THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 6 MAY 1976

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006015101
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 6, 1976
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 The President's Daily Brief May 6, 1976 2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category 5 13( 1),(2),(3) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 May 6, 1976 Table of Contents Lebanon: Politicians are increasingly pessimistic about the pros- pects for a presidential election by parliament this weekend. (Page 1) Portugal: Agreement may be near on a consensus presidential can- didate. The Socialist Party's plan to form a minority gov- ernment seems to be picking up support. (Page 1) Rhodesia: The Smith government is making new efforts against the country's guerrillas and their Mozambican allies. (Page 2) Notes: China; Panama; USSR-China; Ghana; USSR-Turkey (Pages 4 and 5) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 - 4-- - Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 - - - - - ? - LEBANON: Lebanese pol- iticians are increas- ingly pessimistic about the prospects for a presidential election by parliament this weekend. PORTUGAL: Agreement may be near on a con- sensus presidential candidate. The Social- ist Party's plan to form a minority govern- ment seems to be pick- ing up support. The delegation of uncommitted par- liamentary deputies that went to Damascus earlier this week appar- ently was not able to persuade Syria to shift its support from 25X1 Ilyas Sarkis to a compromise can- didate. no word on the re- sult of Yasir Arafat's efforts to resolve the dispute between Leba- nese leftist leader Jumblatt and the Syrians over the presidential succession. If Arafat fails to persuade Jumblatt to accept Sarkis and to withdraw his demand for im- mediate Syrian military withdrawal from Lebanon, there is little chance that the election will be held on 25)0 schedule. Speculation on a consensus candi- date increasingly centers on Army Chief of Staff General Ramalho Eanes. 1 25X1 25X1 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 RHODESIA: Me Smith government's recent an- nouncement of military mobilization measures has been accompanied by new efforts by Rhodesian security forces against the country's guerrillas and their Mozambican allies. The 41-year-old infantry officer was one of the key organizers of the coup in April 1974 that over- threw Gaetano. He also master- minded the military's successful riposte to the leftist paratrooper rebellion. Since his appointment to the army's top post last Novem- ber, he has worked to depolitic-'25x1 the army and restore military dis- cipline. Both military and party leaders appear more receptive to the So- cialists' proposal to form a gov- ernment after the presidential election of June 27. Last week Revolutionary Council spokesman Captain Sousa e Castro endorsed the plan, arguing that it had sound constitutional grounds and was consistent with the assembly election results, which gave the Socialists a plurality. 25X1 since late last month Rhodesian forces have made several forays across the border into Mozambique. Such Rhodesian operations are not uncommon, although attacks across the border apparently had been suspended for several weeks. Mozambican President Machel de- nounced earlier Rhodesian forays into Mozambique when he announced 2 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : Cli-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 the closure of his country's border with Rhodesia in early March. The renewed attacks almost certainly will influence Machel's discussions in Moscow later this month. Mozambique needs conventional mili- tary equipment and training to up- grade its armed forces. If the Rhodesian attacks continue, Machel's concern could lead to a sizable Soviet involvement with the Mozam- bican military--involvement that could be used to aid the Rhodesian insurgents. The insurgents, meanwhile, con- tinue to be beset by tribal and personal rivalries, in some cases violent. The persistence of these frictions among the Rhodesian black nationalists could hamper their efforts to expand the insurgency against the Smith government. 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 ? r 120: 150 Pacific Approximate'location of Chinese reselkch ships Hawaiian ? Islands 0 , Gilbertr', --- Islands ) Islands Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 The two Chinese oceano- graphic research ships in the South Pacific have moved east of the Gilbert Islands and will probably conduct additional survey work before going home. Panama has apparently backed away from its plan to impose the max- imum fine of $100,000 on boats charged with illegal fishing. Two US tuna vessels that have been charged with fishing illegally are still in the Canal Zone. The USSR has made little comment about the ex- plosion last week out- side the gates of the Soviet embassy in China. NOTES The ships had previously spent approximately a week north of the Fiji Islands, apparently doing scientific research .id su ve in the ocean bottom. 25X1 Government chief Torrijos now ap- pears willing to allow such boats to purchase retroactive licenses based on tonnage for about $20,000 each. This solution may avoid the automatic reduction of US aid or cutoff of US military assistance. Although the USSR lodged a protest immediately after the incident, Soviet officials in Peking now say that the Chinese government was not directly involved. The Soviets have not hinted that the explosion could have been prompted by factional infighting in Peking over policy toward the USSR. That possibility, however, is probably one reason they are playing the incident in relatively low key. 4 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 U.K 111i rIcE3ILJelV CIIV La 1 Ghanaian USSR T1717173, 25X1 25X1 25X1 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010032-4