JPRS ID: 9320 KOREAN AFFAIRS REPORT

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APPROVE~ FOR RELEASE= 2007/02/08= CIA-R~P82-00850R000300030040-'1 ~ ~~~,`L~~ 3, E ~ ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/9320 30 September 1980 Korean Affai rs Re ort p CFODU 7/80) ~ FBIS FOREIGN BROADCAST INFORIVIATION SERVICE - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 NOTE JPR.S publications contain information primarily from foreign - newspapers, periodicals and books, but also fr.om news agency transmissi~ns and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets [J are supplied by 3PRS. Processing indicators such as [Text) or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last line of a brief, indicate how the original informa.tion was processed. Where no processing indicator is given, the infor- mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items are as - given by source. T'he contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Governmente _ For further information on report content call (703) 351-3067 (Japan, Korea, Mongolia); 351-2760 (Vietnam, South and East Asia). COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF _ MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONL,Y. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/9320 3Q September 1980 KOREAN AFFAIRS REPORT (,FOUO 7/80) CONTENTS SOUTH KOREA POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT Ex-minister Talks of KCIA Activities in Japan, Rim Tae-chung Case (Akio Nomura; ASAHI EVENING NEWS, 18 Aug 80) 1 Japanese Scholars Discuss Kwang~u Incident, R~K's Future (MAII~TICHI SHUl~IDUN, 28 May 80) 3 ECONOMY Japan To Wait Until January for Final Approva~ of Loan to ROK (MAINl'CHI SHIMBUN, 5 Aug 8Q) .....................n....... 10 ROK Threatens Japan's Steel Sales in Southeast Asia ' (MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 31 Aug 80) 12 NORTH ROR~A FOREIGN TRADE DPRK, Japan To Revise General Trade Conditions (NIHON KEIZAI SHIMBUN, 21 Aug 80) 14 Japanese Big Busineases Want Improved Trade Ties With DPRK (THE JAPANESE ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 12 Aug 80) 16 ~ - 8 - [III - A.SIA - I.09 FOUO] FOR OFFICIP.L USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY S. KOREA/POLITICS AND GOVERIa4ENT EX-MINISTER TALKS OF KCIA ACTNITIES IN JAPAN, KIM TAE-CHUNG CASE OW191005 Tokyo ASAHI EVENING NEWS in English 18 Aug 80 p 1 [Article by ASAHI SHIMBUN correspondent Akio Nomura] ' [Text] Washington--The South Korean Central Intelligence Agency (KCIA) has numbers of informants planted in government off ices, priva~te enter- prises and various organizat~!ons in Japan, according to Choe Se-kyn, =ormer ~inister at the South Korea.n Embassy in Tokyo. Choe, who directed KCIA operations in Japan until December last year, when he sc~~ight political asylum in the United States, made the dieclosure when he was ~ointly interviewed last week by the General American Bureau of the ASAHI SHII~iBUN and Mun Myon.g-cha, a Korean 3ournalist living in America. He said that when he defected, the KCIA had no evidence that the former presidential candidate Kim Tae-chung had connections with North Korea, which is one of the things he has been charged with in his court-martial. Choe said the allegation is most unlikely to be true. Choe took up the Tokyo poet in February last year at the strong request of hls brother-in-law, KCIA chief Kim Chae-kyu, who was executed for assassinating President Pak Chong-hui. Before traveling to Tokyo, he was calied to the KCIA headquarters and briefed on the Kim Tae-chung's abduction fram Tokyo in 1973. He would not - tell what he had learnt, but commented that abducting Kim was a stupid thing to do. He said that Kim Chae-kyu was of the same view. Choe's testimony suggests that the kidnaping was the work of the KCIA. The finger-prints of Kim Tong-wun, f irst secretary at the South Korean Embassy in Takyo and a KCIA operative, were found in the Tokyo hotel room from which Kim Tae-chung was abd.ucted, a~ confidential U.S. State Depart- ment cables, which attest to KCIA involvement, were made public in May - last year. Nevertheless, Seoul has not a cknowledged that the KCIA was . irnio lved . 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 rux ur~r~lc:lAL USE UNLY According to Choe, the most important objectives of KCIA operations in Japan are to counter North Korea's subversive activities against South Korea a~ to determine whether North Korea intends to invade the south. The KCIA, he said, routinely collects information on the pro-Pyongyang General Association of Korean residents in Japan and other anti-South Korean organizations, tries to keep the pro-Seoul union of Korean residents in Japan under control, lobbies in Japanese political circles, and gathers - international information available in Tokyo. Choe disclosed that the KCIA has personnel stationed in the South Korean consulates general in Osaka, Nagoya, Fukucka, Sapporo in addition to _ Tokyo, and has informants extensively planted in Japanese Government offices, private enterprises and various organizations, as well as the organizations of Koreans living in Japan. But he said the agency's budget does not permit it to spend money lavishly. He said he had made reports to Kim Chae-kyu about the extortion of money by KCIA operatives fram companies run by Korzans in Japan. Of the corrupt ties which are alleged to exist between South Korea and Japanese political circles, Choe said there are aspects which are not so constructive, with money involved, and are certainly unhealthy. But he did not give details. Choe, who exchanged information with officials of the Cabinet Research Office while in Tokyo, said he began to prepare secretly for his defection after Pak's assassination, since he felt that if he went back to Seoul, it would be the end of him. COPYRIGHT: Asahi Evening News 1980 CSO: 4120 2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY S. KOREA/POLITICS AND GOVERNMEN'T JAPANESE SCHOLARS DISCUSS KWANGJ'U INCIDENT, ROK'S FUT[TRE Tokyo MAINICHI SHIMBUN in Japanese 28 May 80 p 7 [Discussion participated in by Shizuo Mitani, a critic of Korean problems; Masao Okonogi, assistant professor at Keio University; Teruo Komaki, head of the Insti~ute of Asian Economic Affairs: "Undercurrent of Kwang~u Incident, ROK's Path"] [Excerpts] On the morni.ng of the 27th, martial law forces rushed into Kwang~u in the ROK, and brought the city under control by military force, the activities of antigovernment forces came to a tragic end in 10 days. Seven months have passed since the assassination of President Pak Chong-hui on 26 October last year; it was expected that democratiaation would advanee, but it has retrogressEd again and the view has grown stronger that the gover~ent will virtually become a military govern- ment. It seema that this, in its turn, will greatly influence U.S.-ROK and Japan-ROK relations and the entire Asian state of affaira. I would like to ask each of you experts your candid views on the Korean problems. No Repercussions Will Spread to Other Cities [Mitani] I agree with Mr Komaki an the point that.special circumstances of the region affected the Kwang~u incident. The antagonism of Cholla and Kyongsang has existed since the Three Kingdoms era, and that political climate has remained to the present. Even when one looks at the era of the Pak government, Chol~a was put in a back seat in terms of economic development. Tak3.ng the construction of express highways as an example, it began in Kyongsang, and Cholla was left until last. Industrial devel- opment has been the same. Even when it came to personnel appointmenta, the people of Cholla were kept at a distance and discriminated against. Kim Tae-~hung, the political symbol of Cholla, was shackled and hauled before the authorities. It is said that this ca+lsed a great sense of crieis and was a ma~or crsuse for thts disturbance. 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 r~uK Ur~r'1(:lAL USE ONLY - On this point, in the sloganr "Follow Kwangju," even though fnere is an alinement of democratic forces centering around former President Yua Po-son of Seoul, I don't think repercussions will spread to other regions. [Okonogi] It is a fact that Kwangju occupies a special position, but when the opposition party's Kim Yong-sam, president of the New T~mocra- tic Party, was divested of his legislator's position last fall and his presidential authority was suspended, riots broke out in Pusan and Masan (hoth are in Kyongsang), and it is feared that the same thing will happen in the future '=pending on what moves the mi1 itary makes. [Question] The Kwang~u incident has come to an end for the present. The "Special Committee for National Security Measures" was set up; the military, in short, Chon Tu-hwan, commanding general of the Defense Security Command, assumed real political power. I would like to ask you, first of all, your forecast of whether this will proceed as it is to a"Pak system without Pak," or, whether it will end after a short duration and go in a different, new dir ection. � [Komaki] General Chon Tu-hwan came to power by accident with the Pak assassination incident. Ii~e to that, he was in a defensive and te~mporary position of having to work out new measures. On 12 December of last year, from the time Chong Sung-hwa, army chief ofistaff, was put under arrest, he appeared at the front line of power and embarked on this present course; but in doing that, he confronted the senior military officers. He gave advance warning to Kim Tae-chung, but other than that, I think he gained power without any prospect of 3t or preparation. Because of that, f irst of all, he confronted both extremes of the old order and of those against the goverrnnent, and in the Kwang~u incident, he was confronted with a large number of dead unprecedented in recent years. It became an extreme life-and-death situ~tion wherein the army "could not withdraw any further," and antigovermnent forces "could not allow Chon Tu-hwan." I don't think we can be definitive about a r~:appearance of the Pak order. The ma~or trend was that the Pak order could not help but collapse poli- tically, economically and socially, and that sit~uation has not changed even now. Since General Chon does not understand that, a re-emergence of the Yusin system will fail ~ven if it is possible ~to last] for a short - duration of several months. However, since"it is dangerous,for General Chon not to put forth a confr.on~ation posture, events stmilar to the Kwangju incide~t can reoccur. There is a part of the military which opposes General ~hon, and so I can't predict what will occur in the future. [Okonogi] It is a great misfortune that there has been a transition without any clear goverrnnent program. President Pak was supported not only by.the military but also by the Democ~atic Republican Party. Kim Chong-pil, president of the De~o�ratic K'epublican Party, was arrested, and there is no base, even if a"Pak system wit'hout Pak" is promoted. It can be said that the base supporting Chon Tu-'hwan system is exceedingly limited. 4 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300034440-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY [Mitani] P�aratroopers came into Kwang~u violently at the beginning. However, later the military appeared to be under aelf-controY. The military sorted out the extremists and the moderates, bided its t3me and plunged in when it was clear. The miZitary was waiting for ~ustification for the suppression to be created. As~for control hereafter, won't ~us- tification be created to let aay one of the chief military offic~rs take responsibility? The Chon Tu-hwan order seems to be running full speed to a military gover~ent, but if a military goverrnnent comes about, the U.S., as well as ma.ny ~oreign nations, will be critical and may not bring ~.n capital and technology. The ROK economy cannot maintain itself. I~think President Choe Kyu-ha must compromise and, taking responsibility, promote a democratization schedule. [Okonogi] Th~t is so if the military is wise. President Pak',~ method was to control by force and then loosen up. I am hoping the same method will be used. At any rate, they have ao base. Will they do everything from the top or ~will they compromiae? If they are wise, they will choose the latter. [KomakiJ Concerning the movea of the military, there has been some of that since about the time President Pak was assassinated. The United States sensed this. Th~re were those in the military who thought "Pak is not good," and after this incident, General Chon Tu-hwan took the bold course of arresting the army chief of staff. There was the possibility the chief of staff would be the mainstream, and if so, General Chon would have been eliminated. However, to what degree was it planned? It is said that wihin the army, at present, the Korean Military Academy [KMA] Class 11 stands firmly together, with General Chon Tu-hwan and No Tae-u, Capitol Security commander at the center. But, the more they stand firmly together, the more others are cut off. General Chon Tu-hwan is a lieutenant general, and below that there are ma~or-generals and field t officer classes; these may begin to stir. The United States has begun to w~ork openly and secretly, and I think a group that moves with the mind and inclination of :'~e U.S. may also appear. [Question] The question is the power of General Chon Tu-hwan within such a military. General Chon seems ta have gained power suddenly; will the Chon system last long? [Mitani] If that point were known, I could boldly state my opinion. Seen from the outside, it can be said that General Chon's "six-man group" or "eight-man group" is a key group. From the standpoint of rank, General Chon is a lieutenant general, and being a part of KMA Class 11, is young. Yu P'yong-hyon, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Yi Hui-song, martial law cammander, are both superiors. These men make up the moderate faction. Chu Yong-pok, minister of National D efense, can also be added to this group. Therefore, it is unthinkable that the army will move at General Chon's beck and call. Within the military, there 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPR~VED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY are both moderate and radical views. I often hear in my conversations with Koreans that General Chon is a capable person, but he has no poli- tical ambitions. Won't General Yu P'yong-hyon's moderate faction lead the military? This is a conjecture; I cannot say with certainty. [Okonogi] This is my impression. At General Chon's pressconference when he assumed the position of acting director of the KCIA, he seemed to have taken over former President Pak's mentality intact. These military men are moved by the same paCriotic sentiment as the young officers of the former - Japanese army. It is their mission, but not necessarily a desire f or political power. In reality, however, there are times it is more d iffi- cult to handle people who have a mission than people who are possessed with a desire for political power. Lack of Plan for Social Change [Komaki] Former President Pak made an inspection tour of the entire coun- try during his 18 years in office, and he understood relatively well the national, political and economic aituation. Consequently, there was an aspect of dealing flexibly with the situation. But didn't his und erstand- ing of the existing situation disappear about a year before his assassina- tion? I think, being military men, these military leaders have scant understanding of economic development and social change. [Mitani] It is difficult to discuss a comparison of President Pak who was in office for 18 years and General Chon who has been in 7 months.. This is a period of confusion for the latter. ~ [Komaki] There is a great ditference between now and 1961 when the Pak regime started. F irst of all., when President Pak appeared, there was an international trend toward national independence. Secondly, from the aconomic po int of view, the Pak era was an era in which it was said the - economy would gradually improve, but now there is a gap in [thinking] that the economy is deteriorating. A1so, the.U.S. ~upported President Pak in order to stabilize the ROK; Japan also supported the Pak regime - with the Japan-ROK normalization and technological assistance. However, now Prime Minister Ohira has cooled. When the ~l~ange in this situation is looked at, it can be said the state of affairs is severe. [Question] Concerning this incident, there was a strong impression Lhat the reaction of the U nited States was slow. Did or did not the Korean military calculate that the U.S. could do nothing? Likewise, did ~ usti- fication exist tha.t the north would take advantage if the confusion con- _ tinued? How is this incident viewed from the international enviro nment? [Okonogi] The U.S. and China were for maintenance of the status quo, and after the Pak rule, the USSRf..which had criticized the ROK mor e strongly than the U.S. and Chin~, was not very critical of the Kwang~u incident. The neighboring big powers, ar.taching great importance to . 6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300034440-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY the maintenance of the status quo, did not want the confusion to continue. If there was any connection between the domestic state of affaire and the international enviroryment, the focus of attention was on the attitude of North Korea (Democratic People's R epubl3c of Korea). However, North-KorEa has also been taking a flexible line toward the ROK and the U.S. and the incident happened when North Korea was trying to take the offensive posture. After the occurrence of the Kwang~u incident, there has been little criti- cism of the U.S. arid President Cnoe; criticism has been mainly of the military. I am hoping that these moderate countermeasures of the North will continue in the future. [Mitani] There is a great difference in the thinking of the Japanese and the Koreans concerning the question of the North. We think that an advance on the South means attack, but in the ROK, they don`t think only o~ an ad- vance on the South with miaitary force. What they fear most is domestic disturbances brought about in a peace offensive, such as propaganda through leaflets and broadcasts, and guerrilla infiltrations. I think this differ- ence should be recognized. The U.S. response was extremely unclear. Since Dec~ber of last year, the U.S. has only repeated the same words, ~'If anyone takes advantage of the ROK situation, we will respond decisively." Perhaps the U,S. doesn't know how Lo confront the situation. It seems there is much mutual dis- trust between the U.S. and the ROK. By stationing troops in Korea, and through economic a~sistance, the U.S. has intended to strive for political stability. Bui: there is the feeling in the ROK that this was part of the U.S.'s world ~trateg}~; it was not actually done for Korea. It is almost like seeing right through thQ U.S. The same thing can be said about Japan. Distrast of Japan has come forth because Japan has held back. It is hoped that this mutual distrust between the U.S. and the ROK and between Japan and the ROK will be eliminated and a new relationship w~ll be established. [Komaki] Certainly the U.S. must be displeased and dissatisfied. But, contrary to the time when th~ [ROK] removed its army without notifying the U.S. last D ecember, the U.S. this time has given approval to Korea to move the army under the command of the U nited Nations forces commander. The U.S. must have been distressed about this also. There was criticism from certain antigovernment forces that the U.S. was terrible. The situa- tion is such that an ant3-U.S. feeling 'has arisen out of a completely ~ pro ~J.S. situation. The security of the Korean peninsula is the number one ob~ective of the U.S. Because the NorLh and the SouCh will be stable if the ROK govern- ment is stable, the Yusin system was valued. F rom such a viewpoint, the question now is how to apply military and economic pressure against the military, but it is difficult to apply pressure militarily. Although the U.S. did not especially intend to apply pressure, it will appear that way 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/48: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300034440-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY because acrive econ~mic support from the U.S. will probably end in the future. There is strong dissatisfaction with the U.S. State Department, and perhaps this will be expressed in contacts witn the Koreans, and ~ perhaps pressure will gradually be applied. ~:owever, because there would be national repulsion if the li.S. goes too far, the U.S. also ~rill make allowances. But won't the tug-of-war between pro-U.S. ai:d anti-U.S. forces in Korea continue? [Mitani] Following pol_itical control, control of the economy will appear as the major ~_~oject. However, this cannot be handled through the con- cept of the mi'itary. The military follows commands, but management of the economy must be a democratic concept. - [Komaki] That is right. The miiitary cannot handle the economy. There- fore, it is necessary to have an administrative cabinet which includes civilians who are strong in the economy, and I think this new cabinet has that kind of character. It is a matter of whether politics will be put aside and eco nomic stability will be sought; but now, inopportunely, the problem of wage increases has occurred. The economic situation is bad and wage increases cannot be aff orded. However, the workers cannot be patient. Given the suppression of politics and the suppression of the economy, it is possibJ.e that these two dissatisfactions will be linked ` together. Nonetheless, if i:here is no political stability, will it not be difficult to wrestl~ with economic problems? ~ [Mitani] During the first half of the Pak government, it was said that economic stability cannot be expected if there is no political stability. But now, it is said that political stability cannot be expec ted if there is no economic stability. In short, if economic control fails, laborers and smaller businesses will be antagonized. However, it can be hoped that the present tremors are treu~ors headed for democracy. [Question] Finally, I would like you to speak about what wilJ. happen hereafter in Korea, focusing on the direction of democratization. [Okono~i] (Concerning democratization), the hopes which are aspired by a semideveloped country ended in wishful thinking and failed. Democrati- zation will not s~icceed if tried hastily; it takes time. The foundation of democratization is domestic unity. But I am optimi5tic about the establishment of a European-style democracy. [Mitani] Perhaps they will head toward democratization formally with President Choe at the center. Perhaps it will be a substantially l.imited democracy, bu t I hope that today's tremors are the "labor" pains of democracy. I would like to appeal to the good sense of the Koreans. [Komaki] I f eel the same way, Even the military cannot rep ress the trend toward democratization. Concretely sp~alcing, definite political freedom 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300034440-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY is aecessary with the ccnstitutional amendments and presidential election at hand. Under martial law, there can be nn presidential election. How- ever, it is possible that s cry, questioning the responsibility of General Chon, will be raised by the students. A vicious circle of opposition to a 13mited.demociatization is thinkable. COPYRIGHT : Mainichi Shimbunsha 1980 9400 CSO : 4105 9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPR~VED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - S . KOREA/ ECONOMY JAPAN TO WAIT UNTIL JAN.UARY FOR FINAL APPROVAL OF LOAN'TO ROK Tokyo MAINICHI SHIl~UN in Japanese 5 Aug 80 p 7 [Text] 20 Billion Yen Loan to ROK Agreed but Signing Delayed Amid the upheavals of the ROK political situation, the Japanese Government has recently b egun working-level consultations with RO& Government su~hori- ties on providing a yen loan to the ROK this fiscal year. Government cir- cles revealed on the 4th that tentative agreement had been reached that (1) the amount of the yen loan would be bet�,~een 19 and 20 billion yen, and (2) tsrms would be repayment ~n 25 years including 7 years grace, with in- terest at 4 percent per annum. Aowever, a Foreign Ministry source indd- cated the same day that signing Qf the exchange note for final settlement of Che terms of the agreement will not take place right away, but wi 11 be delayed for some time, "probably till next January." When asked if this ' attitude were related to recent moves by the ROK Government such as the � prosecution of former presidential candidate Kim Tae-chun~, the source carefully replied, "I will leave that:to your imagination." This is related to the "great interest" in treatment of Kim Tae-chung which~� Foreign Minister Ito expressed to the ROK Government, and is taken as an indication of the "apprehension" in government circles regarding the ROK situation. Indicetion of "Apprehension" Over Kim Tae-chung Case? ' Consultations regarding this yeur's yen loan to the ROK were held last week in Tokyo between working-level officials of~the two countries. The Koreans requested a yen loan in excess of 20 b illion yen for the purposes of expand- ing higher education facilities and modernizing medical and public health research institutions. In reply Japan said the ROK has graduated from the ' developing country stage to that of a newly :Lndustr3.alized country and that there has been no change from the principle that economic cooperation with the ROK should be primarily on a nongovernmental basis, and ~ldvocated last year's level of 19 billion yen, Ultimately both sides agreed to settle an thp range of 19 to 20 billion yen. 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - It therefore became necessary t~ quickly hold a second round of working-level - negotiations to make the signiug of an exchange note posaible. Neverthe- less, on the evening of the 4th a high F~r~ign Ministry official said, "We allowed the first rotmd of working-level negotiationa to begin last week with the idea of signing the exchange note about next January." He thua suggested the signing wouid be left til nexC year. There are economic reasons for this: ,the ROK economy is in an export slump because of severe inflation, and the unemployed are growing in number. But - _ another reason seems to be that there is still "apprehension" in regard to that country's political situation, as see�.i in the matter of Kim Tae-chung's arrest and prosecution. ~ COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Shimbuneha 1980 9601 CSO: 4105 ~ 11 FOR OFFICIA; USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 S . KOREP,/ECONOMy ROK THRF.ATENS JAPAN'S STEEL SALES I1J SOUTHEAST ASIA - Tokyo MAINICHI DAILY NEWS in English 31 Aug 80 p 5 [Text] ~ ihe risIng power South I{orea ~ I'n addition,~ a fourth furnace ' of in stee! exports is thrn,~tentng ~will be added tb the Pohang Japan's position as No. ~ 1 ex-; steel plant. ~ _ porter to the Sovtheast Asian It is expected that the im- - regioQ. : proved equipment will boost the Otfkials are ~orrled that a~ capaclty of South Korea's crude ~ ''st~e1 export war" between the steeI production to 8.5 mUllon _ two nations may break out next~ tons a year, from the present 5.5 year, ~vhen Swth' Korea starts mlll~On. . full�fledged opei~at3on of ~ the Ari exeCUtive of the gigapti~ modernized plants at Pohang. Nippon Steel Co. predicted that Wnat also worries offlc~als is. Swth ~orea's upgraded ability that. other Asian nations are, to make stee! would result in increasingly interested in in= smaIler Japanese steel exports dependent steel production. : to,that country tban hitherto. ' These factocs lead them to~ aJapan sold2.15~million tons uf - fear that Japan's steel exjwrts steel. to South Korea last year. to ttre region might sharply; Now there is a distinct~ plummet after ~ aext year,. possibility of We votume being forcing Japan to, lose its best� ~~1y slashed , for. years to clients. ~ . come. ~ - .Iapan exported 31.39' ~itllion~ ~~re serIously, the nation's tons of sfeel products worldwid~ steet industry is acutely aware last year. Of the total. 12.48~ ~at the ~strengthening of South miIlion tons wer~ destir~ed~ for. ~rea's steel p~udnetioa . is Southeast Asian nations; the to encrnach on Ja an's ..largest buyers of the Item as a~ ~ '~,o~. . . . _ . . predominant market share In Southeast Asian nations. ~ 'Sonfh -I{orea is ~rapidly The ecNtpment investments ~~emerging as a powecful rival in for the Pohan steel lant ~ill stee} exports to the regiop.. by ailo~ South Korea to P rt ~an enhancing its steel pmdvction additialal one million~tons of capaclty. . ~ steel; accordin to the N n Last month, South Korea Steel executive~ ~ completed ~he s~cond heated- . - metal rolling plant at Pohang to The growing tendency of pave the way.for full oqetations Southeast Asian nations to from next April,~;y, manufgcture their own steel is 12 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICTAL USE ONLY also ~clouding the tuture ot Japan's steei exports to the regioa Taiaan ls taking the lead in the tr~nd. China ~SteeY Co. of ~ that coimtry is in the course of ~building its second furnace, to be operat~onal between late 1981 ' ~ and 1982. The new tacility will push up Taiwan's abllity to make crude steel to three mil~fon tons per year, compared with 1.5 milllon ~ at present. - ~ . Domestic steel production is . _ also being plarmed in India and Indonesia. , In reflection of fears con- cerning this trend. voices calling for a review of Japan's technical aids in ste~el pn~duction~ are being heard from the nation's steel industry. Some insist that technical coaperation shauld be extended from no~v on, by deliberately calculating the boomerang effect of the aids. ' This view appears to reftect the sour lesson learned from the experlence that South Korea's _ Pohang steel plant, a growing threat to Japan~ was built with . the help of Japan's steel makers... , . . , . COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Daily News 1980 ' CSO: 4120 13 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ~INLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY N. KOREA/FOREIGN TRADE ~ ~ DPRK, JAPAN TO REVISE GENERAL TRADE CONDITIONS Tokyo NIHON KEIZAI SHIMBUN in Japanese 21 Aug 80 p 8 [Tokyo U.S. Embassy Translation] [TextJ Japan-Korea Trade Association Managing Director Riichiro Aikawa said on the 20th that a delegation including trading firms affiliated with the Japan-Korea Trade Association an~i shippin~ companiss will visit the DPmocratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) for about 2 weeks from thE :h and hold negotiations with the International Trade Promotion Com~ittee oi that country (Chairman: Pang T'ae-yul) to revise the "General Conditions Con- cerning Transactions in Goods Between Japanese and Korean Trading Firms." lhese "General Conditions" stipulate procedures and rules for trade between Japan and Korea. They were concluded in 1963 and revis?d in 1965, and are to be reviewed this time because of the necessity of revising the basic rules in order to respond to the expanded trade. The request has been made recent- ly by both sides. The party was scheduled to leave Jpan on the 18th, but its departure has been postponed for 1 week at tlie convenience of the North Korean side. - Japan-Korea trade is growing rapidly. As to the amount of transactions last year, exports from Jap~n amounted to ~�61.9 billion and imports to ~�32.7 bil- lion--~94.6 billion both ways. Thus, they showed an increase of 54 percent over the preceding year. This year, too, the trend toward exvansion is _ continuing. During the January-June period, exports increased by about ~�10 billion, and imports--by about ~�20 billion. If transactions develop at the present pace, it is certain that *hey will exceed the ~�105.2 billion level of 1974, which was an all-time high. However, there are n.o diplomatic relations between the two countries, and - moreover, North Korea caused the problem of non-payment of trade bills. Thus, there are many tasks tuward normalization of trade. On this point, Japan-Korea Association Managing Director Aikawa says, "Expectations on trade expnasion are mounting between the two nations, but exports and handling of impc?rt claims, are posing an obstacle." Therefore a revision of the "~eneral Conditions" is aimed mainly at consolidating the conditions for expanding imports of rJorth Korean products to Japan. 14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102108: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1 ' F ~ OFP'ICIAL USE U1~LY With regard to Japan-Korea economic relation~, the "East Asia Trade R~search Council," under the leadership of Japan Trade Asaociation Chairman Tatsuzo Mizukami, was established recently, and moves by large Japaneae enterprisea to normalize economic relations between the two countries are coming to,the fore. A delegation of the Japan-Korea Trade Aeaociatioa conaisting o~ Japanese and Korean friendly trading firms, will vi~it North Korea and people will be watching what sort of concrete conaultations will be held. But, Managing Director Aikawa went no farther than saying, "I am in no poai- tion to speak on the moves of the East Asia Trade Research Council, etc., and I want to refrain ~rom making any co~ent." ~ COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1980 CSO: 4105 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300030040-1