THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 5 APRIL 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993789
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: April 5, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
5 April 1973
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011600010003-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A0.11600010003-5
Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of EO. 11652
exemption category 58( I ),(2),(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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- 77,77,777,7=M7:71777=77,277:757.77.___.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20505
TOP SEIK'T
April 5, 1973
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,EYES ONLY FOR THE PRESIDENT
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
5 April 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Khmer insurgents may now be ready to apply direct
military pressure against Phnom Penh. (Page 1)
The Chinese
(Page 2)
Chinese
the
Japanese
(Page 3)
The Egyptian Government is contriving tensions with
civil defense exercises and blood donor drives.
(Page 4)
Terrorists are trying to prevent an orderly transfer
of power in Argentina. (Page 5)
Ethiopian and Somali troops are squared off at each
other, and there could be accidental clashes along
the border. (Page 6)
Soviet tankers are now carrying Venezuelan oil to
Europe. (Page 7)
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CAMBODIA
The Khmer insurgents have closed sections of
the Mekong River and all main roads leading into
Phnom Penh. A number of recently intercepted mes-
sages indicate the insurgents are planning to attack
near the capital within the next week. Other mes-
sages suggest they are planning for hit-and-run at-
tacks within the city itself.
With air support the numerically superior
government forces in Phnom Penh should be
able to withstand sizable attacks close to
the capital. Sapper raids within the city
would be more difficult to defend against
and would have a more serious impact on
the shaky political and military situation.
The situation is compounded by the army's
decreasing effectiveness, due in part to
the failure to resolve long-standing prob-
lems of poor leadership and organization.
Other factors include a general war-weari-
ness that has been heightened by dashed
hopes that the Vietnam cease-fire would
be extended to Cambodia, and the army's
loss of respect for the increasingly in-
effective Lon NoZ.
1
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CHINA-TAIWAN
2
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CHINA-USSR-JAPAN
3
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EGYPT
The government is making new gestures to lend
credence to Sadat's recent warlike statements.
Civil defense exetcises,and a blood donation drive
have been widely publicized and accompanied by more
tough language in the local'media. Sadat has also
increased punishments for civil disobedience to
help tighten up on the home front.
Sadat's credibility remains low and most
Egyptians apparently are skeptical that
the government is engaged in anything be-
yond creating the usual contrived tensions.
Despite this general skepticism, there has
been some speculation in Cairo that the
regime is planning a military move against
Israel soon.
Sadat certainly is aware of the dangers
involved in a move against the Israelis,
a realization that is probably shared by
most Egyptian military leaders. There ,
are still no signs of military movements
that would have to precede a resumption
of hostilities on a large scale. We
would not necessarily have any early warn-
ing of more limited military operations,
however.
4
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ARGENTINA
The assassination yesterday of a ranking army intel-
ligence officer is a major escalation in the wave
of terrorist actions that have developed since the
election last month. Military leaders are seriously
disturbed about these incidents, which have in-
cluded a series of bombings and the kidnaping of a
retired admiral and a US businessman. Nevertheless,
the high command has announced that it will not be
deterred from transferring power to the Peronists.
The terrorism appears to be the work of a Trotskyist-
oriented group calling itself the People's Revolu-
tionary Army. The group seeks revolution, rather
than an orderly transfer of power from one "bour-
geois" institution to another.
5
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SAUDI ARABIA
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ETHIOPIA-SOMALIA
Reinforced Ethiopian and Somali troops are
squared off against each other across the frontier.
Both sides claim that their military moves are de-
fensive and neither appears anxious for a fight,
but accidental clashes could occur at any time.
Ethiopia is militarily superior, but it
fears the Somalis because they have So-
viet support and have been receiving siz-
able quantities of Soviet weapons. The
Ethiopians also are worried that a border
war might complicate the process of sue-
cession to their aged emperor
moreover, prolonged clashes along
the border might lead dissidents in So-
mali-inhabited parts of Ethiopia or in
Eritrea to increase their guerrilla wars
against the government.
The Somalis claim large parts of Ethiopia,
and presumably their military moves have
been in support of their demands. Ethi-
opia has refused to negotiate such claims
and has been coldly turned down by the
Somalis when it offered to improve rela-
tions in other fields. The Ethiopians
are likely to use the current tension to
press the US for additional military aid.
6
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NOTE
Venezuela: The state petroleum company is
leasing Soviet tankers supplying oil to Cuba to
carry petroleum from Venezuela to Western Europe,
an arrangement Moscow has been trying unsuccess-
fully to make since 1968. This will allow Soviet
tankers, which up to now returned empty from Cuba,
to earn foreign exchange by hauling Western petro-
leum. )
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Top Secret
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