THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 16 OCTOBER 1969

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005977041
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 16, 1969

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The President's Daily Brief
, 16 October 1969
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Top Secret
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT S DAILY BRIEF?
16 October 1969
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Moscow announces a new aid agreement with North Viet-
nam for 1970. It is much like the program for 1969.
(Page 1)
Biafra is exploiting its capability to attack Nige-
rian oil installations. (Page 3)
India wants to improve its relations with East Ger-
many but at the same time wants to retain its present
good relations with West Germany. (Page 4)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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USSR - NORTH VIETNAM
The two nations have worked out a new aid
agreement, according to a brief announcement on 15
October from Moscow. It is chiefly a public dec-
laration of Soviet intent to continue furnishing
military materiel, to provide short range economic
aid to meet current North Vietnamese needs, and to
program longer term aid for rehabilitation of ?the
economy.
The language used is remarkably consistent
with the announcement Of July 1968 that Set up the
1969 program. Neither of the agreements indicates
the magnitude of aid to be supplied.
In 1970 the USSR presumably will follow
the pattern of reduced military deliveries
and expanded economic assistance that has
prevailed since the US halted the bombing
of North Vietnam.
Military deliveries began to fall off in
1968 as the Vietnamese need for air defense
equipment was reduced. In that year Soviet
military aid was cut by more than one third,
from the $500 million granted in 1967 to
about $290 million. During the same period
economic assistance rose by $40 million to
$240 million, largely to meet increased
needs for food and agricultural items.
Most of that aid was gratuitous.
It is likely that North Vietnamese demand
for assistance in rehabilitation and recon-
struction will increase considerably in the
coming year. References to repayable cred-
its in the aid agreements for 1969 and 1970
indicate that although the USSR will be a
major source of support for this program,
Moscow is attempting to insure that the
economic feasibility of projects under such
a program be clearly established.
1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LAOS
The timing of the 312th's current deploy-
ment to Laos is a clear sign that the move
was in reaction to the government's summer
offensive in the PZaine des Jarres. It
also is additional evidence that Hanoi
does not necessarily deploy forces in Laos
according to a predetermined schedule, but
often makes such decisions on the basis of
the tactical situation.
2
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Biaf ran Raids Continue to Disrupt Nigerian Oil Production
Benue
BIAFRA
Benin Cit)."),
t?it
Onitsh
IBiaf ran aircraft raid
oil storage area
Sapele
Enugu
?. 3 ;1,14., F R A
?
I
N
lkot-Ekpene L
Ca abar
CAMEROON
Port Harcourt
17 BIA FRAN CONTROLLED AREA
25 50
STATUTE MILES
15
()P ?BIAPRA
EQUATORIAL GUINEA /
FERNANDO PO (
96314 10-69 CIA
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NIGERIA
Biafran aircraft struck a Mobil oil storage area
on 14 October--the first raid on a Mobil facility.
Shell-BP and Gulf have undergone six air attacks
since last May.
Nigerian oil production was expected to be
1,000,000 barrels a day by the end of this year, but
has fallen to about 500,000 barrels a day after
reaching a peak of 600,000 barrels a day in April.
The decrease is only partly attributable
to Biafran air and ground attacks. Mar-
keting problems have also restricted pro-
duction. The main reason for the failure
to expand production is that oil producers
are holding back because of the Biafran
threat.
The Biafrans are convinced their campaign
against oil facilities is the best way to
hurt the Nigerians.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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INDIA EAST GERMANY
The Indian Government is again considering dip-
lomatic recognition of East Germany, but is fearful
of losing West German aid. In London recently, For-
eign Minister Dinesh Singh told a group of Indian
journalists that recognition "will come some time,"
but later in New Delhi he would say only that rela-
tions were "developing."
The Indians are probably waiting for Bonn's
reaction to those statements before taking
any further action.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTES
Hungary - West Germany: Bonn and Budapest have
agreed to give their respective trade missions author-
ity to grant visas. This is the first positive polit-
ical move toward improved relations since Soviet and
East German opposition blocked Hungary's plans to
recognize West Germany in 1967. The new agreement
falls short of a full consular arrangement, but will
facilitate future steps in that direction--if the
USSR is willing.
Arab States:
USSR:
5
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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