THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 15 DECEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466923
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: December 15, 1976

)
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
The President's Daily Brief
December 15, 1976
2
25X1
, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of E.0 11652
exemption category 58( 11.(21.(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
December 15, 1976
Table of Contents
USSR-US: The USSR has tasked the USA Institute with signaling
a positive Soviet stance toward arms control negotiations--
normal posturing for the Soviets in the course of any change
in US leadership. (Page 1)
Jamaica: Prime Minister Manley's People's National Party seems
likely to win a narrow victory in today's general election. 25X1
(Page 2)
Zambia:
25X1
(Page 3) 25X1
Notes: USSR; Egypt-USSR; UK (Pages 5 and 6)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR-US: The USSR has
tasked members of its
USA Institute with sig-
naling a positive So-
viet stance toward arms
control negotiations.
Posturing of this type is normal
for the Soviets in any change in
US leadership, and it is not sur-
prising that the USA Institute is
being used to float trial balloons.
Several weeks ago, officials of
the institute privately stressed
to US officials the importance of
a SALT II agreement and the need
for voluntary restraint.
Institute Director Arbatov, usu-
ally out in front of the Soviet
consensus on disarmament matters,
has indicated Moscow may be willing
to agree to a five-year moratorium
on peaceful nuclear explosions.
Soviet officials usually take a
hard line on the necessity of
peaceful nuclear explosions and
previously have insisted on ex-
cluding them from any discussion
of nuclear weapons tests. The
Soviets are aware of President-
elect Carter's linkage of weapons
tests and peaceful explosions in
any prohibition or freeze.
Soviet officials may also be indi-
cating a willingness to explore
the establishment of regional nu-
clear fuel storage and reprocess-
ing centers. Moscow has thus far
given strong support to the London
Suppliers Group, which is trying
to limit the assistance given to
potential nuclear weapons states,
and the Soviets would probably go
along with any effort to prevent
the proliferation of national nu-
clear reprocessing.
The Soviets are clearly using these
conciliatory remarks to encourage
the US to consider measures of re-
straint in its own weapons programs.
Arbatov suggested that any decision
to slow down the B-1 bomber program
1
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
JAMAICA: Prime Minis-
ter Manley's People's
National Party seems
likely to win a narrow
victory in today's gen-
eral election.
should be communicated privately to
Soviet leaders. The deputy direc-
tor of the institute said that on-
site inspections and troop reduc-
tions would be difficult for Moscow
to accept.
* * *
If Manley is returned to office,
his restructuring of parliamentary
districts, the support of young
voters, and his tactical move
toward the center will be chiefly
responsible.
The minimum voting age has been
lowered from 21 to 18 since the
last general election, and people
in this age group account for 37
percent of the eligible voters.
These new voters, attracted by
the People's National Party's
social program, appear to favor
that party by a wide margin.
Manley, however, will also need
the votes of party loyalists who
have considered abstaining because
of grave reservations about where
he is taking the country. To re-
assure wavering party members, the
Prime Minister has toned down his
more strident rhetoric and has
seen to it that his left wing
maintains a low profile. Although
leading radicals are on the party's
ticket, in nearly every case they
are running in new districts rather
than replacing incumbents.
Manley has also made an effort to
accommodate the centrist wing of
the party. Members were assigned
to help draft the party platform,
and attacks on the US have not
been a central campaign theme.
2
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The Labor Party and its
leader Edward Seaga
have been hurt by poor
campaign strategy.
Manley, partly because
of Zack of money, waited
until the last few weeks
to launch his campaign
while Labor Party lead-
ers, after months of
hard slogging, seemed
to lose momentum.
/AMBIA:
Rather than present their own
clearly defined vision of where
Jamaica should be headed, party
leaders have simply run an anti-
Manley campaign.
Seaga is counting heavily on the
support of middle-class voters who
have become increasingly disaf-
fected with Manley. Businessmen
of Chinese and Middle Eastern ex-
traction in particular fear the
racist rhetoric of some of the
Prime Minister's young advisers.
Manley has spent the closing days
of the campaign on the hustings
where his personal magnetism and
rhetorical skill give him a decided
advantage over Seaga.
Violence has been a serious con-
cern in the course of the campaign.
Beatings, stabbings, and shootings
have been carried out daily by
partisan thugs. This kind of
25X1
trouble is likely to continue eN,.
after election day. 25X1
25X1
3
25X1
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
* * *
4
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
25X1
25X1
25X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
3t0
1
? it&
1201
150
- 0
-
620700 076 ),
150/
\
?"Area of Impact
co
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
25
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The Soviets yesterday
launched an SS-17 Mod
2 ICBM from the Tyura-
tam missile test range
to an area in the mid-
Pacific some 5,100
nautical miles away.
Egypt announced Monday
that the Soviet trade
delegation, scheduled
to arrive in Cairo
this week, will post-
pone its visit until
next month.
NOTES
This is the first extended-range
firing of the SS-17 Mod 2, which
could be ready for the field next
year.
We are not certain why the Soviets
are developing an SS-17 with a
large, single re-entry vehicle.
They may believe that a mixture
of single re-entry vehicles and
MIRV missiles will meet their
particular targeting requirements.
The delegation is to discuss a
new trade agreement and resched-
uling of the Egyptian debt.
Talks between foreign ministers
Gromyko and Fahmi in early Novem-
ber apparently made no progress
toward improving relations be-
tween the two governments, and
last month's preliminary discus-
sions on renewal of the trade pro-
tocol did not go well.
5
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
British Chancellor of
the Exchequer Denis
Healey will announce
today that the Labor
government will again
reduce defense spending.
* * *
The cut, an additional $165 mil-
lion in fiscal year 1977, is part
of an overall effort to pare the
budget in order to meet conditions
imposed for securing a $3.9 bil-
lion credit from the International
Monetary Fund.
The Labor government has cut mili-
tary spending four other times
since it returned to power in
1974. These reductions are in
addition to de facto cuts brought
about by inflation and the fallen
value of sterling. London has
tried to convince its allies that
previous reductions have not
harmed the UK's contribution to
NATO, but another round of cuts
will further undermine that argu-
ment.
6
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1
o
? Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400020004-1