely 3n the fact _ that there ehould be no more candidatea thsn we have offices to run for. And X remember that, at Aix-en-Prov~nce, during a"towr meeting," aboue a - yea~ and a half ago, they refueed to announce Che resulta of th~ vot~tng after one hour of diacuseion. But, basically, nothing hae changed. lnternal democracy is etill hobbled; leC me talk now abouC the cooptation of the le~dera. Of course, this pro- cedure does not ahow up anywhere in the charter but it remaina a reality in the eystem. The ~ongresa obviously votea by aecret ballot. But it only reveals the decisions worked out at the top. Thi.a is a kind of democratic tinkering with a procedure Chat ie not democratic at all. When, in the course of what Congres~, did the rank and file ever propoae any candidates? - Never, never. To be really democratic, you do not ~uat write the word "democratic" in every line of every apeech. I am a~Mar~tfat. I do not be- - lieve in the Cou~ method. Queation: Georges Marchais asserte that his party, in certain areas, is experiencing t0some delaye." M. Barak: ~Yes, he is talking about the delay brought about in 1956 by Maurice Thorez but he never tries to analqze this 8ort of thing. Now, eince 1952, how many party leaders and militaata have been slandered before being kicked out or barred after full-fledged trials? And did not the party leaderehip promise Charlea Tillon that theae trials would be reviewed before March 1978? That wae nnt done: Why? It would aeem.to be high time to aee that ~uatice is done to him without waiting any longer. I say that, so long as this ia not dane, the French road of socialiam to liberty will not be credible. Queation: But that m~ves us further away from the 23rd Congress. M. Barak: On the contrary. It ia our l.eaders who, today, invoke "reason of atate" in order to etop any diecuseion. And they commit the party upon roade that take ua far afield from Marxi~m. When I read all thoae nationalist referencea ia the preparatory texts of the Congress, I fear that thia will only reawaken in public opinion a~ingoist apirit, in other words, chauviniem. I know that Euroge ia dominated by the trusts and that social democracy loyally maaages capitaliem. But the thing that worries me is our convergencea with the authoritarian right, represented by the RER /Rally " for the Republic/. It would be better tp have constructive diacuasions with our Italian and Sganish comrades who include the European factor in their strategy while being fully familiar with the dangera springing frow that Europe. Question: Does not the aeverity of your criticism constitute a direct challerge to the party leadership? 23 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOIt bFFICIAL USE ONLY M. 13~rgk: L'~XP1tE55 ~~k~d me th~C qu~stion la~e M~y. And I r~plied: "prnb~bly." Thgti cgueed much ink to fl~w. Afeer thinking gbnut it d~~ply, I regree nothing. Md i find tihat Che,re ie alway~ a wid~ ggp between th~ worde and the deede of our lsedere. Juut look ~C what ig h~pp~ning in the pgrty'e publiehing houses and book ~tor~e. Thp 1a~yoffe were decided aeeording to practicea worthy of big bueine~s, withoue gny coordinat~on and ~gainsC th~ adv~~~ of the CGT %Generel ConfederaC34n of T.~bor~ uniong ~ti ehnee enterprises. Labor union libert3ee are not even r~~pected by th~ 1e~dere of a p~rey that pr~achee eelf-managemenC. And it ie the pereonnel who euffere the coneequencee of management mietak~~ by off3cial~ who ke~p holding on tn their ~obe. I declar~ that thi~ confrottts me w3th a problem of confidenc~e~ A. T~te: I do not think that chaaging the men at the hegd of the party would bring about any ma~or modifications. The higher you get in the h~erarchy, the more r3goroue is cooptation. The CenCrgl Committee constitut~~ an extraotidinary breeding ground for of�iciale who know how eo t~ke the place of one person or another withouC party policy being changed one iota. Queation: What remaine of the critique movement which you launched in the epring with the Appeal of the 300? M. Barak: I am going Co give you my opinion~ which meana that I am only apeaking for n;y~elf, because I am only a epokesman or a leader of a ft,3ction~ ~ust ae I was last April and Mey. I believe thaC the appeal brought doWn a number of taboog. Hereafter~ the communists will expresa th~selvea freely-- something which we are now doing in ralking to you. Not to attack their party but becauee the affaira of the PC concern all Frenctmen. This ie a new~ irrevereible fact of tife. � A. T~te: I am more peeeimiatic. I believe that the leadership has mangg~d to ieolate the challenge movement. Thie ie expressed today by a tremendous diacouragement among the militante and not only among tho8e Who, like ~re, c~ne out with a challenge in the spring. Some people remain in the party although their epirit ie dead. Many are waiting for the Congreee before they make their decisione. Othere have already left it. Queetian: Like you. A. T~te: Yee, in mid-January. I no longer had any hope. Reading the preparatory texta proved to me that I Was right. Queseion: Michel Barak~ your criticieme leave little room for hope. Nhy , did you etick with the party? M. Barak: Uadoubtedly becaueE I atill feel that I am a co~nmist~ com- pletely. . ~ COPYRIGHT: 1979~ S.A. Groupe Expresa 5058 1 CS0:3100 1 24 POR OPFICIAT. USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 _ I FO~t OFFICYAL U38 ONLY COt1NTRY 8~C1'ION FRANC~ BRIg1~8 PCF DEPUTY 9fiCRETARY-aENBRAI,--The pCg plenr to appoiat, aC ite upcoming congrere~ a deputy ~e~retaryganeral of tfie party. Cheriee Fieerm~n is reportedly moet likel,y Lo be choeen. (~~xt] [Parie PARI3 MATCEI in i~r~nch 23 Mar 79 p 55] C30: 3100 25 FOR OFPICIAL U5E ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~OR OFFIC2At, U9~ ONLY COt1`MMtY S~CT~ON i'~ALY ARM~b ~ORCES P1tOM0'TIONAL LAW3 ~XAMIN~U Mi1~n iL MANDO in Italian 23 ~eb ~9 pp 2~-29 tT~x~j Billions in ~$ivoeg--~rmy~ n~vy and air forep ~re ~p~~dic?g 7 tri111on ~ir~ to buy nea apapnn~. {i'hat ar~ th~y buying? tiho decides on the purch~~e~? And e~pecially, wi11 thay h~lp tv defend the co~nt~y b~tter? rh~ political ecen~ ha~ gtnnk for ye~r~, end ita lat~At eructatione afflict alen th~ crisi~ of governmen~ in progrees. Yet th~ Lockhe~d scandal con~ c~rn~ only the purcha~e of 15 Herculpg C-130's--that is, a minimal pgrt of Italian armament. NoW e~any other Lockhaed caeee ar~ hidd~n in th~ huge defenae purchaees? Md even trithout 8uspecting corruptioe and bad faith, vho decidas, and on the bagig of vhat crit~ria, ~?hethar italian defanse - neede more miseileg or cannone~ and vhat mir~il~~ and vh$t c~~nnona? According ta Palco Accama, aho ie responsibl~ for defeng~ prnbl~me #or the Sacig~~Ae Party, severel of the decieiona taken !n recent yeare to incr~a~e thp poaer of the Italian armed forces are, in this re8pect. dieputable and disturbing: "Equipping oureelvee vith Tornado-Mrca airplaaee. irith a large ` number of Leopard tanks, aith the thraugh-deck cruiser or e helicopter- earrier, revealA the admitted ambition to make italy a gmall military pc~wr with offeneive capacity la che Hediterranean ~rea." Nho haa takea these decisione? "t have littlt faith in parliaa~ent'8 capacity for control in the defQnge eector," Accsme sayr furthar, "because the politiciang are afraid to concern themselveo with these problema. Thus the military do as they like~ buy vhat they want, vithout thare baiag any caordination among thp tfiree anaod fercee: army~ n~vy and a~r force. It is c~rtainly t+rue that politicgl intar~st ia the problems of eecurity in Italy ie acarce. From the parliamdntary records it ~ergas that almoat none of che d~putiee a~!d �enators vho are on the defense coamittee--except for a fea axceptions~ su^h ae the socialiat Accame, foroerly a high navy official~ or the left-wing inde;:znd~nt Nino Pasti, a former general--takes much interest in analysio of the strategic choicee which ere a pre8upposition for purchasaa of waapons. Yet ~ust to maintain its armed forcee. Italy Ktll 26 POR OFP2CIAL USB ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~~lt O~~tCtAL US1~ ONLY ~pend 5,119.15 biilian lira in 19~~ (~?tl6 p~~r~~nt o~ eh~ f~d~~~i budg~e, mnre th~n 14 biilidn p~r d~y). And theg~ ~ra ~xp~nditur~~ iimie~d t~ c~nv~neion~~ w~~pdnry, b~~~u~~ It~1y dd~~ nne have ~n ~utunomou~ nuci~gr gt~~~ngl, ~v~n thou~h nu~ie8~ w~Apon~ ~re ,n~e~il~d in Ir~1y. C3e+~ ~eceian ~ntiel~d "Wi.th th~ Trigger in W~~hington"j. ig thi~ n gm~li gm~unt, m~~nt~in~d by Mini~t~r nf D~afpn~~ Attili~ ttuffi~i, who, ~p~~king in eh~ ~h$mb~r in the ~I@b~Cl on th~ budg~t for hig mini~ery, d~~Crib~d the drafe bud~~t f~r 1979 one for "m~r~ ~urviv~i7" nr i~ ehe pDt)~ Cp~d~~~~ri~n Uniey P~rty) dpputy ~1i~en Mil~ni righe wh~n h~ ~~yi~ th~t th~ dpf~ar~~ budg~t--c~l~ul~t~d an th~ b~gi~ ~f t~~ ~rd~~ n~~io~~~ ~raduet ~nd nnt on th~ h~~i,~ of th~ federg~ budget--ia, rgeh~r, incr~~~ing ~v~ry y~ar, in ~ompliance ai~h the aiaheg of NA'~0~ ahi~h in 1g77 agkpd ~t~ partner~ co incr~~e~ th~ir def~nee ~xpsndi~ur~a by ~ perc~nt each y~~r? Or, ind~~d, i~ th~ uriter Carlo Caa~olg right wh~n h~ gays that it i~ not nacee~~ry t~ gpend ~v~n on~ i~ra for we~pone, in view of th~ fact th~t in e~~~ df aar, ftaly aould hev~ a r~ducpd aarmaking cepacity enyrvay? With~ue d~ubt~ ie emerge~ from ~am~ data r.hat the ~tat~ nE hp~lth nf th~ It~li~n grmed forcea i~ not of the be~t. On~ ~xempl~ out nf many p~~~ible on~g: th~ ihvel of tr~ining of thp troopg. in his 12 menths of draEt ~~tw ic~, e eoldiQr manage~ to fire only 120 ~ciflp rnun~ae, if hp b~langa , to a combat unit. Oth~ruis~, nniy 48. N,~ itali~n cannon fires on,y 25 tr~ining ehotg in a year, ae ag~inet che 90 firpd by a French or Weet G~rman cannon, 120 by an Englioh cgnnon, or 112 by ~~delgian on~. Finally-- ~ti11 in annual terme--a tank fir~a 36 training roundg in Italy, as againat 95 in France, 110 in West GQtmany~ 114 in ~ngland ~nd 60 in Belgium. In order for soldiers, cannons and tanks to ehoot, in ord~r for planeg to fly and ghip~ to ~Ail--for military training, in a~?ord--131 billion 1ire, equ~l to 2.5b p~rcent of the military budg~t, ~ri11 be apent in it~ly in 1979. A figur~ ahich the experte conefder very low--certainly far beloa vh~t other countries ~pend: "Ara~ed forcee which d~ not train," Defenae Minister Rufftni acknouledged in parliament, "do not have e reason for being end canetitut~ - only A MA8[@ of re~ources." Add to thie the eggravation that keeping soldiers ineuffici~ntly occupipd ie aleo coneideced one of ttw cauee~ of the epread c: dr~g dLuee: 258 caseA verified in 19~7 ae aga~nst 69 in 1973. 7e g~t c~ut of thie situation, to moderntze thp armed forceg and mak~ thpm more eEficienc ia 1979, the Italien parliament has decided to l~unch a multi- year plan vith a tocal exp~nditure~ at 1978 priceB, oP more than 7 trillion lire earmarked for purchaeea of nev ~apons: neW a~rplanee~ new ahipe, new tank~, nea cannone and nex helicoptera. NdW Will thie money b~ epent? Will it really help? To ansver Chese ques- Cion~~ IL M0:1D0 weac co [he Inatitute of International Affsir~ (I1?:,1~ the only independent research center which folloaa in depth the prablems of defense in Italy. Chairad 6y Altiero Spinelli, who for yeare was a commis- gioner in the EEC and ~+ho ia nou an independent left-aing deputy, and directed by Ceaare Kerlini, one of the Italigns on the Trilateral Commiesion~ 27 POR OPFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR 01~FIC~At, U~~ ONLY ~ eh~ IAI ~nil~b~r~e~~ ~in~~1y with th~ In~efeuee ~f ~tr~e~~iG ~eudt~~ in ~ L~nd~c~~ ~nd ie i~ thi~ It~11~n corr~~pond~n~ of 3IPRi, ~n intarnaei~fl~l ingti- eu~~ ih Sea~khnim whieh 1g th~ aarid'~ md~t ~uth~riteeiv~ voi~~ nn ~t~ pr~bi~m~ of W~apong c~neroi. Thi,~ ie ehe iA~ anaiy~is. Miiit~ry Spending Th~ ~~eim~e~i nppropri~tion~ ~e~ign~ad to the Mini~t~ry of D~f~nae in 197s e~e~i 4,314 biiiion 1ir~, as ag~in~t 3,531 billion ~n 197~, fdr ~n increg~~ of Z2.2 p~raant, con,~ider~bly high~r eh~n the rat~ of infi~tioe. ~accluding th~ @xp~andl~ure~ for pubitc e~fety (carabit~i~ri) gnd oth~r minor ~xpen~~~, the ~ppropriae~on~ eff~ctiv~ly ~p~nt for naE~on~l d~f~n~e cnn b~ congl,der~dt ~,920 billion in 197~ and 3,S78 biilion in 1978, for an iacr~a~~ of 22.5 perc~nt. Nithin thee~ figur~r, the most maa~iv~ incre~e~~ ~r~ uncl~r th8 h~adin~ of pureh~ge of good~ and ~~rvice~, ahich ~nt froei 1,678 bii~ion ~ire in 1977 to 2,1~4 billion in the folloaing y~gr; tha p~rcentage diff~~r~nc~ i~ 29.5 p~re~nt~ if th~e~ data ar~ further en~ly~ed to d~fin~ ehe fin~nci~l l~~d for purehgg~ of ~epone~ the re~ulta ar~ as foiloW~s 999 billion in 1977 and 1,347 billion itt 1978--an increase of 34.8 perc~nc. Thie rel~te~ , to the fact that in 1978 c8me the first sub~t~ntiai appropri~tinne connected aith the three promotional laa~ for modernizatioa of th~ armed forces. Hith ~h~ approval~ in rha firet half of 1977, of tha promotionul laa~ for the ~ir force and the army, tha legielativ8 framewark which r~ill r~agulate the expendituree for modernisation of thg araed forcao until 1986 vae com- pieted. In contrast wi~h tha navy laW, vhich estebl~eh~~ the amaunte of expenditure yQar by yaer, tha two na~? lave ar~a flexible: aft~ar an initial e~ount of 35 billion for 1977, annual appropriacions of 100 billion for the nir force end 120 billio~ for the are~y are planaad in th~ period 1978-1986; tt~ ee appropristions may be increaeed in relation to the atate of fulfilLnent of the programe~ aventual coet increaeea due to inflationary _ effecte, and increaeee for raa roaeeriale and the coet of labor. The ~ffects of this legislated flexibility hav~ already been felt: nn the basis of the estimated budgete~ the air force expendituree cinanced by the promocioaal law should be 168 billion and 293 billion (ingtead of 100 bil- lion) in 19~8 and 1979; for 1979, the expenditures for the atmy a~f the navy ahould riee~ reapectiv~ly~ to 200 billion and 295 billion (from the initial baee of 120 and 1SS billion). At 1978 prices~ the totgl load for - - the three lavs together (initi~lly, ~,070 billion) has already arrived at 5,450 billion ~ec 7,000 billion if, as ia very probable, the navy laa is rQEinanced). In fact, all thie posee e eerioua problem of political conerol. The mddern- izacion laae~ ae coacrived~ guaranteed the integral fulfillment of the pro- gcams eatabli~hed~ indepaadently of the coete. This appears ecceptable if 28 FOR OPFICIAL USB ONL1' _ . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR O~~ICIAL t1S~ dNLY gdv~rnm~ttt ~nd p~t~ii~mene t~k~ ~ dir~~e p~re in eh~ prc~gre~~iv~ ~~~rrying-dut ~f eh~ progr~m~ npprov~d and ~r~ in ~ pngieion td h~v~ ~ m~~ar vdic~ in Ch~ - b~~l.s d~~iginn~. On th~a deh~r hand, whi1~ Che "milie~ry-indu~trial" gpp~~`~Cug h~~ b~an ser~ngth~ning ~nd nr~ani~ing it~plf in r~c~nt ye~r~~ rh~ in~trun?~nt~, eapacity and will for control by th~ pnlitiegl p~aer ~pp~~r tn~ufff~i~ne; p~rgddxicnlly, ~hi~ i~ due ~1go to ~reh~i~ r~~idu~l f~gtur~~ ~f th~ militar~? ~truCture, ~nd in p~rtiCUigr, to eh~ inW er~ngpgr~ncy of ~ frgm~aro rk tredition~lly divlded by ~~ncorg, ~ fr~n~aork in ahich ie i~ difEieuit to bring tog~th~r ~l~mentg of unitary m~n~gemene ~nd int~rbr~nCh vigian. Armyt The progr~m~ cov~r~d by th~ prom~tinnal 1~w for~a~~t g eot~l nuel~y of 1,9~5 billion lirP. tn th~ eector of "whe~lpd, erg~k~d and grmor~d tran~port, combat and auxiliary equipmpnt," Ch~ prngram~ fingnced ~y thp lau ~r~ ehe fo118uing: (1) purchaee of 120 Leopard t~nk~; (2) purch~~~ of ~uxili~ry e~nk~ wieh th~ ~~me body ~g the Leopard (68 r~~i~f t~ntc~, 64 bridge-1~yere and 29 ~appar~); (3) purcha~e of 300 armdred trdop ' tr~n~porC v~hicleg of the Vvc-1 typ~; (4) purchage of ~,g00 2-tdn truCkg; (5) dev~lopment of th~ Vcc-80~ g neW track~d ~nd armor~d transport and combat vehicle; (6) p~rchaee of deviceg for night vi~ion and firing. All thie equipment W111 be deliverad in the p~riod betW~en 1979 and 1984. A~ r~garde "artillery, artillery support, munitione and equipment," the la~ Will permit purchaae of 164 155-mm ~oved cannon8 oi the Fh-70 type, ~ointly m~n~f~ctured by Hest Germany, Great Britain and Italy. The cannon~ Wi11 have a rnng~ of about 24 kilometere, greater then that of the pre~ent grtillery of the eame calib~r. Thia also involvee replacesnent of the battlefield acquieition~ target and surveillance radare; 30 Will be purchased. ~or brilding up antiaircraPt defenae, ahich for yeare has been conaidered g priority need, 40 mobile mieaile nyatems of the "Mei" type will be purchased, to be ~eed againat plnnea penetrating at low altitude, and portable migeiles not yet sp~cified. In addition, modernization of 120 40/70 antiaircraft cannona i~ eaid to be planned; howpver, thie program ia not definite and could be replaced. Conaiderable uncertainty aubalate in another eapecially important sector, antitank defenee, ahich in future could be centered on aysteme of short range (up to 1 kilometer)~ medium range (up to 2 k~lometere), long range (up to 3 kilometere)~ and very long range (up to 4-S kilometera; ncrmally, these are mieeiles leunched by helicoptera). Actually, there are doubts about the readinees aad availability in the early 1980's of two aystems of Italian manufacture: the FOLGORE [Thunderbolt~~ a recoilless cannon = designed for distancea of leee than 700 meters~ and the SPARVIERO (Sparrow- haakj~ a caieaile Which hae a range of about 3 kilometers. For this renaon, the choice could go to foraign miasilee, such ae the Franco-Cen?an MILAN (for the medium diate~cee) and the American DRACON (for the shortex distences). It eeeme certain~ though~ that antitank helicoptera armed 29 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 t~OR O~FICIAt, U9g ONLY wieh~Am~ri~~n TdW mi~gile~ ~which eh~ ~rmy gir~~dy h~~) w31~ b~ pur~h~~~ds in eh~ comi~g y~a~r~, ~om~ 60 h~licopt~r~ of ehi~ typ~ (Agu~eg A-109 ~nd _ ~fe~r 198~, Agu~t~ A-129) ghould b~ bought. Th~ promotionel i~w for th~ army aov~re a1~o "~upplying of radio eC~tiong and tel~communic~tion~ ~quipment." in th~ 2-y~ar p~riod 1977-1978, 2,900 n~w r~dio gtations~ vehie~l~~ ~nd portabl~, he?ve already been bought. St~rtin~ !n 1980~ ~pproprigtiona fnr purche~~ of high-fr~quency gnd long- r~ng~ radio rt~tion~ ~nd n~t~ tel~comanunication~ ~quipment arg planned. Th~ praduct~ are of variou~ typest rgdio link~, eplephnnic multipiex +~quipmant~ gutomatic telephon~ exchangee, electronlc teletyp~writera, remote-contro~ ~nd direct-dialing equipment, etc. Th~ l~et heading ie "equ3pment fnr - manegc~ment opar~tion gutomation." In thie fleld, deliv~riee of mini-d~tg proceseore h~ve alre~dy begun. On th~ whoi~, it i~ a modarnization program which goaa 1n the direction both of purchaeing equipm~nt tn integrata and compleCe the exigting aquipment (~uch as the L~op~rd tanke); to prnvide the army wtth w~apone and aquipment in l~ne wirh technologic~l progre~e and the nea uee concepte (in ell the modern armi~e~ increa~ingly intansiv~ mechanization of i~nfantry~ providing speed, protection nnd flexibility of ue~, ie taking plac~); and to fi11 in gapa (anticrsft and antitank weapon~) Which are increasingly obvious with the improvement in airplane characteristics and the improvem~nt in eh~ tech~icel charactarigtics of armored equipment. - Neturally, euch moderaiza~ion Would mak~ no eenee if it aere not accompani~d by the poeeibility of achieving an effective military inetrument through adequate craining and equally adequate levele of eupport. Otharaise~ it would be mora euitable to create an instrument of smaller dimeneione, correeponding b~tter to the countrq's econoiaic and finaacial reality but posaeeeing high efficiancq and operational capacitq--capable, that is, of representing an effective deterrent. Air Force: The programa linancod by the air force laa are four. The most important ie the ona for the multipurpoae Panevia-Tornado airplane (manu- factured ~ointly with Weat Garmany and Great Britain)~ which ie progreasing normally. The firat airplanea vill go into eervice in 1980, replacing the ~-104C'~~ The 100 Tornadoe coa~ing to Italy by the time the program ie completed (1988) will be ueed ar folloae: 12 for training, in a t~?o-eeater vereion; 54 in the "firet line" group; and 34 as reserves, to replece loaees - and to permit overhaul cyclee. ~ The ofiher three supply programa are the following: (1) 100 Mb-339 training ~ets~ built by Mncchi; (2) antiaircrnft miasile systeme of the SPADA (Sword~ type~ for defense of the moat iiaportant basea; (3) 30 sighting, altitude and identification radars, ahich Will become operative by 1986. The air force laW is perhape the one Which hea caused the most argument in the past, mainly because the Tornado airplane aas conaidered en oftensive 30 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR OFFICIAt, US~ ONLY ~ pinnt~. In vi~w d~ eh~ ~tne~ of cdmpleCidtt of Ch~a pro~~~t~ whi~h by nnw i~ ~111H1. t1~~~ ~~~lne uC nu rn~urn, ~b~~~einn~ n~ ehi~ kind g~e now rnre~ BuC thc~ cnn~~rng ~bnut the cn~C incre~~~~ (owing in pgrt, in Che cas~ of Che Torn~do, rn rh~ devn],uatiion of th~ lir~ in r~l~tion to th~ Germ~n mark) ~r~ eti11 ~urr~ne. At eh~ b~ginning of 19~5, the total eosC for carrying outi eh~ pro~r~m~ pro- vid~d for by Ch~ 1aw w~~ 1,265 billion iir~; ehis co~t rd~~ to ~,745 bi111on by Ch~ middle of 1976, to 2,170 billion ~t the beginning of 19~7 gnd 2,533 billic~n ~ yegr 1~ter. A~~re~in number of ~ir force programs, ~1d and n~w ~ne~, prove Co be cov~r- ed by funde outsid~ the promotional 1~w. Among the~e ~re the furnishing of 44 G-222 traneporC planes and 20 Hh-3F reecue helicoptere, improv~ment of th~ ~vionic8 of the F-104S~ purchasa of SIDEWINDER air-to-a3r migeileg of th~ n~w generetion~ and th~ expe~dituree for Ch~ AWACS girborne warning and ~ontrdl ey~tpm. The mogt eignifi~ant pro~ect which wi11 be d~veloped with ordinary financing h~~ the abbreviation Am-x. Thig is a n~w tactical gupport p1~ne wh~ch will repla~c~ the G-91R's ~nd the G-91Y'e in the 1980'g. It aill in all probability be an entirely Italian product (but with Che enginea built under foreign 11e~nee). In any case~ any idea of ~oint production with West C~rmnny and Great BriCain, per the exempl~ of the Tornado ~nd the Fh-70 cannon, eeeme out of the picture. Inetead, there hae been talk of a possible agreement with Sweden. The same commentary as made for the army ae a military inatrument is valid for the air force also. Plenea which reacfi the limits of their technical and operational life are replnc~d. Civen the increase in air defenee capacitiee, the missione of attack planea have become more difficult and exacting; it ie attempted to obviate this with, on the one hand, greater sophistication permitting high speed at the los~eat altitudes and all-weather operationa, and on the other hand, with more complex equipment aysteme, - especially for electronic aarfare. This is a tendency which raisea the total costa well beyond the alraady high price of an airplane pure end . eimple. The purchage of the Tornado would make no aense if one wers constrained to use it as an attack plane of the 1960's--that is, aithout equipping it with syatema~ and aspecially armament, auitable for ite ~ mission (area bombe~ antirunaay bomba, laser-guided, electro-optically guided, or infrared-guided bombe). � Navy: It ie very probable that the navy law will be amended in such a way as to make itfinancially flexible. This Would make it possible not only to ' re�inance the "reduced" program (1 helicopter-carrying cruiaer, 6 anti- aubmarine frigates, 2 eubmarinea~ 6 misaile-launching hydrofoils, 1 fleet supply ship~ 1 reacue-ealvage ehip, 4 mineaweepere and 27 Ab-212 anti- aubmarine helicoptere)~ for which 1,000 billion lire is no longer sufficient~ but also to coneider again the poesibility of building all the ahips origtnally planned. 31 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR OFFICIAL USL ONLY In ~unh n e~~e~ ewo mieeil~-1~unching chu~er~~ two more frigatee of the ~~M~~~C~'~1~" (Northw~~t Windj cla~~~ ~ix mineeweeper~~ one traneport ehip for r~mphibldu~ operatione end nine Ab-21x hel3coptere would ~oin the fieee ~round rhe mid-198U'~. The ~dded coet, including the "technical�op~rational imprdvementa" and completion of the equipment on board," would totel 1,158 bi113on lire. at 1979 price~. With the 386 b311ion in price revieione, the navy law. thus refinanced would come to coet 2~544 billion. M~~nwhi5.e, the del~vary tim~e are be;tng ouClined with greatier precie:Lon. Ag regarde the plgn for conatructinn financed by the ordinary budgete, the frig~Ce "Lupo" ~Wolf) became operaCional in the autumn nf 1977~ and a year later, the frigate "SagiCLario" (Sagittarius] and the eubmarine "Sauro" ~RoanJ; in 1978~ tha ~ubmaritte "~ecia di Coesato" end the.frigate "Perseo" (Per~~ua) were launched. Among th~ ehipe pianned by~ the pr~motionai 1aw~ the k~el of the frigate "Maeetrale" we~ laid at the beginning of 1978 (ehe - eix unite of ehie claes will be delivered between 1980 and 1983)~ whil~ the eix hydrofoil~ wiZl go inro eervice in Che 3-yeer perind 1979-1981. Neverthelese~ reasona for indecision are not lacking~ both ae regarde the . decieion to build the helicopter-carrier cruiser and because Che ngvy law and the ordinary budgete ds not sRem to give the neceseary emphasis to the auxil~ary shipe. In lact. construction of only one equedron supply ehip~ the "Veeuvio~" is echeduled; it Will join the "Stromboli," vhich ~rent into gervice in 1975. A factor euc!~ ae this could have a negative influence on the fleet's operational capacity. Interbranch Strategy The dizzying pace of technological pt�ogresa which brings weapons syatems rapidly to technical-operational obeo:.escence, and equally, the dizzying ~ riae in their coeta, ans! the proper limits placed on the financial re- gources which 3t is posaible to devote to defenee pro~ecta~ in the face of more urgent aocial necessities, impoee difficult choices. But it ie difficult~ from analyeis of the three promotional lgae, to under- etand what unitary etrategic deeign governed the 3mportant decisions Caken in past years. Thus it ie difficult to eatablieh whether the mr:ans chosen are the right ones or not. Por sure, there hae been no deciaion taken in the politicel arena to whic~ to refer and to uae as a standard for checking - the choices made. It ia indeed the responsibility of the politicians to establish the frame- _ work of political reference which the military ehould abide by for defining the military inatrument. Only if such a clear lrame of reference existe ia it poeaible to evaluate the cost and effectivenesa of the individual technical propoeals. to make choices, to reduce or expand the budget~ in a 32 FOR OFPICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ ~'OEt 01~'~ICIAL US~: ONLY r~a~on~d w~y, with ~wareneg~ of tha ri~kg run ~nd c~1,culgtion of th8 b~nefi~~ which ~nn be d~riv~d frnm them. In the ~bsenca of ~uch ~ framework, th~ - entir~ proc~~~ fedeg into ehe ~.ndefinite. The more g~n~rg1 the on~~ctives of - delense policy are, tha more iC becomes imposeible eo evaluata the correct- n~es of expenditur~. There are no eolely "rachni.c~l" criCer~~: wug it neca~~ary eo buy the famoue Nercules planes which are be~ng grgued about in - eh~ congtitueional courC Cod~y7 Ig it nece~agry to build Che nAw Itialian "thrnugh-deck cruiger? ig it advisable to mgintein ehe pr~asent budget divi~ton which fevor~ th~ expenditures for the army? It i~ impoeeible Co reply 1n g complete way: one cgn dgtermine whether a ep~c~fie p1gn~ nr ehip or c~nnon or eomething els~ is ter.hnically valid, wheCher ir carrieg out properly the taeke for which it w~e designed; but no one Coday outeide tha defenee apparatue is in a po~ition to evaluaCe whether it ie right for thQ Itali~n armed forcee to have epeet a11 that money tn carry out that task in thnt manner. The only way to know, and hence to hav~a a proper debate on def~nee expenditures, ie by preciee determingtion of what it is degired to defend, how, why and within whaC limite, with what prioritie~. But unfor- eunaC~ly~ the Italian political clase h~e ~o far hidden behind th~ convenient gcreen of NATO denieion, general and imprecise~ refueing to debaCe thge which ~ 3t wae iCe taek Co decide. Itdly has thua become eseentially a"forw~rd base" of NATO (and in particular, , of the American forces), limit~ng its interest (and hence the m~jor portion o� ite budget) to defense of tt~e northeast sector--that is, Friuli and the Veneto,.where more than one-third of Italian war poaer ie conceetrated. As the etraregic aituation in the Mediterranean changed and Che necesaity of a more active European role in the alliance became mope presging~ Italy did not conduct any debate on these decieions and tried to continue as in the good old times. Thus wae created a void~ which had necesearily been filled directly by the military adminiatration~ but lacking eufficient political cover, lacking a�rame of reference and thus actually prevented from making more courageoue choicee. In the abeence of political decieions, bureau- crntic routine naturally preveils. Theretore, the predominant etrategic posture eeems in fact to remain for the future too the one hinged on defense of the borders with the east. The military eatabliahment~ tahich has little _ propensity to baeic diacusaion of military qnestions and ie diseatisfied at not receiving precise political directivea which might have sided it in ita choices, hae in any case coatented iteelf with managing the funds aeaigned to defenae in a form eubstanCially free of parliamentary control. Therc are at leaet two negative resulta. The firat ie that we are still witnessing a distribution of the defense budget in accordance with a priority (�irat the army, then the air :orce, then the navy) which is no longer con- sonIInt with the altered geoatrategic importance of the Mediterranean area. The second ie that a unitaty~ interbranch vision of military programing is stilt lacking~ and one hae the impression that each armed force is proceeding Along ite oxn line of evolution and modernization, without any coordination with the othere. But it is no longer poasible for the three brnnchea to 33 FOR OFFICIAL USF, ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 I FOEt O~t+ICIAL U5~ ONLY pr;~cnnd cilc~ng thi~ rnnd without th~ir progrema b~ing ~v~luated and approved in ;:unr.eian u~ ehe nverall militery in~trumenC which it ia de~ired Co achiav~ and wi~hout ~dopeion of strict criteri~ for verifying coet-affacCivenaae. The ~eform of the armed forceg iniC~a~ed hgs certainly etreamlined ~everal eerv~ces, but ~t has noe changad the bas3c criteria of subd~.vigion of tha budget and of etrategic orlentation. It ~s g"technic~l" reform, with a11 the limite of political deficiency already pointed out. The new means which ICaly ie acquiring are thersfore making technic~lly mor~ modern an instrument which is "old" in its politicai-~Cr~Cagic principl~e. Once again~ ther~ ie ~ conc~ntraCion ott ~ffectiveneae by sector, without finding the over~ll effec- tivene~s of Italian defene~ as ~ whole. It is therefore necessary to re- think, in new terme~ the military instrumente which Italy naede, considering the profound changes in the geopolitical and geoetrategic conCext of the Maditerranean erea~ fitring the distribut3on of defense reeources to th~m. According to the IAi, it would be advi~able to concentrete in the futnre on ~ a military inetrument of rgduced dimeneione but fully eff~ctive and~capab~le of. pursuinR the eeaentinl ob~~ctivee of the coun~ry'e military policy. Yn ttiie context, the political claee ehould act to give direction~ to coordi- nnCe and control~ and the finel decieion ie up to it. While reeponeibility for finding answere~ on tha technical level~ goes to the military--no longer anewere to the 3ndividual requi,rements of each armed force, but to the more articulated requiremerte of the military inatrument ae a whole, - ~ith unitary programing for army, navy and air force. With the Trigger in Washington In Italy there are about 1~000 nuclear warheada. Some of them are assignad to use by the Italian armed forces, according to the NATO agreementa. Some of them are atationed on Italian territory, but controlled exclusively by the American troope. Finally, eome of them equip the American Sixth Fleet stationed in the Mediterranean. But here, in detail~ is the eituation. Nuclear Weapona Aesigned to the Italian Armed Forcea According to a etudy by the Stockholm International Inetitute for Peace (SIPRI)~ the nuclear weapone aesigned to the Italian armed forces as of mid- 1976 were; 126 155-rmillimeter howitzers; 12 203-~nm howitzers; 18 Honeat John ground,to-ground mie~ilea; 6 Lence ground-to-ground mieailes; and 72 F~104 fighter-bombere. From 1916 to today, according to the International Institute of Strategic Studiea of London, the Honest Johna have been with- drawn~ while according to SIPRI~ there are eight Lance missiles today, not five. As for the fighter-bombera~ in reality only two groups of the F'-104 type are deaignated in Italy !or uaing nuclear bombs, and thus their number is more realiatically about 30-36. If one takea into account the fact that in general, the nuclear warheade atored in Italy for theae weapons are one for each mieaile~ two f~r each fighter-bomber, and three for each howitzer~ one arrivee at about 500. ICeeping aleo in mind the fact that other Italian 34 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~'Ott O~~ICIAL U3~ ONLY - ~arri~r~ of ~ing1~ Cacrica], nuc~~ar warhead~ are cereainly ehe 96 Nike Hnrcule~ anCi~iticraft miaei~~e, and probably Che aneieubmarine p1an~~ (25), one ~rrives at g toCal of more than 600 nuclear warhead~~ which tihe Itialiane would hgv~ ~o u~e with Che "double key" eyatem; for the usa of euch weapong, author3x~eion by tihe preeid~nr of the United States and approval by the It~~11nn Government are neceesary eimulCaneous~y. ~in~lly, ~gain according Co SII'ItI~ there are algo in Ie~1y, ag we11 as in ~ West ~ermany, Greece and Turkey~ nuclear demolition minE.., Che eoCel numbar nf which--gr~11 according to SIPRI--ehould be about 300. Am~rican Nuclear Weapone ir~ Italy Th~re is lese information about the nuclear weapons controlled directly by the Am~ricane ~ut stationad in Italy. The numbar of Americ~n airplanes ~ based in TCaly and equippad with nuclear weapong ia known (including those belnnging to the Sixth Fleet)s about 20 fighter-bombers based at Aviano, in Friuli~ whieh belong to Che 40Ch Tactical Group of the U.S..Air Force; - about 60 attack planes on board two aircraft caxriera and abaut 30 anti- submarine planee on board the eame aircraft carriers etationad at Siganella, near Catania. Lese well-known, though, ie how many nuclear weapons are at the diaposal of the eurface ships G,f the Sixth Fleet, which hae its logisti- cal base at Naples~ and the hunter-killer submarines, a auppart ship for which ~ is stationed at Maddalena. ; ; According to an estimate by an American source, the tactical nuclaar warheada on board the American tleets in the Atlantic (the Second) and in the Med iter- ranean (Che Sixth) total about a thousand. Knowing the aizee of the fleets (5 aircraft carriers and 60 surlace ahipe in the Secoad; 2 aircraft carriers , and 15 surface ahips in the Sixth), ona can deduce that there are about - 300 tactical nuclear weapona available to the Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean. 35 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOR OFFICYAL USE ONLY , The Coet of Def~nse X of NaGion~l ~ of Pub13c X of Grose Y~ _Budg~tY ~xp~nditure4 Nar,ion~1 ProducC A4 g5 1974 9.17 ~ ` 19~5 8.07 2~9 2.9 - 1976 7.77 9�7 2.6 2.8 1977 7.49 8�6 2�5 2.6 1978 7.06 8�91 2.4 _ 1979 7.033 7.9 Key: . 1. The figurea furniehed refer to the ordinary defenae budget. It ehould be kept in mind~ for exa~~pie, that the promotional lawa for Lhe armed forces~ launched in 1977, provide fcr expenditures (which hav~ already etarted, from 1978) not conaidered in the ordinary budget. 2. The increaee in public expenditure of a current nature in recent yeara shoas defenee expenditures conatantly decreasing, even in the presence of conetant appropriations. In addition~ from 1975 on, tha expenditures for military peneiona have been removed from the defeese budget. 3. Forecast. 4. 5ource: MILITARY BALANCE. 5. Source: SIPRI, Stockholm. 36 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 , ~ FOR O~FICIAL USE ONLY ~ The Italian Armed Forcea Today ~ ~SGRCITO'~: ~ 2 ~nivi 2b0 m1U I~Ki~~i a~~einarq ' ..........r. ~ti~.~N..~h~l~'!'..~'NS~~~."~~.'``rl~~~.M 1 dwl/lom oor~un~ ~ dlvhloM m~eanltuu t Wlq~u m~tbnlinu S brlq~a molorlttn~ ~3~ea~aa.ian~ ; 1 by~u pn~aduttul , 9 btt~q~bnl ~nllbl o Q~�,~~`~ Obkl ~ aenom nmov~nU r ~ bilp~u coe n+NNli u~n-tari ~l~nn. d~ 165,116 ~ 9tl7 mm. ~ 6 1 W~INtbM ~nuNrN eon mirNl ~N~wk~ pp~el ~ annonl d. f0l,164 ~ ZO] mm, CN~I ~rrMllt , Mirlll ~ntip~ro ~Tow~ ' 100 M-~f ~ 700 M-60 ' ~ 1.000 ar,~ ard~ d I,qHeitO~ 7~�~. i _ hp00rt0 tfYpO~ v..~ M ~ WI Ilpo M-11~ llloottNl: 60 AO-,f;140 AB 70/1206 ~ 8 }~o ~e-tOE; t0 CM-~7 - ~so.�.i ~.~~i ~ . ( Qkanblelui (~t(~ttiv190 mi1~1 ~ ~ rppinwneo oa~u~~o ~ eon M-~1 ~ M-11~ ~ ...r . U1~~~~ p~nplbr~proodutMl 1 i ' MARINA (11 ' ~ ~ (1~~ eN~ttivi~a2 mila , _ .e:i.k_.~.~:: i::..,iit!?ia (+;f~�t s. ~ ~13 6 wmrMrpiblll d'~ttaco ~ ~14 wmm~rpiDili ~hunt~l-klll~n (~nNwmrtwrplbili) ~ Mw rHomitrln . ~ nwl tn~po?to truPp~ ~ nut~tiNl ~ , ~ C'tI q~ ~~i a~ ~e.~~o (IS ~~roel~tall~nebmintn ' , S16 eo~.n~o~e.~~ ~ 4 taeel~ lanet~miatll ~l~ ~ C~eti~ (dl tul 1 ~diblt0 � ; n~w ~euo~~ ~ Md~ eo ndo) ~ 2 ~ ~tu' dl t b0 n~vl ~wlllui~ ~ mino?i , ~18 ip frp~t~ ~ ' (mototr~~portl eo~tt~rf; muei ~19 1Z COMIt~ d~ Ib~~CO; hONt-N11t; fROtO , olliein~ coid~n: n~vi tip~ri~ni~, ' ~ Id~opnfleh~, olu~m~. pour~tl, ~ nlv~tp9lo, feuob, Hmorehi~torl.) ' , ~0 1~fle~fo ~~nctimbdll 2~Z b~tuplioni dl fintui~ m~rin~ 1 ~ motoannonl~n 22 6 na~o~nur~nttl~ ~2 ) Avl~zion~ dtll~ Muin~ , 23 ~ drp~min~ tdl eul 4 d1 ~Iwr~ Elteotnrl: ?0 coiU~rl ~ 10 IltannN) ~ 3 ~ 24 SM-~0; 70 AB-2C1/212 ' ~ ~ (Table and key continued on following page] 37 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 FOA 0~~'2CIA1, U5B Ot~iLY [T~bi~ e~ntir~~s~.j ( A~/1 ONt De(31) etletttvt~omt~~ . ~ It~r~a ~OO.enl d~ con tdmento - ~.~.,L.t..~���:�,3~i6a~~ _y. . w.~._w..,:_8r,l~r.. , Ih~1~p0 d) tlttilbOfDbNUiNI ! i ~ _ !'df) ~~1~4 Q 7r~+7~r-~ ~ M~PP~ dt aeci~Een?bMNMI ..s:. ~ ~ _ '0 .z n eon F-1 ~1 S S~t n~vai ei aeetieen+e~ro~+~ ( 4 ~ rwooe et ~nt e. �.roerro eon o-Ot r cen O-t~0 ?1 Gle a~oo~ ei i~~~?a~~~~o+i ~ C4 i owao+ �.k.~ w ri.~oo,+e e~~F-~au ~4 a~+o-~~o a~oa nW~n.m1~t1 ~NIA~=NMtvpM~ . � ~ ' -s3' ~~P ~oa~ m aeN.esn+eNe1M1 N~t Mrd w~ddwtnnwme: � �?Iee4MtaleenG-OtN !/�:i0;?~1N:M~-3?~; Q pupp~ d~ ?lee4r?IroN een Ilf-1010 Tf-t0i0 ~�!Ifi _ � f_~aa Q 2a~oM d~,?co4M~oH nu,Nnn,t ea+ /nOwt ~Alwntk. Gg~ t a~voo dt ?keqnqoN nwinlenl Eiflrett�I: ' ~ ton ~-I.T~KRa� 6S A8-l1 d1J; i0 AS-S0~ 9 Key: - 1. Army.~a~ 2. Pereonnel: 240,000 (not including car~binieri). 3. 1 armored divieion 3 mechanized divisions 1 mechanized brigade 5 motorized brigades - S Alpine briggdea - 1 parachute brigade 2 amphibious battalione 4. 1 brigade ~+ith Lance ground-to-ground mieeiles 4 entiaircraft battalione with Hawk miasilee 5. Tanka: 700 M-47's~ 200 M-60's and 500 Leoparde 4~000 troop-tranaport trucks of the M-113 type 6. Self-propelled hoaitzere and cennona of 155~ 1~5 and 203 mm Nowitzers and cannone of 105~ 1S5 and 203 mm TOW antitank miseilea [Key continued on following page~ 38 FOR OFPICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~~R O~~iC~N. U9fi ONLY C~py ~dntinu~d~ 7~ Army ~ir for~e _ H~1i~ope~r~s 6~ N3~-4~'~; 140 A~-704/205'~; 140 A$-206~~; CN-4~~~ iSU 1igt~t p1~n~~ 9. C~rgbini~ri ~p~r~onnel: 90,000) 10. i~rtn~r~d r~~iment With M-47'~ ~nd M-113'~ 1 p8r~chue~ b~ttgli~n _ 11. Ngvy 1~. P~r~onn~i: 4~,000 i~. 5 attack suba~~rinag 14. .4 hunter-killer gubmarine~ ~antteubmarin~) ~ 15. 1 mi~si~~-launching crui~~rs With he~icopt~rg 16. 4 m~eeiie-launching chager~ 17. 4 eh~e~r~ (in~~udiag 1 for uee tr~ining ghip and h~adquart~r~) 1$. 10 frigatea 19. 1~ corv~tte~ 20. ~ ~ieeile-launching hydrofoil 21. 4 gunboate ~2. 5 torpedo boa~g ~d) 23. 34 t~in~saeepere (includiag 4 for high eeae, 20 nffghora and 10 coaetal) 24. 1 supply ehip 25. 2 troop and materia~ traneport ehipe 26. 2 landing ehipe 2~. More than 150 ~uxiliary and minor shipe (coastel tranaport shipe; landing cre~t; hovercreft; coaetgl ~hop ~hipe; teet ~hipe; hydrographic shipe, tankerg~ netlayera, salvege ehips~ training ehipe, toaboata) 2~. 2 battalione of marinee 29. Navy air force 30. Nelicoptere: 24 Sh-3D's; 30 AB-204/212'e 31. Air Force ~b~ c) 32. Pereonnels 70~000 (about 300 coa~bat planes) 33. 1 fighter-bomber group aith F-104C's - - 34. 3 f ightar-bomber groupe With P-104S'e 35. 2 fighter-bomber graup~ with C-91Y's 36. 6 interceptor groupe aith F-104S's 37. 3 light fighter-bomber and reconnaiseance plaze groupe With G-91R's 38. 3 reconnaiesance plene groupe With RF-104G's and F-104G's 39. 2 maritime raconnaieeance groupe srith Ereguet Atlantics 40. 1 maritime reconnaiesance group with S-2 Trackera 41. 1 tranaport plane group With ~-100H's 42. 2 transport plane groupe ~rith C-119's 43. 8 Kike-Herculea antiaircraft missile groups 44. Training planee: SF-260; P-166; MB-326; G-91T; TF-104G 45. Nelicopteres 65 AB-47G/J'e; 40 AB-204B's (Key continued on folloaing page~ 39 FOR OFPICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~'Olt 0~'FIC~At, U9~ ONLY [K~y c~ntinu~d) (a) Ail th~ fnrc~~ ~re "a~gign~d" en NA`~0, px~~p~ ~h~ bri~~de~ d~pl~y~ed in r~ntr~1 ~outhe~n ~taly. Cb) 'Th~ ~ir d~f~n~~ fo~re~~ (it~t~rGaptor~, ~nei~ir~~~f~ t~~~~ii~~ ~nd ~ ~~d~t~' tt~e~~rork~) "unde~ NATO conanand"; aii the och~r forcee ~r~ "~g~i~n~d" ta NA~, ~~c~ep~ ~ne ii-91R grdup, the tr~nspar~ pl~n~~ ~nd ch~ trainit~g p~~n~~. ~hp eomb~t groupe ~r~ compog~d n~ i~-ig girpi~n~~, ~nd eh~ Eran~port group~, of 14-16 pi~n~~. G~ch group ha~ ~~v~r~1 ~ddition~l pi~ne~ (~boue 2b p~r~~flt, i~ r~~~rve fdr ov~rh~ul adrk), ahi+~h a~ke poa~ibie a continuou~ pra~~~g of ch~ng~~ver. rh~ figur~ ~f 300 eomb~t p1an8~ includ~~ m~ritim~ r~eonn~i~g~ne~ p~~npu b~t not these additionel plane~. (d) 'Chr~~ of them er~a aquipp+ad for incurgion ~nd frngman ~ction~. - COPYttIGH~: IL MONDO 1479 11267 CSOs 3104 ~0 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 ~ l APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100044413-2 , ~ i ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100040013-2