JPRS ID: 10500 JAPAN REPORT

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/ 10500 _ 7 M�y 1982 Ja an R~ ort p p CFOUO 28f 82) ~ Fg~$ FOREIGN BRdADCAST iN~ORIVIATION ~ERVICE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 NOTE ' JPRS publicatio:?s contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and book s, but also from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcr;.bed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets are supplied by JPRS. Proce ssing indicators such as [TextJ or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last line of a brief, indicate h ow the original information was processed. Where no processing indicator is give:i, the infor- mation was summarized or extrac ted. Unfamiliar names rendered phone t ically or transliterated are encl.osed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. Other unattributed parenthetica 1 notes withi.n the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items are as given by source. The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- c ies, views or attitudes of th e U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HERE IN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATION BE RE STRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 ~ FOR OFFICIAI, iJSE QNLY _ JPRS L/10500 7 May 1982 JAPAN REPORT (FOUO 28/82) ~ CONTENTS POLITICAL ~ Upper House LDP L'~ietmen Are at Odds With Their Counterparts (THE DAILY YOMIURI, 9 Apr 82) 1 National Priorities, Cold Realities Considered (Editorial; THE DAILY YOMIURI, 11 Apr 82) 3 Editorial on AdministratiL~e Reform, Defense Recommendations Criticized (Editorial; MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 10 Apr 82) 5 Decline of Shunto Analyzed ~ (Masahiko Ishizuka; THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 20 Apr 82) 7 Depoliticization of Electorate Reported , (Tetsuo Tamur~; THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 20 Apr 82) 8 MILITARY t~utline of Fiscal Year 1982 Program Unveiled (Motohashi; NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN, 4 Feb 82) 10 ECONOMIC ` Japan Co.icerned by Trade Friction With ASFAN Countries (NIHON KEIZAI SHINBUM, various dates) 14 Japan-US 'Tax Friction' Becoming Serious (THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 7 Apr 82) 20 'MAINICHI' Views Japanese Economic Prospects (Editorial; MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 16 Mar 82) 23 I Government To Increase Financial Expenditures To Expand Domestic Demand (MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 4 Apr 82) 25 - a - [III - ASIA - 111 FOUO] j FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY I APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 EOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY Tax Revenue Deficit in Local Autonomous Entities (THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 10 Apr 82) 28 Contents of 'Second Package' of Market-Liberalization Measures (DAILY YOMIURI, 10 Apr 82) 30 Automobile Parts Industry's Struggle for Existence Reported (Kawabe; NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN, various dates) 33 Early Farm I~port Liberalization Difficult (THE DAILY YOMIURI, 10 Apr 82) 42 - b - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 FOR OfFIC'lAi. USI; ONI.Y POLITICAL UPPER HOUSE LDP DIETMEN ARE AT ODDS WITH THEIR COUNTERPARTS ~ Tokyo THE DAILY YOMIURI in English 9 Apr 82 p 2 [Text] Suspicious goings-on among Lil~eral.Democratic House of Councilors members were ol~served by the LDP executive during an ordinary Diet session about a year ~ 1a0. The executive was 'puz- Which the power they wield unhappy. They feel d1s- zied, for � exampl8, by the has much do to with the cri~minated against. At shelving of important bills outcome of elections. ceremonies marking Com- toward ~ the end of each $CrR U er House ing-of=Age Day or the con-, Diet session, and by the p pp struction of a new primarr - denouncements made.at�the In fact, such is the cur- school, ,for instance, young way in which the LDP were rer.~.t animosity that in the lower`�:house . membe~rs get running 1Diet sesslons.~ Be- view of one LDP Dietman, much, better . seats than hind such ar.tics were none a member oi the Suzuki aged upper house members. other than . LDP .,'upper ca.binet who has been pride is at stake, inleriority house Dietmen. , cY:airman oi the party ex- complexes abound. True, it is common know- ecutive and policy board as Within the �LDP there is led e that, even within the well as LDP secretary-gen- a flve-year old supra-tac- g eral, the upper house should tional organization called same political party, the be dismantled and the task the Religion and Politics relationship . between ~he should be the flrst .underr Study Soclety. � It holds lower and upper, house taken in the refoiun oE.,the meetings every Thursday members is not always govErnment's flnances a31d and recently its member- smooth. � admtnistratton. ship has increased rapidly. And disarray within the gcrapping the upper Last year the society's mem- LDP is one geod example. house would, the Dietman bership was 74. As of April Friction .~between. LDP lower ~ontends, save the . aountry 1 it was 104 and 15 more and upper house Dietmen hundreds of billions of Yeri. LDP Dietmen ar2 soon to has become particularly The house was, in any case, ioin. In~ terms of only - apparent this spring. The simpiy doing the ~ob of the ~membership, the group can upper house members, in ~ower house. Its members compete with the strongest fact, have tacitly declared were "just wasting time." faction which is led bY "war" on their lower house Their tenure in offlce �w~s Kakuei Tanaka. counterparts, who have an six Years during which time A study of the society's absolute majority and there wa~ no election, while ranks .shows that 74 mem- whose instructions the up- lower house members had bers, , the majority, are pcr house Dietmen are to be prepared for electlons from the upper, house. Of ~ supposed to carry out. Be- Which could be held at uny those, 30 joined . this year. hind the declaration lurks time. And if they feel There' are �136~ LDP up- _ a deep-seated grudge in moi�tlt~ed by his words, the per house members, so the hearts of the upper more than half have .join- house members. Dietman sa1d, they should stand in a general election ed. In reality, the mem- In almost every wor]d bership comprises, the there exfsts iealousy and tO become lower house ��mainstaq troops" of those members. prejudice. Such is especi~l- , upper,house Dietmen hold- ly strong, and emotionally Speeial Society ing grudBes against the expressed, among Dietmen pther upper house mem- lower house members. Ac- because theirs is a world in bers, indeed, are rather cording to the society, no � upper house LDP member is statisSed with the status quo. 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 rOR Of~FIC1A1, iJS[: nNI.Y Kazuo Tamaki, president LDP upper house members' of the society, reports that fund amounts to al~c~ut ~250 upper house discontent is milli0n a year: Each mem- widespread. By ~oining ber donates ~~150,000 ~a forces, he said, the society month to the tund. To as- ~ould do some good. sure Snancial independence, LDP upper house mem- the society estimates it bers, led bY Tamaki, had r,eeds at least ~3 billion a persuaded the government year. This can be obtairied to accept pay hikes for by holding potitical recep-. government employes, as tions, and by inviting dona- _ recommended by the Na- tions from private business, tional Personnel ~Authority the society believes. INPA) at the Diet session For shock treatment, the . _ last fall, in exchange for society intends to see that suppurt of a lower house some LDP-originated bills ~ bill on administrative re- are shelved at the end oi form. OPAosition parties, the current Diet session. As too, had urged ~suppoit ~ of Tamaki says, there is no the NPA recommendations. reason � to unconditionally ~ Criticism of the LDP..upper accep�; the lower house bills. house members was strong. Tamaki himself has a re- but oi course they. weFe cord of previously thwart- ~ happy wlth the result of ing two bills. ' ' their lobbyir.g, flietmen, however, should Tamaki's society has w~n be reminded oi the fact the support of veteran LDP that the supporters of Jap- House of Councilors mem- anese politics are, in the , bers such as former end, tho people. posts and telecommunica- tions minister Torasaburo = Shintani, former ' upper house president Ken Yasui and former home affairs minister Yuichi Kori. All feel nostalgia for the good ' old days when the upper house had power and in- . fluence. � SF~ock Treatment . When the K1shi cabinet was formed during the tenure of pTesident Tsuru- hei Matsuno (1056-1962), Matsuo had withdrawn all a�ould-be upper house cabi- net ministers because he was dissatisfled with the al- luttnent of posts. And when YuLO Shigemune was upper house president (1J62-1971), ~ ~ the then prime ministers made it a rule to politely greet the upper house pres- ident at the start of each uppcr house mnin session. The society's flrst goal is to become flnanctully inde- pendent. At present, the COPYRIGHT: The Daily Yomiuri 1982 CSO: 4120/244 2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONT Y APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONI.Y POLITICAL NATIONAL PRIORITIES, COLD REALITIES CONSIDERED Tokyo THE DAILY YONIURI in English 11 Apr 82 p 2 [Editorial: "National Priorities"] [ Text The prospect of a revenue shortfall of ~�2 trillion in fiscal 1981 has prompted debate on whether to go ahead with plans for administrative refor.m or to concentrate on measures to stimulate businese. Opinion is growing that the government might have to revise its austerity program. These developments raise the queation of Prime Minister Suzuki's responsibility. . It is right and proper that economic and fiscal management should be heatedly debated. But point- less charges and recriminationa will only produce cha~tic policies. The core of the issu~e is ~simply that the govern= ' ment overestimated the natural inerease in tax re- ~ venues by calculating national economic growth be- i , yond its real power, while acting lackadaisically on .nECessary sp.ending cuts. The government figured that the econ~my could maintain a mid-term real growth rate of more ~ than . five percent. However, many people in the private sector estimace the rate at three to four percent. Three Taaka Necessary It is wrong to blame the revenue shurtfall on such a transitory phenomenon as a delay in busineas re- covery. The cold :eality is that the revenue shortfall will total over ~`2 trillion in fiscal 1981 and ~3-4 trillion in fiscal 1982. We deem that the government has to tackle three tasks: ~ ~ , Firstly carry out a thorough review of the aaven- year economic development plan. This will lead to a drastic revision of the gov~ernment's mid-range fiscal ; prospects and will require the scrapping af the easy- go~ng program to reconstruct the national finances based on naturalincreases in tax revenue. I I 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 fOR OFFICIAI. USE ON1.Y We do not take issue with the government's move to place orders for 77 gercent of public works proj- ~ ects planned in fiscal 1982 in the first half of the year. However, its effects could be extremely limited and merely psychological. ' It is totally unthinkable that this step will re- charge the economy in one stroke. We should not repeat the mistakes of 1977 and 1978 when govern- ment bonds were issued in great quantities, produc- ing hPavy burdens but little economic stimulus. Slash Spendi-ng The second task is to alash spending by resolutely reforming the administrative setup. We disagree with the view that business priming measures should take precedPnce over administrative reform. On the contrary, the prospect of a revenue ahortfall in- creases the urgency of cutting national spending. All unnecessary expenditures should be eliminated to bring things in line with economic realities an~.l also to stop the . practice of covering deficits with government bonds. The cutback should take accour~,t of the revenue shortfalls in 'fiscal 1981 and 1982, as well as the compilation of the fiscal 1983 budget. . The third task is to rectify the ratios between di- rect and indirect taxes. There are calls for~ revising the ultra progressiv~e tax rate. It is only natural to iower the rate and income tax rates should be re- duced at the same time. Such tax cuts can be offset by slashing govern- ment spending through administrative reform and by introducing a larg~e indirect tax. ~ It appears that both the government and the Lib- eral-Democratic Party are hesitant to tackle this issue in view of the general electiona scheduled next y~ear. This would mean relin~uishment of their polit- ical responaibility. We urge Prime Minister Suzuki t'o have the courage to tell the public the truth. - (April 11) COPYRZGHT: The Daily Yomiuri 1982 CSO: 4120/244 ~ - 4 ~ ~'OR OFFiC[AL USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 ~ FnR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY POLITICAL EDITORIAL ON ADMINISTRATIVE REFORM, DEFENSE RECOI~RrIENDATI0N5 CRITICIZED Tokyo MAINICHI DAILY NEWS in English 10 Apr 82 p 2 [Editorial: "Adm. P.eform and Defense"] [Text ] The first section of the Second Ad Hoc Council on Adlthinistrative Reform is now corripiling a draft rec~mmendation on the "preparafion of Japan's own deI'~nse system." This refers to "defense" in the gep~eral security of Japan but we think it to be in- compatible with the administrative reform which is under study by the council. We are airaid that the study by the council section deals with dangerous aspects which run counter to the real meaning of the reform. � . It is quite natural for the council to study the possible rationaliiation of the defense administration, buC an attempt to sanctify the expansion of Japan's defense capability should not be made in the name of adYninistrative reform. ~ Referring to the defense policy; the draft � recommendation said that Japan's , own , deten'se system must be prepared within the iramework of the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty and emphasized the importance of realizing a general defense plan and improving the defense c'apability from a qualitative vie.wpoint to meet an emergency. We believe that the council departed from its task to,study administrative reform when it went into the - plan of national defense which is the basic policy of , the~Japanese government. ~ ' In its first recomrnendation, the council seemed to have emphasized a"smaller government" but as far as the defense problem is concerned, the council's dir~ection is not necessarily toward a"smaller" defense capa~ility. Promotion of tne defense ~ capability's expansion runs counter to the goal of aciaievin~ a smaller government. , 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 - FnR OF~ICIAI, 13~E OM.Y . People may suspect that the administ~ative ~ retorrr~ is being utilized as a means to expand military c~pability at the sacrifice of social welfare. We can = expect ups and downs bet'ore the final recom- mendation is adopted but we urge the council ta draw _ up a recommendation which would not turn its back _ on the people. COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Daily News 1982 CSO: 4120/244 - 6 FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 FaR OFFICIAL. USE ONLY PQLITTCAL ~ DECLINE OF SHUNTO ANALYZED Tokyo THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English 20 Apr 82 p 10 [Article by Masahiko Ishizuka] [Text ] For a foreign observer of the shunto happened - failure of more and more alienaled from Japanese economy, shunto - transportatiot~ strikes to ma- .ideology-oriented, strike-prone conveniently ~ translated in terialize. This illustrated more labor moveTnent. somewhat gaudy "spring labor than anything else the collapse Moreover, the national offensive" - should by now be a ot the shunto tormula. railways under mounting at- familiar word just as it is tc the Behind such a development tack for a staggering ~E 2,000 ; 100 million Japanese people. are vario~ factors, but the billion deficit and deteriorated ~ But some may be missing it in most obvious is the decline of , job disciplines resulting in ~ the future because this annual the ~ leadership of public serious, and some unbelievable, ' event with 30 years' history workers' unions, including, kinds of accidents hardly could ~ appears to have come to an end am~ng others, national railway afford to go on strike. , this year as its kraditional workers', which traditionally ~a~espnnding to the decline pattern and leadership have dominated the Japanese of public warkers' forces is the apparently broken down. organized labor forces. Public rising move to shift leadership Shunto, Japan's unique workers, equipped with the to unions of private.industries. pattern of concerted rvage powerful weapon of sViking tt~e This year, private railway settlement bargaining and railways, had been the more v~rorkers from the beginning campaigns, in the past militant segment of the labor ~d no intention of joining depended on synchronized movement. This militancy was forces with national railway strikes both hy public and capable of having influence Workers in strike sched~xles. private industrial workers, over the lat:,: as a whole, espe- It is certain that next year with transportation strikes cially in concerted actions with , and af ter wage bargainings at acrass the nation dramatizing priva!e railway workers most companies and industries the whole scene and multi- unions which also resort ~ �yill remain concentrated piying the effects to push up strike tzctics, actual or during March and April, but wage increases. Such a pattem threatened. ~e pattern and formula will no started 30 years ago when the ~ One underlying cause for the lon er be like ahunto in the nation's postwar labor move decline of public workers' influ- ~ g It may already have ment was burgeo~vng. ence and strik� tactics is the ceased to be "offensive." This year, somethin~ un- loss of sympathy from the - precedented in hi~tory of public, which in affluence is - MasahilcoI~h?zuka C~JPYRIGHT: 1982 The Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha, Inc. CSO: 4120/244 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFIC(Ai. USE ONI,Y POLITICAL DEPOLITICIZATION OF ELECTORATE REPORTED Tokyo THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English 20 Apr 82 p 10 [Article by Tetsuo Tamura] [Text ] Some recent events clearly indicate that a speak of won a victory in the fight against considerable change is underway in Japan's communist forces which boast . of a solid political climate. When the ruling Liberal organizational power. From its inception, khe Democratic Party clinched an overwhelining LDp has lacked traits common to political victory in the elect~ons of the both Houses held parties and accordingly, a strong backing simultaneously in June 198~, observers all organization. The JSP used to have an pointed out the electorate's trend toward organization formed mainly by labor union "reversion to conservatism," but the recent members, but that organization has disinte- political phenomena seemeci to insinuate a grated gradually. All this leaves the Japan trend for "accelerated depoli+.icization" of Communist Party as the only organized force the electorate rather than "reversion to in Japanese politics, but the elections in conservatism.'' ~ Kyoto and Yokohama demonstraled that Firstly, there were two elections recently even the organized JCP last out to un- which characterized such a trend: the Kyoto organized voters whose ideological identity is gubernatorial and the Yokohama mayoral amorphous. Such a situation was evident contests. In the Kyoto election, an unex- more than anything else in the fact that the ~ pected overwhelming victory of the incum- JSP did not pick any candidate of its own nor bent mayor, backed by conservatives and gave support to any candidate running in the centrists, stunned the ruling LDP it~elf and Kyoto election. ~ especiaUy, his wide margin over the oppasi- To sum up, it is possible to say that the tion cand�.date endorsed by communists and Japanese people are not reverting to con- reformists. LDP officials first hinted at the 5eryatism, but are simply depoliticized. A possibility that the incumtae~nt might lase the recent survey by the Prime Minister's Office election because Kyoto was, an area where a revealed that people hav,e a keen interest in reign of reformist forces had cantinued for 28 o~y local assemblymen's elections; they are ~ years betore the incumbent mayor came.to ~~~ng their interest in elections at prefec- pbwer. But the result was an astonishing tural and nationwide levels. The survey indi- margin of 180,000 votes (560,000 over 380,000). cated that the Japanese people now tend to A similar trend emerged in the Yokohama pay little attention to things, elections~ in- mayoral election. The conservative camp cluded, which do not have direct influence was apprehensive because Yokohama was a with their immediate concerns. city where Chairman lchio Asukata of the The same trend could be said to constitutg Japan Socialist'Party fiad rlle~ for a very back~ound of this year's spring wage long time as mayor. But the outcome was an negotiations which did not have a general overwhelming victory for the consetvative railway strike for the first time in 30 years. incumbent, just as in the Kyoto election. As more and more people are interested only - One characteristic common to the two ~n their own matters, it would have threa- elections is that the conservative and centrist tened the foundation of its own existence if forces which do not have any organization to the Council of Public Cor~ration Workers' Union went on a large-scale strike because members of the unions themselves are just as turned off. 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FOR QF~ICIAI, USE ONLY The LDP and the Government have already _ been ruling the nation through politics geared to the "amorphous masses" and wil( move more and more in that direction in the fulure. Their constant refusal to take up the ~ issue of amending sl.ems from their desire 20 prevent "the general public" from splitting into pros and cons. 'rr~e same psvchology applies to their efforts to keep divisive dis- putes from erupting on such fundamental issues of the nation like education, security an~i defense. lf Japanese politics is to continue to func- - tion along the same lines in the years to ~ come, it wili be practised more and more without principles. This will not give rise to any disputes domestically for the time being, but it will not work well externally. Some symptoms of "the disease" inherent in such a trend have already began to show up in Japan's trade frictions with the United _ States and the issue of $6 billion aid requested by South Korea. External problems, if confined to eco- nomic issues, may be somewhat soluble but - the situation could get really serious if they are political issuas. - (Telsuo Tamura is a Nihon Keizai deputy ' po(itical editor) COPYRIGHT: 1982 The Nihon Keizai Sttimbunsha, Inc. CSO: 4120/244 9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USF. ONL`! MILITARY OUTLINF OF FISCAL YEAR 1982 PROGRAM UNVEILED Tokyo NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN in Japanese 4 Feb 82 p 7 [Article by reporter Motohashi: "Defense Related Industries Excited by 'Fat Budget ] [Text] The defense budbet, which registered a 7.75-percent increase over the previous f iscal year, is currently the fo- cus of a Diet debate. The defense related industries are quite satisfied with the "large appropriation" under the Financial Rehabilitation Plan: "The amount of the frontal equipment order is just about right." (Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd Executive Kenya Ikeda) in the 1980's Interim Operation Estimate that the Self-Defense Agency is currently framing (for 1983-1987), the ma~or equipment orders are ex- pected to expand further; thus the defense related industries will continue to enjoy the favorable business trend. At the Japan Weapons Industry Association's New Year gathering, the president of the organization, Mankichi Kanno (president of Japan Steel Works, Ltd), praised the Self-Defense Agency's "efforts." "Under diff icult circumstances, it framed an unusually favorable def ense budget." In res.ponse, Self-Defense Agency Director-General Ito urged "the industry to endeavor to establish effective def ensive strength alongside the Self-Defense Agency. Thus went the mutual exchange of salutations between the civilian and official sectors. . Exchange of Salutes Between Civilians and Officials Equipment purchase allocation, an item of great relevance to the defense re- lated industries, in the 1982 def ense budget of 2,586,100,OQ0,000 yen, is � 580.3 billion yen. This represents a 7.5-percent increase over the previous year. It is somewhat less than the overall gain in the defense budget, but that is because the first-year expenditure for major equipment is relatively low. The order base quantity is close to the full amount. Appropriations for the main strength fig;lterplane F-15 (23 planes) and anti- submarine patrol piane P3C (7) are less than the requested amount (43 F-15's and 17 P3C`s were requisitioned respectively); but the balance is expected to be ordered under the FY-83 budget, and the impact on the def ense-rPlated 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064413-6 F~R OEF[CIAL [JSE ONLY industries is not significant. Mitsubishi Heavy Industri~s, which is manufac- turing the F-15 under a license agreement, says that "the delivery dates for materials and oth-~r imported articles are being extended, and perhaps the industry ought to defray the cost and order them" (Aircraft and Special Vehi- cles Project Headquarters~, but the company is satisf ied that the quantity of orders is steadily incre~~.sing. Among land equipment, 72 model 74 tanks were ordered--less than requested (80). - However, orders for this model tank have increased from 48 in 1979 to 60 in 1980 to 72 in~1981. Even a Self-Def ense Agency Equipment Bureau source com- mented that "the procurement tempo has been rapid thus far, and a purchase of 80 units would have baen impossible at any event." The Ground Self-Def ense Force's anti-tank helicopter AH1S, too, has made its appearance. Fuji Heavy Industries, Ltd, is slated to obtain a lice~se for pro- duction from the Bell Corporation of the United States. The Self-Defense - Agency is planning to order at least 54 helicopters in this category (including 12 scheduled for 1982), The cost is nearly 2 billion yen per unit. Although there is an element in the United States which frowns on furnishing Japan with defense equipment production licenses, Fuji Heavy Industries, Ltd, Executive Iwao Shibuya says that "there is no such feeling with regard L�o AH1S itself." The AH1S will most likely become the mainstay of the firm's Airplane Division. ~ "Continuous Buildup" Impossible In the vessels category, ttiree 2,900-ton escort ships--one less than requested-- were ordered. A request for a 1,400-ton escort ship was not approved. The escort ships are handled by five shipbuilding firms--among them Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd, and Ishikawajima-Hari.ma Heavy Industries Co, Ltd. "A continuous buildup," whereby one vessel per year is ordered, will not be under- - taken in 1982, but that format hopefully will be revived during the 1983-1987 Interim Operation, says the industry. The attention of defense related industries has already been shifted to the - 1983-1987 Interim Operation Plan. The goal is to reach the def ense capability and level set forth broadly in the government's Self-Defense Plan for the period specif ied; work to this end is currently undeYway and is expected to be completed this summer. Ttie Self-Uefense Agency's investiga~ive operation includes the following figures: (1) approximately 95 F-15 planes, including 20 carried over from the 1978 Medium Term Defense Program; (2) 65 P3Cs, including 20 carryovers; :18-19 escort ships, including missile loading DDG's; (4) 7 submarines; and so on. Also, the number of model 74 tanks is expected to be about 400 uni ts . 1 Orders Will Increase, But Increase Will Be Small The 1983-1987 Interim Operation has several large projects, such as the selection of the (SAM-X)--a successor to surface-to-air missiles such as Hawk and Nike; and construction of an automatic aerial defense warning/control sys tem (Badge X) . 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 _ FO~R OFF'ICIAI. USE OtiLY It i.s true that deiense purchases are steadily ir~creasing under the 1983-1987 Interim Operation Plan. But ir is not such a drastic increase as to affect the defense industry in any sig,nificant manner. Mitsubishi Heavy Industry is ~ producing the F-15 at the rate of one aircrsft per month, but "we can double the current production rate with the existing facility" (Mitsubishi Heavy ' Industries Director Yoshio Sasaki), so i~ is not operating at full capacity. Even in the case of the model 74 tanks, although the total order during the 1983-1987 Interim Operation Period wo~uld be 400, the annual average is 80-- eight more than the 1982 figure (72i. "It is not a case of terrif ic business and all smiles." (Mitsubishi Heav-~ Industry, Ltd, Special Vehicles Division chief Iwao Hayashi) The industry emphasizes that there is not such a"bulge out" mood as the public at largF~ believes. Another worry is that with regard to the issue of o�fering American military technology to others, the Ur.ited States is becoming very cautious about giving Japan the licenses. In thF- case of the ~iIM 9L aerial missile (Sidewinder) (Mitsubishi Heavy Industry) and 203 mm automatic howitzer (Komatsu Ltd), which became licensed pr~~duc~ion items in 1981, the U.S.'s attitude was quite unyielding. Even thougn there is licensed ;~~duction, if the proportion of direct imports from tb.e United States is great, a large piece of the pie, that is slated to become ].arger as a result of 1983-1987 Interim Operation, may have to be given up to tt;e United States. Self-Def ense Agen~.y's Main Equipment Budget Breakdown (Firearms, tanks, etc) 1980 1981 1982 9 mm gun 1,800 1,800 Model-64 rifle 5,100 5,000 5,000 Model-62 machinegun 51 51 51 Model-74 tank machinegun 38 38 38 - 84 mm recoilless mortar 188 219 221 Model-79 antivessel, antitank roving firing facility 8 set 9 set 8 set Model-64 81 mm trench mortar 65 44 43 Model-75 155 mm automaic howitzer 26 30 34 203 mm automatic howitzer 6 ~ 13 Model-75 130 mm automatic rapid-fire rocket firing facility 8 8 8 Model-75 automatic surface wind measurement unit 3 3 Model-74 tank 60 72 72 Model-73 armored car 9 9 9 Wheeled mount armored car " Z~ Model-78 tank recovery vehicle 3 3 5 Model-78 snowmobile 22 22 22 Model-70 automatic pontoon 2 3 3 (Surface-to-air guided missile) Modified Hawk 1 1 1 Short SAM 6 set 9 set Portable SAM 20 set 65 set 12 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FQ~R OFFICYAL USE OtiILY (Aircraft) 1980 1981 1982 Ground Self-Defense Force Antitank helicopter AH1S " ~2 Reconnaissance helicopter OH6D 10 8 6 Multipurpose helicopter HU1H 5 8 6 Communication/reconnaissance craft LR1 2 1 1 Transport helicopter V107A 1 " Maritime Self-Defense Force Antisubmarine patrol plane P3C 10 7 Beginner pilot training craft KM2 1 2 Instrument flight training craft TC90 2 4 3 Antisubmarine helicopter HSS2B 2 6 ~ Rescue helicopter S61A 1 4 I Beginner pilot training helicopter OH6D 2 Rescue aeroboat US1 1 " Air Self-Defense Force Fighter plane F-15 34 23 Supportfighter F-1 3 2 2 Transport C13QH 2 2 Advanced training craft T2 4 6 5 Search and rescue craft MU2 1 1 ~ Rescue helicopter V107A 2 2 1 Early warning craft E2C 4 (Vessels) 4,500-ton escort DBG 1 2,900-ton escort DD 2 2 3 ~,400-ton escort DE 1 � Submarine SS 1 , 1 1 Medium-size minesweeper MSC 2 2 2 Submarine rescue mother ship AS 1 � Support vessel 3 2 3 Modernization of boats for 1 for 2 vessel vessels COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1982 I i146o C.SO: 4105/59 13 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ECONOMIC JAPAN CONCERNED BY TRADE FRICTION WITH ASEAN COUNTRIES Tokyo NIHON KEIZAI SHIMBUN in Japanese 18, 19 Mar 82 [18 Mar 82 p 7] [Text] Worsening Market for Primary Products "We cannot a:~.cept that the United States offers less favorable treatment for imports frc;. ASEAN countries than for those from Caribbean countries." Thus, Vicente Valdepenas, Philippine Vice Minister for Industry and Trade, who chaired the conference between the U.S. and ASEAN governments held in Washington for 3.'ays beginning on the 9th, acting as spokesman for ~ ASEAN, expressed strong concern about the effect on ASEAN of the Reagan administration's policy concerning assistance to Central America. The United States is going to lift all taxes on Central American products; if this happens, major damage will be unavoidable, as it will mean the cessation of exports to the United States of Philippine sugar, and so on. To judge from the expressions of dissatisfaction with American aid to Central America, the ASEAN countries' prospects for exports will be ruined. For countries like Thailand and the Philippines, which export primary products, the value of exports declines with the drop in ~iewand accompanying a recession in the advanced countries, and starting about the middle of last year the growth of exports suddenly weakened. Thailand's reduction last July of the rate of exchange it had maintained for 12 years (8.7 percent), with the goal of strengthening the competitiveness of exports, had no significant effect on the lowered value of rice, rubber, tin, and so on, and last year Thailand recorded its highest deficit ever, 67.6 billion bhat (about 3 billion dollars). In the Philippines, also, copper and lumber shoo~ed a considerable decline because of the slump; exports, which in the second quarter of the previous year had strongly increased by more than 20 percent, decreased 0.4 percent in the same period last year. Deliverance from the nightmare of drastically increasing oil prices and the controls on tY.~: growth of imports failed to reduce the trade deficit, and last year it again exceeded 2 billion dollars. On the other hand, the oil-producing countries are also gloomy. Indonesia, for which exports of oil and natural gas make up 80 percent of all exports, 14 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 FOR OFFI('IAL USE ONI.Y maintained the level of income of the previous year through October of last year, but after that it was forced to cut production, and the situation this year is even worse. Malaysia was also forced to cut production in the second half of last year by nearly 20 percent. For both countries, the most serious situation was the catastrophic drop in the nonoil portion of their exports. In Indonesia, in addition to coi.fee, rubber, and other primary products, the sale of industrial products su~:h a~ cloth and chemicals declined greatly, and in the period from April to O,ctober of last year, nonoil products decreased 31.9 percent in comparison to the same period of the previous year. In Malaysia, also, veneers and textiles slumped and the trade balance shifted into the red for the first time in 21 years. Gloom Also in the Newly Industrialized Countries :11so fully suffering from the impact of the wave of recession in the advanced countries were the NICS [newly industrialized countries]. South Korea, which last year recorded exports of 20.9 billion dollars, 19.9 percent higher than the previous year, and which seemed on the road to revolution, is now again ~ beginning to see clouds. The value of exgorts for January and February this year was 3.04 billion dollars. Although this is a 7.3-percent increase over the same period of last year, it is lower than expected and is not a r_ircumstance which permits optimism concerning future prospects for exports. In Singapore, too, exports to the Middle East of oil rigs and ships, for which there remain good prospects, and to Europe of electronics and cloth and the like decreased greatly. In addition, the growth of exports to Indonesia, Malaysia, and others in ASEAN was weak, and the deficit in the trade balance for 1981 increased to 6.6 billion U.S. dollars. Taiwan and Hong Kong are in a similar situation. ' This is the first time since the f irst oil crisis of 1973 that a trend has appeared for the Asian developing countries, centering on ASEAN, to simultaneously show increases in trade deficits and large reductions in surpluses. This is a11 the more reason far these countries simultaneously to develop policies to revive exports. Ameliorating the conditions for the financing of exporters is a policy common to all the countries. For example, in Indonesia in the middle of January ~here were, among a group of 18 detailed policies designed to encourage exports, 1) a liberalization of the control of currency exchange (for U.S. dollars) for exports, and 2) new systems for Che protection of exports. At the beginning of January, Thailand too enacted 1) tax relief for the export of major agricultural products, 2) a reorganization and simplification of procedures for exporting, and 3) the establishment of a special fund for export assistance. The Thai Government has explained that the 0.5-percent surcharge levied against all imports (except petroleum products and milk for infants) at the end of February is intended to provide revenue for this special fund. It is thus more for the purpose of promoting exports than restraining imports. ~ 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY I APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Missions Aimed at Diversifying Markets ~ Further, efforts to diversif.y export markets are being intensified. All of these countries are studying the dispatch of trade missions, and South Korea is ready to send a mission at the end of this month to some 20 countries, chosen mainly in Africa, Central America, and South America, where it has had little business. Also in the area of opening new markets, Thailand this year has concluded a long-term contract with the USSR for tapioca. Thailand has until now been expanding exports of tapioca to the EC (European Common Market), but the EC has been seeking a voluntary limitation of its exports, and the future has become insecure, so the Thais are happy to agree to export 2.2 million tons to the USSR over a 5-year period. Table: Japan's Asian Trade (in millions $US, deficit or decrease) 1981 1981 1981 Compared to 1980 ~ountry Exports Imports Balance Er:ports Im orts Indonesia 4,123 13,305 *9,182 19.2 1.0 Malaysia 2~424 2,927 *503 17.6 *15.6 Singapore 4,468 1,944 2,524 14.2 28.9 Thailand 2,251 1,061 1,190 17.4 *5.2 Philippines 1,928 1,731 197 14.5 *11.2 ASEAN total 15,194 20,968 *5,774 16.6 *1.1 South Korea 5,658 3,389 2,269 5.3 13.1 Taiwan 5,405 2,523 2,882 5.0 9.9 (Source: JETRO figures) This no-holds-barred scramble for markets has gradually begun to have its eff ect on Japan. A typical example is the shipbuilding industry. Japan's shipbuilders last year made bids on 13 large international orders totaling 43 ships, but they did not get an order for a single ship. They were totally defeated by South Korea, asserting its position as "king of the st~ipbuilders," and others. 'The Korean shipbuilders' efforts to overthrow Japan, with generous assistance from the government, are steadily achieving results. [19 Mar 82 p 5] [Text] "Japan's strength in exports is the proper result of the efforts of its industry. However, when the surplus of exports passes a certain limit, it becomes unbearable for [countriesJ such as Taiwan." Thus a businessman resid~nt in Taipei--Ch'en Chia-hsin--complained in a letter to his head- quarters concerning the sudden imposition in the middle of February by the Taiwanese authorities of a ban on the import of Japanese consumer goods. According to Ch'en, Taiwan's trade with Japan has been in the red for the 29 years from 1952 through last year, with the exception of 1955. Moreover, as the amount has increased year by year, it has been strongly questioned whether "Japan is sinking into trade imperialism." 16 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Striking Out Due to Irritation Taiwan thus has banned imports of 1,533 Japanese products--not only ~ electrical products such as video recorders and refrigerators, but cosmetics, foods, and the Iike. There is no time limit. Moreover, in a later enactment, it was announced that imports of large trucks, buses, and engines from Japan have been banned for 1 year. Among these [items], the limited ban on truck imports is intended to protect ti:e automobile manufacturing plant jointly established by the American GM (General Motors) and Taiwan interests, but the ban on consumer goods is a direct expression of Taiwan's anger at its growing trade deficit with Japan. According to the announcement by the Taiwanese authorities, last year's trade - def icit with Japan was 3.4 billion dollars, nearly 300 million dollars greater than the previous year's, with the total over the last 4 years amounting to 11 billion dollars. The Taiwanese have already held several discussions with Japan aimed at improving trade problems, and they explain that, since nothing at all has been arranged, they have decided to take this f irm step "pending real coaperation on the part of Japan" (Taiwan Ministry of Economic Affairs). Although not explicitly designating Japan as the target, in the manner of Taiwan, the return export (counterpurchase) system that the Indonesian Government has just enacted is largely directed at Japanese firms. Undc~r this system, foreign companies from which the Indonesian Government has ordered construction projects for national enterprises of more than 500 million rupees (about 800,000 dollars), as well as materials and supplies, must purchase for their own countries nonpetroleum products from Indonesia (natural rubber, coffee, veneers, textiles, and the like--a total of 11 ~ designated items) in proportion to their receipts, which makes this a powerful measure for revitalizing the nonpetroleum sector of exports. The Indonesian Government says that "projects and supplies ordered from foreign companies wi11 amount to about 4.5 billion dollars this year" (Minister of Trade Radius Prawiro), so this new system, if enforced 100 percent, will by itself increase exports enoughto rectify the trade balance. ~ When this policy was announced, the countries of Western Europe--including West Germany, France, and Britain--were at first critical, and Japan, too, did not conceal its doubts. This is because Japan's exports to Indonesia amount to about 30 percent of Indonesia's total imports, and, in addition, since most of them are plan.ts and other heavy industrial products, they will - nearly a11 be subject to the counterpurchase obligation. Concern has been expressed that "if this policy produces definite resu~ts for Indonesia, other Southeast Asian countries will follow suit, and the basic conditions of Southeast Asian trade will be changed." 17 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Further Measures in D~.sre~ard of Concern Disregarding such concerns, the Indonesians have designated deals for developmental imports this year worth some 250 million dollars and amounting to about 1 million tons as the ~irst phase of the counterpurchase export ~ system, and are steadily progressing toward its enforcement. Consequently, first the Europeans but now also Japanese firms have shifted from their initial protests to a flexible stance,of "cooperating with Indonesia's policies to promote exports." Within the Japanese trading companies, the view has emerged that 11if present habits are transformed by a real system to recognize Third World exports, o~ur own opportunities for business will increase." The Thai import surcharge enacted at the end of February will also inevitably have its greatest impact on Japan. Thailand's adverse trade balance with Japan has always been large, and the value of imports is almost double that of exports; this move is also an indication of the dissatisfaction that is rapidly building up beneath the surface. Very recently a Bangkok economic newspapex, at the top of its front pages, took up the problem of the imbalance in trade with Japan and made the ominous prediction: "In the latter half of this year, groups in the government, in the military, and among businessmen will start an anti-Japanese movement." It is imposs~.ble to predict at this point whether the growing dissatisfaction concerning trade with Japan within ASEAN and the NICS will erupt everywhere, following Taiwan's lead. For example, in Thailand the 9th yen loan, amounting to 70 billion yen, was tentatively agreed upon just this past February, so the government's unhappiness with the trade deficit can be termed mild. Moreover, the Indonesian counterpurchase exports are to enable the Suharto government, which is anticipating a general election in May, to promote exports of primary products, and the tendency is growing to see this as a policy aimed domestically--to encourage confidence within the depressed agricultural villages, to lead to victory for his party in the election, and to anticipate flexibi?~ity in enforcement following the election. Even in the case of th~e Taiwanese import ban, the goods covered amount to only about 1.7 percent (some 100 million dollars) of TaiwaT~~�s imports of Japanese products, and [the ban] is not considered to have any great immediate impact. It is also true that there are voices in Taiwan which say that the problem is in the crade structure, in which--in contrast to Japan's exports to Taiwan being ne;irly all capital goods and industrial raw materials, without which Taiwan's industry cannot operate--Taiwan's exports to Japan are mainly agricultural and marine products and light industrial goods for which there are alternative sources. Since the Taiwan authorities are fully aware of this, there are many who see the import ban as a political gesture. Following the Adjustments with Europe and America However, one may also observe that the various countries of Asia are simultaneously coming up with demands upon Japan as an aftermath of the 18 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 ' FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY adjustments ma.de with Europe and America, as may be seen in the view of one knowledgeable Taiwanese that although "Taiwan was not c,rise to risk Japanese retaliation by taking the lead in banning imports," yet "when we consider the effects of Japan's adjustments with Europe and America, we are but following in their wake-." As it is certain that, with the narrowing of the American and European markets, Asia will become steadily more important to Japan, it is safe to say that it is necessary for Japan to hear them out and keep cool. COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1982 9898 CSO: 4105/79 ~ I' ! 19 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ECONOMIC JAPAN-US ~TAX FRICTION~ BECOMING SERIOUS T~~cyo THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English 7 Apr 82 LTE'.Xt~ "Tax fric~tion" has become serious between Japan and the US, in addition to the trade imbalance problem, and it is being worried about as a new cause of friction with foreign countries, Recently, there is one Japar.-affiliated enterprise after another which is subjected to additional impositions of taxes in the US, due to the difference in the interpretation of the tax law between Japan and the US. In addition, it is expected that the taxation under a new formula which the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) will carry out from July toward the enterprises in the US, will deal a big blow to the Japan-affiliated enterprises, the rate of whose own capital is low. Voices of strong repulsion are being raised from among the Japan- affiliated enterprises. Therefore, the Finance Ministry and the National Tax Administration Agency will make the following proposals at the periodic confei~ence between Japanese and I!S revenue offi~cials, which will be held soon: (1) When Japan-affiliated enterprises in the US are to be investigated, Japanese revenue officials~also should be present; and (2) Japanese and US revenue officialsshouldinvestigate Japanese parent companies and their sub- sidiaries in the US simultaneously by specafication of work. Their policy is to do their utmost so that the problem will not become more serious than at present. As to a dispute between Japan and the US over taxes, there is a case oF US Honda, which is a subsidiary of Honda Giken. When a Japanese parent company decl~res~for the US corporatior~ income tax on its subsidiary too lorr by intentionally raising the export price for the subsidiary in the US and compressing the profits of the subsidiary, tne US levies the tax by applying tt~e "moved price tax system." US Honda was subjected to this suspicion as to its income for fiscal 1975, and the case is pending in a US tax court even at present. - According to the Finance Ministry and the National Tax Administration Agency, ~imilar disputes over taxes are occurring frequently among several Japan-affiliated enterprises, including the subsidiaries in the US of two other major automobile-manufacturing companies (Toyota Motors and Nissan Motors). Also, 'the National Tax Administration Agency points otit: "Even when an enterprise is subjected to an irrational additionalimposition of taxes, 20 FOR OFFICIA.L USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R044500060013-6 FOF OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ ~ it may be made an object of tax investigations by Japanese and US revenue I officials, when it lodges an objection. So, there ax~e increasing cases of putting up with such a step without receiving a deduction as to the amount of ~ foreign taxes. i Such disputes arise because the Japanese and US tax laws are basically different in the handling of the "burden of proof" toward an income which has arisen, in addition to the moved price tax system. Japan is adopting the actual amount tax system under which national tax officials, who conduct investigations,havethe burden of proof, and even when the income of a tax- payer is suspected to be too low, there is no other way but to levy a tax or.i the income w,zich is too low, when the tax officials cannot prove it. In the US, on the other hand, the ta:t authorities estimate that there ought to he a certain income if there are certain earnings, and levy a tax on the amount of these earnings. When the real income is smaller tl~an the amount estimated by the authoriti.es, the tax-Payer himsslf must prove it. Therefore, it is usual tl~at the amount of the tax imposed is larger than that under the ~ctual amount tax formulain Japan. 1'urthermore, ttle excessively small capital tax system, which is to be carried out in the US Fram July this year, will deal a bi~ blow to Japan- affiliated entez~prises. Under this system, even borrowed money is regarded as a part of capital, and a tax is levied without handling the payment of a inter~:st as a loss of money. The view is strong that this is aimed at Japan-affiliated enterprises which highly depend upon borrowed money and which are makin~ good sYiowings on the average. _ . . . Ttlere are many cases where Japan-affiliated enterprises in the US depend u~on r~oney borrowed from their parent companies in Japan. In carrying out the t~lx system from ~Tuly, transactions between parent companies and their :,ub~icliari.es between nations are to be handled separately. However, the ' ~ I~S is }~urrying to lay down rules covering international transactions, and it is lik~:ly that one enterprise after another will be pressed for a complete r~,view of procurement of funds by their subsidiaries in the US. As the moved price tax and the excessively small capital tax do, not exist in JaFan, some Japan-affiliated enterprises point out that "Both are non-tariff barriers on the US side toward Japanese enterprises." In the State of California, a unitary tax system is being carried out under which taxes are levied on the subsidiaries and branch offices of large enterprises which have advanced into the State, in the light of the - ~~.ituation of yields as an enterprise group as a whole, even when their settle- ment ~~f accounts shows a deficit. Thi.s is presenting a problem among the enterprisec which nave advanced. The Japanese authorities concerned are taking a serious view of the fact that a dispute has begun to arise even~with the IRS, in addition to such moves in each State. _ Therefore, the Finance Ministry and the National Tax Administration A~enc~~ want to request the US side to hold at an early date the periodic conference between Japanese and US revenue officials, which is scheduled to bc held by this coming su~r~mer, and prevent the expansion of the disputes 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY through talks. In cancrete terms, their policy is to work upon the US ~ side to co-ordinate taxation at the actual scenes, with Japanese revenue personnel also present, when the US side conducts investigations, and carry out interna.tional simultaneous investigations, with Japanese and US xevenue officials conducting revenue investigations by specification of worko ~ As to such moves, there are growing voices from ar:ong Japanese enterprises, which are a focal point af the tax friction, requ?sting that the deduction as to the amount of foreign taxes in Japar, (TN: sic) be implemented more flexibly, and seeking a revision of the Japan-US Tax Treaty, not only for co-ordination between the officials concerned on the investigation level but also for the prevention of dual taxation. However, the Japanese Government, which is suffering from small tax yields, strongly intends to levy taxes, as much as possible, on the incomes which Japanese enterprises have earned overseas. On the other hand, the US, which is making desperate efforts to overcome the fanancial deficit, views Japan-affiliated enterprises, which are obtaining la?^ge amounts of yields in that country, are a good target for securing tax yields. Therefore, ~ many ~eo~le think that the difference of opinions between the Japanese and US enterprises over taxation on Japan-affiliated enterprises in the US will ~ continue, for the time being. It is feared that this may become a new cause which will make the Japan--US economic t'riction more serious. COPYRIGHT: 1982 The Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inca _ CSO: 4105/99 22 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064413-6 - FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY ECONOMIC 'MAINICHI' VIEWS JAPANESE ECONOMIC PROSPECTS OW171101 Tokyo MAINICHI DAILY NEWS in English 16 Mar 82 p 2 [Editorial: "World Economy 'Engine [Text] The economic planning agency has disclosed that Japan's economy during the October-December period in 1981 recorded a decline of 0.9 percent from the previous quarter, a 3.5-percent negative growth in annual terms. This was the first time since the January-March period of 1975 that a nega- tive quarterly real-term economic growth had been recorded, indicating the serious economic situation in Japan. The decline was mainly caused by a considerable drop in exports. However, there is a bright spot in domestic demand in expanded equipment investment. Compared with the negative growth immediately after the first oil shock in 1973, however, there seem to be less pessimistic trends in the current economic sit-uation. Firstly, we have stable prices of commodities including oil. Secondly, individual consumption and equipment investment are not in as bad a condi- ' tion as might be. Thirdly, earnings of large business firms are not low. Accordingly, some people view that the current sluggish economy is just a temporary phenomenon. We must, however, watch the overseas economic situation carefully. The United States and European nations are suffering from high inflation and unemployment, with increasing numbers of bankruptcies. The U.S. move towards protectionism has become more pronounced. Eastern European nations, including Poland, and nonoil producing developing nati.ons are deeply in debt, which may invite international financial instability. The high American interest rates have prompted worldwide economiG instability. Aimed at controlling inf lation, the high interest rates have at the same time caused inactive equipment investment and, subsequently, declined earnings for business f irms, inadequate tax revenues and expanded fiscal def icits. In addition, they have helped reduce currencies other than the U.S. dollar to levels below their actual value. 23 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064413-6 FOR OFFtC1AL USE ONL1' The basic cause of the U.S, fiscal deficit is i~s arms expansion race with the Soviet Union, which has sharpened East-West tension and curtailed East-West trade. Thus, the arms expansion can be termed the "root cause of various evils." Under such circumstances, we have no reason to be optimistic about the future of the Japanese economy. While Japan has enjoyed exceptionally low inflation rates and unemployment, what worries the Japanese government is the fiscal deficits, but the government has taken no drastic action to cope with this. Prime Minister Zenko Suzuki has pledged to suspend the issuance of national bonds which are aimed at covering f iscal deficits by 1984, but this pledge has prevented him from taking steps to reactivate the economy, except for advancing the implementation of public works programs in fiscal 1982. What will become of the world economy if Japan fails to take active measures? Doing nothing will accelerate a reduced world economy and the trade friction will remain as it is. Some Western European nations and the United States have demanded that Japan, a model of economic policy, play a more important role as an "engine" to boost the world economy. We believe that Japan, an economic power enjoying 10 percent of the world gross national product (GNP), must change its policy to come up to world expectations. For this purpose, we call for an expansion of domestic demand, an increase in official governmental assistance to developing nations and efforts for world disarmament. If and when these policies can provide a lift, even a modest one, to the world economy, criticism leveled at Japan will moderate. This demand must be realized through the promotion of public works and housing construction as we11 as an income tax cut in fiscal 1982. A revision of the economic structure through these measures will help Japan remove the trade friction. The increase in government assistance must be welfare-oriented, aimed at preventing hunger, for example. The aid to least developed nations will settle the unstable international fiscal situation. Japan must also urge the promotion of disarmament because, we believe, Japan should be a pioneer in this field. After all, Japan achieved its present prosperity by keeping military expenditures to a minimum. COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Daily News 1982 CSO: 4120/249 24 FOR OFF[C[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R440500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ECONOMIC GOVERNMENT TO INCREASE FI~iADTCIAL EXPENDITURES TO EXPAND DOMESTIC DENIAND Tokyo MAINICHI DiAILY NEWS ir '~nglish 4 Apr 82 [Text] It became clear on the 3rd that the OECD, which is a group of advanced r.ations, has sought Japan's drastic conversion of its management of the economy. This was formally conveyed to the Japanese side for the first time at the meeting of the Secretaries of the OECD Economic Policy Committae (EFC), which was held in Washington late last month. It pressed Japan to (1) raise the interest rates anci (2) bolster business, The Government is taking the posture of basically rejecting this, saying that "Raising the .interest rates runs counter to business measures." However, the situation makes it inevitable for the Government to decide on measures to expand domestic demand further from two fields elimination of the trade friction with Europe and America and bolstering of domestic business. Therefore, the Government has firmed up the policy of starting studies on comprehensive economic ~raasures centering on the expansion of domestic demand, to~ether with measures for opening the market, including partial liberalization of a~ricultural products, after the passage of the fiscal 1982 Budget Bill on the Sth, completing the framework for business measures led by finances, including the expansion of loans by the Housing ~,oan Corporation, an increase in the expenses for public works, an increase in the number of independen� local projects, and a tax�reduction, and announcing the framework by the timc of the Versailles Summit (Advanced Summit Conference) in June. At the Cabinet meeting on March 16, the Government decided and carried out t}ie lst round of ineasures to bolster business, including advance implementation of public works and housing construction with public funds. However, as the sec~nd round which is to be newly checked into, expansion of lo~ins by the Housinp, Loan Corporation and increase in the amount of clectric power facilities investments are,expected to be included, centering on an addition of expenses for public works in this coming fall and there- after. Government leaders including Economic Planning Agency KOMOTO are already hinting at measures to bolster business. Finance Minister WATAi1ABE, too, who.has so far been taking a cautious posture, says that 25 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY "We will not cause the Japanese economy to become weak from this coming fall." Thus, new business measures will be boiled down from early this week, when the Buclget Bill will be passed. The probability is great that the contents of the business measures this time will resemble the case of the supplementary budget (enterprise scale: ~�2 trillion l.l percent of the GNP) which.was announced after the London Summit in fiscal 1977. In concrete terms, such measures are expected as to increase tti~ expenses for public works by more than ~'1 trillion and expand the Housin~ Loan Corporation loans for tens of thousands of houses. Whether or not the tax reduction can be carried out by fiscal 1982 is fluid. However, there is the following voice: "A tax reduction by ~300 billion~or ~400 billion will be possible by breaking down a part of the reserve funds for the recovery of subsidiary coins, which amount to ~�1,200 billion at present" (Government source). On the other hand, the Economic Policy Committee, where the criticism against Japan's economic policy was voiced, is an organization to check into econor~ic situations and policies in the OECD. A secret meeting of the Secretaries was held in Washington on March 27, with representatives of major advanced nations participating. , With US Presidential Economic Advisory Committee Chairman W~IDENBAUM as Chairman, the representatives of various countries discussed the present economic situation in the world and economic policies. According to the G,~verunic~tit :,ourr_e, OECU 5ecret~zry General VAN LENNEP and representntive~ ~ of two or three countries expressed opinions to seek a change of Japan's economic policy, at the meeting. As to the gist of these opinions, they showed the,view that the policy mix of the policy to easa the money situation and the policy to restrain financial expenditures (combination of financial and monetary policies), which mix Japan is adopting, is "eventually inducing a lower yen," and sought the raising of interest rate~ and the increasing of financial expenditures, as a measure to improve it. This is a criticism against Japan's having been holding down financial expenditures as far as possible for the re-construction of finances, and depending mainly upon the easing of the money situation as a business measure. It is said that Secretary General VAN LENNEP clarified the judgment that Japan's economic policy is linked to a lower yen under the high interest rates in the US, and is intensifying the trade friction between Japan and advanced nations. As to this request for raising the interest rates, there are many who are of the following opinion: It is possible to induce a higher yen by raising the interest rates, but on the other hand, it will drag down on the feet of business through declines in facilities investments and housing investments and the worsening of enterprise yields. So, we cannot accept it" 26 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 FOR OFFICIc~L USE ONLY (Finance Ministry leader). Wxthin the Government, there is rather the intention that it. is�reasonable to request the US to lower the interest rates and work to lower the domestic interest rates. However, in regard to the request for bolstering business through the e:cpansiori of domestic demand, the Government has apparently been driven into a situation where it cannot but carry it out, in view of the internal and external situations. Domestic business has bright aspects, too, such as the fact that inventory adjustment has run its course, and that the rise in commodity prices has calmed down. In industry circles, however, there is a growing sense of depression mainly among medium and small enterprises, and there is a widespread sense of crisis to the effect that if the situation continues as is, the vitality of the economy will be lost. As to the trade friction with Europe and America, on the other hand, a limit has begun to be seen to individual measures, and it has become indis~ensable for Japan to change its policy to show its posture of internatioTial co-operation, before the time of the Versailles 5ummit. COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Daily News, 1982 CSO: 4105/99 ~ 27 , FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ECONOMIC ~ TAX REVENUE DEFICIT IN LOCAL AUTONOMOUS ENrITIES Tokyo THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English 10 Apr 82 ~Text~ According to the Autonomy Ministry, the deficit in the tax revenues of prefectures is expected to reach about ~340 billion, as against the estimafie in the Local Financial Plan, and the deficit amount is expected to reach the second highest level ever registered, after that seen in fiscal 1975, The reason for this is that the amount of revenues from the corporation business tax, which accounts for about 400 of the amount of prefectural tax-revenues, will decrease sharply from the originally estimated level, reflecting the poor business results of enterprises. The total amount of tax revenues in prefectures up until the end of February showed a one-digit, low-rate ir.crease, compared with t~he corresponding period of the preceding year. 1fie fear is becoming stronger among the persons concerned that a large-scale lack of tax revenues may arise in fiscal 1982, too. inis will be the sourth time since riscal 1977 (~28.5 billion) for prefectures to suffer from a lack of tax revenues. The deficit amount w=-.t1 reach the second highest level, after that (~f748.7 billion) seen in fiscal 1975. According to the Autonomy Ministry, the amount of tax revenues in prefectures as of the end of February was ~f6,362,6 billion (excluding the amount of increase in revenues from non-legal ordinary taxes and excessive taxation), 6.7o above the level registered in the corresponding period of the~preceding year. This figure is 4.7 points below the estimated increase rafie (11.4%) in the Local Financial Plan formulated by the Autonomy Ministry, as a guideline for the compilation of budgets by local autonomous entities. It is estimated that if the situation develops as is, the lack of tax revenues will reach ~337 billion. In the case of the State, the corporation tax on companies, which carry out settlement of accounts in the March term of 1982, will be included in the tax revenues for fiscal 1981. In the case of local 28 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ autonomous entities, however, the corporation business tax will be included in the tax revenues for fiscal 1982. Unlike the case of the State, therefore, there is hardly any room for tax revenues to be affected by the business results of companies which carry out settlement'of accounts in the March term. Among the various tax ite;ns, it is the corporation bus iness tax which has become markedly stagnant. The total amount of ta x revenues up until the end of February increased by 3.2~, compared with the corresponding~period of the preceding year. This figure is as much as 14.6 points below the estimated increase rate (17.80) iri the Local Financial Plan. When limited to the corporation business t ax alone, - it is estimated that the deficit will reach ~396 billion. It seems that it will be impossible for even the increase in revenues from the individual residents' tax and the individual enterprise tax, which are in a comParatively favorable tone, to o.ffset completely the decrease in revenues from the corporation business tax. - COPYRIGHT: 1982 The Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc, CSOP 4105/99 29 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ECONOMIC CONTENTS OF ~SECOND PACKAGE' OF MARKET-LIBERA,LIZATION MEASURES Tokyo DAILY YOMIUF.I in English 10 Apr 82 ~Text~ The contents of the concrete measures which ~he Government formulat~d on the 9th, as the "second round" of market-liberalization measures, are as follows: "Various Measures for Exter,nal Economic Relations, for the Time Being" _ In the light of the present international situation, it is considered that the f~~llowing measures should be taken, for the time being, in order to maintain co-operative relations with other~countries, and to suppress protec- _ tionism and to maintain free trade. (Those marked with asterisks are measures which should be taken before the Summit) I. General Arguments (omitted [TN: by the paper and not by the translator]) II. Concrete Measures 1. Promotion of the liberalization of the market (1) Easing and Abolition of the Remaining Import Restrictions The policy for the easinfi and abolition of the remaining import resfirictions will be firmed up, based on the exchar~~e of views, etc., with the US, at the Japan-US A~ricultural Products Working Group (April 12 and 13). (2) Lowering of Tariffs In regard to items for which the international competitive power of our country's industries has improved in recent years (for example, h g~i technoiogy products, including computers), reciprocal lowering of tariffs will be called for (however, depending on cases, unilateral lowering will also be studied). (b) The intention of a unilateral lowering of tariffs will be expressed for items which have become symbolic problems (for example, cookies, chocolate, brandy, wine, whiskey, etc., in regard to the EC, and semi-processed lumber, sucr, as spruce, pine and f ir, in regard to Canada). 30 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONI,Y `(3) Tobacco Concrete plans for a large-scale increasing of tobacco retail shops and for a lar~e-scale increasing of advertizing expenses will be shown to the US side and talks will be pushed. As regards the monopoly system itself, expectations will be attached or, the promotion of the studies at the Provisional Administrative Affairs Research Council, in the direction of pro- moting imports. (4) Removal of the "invisible barrizrs" in the distribution structure, administrative guidance~, etc. (a) A general policy to the effect that "Restrictive action~ in regard to transactions, on the enterprise level,will not be permitted, and there will be no restrictions on imports through adminis- trative guidance, etc., and depending on circumstances, strict and fair actions will be taken~by the Fair Trade Commission," will be announced: � (b) .The actual situation in regard to soda-ash, paper and pulp, and . medical instruments, regarding which the US side is showing interest, will be : clarified, and necessary measures will be taken. (c) Studies will be carried out on concrete measures for the promotion of imports, centering on manufactured products. ~ (5) Imgrovement of import-related procedures, such as standards, etc. (a) As regards the transparency of the process for the establishment of standards, etc. (includin~; the partic~ipation, etc., of forei~;n persons, whose interests are involved, etc.), it will be tackled as a task for the future, ; and work in this re~ard will be started. ~ (b) Forward-looking conclusions will be reached on the standards ; for automobiles, plywood, medical drugs, cosmetics, etc., on the problems of ~ cherries and papaya produc ed in the US, apples produced in France, flower bulbs in the Netherlands, customs clearance procedures (speeding up of screening ; under the laws coming under the jurisdiction of Ministries and Agencies other than the Finance Ministry, etc.), import procedures for wild rice, the grading ~ of "sake", tests for the safety of thermos bottles, sani-Eation standards for ' bacon, etc. : (6) Trade in services and capital transactions (aj A general ' policy to the effect that "internationalization in the field of services will be promoted, and our country will contribute in a positive way to the establish- ment of international rules" will be announced. (b) The problem will be tackled, with emphasis on the problem of lawyers, and liberalization will also be pushed gradually.in regard to the insurance and banking businesses. , (c) The improving of access to the capital market will be tackled. (d) A.statement to the effect that investments in Japan will be wel- comed, will be isstied. 31 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY (7) Utilization of the Ombudsman system (Omitted) 2. Promotion of Positive Co-operation (1) Ways for concrete co-operation with the US and the European nations, such as the establishment of a Japan-US joint working group concerning high technolo~y, will be explored. (2) Promotion of overseas investments, centering on the manufacturing industries. (3) Studies will be pushed on the development-imports of US general coal. (4) In connection with our country's food aid, efforts will be made to utilize US-produced wheat, in addition to the grains produced by the developing nations. (5) Purchase of specific products will be promoted (nuclear-energy- connected machinery, heavy electric machinery [US], automobile parts [US and Canada], aircraft, helicopters, ferro-nickel and enriched uranium [France]). COPYRIGHT: DAILY YOMIURI 1982 CSO: 4105/99 32 FOR OFF.ICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500064013-6 FaR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ ECONOMIC AUTOMOBILE PARTS INDUSTRY'S STRUGGLE FOR EXISTENCE REPORTED 'Tokyo NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN in Japanese 3, 9, 10 17 Feb 82 Feb 82 p 8] [Article by reporter Kawabe: "Mie Giken Kogyo--Direct Introduction of Robotics"] [Text] Mie Giken Kogyo is a Honda Motor Company affiliate parts manufacturer that is considered to have top-ranking capability (main office: Tokyo; presi- dent: Noboru Hasegawa; capital: 500.5 million yen). The firm's main plant is the Yasuno plant (about 300 employees) located in Yasuno, Mie Prefecture. Just this January, Honda Vice President Shigeru Sasamiya, together with representa- tive., from the parts division of BL Corporation (Britain), Honda's partner, as well as a delegation from BL affiliate parts manufacturers, visited the Yasuno plant to present an outstanding factory award and obsArved its "certified high- yield production system." (Vice President Sasamiya) Double-Digit Growth Let us enumerate Mie Giken's "strengths"~ As of June 1981, its sales figure (35.2 billion yen) exceeded the projected figure by about 3 billion yen. The profit-loss diverging point was 71.3 percent (3.0 point decline from the pre- vious period). The monthly per persc.~ added value, excluding materials cost, was 1,302,000 yen (increase of 112,000 yen). In the midst of the "auto reces- sion," the firm has achieved a double-digit increase in sales. Added to that is the above detailed f inancial accomplishment. For these reasons, it f ar out- distances others in the Honda group in skillful management. Since last year a certain work process has been introduced at the Yasuno plan~ as an energy- saving, automated operation model. A year ago, three lines of the same work process occupied eight men and nine women workers--a total of 17 employees. A partial reorganization of the work procedure and introduction of automated machines reduced the number of workers to 11 (7 men and 4 women) while main- taining the same production volume in the same timef rame. Honda is planning to employ this technique not only at Mie Giken but at other affiliate parts manufacturing operations. Tiioroughgoing Independent Management A thoroughgoing total quality control (TQC) system with significant delegation of authority emphasizing the lower echelon workers has been implemented and ' each employee is committed to the "self-management" concept. This has been 33 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R440500060013-6 FaR OFFICIAL USE ONLY the key to Mie Giken's success in the all-out business competition. None of Mie Giken plants has full-time inspectors. Rather, the system "infuses" quality at each manufacturing step. It is said that the executives of Mitsui Bank--the firm's main financial bank--receive "lectures" regarding the unique management's annual plan frequently. Mie Giken President Hasegawa, although reserved, is confident: "I believe we have had considerable posit~-.*~ achievements in terms of efficient management." After making its initial overseas expansion move in Taiwan (September 1980).,it pooled capital with Honda and another firm and set up a parts manufacturing company in the United States last autumn. Its overseas strategy as a member of the Hon3a group was launched successfully. Mie Giken appears to be sail- ing full sail under a favorable wind. President Hasegawa, howe~c~, is fond of saying: "From here on is the new challenge." He is of the opinion that "the automotive parts industry has left the era of automated rationalization and has now stepped into a revolutionary era of robotics." That is, he has decided on a plan to implement an efficier.t production mode qualitatively very diff erent from the model work process of last year. "Traditionally, we have been a small to medium-size operation in which personal contacts and interresearch were our big assets. Robotics is a different matter from what we have been used to, but the tide is unmistakable when we look to the future. If we were to resist the introduction of robotics, we would endanger our business foundation." There is a sense of urgency in his speech. Currently, Mie Giken has approxi.mately 30 processing and assembly robots in- stalled in all four of its factories. The company is examining a plan to in- crease this number dra~tically, to about 100 robots, in another year. Presi- dent Hasegawa would not disclose the long-range installation plan, but the firm's operating policy since its inception in 1958 has always been: spare no expense on equipment! ThF firm's capital was 800,000 yen during the early part of the sixties, and equipment purchases amounting to double, triple, even 10 times the capital ~ have been implemented more than once. Even now, the annual repayment cost is over 2 billion yen. Interest in investing in equipment for the future is extremely high at Mie Giken. Toughened by Trials Mie Giken has used increased volume as leverage while investing in equipment and revolutionary technologies. Although demand for two-wheeled vehicles will continue to be strong, a large-scale introduction of robots will create surplus workers among the firm's approximately 500 employees. President Hasegawa has no intention of cutting back the current work f orce. Thus, Honda points out that, "the topic for the future is diversification of pro- ducts." But taking over products handled by other parts manufacturers, on the strength of a high-efficiency production system, would c~~.use friction among the group ~4 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 NaR OFN[C'lAl, USE ONLY members. Therefore, President Hasegawa describes the firm's future direction as "the creation of a new market in the plastics field, which is just starting *o run smoothly, and expansion into the industrial machinery sector." The Yasno plant is associated with some 40 subcontractors. Mie Giken admits that "we ourselves have had close calls three times in the past and we became stronger as a result of those ordeals." It is likely, therefore, that under Mie's high-pitched leadership, the subcontracting~firms will be asked to respond expeditiously to shifting needs. [9 Feb 82 p 9] [Article by r,eporter Takahashi: "Nihon Radiator--Finds Solution in Co~ercial Sale of Air-Conditioning Units"] [TexC] Nihon Radiator's president, Jukichi Tada, is extremely busy of late. He is the firm's top salesman in trying to increase the sale of car air- conditioning units. He is about to celebrate his 70th birthday and yet, he himself must dash all over the country. Why? Because there is a need to strengthen the business framework to stave off the rapid decline of the automotive industry. Although the firm has annual sales figures of 100 billion yen, it is not secure from the prevailing tide of stringent business climate. Thus, he cannot sit idly in the president's easy chair. "Limit to Growth" Nihon Radiator is an automotive parts manuf acturer that is a direct lineal descendant of Nissan Motors. Nissan supplies 48.5 percent (36.12 billion - shares) of its capital. It has been highly successful as a specialty manufac- turer of radiators, car heaters, muff lers and so on. However, it decided that "there would be a limit to growth if the existing operation were.pursued exclusively," so it entered the car air-conditioning market several years ago. Since then, it has built up a position as Nissan M tors' car air-conditioning manufacturer, but it has been forced to find other growth avenues as a result of the lack of growth in the sale of automobiles. That is, the firm is try- ing not only to maintain its status as the official supplier to Nissan but also to develop steady sales on the open market. President Tada's New Year's speech to employees was as follows: "We must fur- ther strengthen our business skill. Although we are Nissan's legitimate heir in the parts manufacturing sector, we cannot take that position for granted. The circumstances have changed. Concentrate all your energy on strengthening the operational framework. We have to perf orm this tas~ ourselves." Up to now the majority of automotive parts manufacturers directly affiliated with automakers--including Nihon Radiator--have only been required to make and deliver parts in response to the parent company's direction. They have not been adept at sales. But what is needed for Nihon Radiator now is the "will to do it (selling)!" For that reason, the president of the f irm is leading the personnel in an a.ll-out sales campaign. 35 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R044500060013-6 FQR OFFICIAL USE ONLl' Weakness in the Production Format The firm has a weakness in its production ~ormat. Although last fall, a new assembly line was completed at its Gunma plant (Yurakucho, Gunma Prefecture) and a consistent production format capable of producing 100,000 units per month was established; a vital component of the product--the compressor--is not made by Nihon Radiator. The company must purchase it from other Nissan group affiliate firms such as the Atsugi Aut~motive Parts Company and so on. If production from beginning to end--compressor to completed unit--could be produced in a cohesive operation, it is eminently clear that quality control and cost management could both be easily accomplished. Nihon Radiator's weak- - ness lies in the fact that it does not have full control over the entire pro- , duction operation. When Nihon Radiator decided to undertake car air-conditioning production, it had planned to make its own compressor. But upon witnessing Atsugi`s diffi- - culty at that time, with the decline in propeller shaft demand resulting from a switch over to FF (front engine, frent-wheel drive), Nissan decided to allocate compressor production to Atsugi, and the subsequent division of labor format between Nihon Radiator and Atsugi Auto parts was affected. Technological Exchange With Atsugi In order to survive in the fiercely competitive open commercial market, over-- all cost management and comprehensive, cumulative technology--including after service--are needed. While the factory installed car. air-conditioning market is demanding, open commercial market competition is fierce. Commercial market manufacturers, pushed by the made to order makers are beginning to roll back the tide. Securing a place in the open co~umercial market against this backdrop under such a handicap req.~~ires some doing. Nihon Radiator first of all set compre- _ hensive technological. advancement as its priority objective. First, it scouted professional technicians at Nissan and began emphas.izing technical exchange with Atsugi Automotive Parts. With the latter, cooperation was pledged at a - top-level conference attended by Nihon Radiator President Tada and Atsugi President Shigeru Kitamura. The solidarity between the two firms has begun already. Moreover, great effort is being expended to gather technicians by means of mid-career hiring, and the firm is intent on upgrading its comprehensive technol.ogical capability. In the car air-conditioning market, Toyota Motor group's Nihon Denso has begun to put its muscle behind expanding its co~nercial sales volume. Sankyo - Electric Appliance--a top-ranking open commercial market manufacturer--is counterattacking. In addition, the Nissan group has other "senior" ranking car air-conditioning manufacturers besides Nihon Radiator--Hitachi Works and Diesel Machinery. With close scrutiny from these quarters, Nihon Radiator's car air-conditioning unit consolidation policy has many dif�icult facets. How effective will the campaign led by President Tada to expand into the open mar- ket be as the mainstay of the firm's structural improvement? This year will be the "win or lose year." (President Tada) ~ 36 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FaR OFFICIA~. USE Oti i.Y [10 Feb 82 p 8] [Article by reporter Kawabe: "Nihon Hatsujo--Development of Nonautomotive Secror" ) [Text] "Very soon, we will at last begin the second phase construction at the Komagane plant, with the goal of completing the synthetic products manufactur- ing plan t in October of this year," says Nihon Hatsujo President Masao Iketani, demonstrating confidence at having finally translated a long-standing plan into a new business strategy. The firm's Komagane plant, located in Komagane ci.ty, Nagano Prefecture, is on a site of about 60,000 square meters. The f irst phase co nstruction, which was completed toward the close of last year, con- sisted of a research and development wing which will bring together and house the firm's development engineers. The second phase construction involves a building with about 4,000 square meters of floorspace for a synthetic goods plant (urethane products for industrial machinery use and so on) to be built at a cos t of about S00 million yen. The plan is to develop this site into a "nonau:- ?motive goods mecca." Clear Objectives Nihon Hatsujo is the largest manufacturer of automotive board springs and coil sprin~s. Its long-term business strategy is "lucidity." The total sales for 1980 was 87.8 bil.lion yen. The plan is to expand that figure to 135 billio n yen ~ver the next S years and at the same time to increase the profit margin - from 5 p ercent to 7 percent. In terms of financial status, over 40 percent of the c apital is company held. The profit-loss diverging point is below 80 percent. The goals thus are set in nLUnerical terms and are clearly laid out. Moreove r, President iketani predicts that "demand i~ the automotive field will be limited to an annual growth rate of about 2 percent at most." Consequently, the firm's strategy puts development of new products slated for general indus- try--other than automotive--as the generating force for sustaining business growth. Steady growth for automotive spring products and high growth for non- automotive products, based on application of automotive spring manufacturing technology, are the company's twin goals. The Komagane plant's second phase construction plan is slated to translate these goals into reality, and thus, President Iketani is taking great interest in bringing the project to fruition. In the nonautomotive sector, Nihon Hatsujo's emphasis is on four categories: (1.) pre ci.sion springs; (2) industrial and (3) processing equipment based on spring technology; and (4) mald processing for synthetic materials. In every - instdnce techniques accumulated through automotive spring manufacture are applied to other fields. President Iketani says: "Replenishment of tech- nolo~ical capability is our most important topic up to 1985." In other words, = ti~is rea lly means multifaceted product development. Even in the field of electronics technology--which has become the quickly r:ising s tar in the automotive parts industry--the firm's Processing Equipment Division is steadily translating the spring sensor and the NC coiling machine into finished products. "Although electronics-related products occupy only 37 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000540060013-6 FaR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 2-3 percent of total sales now, we intend to raise this ratio threefold under our 5-year plan." (President Iketani) That would mean that Nihon Hatsujo, with its background of inechanical technology, will have a"new face." Replenishment Phase for Overseas Ventures The "Company Ob~ectives for This Year" published internally by Nihon Hatsujo at the beginning of this year list quality control at production site (QC) as - well as total quality control (TQC), which includes indirectly related depart- ments, coordinated strengthening of overseas operations and strengthening of individual firms within the group structure, in addition to consolidation of technological capability. Among the listed items, overseas strategy is described as "having entered the second phase--from the development stage to the replenishment stage." Nihon Hatsujo has recently provided technological knowhow to an Indonesian spring manufacturer. It intends to form a technological tie with a Malaysian automotive parts f irm soon. Since 1973 it has been steadily increasing over- seas ties through capital advancements and technological offers--beginning with Thailand, then Taiwan, the Philippines, Singapore, Australia, Indonesia and :talaysia. President Iketani proclaims the firm's overseas strategy's repletion phase in the following words: "The strategic foundation building in the western Paci- fic rim has now been completed. The goal for this area now is upgrading business strength and further replenishment of market competitiveness. At the same time, we will get down to serious business with our overseas strategy in the as yet uncultivate~ European/U.S, arena." In the United States, the mecca of automobile manufacturing, it is working on a new cooperative tie with the firm's former technological partner, Rockwell International Corporation. Nihon Hatsujo's international strategy is to feel out the receptiveness to a basic capital participation proposal among firms that it alreaciy has ties with or expects to have ties with. Developing Talent Nihon Hatsujo's sales structure at present is as follows: a little less than 80 percent automotive and the rest general industry. During the 1985-1995 decade, it plans to change the firm's orientation drastically by reducing the automotive ratio to 60 percent and allocating 40 percent to other f ields. The related firms and subcontractors will be asked to make the necessary shifts, too. Last year, the Nihon Hatsujo group--25 firms led by Nihon Hatsujo-- worked toward improving the business and financial status. Starting this year, the emphasis will be shifted to developing talent and establishing autonomous technology. President Iketani states: "Her:.after, we will observe the develop- ment of various enterprises, and if need t~e, we will think about consolidation and reorganization." The firm has acquir.~ed its present position as the largest spring manufacturer by absorbing its competitors. That tradition will be car- ried forward, and it will not shrink from reorganization if need be. 38 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONL~' Approximately 50 firms that supply materials and parts to Nihon Hatsujo belong to a cooperative organization called "Shinwa kai [Fraternal Association]." Nihon Hatsujo's mainstay tlzus far has been steel (springs), but in the future it will transform itself to deal with synthetic, electronic and processing equipments technologi_es; and the organization of subcontracting businesses with a slightly different focus than before and with a certain degree of systems technology will be needed. The reorganization of subsidiary busiiless groups may very well determine the success or failure o~ Nihon Hatsu~o's future. [17 Feb 82 p 9] [Article by reporter Takahashi: "Sankyo Denki (S;~nkyo Electric Appliance)-- Unification of Manufacturing and Distribution Operations"] ~ [Text] Toward the close of last year, the largest commercial automotive air- conditioning unit manufacturer--Sankyo Electric Appliance Company--tentatively decided that its president and founder, Kaihei Ushikubo, would be elevated to chairman of the board, and his younger brother, Managing Director Shuji Ushikubo would be promoted to the firm's presidency. This top-level ma.nage- ment change was formally promulgated on 12 January when everyone was sti11 aglow from the New Year's festive mood. At the same time, the leadership of Sanden Sales (main off ice: Tokyo; capital: 200 million yen), in charge of Sankyo's sales and distribution was also changed. Sankyo Executive Director Eijiro Masagaki became Sanden Sa1es' president. A move patterned after the unification of Toyota Motor Manufacturing and Toyota Automotive Sales appears to signal the beginning of a unified production and sales strategy designed to strengthen the bus iness framework. Reduced Volume Is the Only Way The reason that Mr Kaihei Ushikubo decided to retire ~rom the presidency of the firm--an office he filled for 40 long years--is because an expeditious reworking of the business framework is urgently required, or else the company may not survive. The Sanlcyo Electric Appliance group (made up of Sankyo Elec- ' rric Appliance, Sanden Sales, and Sankyo International) showed a significant decrease in income and profits at the March 1981 settlement of accounts. The reason for thz decline was overstocking. The sales amounted to 12.9 per- cent less than the previousterm, 65.9 billion yen. There was a drastic drop in profit after tax--1 billion yen or 82.5 percent less than the previous period. In order to recover the earnings, it was considered that there is no other way but to unify the manufacturing and distribution phases and to effect a"volume decrease"; and toward the end of last year this view was translated into a concrete plan. Using the retirement of the founder as a turning point, a chain of personnel chan~es was made. The new format assigns overseas strategy to chairman of the board Kaihei Ushikubo, and new President Shuji Ushikubo will concentrate on strengthening the general business framework. As soon as he assumed office, the new president initiated action. He told the 60 some subcontractors to ! "create a self-reliant operational structure that can survi.ve without depend- ing on the parent enterprise." President Shuji is at the same time the 39 ~ FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500060013-6 FO~R OFF[CIAL USE OhLY president of a subsidiary firm, Sanwa Toso Company, and he has long investigated ways to escape from total dependence on the parent company. Yromotion of Personnel Exchange Beginning with the top-level management change at Sanden Sales, exchange of personnel between the manufacturing and sales sectors will become more f requent. First of all, Sankyo's president's quarters, currently at I~ezaki, Gunma Pre- fecture, will be transferred to the Sanden Sales complex in A ibahara, Tokyo. The air.iof th~s move is: by moving the president's office to Tokyo, Sankyo's officers will be permanently stationed in Tokyo, thereby removing the barrier separating manufacturing from sales. It is certain that the eventual inten- tion is for Sankyo Electric Appliance and Sanden Sales to merge--very much in the same vein as Toyota's merger o~ processing and distribution departments. Sankyo Electric Appliance Company was started in 1943. Up until 1964 the Ope- rational Headquarters was in charge of sales; but it was decided that in terms of capital procurement and so on, the separation of manufacturing from distri- bution was desirable. So, in 1965, the Operational Headquarters was renamed Distribution and Sales and given an independent status. Thereafter, riding the fair wave of "motorization," the company rose to the position of a top open market automotive air-conditioning unit manufacturer.. The rapid decline - of the automobile industry forced it to resume its original organizational format. - Rushing About All over the World Although Sankyo Electric Appliance had been hailed as the top commercial auto- motive air-conditioning unit manufacturer, the circumstances surrounding Sankyo for the past year or two have become increasingly difficult. The ratio of factory installed automobile air-condix ioning units (that is, instead of instal- lation of commercially purchased urits) is gaining each year. Moreover, Toyota Motors group affiliates such as Nihon Denso and the Nissan motors group firm Nihon Radiator have started to commercially market their units in earnest. In the midst of the stagnating domestic sales of automobiles, it is not easy to increase commercial sales of automotive air-conditioning units. Even with manufacturing and distribution departments unified and the produc- tion volume decreased, the future is fraught with difficulties. Strong mea- sures are needed to recover profits and turn back the tide to achieve a better business showing. As a mainstay in that effort Sankyo Electric Appliance has chosen overseas business development. It was the first in the automotive air- conditioning equipment industry to establish a.plant in Dallas (United States), which began fu11-scale production last year. This year, another plant will be built in Singapore in an attempt to effect rapid enlargement of overseas production. Within the main office in Gunma Prefecture, an organization called "Ford Re- search Room" has been created. It is seeking avenues to open supply routes to the Ford Piotor Company. It is dead serious about its overseas strategy. The chairman of the board who yielded the presidency to his younger brother , 40 FOR OFF~CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 ~ FdR OFFtCIAL USE ONLI' is busily rushing around the world, for in order to reap maximimm benefit from a strengthened business framework, a strong overseas operation is essential. How successful will be the duo teamwork of President Shuji and Chairman Kaihei, entitled "The Shape~Ip Strategy?" It is clear that each step taken is directly tied to the success or failure of the company. The situation is grave indeed. COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1982 11460 CSO: 4105/60 ~ 41 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ECONOMIC EARLY FARM IMPORT LIBERALIZATION DIFFICULT Tokyo THE DAILY YOMIURI in English 10 Apr 82 p 1 ~ Text ] Early I:beralization of im- necessary for the agricul- nattonal cooperatlon. It ports of fnrm produce is ture industr}� to work for noted that various ud- diPficult in the light ef the structurai improvement in vanced countrles were ta6- present. sftuation faced by the future. ing protective measures on Japan's ugriculture and in Faced with the increasing farm products in accord- ~~iew� of many problems Still severity of Japan-US trade ance with their domP~tic remaintng to be sol~~ed. friction and criticism raised situation. by the Second Ad Hoc Ad- �~d increases in the - This was st,ressed by the food supply-demand situ- - Agrir_ulture, Forestry and ministrat.ive Reform Council that the guvernment is ation since the middle part Fisheries Ministry in its of the 1960s, the nation's annual a�hite paper on La}:ing an overprotective food supply structure hns agriciilture announced on Policy toa�ard agriculture. FridaS�. this year's a`hite paper cited shifted to a diial st.ructurc furiher improve~ent of compasltion With thc self- On the prublem of libera- agricultural productivity suPticiency rate for ~ome lization of farm produce based on structural impro- ltems being high and that imporLti, the a~hite paper vements as the biggest task of others dra~tically lo~~. s:~id i; v~�as important to iaced bs� Japan's abricul- The o~~erall .;eli-SUfTicfrnry t~ke a}~proprilte measures tural induscry. rate for food, excluding on the matter a~hile main- IL st.rongly appealed for feed, stands at 72 u�ith that tainin~ h:irmon}� n�ith sound raising productivity through of grain registerin~ 33 per- drv~�iopment of domestic ~chnological innovation cent. :,~.riculttire. and expanding the scope of � Prices in Japan oi such It said problems exist in ugriculture. products as wheat. ric�e tuF:in~ hast}~ ~ction or~ the The white paper also ~d beei are St~arnis� m:itter. said: higher than international The ~~hite paper said the � Since Japan's rate a~. re- levels a�hile Lhose of rhick- country's aKricultural and liance on imports of en, eggs and pork are 1ow~er. t:~rmin~ ~~illages v~~ere ful- iarm produce is higri, even � Z'he per capita con~ump- fillin~ their role oi forming g JT1~1l~iIlA1 shortage in basic tion oi rice in fiscal 1980 z healthy regional societ�y~ foodstuffs will pose dangers declined 1.1 percent due to :~nd mainta.ining the na- of big social confusion and the effects uf a drop in re11 tural en~�ironment besides uncasiness. Therefore, a income and the ab~zormalll' ~~�orkinR for a st-.~b]e suppl} stabilized supply of iood- coo] summer. R.ice ~on- o[ fa~dstuSs. stutis has become increas- ~umption is still shua~in~, a dF^lining trend. It said labor ~roductivlt 1n~ly import,ant. ~ r Y The number of fui�mine in Jnpan's ugi�leu]ture rose � Japan's imports o1 larm h~~~tieholds dc�rlinc~d 1t a ut an annual rate of 5.6 Product~s alreadY have S~~�, ,,~~nlidl rate� of 1 3 I~cr- c ~ percent beta~ren fiscal 1965 reached n hlgh 7eve1 and ~,~n~ n~lti,,,,~n 1Si7.+ ci~~ci IfiLl. nnd 1980. Thls, it. said, w~as a sharp increase us in the ,I,~~~,~~, a,~rc a ~~>>:~l uf 1.09 due Chlefly Lo tectinologlcal pz~t cannot be nntieipated n~illiun h~.u~eholds h:ivin!, innovations nnd efforts to in the future when viewed m,~~~s cxc:usivrly en~:a~ed overcome such adverse con- f~'~m movements of food- in farmSng in 1E+81. ac- dltions as n dro in farm ~tuff expendit.ures. P coun!ing for 23 percc�nt of ncreage. It i~ important to make the total farming house- It sLrc~scd that. it w1s ~i�Ports of foodstufls in holds. the future based on inter- COPYRIGHT: The Daily Yomiuri 1982 CSO: 4120/252 END 42 FOR OFTICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500060013-6