THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 5 FEBRUARY 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992463
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: February 5, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
5 February 1971
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
5 February: 1931
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
On Page I, we discuss some recent East German ma-
neuvers regarding the Berlin situation
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The French are expecting to conclude a sale of Mirage
aircraft to South Africa. (Page 2)
Communist China's production rate of MIG-19 aircraft
has increased. (Page 4)
Jarring intends to take a more active role in trying
to advance the Middle East negotiations, which he
considers at a critical stage. (Page 4)
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T.-
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EAST GERMANY - WEST GERMANY
A front-page editorial in the East German offi-
cial party newspaper, Neues Deutschland, on 3 Febru-
ary warns that further "misuses" of West Berlin would
meet East German resistance. The editorial rejected
Western protests over Pankow's interference with
traffic last week and blamed "diplomats of some West-
ern powers" for encouraging Bonn's unwanted political
activity in West Berlin.
The editorial suggests that Pankow is de-
termined to create further autobahn har-
assment in response to West German polit-
ical activity in Berlin. The first test
will come tomorrow when the Christian Dem-
ocratic Party (CDU) holds a political rally
in Berlin. On 15 February two events in
Berlin--a Socialist Party leadership con-
ference attended by Brandt and a major CDU
rally?may bring further East German ob-
structionism.
In another development on Berlin, East German
Premier Stoph yesterday made public a proposal for
direct negotiations of Berlin problems between his
government and the West Berlin Senat.
The East German offer ignores and in ef-
fect undercuts the four-power talks on
Berlin, and removes Bonn entirely from the
discussions on the city's access to the
West. The proposal is standard East Ger-
man fare, designed to emphasize that West
Berlin is a distinct political entity, en-
tirely separate from both West and East
Germany.
The Soviets no doubt have acquiesced in
this approach, which Ambassador Abrasimov
has advocated at the four-power talks.
The Soviets argue that East Germany is a
sovereign state and needs no mandate from
the four victorious powers to negotiate
with either Bonn or the West Berlin Senat,
a position that West Germany and the Senat
will reject.
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FRANCE - SOUTH AFRICA
In a private conversation with US officials,
the French minister in London said that negotiations
for the sale of Mirage aircraft to South Africa have
been under way for some time. The French were said
to anticipate the successful conclusion of the sale
but the number, price, and delivery dates have not
been finally resolved.
Last November, France agreed to suspend
further sales of helicopters and armored
cars to South Africa. We had not counted
on Paris to extend this embargo to Mirage
aircraft, particularly if the price were
right. The French may use the growing
Soviet interest in the Indian Ocean as the
rationale for such a sale, but the poten-
tial profits are the main consideration
in Paris.
In 19703 French foreign sales of military
equipment rose sharply, carrying France
to a level of about $1.3 billion. The
sale of aeronautical equipment, including
aircraft and missiles of all types, ac-
counted for $940 million or nearly three
fourths of the total.
A French sale could have some impact on
the debate in Britain over Prime Minister
Heath's proposal to sell arms to South
Africa, and could aid him in overcoming
domestic opposition to such sales. Heath
probably will not announce any decision
on sales during the next several months
while a newly appointed Commonwealth study
group examines the issue.
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SAUDI ARABIA - SOUTHERN YEMEN
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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QUA]
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YELLOW 5?.4 kr"
A portion of the MI6-19s seen
at Shen-yang airframe plant
950925 2-71 CIA
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Gr.
As War
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NOTES
Communist China: The latest satellite photog-
raphy indicates that the production rate of MIG-19
jet. fighters has increased considerably in the past
several months. At China's only MIG-19 production
facility, the Shen-yangairframe plant in Manchuria,
the photography shows 204 aircraft compared with
about 115 in early December. Not all of the aircraft
seen on. either occasion were necessarily newly pro-
duced; some may have been returned for overhaul or
modification. The photography suggest
a current production rate of some 35 aircraft per
month compared to 25 per month in early: 1970.
Middle East: With the extension of the cease-
fire, Jarring now plans to offer both Middle East
parties his own ideas on a settlement and to request
a Big Four statement on the question of guarantees.
Jarring realizes that this would be contrary to Is-
rael's view that he should play only a limited role
and that his mission might be paralyzed, but he be-
lieves that the present moment is critical. Jarring
has told Ambassador Yost he believes there must be a
forthcoming Israeli statement on withdrawal and that
this should be made no later than 14 February when
the Israeli cabinet meets.
4
K
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Top Secret
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