THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 29 MAY 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992619
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: May 29, 1971

Declassified in Pari - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009500020001-0
The President's Daily Brief
29 May 1971
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
29 May 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Pakistan
inclia. (Page 1)
Tokyo
(Page 2)
The Soviets have successfully launched another probe
toward Mars. (Page 3)
Australia is following through with plans to seek a
political dialogue with Communist China. (Page 5)
A Soviet nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine has
been photographed in the bay at Antilla in eastern
Cuba. (Page 7)
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INDIA-PAKISTAN
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USSR
Yesterday the Soviets successfully launched a
scientific probe toward Mars, the third such launch
attempted during the current window. According to
TASS, this shot is carrying instruments developed
and manufactured by French specialists.
The first probe, launched on 10 May,
failed to eject from its low earth park-
ing orbit and was destroyed on re-entry;
the second, launched on 19 May, seems to
be functioning normally on a Mars trajec-
tory. The two successful vehicles are
expected to reach Mars late this year.
The booster used for these three Mars
shots was the SL-12, the USSR's largest
operational launcher. This booster has
suffered 14 failures in 27 firings since
its first attempted launch in early 1967.
The high number of failures is not un-
precedented for the Soviets in their de-
velopment of space boosters. They ac-
cepted an even worse failure rate in the
early stages of development of the SL-6,
which became a highly reliable booster
used for a variety of space missions.
The incentive to persist with a system
in the face of failure is strong. The
time required to rework the basic design
or develop an entirely new system of this
size?roughly equivalent to the US Saturn
1--could inflict unacceptable delays on
space programs. Also, the cost of de-
veloping anew large booster is high:
the Soviets spent an estimated $2 billion
on the 5L-12 before the first launch at-
tempt. The booster cost per launch--
about $45 million?is relatively low by
comparison. Problems that have occurred
in all four stages of the SE-12 appear
more related to quality control than to
basic design deficiencies; Soviet per-
sistence suggests that they have remained
confident of their ability to eliminate
the difficulties. The recent record--
seven successes in the last eight
launches?tends to bear out this confi-
dence.
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SOUTH VIETNAM
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AUSTRALIA - COMMUNIST CHINA
Prime Minister McMahon has announced that the
government has follOwed through with plans to try
to open a political dialogue with Communist China.
The US Embassy in Canberra reports that the approach
was made by the Australian ambassador in Paris, who
saw his Chinese counterpart last Thursday. The Aus-
tralians said they were prepared to discuss matters
of mutual interest such as trade and the presence
in China of Australian citizens in "unofficial!' ca-
pacities. Although Australian Foreign Ministry
of-
ficials were surprised at the speed of the Chinese
response, they are doubtful the discussion will be
fruitful because Canberra is still unwilling to move
toward establishing diplomatic relations.
The government has been on the defensive
regarding its China policy since April
when Peking refused to discuss the pur-
chase of Australian wheat and implied that
the reason was. Canberra's stand on recog-
nition. This has produced considerable
pressure on the government from agricul-
tural interests to assume a more flexible
attitude toward China. The opposition
Labor Party has also sought to capitalize
on the China question by reminding the
country that it favors recognition of
Communist China, and it has arranged a-
visit in June by party members to Peking
to discuss trade.
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NATIONALIST CHINA - US
On 11 May Nationalist Foreign Minister Chow
Shu-kai specified to Ambassador McConaughy certain
very limited conditions under which he claimed Tai-
pei might not feel compelled to break ties automat-
ically with any state that recognizes Peking. Chow
said Taipei could maintain relations only if Peking
were not recognized as "sole legal government of
China," "government of all Chinese people," or sim-
ilar phrases; if Peking's claim to Taiwan were not
included in the formula; and if asked to remain,
Taipei must continue to be accepted as the "govern-
ment of the Republic of China."
On 25 May, Chow assured McConaughy that these
conditions have been clearly presented to Ankara and
Tehran, which are currently negotiating with Peking,
and asked for strong supporting demarches there by
the US.
Chow's proposals appear to be a tactical
move made within the context of Chiang
Kai-shek 's continuing determination not
to allow coexistence with Communist Chi-
nese diplomatic representatives, or any
derogation of Nationalist claims to repre-
sent all of China. Chow's conditions ef-
fectively rule out any formula likely to
be acceptable to Peking. The failure of
the Nationalists to present forcefully
Taipei's "new policy" and the ambassadors'
instructions to leave Ankara and Tehran if
recognition formulas are unacceptable fur-
ther suggest that the NationaZists' appar-
ent flexibility may only be for the bene-
fit of the US.
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NOTES
USSR-Cuba: U-2 photography showed an 50X1
E-II class nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine.
in the bay at. Antilla in eastern Cuba. The submarine
was tied up alongside ,the Ugra-class submarine tender
that arrived: in Cuba The E-II .class car-. 50X1
ries eight" antiship missiles having a range of: 220
nautical miles. This is the second visit of an E"II-
to Cuba; one of these units made a two-week visit to
Cienfuegos in May 1970.
USSR-Syria:
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Top Secret
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