THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 22 OCTOBER 1969

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005977051
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 22, 1969

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The President's Daily Brief
22 October 1969
I? or
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
22 October 1969
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The Vietnamese Communists may be thinking in terms
of a cease-fire and a temporary division of South
Vietnam between the GVN and the PRG. (Page 1)
The Chinese
German
(Page 2) 50X1
(Page 6)
The Soviets seem to be preparing for another un-
manned lunar mission. (Page 8)
General Viaux, who moved against the Frei govern-
ment yesterday, announced the end of his revolt this
morning. (Page 8)
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VIETNAM
Two documents captured in South Vietnam in late
September are consistent with the hypothesis that
the Communists may be thinking in terms of a cease-
fire and a temporary division of the country between
two governments--the GVN and the Communist PRG--with
the question of national power left in doubt for the
time being.
The documents appear to be briefing papers for
the indoctrination of Viet Cong cadre on COSVN Reso-
lution 9, the southern Communist version of the de-
cisions reached during Hanoi's major policy review
last April. This strategy review led to the an-
nouncement of the ten-point peace plan in May, which
first hinted at the possibility of there being two
regimes in South Vietnam during the period between
a cease-fire and a political settlement.
The Communists, to judge from these two docu-
ments at least, seem to anticipate .a gradual winding
down of the big-unit War in South Vie:tnam and even-
tually a cease-fire situation. According to one doc-
ument, it would be difficult to determine after a
cease-fire "who is the winner and who is the loser."
It urges Communist forces to be ready to launch the
"political struggle" immediately. There is stress
in these (as well as other) documents on the need
for the Communists to have a firm hold on their base
areas in mountainous and certain rural regions, thus
implying that the Saigon government would hold the
urban areas.
Ho Chi Minh's terminal illness this past
summer may have been what interrupted the
development of a scenario like this in
Paris. The fact that some of the results
of'last spring's decisions in Hanoi are
still being disseminated widely in South
Vietnam suggests, nevertheless, that the
basic policies made then are still intact.
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COMMUNIST CHINA
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EAST GERMANY - WEST GERMANY
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Rio Hato - US military training facility and air base
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PANAMA
General Torrijos has indicated willingness to
negotiate an extension of the Rio Hato Base agree-
ment when it expires in August 1970. During a visit
to the US earlier this month, he told General West-
moreland that he would support continued US use of
the installation on an interim basis until the 1903
Canal Treaty is revised.
Last Friday Torrijos told the US Commander in
Chief, Southern Command, General Mather, that a suit-
able quid pro quo would be an increase in the US
sugar quota for Panama. Torrijos had earlier re-
quested four T-28 aircraft and two helicopters. Al-
though he did not link the request for military
equipment with the base agreement, it is possible
that he may do so.
Rio Hato, a 19,170-acre training area and
air base, is the only US military instal-
lation outside the Canal Zone. Its con-
tinued use has been entwined with the com-
plex canal treaty question. The draft
treaties resulting from US-Panamanian ne-
gotiations from 1964 to 1967 included ar-
rangements for continued use of the base
by US forces.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
JAPAN
The police managed to contain yesterday's left-
ist manifestation, even though for a time the demon-
strators partially paralyzed Tokyo and disrupted other
major towns. Hundreds of agitators were arrested.
The Sato government probably came out of
all this with stronger public support for
its position on maintaining defense ties
with the US. The police, moreover, may
have set back plans to disrupt Sato's de-
parture for the US next month. They showed
they could cope with the new "guerrilla"
tactics of the radical students.
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IRAN
The international oil consortium, which con-
trols almost all of Iran's crude oil output, has
refused thus far to commit itself to use a pipeline
the Shah wants to build from southern Iran to the
Mediterranean port of Iskenderun in Turkey. It says
the estimates of pipeline construction costs and prob-
able transit tariffs are too low, and it also be-
lieves that tankers would offer more secure supply
.lines during crises. The consortium's lack of in-
terest also is based on the large capital invest-
ments it already has made, under Iranian pressure,
to increase Iran's tanker loading facilities in the
Persian Gulf.
Without a commitment from the consortium,
financing for the pipeline almost cer-
tainly cannot be obtained and this pet
project of the Shah will be delayed or
doomed.
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SOMALI REPUBLIC
The Somali constitution has been dissolved and
a "revolutionary council" formed, according to Radio
Mogadiscio. Army commander Siad and Jama Ali Korshel,
the head of the police, are the only members of the
council who have been identified so far.
The junta claims it acted to eliminate
tribalism and corruption, but General Siad
is also known to have opposed Prime Minis-
ter EgaZ's policy of detente with Ethiopia
and Kenya.
The junta has already announced that it
will support all "freedom fighters." This
by itself will probably provoke severe re-
actions in Addis Ababa and could easily
produce new tension on the Ethiopia-Somali
border.
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NOTES
USSR: the movement of Soviet
support ships suggest that preparations are under
way for an unmanned space mission which will orbit
the moon and then attempt a soft landing. Favorable
conditions for launch will exist between 23 and 27
October. The first Soviet mission of this type to
leave earth orbit, Luna 15, was launched last July.
After orbiting the moon, it crashed on the lunar sur-
face in a soft landing attempt. A similar mission
in September, Cosmos 300, failed to eject from earth
orbit.
USSR - Middle East: In a speech in Budapest on
Monday, Soviet trade union chief Shelepin said that
although the Soviets support a "political settlement"
in the Middle East, the "struggle of the Palestinian
patriots" is a "just national liberation and anti-
imperialist struggle" which "we will support."[
Chile: General Viaux, who yesterday led two regi-
ments against the Frei government, announced this morn-
ing that his revolt was over and he was turning his com-
mand over to a presidential emissary. We have no word
on the other terms Viaux agreed to.
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Top Secret
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