THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 6 JULY 1970

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005977551
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: July 6, 1970

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The President's Daily Brief
6 July 1970
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
6 July 1970
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Fighting in Cambodia flared up again yesterday after
a lull of several days. (Page 2)
A study of the battle statistics shows little change
in the level of Communist activity in South Vietnam's
III and IV corps during the two months of US - South
Vietnamese operations in Cambodia. (Page 3)
In Moscow, no leadership changes were announced at
the central committee plenum, which concentrated
mainly on agricultural policy. (Page 4)
The status of the oil price negotiations in Libya is
outlined on Page 6.
The military situation in Laos has been fairly quiet
the past three days. (Page 8)
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USSR-ISRAEL-EGYPT
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Cambodia: Current Situation
THAILAND
1
Preah
Vihear
Sam rang
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OF
THAILAND
0 Communist-controlled location
;Or Communist-controlled
0
50
SOUTH
CHINA SEA
99104 7-70 CIA
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CAMBODIA
The Communists briefly but sharply attacked
the. district:town of Saang, twenty miles south. of
Phnom Penh,. yesterday. Government defenders suf-
fered over a- hundred casualties before the Commu-
nists withdrew. Enemy forces still seem to be in
the area Saang was last. attacked in late April,
at : the time raising fears that the Communists were
moving on Phnom Penh.
To the southeast, the Communists are' renewing
pressure near Svay Rieng city. Positions to the
south and west of this provincial capital were-at-
tacked- over the weekend, and there was one minor
ground action on the outskirts of the city itself.
The Communists also attacked South Vietnamese
forces in the area,
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SOUTH VIETNAM
Statistics for the first half of 1970 show
little change in the level of Communist military
activity in III and IV corps during the two months
of US - South Vietnamese operations in Cambodia.
Such activity for the past year or so has remained
small-scale (company-size or smaller) in nature.
Comparing the average number of weekly actions from
January through April with May and June, the small-
scale attacks dropped by roughly 55 percent (from
about 16 to 9) in III Corps but picked up by nearly
30 percent (from about 18 to 24) in IV Corps. The
average number of other incidents, including harass-
ment, terrorism, and sabotage, increased somewhat
in both regions during May and June.
Most Communist offensive activity in III
and IV corps this year has been staged
by local force, sapper, and guerrilla
units. The bulk of the enemy's main?
force combat units have been in or near
border sanctuaries for over a year; their
dispersion or deployment into Cambodia
thus has had only a limited effect as
yet on the level of Communist activity
in South Vietnam.
It will be difficult for the enemy to
mount sustained large actions in the
southern half of South Vietnam in the
near future, but the Communists will
probably, at a minimum, maintain recent
levels of attacks and harassments. They
will also probably seek to expZoit any
vulnerabilities in allied defenses that
might develop as a result of South Viet-
namese forces operating in Cambodia.
There are also signs that the Communists
may focus more of their activity on the
northern half of the country. Communist
planners may hope this will relieve some
of the pressure on enemy units to the
south as they try to recover from the
initial allied incursions into their
once-secure border bases.
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USSR
No changes in leadership assignments were an-
nounced.at? the central committee plenum Thursday and
Friday, nor was a specific date set-for the 24th
party congress. Brezhnev simply repeated what he
had said on earlier occasions--that a congress would.
be held this year.
As at most proceedings of late, Brezhnev domi-
nated the two-day session. He presided, both days,
giving the principal report and a concluding address..
The plenum concentrated on agricultural prob-
lems,. approving a big if uninnovative program for
this sectorfor the next five-year plan (1971-1975).
We see few clues as to the impact of this program.
on the military's claims for allocations under the
five-year plan. Even though this was the first
plenum since last' December and despite the fact the
leadership was even then- deep in discussion with
Nasir,.no report seems to have been given on Soviet
foreign policy.
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COMMUNIST CHINA - US
two MIG-19s may have attempted to engage
a US C-130 flying an intelligence collection mission
some 100 miles off the east coast of China on 2 July.
Two or possibly three other MIG-19s flew defensive
cover. Intercepted radar tracking of the latter
aircraft caused the C-130 to abort its mission.
The Chinese may have suppressed their radar
tracking of the two fighters trying for the inter-
cept. This suggests that the attempt was preplanned.
The Chinese normally fly defensive patrols
against US intelligence collection air-
craft flying off their coast, but this is
the first time since 1.965 that hostile
intent against a mission of this type has
been detected. It is highly unusual,
moreover, for Chinese fighters to fly
such a distance from the mainland.
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LIBYA
A new round of talks between the government ne-
gotiating committee and Esso, the industry leader,
began on 30 June in an amicable atmosphere. For the
first time, the government lowered its? demands in
response to an offer made earlier by Esso.
The companies apparently hope to drag out
negotiations as long as possible while
continuing to produce at maximum levels.
The government, on the other hand, is im-
patient for a quick settlement and has
emphasized its mood by limiting the pro-
duction of some companies, threatening
nationalization of other producing com-
panies, and prohibiting the export of
natural gas.
On 4 July, the Libyans nationalized the sub-
sidiary facilities of Esso, Shell, and the Italian
AGIP. These facilities form only a small part of
the total oil industry in Libya, and the companies
expect compensation.
The nationalization action will be inter-
preted as still another move to increase
pressure on Western oil interests during
the current price negotiations.
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SOMALIA
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NOTES
Laos: The situation has been fairly quiet the
past three days. Communist forces in the north are
continuing to hinder Vang Pao's attempts to expand
his defensive perimeters and are harassing government
outposts with occasional mortar attacks. There have
been additional reports suggesting an aggressive Com-
munist campaign in the south during the rainy season,
but for the last three days there have been only in-
frequent probes of the remaining Laotian Army and
irregular positions on the Bolovens Plateau. Govern-
ment guerrilla teams have reported some recent suc-
cesses in interdicting enemy road and river traffic
in the panhandle. These operations will spur. Commu-
nist efforts to eliminate government bases within
striking distance of their supply lines.
NATO: The Warsaw Pact proposals on European
security are getting a long, cautious look from the
Allies, and their representatives are having some
trouble deciding what to do next. One point of
agreement, amid a flurry of suggestions, is to seek
"clarification" of the reduction of force proposal.
The British have suggested that the proposition be
discussed next fall, perhaps in September at a spe-
cial ministerial meeting at the UN. The Italians
and the French are not too keen on that idea, but
the support for it by other NATO members may drag
them along.
Bolivia: President Ovando has yielded to the
military pressure we noted in The President's Daily
Brief of 2 July. He will remove pro-left General
Juan Jose Torres from his post as armed forces com-
mander. The removal of the unpopular Torres should
resolve the crisis that developed on 30 June when
the interior minister threatened to resign unless
Torres was replaced. Torres probably will be as-
signed abroad, perhaps to the Inter-American Defense
Board in Washington. The post of armed forces com-
mander in chief apparently will be jointly occupied
by the commanders of the three services.
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