THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 17 OCTOBER 1974

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006007844
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 17, 1974
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 The President's Daily Brief October 17, 1974 5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Exempt from general declassification schedule of ED. 1'652 exemption category 58(1),(2),(3) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15: CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY October 17, 1974 Table of Contents Israel: / (Page 1) Greece: Foreign Minister Mavros has resigned to de- vote full time to the parliamentary election campaign. (Page 3) USSR: The Soviets are preparing extended-range tests of their new ICBMs to the Pacific. (Page 4) Notes: Turkey; USSR (Page 5) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY ISRAEL Prime Minister Rabin is running into trouble on the issue of territorial con- cessions to Jordan. Former defense min- ister Dayan and three of his Knesset col- leagues from Labor's Rafi faction have signed a petition calling on the Knesset to oppose a reversion of West Bank terri- tory to Arab rule. The petition was pre- cipitated by Rabin's suggestion earlier this month that Israel should be ready to give up parts of the West Bank in re- turn for a Jordanian guarantee of nonbeZ- Zigerency. Dayan's challenge to Rabin's position, and his defense of the challenge before a television audience on Monday, dramatically surfaced the simmering divi- sions within the Labor Alignment over the future of the West Bank. Dayan's move underlines the diffi- culty Rabin will face in securing unanimity from his own party in support of an Israeli negotiating posi- tion flexible enough to hold out the possibility of progress in peace talks. Adopting one of his more uncompromising stands on the subject, Dayan said he would vote for any Knesset resolution opposing the return of the West Bank to a "foreign regime," including "Jordan, the Palestinians, or even the British." He said ?he op- poses: --any territorial partition of the West Bank; --any agreement preventing Jews from settling anywhere on the West Bank; --any agreement obliging the Israeli Defense Force to withdraw from West Bank areas it be- lieves ought to remain under Israeli military control. 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY GREECE Foreign Minister Mavros resigned on Tuesday so that he can devote full time to the campaign for the parliamentary election on November 17. In stepping down, Mavros noted that "no developments were foreseen" on the Cyprus issue until after the election. Mavros recently told Ambassador Kubisch that Cyprus would be a major issue in the campaign. He said another key issue is whether to "purge" those who collaborated with the military regimes over the past seven years; he did not divulge his own view on this question. Mavros doubts that the campaign will create more anti-US sentiment than already exists. The foreign minister claimed that his party and the New Democracy Party, led by Prime Minister Karamanlis, have already agreed to form a coalition after the elections. He said that the two parties could obtain from 70 to 75 percent of the vote. Meanwhile, a Soviet embassy official in Athens has told a US diplomat that Moscow hopes Mavros? party will win enough seats to deny an outright majority to Karamanlis. The Soviets presumably reason that the weaker Karamanlis, the more room there will be for leftist pressures to operate. The Soviet forecast is that Karamanlis? party will obtain 140 of the 300 seats in parliament, that Mavros? party will get 100, and the United Left and Papandreou a maximum of 40. Smaller parties would get the remaining 20 seats. Our initial assessment is that Karamanlis? party may win a majority. If his party falls short of a majority, he and Mavros will almost certainly be able to form a coalition government. We believe that the United Left and Papandreou will probably fall short of the 40 seats predicted by the Soviets. 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Kamgpatka / \ / 150 / ? \ /\ \ \ Impact closyre/ area \ '0 7 Pacific , iso,, 7 ---- 6c-An, Midway I. iso 1 Soviets to Conduct Extended-ilange ICBM Tests 556737 10-74 CIA 4 ca Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15: CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR The Soviets are preparing for a second round of extended-range missile testa to the Pacific this month. Mos- cow announced yesterday that an impact area some 400 miles north of Midway will be used for this purpose from October 20th to the 30th. The impact area is about 5,000 nautical miles from the launch center at Tyuratam and about 4,700 nautical miles from Plesetsk. Its size--260 nauti- cal miles in diameter--suggests some of the missiles will carry MIRVs. ' The three missile range instrumentation snips remained in the vicinity after these tests and were recently joined by a fourth. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES IRELty.: Caretaker Prime Minister Ecevit met with Justice Party leader Demirel on Tuesday to pro- pose solutions to the month-old government crisis. Demirel said he needed at least ten days to respond to the proposals, almost all of which are linked to holding an election in either the spring or fall of 1975. Ecevit's offer to Demirel reportedly calls ?for an agreement betWeen the two parties to revise the national election law to eliminate the small splinter parties. This would be followed by forma- tion of either a minority government by Ecevit's left-of-Center Republican People's Party ora coali- tion with the conservative Justice Party that would govern until a new election could be held in July 1975. Revision of the election law would be attrac- tive to Demirel because it would enable the Justice Party to increase its seats substantially'. USSR: 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012300010021-7