THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 18 AUGUST 1971

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005992811
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 18, 1971
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 The President's Daily Brief 18 August 1971 4 6 Top Secret 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 18 August 1971 PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS The international economic situation is discussed on Page 1. South Vietnam (Page 3) The trouble. between Jordan and Syria will be the most. pressing business at the meeting of Arab heads Of. state that convenes in Damascus today- ,(Page 4) Libya Malta/ (Page 5) /Bolivia ]Page 6. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION Japan and Canada were the only major countries to keep their foreign exchange markets open yester- day, and the Tokyo market opened again today. Euro- pean governments are keeping theirs closed while de- liberating on appropriate responses. In Tokyo, the government has refused to permit the dollar to float in the belief that a depreciated dollar would hurt Japanese exports to the US at a time when the Japanese economy is sluggish. Thea gov- ernment is also concerned that the ten-percent sur- charge on US imports will make it more difficult to get the Japanese economy moving.) The Japanese probably hope to keep their ex- change market open and to maintain the)existing dol- lar rate at least' until some multilateral revision of the monetary system and exchange rates can be agreed upon. Tokyo probably realizes, however, that the present rate is not. likely to be maintained much beyond the time that European exchange markets are' reopened. Any depreciation of the dollar relative to European currencies and maintenance of the pres- ent yen-dollar rate-would result in de)facto,devalua- tion of the yen vis-a-vis the European currencies, bringing a storm of protest .from Europe. The Cana- dians believe that the rise in their currency against the dollar by nearly one-half cent' inthe last two days to a high of 99.3 cents by itself significantly affects their trade, and they claim that about one fourth of Canada's exports to.the US will be ad- versely affected by the surcharge; Canada sold about two thirds of its-total exports to the US last year; thus, the Canadians, already' sufferingfrom an. un- employment rate over six percent, feel they will be particularly hard-hit by the US moves. Press accounts of the EC monetary committee meeting yesterday in Brussels state that the commit- tee decided the likeliest solution for the Community - 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 50X1. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY in the crisis is a joint upwardfloat'of-the EC's currencies againstthe dollar. But accounts of a subsequent meeting of the EC Commission indicate that this body was having difficulty in forming concrete proposals onwhich theEC Council could act. The po- sition-of France, the principal opponent of a joint flOat.proposal,by Bonn last May, probably will be determined at the special cabinet meeting scheduled for this afternoon by President. Pompidou. Under the present circumstances, Paris will be under greater pressure to participate in a coordinated EC response. The UK hopes to coordinate its policy with that of the. EC, and whatever decision the EC adopts will inevitably influence the policies of other European nations,:notably Switzerland. Until these European policy-making processes are completed, most of the major foreign exchange markets probablywill remain closed. A premature opening of the markets could. precipitate a large, undesired run from the dollar, partly in reaction tb the news that the US second quarter balance-of-payments deficit was the worst in history. 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY SOUTH VIETNAM FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY ARAB STATES The trouble between Jordan and Syria will be the most pressing business at the meeting of the Egyp- tian, Libyan, and Syrian heads of state convening in Damascus today. Their efforts to deal with the problem are apt to generate some heat in view of the wide differences between Qadhafi, who is press- ing for sanctions against Jordan, and Sadat, who is committed to the current efforts of an Egyptian - Saudi Arabian mission to mediate between Jordan and the fedayeen. The three leaders win very likely continue the discussions, begun at their meeting in Tripoli on 30 July, which aimed at devising .a for- mula for an agreement between King Husayn and the fedayeen. The formal purpose of the meeting is to approve the draft constitution of the new Federation of Arab Republics which the three governments have agreed to establish. The endorsement is expected to be pro forma, and the constitution will then be sub- mitted to a plebiscite in each country on 1 Septem- ber. Little popular enthusiasm for this latest at- tempt at Arab unity has developed, and this has prompted the Libyans and Syrians to conduct "educa- tional campaigns" in an effort to drum up support for it. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY MALTA FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY BOLIVIA FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTE? Pakistani I 50X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800150001-3