THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 6 OCTOBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466864
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 6, 1976

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The President's Daily rief
October 6, 1976
. 2
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Exempt from general
declassrfication scheduk of E 0 11652
exempOon category 51341),(2),(3)
declasstfied only on approval of
the Durector of Central Intelligence
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USSR:
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
October 6, 1976
Table of Contents
USSR-China: The return to Peking last week of the deputy chief
of the Soviet team at the Sino-Soviet border talks is de-
signed to probe for any sign of softening in China's atti-
tude toward the USSR. (Page 2)
Lebanon: The Syrians reportedly intend to resume their offensive
against Palestinian and leftist strongholds, possibly as
early as tomorrow. (Page 2)
Rhodesia:
(Page 4)
Kenya-Uganda: Kenya still considers President Amin a threat to
its security even though relations between the two countries
have taken on a more friendly tone. (Page 5)
West Germany:
Notes: USSR-Somalia; USSR (Page 8)
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USSR:
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*
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1
*
--continued
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MEDITERRANEAN
SEA
BEI RUJ
SYR IA
Tripoli
CONTESTED
AREA
Syrian
Blocka
Predomi antly
Mus im
Pop ated
Christian
1'? -EIYA NO
Syrian
Controlled
Beirut?
International
Airport'
Sidon(
Palestinian/
P Muslim Area
abatniah
Men Uyun
DAMASCUS
YRIA
Tyre
620500 10-76
ISRAEL
e?
/
0 KILOMETERS 20
20
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR-CHINA:
LEBANON: The Syrians
reportedly intend to
resume their offensive
against Palestinian
and leftist strongholds,
possibly as early as
tomorrow.
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Gankovsky, deputy chief of the So-
viet team at the Sino-Soviet bor-
der talks, is normally posted in
Peking but had not been there for
six months. Moscow's chief nego-
tiator at the talks, Deputy For-
eign Minister Ilichev, has not
been in Peking since May 1975.
The Sino-Soviet border talks have
made little progress since they
began in 1969, and almost none
over the last two years. If the
Chinese are even moderately civil
to Gankovsky, the Soviets are
likely to be encouraged. As of
September 29, he apparently had
not yet had any meetings with the
Chinese.
* * *
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--continued
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The Syrians may be bar-
gaining with the Pales-
tinians for concessions
that could head off the
offensive, but the re-
ported Syrian demands
seem to represent more
an ultimatum than a
bargaining position,
and Damascus undoubt-
edly has no hope that
they will be accepted.
The Syrians reportedly have indi-
cated that they will demand that
the Palestinians agree to:
--Withdraw immediately from
Alayh and the Shuf.
--Return to the refugee camps
(and presumably abide by other
provisions of the Cairo accord).
--Change their present leader-
ship (meaning apparently the re-
moval of Yasir Arafat as head of
Fatah and the Palestine Libera-
tion Organization).
Damascus has stepped up its propa-
ganda attacks on Arafat's leader-
ship, but probably does not be-
lieve it can engineer his ouster
at present. By proposing such ex-
treme terms and calling more
openly for a change in PLO leader-
ship, the Syrians probably hope
to erode Arafat's base of support.
Although rumors are rife in Beirut
that the offensive will be mounted
against Alayh and the Shuf, Syria
may have decided that these areas
should be bypassed. An assault
on Alayh, where the Palestinians
appear well dug in, would en-
counter strong resistance, as oc-
curred when Christian forces tried
to attack the town last Friday.
Damascus also is apparently sensi-
tive about the reactions of Druze
inhabitants of Alayh and the Shuf
to military operations in their
areas, primarily because anti-Syr-
ian sentiment among the Lebanese
Druze could spill over into the
Druze community in Syria.
--continued
3
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African Republic
Equatorial
Guinea ".
Uganda
Gabon \
171c/urea
undi
Cabinda
Tanzania
Lake
Tungany(ka
Angola
Lake
Nyasa
Zambia
Lusaka*
Walvis Bay
(S At)
Namibia
(South-West Africa)
Rhodesia
Atlantic
Ocean
620510
Botswana
*Maputo
SwazIla
South
Africa
ho
,blque
Indian
Ocean
0 500 MILES
0 500 KILOMETERS
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
RHODESIA: Unity talks
between two Rhodesian
black nationalist fac-
tions apparently have
made little progress.
The guerrilla leaders,
as distinct from the
nationalist politicians,
continue to take a hard
Zine in public on a
settlement.
The talks between the Zimbabwe
African National Union and the
Zimbabwe African People's Union
are now taking place in Maputo,
Mozambique, and are expected to
shift to Dar es Salaam in Tanzania
soon.
ZAPU representatives are in-
sisting that political unity must
be achieved before the respective
military forces can be united.
ZANU, which includes most of the
guerrillas, refuses to enter into
anything but a loose political
alliance. ZANU leaders fear that
unity would only benefit ZAPU
leader Joshua Nkomo, whom they
distrust.
ZANU representatives also met last
week in Lusaka with representatives
of the third faction led by Bishop
Abel Muzorewa
Muzorewa had been left out of the
original unity talks by the other
factions and the "front line"
African presidents. Muzorewa's
welcome home to Rhodesia last Sun-
day by a large and enthusiastic
crowd, after more than a year of
self-imposed exile, suggests that
he hopes to exploit his political
following there to become again a
key figure in settlement talks.
At a press conference in Maputo
last week, a guerrilla leader as-
serted that the fighting would con-
tinue until the Smith government
--continued
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KENYA-UGANDA: Rela-
tions between Kenya and
Uganda have taken on a
more friendly tone in
recent weeks, but Kenya
still considers the er-
ratic President Amin a
threat to its security.
was prepared to ?surrender uncondi-
tionally. The guerrillas neverthe-
less are said to have decided that
at any conference to set up an in-
terim government, they will be rep-
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resented by a delegation likely to
be headed by ZANU spokesman Robert
Mugabe.
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guerrillas and Mozambican forces
are strengthening their positions
along the Rhodesia-Mozambique bor-
der in preparation for new attacks
into Rhodesia after the rainy sea-
son begins later this month.
In a meeting between Kenyan and
Ugandan officials in Nairobi late
last month, the two sides agreed
to "minimize problems" in the de-
livery of petroleum to landlocked
Uganda--a reference to Kenya's
almost two-month-long slowdown on
petroleum deliveries following the
Entebbe operation. The Kenyan rep-
resentative to the talks told a US
embassy official that his govern-
ment will not allow arms shipments
for Uganda to transit Kenya until
it is sure Amin is living up to
the August agreement to ease ten-
sions.
The Kenyans apparently still fear
that Amin might attempt to retali-
ate for Nairobi's involvement in
the Entebbe operation--especially
in light of recent reports of a
new Soviet-Uganda arms agreement
and Amin's close ties to Palestin-
ian representatives in Kampala.
--continued
5
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*
WEST GERMANY:
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*
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--continued
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*
*
*
--continued
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Two Soviet naval TU-95
reconnaissance aircraft
arrived in Somalia yes-
terday morning, the
first visit by this
type of Soviet aircraft
to that country.
The Soviets have ap-
parently ended salvage
operations at the site
of the TU-95 crash
southeast of Newfound-
land in early August.
NOTES
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Operations by TU-95s
from Somalia would greatly increase
Soviet reconnaissance coverage of
the Indian Ocean area.
The two naval TU-95s that have
been operating out of Cuba for the
past 18 days returned to the USSR
on Monday. It was the sixth time
this year that TU-95s have been in
Cuba. Two additional TU-95s re-
main at Conakry, Guinea.
The four ships involved in the
operation all left the area during
the past few days. The Soviets
recovered some large pieces of
aircraft wreckage,
8
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Top Secret
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